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Bankruptcy

              When businesses become
              insolvent, meaning they
              service their debts, they
              have two possibilities
               Reorganization (Chapter 7)
                 IR down
                 Term to maturity up
                 Some debt exchanged for equity
               Liquidation (Chapter 11)
                 When the company is deemed
                  to be to far to be saved
Part I
Risks due to Political and Economic
Situation gas prices .> shift in demand: SUVs and light
 Volatility of
    trucks to smaller cars
   Slowing economic growth ->cars=durable goods->
    purchases delayed
   Commodities prices -> GM/Ford dependent of steel
    and plastics
   Cessations of govt incentives on certain vehicles
   Geopolitical events such as war of restrictive customs
    are bad for the business
   Currency
Comparisons
2.20
Company Name                                                                 Toyota Motor Corporation
        2.10                                    2.10                         Volkswagen AG
        2.00
Toyota Motor Corporation                                  1.93               Daimler AG           102,527
        1.90                                    1.88                      Tata Motors, Ltd. Corporation
                                                                             Toyota Motor
        1.80         13.764                     1.79
Volkswagen AG
400                                                                           Volkswagen AG       84,633
        1.70      369.928
                    58.167                                                General Motors Corporation
                                 8.102                                        Daimler AG
        1.60 76.658                             1.62
Honda Motor Company                                                                               44,440
350 1.50                                        1.50                          General Motors Corporation
                      322.045                229.460                      Daimler AG
        1.40                                                                  General Motors Corporation
Daimler AG                                                                                        30,599
           80.094                                                             Ford Motor Company
300 1.30                                                                  Ford Motor Company
Fuji Heavy Industries     273.216                                             Ford Motor Company 24,992
        1.20
    92.758
                                                              149.733
        1.10                   243.000                                    FiatHonda Motor Company
                                                                               S.p.A.
250
Industry Average                                                              Fiat S.p.A.         19,069
        1.00                      213.000
   111.863                                      0.95
        0.90                           198.348                                Nissan Motor
                                                                          Nissan Motor
200 0.80
Bayerische Motoren Werke AG                 186.421     149.021               Honda Motor Company18,662
        0.70                                         0.62
                                                158.201                       Fiat S.p.A.
                                                                          Bayerische Motoren Werke AG
Nissan0.60
150      Motor                                                                Nissan Motor          18,128
        0.50                                         0.59                     Bayerische Motoren Werke AG
                                                                          Fuji Heavy Industries
Fiat S.p.A.                                           100.041                                        8,466
        0.40
100 0.30                                                                      Bayerische Motoren Werke AG
 146.277                                                                      Industry Average
                                                                          Honda Motor Company
Ford Motor Company
        0.20                                                                                         6,535
                                    148.979
                                                         36.364               Tata Motors, Ltd.
  50 0.10                                                                 Toyota Heavy Industries
                                                                              Fuji Motor Corporation
General Motors Corporation                                       27.884                              2,045
        0.00
                                                                              Fuji Heavy Industries
   0 -0.10 0
Tata Motors, Ltd.
                                               -0.11 1                    Volkswagen AGLtd.
                                                                              Tata Motors,
                                                                                                     1,966
       -0.20
+46.37
    +26.44             -20.64                                                             -95.17



                                          +25.97
        +8.88         -7.35
                                                                        -60.49




Years           Sept. 2005 to May 2006   May 2006 to July 2006   July 2006 to June 2007     June 2007 to March 2009

Auto & Truck     +0% to +26.44%          +26.44 to +5.80%        +5.80% to +52.17%            +52.17% to -43.00%
Manufacturer
                +2644 basis points       -2064 basis points       +4637 basis points           -9517 basis points
S&P 500 Index     +0% to +8.88%          +8.88% to +1.53%        +1.53% to +27.50%            +27.50% to -32.99%
                 +888 basis points        -735 basis points       +2597 basis points           -6049 basis points
General Motors Corporation


                    Volume Carmakers                         Luxury Brands


Chevrolet   GM Daewoo      GMC         Holden    Opel     Buick        Cadillac




 Pontiac     Vauxhall      Saab        Wuling    Saturn           Hummer
Ford Motors Company


        Volume Carmakers                                   Luxury Brands


Ford                       Mazda
                                                 Mercury                   Lincoln




Volvo
GENERAL
                                                                    MOTORS
                                                                    CORPORATION
                                                                    Dividend Max:
                                                                    $1.50
Frequent
Dividend                                                            Dividend Min:
                       Moderately Frequent            No Dividend
                       Dividend
                                                                    $0



                                                                    FORD
           Moderately Frequent
           Dividend
                                                                    MOTORS
                                                                    COMPANY
                                                                    Dividend Max:
                                                                    $12.06
                                                    Frequent        Dividend Min:
                                                    Dividend        $0
                                             No Dividend
60%                                     50                                  120%                                    101
                                        50%                                                                         101%
50%                                                                         100%
                                                                                                                                1st Quarter
40%                                                31%       1st Quarter      80%
           28%
                 26% 25%                                                                                                        2nd Quarter
30%                        21%                               2nd Quarter      60%
20%                                                          3rd Quarter      40%     24% 26% 24% 26%                           3rd Quarter
                                    11%       8%
10%                                                          4th Quarter      20%                           0% 2%          2%   4th Quarter
  0%                                                                           0%
           Net Sales and            Net Income                                        Net Sales and         Net Income
             Revenue                                                                    Revenue




