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Market Forces
                    Impacting the Pool Industry


                                                                                                            September, 2012


CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION
This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express
Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must
not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.
Results Sponsored by




  2
APSP Research Program
                        A commitment to staying informed and ahead of member
                         interests and questions

                        Nearly 7,000 interviews updated annually




                                                                                                             Quarterly Tracking
                          Qualitative                                         2011 Quantitative                                           2012 Quantitative
                                                                                                              3000 Interviews
                         Exploration                                         Market Assessment               among Top 10% of                 Update
                       6 Focus Groups                                         2500 Interviews*                  HH Incomes                1,300 Interviews*
                                                                                                            $100K+ Discretionary




                                                                                     *Among pool and hot tub owners, prospects and rejecters
CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION
This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express
Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must
not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.
Who Our Research Represents
                                                                      Discretionary
                                                                         Income                             Upper Middle    Core         One
                                                                         $100K+                                Class       Affluent   Percenters
     % of U.S.
                                                                                  10%                          5.2%         4.3%        1.0%
     Households*
     Median Household
                                                                               $275K                          $138K        $275K       $750K
     Income

     Median Assets                                                           $1.5MM                           $800K        $2.3MM      $7.5MM
     # of U.S.
                                                                             12.0MM                           5.9MM        4.9MM       1.2MM
     Households*




 * Estimates are based on total U.S. households of 114,600,000 as cited in the 2010 American Community Survey (ACS) from the US
 Census Bureau.
CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION
This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express
Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must
not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.                                          4
Agenda



                                                                     Overall Market Trends


                                                                     Pool Industry Results


                                                                     Activations



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This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express
Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must
not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.   5
Let me ask you…


             Did You Change Your Shopping
             Practices as a Result of the
             Recession?


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Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must
not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.
Do You Feel the US is still in a
             Recession?


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Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must
not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.
Will You Go Back to Your Pre-
             Recession Spending Practices?



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Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must
not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.
Self-Reliance Supports Static State




  9
Just When You Think Things Are Looking Up…


                                                               % of Total Who Believe We are in a Recession
                                                                  AND it Will Last at Least Another Year



                                     69                                                                               67
                                                                            56                 55                56        61        58
                                                        54                                                  54                  52




                                Q1-09 Q3-09 Q1-10 Q3-10 Q1-11 Q2-11 Q3-11 Q4-11 Q1-12 Q2-12




CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION
This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express
Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must
not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.                                 10
Views on Stock Market Continue to Fluctuate

                      Stock Market Right Now…                                                                        Investing Risk Profile


                                                                             A real risk                                                       Moderate
              58                              57               58                              59           58            58
                                                                                                                   56                   55      56
                              50                                               50                                                51

                              50                                               50                                                38            Conservative
                                              43                                                                          31                    33
              42                                               42                                  41       28     30                   30

                                                       A real opportunity                                                                      Aggressive
                                                                                                            14     14     12            14
                                                                                                                                 10             11

             Q1              Q2              Q3               Q4              Q1              Q2             Q1     Q2     Q3     Q4     Q1     Q2
            2011            2011            2011             2011            2012            2012           2011   2011   2011   2011   2012   2012




CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION
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Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must
not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.                                                     11
Little Movement Since the Damage was Done in Q2, 2011

                                                      Aggregate Spending Change
   60                                  % of Households Planning to Increase/Decrease Luxury Spend

   50

   40

   30

   20                                                                                                                                  Increase
                                                                                                                                  11   Decrease
   10
                                                                                                                                  10
      0
                      Q2                               Q1                                           Q1       Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q2
                     2008                             2009                                         2010     2011 2011 2011 2011 2012



              Total Affluent and Wealthy
              Average across categories among those participating in category
CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION
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Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must
not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.                                         12
The Pool is Your Vacation at Home
                                                                                                            Total AWA Sample
                                                                                                    Q1 2012           Q2 2012
                                                                                                       %                 %
               Weekend Getaways                                                                       12                13
               Vacations                                                                               7                 11
               Footwear                                                                                7                  6
               Resorts and Fine Hotels                                                                 8                  5      Average
               Apparel/fashion                                                                         5                  4     Spending
                                                                                                                                 Change
               Personal Leather Goods                                                                  3                  4
               Eating in restaurants                                                                   4                  3
               Women's Handbags                                                                        1                  3
               Accessories                                                                             5                  2
               Home electronics                                                                        2                 -1
               Home Décor & furnishings                                                                -1                -2
               Fine Watches                                                                            -4               -12
               Fine Jewelry                                                                            -4               -14
Calculations based on past spending and projected spending levels

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Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must
not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.                                  13
Ouch!

                            I am looking forward to                                                                       I am looking forward to
                             spending more money                                                                         buying luxury goods and
                               this year than last                                                                       services more now than I
                                                                                                                               did a year ago
                                                                                    45                      Q1 2011                                   43
                                                                                                            Q1 2012
                                                 33
               30
                                                                                               26                                     27
                                                                                                                       23                                  21
                          18                                 18
                                                                                                                             14             15




           Upper Middle                      Core Affluent                       One Percent                          Upper Middle   Core Affluent   One Percent
              Class                                                                                                      Class


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not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.                                                          14
Money is Reserved for the Important Things

                                                             I am buying fewer big ticket items
                                                                 now than I did a year ago
                                     81
                                                                                                76
                                                 71                                                                        71
                                                                         61                                 60                  57
                                                             51                                                       49                       Q1 2009
                                                                                                                 45                  45
                                                                                                                                          39   Q1 2010
                                                                                                                                               Q1 2011
                                                                                                                                               Q1 2012




                             Upper Middle Class                                                   Core Affluent            One Percenters
CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION
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Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must
not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.                                                15
Uncertainty Everywhere…

                                                                                                               Home
                                                                            Retirement
                                                                                                               Values



                                         Jobs                                                                           Politics




                 Personal
                 Finance                                                                              Uncertainty             Taxes




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Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must
not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.                             16
Uncertainty Is the Issue




             Would increase spending
                 if they had more
                                                                                                              Say they are saving
                     confidence
                                                                                                            money because they are
              in knowing what their
                                                                                                            worried about the future
                 future looked like

                                                            (YTD)                                                     (YTD)


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not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.                              17
Operating Within Short Time Horizons
                                                                                                                                Just 24% have
                     100                                                                                                           confidence in
                                                               No Confidence In Ability to
                         90                                                                                                        knowing what
                                                                Predict Own Future in…                                            their life will be
                         80                                                                                             76      like in more than
                         70                                                                                                           5 years

                         60
                         50                                                                                   48
                                                                                            41
                         40
                         30                          27
                         20
                         10
                            0
                                              6 months                              12 months               2 years   5 years


Among Total, cumulative for each time period

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Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must
not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.                                              18
Turning Less to External Cues on Ability to Spend



              Things that Matter Less as Signals to Spend

                Sustained improvement in the stock market


                Sustained improvement in the consumer confidence index

                General recognition from economists that we're in a
                growth cycle




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Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must
not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.   19
Savings in Cash is the New Black

                                                                                                                  Upper
                                                                                                                  Middle    Core       One
                             Income Savings Rate                                                        The 90%   Class    Affluent Percenters

                        Avg. % Being Saved                                                                  10     17        23        34




                              65%                                            say they are saving money because they
                                                                             are worried about the future

                                                                             Equates to $35,000 incremental
                                                                             savings per year among top 10%ers

