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Mobile Development: reaching critical mass




               Alessandro Thellung
               CEO & Founder


                                         MIPTV - Cannes
                                         March 2011
Fragmentation scenario


• The diversity of developing environments and fragmented
  landscape (Apple, RIM, Android, Samsung, Microsoft, Palm and
  more) are challenging the developers and content industries in
  their strategy.
 • On top of that, they should think about a world divided t wo
   folds: billions of feature phones users (allowing limited
   technology), as opposed to a fast growing base of
   smartphone owners.
• Is there a safe and simple path to the mass market?
a slippery subject ...
Smartphones OS fragmentation
Smartphones OS fragmentation
Smartphones OS fragmentation




Source : Strategy Analytics, 2011
What is a «smartphone» ?
What is a «smartphone» ?
What is a «smartphone» ?




Supports Third Parties Applications
What is a «smartphone» ?




Supports Third Parties Applications
OS + Platform (SDK/APIs) for developers
What is a «smartphone» ?




Supports Third Parties Applications
OS + Platform (SDK/APIs) for developers
Easy access to content ( «AppStores» )
Feature phones = non smartphones
Feature phones = non smartphones
Feature phones = non smartphones




End 2010, smartphones represent only 13 % of total global handsets in use today, but
they represent over 78!% of total global handset traffic.
Feature phones = non smartphones




End 2010, smartphones represent only 13 % of total global handsets in use today, but
they represent over 78!% of total global handset traffic.
Source : CISCO Net works, 2011
Feature phones = non smartphones




End 2010, smartphones represent only 13 % of total global handsets in use today, but
they represent over 78!% of total global handset traffic.
Source : CISCO Net works, 2011




 Very few brand/publishers have a Featurephone strategy for the
 moment ...
Feature phones = non smartphones




End 2010, smartphones represent only 13 % of total global handsets in use today, but
they represent over 78!% of total global handset traffic.
Source : CISCO Net works, 2011




 Very few brand/publishers have a Featurephone strategy for the
 moment ...



 ... with some notable
 exceptions :
Feature phones = non smartphones




End 2010, smartphones represent only 13 % of total global handsets in use today, but
they represent over 78!% of total global handset traffic.
Source : CISCO Net works, 2011




 Very few brand/publishers have a Featurephone strategy for the
 moment ...



 ... with some notable
 exceptions :
Feature phones = non smartphones




On the other hand : «End 2010, smartphones represent only 13 % of total global handsets in
use today, but they generate over 78 % of total global handset traffic.»



End 2010, smartphones represent only 13 % of total global handsets in use today, but
they represent over 78!% of total global handset traffic.
Source : CISCO Net works, 2011




 Very few brand/publishers have a Featurephone strategy for the
 moment ...



 ... with some notable
 exceptions :
The Global Picture
The Global Picture
The Global Picture




Source : Nokia, 2011
The Global Picture




Nokia wants to «bring
the next billion on-line»




                            Source : Nokia, 2011
The Global Picture




Nokia wants to «bring
the next billion on-line»
«We can connect the
unconnected» (S. Elop)




                            Source : Nokia, 2011
The Global Picture




Nokia wants to «bring                                                   More than ONE THIRD (36%)
the next billion on-line»                                               of the world’s population
«We can connect the                                                     have a web-enabled phone
unconnected» (S. Elop)




                            Source : Nokia, 2011
The Global Picture




Nokia wants to «bring                                                   More than ONE THIRD (36%)
the next billion on-line»                                               of the world’s population
«We can connect the                                                     have a web-enabled phone
unconnected» (S. Elop)

                                                                        It makes 2,5 bilion
                                                                        «connected phones»




                            Source : Nokia, 2011
Do we have a trade-off scenario ?
Do we have a trade-off scenario ?




How should we address these 2,5 billion «connected phones» ?
Do we have a trade-off scenario ?




 How should we address these 2,5 billion «connected phones» ?