                                                                                                   46 804
                                                                                          46,519 46,804
50,000                                                                      50,000    43,094 43,567
           42,383 37,808
               38,010
40,000                                                        1st Quarter   40,000
                       30,778                                                                                                   1st Quarter
                           30 778                                           30,000
30,000                                                        2nd Quarter
                                                                            20,000                                              2nd Quarter
20,000                                                                      10,000                               891
                                                              3rd Quarter                                   62                  3rd Quarter
10,000                                                                           0
                                                              4th Quarter                                              -722     4th Quarter
                                                                            -10,000    Net Sales and         Net Income
       0                                                                                 Revenue
                              -3,251                                        -20,000
            Net Sales and              Net Income
-10,000       Revenue                        -2,542 -9,596                  -30,000
-20,000                                 -15,471                             -40,000
                                                                                                                    -38,963
                                                                                                                  -38 963
$M                                  GM                    Ford                              GM                 Ford
                                $         %           $         %                      $        %         $               %
$M Sales
Net                         147 732     GM
                                         100       129 166 Ford100                  177 594 GM100      154 379 Ford      100
Cost of good sold          -149 723 $
                            -149 723     -101 % -127 103$
                                                        103    -98            %    -164 946 $  -93 % -142 587
                                                                                                       -142 $            -92%
Gross Profit
Net Sales                    -1 991 414
                             -1           -1 100 2 083 406
                                                    2 063        2          100      12 648
                                                                                          500    7 100 11 792
                                                                                                        11 792
                                                                                                             479          8100
Cost of general and
Selling good sold                  -415       -100
                                             -100        -353               -87
                                                                            -87           -460     -92
                                                                                                   -92      -396             -83
                                                                                                                           -83
administrative              -13 147       -9       -11 356      -9           13     -13 590     -8     -13 660            -9 17
Gross Profit                         -1        00          53                13            -40      -8        83            17
expenses
Sellingincome and
Other general                                                                                      -8
                                     -40         -10
                                                  -10          -60      -15
                                                                      0 -15           0 -40      0 -8             -59      -12
                                                                                                                         -2 -12
administrative expenses -610
(expense) net
                                           0               0                                                 -2 400
Other income (expense) -15 748
Operating Income             -15 748-19    -11         -9 293
                                                      -9 293 -7       -7             -942
                                                                                     -942 -12    -1 -2       -4 268
                                                                                                             -4 268      -3-2
                                                 -4                          -2                                    -9
net
Interest expenses              -884         -1        -1 938          -2            -1 042       -1          -2 252      -1
Operating Income (loss)
Interest income -                    -59         -14
                                                  -14        -14              -3
                                                                             -3           -12       -2             16       33
                                 0         0            -755          -1               0          0           1 161      1
Interest -expenses
GMAC                                  -7          -2         -27             -7            -9       -2            -30       -6
Income from affiliated
Interest income - GMAC - 0             1           0
                                           0            163 0         0       0        0 4        0 1          389 1     0 0
company
Earnings from continuing
Earnings from                        -64         -16      -40               -10            -18         -4         -14         -3
operations                   -16 632       -11      -11 823           -9            -1 984       -1          -4 970      -3
continuing operations
Income Tax                            -5
                                      -5         -1
                                                 -1         0
                                                            0                0
                                                                             0           -103
                                                                                          -103        -21
                                                                                                      -21          44         1
                                                                                                                              1
Income Tax (Loss) from
Net Income                       0         0           0              0                0         0              0         0
Equity income net of                 -17         -4         0                0              0          0            3         1
affiliated companies           184         0           0              0               522        0              0         0
tax
Equity income net of tax               1          0        -1                0              1          0           -1       0
Minority interests, net of
Minority interests, net of tax 103 0,3
tax
                                           0      0    0    0         0      0       -406 -1     0     0        0 0       0 0
Income from continued
Loss before income tax
operations                  -16 345 0
                             -16 345       -11    0     -11 823 0
                                                         -11 823      -9
                                                                      -9     0      -1 86813
                                                                                    -1           -1 3
                                                                                                  -1         -4 9700
                                                                                                                -4 970   -3 0
                                                                                                                         -3
– automotive
Net earnings                        -86
                                     -86         -21
                                                 -21           -41
                                                                -41        -10
                                                                             -10        -108
                                                                                         -108         -22
                                                                                                       -22       -8
                                                                                                                  -8          -2
                                                                                                                              -2
$M                            GM            Ford         GM        Ford          GM         Ford        GM     Ford
 $M                             $ GM         $ Ford       $  GM     $ Ford        GM      Ford        GM        Ford
Net Sales                  147 732  $     129 166 $    177 594$  154 379 $     -29 862    -25 213      -17%    -16%
Cost Sales
 Net   of good sold        -149 723414   -127 103
                                                406   -164 946 -142 587
                                                             500      479       15 -86
                                                                                   223
                                                                                   -86     -73
                                                                                           15 484
                                                                                           -73        -17%
                                                                                                        -9%
                                                                                                     -17%        -15%
                                                                                                               -11%
                                                                                                                -15%
Gross of good sold
 Cost   Profit               -1 991
                                  -415     2 063
                                               -353     12 648
                                                            -460  11 792
                                                                      -396     -1445639
                                                                                    45     -9 729
                                                                                           43
                                                                                            43       -116%
                                                                                                    -10%
                                                                                                     -10%      -83%
                                                                                                              -11%
                                                                                                                -11%
Selling general and                                                                39      -30       -98%      -36%
 Gross Profit                       -1           53          -40        83          39     -30       -98%       -36%
administrative              -13 147       -11 356      -13 590   -13 660         443        2 304       -3%    -17%
 Selling general and
expenses                           -40          -60          -40       -59          0       -1        -1%        1%
Other income expenses
 administrative
                              -610          0            0          -2 400       -610     2 400     #DIV/0!   -100%
(expense) net (expense)
 Other income
                                   -19          -7          -12           -9        -7      1        56%        -14%
 net
Operating Income            -15 748       -9 293        -942        -4 268     -14 806    -5 025    1572%      118%
Interest expenses (loss) -884-59
 Operating Income                              -14
                                          -1 938            -12
                                                       -1 042       -2 25216       -47
                                                                                   -47
                                                                                  158     -29
                                                                                          -29
                                                                                            314      394%
                                                                                                    394%
                                                                                                     -15%       -187%
                                                                                                               -187%
                                                                                                               -14%
Interest income -
 Interest expenses              0 -7       -755-27        0 -9           -30
                                                                     1 161         02       3
                                                                                          -1 916    -31%
                                                                                                       0        -11%
                                                                                                              -165%
GMAC - income - GMAC -
 Interest                           1            0           4             1        -2     -9       -68%       -100%
Income from affiliated
 Earnings from continuing 0                163            0           389          0        552        0       -58%
company                            -64         -40          -18          -14       -47    -27       264%        197%
 operations
Earnings from
 Income Tax                 -16 632 -5         0
                                         -11 823           -103
                                                       -1 984            4
                                                                    -4 970     -1498
                                                                                  98
                                                                                   648     -4
                                                                                           -4
                                                                                          -6 853    -95%
                                                                                                     -95%
                                                                                                      738%    -105%
                                                                                                               -105%
                                                                                                               138%
continuing operations
 Net Income (Loss) from
Income Tax
 affiliated companies           0 -17       0   0        0    0       0 3         -17
                                                                                  0        -30       0%
                                                                                                      0        -86%
                                                                                                                0%
Equity income net of
 Equity income net of tax 184 1             0 -1        522 1         0 -1        -1
                                                                                -338       00       -65%
                                                                                                     -65%      -31%
                                                                                                                0%
tax
Minority interests, net of
 Minority interests, net
                                   0,3          0             -1          0        1       0        -127%      0%
 tax                          103           0          -406           0          509           0     -125%     0%
of tax
 Income from continued
Loss before income tax
                            -16 345 0          0
                                         -11 823            13
                                                       -1 868            0
                                                                    -4 970     -14-13
                                                                                   477     0
                                                                                          -6 853    -100%
                                                                                                     775%      -78%
                                                                                                              138%
–operations
  automotive
 Net earnings                      -86          -41          -108         -8      22      -33       -20%      439%
Market Segments
         GM                            F


Automotive    Financial   Automotive       Financial


                            FORD            FORD
 GMNA         GMAC
                          NORTH AM          CREDIT
                            FORD
  GME
                          SOUTH AM
                            FORD
GMLAAM
                           EUROPE

 GMAP                      VOLVO

                          FORD APA
Market Segments
    Change    GM 2008                               GM 2007
      3%




                          Cars 2008                             Cars 2007
                            41%                                   39%
Trucks 2008                           Trucks 2007
    56%                                   61%




        Change
          3%
                 F 2008                              F 2007


                          Cars 2008                           Cars 2007
                            34%                                 31%


   Trucks 2008                        Trucks 2007
       63%                                69%
Risks due to production techniques
 Decline in market -> increase of cost/unit. Companies
  cannot reduce their capacity as quickly as they lose
  market shares
 Suppliers’ distress: Giving up financial support to them
  for avoiding bankruptcy
 Single source of components: Bankruptcy from the sole
  supplier
 Overcapacities (17M/year), very competitive market
   Company incentives = pricing pressure ->            Op.
     Margin decreasing
Risks due to production techniques
 Decline in market -> Comparative Stock
  Price
 Suppliers’ distress & Single source of
  components:
   Ford: 1,600 today; 750 in the future
   GM: One large source of components
     Delphi: Bankrupt since 2005
 Op. Margin: Income Statement
   Overcapacity of 24M in 2008, industry-wide
    (est.)
   Pricing pressure due to Japanese and Korean
    competitors
Risks from Strategy and R&D
 Lack of reliability or defects in new vehicles
   Warranty stable , no delays, no recalls
 New laws:
   Environmental law: California
 Capacity to succeed in implanting brands in
  emerging countries:
   Ford Fiesta, Ford Edge and Ford Transit (last two
    ,good)
 Lower than anticipated acceptance of new
  vehicles.
Risks linked to Credit Companies
 Credit Risk: Paymt Default & collection and servicing
    problems
 Residual Risks: Lower-than-expected salvage value =
    lower transaction profitability
   Strong competition: banks/other financial institutions
 Int’l: Credit Companies = Banks
     Reserve Required Ratios
 Residential Mortgage: Weakness
 Interest Rates Change: Strong impact on the
    consolidated company
     Banks and Portfolios
Income Statement 2yr Horizontal
                          Analysis
Total Company                                         2008                  2007                  V$                 V%
$M                                              GM           Ford    GM            Ford    GM          Ford     GM     Ford
                                                 $            $       $             $
Net Sales                                     148 979 146 277 179 984         172 455 -31 005 -26 178 -17%             -15%
Cost of good sold                             -149 311 -127 103 -165 573 -142 587 16 262 15 484 -10%                   -11%
Gross Profit                                   -332      19 174     -14 411    29 868     14 079 -10 694 -98%          -36%

Selling general and administrative expenses   -14 253 -21 430       -14 412    -21 169     159         -261    -1%        1%
Other income (expense) net                     -6 699    -2629      -4 308     -3 068     -2 391       439     56%     -14%
Operating Income (loss)                       -21 284    -4 885     -4 309     5 631      -16 975 -10 516 394% -187%
Interest expenses                              -2 345    -9 682     -3 388     -10 927    1 043        1 245   -31%    -11%
Interest income - GMAC -                        424           0     1 316          389     -892        -389    -68% -100%
Earnings from continuing operations           -23 205 -14 567       -6 381     -4 907     -16 824 -9 660 264% 197%
Income Tax                                     -1 766        -63    -37 162    1 294      35 396 -1 357        -95% -105%
Net Income (Loss) from affiliated companies    -6 183        163      0        1 161      -6 183       -998     0%     -86%
Equity income net of tax                        186          -214    524           -312    -338         98     -65%    -31%
Minority interests, net of tax                  108           0      -406           0      514          0      -127%      0%
Income from continued operations                 0            9     4 565          41     -4 565       -32     -100% -78%
Net earnings                                  -30 860 -14 672       -38 732    -2 723     7 872 -11 949 -20% 439%
Income Statement 2yr horizontal
                       Analysis
Automotive                                               2008                               2007
$M                                              GM               Ford              GM               Ford
                                                 $        %        $       %        $        %        $      %