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Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must
not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.                                        20
It's Going Under the Mattress

                         U.S. Annual
                       Personal Savings                                                              $6 Trillion in Cash Stockpiling on the Sidelines!
                     $250 B                      $550 B
                      In 2007                    In 2011
                                                                                                            2007   2012
                                                                                                                                 71
                                                                                                                   61

                                                                                                                                         39
                                                                                                            29
                                                             23
                                          11


                                   % Being Saved                                                   % to Personal           % Invested In Financial
                                                                                               Savings/Money Market        Products and Markets
Among Total
National Personal Savings figures Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA.gov)
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Hedging and Deleveraging in Process

                                                      % of households with
                                                      Zero Credit Card Debt

                                                                                                                  80%
                                                                                                                               But reports of
                                                                                                            75%             increasing credit use
                                                                          71%                                                 are now emerging
                                          69%




                                    Q1 2010                          Q1 2011                          Q1 2012     Q2 2012




CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION
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Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must
not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.                                       22
As the Stash Gets Bigger…
             It gets less risky to spend a larger number
             More OK to occasionally have justifiable indulgences




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Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must
not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.   23
Demand For Real Estate Continues to Grow

                                                                            Real estate currently represents
                                                                                     an opportunity
                                                            72                     71                       70
                                      66                                                                          65              63
                                                                                                                           63             63




                                                                                                        “In the market”
                                                                                                         for real estate                  28
                                      25                    24
                                                                                                                                 21
                                                                                   16                       15
                                                                                                                  9        13


                                    Q1-09                 Q1-10                  Q1-11                  Q2-11    Q3-11   Q4-11   Q1-12   Q2-12

CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION
This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express
Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must
not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.                                        24
Trends Update
   Success Under Siege and Stealth Wealth
   Experiences and Quality in Life
   The Pull of Worth and the Push of ―the Deal‖




 25
Main Street vs. Wall Street




                                       “We Need”                                                            “They Have”

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There is Some Justification
                                                                   Household Income: A Picture of Disparity
                                                                                                            (in 2010 dollars)



                                                                                                                                       Lower limit of top 5 percent


                                                                                                                                       Upper Limit of Fourth Fifth


                                                                                                                                       Upper limit of Third Fifth


                                                                                                                                       Upper limit of Second Fifth


                                                                                                                                       Upper limit of Lowest Fifth


                 1950                 1960                 1970                  1980                 1990        2000          2010

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Current Population Survey, Annual Social and Economic Supplements.
Table F-1. Income Limits for Each Fifth and Top 5 Percent of Families (All Races): 1947 to 2010
(Families as of March of the following year. Income in current and 2010 CPI-U-RS adjusted dollars (28))

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Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must
not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.                                                             27
“One Percenter” Angst

                                  % Who Are Extremely/Very Concerned About
                                  Being Scorned for Being in the Top Part of the
                                                    Economy



                                                                                                        27 %
                                                                                                    One Percenters
                                                                                                       Q2 2012




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Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must
not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.            28
Perceiving a Climate of Contempt

                                                      Upper Middle Class                                    Core Affluent     One Percenters


                                                                                      71%                                          70%
                                   64%                      62%                                                     62%     62%




         I am frustrated by the amount of negative Wealthy people are not recognized for
          attention surrounding wealth disparity in the contributions they make to society
                          America

Source: May and June waves of the Survey of Affluence and Wealth in America
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Perceiving a Climate of Contempt
   % of Affluent/wealthy who think fewer/more Americans feel each way relative
   to a year ago
                                                                                                                                                     believe
                                                                                                             fewer                more
                                                                                                                                                statement is true

     Wealth comes at the expense of others                                                                        6                       63%        12%

     Wealth is impossible to obtain                                                                              10                       60%        5%

     Wealth is a reflection of greed                                                                              7                      56%         5%

     Wealth is something to look down upon                                                                       10           39%                    1%

     Wealth is something to aspire to                                                                       16              30%                      64%

     Wealth reflects hard work 44                                                                                     15%                            80%
Source: May and June waves of the Survey of Affluence and Wealth in America
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Stealth Wealth Strengthens

                                                     % Agree: I like it when others recognize
                                                              me as being wealthy
                                                                     Q1 2010                         Q1 2011   Q1 2012      Q2 2012
                                                                                                                  53
                                      43                                                                                   46
                                                                                                                                  40
                                                          34                                                                              31
                                                                               30
                                                                                                    24




                                    Total Affluent and Wealthy                                                           One Percenters



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Affluent Response




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not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.
This Extends to Their Backyards




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Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must
not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.
Trends Update
   Success Under Siege and Stealth Wealth
   Experiences and Quality in Life
   The Pull of Worth and the Push of ―the Deal‖




 34
Happiness and Success See Q2 Uptick
                                                                 Self-Reported Happiness and Success 2012

                                                                  Very Happy                                Successful in Personal Life


                           75                                    78                                   76                                            78
                                                                                                                    74              73

                           69                                    71                                    67           67                              71
                                                                                                                                    66

                                  Total 2012                                                                        UMC      CA          Top 1%
                                  Very Happy                                                                        63       70             72
                                  Successful in personal Life                                                       73       76             77


                    Q1 2010                               Q2 2010                               Q1 2011           Q2 2011         Q1 2012         Q2 2012


Top 3 Box of 10-Point Scale
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Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must
not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.                                                   35
The Value of Experiences In Supporting Quality in
   Life are Long-Lasting
                                                                                                                  Enjoy talking about…
                                                                                          Love Talking About                 Neutral        Avoid Talking About

                                                            Family                                                     80                               16        4
               Vacation experiences                                                                                    77                              13     10
                                                        Hobbies                                                   54                         33              13
                                                             Sports                                               52                   20               28
                                     Things you buy                                                         36                   33                    31
                                                        Weather                                             34                        49                     17
                                                            Politics                                        33              21                    46
                                                         Religion                             16                  24                         60
                                                             Money                        11                      31                         58

                                                                                   0                         20        40              60          80             100
CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION
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Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must
not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.                                                               36
Trends Update
   Success Under Siege and Stealth Wealth
   Experiences and Quality in Life
   The Pull of Worth and the Push of “the Deal”




 37
Worth: A Matter of Degree

                                                              Luxury Shopper Segmentation Along the
                                                                      Worth/Value Continuum
                                                                                                            Total A&W Non-CM




                        20%                                           24%                                        14%              24%                 18%




                         Fundamentally                                 Biased for                           Neither Worth      Biased for     Fundamentally
                         Deal-oriented                                    Deal                               nor Value           Worth        Worth-oriented



                                                                                                                                            Growing
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Rejection of Compromise Holds Strong

                                     I am trading down some of my luxury purchases
                                           to lower quality or lower priced items


                                                             Q1 2010                        Q1 2011              Q1 2012   Q2 2012


                        50
                                      43                           43                                                         45
                                                                                               41                                    38
                                                     35
                                                                                                            31   30   30
                                                                                                                                          26   27




                     Upper Middle Class                                                               Core Affluent            One Percenters

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Worth Characteristics Intensify in Value
                Strongly Agree with Statements About Desired Qualities of Brands

                               Total Sample
                                                                                                            Q1   Q2
                                     Reflect high craftsmanship                                             46   50