What is the best strategy for brands and publishers HERE AND NOW ?
Smartphones path : «Apps»
Smartphones path : «Apps»
Smartphones path : «Apps»




• Downloaded into the smartphone
Smartphones path : «Apps»




• Downloaded into the smartphone

• Strenghts :

  •   Great user experience
  •   Easily bookmarked
  •   No latency, off-line life
  •   Repository (AppStore)
Smartphones path : «Apps»




• Downloaded into the smartphone

• Strenghts :                        • Weaknesses :
  •   Great user experience            • proprietary ecosystem
  •   Easily bookmarked                • market reach limited by OS share
  •   No latency, off-line life
  •   Repository (AppStore)
Featurephones path : «WebApps»
Featurephones path : «WebApps»
Featurephones path : «WebApps»




• Soft ware is «on the server»
Featurephones path : «WebApps»




• Soft ware is «on the server»

• Strenghts:

   • Runs on ALL «connected phones»
Featurephones path : «WebApps»




• Soft ware is «on the server»

• Strenghts:                          • Weaknesses :
   • Runs on ALL «connected phones»     • Hard to bookmark Net work latency
                                        • No repositories
                                        • No access to phone components
What is a «WebApp» ?




• Weaknesses :

  •   Hard to bookmark
  •   Net work latency
  •   No repositories
  •   No access to phone components
What is a «WebApp» ?




                                           • BUT :
• Weaknesses :

  •   Hard to bookmark                     •   Touch-screen is everywhere
  •   Net work latency                     • Net work speed grows 60% per year
  •   No repositories                      • Webstores are coming ( Mobango > 800 M dwd)
  •   No access to phone components        • It’s changing and will change with HTML 5
Is there a marketing trade-off ?
Apps                  WebApps




Taylor Made Apps   Taylor Made WebApps
    + services




Apps Factories      WebApps Composers
Apps                  WebApps



Quality, $$$

               Taylor Made Apps   Taylor Made WebApps
                   + services




               Apps Factories      WebApps Composers
Apps                  WebApps



Quality, $$$

               Taylor Made Apps   Taylor Made WebApps
                   + services




               Apps Factories      WebApps Composers




                                                    Market reach
Apps                  WebApps



Quality, $$$

               Taylor Made Apps   Taylor Made WebApps
                   + services




               Apps Factories      WebApps Composers




                                                    Market reach
Apps              User Experience       WebApps



Quality, $$$

               Taylor Made Apps                     Taylor Made WebApps
                   + services




               Apps Factories                        WebApps Composers




                                                                      Market reach
Apps              User Experience       WebApps



Quality, $$$

               Taylor Made Apps                     Taylor Made WebApps
                   + services




               Apps Factories                        WebApps Composers




                                                                      Market reach
Apps               User Experience       WebApps



Quality, $$$

                 Taylor Made Apps                       Taylor Made WebApps
                     + services


               Best user experience




                  Apps Factories                         WebApps Composers




                                                                          Market reach
Apps               User Experience       WebApps



Quality, $$$

                 Taylor Made Apps                       Taylor Made WebApps
                     + services


               Best user experience
               Creativity




                  Apps Factories                         WebApps Composers




                                                                          Market reach
Apps               User Experience       WebApps



Quality, $$$

                 Taylor Made Apps                       Taylor Made WebApps
                     + services


               Best user experience
               Creativity
               Services through BO




                  Apps Factories                         WebApps Composers




                                                                          Market reach
Apps               User Experience        WebApps



Quality, $$$

                 Taylor Made Apps                       Taylor Made WebApps
                     + services


               Best user experience
               Creativity
               Services through BO




                  Apps Factories                          WebApps Composers


                                                        Good trade-off




                                                                          Market reach
Apps               User Experience        WebApps



Quality, $$$

                 Taylor Made Apps                       Taylor Made WebApps
                     + services


               Best user experience
               Creativity
               Services through BO




                  Apps Factories                          WebApps Composers


                                                        Good trade-off
                                                        Hands-on allows evolution