Net Sales                                     147 732    100    129 166    100   177 594    100    154 379 100


Cost of good sold                             -149 723   -101   -127 103   -98   -164 946   -93    -142 587 -92

Gross Profit                                   -1 991     -1     2 063      2    12 648      7     11 792    8


Selling general and administrative expenses   -13 147     -9    -11 356    -9    -13 590     -8    -13 660   -9
Other income (expense) net                      -610       0       0        0       0         0     -2 400   -2
Operating Income                              -15 748    -11     -9 293    -7     -942       -1     -4 268   -3
Interest expenses                              -884       -1     -1 938    -2     -1 042     -1     -2 252   -1
Interest income - GMAC -                         0        0      -755      -1       0        0      1 161    1
Income from affiliated company                   0        0       163       0       0        0       389     0
Earnings from continuing operations           -16 632    -11    -11 823    -9     -1 984     -1     -4 970   -3
Income Tax                                       0        0        0        0       0        0        0      0
Equity income net of tax                        184       0        0        0      522       0        0      0
Minority interests, net of tax                  103       0        0        0     -406       0        0      0
Loss before income tax – automotive           -16 345    -11    -11 823    -9     -1 868     -1     -4 970   -3
Income Statement 2yr vertical
                          analysis
Total Company                                    2008                               2007
$M                                      GM               Ford              GM               Ford
                                         $        %        $       %        $        %        $       %
Net Sales                             148 979    100    146 277    100   179 984    100    172 455    100
Cost of good sold                     -149 311   -100   -127 103   -87   -165 573   -92    -142 587   -83
Gross Profit                           -332       0     19 174     13    -14 411     -8    29 868     17
Selling general and administrative
expenses                              -14 253    -10    -21 430    -15   -14 412     -8    -21 169    -12
Other income (expense) net             -6 699     -4     -2629     -2     -4 308     -2     -3 068    -2
Operating Income (loss)               -21 284    -14     -4 885    -3     -4 309     -2     5 631      3
Interest expenses                      -2 345     -2     -9 682    -7     -3 388     -2    -10 927    -6
Interest income - GMAC -                424       0        0       0      1 316      1       389       0
Earnings from continuing operations   -23 205    -16    -14 567    -10    -6 381     -4     -4 907    -3
Income Tax                             -1 766     -1      -63      0     -37 162    -21     1 294      1
Net Income (Loss) from affiliated
companies                              -6 183     -4      163      0        0        0      1 161      1
Equity income net of tax                186       0      -214      0       524       0      -312       0
Minority interests, net of tax          108       0        0       0      -406       0        0        0
Income from continued operations         0        0        9       0      4 565      3       41        0
Net earnings                          -30 860    -21    -14 672    -10   -38 732    -22     -2 723    -2
Income Statement 2 yr vertical
                         analysis
Automotive                                       2008                               2007
$M                                      GM               Ford              GM               Ford
                                         $        %       $        %        $        %       $        %
Net Sales                             147 732    100    129 166    100   177 594     100   154 379    100
Cost of good sold                     -149 723   -101   -127 103   -98   -164 946    -93   -142 587   -92
Gross Profit                           -1 991     -1     2 063      2    12 648       7    11 792      8
Selling general and administrative
expenses                              -13 147     -9    -11 356    -9    -13 590     -8    -13 660    -9
Other income (expense) net              -610      0         0       0                 0     -2 400    -2
Operating Income                      -15 748    -11     -9 293    -7     -942       -1     -4 268    -3
Interest expenses                      -884       -1     -1 938    -2     -1 042     -1     -2 252    -1
Interest income - GMAC -                 0        0      -755      -1       0         0     1 161      1
Income from affiliated company           0        0       163       0       0         0      389       0
Earnings from continuing operations   -16 632    -11    -11 823    -9     -1 984     -1     -4 970    -3
Income Tax                               0        0        0        0       0         0       0        0
Equity income net of tax                184       0        0        0      522        0       0        0
Minority interests, net of tax          103       0        0        0     -406        0       0        0
Loss before income tax – automotive   -16 345    -11    -11 823    -9     -1 868     -1     -4 970    -3
Mix Analysis – General Motors
                                                  Mix Analysis GM

                                        Operating Percentage to                          Change in Operating
                  Percentage of Sales                              Change in Sales                             Total
                                                 Sales                                    Percentage sales
                                                                         Mix Analysis GM
                   2008        2007        2008        2007
                                              Percentage of           %
                                                                    Operating      $          %          $       $
                                                   Sales      Percentage to Sales Change in Sales
                                               2008    2007    2008        2007        %         $
Other Financing     1%         1%Other Financing 1% -27%
                                          -562%            1%       -48%
                                                                 -562%           -1143 -48%-535%-1143 -5218
                                                                              -27%                             -6361
                                 GM Auto
                                 GMNA            58%     62%      -16%          -3%    -23%     -26261
   GM Auto                       GME             23%     21%       -8%         -1%      -8%      -3090
                                 GMLAAM          14%     10%        6%          7%       7%       1366
                                 GAAP            12%     11%       -7%          3%     -12%      -2489
    GMNA           58%         62%         -16%         -3%         -23%        -26261      -13%       15648   -10613
                                 Corporate       -7%      -6%      52%         32%      -5%        612
                                 Total          100% 100%         -20%         -3%     -17%     -31005
     GME           23%         21%         -8%         -1%         -8%        -3090        -7%         755     -2335


   GMLAAM          14%         10%          6%         7%          7%         1366         -1%        -1409     -43


    GAAP           12%         11%         -7%         3%         -12%        -2489        -9%         739     -1750


  Corporate        -7%         -6%         52%         32%         -5%         612         20%        -2645    -2033


     Total         100%       100%         -20%        -3%        -17%       -31005       -16%        7870     -23135
Mix Analysis – Ford Consolidated
                                                                                             Change in
           ($M)    Percentage of          Operating Percentage            Change in     Operating Percentage
                  Sales & Revenues         to Sales & Revenues         Sales & Revenues   Sales & Revenue               Total

                   2008        2007       2008          2007             %          $         %           $              $

Bank                  11%        10%             -2%             1%          -6%         -8       -2%         -3590    -3 774

Non-bank

                   36%         41%         -7%          -2%             -24%       408        -5%        -6737
Ford NA                                                                                                                -6 109

Ford SA                   6%         4%           1%             1%        14%            7         0%           236     58

Ford Europe           27%        21%              1%             0%          7%          12         0%           339    226

Volvo                 10%        10%             -1%             -2%      -17%           49         0%           615   1 028

Ford APA                  4%         4%           0%             0%          -8%          0         0%         -292     -292

Mazda                     0%         0%           0%             0%          0%           0         0%         -259     -287

Other                     0%         0%          -1%             -1%       44%           -1       -1%          -853     -694

Jaguar LR&AM              5%         9%           0%             0%       -54%          -41         0%         -686     -814

                                                                                                                       -10 658
Total                100%       100%             -10%            -2%      -15%          569       -8%         -7637
60%                                     50                                  120%                                    101
                                        50%                                                                         101%
50%                                                                         100%
                                                                                                                                1st Quarter
40%                                                31%       1st Quarter      80%
           28%
                 26% 25%                                                                                                        2nd Quarter
30%                        21%                               2nd Quarter      60%
20%                                                          3rd Quarter      40%     24% 26% 24% 26%                           3rd Quarter
                                    11%       8%
10%                                                          4th Quarter      20%                           0% 2%          2%   4th Quarter
  0%                                                                           0%
           Net Sales and            Net Income                                        Net Sales and         Net Income
             Revenue                                                                    Revenue




                                                                                                   46 804
                                                                                          46,519 46,804
50,000                                                                      50,000    43,094 43,567
           42,383 37,808
               38,010
40,000                                                        1st Quarter   40,000
                       30,778                                                                                                   1st Quarter
                           30 778                                           30,000
30,000                                                        2nd Quarter
                                                                            20,000                                              2nd Quarter
20,000                                                                      10,000                               891
                                                              3rd Quarter                                   62                  3rd Quarter
10,000                                                                           0
                                                              4th Quarter                                              -722     4th Quarter
                                                                            -10,000    Net Sales and         Net Income
       0                                                                                 Revenue
                              -3,251                                        -20,000
            Net Sales and              Net Income
-10,000       Revenue                        -2,542 -9,596                  -30,000
-20,000                                 -15,471                             -40,000
                                                                                                                    -38,963
                                                                                                                  -38 963
59
                                        59%
60%                                                                    120%                                      103
                                                                                                                103%
50%                                                41%                 100%