                                     Have a reputation for the best quality                                 43   45


                                     Have a reputation for good service                                     44   46


                                     Have a reputation for innovation                                       16   20


(Note: Total agree for first 3 items is over 90%, total agree on "innovation" is near 80%)
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Worth: The Store & Sales Experience Matters
                                                                                              Fundamentally Worth-oriented
                                                                                              Fundamentally Deal-oriented
                                 83%                                                 78%
                                                59%                                                             61%
                                                                                                                      43%
                                                                                                                             36%
                                                                                                    19%
                                                                                                                                   10%

                       For me, the act of I prefer stores that      I depend on         I have close
                     purchasing needs to are really elegant       salespersons to   relationships with a
                       be as pleasant as         inside          know the specific few salespeople that
                       the experience of                         details that make        I count on
                      owning the product                       products worth more




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Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must
not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.                                41
What we’ve Covered So Far…




 42
Trends Working Against Pool Business


            •         Stuck Economy
                         •        Spending unlikely to move significantly

            •         Shortened Time Horizons
                         •        Pools have longer-term reward mindset

            •         On-going Uncertainty
                         •        Preservation of assets

            •         1%er Angst
                         •        Play to Stealth Wealth



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Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must
not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.   43
Trends Working In Favor of Pool Business

            •         Cash Accumulation
                         •         Assets have grown substantially

            •         Targeted Spending on Things that Matter
                         •         Family first!

            •         Operating on Internal Cues of Prosperity
                         •         Feeling fortunate in their personal situation

            •         Real Estate Boom Coming?
                         •         Looking for hard assets

            •         Return of Worth Based Purchasing
                         •         Presents more high margin customer opportunities


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Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must
not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.   44
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Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must
not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.   45
Now for Pools…

                                         Pool Business Owner Highlights


                                         Pool Market Overview




                                                                                                            Consumer Insight Driven
                                         Features/Benefits and Channel Dynamics


                                         Targeting/Communications


                                         Closing Considerations


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not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.
Pool Business Owners Report Finances Better 2012
        One-third of improvement to new pools. Other important contributing sources

                      Share of Sources of Improved Business Revenue

                       More customers installing new pools                                                             34%


                       Improved Financial Practices                                                              19%


                       More customers renovating/enhancing                                                       16%


                       Customers are buying more pool supplies                                                   15%



                       More customers hiring pool maintenance                                               3%


                                                                                                             10%
                       Something else



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not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.
Do You Believe in Your Own Product?

                        Customer Reports of Satisfaction                                                               What Pool Business Owners
                        with Pool Ownership Experience                                                                 Estimate Customers will Say

                 Extremely Satisfied                                                 28%                          Extremely Satisfied          25%
                                                                                                            70%                                       57%
                             Very Satisfied                                                   42%                      Very Satisfied           32%


                Somewhat Satisfied                                               23%                              Somewhat Satisfied            32%

                    Not Very Satisfied                                6%                                           Not Very Satisfied     12%

                    Not at all Satisfied                          1%                                               Not at all Satisfied   7%




                                     Are we selling ourselves or our customers?

CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION
This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express
Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must
not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.
Pool Business Owners Not Satisfied with Advertising
        New Approaches Needed


                                      Perceived Effectiveness of Advertising
                                      (As reported by Pool Business Owners)


                                       Very Effective                                                       19%




                                       Somewhat Effective                                                         65%




                                       Not Very Effective                                                   16%




CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION
This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express
Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must
not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.
Ready to Fight!
                                                                                                            “Good is the Enemy
                                                                                                                 of Great”
                                                                                                            - Jim Collins




CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION
This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express
Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must
not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.                        50
Pool Business Owner Highlights


                                         Pool Market Overview – Consumers


                                         Features/Benefits and Channel Dynamics


                                         Targeting/Communications


                                          Closing Considerations



CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION
This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express
Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must
not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.
Pool Prospect Market Shrunk from the Recession
        Pool Business Owners believe this to be true as well


                              Perceived Popularity in owning a pool since the recession


                               More Popular                                                                                       19%




                               Neither more nor less popular                                                                                  50%




                               Less Popular                                                                                            31%




                                         q - In your view, do you feel it has become more or less popular to own a pool than it was before the recession?
CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION
This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express
Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must
not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.
Pool/Prospect Populations Steady in 2012
        Prospect populations are often larger than owners



                       Single Family Detached                                                                  2011 And 2012
                       Home Owners - $75K HH
                                                                                                            Prospects           Owners
                                                                                                             3.7 MM             5.6 MM

                                                                                                                    10%   15%




                                                                                                                    Rejecters
                                                                                                                      75%
                                                                                                                    27.7 MM



CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION
This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express
Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must
not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.
Can Pools Bring Fun/Happiness Back to Life?

                                                                                                                      Owners                   Prospects
          Going through the recession has made life more
           serious and less fun                                                                                        54%                        52%
          I wish I could bring more fun back into my life                                                              50%                        68%

          Having a pool is a great way to bring more fun
           into my life                                                                                                68%                        81%
          The fun and enjoyment I get from a pool is worth
           every penny                                                                                                 65%                        76%
                             Q14- Please read the following statements that may or may not describe your attitudes on certain things. Using the 5-point scale
                             below, please select the response that best indicates how much you agree or disagree with each statement. If no one response captures
                             your feelings completely, just choose the answer that comes closest.
                             q26 - Please read the following statements that may or may not describe how you feel about in-ground pools. Using the 5-point scale
                             below, please select the response that best indicates how much you agree or disagree with each statement.
CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION
This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express
Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must
not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.
Reengaging a Vision




CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION
This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express
Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must
not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.
Satisfaction Not Universal

                        Overall Satisfaction with Pool
                           Ownership Experience
                      Extremely Satisfied                                      28%
                                                                                                       70%
                                Very Satisfied                                          42%
                     Somewhat Satisfied                                     23%
                        Not Very Satisfied                        6%
                                                                                                             Not a Ringing Endorsement!
                       Not At All Satisfied                    1%

                        Strength of Recommendation
                                to Prospects
            An Extremely Good Idea                                           25%
                                                                                                       65%
                                   A Good Idea                                        40%
         Somewhat of a Good Idea                                             25%
                                     A Bad Idea                    8%
               An Extremely Bad Idea                            2%

CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION
This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express
Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must
not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.
Overall Pool Market Structure
              • Significant number of non-lovers to ―care‖ for
                                      Pool Prospects                                        Love of the Pool            Pool Owners


                                                     Visionaries                                               Fun in the
                                                                                                                 Sun

           60%                                                                                                                        Sunsetters      18%


                                                                    20%                                            20%

                          Younger                                                                                                          Empty Nesting

                                                           Busy                                                Caretakers
                                                         Backyard
                                                                                                                                      Expect many to exit
             40%                                                                                                                         the category


                                                                                                                  24%
                                                                  17%                    Chore of the Pool
CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION
This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express
Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must
not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.
Pool Negatives – Prospects Wary of Costs

                                                                                                                                  Owners                   Prospects

       Pools are too expensive to maintain                                                                                         52%                        48%
       Maintaining the correct water chemistry in a
        pool is a hassle                                                                                                           50%                        55%
       Pool maintenance is very burdensome                                                                                         50%                        59%

       Pools get boring                                                                                                            27%                        25%
                               q26 - Please read the following statements that may or may not describe how you feel about in-ground pools. Using the 5-point scale
                               below, please select the response that best indicates how much you agree or disagree with each statement.
CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION
This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express
Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must
not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.
Barriers for Purchasing a Pool

                                   Primary or Secondary Barrier for Prospects                               Total


                          A pool is too expensive to install                                                75%

