This is a slidecast of our August lunch training session titled "The State of Sustainability in Southern California" which took place on August 25, 2011.
Chandra Krout, Principal of Krout and Associates, delivered an update on the current status of environmental planning occurring within Southern California, with a particular emphasis on climate change and adaptation.
2. Core Services Krout & Associates is a progressive thinking, Southern California based, full-service environmental strategic planning consultancy established to assist you with your challenging climate change, public policy, environmental, andfinite resource management projects. Key services include: green building public policy climate change/adaptation energy efficiency
3. The Status of Sustainability in Southern California Where do I start…?
5. Sustainability Today Public Opinion National & Local Policy Elements of a Solid Climate Action Plan Climate Change & CEQA Emerging Themes Lessons Learned
7. Public Opinions on Climate Change Key Findings from A Countywide Voters Survey, August 10-18, 2010 Conducted by Fairbanks, Maslin, Maullin, Metz & Associates – FM3 A strong majority of voters believe that a strong economy and a clean environment are compatible. Input provided by San Diego Foundation
8. Total Favor 62% Public Opinions on Climate Change Key Findings from A Countywide Voters Survey, August 10-18, 2010 Conducted by Fairbanks, Maslin, Maullin, Metz & Associates – FM3 By more than a two-to-one margin, voters support the goals of AB 32- the Global Warming Solutions Act of 2006 Total Oppose 29% Input provided by San Diego Foundation
9. National Energy Policy Context A discrete &unified U.S. energy policy DOES NOT exist Historically, major shifts in U.S. energy policy have been triggered by interruptions, and subsequent price increases, in crude oil supply 1973 (Arab oil embargo) 1979–80 (triggered by the Iranian revolution) 1990 (associated with the Persian Gulf War)
10. SB 375/SCS – Progress in the San Diego Region The Sustainable Community Strategy (SCS) is a new element of the 2050 RTP September: Responses to Draft RTP, SCS, and EIR comments, and proposed changes to the RTP, SCS, and EIR October: Recommend finding of Air Quality Conformity, adoption of Final 2050 RTP, SCS, and EIR SANDAG will be the first in the State with an adopted SCS
11. What is missing? Shortfall in significantly reduced vehicle miles traveled The need to improve transit project phasing in order to balance transit and road investments SANDAG does not propose eliminating any road or highway projects, or even portions thereof, from the 2030 RTP Highway expansion is used as a climate emissions reduction strategy (contrary to what SB 375’s goal of reducing Vehicle Miles Traveled) The need toimprove transit frequency in the near term Lack of a map that illustrates how transit serves smart growth opportunity areas Need to publish a table showing where %emissions reductions are achieved by type for the target dates (2020, 2035, 2050) Input provided by Move San Diego
12. SB 375/SCS—Progress in Orange County OC SCS was adopted by OCTA & OCCOG in June 2011 SCAG’s Regional Council is expected to release draft RTP/SCS in November 2011 The final SCAG RTP that will include the regional SCS is expected in April 2012
13. What is missing? Does not go beyond currently adopted general plans to recommend revisions to promote economic growth & broad sustainability benefits that are synergistic at the regional/sub-regional level Shouldn’t the SCS strive to set the bar higher than the status quo? Does not reflect the forthcoming RHNA – which influences land uses at the local level Should promote the selective use of such economies-of-scale Potential future urban centers Scalable TODs Rapid transit corridor extensions Large-scale developments can use land use arrangements and critical mass to reduce VMT by 15% (EPA)
14. SCS & CEQA – The Missing Link Continues… Need to state that upon CARB's acceptance of the SCAG SCS, local Orange County agencies will make all subsequent compliance determinations: Compliance with the SCS when compared to the regional targets (not parcel specific designations), Compliance with CEQA documentation regarding GHG emissions and, where appropriate, be tiered from the SCAG RTP EIR. Need to state that local OC agencies should consider updating their CEQA policies to clarify their SCS determination procedures
15. SB 375: Funding Challenges Ahead Recent state takeaways: spillover & redevelopment – fun times! SB 732 - $90 million in new planning money—is it enough for 480 cities, 58 counties, & 18 COGs, CEQA included? We need a sustainable source of planning funds! What about funding for infill infrastructure gaps for GHG- reducing development? Local officials need to make the case: explain connection between storm water, sewer lines, and urban centers; or police infrastructure and safe neighborhoods
17. Elements of a Solid CAP Baseline Inventory (municipal & community-wide) Business-As-Usual Forecasts (2020 & built out) Reduction Target (i.e. 15%) Quantified Reduction Strategies Energy, Water, Transportation, Solid Waste Economic Analysis of Strategies Monitoring & Reporting Mechanisms
18. The CAP development process 1 3 4 5 6 2 Setting the right GHG reduction target Setting the scene Choosing and evaluating measures Engaging the public CAP production CEQA
19. Title? Potential Measure Technical Feasibility Political Feasibility Economic Feasibility GHG Reduction Cost Local Context PROPOSED Measure
21. How Does a CAP Streamline CEQA Review? Identifies GHG emissions produced in an area (impact) Specifies measures to reduce GHG emissions on a project-by-project basis to achieve emissions reduction target (mitigation) Establishes monitoring program to track progress in meeting emissions reduction target (mitigation monitoring and reporting)