40%                                                      1st Quarter    80%                                            1st Quarter
          30% 28%
30%                 22% 20%                              2nd Quarter    60%                                            2nd Quarter

20%                                                      3rd Quarter    40%    25%26%24%26%             28%            3rd Quarter
                                                         4th Quarter                              10%         14%      4th Quarter
10%                                1%         1%                        20%

 0%                                                                      0%
          Net Sales and            Net Income                                  Net Sales and          Net Income
            Revenue                                                              Revenue




                                                                                           44
                                                                                  44242 44116
                                                                               43019            116
50,000                                                                 45000         41078
          43,528
                   41512
              41,512
                                                                       40000
40,000                                                                 35000
                    32,045
                        29,192                                         30000
                                                         1st Quarter                                                   1st Quarter
30,000                    29 192                                       25000
                                                         2nd Quarter                                                   2nd Quarter
                                                                       20000
20,000                                                   3rd Quarter                                                   3rd Quarter
                                                                       15000
10,000                                                   4th Quarter   10000                                           4th Quarter
                                   100                                  5000                             750
      0                                                                    0
                                           -129                        -5000   Net Sales and      -282 Income
                                                                                                   Net    -380
                                                                                                             -2811
           Net Sales and            Net Income
-10,000      Revenue                          -5,976                             Revenue
                                     -8,667
Global Balance Sheet - Assets

                                              GM                      Ford
           December 31,
                                       2008         2007       2008          2007
        (Dollars in millions)
            Current assets               45 731      77 124     175 379      214 658
  Assets
            Non-current assets           45 316      71 759      43 700       64 769

        Total assets                   91 047 148 883 219 079 279 427
                                       $91b            $219b
            Current liabilities          75 733      75 323      68 926       76 047
 Liabilities Non-current liabilities    100 654     109 040     165 518      196 168
            Total Liabilities          $176b
                                        176 387     184 363    $234b
                                                                234 444      272 215
         Minority interests                   814     1 614       1 195        1 421
           Owner Equity                  -86 154     -37 094    -17 311        5 628

Total Liabilities&Owner's Equity       91 047 148 883 218 328 279 264
Global Balance Sheet - Assets
                                                                                                                                        HORIZONTAL
                                               GM                    Ford                    VERTICAL V%          HORIZONTAL V$
                                                                                                                                            V%
December 31,                                                                       2008               2007
                                        2008       2007       2008          2007                                   GM        Ford       GM     Ford
(Dollars in millions)                                                          GM      Ford         GM    Ford
                                                                    Current Assets
Cash and cash equivalents               14 053      24 817    22 049 35 283      15%     10%         17%    13% -10 764 -13 234         -43%   -38%
Loaned securities                              0          0          0      10 267     0%      0%     0%     4%          0 -10 267        0% -100%
Marketable securities                     141        2 354    $12b 5 248
                                                              17 903                   0%      8%     2%     2%    -2 213    12 655     -94%   241%
Total cash and marketable
securities                         $14b
                                    14 194          27 171
                                                              $40b
                                                              39 952 50 798            16%    18%    18%    18% -12 977 -10 846 -137%          104%
Finance Receivables                  $8b
                                     7 711           9 659    99 657 117 916
                                                              $100b10 121
                                                                                       8%     45%     6%    42%    -1 948 -18 259       -20%   -15%
Inventories                         13 042          14 939     8 618                   14%     4%    10%     4%    -1 897    -1 503     -13%   -15%
                                    $13b                       $23b
Equipment on operating leases, net       5 584      11 995    23 120        30 309     6%     11%     8%    11%    -6 411    -7 189     -53%   -24%
Equity in net assets of affiliated
companies                              $0.5b
                                          491        7 079           0             0   1%      0%     5%     0%    -6 588           0   -93%     0%
Other current assets and deferred
                                         4 709       6 281     4 032         5 514     5%      2%     4%     2%    -1 572    -1 482     -25%   -27%
income taxes
Total current assets                    45 731      77 124 175 379 214 658    50%             80%    52%    77% -31 393 -39 279 -342%           23%
                                                                Non-Current Assets
Equity in net assets of
                                         1 655       1 919     1 592         2 853     2%      1%     1%     1%     -264     -1 261     -14%   -44%
nonconsolidated affiliates
Property, net                           39 656      43 017    28 352        35 979     44%    13%    29%    13%    -3 361    -7 627      -8%   -21%
Goodwill and intangible assets, net       265        1 066     1 593         2 069     0%      1%     1%     1%     -801      -476      -75%   -23%
Deferred income taxes                      98        2 116     3 108         3 500     0%      1%     1%     1%    -2 018     -392      -95%   -11%
Prepaid pension                           109       20 175           0             0   0%      0%    14%     0% -20 066             0   -99%     0%
Assets of discontinued/held for sale
                                               0          0     198          7 537     0%      0%     0%     3%          0   -7 339       0%   -97%
operations
Other assets                             3 533       3 466     8 857        12 831     4%      4%     2%     5%         67   -3 974       2%   -31%
Total non-current assets                45 316      71 759    43 700        64 769     50%    20%    48%    23% -26 443 -21 069         -37%   -33%
Total assets                           91 047 148 883 219 079 279 427 100% 100% 100% 100% -57 836 -60 348                                 -4          0
Current = CR = CA / CL
Liquidity                                                  Quick = Q = CA-Inv / CL


                        3.5
                          3
                                        GM’s Cr < .7,
                        2.5
                          2
                                   GM is illiquid since 2006.
                        1.5          So ,there is risk of
    CR = 0.56
    CR = 0.56
    Q = 0.38
                          1
                        0.5
                                             bankruptcy
    Q = 0.38              0
                                                                                                            latest
                                  1999     2000    2001    2002   2003   2004   2005   2006   2007   2008
                                                                                                              Qtr
                Current Ratio     0.64     0.58    0.66    2.9    3.45   3.27   3.21   0.95   0.86   0.56   0.56
    Industry    Quick Ratio       0.3      0.27    0.39    1.48   2.29   2.2    1.92   0.47   0.52   0.29   0.29
    CR = 0,83
     Q= 1,05              3.5
                              3                     Ford’s Cr > 2.00,
                          2.5            Ford is in excess of liquidity since
                                          2007; it can either invest in Fixed
    CR = 1.23                 2
                                         Assets, R&D, Buy back shares, pay
    Q = 1.17              1.5
                                           dividends, retire bonds, buy a
                          0.5
                              1
                                         Co., put money into bond sinking       ERROR!!!
                                            fund, develop the banking
                              0
                                            activities, or advertise more                                   latest
                                  1999      2000   2001    2002   2003   2004   2005   2006   2007   2008
                                                                                                              Qtr
                 Current Ratio     1.02     0.81    0.76   1.01    1.1   1.06   1.18   0.75   2.32   2.22   2.22
                 Quick Ratio       0.7      0.5     0.45    0.7   0.65   0.74   0.83   0.55   2.06   1.78   1.78
260

                  210

                  160

                  110

                   60

                   10

                  -40
                         1999    2000      2001    2002    2003    2004     2005    2006      2007    2008
Days Sales Outstanding   11.1    10.8      11.6    20.6    35.7     39.4    34.9    20.9      8.3      9.5
Days Inventory           32.9     27       26.6    23.8    25.1     26.5    28.4    31.3      31.7     33.9
Payables Period          59.7    59.2      65.9    63.9    63.5     61.9    62.7    64.3      63.2     62.7
Cash Conversion Cycle    -15.8   -21.3     -27.7   -19.4    -2.7     4       0.6    -12.1    -23.3    -19.3
                  260
                                         DSO= A/R x 360 / Sales
                  210
                                          ICD= Inv x 360 / CGS
                  160                     APD= A/P x 360 / CGS
                  110                    CCC= DSO + ICD - APD
                   60