                          Concerned a pool would be too expensive to
                                                                                                            62%
                          maintain
                          I am waiting to see if the economy becomes more
                                                                                                            54%
                          stable/improves

                          A pool uses too much energy/electric bill will increase                           52%

                          Concerned a pool would take too much time to
                                                                                                            52%
                          maintain



CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION
This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express
Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must
not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.
Owning a Pool Not as Expensive as Prospects Think



                            Monthly Energy Costs                                                                   Monthly Maintenance Costs


                        Owners                                                  $85                                  Owners              $80




                  Prospects                                                                        $139           Prospects                    $124




                  Difference                                                                                      Difference
      (Prospects – Owners)                                           $54                                    (Prospects – Owners)   $44




CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION
This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express
Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must
not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.
Pool Business Owner Highlights


                                         Pool Market Overview


                                         Features/Benefits and Channel Dynamics


                                         Targeting/Communications


                                          Closing Considerations



CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION
This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express
Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must
not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.
Substantial Investment in Improvements Planned

                                        Future Plans                                                                   Owners

      I don't plan to do anything with my pool                                                                               50%


      I plan to make improvements to my pool                                                                           28%                        Plan to Spend in
                                                                                                                                                  the Next 2 Years
      I plan to completely refurbish my pool                                                                     15%

                                                                                                                                              $3,000 on average
      I plan to replace my pool                                                                             4%
                                                                                                                                                  estimated
      I plan to do something else                                                                           2%


      I plan to de-commission or remove my                                                                  1%
      pool




                                   q35 – Which of the following best describes your future plans with respect to your pool in the next 2 years?
CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION
This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express
Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must
not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.
Exposure to Pool Features and Upgrades
      Low NOx Emissions Heaters – These compact heaters are eco-friendly, offer the best in efficiency and work quickly to warm up your
           pool. That means less time waiting for your pool to warm up, energy savings and more time enjoying it.

      LED Pool Lighting – Pools are great for daytime fun but they take on a whole new life at night, especially with energy efficient LED
          lighting. Set the light to the color of your choice or opt to have the lights cycle through the different color at a predetermined interval – all
          while using 80% less energy than traditional pool lighting.
      Natural Pool Sanitation Systems – Natural pool sanitation is a great way to be kind to the environment, save money on expensive pool
          chemicals and also create a more inviting swimming environment. Using the same minerals found in nature to cleanse your pool
          water, natural sanitation can reduce your pool's chlorine needs by up to 80% and won’t irritate your skin, eyes or leave you smelling like
          chlorine.
      Automatic Pool Cleaners – Spend less time cleaning and more time enjoying your pool with an automatic pool cleaner.
          Automatic pool cleaners reduce the need to scrub, skim and vacuum while minimizing debris build-up in your filters, the need to
          use harsh chemicals and extending the life of your pool filtration system.

     Automatic Pool Controls – Control or program your pool heater, pumps, lights and automatic cleaner remotely using a
          touchpad, Smartphone or other internet connected device. Automatic controls can help you automate pool maintenance, conserve
          energy and make sure your pool is ready when everyone’s ready to jump in.

     Solar Swimming Pool Heaters – Harness the power of the sun to warm your pool. A solar heating system can keep your pool up to 15
          degrees warmer, extending your swimming season without increasing your utility bills. Solar pool heaters are cost competitive with
          traditional natural gas, propane and electric pool heaters and, with the energy savings you realize, ends up paying for itself.

     Natural Salt Chlorination Systems – Save money, time, and hassle the natural way. A pool with natural salt chlorination requires less
          maintenance and is cheaper to maintain than a chlorine pool. Better yet, salt water chlorination won’t sting your eyes, fade your swimsuit
          or leave you smelling like chlorine. Spend less time managing water chemistry and more time swimming.

CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION
This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express
Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must
not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.
Need to Build Awareness of Pool Features and Upgrades

                                                                                                                  Familiarity         Purchase Interest
                                                                                                                  (Ext/Very)           (Ext/Very Likely)
               Pool Features and Upgrades
                                                                                                       Owners           Prospects     Owners                 Prospects
               Among Pool Owners

             Automatic Pool Cleaners                                                                              60%           38%         45%                     72%

             Automatic Pool Controls                                                                          47%           32%          32%                      58%

             Solar Swimming Pool Heaters                                                                     41%            32%           38%                      61%

             LED Pool Lighting                                                                               39%            33%            40%                    54%

             Natural Salt Chlorination Systems                                                              33%                 34%      33%                       62%

             Natural Pool Sanitation Systems                                                                24%             28%         29%                       54%

             Low NOx Emissions Heaters                                                                 19%                 22%          28%                      47%

                                             q41P - How familiar are you with each of the following pool features or improvements listed below?
                                             q42P - How interested are you in purchasing each of the following pool features or improvements listed below?
CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION
This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express
Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must
not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.
Pool Business Owner Highlights


                                         Pool Market Overview


                                         Features/Benefits and Channel Dynamics


                                         Targeting/Communications


                                          Closing Considerations



CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION
This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express
Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must
not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.
The Target




                                                                                                                This


                                                                                                             Prospects
                                                                                                              42 Years Old
                                                                                                            (But many < 34)
                                                                                                             2/3 have kids


CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION
This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express
Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must
not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.
The Non-Target



                 Not This!


       Non-Prospects
                  Already Have
                     Mud-Pit

                        No Teeth




CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION
This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express
Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must
not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.
Paying for the pool usually involves financing

                       How did/will you pay for
                                                                                                Prospects
                           installing pool

              Financed/will finance it                                                                       33%
                                                                                                                                              Average saved
              Mix of financing and cash                                                                       41%
                                                                                                                                                 $7,200
              Pay in full with cash that I saved
                                                                                                            24%
              saving
              Some other way                                                                    1%




         44% have dipped into their pool                                                                                     Have done so 3 times on
            savings to cover other                                                                                                  average
                  expenses
                                                                                                                    1Among   prospects who plan to pay for their pool in part or in full with cash
                                                                                                                                                                          2Among all prospects

CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION
This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express
Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must
not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.
Purchases Competing Most with Pool

                                          Most Competing with Pool Purchase                                                       Prospects

                     Car, truck, van or SUV                                                                                                     33%

                     Financial investments/savings                                                                                      25%

                     Home renovations                                                                                                  23%

                     Vacation                                                                                                     18%

                     Second home                                                                                          9%

                     Hot tub                                                                                              9%

                     Home furnishings                                                                                   7%

                     Boat (motorboat/sailboat/yacht)                                                                   6%

                     Watches/jewelry                                                                                3%

                     Something else not listed                                                                           8%


                                      q53 - Which of the following things are most competing with your purchase of a pool? That is, which of these take money away that you
                                      otherwise would use to purchase a pool?
CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION
This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express
Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must
not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.
Increasing the Priority of Pool Installation

                                                     Pool Purchase Options                                                Prospects

                         Discount on installation                                                                                              40%

                         No-interest financing offer                                                                                          39%

                         Discount on premium pool features                                                                            30%

                         1-year pool maintenance included                                                                            29%

                         Long-term financing offer                                                                                26%

                         Free pool maintenance training for new
                                                                                                                                 24%
                         owners
                         Personalized estimate and cost breakdown                                                            20%


                         Special prices on future pool upgrades                                                              20%


                         Transferrable warranty                                                                         14%


