Mobile, Local and Real-Time Search - Greg Sterling

Greg Sterling Sterling Market Intelligence/Opus Research April 29, 2010 ‘ Mobile, Local and Real-Time Search’ (mostly mobile)

[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],About Me . . . ,[object Object]

Faster . . . And Faster We know something's happening, and we're beginning to sense what it is. We're speeding up; our technology is speeding up; our arts and entertainment and the pace of invention and change -- it's all speeding up. James Gleick, Faster (1999)

How Many Smartphones in This Room? Or should I ask . . . Who doesn’t have a smartphone?

[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Tweets + Streets “ We’re at the beginning of the beginning” . . . of a new era of computing. --Google Engineering VP Vic Gundotra

[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Mobile + Local + Real Time: All Connected

Local, Mobile, Social, Real-Time Converge

Foursquare ‘Tips’ on Bing Maps

[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],What Is Local?

[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Most of What We Do Online about Offline ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Google: Over 30 Billion Served

Millennials More Tied to Internet, Tech Source: Pew Internet & American Life (2/10) 93% of Millennials are online 63% of 12-17 yr olds online at least once a day 68% of adults 18 - 29

Internet Trumps Traditional Media Source: Trulia-Harris Interactive, May 2009 n=2,715 US adults; home buyers n=192 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Hitwise: Top 20 Real Estate Sites Source: Hitwise, April 17 2010

Google ‘Verticalizes’ Local for Real Estate

The Social Media ‘Firehose’ (where the RT data come from)

Facebook Top Search Term ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Facebook On Way to Being #1? Source: Compete, Inc. March 2010 ,[object Object],[object Object]

The Twitter ‘Firehose’ ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Projection: Mobile Bigger than PC by 2014 Source: Morgan Stanley Internet Update 4/2010

Comparing Populations: US, Online, Mobile Source: Opus Research, comScore, CTIA, Nielsen, US Census Bureau (2009) 4 Major US Carriers: 250M subs approx. Mobile Internet: 73M 4.1B texts DAILY Daily Internet access between 30% and 55%

Segments: SMS, Mobile Web, Apps SMS: Least “sexy,” broadest reach, platform “agnostic” Apps: Richest experience, smaller audience Mobile Web: Tiny version of site; should be optimized Reach Engagement

Source: Nielsen, Q1 2010 Projection: US Smartphone Growth

US ‘Smartphone’ Share Source: comScore, 3/10

SMS vs. Mobile Internet Source: comScore, Pew Internet & American Life Project (March, 2010) Among US smartphone owners frequency and penetration are greater. Total mobile Internet users in US approaching 75 million on way to 100 million this year

Activities: Touchscreen Smartphone Users (iPhone/Droid/BlackBerry Storm) Source: Opus Research, 3/10 (n=105 touchscreen smartphone users, total sample 1,300)

“ Over the last 12 months, how often have you engaged in the following activities?” Source: Opus Research, 3/10 (n=393 smartphone users, total sample 1,300) 38 44 62% at least weekly mobile Internet users 53% of smartphone owners report using mobile Internet “ at least once a day ” 90%+ of iPhone users access the mobile Internet Opus Research, 3/09; Nielsen (2009)

Source: Nielsen, 12/09 Data from Jan – Sept, 2009 Nielsen: Top Mobile Sites 2009

Source: Opera Software (3/10) March, 2010 Opera Mini Usage in US Opera: Top Sites

According to a 2009 comScore survey of 7,300 US iPhone/iPod Touch owners . . . Mobile Preferred Medium? ,[object Object]

Scores of Apps for the iPhone OS ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Trulia Mobile Trends: Buyers ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Source: Trulia, 8/09 ” We hear from agents and consumers who say they found an open house they didn’t know about through the iPhone app.” "Mobile is about weekend house hunting and finding open houses."

Trulia Mobile Trends: Renters ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Source: Trulia, 8/09

Zillow: Mobile Users More Engaged ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Source: Zillow, 4/10

Zillow’s Mobile Future Source: Zillow, August, 2009 “ There is a future where the majority of Zillow usage will come from a mobile device. Quite literally, launching this app has changed the way we are thinking about the future of our business and how people will get their real estate information.” --Amy Bohutinsky, VP Zillow

How to Think about Mobile ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],What Are the Options?

Google Mobile AdWords: Consumer ,[object Object],[object Object]

Google Mobile AdWords: Marketer ,[object Object]

[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Top Mobile Ad Networks

Sophisticated Targeting: Mobile ‘PRIZM’

Facebook Targeting: Demo, Geo, Interest ,[object Object]

[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Source: : Nielsen, Citibank 4/09; Opus Research, 3/09 (n=707 mobile phone users) Consumers Historically Hostile to Mobile Ads

Source : eConsultancy 4/09 n=1,400 US adults “ I Hate Advertising on . . .” Numbers here are the lowest/most receptive I’ve seen based on survey data

% AGREE Source: Opus Research/I2Go, 4/09, n=611 Mobile Internet Users More Receptive

[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Source: 1020- Placecast, Harris Interactive, 7/09 (n=2,029 US adults) Interested in SMS Alerts/Offers 6. Fast food (27%) 7. Electronics (25%) 8. Music (24%) 9. Happy hour specials or bar and night night club offers (21%)

[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Source: Universal McCann/AOL Study: “Smart Phone, Smart Marketing” June, 2009 Smartphone Mobile Response Rates High

[object Object],Source: Valassis/NCH, Cellfire, Inmar, Coupons.com, other industry sources ValPak indicated it was seeing 25% redemption rates earlier this year Comparing Coupon Redemption Rates

In research conducted through the holiday season with three brands 65% of consumers that opted-in to follow a brand made a purchase as a result of receiving messages based on place and time. -- 1020 Placecast re ShopAlerts (3/10) Conversion for Opt-in SMS Campaigns

Respondents Mobile N = 47,658 Online N = 513,973 Source: InsightExpress, 2009 Mobile Display Outperforms Online InsightExpress campaign data

Not ‘Why?’ but ‘When’ & ‘What’ ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],“ Ask your doctor, use only as directed”

[object Object],[object Object],Follow or Contact Me

Mobile, Local and Real-Time Search - Greg Sterling

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Mobile, Local and Real-Time Search - Greg Sterling