                                                                            Market reach
Apps                                   WebApps
                                  Customer cases : EMI Music


Quality, $$$

               Taylor Made Apps
                                                   Taylor Made WebApps
                   + ser vices




               Apps Factories                       WebApps Composers




                                                                         Market reach
Apps                                  WebApps
                                       Customer cases : EMI Music

               Creativity (design, ergonomy)
Quality, $$$

                    Taylor Made Apps
                                                        Taylor Made WebApps
                        + ser vices




                     Apps Factories                      WebApps Composers




                                                                              Market reach
Apps                                  WebApps
                                       Customer cases : EMI Music

               Creativity (design, ergonomy)
Quality, $$$

                    Taylor Made Apps
                                                        Taylor Made WebApps
                        + ser vices




                     Apps Factories                      WebApps Composers




                                                                              Market reach
Apps                                  WebApps
                                       Customer cases : EMI Music

               Creativity (design, ergonomy)
Quality, $$$   Innovation

                    Taylor Made Apps
                                                        Taylor Made WebApps
                        + ser vices




                     Apps Factories                      WebApps Composers




                                                                              Market reach
Apps                                  WebApps
                                       Customer cases : EMI Music

               Creativity (design, ergonomy)
Quality, $$$   Innovation
               Ser vices : social, CRM
                    Taylor Made Apps
                                                        Taylor Made WebApps
                        + ser vices




                     Apps Factories                      WebApps Composers




                                                                              Market reach
Apps                                  WebApps
                                       Customer cases : EMI Music

               Creativity (design, ergonomy)
Quality, $$$   Innovation
               Ser vices : social, CRM
                    Taylor Made Apps
                                                        Taylor Made WebApps
                        + ser vices




                     Apps Factories                      WebApps Composers




                                                                              Market reach
Apps                                   WebApps
                                       Customer cases : EMI Music

               Creativity (design, ergonomy)
Quality, $$$   Innovation
               Ser vices : social, CRM
                    Taylor Made Apps
                                                        Taylor Made WebApps
                        + ser vices




                                                       Campaigns, events

                     Apps Factories                      WebApps Composers




                                                                              Market reach
Apps                                   WebApps
                                       Customer cases : EMI Music

               Creativity (design, ergonomy)
Quality, $$$   Innovation
               Ser vices : social, CRM
                    Taylor Made Apps
                                                        Taylor Made WebApps
                        + ser vices




                                                       Campaigns, events

                     Apps Factories                      WebApps Composers




                                                                              Market reach
How will all this evolve ?
Moving from hardware to the mobile cloud
       The come back of «thin client» model
Moving from hardware to the mobile cloud
       The come back of «thin client» model
Moving from hardware to the mobile cloud
                      The come back of «thin client» model




DEVICE/TELCO
Moving from hardware to the mobile cloud
                      The come back of «thin client» model




DEVICE/TELCO
Moving from hardware to the mobile cloud
                      The come back of «thin client» model




DEVICE/TELCO
Moving from hardware to the mobile cloud
                      The come back of «thin client» model




DEVICE/TELCO                     APPSTORES/OS
Moving from hardware to the mobile cloud
                      The come back of «thin client» model




DEVICE/TELCO                     APPSTORES/OS
Moving from hardware to the mobile cloud
                      The come back of «thin client» model




DEVICE/TELCO                     APPSTORES/OS
Moving from hardware to the mobile cloud
                      The come back of «thin client» model




DEVICE/TELCO                     APPSTORES/OS                SERVICES/CLOUD
Moving from hardware to the mobile cloud
                             The come back of «thin client» model




DEVICE/TELCO                            APPSTORES/OS                SERVICES/CLOUD




     Apps will progressively migrate tothe Cloud
Moving from hardware to the mobile cloud
                              The come back of «thin client» model




DEVICE/TELCO                              APPSTORES/OS               SERVICES/CLOUD




     Apps will progressively migrate tothe Cloud
     Not only applications but also OS will be on the Cloud
Moving from hardware to the mobile cloud
                             The come back of «thin client» model