                                      q54 - Which of the following would have the greatest impact on making having a pool installed a higher priority for you?
CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION
This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express
Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must
not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.
Things Pool Shoppers Think are Done Well

                                               Attributes Receiving Higher Ratings
                                                                    (Past 5 Year Pool Shoppers)


              Offers quality products for sale


              Keeping up with the times


              Knowledgeable sales people on hand


              Clean, bright and well organized showroom


              Products are up to date and stocked appropriately



CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION
This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express
Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must
not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.
Things Pool Shoppers Think are Done Not So Well

                                                       Attributes Receiving Weaker Ratings
                                                                               (Past 5 Year Pool Shoppers)


              Sales people have strong client service skills

              Is 'in touch' with its customer base

              Attractive store front/presence (from the road)

              Leverages technology in sales/product demos

              Sales people have your best interest at heart


CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION
This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express
Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must
not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.
Trusting Less/Searching More



                                                   85 %                                                                              %
                                     Rely less on
                                                                                                                                   2
                                                                                                                      Trust the advice
                                     salespeople
                                                                                                                     they receive from
                                   today than in the
                                                                                                                        salespeople
                                         past




                                                                                       Source: Affluent Attitudes Towards Salespeople,
                                                                                       Harrison Group, 2010
CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION
This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express
              73
Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must
not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.
Tough to Enter the Circle of Trust


                                                                                                                                           Realtors


                                                                                   Doctors
              Travel
                                                                                                               Family
                                                                                                                                                        Sales-
              Agent                                                                                             SELF                                    people
                                                                                                                                 Lawyers

                                                                                                            Close Friends
                                                                             Financial advisors
                                                                             at financial                                                   Insurance
                                                                             institutions                                                     agents


                                                                                                                    Financial advisors
                                                                                                                        at banks


CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION
This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express
Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must
not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.                                                   74
Building Relationships: Stages of Reciprocity

                          Nominal                                             Cursory acknowledgements


                                       Ordinal                                             Ordinary, basic information


                                                    Transactional                                           Information related to the
                                                                                                            Transaction at hand
  Obligation is on the
                                                                                                             Private information – calls for
 company rep. to self-                                           Intimate                                    reciprocity
     disclose first


                                                                              Trusting                          Sharing of information that puts the
                                                                                                                teller at risk – very rare


CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION
This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express
Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must
not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.                                              75
Good Salespersons



                                                                                                               This



                                                                                                                 Clean Cut
                                                                                                               Love their Job
                                                                                                              Feel Fortunate
                                                                                                            Not excessively deal
                                                                                                                  driven



CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION
This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express
Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must
not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.
Bad Salespersons




                        Not This!


               You Get the
                  Idea!




CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION
This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express
Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must
not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.
Strength of Pool Messages
                                                                                                                                               Prospects
                                                                                                                         Extremely Strong            Ext./Very Strong

              Make the most out of your backyard with a new pool                                                               21%                            57%


              Make the most of your "staycations" with a pool                                                                   25%                         55%

              Pools have never been easier and less expensive to                                                               21%                         52%
              maintain with advances in features and technology

              The best break —a pool at home                                                                                   21%                         52%


              Invest in your family with a pool                                                                               18%                          51%


              Complete your home with a pool                                                                                    25%                        49%


              Rethink your backyard with a pool                                                                              16%                        46%

                                         q55P - How strong are each of the following messages at driving your interest in purchasing a pool?
CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION
This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express
Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must
not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.
Market Forces Impacting the Pool Industry
Market Forces Impacting the Pool Industry
Market Forces Impacting the Pool Industry
Market Forces Impacting the Pool Industry
Market Forces Impacting the Pool Industry
Market Forces Impacting the Pool Industry
Market Forces Impacting the Pool Industry
Market Forces Impacting the Pool Industry
Market Forces Impacting the Pool Industry
Market Forces Impacting the Pool Industry
Market Forces Impacting the Pool Industry
Market Forces Impacting the Pool Industry
Market Forces Impacting the Pool Industry
Market Forces Impacting the Pool Industry

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Market Forces Impacting the Pool Industry

