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Rebecca S. Robinson
            AUSACE
   Atlanta, Georgia
 November 19, 2012
 Arab Spring created a media hailstorm but
  nations that did not achieve complete
  revolution were overlooked
 Morocco offers an interesting case study for
  social media researchers
 Examine why OCA of Blogoma failed to
  explain how event would unfold
 Argument: Fragmentation of society
  manifests online and off. Collective action
  frames of the Blogoma failed to resonate
  with the greater population.
 Lead  author’s ethnographic research 2007-
  2009: employed participant observation,
  content analysis, interviews, and surveys
 This research oriented us to the primary
  concerns of the bloggers: civil liberties and
  freedom of speech, govt accountability
 Updated in 2012 through the discussions of
  many of the same informants and they
  oriented us to new blogs
 Examined dozens of blogs in English and
  French (Feb 20, referendum, elections)
 Significant
  social, economic, political, religious, linguisti
  c, and ethnic distinctions
 DD not so much the binary of un/linked
  (Selwyn 2004; Graham 2011) but similar
  societal divides manifest off/online or are
  exacerbated (Farrell 2012; Couldry 2012)
     Linguistic divide: even lower classes with access
      may not contribute to Blogoma
     Arabophone bloggers, at times from divergent
      socio-economic backgrounds, less likely than
      Francophone to cover Mourtada and Erraji arrests
 “Homophily”   reaffirms that interest of group
  are most important issues (Farrell 2012)
 Blogoma presents as a unified front although
  societal fragmentation prevalent
 Diagnostic frames identified in earlier
  research: expand liberties and free speech
  through govt accountability
 Prognostic frame: parliamentary monarchy
 Benford and Snow (1988) salience and
  credibility most important
 Bloggerspart of media landscape so clearly
 free speech important part of movement
    Not directly affected by poverty, illiteracy, lack
     of services that preoccupy majority of
     population, which impedes salience
 Regime started campaign to discredit
 protesters/bloggers as inauthentic Moroccans
 and called upon the true ones to uphold
 sacred institutions through voting
    PJD not implicated in past corruption so able to
     maintain credibility unlike bloggers/protesters
 Started  as networking community in 2004 but
  began to exhibit solidarity of a collective,
  especially surrounding censorship issues:
  Google Earth, YouTube, Mourtada, Erraji
 Less success in influencing politics
  (abstention/anti-PJD in 2007 elections)
 Success in social initiatives: BlogonsUtile!
  and Gaza relief
 1st survey: 18:21 said censorship issues were
  most important
 2nd survey: 42 unanimously said Moroccans
  should be able to debate sacred institutions
 Feb  20 resonates w/ Blogoma initiatives:
  parliamentary monarchy free from arbitrary
  rule and special favors (grima)
 Some linkages theoretical, others clear
    Former informant, Hisham Almiraat, co-founder
     of Mamfakinch—covers protests
 Feb  20 viral YouTube video offers various
  reasons for protesting:
  freedom, equality, better living
  standards, education, labor rights, minority
  rights (Lalami 2011)
 Regime responds w/ subsidies, jobs, reforms
 Why   did the protests not result in revolt?
 1st: Alaouais have maintained popularity--
  1,200 yo dynasty descends from Prophet,
  Moroccans inculcated with inseparability of
  God, state, and monarchy (Roumana 2011),
  regime scapegoating
 2nd: King central to stability—April Marrakech
  bombing (M4C 2011)—against militants, used
  to squelch assembly (Hogan 2011)
 3rd: part-time protesting (Imad 2011),
  movement splintering (37 orgs) (M4C 2011)
 4th:middle class dubious of the ability of the
  lower classes to participate in democracy
  (Tourabi 2011)
 Blogoma/Feb 20 reject integration of religion
  into politics not likely to have voted for
  PJD, which has managed to avoid scandals
 PJD promises to reduce poverty, increase
  wages, and fight corruption (Cabalmuse
  2011), which are more concrete than
  Blogoma/Feb 20’s abstract ideas of liberties
 Majority believe that PJD can reform system
 Majority   of Moroccans voted for change
  through PJD
 Islamic-oriented political parties have
  offered services for years (Cohen and Jaidi
  2008)
 Not likely concerned PJD’s rumored changes:
  liquor sales, co-ed beaches, promoting hijab
 Coalitions integral to effective politicking
  (Almiraat 2011)—hopefully expected change
  will be realized
 The Arab Spring has not passed Morocco by:
  it is in hibernation for the winter

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Arab Spring in North Africa: Still Winter in Morocco?