DEVICE/TELCO                             APPSTORES/OS               SERVICES/CLOUD




     Apps will progressively migrate tothe Cloud
     Not only applications but also OS will be on the Cloud
     The hardware will just need to be a «connected phone»
Moving from hardware to the mobile cloud
                             The come back of «thin client» model




DEVICE/TELCO                             APPSTORES/OS               SERVICES/CLOUD




     Apps will progressively migrate tothe Cloud
     Not only applications but also OS will be on the Cloud
     The hardware will just need to be a «connected phone»
     The revenge of the Featurephone ?
Thank you




alessandro@redshift.fr

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Mobile development : reaching critical mass

  • 1. Mobile Development: reaching critical mass Alessandro Thellung CEO & Founder MIPTV - Cannes March 2011
  • 2. Fragmentation scenario • The diversity of developing environments and fragmented landscape (Apple, RIM, Android, Samsung, Microsoft, Palm and more) are challenging the developers and content industries in their strategy. • On top of that, they should think about a world divided t wo folds: billions of feature phones users (allowing limited technology), as opposed to a fast growing base of smartphone owners. • Is there a safe and simple path to the mass market?
  • 6. Smartphones OS fragmentation Source : Strategy Analytics, 2011
  • 7. What is a «smartphone» ?
  • 8. What is a «smartphone» ?
  • 9. What is a «smartphone» ? Supports Third Parties Applications
  • 10. What is a «smartphone» ? Supports Third Parties Applications OS + Platform (SDK/APIs) for developers
  • 11. What is a «smartphone» ? Supports Third Parties Applications OS + Platform (SDK/APIs) for developers Easy access to content ( «AppStores» )
  • 12. Feature phones = non smartphones
  • 13. Feature phones = non smartphones
  • 14. Feature phones = non smartphones End 2010, smartphones represent only 13 % of total global handsets in use today, but they represent over 78!% of total global handset traffic.
  • 15. Feature phones = non smartphones End 2010, smartphones represent only 13 % of total global handsets in use today, but they represent over 78!% of total global handset traffic. Source : CISCO Net works, 2011
  • 16. Feature phones = non smartphones End 2010, smartphones represent only 13 % of total global handsets in use today, but they represent over 78!% of total global handset traffic. Source : CISCO Net works, 2011 Very few brand/publishers have a Featurephone strategy for the moment ...
  • 17. Feature phones = non smartphones End 2010, smartphones represent only 13 % of total global handsets in use today, but they represent over 78!% of total global handset traffic. Source : CISCO Net works, 2011 Very few brand/publishers have a Featurephone strategy for the moment ... ... with some notable exceptions :
  • 18. Feature phones = non smartphones End 2010, smartphones represent only 13 % of total global handsets in use today, but they represent over 78!% of total global handset traffic. Source : CISCO Net works, 2011 Very few brand/publishers have a Featurephone strategy for the moment ... ... with some notable exceptions :
  • 19. Feature phones = non smartphones On the other hand : «End 2010, smartphones represent only 13 % of total global handsets in use today, but they generate over 78 % of total global handset traffic.» End 2010, smartphones represent only 13 % of total global handsets in use today, but they represent over 78!% of total global handset traffic. Source : CISCO Net works, 2011 Very few brand/publishers have a Featurephone strategy for the moment ... ... with some notable exceptions :
  • 22. The Global Picture Source : Nokia, 2011
  • 23. The Global Picture Nokia wants to «bring the next billion on-line» Source : Nokia, 2011