  • 1. Market Forces Impacting the Pool Industry September, 2012 CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.
  • 3. APSP Research Program  A commitment to staying informed and ahead of member interests and questions  Nearly 7,000 interviews updated annually Quarterly Tracking Qualitative 2011 Quantitative 2012 Quantitative 3000 Interviews Exploration Market Assessment among Top 10% of Update 6 Focus Groups 2500 Interviews* HH Incomes 1,300 Interviews* $100K+ Discretionary *Among pool and hot tub owners, prospects and rejecters CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.
  • 4. Who Our Research Represents Discretionary Income Upper Middle Core One $100K+ Class Affluent Percenters % of U.S. 10% 5.2% 4.3% 1.0% Households* Median Household $275K $138K $275K $750K Income Median Assets $1.5MM $800K $2.3MM $7.5MM # of U.S. 12.0MM 5.9MM 4.9MM 1.2MM Households* * Estimates are based on total U.S. households of 114,600,000 as cited in the 2010 American Community Survey (ACS) from the US Census Bureau. CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express. 4
  • 5. Agenda  Overall Market Trends  Pool Industry Results  Activations CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express. 5
  • 6. Let me ask you… Did You Change Your Shopping Practices as a Result of the Recession? CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.
  • 7. Do You Feel the US is still in a Recession? CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.
  • 8. Will You Go Back to Your Pre- Recession Spending Practices? CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.
  • 10. Just When You Think Things Are Looking Up… % of Total Who Believe We are in a Recession AND it Will Last at Least Another Year 69 67 56 55 56 61 58 54 54 52 Q1-09 Q3-09 Q1-10 Q3-10 Q1-11 Q2-11 Q3-11 Q4-11 Q1-12 Q2-12 CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express. 10
  • 11. Views on Stock Market Continue to Fluctuate Stock Market Right Now… Investing Risk Profile A real risk Moderate 58 57 58 59 58 58 56 55 56 50 50 51 50 50 38 Conservative 43 31 33 42 42 41 28 30 30 A real opportunity Aggressive 14 14 12 14 10 11 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 2011 2011 2011 2011 2012 2012 2011 2011 2011 2011 2012 2012 CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express. 11
  • 12. Little Movement Since the Damage was Done in Q2, 2011 Aggregate Spending Change 60 % of Households Planning to Increase/Decrease Luxury Spend 50 40 30 20 Increase 11 Decrease 10 10 0 Q2 Q1 Q1 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q2 2008 2009 2010 2011 2011 2011 2011 2012 Total Affluent and Wealthy Average across categories among those participating in category CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express. 12
  • 13. The Pool is Your Vacation at Home Total AWA Sample Q1 2012 Q2 2012 % % Weekend Getaways 12 13 Vacations 7 11 Footwear 7 6 Resorts and Fine Hotels 8 5 Average Apparel/fashion 5 4 Spending Change Personal Leather Goods 3 4 Eating in restaurants 4 3 Women's Handbags 1 3 Accessories 5 2 Home electronics 2 -1 Home Décor & furnishings -1 -2 Fine Watches -4 -12 Fine Jewelry -4 -14 Calculations based on past spending and projected spending levels CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express 13 Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express. 13
  • 14. Ouch! I am looking forward to I am looking forward to spending more money buying luxury goods and this year than last services more now than I did a year ago 45 Q1 2011 43 Q1 2012 33 30 26 27 23 21 18 18 14 15 Upper Middle Core Affluent One Percent Upper Middle Core Affluent One Percent Class Class CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express. 14
  • 15. Money is Reserved for the Important Things I am buying fewer big ticket items now than I did a year ago 81 76 71 71 61 60 57 51 49 Q1 2009 45 45 39 Q1 2010 Q1 2011 Q1 2012 Upper Middle Class Core Affluent One Percenters CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express. 15
  • 16. Uncertainty Everywhere… Home Retirement Values Jobs Politics Personal Finance Uncertainty Taxes CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express. 16
  • 17. Uncertainty Is the Issue Would increase spending if they had more Say they are saving confidence money because they are in knowing what their worried about the future future looked like (YTD) (YTD) CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express. 17
  • 18. Operating Within Short Time Horizons Just 24% have 100 confidence in No Confidence In Ability to 90 knowing what Predict Own Future in… their life will be 80 76 like in more than 70 5 years 60 50 48 41 40 30 27 20 10 0 6 months 12 months 2 years 5 years Among Total, cumulative for each time period CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express. 18
  • 19. Turning Less to External Cues on Ability to Spend Things that Matter Less as Signals to Spend Sustained improvement in the stock market Sustained improvement in the consumer confidence index General recognition from economists that we're in a growth cycle CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express. 19
  • 20. Savings in Cash is the New Black Upper Middle Core One Income Savings Rate The 90% Class Affluent Percenters Avg. % Being Saved 10 17 23 34 65% say they are saving money because they are worried about the future Equates to $35,000 incremental savings per year among top 10%ers CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express. 20
  • 21. It's Going Under the Mattress U.S. Annual Personal Savings $6 Trillion in Cash Stockpiling on the Sidelines! $250 B $550 B In 2007 In 2011 2007 2012 71 61 39 29 23 11 % Being Saved % to Personal % Invested In Financial Savings/Money Market Products and Markets Among Total National Personal Savings figures Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA.gov) CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express. 21
  • 22. Hedging and Deleveraging in Process % of households with Zero Credit Card Debt 80% But reports of 75% increasing credit use 71% are now emerging 69% Q1 2010 Q1 2011 Q1 2012 Q2 2012 CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express. 22
  • 23. As the Stash Gets Bigger…  It gets less risky to spend a larger number  More OK to occasionally have justifiable indulgences CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express. 23
  • 24. Demand For Real Estate Continues to Grow Real estate currently represents an opportunity 72 71 70 66 65 63 63 63 “In the market” for real estate 28 25 24 21 16 15 9 13 Q1-09 Q1-10 Q1-11 Q2-11 Q3-11 Q4-11 Q1-12 Q2-12 CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express. 24
  • 25. Trends Update  Success Under Siege and Stealth Wealth  Experiences and Quality in Life  The Pull of Worth and the Push of ―the Deal‖ 25
  • 26. Main Street vs. Wall Street “We Need” “They Have” CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express. 26
  • 27. There is Some Justification Household Income: A Picture of Disparity (in 2010 dollars) Lower limit of top 5 percent Upper Limit of Fourth Fifth Upper limit of Third Fifth Upper limit of Second Fifth Upper limit of Lowest Fifth 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Current Population Survey, Annual Social and Economic Supplements. Table F-1. Income Limits for Each Fifth and Top 5 Percent of Families (All Races): 1947 to 2010 (Families as of March of the following year. Income in current and 2010 CPI-U-RS adjusted dollars (28)) CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express. 27
  • 28. “One Percenter” Angst % Who Are Extremely/Very Concerned About Being Scorned for Being in the Top Part of the Economy 27 % One Percenters Q2 2012 CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express. 28
  • 29. Perceiving a Climate of Contempt Upper Middle Class Core Affluent One Percenters 71% 70% 64% 62% 62% 62% I am frustrated by the amount of negative Wealthy people are not recognized for attention surrounding wealth disparity in the contributions they make to society America Source: May and June waves of the Survey of Affluence and Wealth in America CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express. 29
  • 30. Perceiving a Climate of Contempt % of Affluent/wealthy who think fewer/more Americans feel each way relative to a year ago believe fewer more statement is true Wealth comes at the expense of others 6 63% 12% Wealth is impossible to obtain 10 60% 5% Wealth is a reflection of greed 7 56% 5% Wealth is something to look down upon 10 39% 1% Wealth is something to aspire to 16 30% 64% Wealth reflects hard work 44 15% 80% Source: May and June waves of the Survey of Affluence and Wealth in America CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express. 30
  • 31. Stealth Wealth Strengthens % Agree: I like it when others recognize me as being wealthy Q1 2010 Q1 2011 Q1 2012 Q2 2012 53 43 46 40 34 31 30 24 Total Affluent and Wealthy One Percenters CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express. 31
  • 32. Affluent Response CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.
  • 33. This Extends to Their Backyards CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.
  • 34. Trends Update  Success Under Siege and Stealth Wealth  Experiences and Quality in Life  The Pull of Worth and the Push of ―the Deal‖ 34
  • 35. Happiness and Success See Q2 Uptick Self-Reported Happiness and Success 2012 Very Happy Successful in Personal Life 75 78 76 78 74 73 69 71 67 67 71 66 Total 2012 UMC CA Top 1% Very Happy 63 70 72 Successful in personal Life 73 76 77 Q1 2010 Q2 2010 Q1 2011 Q2 2011 Q1 2012 Q2 2012 Top 3 Box of 10-Point Scale CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express. 35
  • 36. The Value of Experiences In Supporting Quality in Life are Long-Lasting Enjoy talking about… Love Talking About Neutral Avoid Talking About Family 80 16 4 Vacation experiences 77 13 10 Hobbies 54 33 13 Sports 52 20 28 Things you buy 36 33 31 Weather 34 49 17 Politics 33 21 46 Religion 16 24 60 Money 11 31 58 0 20 40 60 80 100 CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express. 36
  • 37. Trends Update  Success Under Siege and Stealth Wealth  Experiences and Quality in Life  The Pull of Worth and the Push of “the Deal” 37
  • 38. Worth: A Matter of Degree Luxury Shopper Segmentation Along the Worth/Value Continuum Total A&W Non-CM 20% 24% 14% 24% 18% Fundamentally Biased for Neither Worth Biased for Fundamentally Deal-oriented Deal nor Value Worth Worth-oriented Growing CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express. 38
  • 39. Rejection of Compromise Holds Strong I am trading down some of my luxury purchases to lower quality or lower priced items Q1 2010 Q1 2011 Q1 2012 Q2 2012 50 43 43 45 41 38 35 31 30 30 26 27 Upper Middle Class Core Affluent One Percenters CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express. 39
  • 40. Worth Characteristics Intensify in Value Strongly Agree with Statements About Desired Qualities of Brands Total Sample Q1 Q2 Reflect high craftsmanship 46 50 Have a reputation for the best quality 43 45 Have a reputation for good service 44 46 Have a reputation for innovation 16 20 (Note: Total agree for first 3 items is over 90%, total agree on "innovation" is near 80%) CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express. 40
  • 41. Worth: The Store & Sales Experience Matters Fundamentally Worth-oriented Fundamentally Deal-oriented 83% 78% 59% 61% 43% 36% 19% 10% For me, the act of I prefer stores that I depend on I have close purchasing needs to are really elegant salespersons to relationships with a be as pleasant as inside know the specific few salespeople that the experience of details that make I count on owning the product products worth more CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express. 41
  • 42. What we’ve Covered So Far… 42
  • 43. Trends Working Against Pool Business • Stuck Economy • Spending unlikely to move significantly • Shortened Time Horizons • Pools have longer-term reward mindset • On-going Uncertainty • Preservation of assets • 1%er Angst • Play to Stealth Wealth CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express. 43
  • 44. Trends Working In Favor of Pool Business • Cash Accumulation • Assets have grown substantially • Targeted Spending on Things that Matter • Family first! • Operating on Internal Cues of Prosperity • Feeling fortunate in their personal situation • Real Estate Boom Coming? • Looking for hard assets • Return of Worth Based Purchasing • Presents more high margin customer opportunities CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express. 44
  • 45. CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express. 45
  • 46. Now for Pools… Pool Business Owner Highlights Pool Market Overview Consumer Insight Driven Features/Benefits and Channel Dynamics Targeting/Communications Closing Considerations CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.
  • 47. Pool Business Owners Report Finances Better 2012  One-third of improvement to new pools. Other important contributing sources Share of Sources of Improved Business Revenue More customers installing new pools 34% Improved Financial Practices 19% More customers renovating/enhancing 16% Customers are buying more pool supplies 15% More customers hiring pool maintenance 3% 10% Something else CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.