                   10
                                                                                     Error?!
                  -40
                         1999    2000      2001    2002    2003    2004    2005    2006     2007     2008
Days Sales Outstanding   9.7     13.3      9.5     4.8     5.3     9.2     14.9    18.6     124
                                                                                            123.6    260
                                                                                                     260.3
Days Inventory           18.5    20.2      19.4    19.2    22.7    26.8    26.5    26.7     27.8     26.9
Payables Period          42.7    42.7      43.5    44.2     42     49.4    55.8    56.7     56.8     51.1
Cash Conversion Cycle    -14.4   -9.3      -14.6   -20.2   -14     -13.4   -14.4   -11.4    95
                                                                                             94.6    236
                                                                                                     236.1
GM                            F
                                              2008             2007       2008       2007
Liquidity
CURRENT          CA/CL                         55,8             86,5       1.22       1.03
QUICK            (CA-INV)/CL                   38,1             65,0       1.16       0.97
Profitability
ROA              NI/TA                        -34%             -26%        -7%        -1%
ROE              (NI-PS Div)/CE                36%             104%        85%       -48%
ROS              NI/SALES                     -21%             -22%       -10%        -2%
Cash
Management
DSO              REC/(SALES7360)                19                19        15          17
ICD              INV/(CGS/360)                  31                32        24          26
APD              PAY/(CGS/360)                  54                64        42          53
CCC              DSO+ICD-APD                    -4               -12        -2         -10
Market Value
DPS              DIV/WSO                         $0               $1         $0         $0
EPS              (NI-PSD)/WSO               -$53,30          -$68,43     -$6,45     -$1,38
DIV PAYOUT       DPS/EPS                         0%              -1%        0%         0%
WSO                                             579              566      2273       1979
MKT CAP          O/S*Mkt price       $1 953 546 339   $1 811 389 597         $0         $0
Turnover
ASSET TURN       SALES/TA                       1,6              1,2        0,7        0,6
INV TURN         CGS/INV                       11,4             11,1       14,7       14,1
REC TURN         SALES/REC                     19,3             18,6       24,1       21,0
Leverage
DEBT/ASSETS      TL/TA                       194%             124%        107%       97%
DEBT/EQUITY      TL/TOE                    -204,7%          -497,0%    -1354,3%   4836,8%
TIE              Op. Inc./Int.Exp.             -9,1             -1,4       16,3      15,3
Productivity
SALES/EMPLOYEE                            $613 082         $676 632    $686 746   $701 037
NI/EMPLOYEE                              -$126 996        -$145 609    -$68 883   -$11 069
Bond Analysis
Bond Ratings:
                            Risks and Returns on Different Classes of
•The higher the                            Securities
risk, the higher
the return
demanded
• Nationally                                                              CCC bonds

Recognized                                                            BB bonds
Statistical Rating
                     Rate of Return

                                                            A bonds
Organizations
                                                AAA bonds
    • Moody’s                         Short Term

    • S&P
                                      US Treasury
                                          Bills
                                                  Risk of Investors
Bond Analysis - Ford
 Even THEY would not buy themselves
 - Negative trend
  - Speculative Bonds to Substandard Ones
  - (Horrible to Very Bad…)
 Consequence:
- Difficulty to generate capital to the
  Company
- => Bankruptcy
Bond Analysis - GM


                        GM                          GMAC                        ResCap



NRSRO
                           Senior
        Corporate Secured Unsecured Outlook Senior Debt    Outlook     Senior Debt   Outlook
DBRS                                                       Watch -                    Watch-
          CC    CCC (low)    CC   Negative     RD         Positive         D         Positive
Fitch
           C      CCC        C    Negative     C          Developing       C         Stable
Mood
 y’s       Ca      B3        C    Negative    CCC         Negative         CC        Negative
 S&P                                                       Review-                   Review -
          CC      CCC        C    Negative    CCC         Negative         C         Negative
Global Balance Sheet - Liabilities
                                                                                                                                                        HORIZONTAL
                                                   GM                      Ford                       VERTICAL V%                HORIZONTAL V$
                                                                                                                                                            V%
December 31,                                                                                       2008            2007
                                            2008        2007        2008          2007                                            GM         Ford       GM    Ford
(Dollars in millions)                                                                         GM          Ford   GM    Ford
                                                                        Current Liabilities
Accounts payable (principally trade)         22 259      29 469      14 772        20 832      24%          7%   20%     7%       -7 210     -6 060 -24%      -29%
Short-term borrowings and current
portion of long-term debt                    16 946      10 955      21 759        27 543      19%         10%    7%     10%       5 991     -5 784 55%       -21%
Accrued expenses                             35 921      34 024      32 395        27 672      39%         15%   23%     10%       1 897      4 723 6%         17%
Other liabilities and deferred income
taxes                                           607         875           0             0       1%          0%    1%      0%       -268           0 -31%        0%
Total current liabilities                    75 733      75 323      68 926        76 047      83%         32%   51%     27%        410      -7 121 1%         -9%
                                                                     Non-Current Liabilities
Long-term debt                               29 594      33 384    132 437        141 244      33%         61%   22%     51%      -3 790     -8 807 -11%       -6%
Postretirement benefits other than
pensions                                     28 919      47 375       5 358        23 760      32%          2%   32%     9%    -$18b
                                                                                                                                 -18 456    -18 402 -39%      -77%
                                             25 178      11 381      11 435         6 678      28%          5%    8%     2%       13 797      4 757 121%       71%
Pensions
Other liabilities and deferred income                                                                                           $14b
taxes                                        16 963      16 900      16 233        19 662      19%          7%   11%     7%            63    -3 429      0%   -17%
Liabilities of discontinued/held-for-sale
operations                                        0           0         55          4 824       0%          0%   0%       2%           0 -4 769 0%            -99%
Total non-current liabilities               100 654     109 040    165 518        196 168     111%         76% 73%       70%   -$8b-4%-$31b -16%
                                                                                                                                  -8 386 -30 650 -8%          -16%
Total Liabilities                           176 387     184 363    234 444        272 215     194%        107% 124%      97%      -7 976 -37 771 -4%          -14%
Minority interests                              814       1 614      1 195          1 421       1%          1%   1%       1%        -800    -226 -50%         -16%
                                                                  Stockholders’ Deficit / Equity
Common Stock                                  1 017        943             24            22     1%          0%      1%   0%            74           2    8%     9%
Capital surplus (principally additional
paid-in capital)                             15 755      15 319       9 076         7 834      17%          4% 10%        3%         436 1 242 3% 16%
Retained earnings (deficit)                 -70 610     -39 392     -16 145        -1 485     -78%         -7% -26%      -1%     -31 218 -14 660 79% 987%
Accumulated other comprehensive
income/loss                                 -32 316     -13 964     -10 085          -558     -35%         -5% -9%       0%      -18 352 -9 527 131% 1707%
Treasury Stock                                    0           0        -181          -185       0%          0%   0%      0%            0       4 0%     -2%
Owner Equity                                -86 154     -37 094     -17 311         5 628     -95%         -8% -25%      2%      -49 060 -22 939 132% -408%
Total Liabilities&Owner's Equity            91 047 148 883 218 328 279264                     100% 100% 100% 100% -57 836 -60 936 78% -437%
Global Balance Sheet - Assets
                                                                                                                                       HORIZONTAL
                                              GM                    Ford                    VERTICAL V%          HORIZONTAL V$
                                                                                                                                           V%
December 31,                                                                      2008               2007
                                       2008       2007       2008          2007                                   GM        Ford       GM      Ford
(Dollars in millions)                                                         GM      Ford         GM    Ford
                                                                   Current Assets
Cash and cash equivalents              14 053      24 817    22 049 35 283      15%     10%         17%    13% -10 764 -13 234         -43%    -38%
Loaned securities                             0          0          0      10 267     0%      0%     0%     4%          0 -10 267        0% -100%
Marketable securities                    141        2 354    17 903         5 248     0%      8%     2%     2%    -2 213    12 655     -94%    241%
Total cash and marketable
securities
                                       14 194      27 171    39 952        50 798     16%    18%    18%    18% -12 977 -10 846 -137%           104%
Finance Receivables                     7 711       9 659    99 657 117 916           8%     45%     6%    42%    -1 948 -18 259       -20%    -15%
Inventories                            13 042      14 939     8 618        10 121     14%     4%    10%     4%    -1 897    -1 503     -13%    -15%
Equipment on operating leases, net  5 584          11 995    23 120        30 309     6%     11%     8%    11%    -6 411    -7 189     -53%    -24%
Equity in net assets of affiliated
                                      491           7 079           0             0   1%      0%     5%     0%    -6 588           0   -93%      0%
companies
Other current assets and deferred
                                    4 709           6 281     4 032         5 514     5%      2%     4%     2%    -1 572    -1 482     -25%    -27%
income taxes
Total current assets               45 731          77 124 175 379 214 658    50%             80%    52%    77% -31 393 -39 279 -342%            23%
                                                               Non-Current Assets
Equity in net assets of
                                        1 655       1 919     1 592         2 853     2%      1%     1%     1%      -264    -1 261     -14%    -44%
nonconsolidated affiliates
Property, net                          39 656      43 017    28 352        35 979     44%    13%    29%    13%   -$3b
                                                                                                                  -3 361     -$8b -8%
                                                                                                                            -7 627             -21%
Goodwill and intangible assets, net      265        1 066     1 593         2 069     0%      1%     1%     1%      -801     -476      -75%    -23%
Deferred income taxes                     98        2 116     3 108         3 500     0%      1%     1%     1%    -2 018     -392      -95%    -11%
Prepaid pension                          109       20 175           0             0   0%      0%    14%       -$20b
                                                                                                            0% -20 066             0   0-99%     0%
Assets of discontinued/held for sale
                                              0          0     198          7 537     0%      0%     0%     3%          0   -7 339       0%    -97%
operations
Other assets                            3 533       3 466     8 857        12 831     4%      4%     2%     5%         67   -3 974       2%    -31%
Total non-current assets               45 316      71 759    43 700        64 769     50%    20%    48%    23% -26 443 -21 069         -37%    -33%
Total assets                           91 047 148 883 219 079 279 427 100% 100% 100% 100% -57 836 -60 348                                 -4          0
Structure of the Global Balance Sheet
            2008                                                                                                           2008
                                                                                       23%
                               2007            60
                                               40
                                               20                                     2007
  Debt to Assets                                0
                                                                                               2008                  Debt to Assets
                                                                                                    latest
     194%                       2008             1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
                                                 50%                                                  Qtr               107%
                                                                                            20%
                          48% Financial Leverage 13.31 10.04 16.44 54.41 17.75 17.3 32.61 0   0 0      0
                                                      52%
  Debt to Equity              Debt/Equity         6.28 4.72 8.32 29.64 10.75 10.83 19.58  0   0 0
                                                                                                   80%
                                                                                                       0             Debt to Equity
    -204,7%                   50%
                                                                                                                       -1354,3%
                                               60
                                               40                                                             77%
      Interest                                 20
                                                0
                                                                                                                       Interest
     Coverage                                       1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
                                                                                                            latest
                                                                                                              Qtr
                                                                                                                      Coverage
        -9,1               Financial Leverage 10.03 15.28 35.52 52.81 27.12 18.24 20.8    0    49.62    0    0
                                                                                                                         16,3
                      Current assets    Non-current assets                             Current assets     Non-current assets
                           Debt/Equity         5.61 9.11 22.05 29.97 15.55 10.78 11.91    0    29.94    0    0