  • 24. The Global Picture Nokia wants to «bring the next billion on-line» «We can connect the unconnected» (S. Elop) Source : Nokia, 2011
  • 25. The Global Picture Nokia wants to «bring More than ONE THIRD (36%) the next billion on-line» of the world’s population «We can connect the have a web-enabled phone unconnected» (S. Elop) Source : Nokia, 2011
  • 26. The Global Picture Nokia wants to «bring More than ONE THIRD (36%) the next billion on-line» of the world’s population «We can connect the have a web-enabled phone unconnected» (S. Elop) It makes 2,5 bilion «connected phones» Source : Nokia, 2011
  • 27. Do we have a trade-off scenario ?
  • 28. Do we have a trade-off scenario ? How should we address these 2,5 billion «connected phones» ?
  • 29. Do we have a trade-off scenario ? How should we address these 2,5 billion «connected phones» ? What is the best strategy for brands and publishers HERE AND NOW ?
  • 30. Smartphones path : «Apps»
  • 31. Smartphones path : «Apps»
  • 32. Smartphones path : «Apps» • Downloaded into the smartphone
  • 33. Smartphones path : «Apps» • Downloaded into the smartphone • Strenghts : • Great user experience • Easily bookmarked • No latency, off-line life • Repository (AppStore)
  • 34. Smartphones path : «Apps» • Downloaded into the smartphone • Strenghts : • Weaknesses : • Great user experience • proprietary ecosystem • Easily bookmarked • market reach limited by OS share • No latency, off-line life • Repository (AppStore)
  • 35. Featurephones path : «WebApps»
  • 36. Featurephones path : «WebApps»
  • 37. Featurephones path : «WebApps» • Soft ware is «on the server»
  • 38. Featurephones path : «WebApps» • Soft ware is «on the server» • Strenghts: • Runs on ALL «connected phones»
  • 39. Featurephones path : «WebApps» • Soft ware is «on the server» • Strenghts: • Weaknesses : • Runs on ALL «connected phones» • Hard to bookmark Net work latency • No repositories • No access to phone components
  • 40. What is a «WebApp» ? • Weaknesses : • Hard to bookmark • Net work latency • No repositories • No access to phone components
  • 41. What is a «WebApp» ? • BUT : • Weaknesses : • Hard to bookmark • Touch-screen is everywhere • Net work latency • Net work speed grows 60% per year • No repositories • Webstores are coming ( Mobango > 800 M dwd) • No access to phone components • It’s changing and will change with HTML 5
  • 42. Is there a marketing trade-off ?
  • 43. Apps WebApps Taylor Made Apps Taylor Made WebApps + services Apps Factories WebApps Composers
  • 44. Apps WebApps Quality, $$$ Taylor Made Apps Taylor Made WebApps + services Apps Factories WebApps Composers
  • 45. Apps WebApps Quality, $$$ Taylor Made Apps Taylor Made WebApps + services Apps Factories WebApps Composers Market reach
  • 46. Apps WebApps Quality, $$$ Taylor Made Apps Taylor Made WebApps + services Apps Factories WebApps Composers Market reach
  • 47. Apps User Experience WebApps Quality, $$$ Taylor Made Apps Taylor Made WebApps + services Apps Factories WebApps Composers Market reach
  • 48. Apps User Experience WebApps Quality, $$$ Taylor Made Apps Taylor Made WebApps + services Apps Factories WebApps Composers Market reach
  • 49. Apps User Experience WebApps Quality, $$$ Taylor Made Apps Taylor Made WebApps + services Best user experience Apps Factories WebApps Composers Market reach
  • 50. Apps User Experience WebApps Quality, $$$ Taylor Made Apps Taylor Made WebApps + services Best user experience Creativity Apps Factories WebApps Composers Market reach
  • 51. Apps User Experience WebApps Quality, $$$ Taylor Made Apps Taylor Made WebApps + services Best user experience Creativity Services through BO Apps Factories WebApps Composers Market reach
  • 52. Apps User Experience WebApps Quality, $$$ Taylor Made Apps Taylor Made WebApps + services Best user experience Creativity Services through BO Apps Factories WebApps Composers Good trade-off Market reach