  • 48. Do You Believe in Your Own Product? Customer Reports of Satisfaction What Pool Business Owners with Pool Ownership Experience Estimate Customers will Say Extremely Satisfied 28% Extremely Satisfied 25% 70% 57% Very Satisfied 42% Very Satisfied 32% Somewhat Satisfied 23% Somewhat Satisfied 32% Not Very Satisfied 6% Not Very Satisfied 12% Not at all Satisfied 1% Not at all Satisfied 7% Are we selling ourselves or our customers? CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.
  • 49. Pool Business Owners Not Satisfied with Advertising  New Approaches Needed Perceived Effectiveness of Advertising (As reported by Pool Business Owners) Very Effective 19% Somewhat Effective 65% Not Very Effective 16% CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.
  • 50. Ready to Fight! “Good is the Enemy of Great” - Jim Collins CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express. 50
  • 51. Pool Business Owner Highlights Pool Market Overview – Consumers Features/Benefits and Channel Dynamics Targeting/Communications Closing Considerations CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.
  • 52. Pool Prospect Market Shrunk from the Recession  Pool Business Owners believe this to be true as well Perceived Popularity in owning a pool since the recession More Popular 19% Neither more nor less popular 50% Less Popular 31% q - In your view, do you feel it has become more or less popular to own a pool than it was before the recession? CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.
  • 53. Pool/Prospect Populations Steady in 2012  Prospect populations are often larger than owners Single Family Detached 2011 And 2012 Home Owners - $75K HH Prospects Owners 3.7 MM 5.6 MM 10% 15% Rejecters 75% 27.7 MM CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.
  • 54. Can Pools Bring Fun/Happiness Back to Life? Owners Prospects Going through the recession has made life more serious and less fun 54% 52% I wish I could bring more fun back into my life 50% 68% Having a pool is a great way to bring more fun into my life 68% 81% The fun and enjoyment I get from a pool is worth every penny 65% 76% Q14- Please read the following statements that may or may not describe your attitudes on certain things. Using the 5-point scale below, please select the response that best indicates how much you agree or disagree with each statement. If no one response captures your feelings completely, just choose the answer that comes closest. q26 - Please read the following statements that may or may not describe how you feel about in-ground pools. Using the 5-point scale below, please select the response that best indicates how much you agree or disagree with each statement. CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.
  • 55. Reengaging a Vision CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.
  • 56. Satisfaction Not Universal Overall Satisfaction with Pool Ownership Experience Extremely Satisfied 28% 70% Very Satisfied 42% Somewhat Satisfied 23% Not Very Satisfied 6% Not a Ringing Endorsement! Not At All Satisfied 1% Strength of Recommendation to Prospects An Extremely Good Idea 25% 65% A Good Idea 40% Somewhat of a Good Idea 25% A Bad Idea 8% An Extremely Bad Idea 2% CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.
  • 57. Overall Pool Market Structure • Significant number of non-lovers to ―care‖ for Pool Prospects Love of the Pool Pool Owners Visionaries Fun in the Sun 60% Sunsetters 18% 20% 20% Younger Empty Nesting Busy Caretakers Backyard Expect many to exit 40% the category 24% 17% Chore of the Pool CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.
  • 58. Pool Negatives – Prospects Wary of Costs Owners Prospects Pools are too expensive to maintain 52% 48% Maintaining the correct water chemistry in a pool is a hassle 50% 55% Pool maintenance is very burdensome 50% 59% Pools get boring 27% 25% q26 - Please read the following statements that may or may not describe how you feel about in-ground pools. Using the 5-point scale below, please select the response that best indicates how much you agree or disagree with each statement. CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.
  • 59. Barriers for Purchasing a Pool Primary or Secondary Barrier for Prospects Total A pool is too expensive to install 75% Concerned a pool would be too expensive to 62% maintain I am waiting to see if the economy becomes more 54% stable/improves A pool uses too much energy/electric bill will increase 52% Concerned a pool would take too much time to 52% maintain CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.
  • 60. Owning a Pool Not as Expensive as Prospects Think Monthly Energy Costs Monthly Maintenance Costs Owners $85 Owners $80 Prospects $139 Prospects $124 Difference Difference (Prospects – Owners) $54 (Prospects – Owners) $44 CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.
  • 61. Pool Business Owner Highlights Pool Market Overview Features/Benefits and Channel Dynamics Targeting/Communications Closing Considerations CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.
  • 62. Substantial Investment in Improvements Planned Future Plans Owners I don't plan to do anything with my pool 50% I plan to make improvements to my pool 28% Plan to Spend in the Next 2 Years I plan to completely refurbish my pool 15% $3,000 on average I plan to replace my pool 4% estimated I plan to do something else 2% I plan to de-commission or remove my 1% pool q35 – Which of the following best describes your future plans with respect to your pool in the next 2 years? CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.
  • 63. Exposure to Pool Features and Upgrades Low NOx Emissions Heaters – These compact heaters are eco-friendly, offer the best in efficiency and work quickly to warm up your pool. That means less time waiting for your pool to warm up, energy savings and more time enjoying it. LED Pool Lighting – Pools are great for daytime fun but they take on a whole new life at night, especially with energy efficient LED lighting. Set the light to the color of your choice or opt to have the lights cycle through the different color at a predetermined interval – all while using 80% less energy than traditional pool lighting. Natural Pool Sanitation Systems – Natural pool sanitation is a great way to be kind to the environment, save money on expensive pool chemicals and also create a more inviting swimming environment. Using the same minerals found in nature to cleanse your pool water, natural sanitation can reduce your pool's chlorine needs by up to 80% and won’t irritate your skin, eyes or leave you smelling like chlorine. Automatic Pool Cleaners – Spend less time cleaning and more time enjoying your pool with an automatic pool cleaner. Automatic pool cleaners reduce the need to scrub, skim and vacuum while minimizing debris build-up in your filters, the need to use harsh chemicals and extending the life of your pool filtration system. Automatic Pool Controls – Control or program your pool heater, pumps, lights and automatic cleaner remotely using a touchpad, Smartphone or other internet connected device. Automatic controls can help you automate pool maintenance, conserve energy and make sure your pool is ready when everyone’s ready to jump in. Solar Swimming Pool Heaters – Harness the power of the sun to warm your pool. A solar heating system can keep your pool up to 15 degrees warmer, extending your swimming season without increasing your utility bills. Solar pool heaters are cost competitive with traditional natural gas, propane and electric pool heaters and, with the energy savings you realize, ends up paying for itself. Natural Salt Chlorination Systems – Save money, time, and hassle the natural way. A pool with natural salt chlorination requires less maintenance and is cheaper to maintain than a chlorine pool. Better yet, salt water chlorination won’t sting your eyes, fade your swimsuit or leave you smelling like chlorine. Spend less time managing water chemistry and more time swimming. CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.
  • 64. Need to Build Awareness of Pool Features and Upgrades Familiarity Purchase Interest (Ext/Very) (Ext/Very Likely) Pool Features and Upgrades Owners Prospects Owners Prospects Among Pool Owners Automatic Pool Cleaners 60% 38% 45% 72% Automatic Pool Controls 47% 32% 32% 58% Solar Swimming Pool Heaters 41% 32% 38% 61% LED Pool Lighting 39% 33% 40% 54% Natural Salt Chlorination Systems 33% 34% 33% 62% Natural Pool Sanitation Systems 24% 28% 29% 54% Low NOx Emissions Heaters 19% 22% 28% 47% q41P - How familiar are you with each of the following pool features or improvements listed below? q42P - How interested are you in purchasing each of the following pool features or improvements listed below? CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.
  • 65. Pool Business Owner Highlights Pool Market Overview Features/Benefits and Channel Dynamics Targeting/Communications Closing Considerations CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.
  • 66. The Target This Prospects 42 Years Old (But many < 34) 2/3 have kids CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.
  • 67. The Non-Target Not This! Non-Prospects Already Have Mud-Pit No Teeth CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.
  • 68. Paying for the pool usually involves financing How did/will you pay for Prospects installing pool Financed/will finance it 33% Average saved Mix of financing and cash 41% $7,200 Pay in full with cash that I saved 24% saving Some other way 1% 44% have dipped into their pool Have done so 3 times on savings to cover other average expenses 1Among prospects who plan to pay for their pool in part or in full with cash 2Among all prospects CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.
  • 69. Purchases Competing Most with Pool Most Competing with Pool Purchase Prospects Car, truck, van or SUV 33% Financial investments/savings 25% Home renovations 23% Vacation 18% Second home 9% Hot tub 9% Home furnishings 7% Boat (motorboat/sailboat/yacht) 6% Watches/jewelry 3% Something else not listed 8% q53 - Which of the following things are most competing with your purchase of a pool? That is, which of these take money away that you otherwise would use to purchase a pool? CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.
  • 70. Increasing the Priority of Pool Installation Pool Purchase Options Prospects Discount on installation 40% No-interest financing offer 39% Discount on premium pool features 30% 1-year pool maintenance included 29% Long-term financing offer 26% Free pool maintenance training for new 24% owners Personalized estimate and cost breakdown 20% Special prices on future pool upgrades 20% Transferrable warranty 14% q54 - Which of the following would have the greatest impact on making having a pool installed a higher priority for you? CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.
  • 71. Things Pool Shoppers Think are Done Well Attributes Receiving Higher Ratings (Past 5 Year Pool Shoppers) Offers quality products for sale Keeping up with the times Knowledgeable sales people on hand Clean, bright and well organized showroom Products are up to date and stocked appropriately CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.
  • 72. Things Pool Shoppers Think are Done Not So Well Attributes Receiving Weaker Ratings (Past 5 Year Pool Shoppers) Sales people have strong client service skills Is 'in touch' with its customer base Attractive store front/presence (from the road) Leverages technology in sales/product demos Sales people have your best interest at heart CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.
  • 73. Trusting Less/Searching More 85 % % Rely less on 2 Trust the advice salespeople they receive from today than in the salespeople past Source: Affluent Attitudes Towards Salespeople, Harrison Group, 2010 CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express 73 Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.
  • 74. Tough to Enter the Circle of Trust Realtors Doctors Travel Family Sales- Agent SELF people Lawyers Close Friends Financial advisors at financial Insurance institutions agents Financial advisors at banks CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express. 74
  • 75. Building Relationships: Stages of Reciprocity Nominal Cursory acknowledgements Ordinal Ordinary, basic information Transactional Information related to the Transaction at hand Obligation is on the Private information – calls for company rep. to self- Intimate reciprocity disclose first Trusting Sharing of information that puts the teller at risk – very rare CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express. 75
  • 76. Good Salespersons This Clean Cut Love their Job Feel Fortunate Not excessively deal driven CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.
  • 77. Bad Salespersons Not This! You Get the Idea! CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.
  • 78. Strength of Pool Messages Prospects Extremely Strong Ext./Very Strong Make the most out of your backyard with a new pool 21% 57% Make the most of your "staycations" with a pool 25% 55% Pools have never been easier and less expensive to 21% 52% maintain with advances in features and technology The best break —a pool at home 21% 52% Invest in your family with a pool 18% 51% Complete your home with a pool 25% 49% Rethink your backyard with a pool 16% 46% q55P - How strong are each of the following messages at driving your interest in purchasing a pool? CONFIDENTIAL, PROPRIETARY & TRADE SECRET INFORMATION This document contains confidential, proprietary and trade secret information of American Express Travel Related Services Company, Inc. (“American Express”) and its subsidiaries and affiliates, and must not be disclosed whole or in part to any third parties without prior written consent of American Express.