                                                                                        1% 2%
                                 -18%


                          1%                                                                            27%
Current liabilities                                   29% 34%                          1%
                                                                                             -7%      27%
                                        -33%                                                                           Current liabilities
Non-current liabilities
                                                                                                                       Non-current liabilities
Minority interests
                                                                                                                       Minority interests
Owner Equity
                                      0%                                                                               Owner Equity

                                                    38%                               65%

                                  49%
                                           2008                                 70%
                                                                                            2008
                                           2007                                             2007
2005: Sales of Electro-Motive Division (EMD) for $201M
                      2006: Sale of 51% of GMAC for $7.4b
                               2005: Delphi restructuring activities
                        2006: $3.5b Net loss from continuing operations


                                                       2006:

                       1999     2000       2001     2002     2003     2004      2005     2006    2007      2008
Cash from Financing    8610     14120      22372    26667    58922    21475     3480  -3 -3767 -5 593
                                                                                          767 -5593        3843
Cash from Investing    -34994   -33773     -23171   -41377   -55492   -31768 8 565
                                                                                8565   19 695 -1760
                                                                                         19695             -1764
Cash from Operations   27030    19750      9166     17109    7600      13061   -16856   -11759   7731      -12065
                                                                           -16 856 -11 759


                                   Ford sold Hertz in 2005 for
                                             $200M

                                         2006: $.50 Dividend per share



                       1999     2000       2001     2002     2003     2004      2005     2006    2007      2008
Cash from Financing    12213    3771       -2976    -10333   -5132    -9865    -20651   15 273
                                                                                         15273   -5242     -9104
Cash from Investing    -40282   -36151     -17169   -3620    -6325    -14851
                                                                               7 7457
                                                                                  457   -24864   -6483     -3143
Cash from Operations   29811    33764      22764    18633    20195    24514     21674    9609    17074   -179
                                                                                                           -179
ROS= NI / Sales
                                                                   ROA = NI / TA
   Profitability                                                   ROE= NI / TOE
        35.00%
        25.00%
        15.00%
         5.00%
        -5.00%
       -15.00%
       -25.00%
       -35.00%
       -45.00%
       -55.00%
                   1999     2000      2001      2002     2003       2004      2005      2006      2007      2008
Return on Assets   2.23%    1.50%    0.16%     0.49%     0.93%      0.60%    -2.21%    -0.60%    -23.12%   -25.72%
Return on Equity   33.24%   17.09%   2.01%     12.74%    23.83%     10.59%   -49.94%   -43.21%     0         0

        35.00%
        25.00%
        15.00%
         5.00%
        -5.00%
       -15.00%
       -25.00%
       -35.00%
       -45.00%
       -55.00%
                   1999     2000      2001      2002     2003       2004      2005      2006      2007      2008
Return on Assets   2.81%    1.23%    -1.95%    -0.35%    0.16%      1.15%    0.72%     -4.60%    -0.98%    -5.90%
Return on Equity   28.35%   14.96%   -41.43%   -14.88%   5.74%      25.18%   13.96%      0         0         0
30.00%
         25.00%
         20.00%
         15.00%
         10.00%
             5.00%
             0.00%
         -5.00%
        -10.00%
        -15.00%
                     1999     2000     2001     2002     2003     2004     2005     2006     2007      2008      TTM
Operating Margin     9.50%    9.10%    5.70%    5.20%    6.70%    6.80%    -0.60%   -3.70%   -2.40%   -14.30%   -14.30%
EBT Margin           5.10%    3.90%    0.90%    1.10%    1.60%    0.60%    -8.80%   -2.40%   -3.50%   -19.70%   -19.70%
Gross Margin         28.20%   21.10%   18.80%   17.90%   18.00%   17.30%   11.20%   20.60%   8.20%    -1.10%    -1.10%


         30.00%
         25.00%
         20.00%
         15.00%
         10.00%
             5.00%
             0.00%
         -5.00%
        -10.00%
        -15.00%
                     1999     2000     2001     2002     2003     2004     2005     2006     2007      2008      TTM
Operating Margin     11.40%   10.40%   2.10%    6.00%    4.90%    6.20%    4.00%    -5.10%   3.30%    -9.40%    -9.40%
EBT Margin           6.80%    4.80%    -4.70%   0.60%    0.80%    2.80%    1.10%    -9.40%   -2.20%   -9.80%    -9.80%
Gross Margin         26.80%   25.80%   20.50%   23.40%   20.90%   20.90%   18.20%   6.90%    17.30%   13.10%    13.10%
40000
             30000
             20000
             10000
                 0
             -10000
             -20000
             -30000
             -40000
             -50000
                       1999       2000    2001     2002     2003     2004         2005    2006     2007       2008
Cash from Operations   27030      19750   9166     17109    7600     13061       -16856   -11759   7731      -12065
Cap Ex                 -30549    -31605   -26671   -24067   -19091   -22077      -23675   -7933      0        -7530
Free Cash Flow         -3519     -11855   -17505   -6958    -11491   -9016
                                                                              -4 -40531
                                                                                 531      -19692
                                                                                                   00        -19595

              40000
              35000
              30000
              25000
              20000
              15000
              10000
               5000
                  0
              -5000
             -10000
             -15000
                       1999       2000    2001     2002     2003     2004         2005    2006     2007       2008
Cash from Operations   29811      33764   22764    18633    20195    24514       21674    9609     17074      -179
Cap Ex                 -8535      -8348   -7008    -7278    -7749    -6745        -7517   -6848    -6022      -6696
Free Cash Flow         21276
                                2525416
                                   416    15756    11355    12446    17769       14157    2761     11052
                                                                                                         -6 875
                                                                                                             -6875
Capital Expenditures Analysis - Ford

                                            Capital Expenditures Analysis

   Pb Assets/ ($M) Assets % P&E additions % P&E addition 2008 P&E addition 2007

        Segments              2008 2007      2008         2007      % of Assets % to Dep % of Assets % to Dep
     Bank (Ford Credit)       67%     57%     1%          0%            0%            0%        0%         0%
   Other Financing Services    5%     4%      0%          1%            0%        86%           0%        153%
            Elims             -4%     0%      0%          0%            0%         0%           0%         0%
   Non-bank (Automotive)      33%     40%     99%         99%           3%        60%           2%         88%
          Other               -1%     -1%      0%         0%            0%         0%           0%          0%
            Total             100% 100%       100%        100%          3%            0%        2%         46%



                                      Capital Expenditures Ford Automotive
     Pb Assets/ ($M)                P&E additions %              P&E addition 2008         P&E addition 2007
          Segments                   2008          2007     % of Assets      % to Dep      % of Assets   % to Dep
            Ford NA                   2%             1%           2%            45%            1%           76%
             Ford SA                  0%             0%           0%           112%            0%          156%
          Ford Europe                 1%             0%           1%           101%            0%           96%
              Volvo                   0%             0%           0%            74%            0%           98%
            Ford APA                  0%             0%           0%           126%            0%           99%
              Mazda                   0%             0%           0%             0%            0%           0%
         Jaguar LR&AM                 0%             0%           0%             0%            0%          135%
        Total Automotive              3%             2%           3%            58%            2%           88%
Capital Expenditures Analysis - GM
                                                                 Capital Expenditures GM

