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Badger Meter, Inc.  CFA Global Investment Research Challenge 2009 Marquette   University
Recommendation   SELL Target Price $2 5  Per Share Current Price $ 29 Per Share Source: Bloomberg, Team Projections Market Cap (Mil): $428.17   52 WK H-L:  $62.74-17.58   FY Dec 2008A 2009E 2010E Shares Out (Mil): 14.81 Institutional Holdings 72.99% Revenue (Mil) $279.55  $258.19  $259.28  Float (Mil): 13.84 Insider Holdings 5.28% Net Income (Mil) $25.08  $19.18  $19.76  Avg. Daily Volume: 239,884 Return On Equity 24.71% EPS $1.72  $1.32  $1.36  TTM Dividend: $0.40  Debt To Common Equity 22.67% P/E 17x 22x 21x Dividend Yield: 1.38%                
Presentation Outline ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Company Synopsis Overview ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Overview Competitive Dynamics ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Source: BMI Data
Utility Segment  -  Market Assessment Revenue Assumptions Source: BMI Data, Team Projections $ In Millions ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],83% Of Total Revenue
Increased Funding Costs Source: Bloomberg Revenue Assumptions AA 5yr Municipal Bonds Over 5yr Treasury Bonds
Utility Segment  -  Meter Sales Revenue Assumptions ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Source: BMI Data
Utility Segment  -  AMR/AMI ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Revenue Assumptions Source: BMI Data, Team Projections
Industrial Segment Revenue Assumptions ,[object Object],[object Object],17% Of Total Revenue
Margin Analysis Spot Copper Price Per Metric Ton vs. Company Margins Source: Bloomberg, BMI Data Copper Price Margin As % Of Revenue
Discounted Cash Flow Model   Valuation Methodology Valuation $ In Millions Terminal EBITDA Multiple 7.5x Projected EBITDA, 2013 $59,771  Terminal Value $448,279  Discounted Terminal Value $302,702  Sum Of PV FCF $80,902 Net Debt $18,957  Value Of Equity $364,472 Target Price Per Share $24.61
Conclusion Q&A Reiterate  SELL  Rating For BMI Price Target: $25 Per Share

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Marquette Bmi

  • 1. Badger Meter, Inc. CFA Global Investment Research Challenge 2009 Marquette University
  • 2. Recommendation SELL Target Price $2 5 Per Share Current Price $ 29 Per Share Source: Bloomberg, Team Projections Market Cap (Mil): $428.17   52 WK H-L: $62.74-17.58   FY Dec 2008A 2009E 2010E Shares Out (Mil): 14.81 Institutional Holdings 72.99% Revenue (Mil) $279.55 $258.19 $259.28 Float (Mil): 13.84 Insider Holdings 5.28% Net Income (Mil) $25.08 $19.18 $19.76 Avg. Daily Volume: 239,884 Return On Equity 24.71% EPS $1.72 $1.32 $1.36 TTM Dividend: $0.40 Debt To Common Equity 22.67% P/E 17x 22x 21x Dividend Yield: 1.38%                
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6.
  • 7. Increased Funding Costs Source: Bloomberg Revenue Assumptions AA 5yr Municipal Bonds Over 5yr Treasury Bonds
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11. Margin Analysis Spot Copper Price Per Metric Ton vs. Company Margins Source: Bloomberg, BMI Data Copper Price Margin As % Of Revenue
  • 12. Discounted Cash Flow Model Valuation Methodology Valuation $ In Millions Terminal EBITDA Multiple 7.5x Projected EBITDA, 2013 $59,771 Terminal Value $448,279 Discounted Terminal Value $302,702 Sum Of PV FCF $80,902 Net Debt $18,957 Value Of Equity $364,472 Target Price Per Share $24.61
  • 13. Conclusion Q&A Reiterate SELL Rating For BMI Price Target: $25 Per Share