22. How Does This Guidance Fit Into the Existing Model? * Just kidding!
23. Quantifying Mitigation Measures is Necessary & Critical! Emission Reductions Voluntary Project-level Reductions for regulatory compliance Reductions for credit Standardized Approaches and Methodology Baseline methods Limitations in the data use Feasibility
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25. Residential projects over the screening threshold of 56 (single family) or 78-91 (multifamily, depending on configuration) units will be presumed to produce enough GHGs to create a significant environmental impact
26. Projects over the screening threshold will have to analyze their GHG emissions and compare the result to the quantitative threshold of 1100 MT/year/project or 4.6 MT/person/year (6.6 MT for General Plans)
27. Projects over the quantitative threshold will have to show sufficient mitigation to get under the limit or else complete an EIR
38. Increased opportunity for the formation of close social bonds through improved availability of and access to green-space social spaces where social events may occur
39. Decreased noise levels by switching to electric and hybrid carsPublic Health Impact Assessment Through years of devising climate change solutions, we have come to appreciate that public health entails many of the criticalfactors such as local community food systems to be taken into consideration when analyzingmeasures to reduce GHG emissions
40. Public Heath Impacts of Climate Change Climate Change Effect Examples of Human Health Risk Heat Related Illness/Death Worsening of Chronic Health Conditions Increase in Extremes Heat Events Increased Respiratory Illnesses and Seasonal Allergies Increase Air Pollution Injury/Death Respiratory Illness Waterborne Illness Foodborne Illness Displacement Stress Related Disorders Mental Health Impacts Increase/Shift in Infectious Disease Floods, Droughts, Wildfires, Storms, Changes in Weather Patterns
41. Public Heath Impacts of Climate Change Climate Change Effect Examples of Human Health Risk Increased Hunger Decreased Nutrition Higher Food Prices and Food Scarcity Injury/Death Wastewater System Impacts Displacement Stress Related Disorders Mental Health Impacts Poisoning from Contaminated Shellfish Sea Level Rise, Storm Surge, Longer Red Tides (toxic algae blooms in the ocean)
48. Where am I doing next? Sustainable Vineyard and Winery Operations Sustainable winegrowing is the growing and winemaking practices that are sensitive to the Environment, responsive to the needs and interests of society-at-large (social Equity), an are Economically feasible to implement and maintain.
49. Questions Chandra Krout AICP, LEED AP (BD+C/O&M), CGBP, GPR Principal 619.316.7645 chandrakrout@kroutandassociates.com www.kroutandassociates.com
Notes de l'éditeur
Question on AB32: To address global warming, do you favor or oppose the state law that requires California to reduce its greenhouse gas emissions back to 1990 levels by the year 2020? Question on SB375: The San Diego Association of Governments – or SANDAG – is developing a regional plan to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and air pollution; promote shorter commutes; and conserve open space and natural areas in San Diego County through a variety of methods, including focusing the building of new homes in areas near jobs and schools, reducing commutes and traffic, and providing more transportation choices.
This document provides a risk analysisof the potential climate change impactsand implications for Melbourne overtime, combined with the likely changingdynamics of its population anddevelopment into the future.