                                Assets %                           P&E additions %                  P&E addition 2008                   P&E addition 2007


Segments                    2008              2007               2008             2007     % of Assets           % to Dep        % of Assets             % to Dep

Bank (GMAC)                         6%                8%                0%               0%                                                        0%


Other Financing                     -1%               3%                0%               0%                                                        0%
 Segments            2008                 2007              2008          2007        % of Assets     Dep % to Dep       % of Assets    Dep       % to Dep
 Bank (GMAC)         5072      6%     12110      8%          0     0%         0     0%          0% 8100             0%             0%         0           0%
Non-bank
 Other Financing     -565     -1%      4879      3%          0     0%         4     0%          0% 157              0%             0%         0           0%
 Non-bank                                                                           0%
 GMNA                68037  75% 95433    64%   4064 54%   4988                     66%           6% -989    -411%                   5%  1594             313%
GMNA
 GME                 19265 21%
                               75%25201 17%
                                            64%1563 21% 54%
                                                          1311                     17%
                                                                                       66%       8% 1175
                                                                                                         6% 133% -411%              5%    90
                                                                                                                                                   5%1457%      313%
 GMLAAM               7039   8%    7733   5%    370   5%   220                      3%           5%   35    1057%                   3%     5         4400%
 GAAP
GME                  10940 12% 21%15567 10%17% 818 11% 21%899                      12% 17%       7%   67 8% 1221% 133%              6%    14       5%6421%      1457%
 GMA Eliminations   -12117 -13% -11313   -8%    178   2%    41                      1%          -1%    0       0%                   0%     0            0%
 Corporate           -6624  -7%    -727   0%    537   7%    79                      1%          -8% 765       70%                 -11% 38021            0%
 Total
GMLAAM               91047 100% 8%
                                 148883 100% 5%7530 100% 5%
                                                          7542                    100% 3%        8% 9310 5% 124% 1057%              5% 39724       3% 19%       4400%


GAAP                               12%               10%                11%              12%               7%            1221%                     6%           6421%


GMA Eliminations               -13%                   -8%               2%               1%                -1%              0%                     0%               0%


Corporate                           -7%               0%                7%               1%                -8%             70%                    -11%              0%


Total                          100%              100%                100%            100%                  8%             124%                     5%            19%
Banking
 GM
   General Motors Acceptance Corporation
   ResCap
 Ford
   Ford Credit
GMAC vs. GM
            Comparative Income                                Comparative Income &
               &Sales 2008                                        Sales 2007
 $200,000                                          200,000
 $150,000
 $100,000                                          100,000
  $50,000
                                                         0
      $0
                                                                GMAC           GMA          Total
 -$50,000     GMAC             GMA         Total   -100,000

               EBT     Financing Revenue                          EBT   Financing Revenue


             Comparative Total                               Comparative Total Assets 2
              Liabilities 2 years                                     years
 $300,000                                          $300,000
 $200,000                                          $200,000
 $100,000                                          $100,000
      $0                                                 $0
              GMAC             GMA         Total                 GMAC          GMA          Total

                     TL 2008   TL 2007                                  2008   2007
Ford Credit vs. Segments
           Comparative Income &                                             Comparative Income &
               Sales 2008                                                       Sales 2007
$200,000                                                         200000
$150,000                                                         150000
$100,000                                                         100000
 $50,000                                                          50000
      $0                                                              0
-$50,000                                                         -50000

            Ford Credit            Ford            Total                     Ford Credit         Ford      Total
                                Automotive                                                    Automotive

                          EBT     SALES                                                    EBT    SALES


     Comparative Total Assets 2                                      Comparative Total Liabilities
              years                                                          2 years
$300,000                                                         $300,000
$200,000                                                         $200,000
$100,000
                                                                 $100,000
     $0
            Ford Credit            Ford      Ford Total Assets        $0
                                Automotive                                        FC               FA      FT

                          2008    2007                                                     2008   2007
Revenue
Consumer                                           6 737    37%    9 469    45%
Commercial                                         2 368    13%    2 947    14%
Loans held-for-sale                                1 092     6%    1 557    7%
Operating leases                                   8 198    45%    7 214    34%
Total Financing Revenue                           18 395   100%   21 187   100%
Interest expense                                  11 870    65%   14 776    70%
Depreciation expense on operating lease assets     5 483    30%    4 915    23%
Impairment of investment in operating leases       1 234     7%      0      0%
Net financing revenue/(loss)                        192     -1%   1 496     7%
                  Other Revenue
Servicing fees                                    1 782    10%    2 193    10%
Amortization and impairment of servicing rights     0      0%       0      0%
Servicing asset valuation and hedge activities,
                                                   284     -2%     544     -3%
net
Insurance premiums and service revenue earned     4 329    24%    4 378    21%
Gain/(loss) on mortgage and automotive loans,
                                                  1 560    -8%     508     2%
net
Gain on extinguishment of debt                    12 628   69%      563    3%
Investment (loss) income                            446    -2%      473    2%
Gains on sale of equity-method investments, net      0      0%       0     0%
Other income, net of losses                         601     3%     2 732   13%
Total other revenue                               17 050   93%    10 303   49%
Total Net Revenue                                 16 858   92%    11 799   56%
Provision for credit losses                        3 683   20%    3 096    15%
                Noninterest expenses
Compensation and benefits expense                 2 229    12%    2 453    12%
Insurance losses and loss adjustment expenses     2 522    14%    2 451    12%
Other operating expenses                          6 505    35%    5 286    25%
Impairment of goodwill and other intangible
                                                   58      0%      455     2%
assets
Total noninterest expense                         11 314   62%    10 645    50%
EBT                                                1 861   10%    1 942     -9%
Income tax expense/(benefit)                         7      0%     390      2%
Net income/(loss)                                  1 868   10%    2 332    -11%
Revenue
Consumer                                              6 737    9 469     45%    -29%
Commercial                                            2 368    2 947     14%    -20%
Loans held-for-sale                                   1 092    1 557      7%    -30%
Operating leases                                      8 198    7 214     34%     14%
Total Financing Revenue                               18 395   21 187   100%    -13%
Interest expense                                      11 870   14 776    70%    -20%
Depreciation expense on operating lease assets        5 483    4 915     23%     12%
Impairment of investment in operating leases          1 234      0        0%     N/A
Net financing revenue/(loss)                           192     1 496      7%   -113%
                          Other Revenue
Servicing fees                                        1 782    2 193    10%     -19%
Amortization and impairment of servicing rights         0        0       0%       0%
Servicing asset valuation and hedge activities, net    284      544     -3%     -48%
Insurance premiums and service revenue earned         4 329    4 378    21%      -1%
Gain/(loss) on mortgage and automotive loans, net     1 560     508      2%    -407%
Gain on extinguishment of debt                        12 628    563      3%    2143%
Investment (loss) income                               446      473      2%    -194%
Gains on sale of equity-method investments, net         0        0       0%       0%
Other income, net of losses                            601     2 732    13%     -78%
Total other revenue                                   17 050   10 303   49%      65%
Total Net Revenue                                     16 858   11 799   56%      43%
Provision for credit losses                           3 683    3 096    15%      19%
                       Noninterest expenses
Compensation and benefits expense                     2 229    2 453    12%    -9%
Insurance losses and loss adjustment expenses         2 522    2 451    12%     3%
Other operating expenses                              6 505    5 286    25%    23%
Impairment of goodwill and other intangible assets     58       455     2%     -87%
Total noninterest expense                             11 314   10 645    50%     6%
EBT                                                   1 861    1 942     -9%   -196%
Income tax expense/(benefit)                            7       390       2%   -102%
Net income/(loss)                                     1 868    2 332    -11%   -180%
200,000


                                               200,000

150,000


                                               150,000

100,000


                                               100,000

 50,000


                                                50,000

     0
          GMAC           GMA           Total

                                                    0
                                                         GMAC           GMA           Total
-50,000

             EBT   Financing Revenue
                                               -50,000

                                                            EBT   Financing Revenue
(CEFAM) FIN220 - GM/Ford
(CEFAM) FIN220 - GM/Ford
(CEFAM) FIN220 - GM/Ford
(CEFAM) FIN220 - GM/Ford
(CEFAM) FIN220 - GM/Ford
(CEFAM) FIN220 - GM/Ford
(CEFAM) FIN220 - GM/Ford
(CEFAM) FIN220 - GM/Ford
(CEFAM) FIN220 - GM/Ford
(CEFAM) FIN220 - GM/Ford
(CEFAM) FIN220 - GM/Ford
(CEFAM) FIN220 - GM/Ford
(CEFAM) FIN220 - GM/Ford
(CEFAM) FIN220 - GM/Ford
(CEFAM) FIN220 - GM/Ford
(CEFAM) FIN220 - GM/Ford
(CEFAM) FIN220 - GM/Ford
(CEFAM) FIN220 - GM/Ford
(CEFAM) FIN220 - GM/Ford
(CEFAM) FIN220 - GM/Ford
(CEFAM) FIN220 - GM/Ford
(CEFAM) FIN220 - GM/Ford
(CEFAM) FIN220 - GM/Ford
(CEFAM) FIN220 - GM/Ford
(CEFAM) FIN220 - GM/Ford
(CEFAM) FIN220 - GM/Ford
(CEFAM) FIN220 - GM/Ford
(CEFAM) FIN220 - GM/Ford