Notes de l'éditeur

  1. IranEuro debtChina economy – full scale real estate tumbleIn the event of a real problem will just take the money away from rich people
  2. Bubble in 2011 did not pan out. Has built more skepticism and expected need to continue to ride things out
  3. Item number:79071624
  4. Incomes up 6% for top 1% in 2011. Slightly lower among everyone else.In ‘O7 savings was only 12% among the top 1%, now at 34%.And that has not changed even with everyone saying the recession is over – did not happen coming out of 1981 recession when consumers spent like a drunken sailor. Just ask the BMW guys. Part was changing passive income tax back then from 70% to 20%.
  5. Almost $6 trillion in personal savings account by end of year. Another $3-4 trillion in cash among business. Getting 0.3% interest and not complaining Wealthy Americans are funding the debt today making it more difficult to tax them. Obama has a tendency to attack the rich and Republicans are attacking Romney for success?
  6. Almost $6 trillion in personal savings account by end of year. Another $3-4 trillion in cash among business. Getting 0.3% interest and not complaining Wealthy Americans are funding the debt today making it more difficult to tax them. Obama has a tendency to attack the rich and Republicans are attacking Romney for success?
  7. SR4
  8. This is not a literal interpretation
  9. Convert to tracking among top 10%Repeat – later on in siege, 90, 9, 1%
  10. Segments were created from a cluster analysis of attitudinal statements from the 2012 Survey of Affluence &amp; Wealth Study. Based on their correlation with attributes related to belief in luxury as embodying craftsmanship, quality and service, 87% of respondents were classified into one of the four groups (13% remained unclassified). Those with the highest positive correlation to “Worth” statements such as “I am willing to pay full price on the products and services I buy to get the quality and service I deserve” are classified as “Fundamentally Worth-oriented” while those with the highest negative correlation to these statements are “Fundamentally Deal-oriented.”
  11. Euro vs. luxury brands – worth are likely to buy luxury auto, hotels/resorts, jewelry etc.
  12. Pool is not made as a decision in isolation