  • 1. Rebecca S. Robinson AUSACE Atlanta, Georgia November 19, 2012
  • 2.  Arab Spring created a media hailstorm but nations that did not achieve complete revolution were overlooked  Morocco offers an interesting case study for social media researchers  Examine why OCA of Blogoma failed to explain how event would unfold  Argument: Fragmentation of society manifests online and off. Collective action frames of the Blogoma failed to resonate with the greater population.
  • 3.  Lead author’s ethnographic research 2007- 2009: employed participant observation, content analysis, interviews, and surveys  This research oriented us to the primary concerns of the bloggers: civil liberties and freedom of speech, govt accountability  Updated in 2012 through the discussions of many of the same informants and they oriented us to new blogs  Examined dozens of blogs in English and French (Feb 20, referendum, elections)
  • 4.  Significant social, economic, political, religious, linguisti c, and ethnic distinctions  DD not so much the binary of un/linked (Selwyn 2004; Graham 2011) but similar societal divides manifest off/online or are exacerbated (Farrell 2012; Couldry 2012)  Linguistic divide: even lower classes with access may not contribute to Blogoma  Arabophone bloggers, at times from divergent socio-economic backgrounds, less likely than Francophone to cover Mourtada and Erraji arrests
  • 5.  “Homophily” reaffirms that interest of group are most important issues (Farrell 2012)  Blogoma presents as a unified front although societal fragmentation prevalent  Diagnostic frames identified in earlier research: expand liberties and free speech through govt accountability  Prognostic frame: parliamentary monarchy  Benford and Snow (1988) salience and credibility most important
  • 6.  Bloggerspart of media landscape so clearly free speech important part of movement  Not directly affected by poverty, illiteracy, lack of services that preoccupy majority of population, which impedes salience  Regime started campaign to discredit protesters/bloggers as inauthentic Moroccans and called upon the true ones to uphold sacred institutions through voting  PJD not implicated in past corruption so able to maintain credibility unlike bloggers/protesters
  • 7.  Started as networking community in 2004 but began to exhibit solidarity of a collective, especially surrounding censorship issues: Google Earth, YouTube, Mourtada, Erraji  Less success in influencing politics (abstention/anti-PJD in 2007 elections)  Success in social initiatives: BlogonsUtile! and Gaza relief  1st survey: 18:21 said censorship issues were most important  2nd survey: 42 unanimously said Moroccans should be able to debate sacred institutions
  • 8.  Feb 20 resonates w/ Blogoma initiatives: parliamentary monarchy free from arbitrary rule and special favors (grima)  Some linkages theoretical, others clear  Former informant, Hisham Almiraat, co-founder of Mamfakinch—covers protests  Feb 20 viral YouTube video offers various reasons for protesting: freedom, equality, better living standards, education, labor rights, minority rights (Lalami 2011)  Regime responds w/ subsidies, jobs, reforms
  • 9.  Why did the protests not result in revolt?  1st: Alaouais have maintained popularity-- 1,200 yo dynasty descends from Prophet, Moroccans inculcated with inseparability of God, state, and monarchy (Roumana 2011), regime scapegoating  2nd: King central to stability—April Marrakech bombing (M4C 2011)—against militants, used to squelch assembly (Hogan 2011)  3rd: part-time protesting (Imad 2011), movement splintering (37 orgs) (M4C 2011)
  • 10.  4th:middle class dubious of the ability of the lower classes to participate in democracy (Tourabi 2011)  Blogoma/Feb 20 reject integration of religion into politics not likely to have voted for PJD, which has managed to avoid scandals  PJD promises to reduce poverty, increase wages, and fight corruption (Cabalmuse 2011), which are more concrete than Blogoma/Feb 20’s abstract ideas of liberties  Majority believe that PJD can reform system
  • 11.  Majority of Moroccans voted for change through PJD  Islamic-oriented political parties have offered services for years (Cohen and Jaidi 2008)  Not likely concerned PJD’s rumored changes: liquor sales, co-ed beaches, promoting hijab  Coalitions integral to effective politicking (Almiraat 2011)—hopefully expected change will be realized  The Arab Spring has not passed Morocco by: it is in hibernation for the winter