  • 53. Apps User Experience WebApps Quality, $$$ Taylor Made Apps Taylor Made WebApps + services Best user experience Creativity Services through BO Apps Factories WebApps Composers Good trade-off Hands-on allows evolution Market reach
  • 54. Apps WebApps Customer cases : EMI Music Quality, $$$ Taylor Made Apps Taylor Made WebApps + ser vices Apps Factories WebApps Composers Market reach
  • 55. Apps WebApps Customer cases : EMI Music Creativity (design, ergonomy) Quality, $$$ Taylor Made Apps Taylor Made WebApps + ser vices Apps Factories WebApps Composers Market reach
  • 56. Apps WebApps Customer cases : EMI Music Creativity (design, ergonomy) Quality, $$$ Taylor Made Apps Taylor Made WebApps + ser vices Apps Factories WebApps Composers Market reach
  • 57. Apps WebApps Customer cases : EMI Music Creativity (design, ergonomy) Quality, $$$ Innovation Taylor Made Apps Taylor Made WebApps + ser vices Apps Factories WebApps Composers Market reach
  • 58. Apps WebApps Customer cases : EMI Music Creativity (design, ergonomy) Quality, $$$ Innovation Ser vices : social, CRM Taylor Made Apps Taylor Made WebApps + ser vices Apps Factories WebApps Composers Market reach
  • 59. Apps WebApps Customer cases : EMI Music Creativity (design, ergonomy) Quality, $$$ Innovation Ser vices : social, CRM Taylor Made Apps Taylor Made WebApps + ser vices Apps Factories WebApps Composers Market reach
  • 60. Apps WebApps Customer cases : EMI Music Creativity (design, ergonomy) Quality, $$$ Innovation Ser vices : social, CRM Taylor Made Apps Taylor Made WebApps + ser vices Campaigns, events Apps Factories WebApps Composers Market reach
  • 61. Apps WebApps Customer cases : EMI Music Creativity (design, ergonomy) Quality, $$$ Innovation Ser vices : social, CRM Taylor Made Apps Taylor Made WebApps + ser vices Campaigns, events Apps Factories WebApps Composers Market reach
  • 62. How will all this evolve ?
  • 63. Moving from hardware to the mobile cloud The come back of «thin client» model
  • 64. Moving from hardware to the mobile cloud The come back of «thin client» model
  • 65. Moving from hardware to the mobile cloud The come back of «thin client» model DEVICE/TELCO
  • 66. Moving from hardware to the mobile cloud The come back of «thin client» model DEVICE/TELCO
  • 67. Moving from hardware to the mobile cloud The come back of «thin client» model DEVICE/TELCO
  • 68. Moving from hardware to the mobile cloud The come back of «thin client» model DEVICE/TELCO APPSTORES/OS
  • 69. Moving from hardware to the mobile cloud The come back of «thin client» model DEVICE/TELCO APPSTORES/OS
  • 70. Moving from hardware to the mobile cloud The come back of «thin client» model DEVICE/TELCO APPSTORES/OS
  • 71. Moving from hardware to the mobile cloud The come back of «thin client» model DEVICE/TELCO APPSTORES/OS SERVICES/CLOUD
  • 72. Moving from hardware to the mobile cloud The come back of «thin client» model DEVICE/TELCO APPSTORES/OS SERVICES/CLOUD Apps will progressively migrate tothe Cloud
  • 73. Moving from hardware to the mobile cloud The come back of «thin client» model DEVICE/TELCO APPSTORES/OS SERVICES/CLOUD Apps will progressively migrate tothe Cloud Not only applications but also OS will be on the Cloud
  • 74. Moving from hardware to the mobile cloud The come back of «thin client» model DEVICE/TELCO APPSTORES/OS SERVICES/CLOUD Apps will progressively migrate tothe Cloud Not only applications but also OS will be on the Cloud The hardware will just need to be a «connected phone»
  • 75. Moving from hardware to the mobile cloud The come back of «thin client» model DEVICE/TELCO APPSTORES/OS SERVICES/CLOUD Apps will progressively migrate tothe Cloud Not only applications but also OS will be on the Cloud The hardware will just need to be a «connected phone» The revenge of the Featurephone ?

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