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(CEFAM) FIN220 - GM/Ford

  • 1.
  • 2. Bankruptcy  When businesses become insolvent, meaning they service their debts, they have two possibilities  Reorganization (Chapter 7)  IR down  Term to maturity up  Some debt exchanged for equity  Liquidation (Chapter 11)  When the company is deemed to be to far to be saved
  • 4. Risks due to Political and Economic Situation gas prices .> shift in demand: SUVs and light  Volatility of trucks to smaller cars  Slowing economic growth ->cars=durable goods-> purchases delayed  Commodities prices -> GM/Ford dependent of steel and plastics  Cessations of govt incentives on certain vehicles  Geopolitical events such as war of restrictive customs are bad for the business  Currency
  • 6. 2.20 Company Name Toyota Motor Corporation 2.10 2.10 Volkswagen AG 2.00 Toyota Motor Corporation 1.93 Daimler AG 102,527 1.90 1.88 Tata Motors, Ltd. Corporation Toyota Motor 1.80 13.764 1.79 Volkswagen AG 400 Volkswagen AG 84,633 1.70 369.928 58.167 General Motors Corporation 8.102 Daimler AG 1.60 76.658 1.62 Honda Motor Company 44,440 350 1.50 1.50 General Motors Corporation 322.045 229.460 Daimler AG 1.40 General Motors Corporation Daimler AG 30,599 80.094 Ford Motor Company 300 1.30 Ford Motor Company Fuji Heavy Industries 273.216 Ford Motor Company 24,992 1.20 92.758 149.733 1.10 243.000 FiatHonda Motor Company S.p.A. 250 Industry Average Fiat S.p.A. 19,069 1.00 213.000 111.863 0.95 0.90 198.348 Nissan Motor Nissan Motor 200 0.80 Bayerische Motoren Werke AG 186.421 149.021 Honda Motor Company18,662 0.70 0.62 158.201 Fiat S.p.A. Bayerische Motoren Werke AG Nissan0.60 150 Motor Nissan Motor 18,128 0.50 0.59 Bayerische Motoren Werke AG Fuji Heavy Industries Fiat S.p.A. 100.041 8,466 0.40 100 0.30 Bayerische Motoren Werke AG 146.277 Industry Average Honda Motor Company Ford Motor Company 0.20 6,535 148.979 36.364 Tata Motors, Ltd. 50 0.10 Toyota Heavy Industries Fuji Motor Corporation General Motors Corporation 27.884 2,045 0.00 Fuji Heavy Industries 0 -0.10 0 Tata Motors, Ltd. -0.11 1 Volkswagen AGLtd. Tata Motors, 1,966 -0.20
  • 7.
  • 8. +46.37 +26.44 -20.64 -95.17 +25.97 +8.88 -7.35 -60.49 Years Sept. 2005 to May 2006 May 2006 to July 2006 July 2006 to June 2007 June 2007 to March 2009 Auto & Truck +0% to +26.44% +26.44 to +5.80% +5.80% to +52.17% +52.17% to -43.00% Manufacturer +2644 basis points -2064 basis points +4637 basis points -9517 basis points S&P 500 Index +0% to +8.88% +8.88% to +1.53% +1.53% to +27.50% +27.50% to -32.99% +888 basis points -735 basis points +2597 basis points -6049 basis points
  • 9.
  • 10. General Motors Corporation Volume Carmakers Luxury Brands Chevrolet GM Daewoo GMC Holden Opel Buick Cadillac Pontiac Vauxhall Saab Wuling Saturn Hummer
  • 11. Ford Motors Company Volume Carmakers Luxury Brands Ford Mazda Mercury Lincoln Volvo
  • 12. GENERAL MOTORS CORPORATION Dividend Max: $1.50 Frequent Dividend Dividend Min: Moderately Frequent No Dividend Dividend $0 FORD Moderately Frequent Dividend MOTORS COMPANY Dividend Max: $12.06 Frequent Dividend Min: Dividend $0 No Dividend
  • 13. 60% 50 120% 101 50% 101% 50% 100% 1st Quarter 40% 31% 1st Quarter 80% 28% 26% 25% 2nd Quarter 30% 21% 2nd Quarter 60% 20% 3rd Quarter 40% 24% 26% 24% 26% 3rd Quarter 11% 8% 10% 4th Quarter 20% 0% 2% 2% 4th Quarter 0% 0% Net Sales and Net Income Net Sales and Net Income Revenue Revenue 46 804 46,519 46,804 50,000 50,000 43,094 43,567 42,383 37,808 38,010 40,000 1st Quarter 40,000 30,778 1st Quarter 30 778 30,000 30,000 2nd Quarter 20,000 2nd Quarter 20,000 10,000 891 3rd Quarter 62 3rd Quarter 10,000 0 4th Quarter -722 4th Quarter -10,000 Net Sales and Net Income 0 Revenue -3,251 -20,000 Net Sales and Net Income -10,000 Revenue -2,542 -9,596 -30,000 -20,000 -15,471 -40,000 -38,963 -38 963
  • 14. $M GM Ford GM Ford $ % $ % $ % $ % $M Sales Net 147 732 GM 100 129 166 Ford100 177 594 GM100 154 379 Ford 100 Cost of good sold -149 723 $ -149 723 -101 % -127 103$ 103 -98 % -164 946 $ -93 % -142 587 -142 $ -92% Gross Profit Net Sales -1 991 414 -1 -1 100 2 083 406 2 063 2 100 12 648 500 7 100 11 792 11 792 479 8100 Cost of general and Selling good sold -415 -100 -100 -353 -87 -87 -460 -92 -92 -396 -83 -83 administrative -13 147 -9 -11 356 -9 13 -13 590 -8 -13 660 -9 17 Gross Profit -1 00 53 13 -40 -8 83 17 expenses Sellingincome and Other general -8 -40 -10 -10 -60 -15 0 -15 0 -40 0 -8 -59 -12 -2 -12 administrative expenses -610 (expense) net 0 0 -2 400 Other income (expense) -15 748 Operating Income -15 748-19 -11 -9 293 -9 293 -7 -7 -942 -942 -12 -1 -2 -4 268 -4 268 -3-2 -4 -2 -9 net Interest expenses -884 -1 -1 938 -2 -1 042 -1 -2 252 -1 Operating Income (loss) Interest income - -59 -14 -14 -14 -3 -3 -12 -2 16 33 0 0 -755 -1 0 0 1 161 1 Interest -expenses GMAC -7 -2 -27 -7 -9 -2 -30 -6 Income from affiliated Interest income - GMAC - 0 1 0 0 163 0 0 0 0 4 0 1 389 1 0 0 company Earnings from continuing Earnings from -64 -16 -40 -10 -18 -4 -14 -3 operations -16 632 -11 -11 823 -9 -1 984 -1 -4 970 -3 continuing operations Income Tax -5 -5 -1 -1 0 0 0 0 -103 -103 -21 -21 44 1 1 Income Tax (Loss) from Net Income 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Equity income net of -17 -4 0 0 0 0 3 1 affiliated companies 184 0 0 0 522 0 0 0 tax Equity income net of tax 1 0 -1 0 1 0 -1 0 Minority interests, net of Minority interests, net of tax 103 0,3 tax 0 0 0 0 0 0 -406 -1 0 0 0 0 0 0 Income from continued Loss before income tax operations -16 345 0 -16 345 -11 0 -11 823 0 -11 823 -9 -9 0 -1 86813 -1 -1 3 -1 -4 9700 -4 970 -3 0 -3 – automotive Net earnings -86 -86 -21 -21 -41 -41 -10 -10 -108 -108 -22 -22 -8 -8 -2 -2
  • 15. $M GM Ford GM Ford GM Ford GM Ford $M $ GM $ Ford $ GM $ Ford GM Ford GM Ford Net Sales 147 732 $ 129 166 $ 177 594$ 154 379 $ -29 862 -25 213 -17% -16% Cost Sales Net of good sold -149 723414 -127 103 406 -164 946 -142 587 500 479 15 -86 223 -86 -73 15 484 -73 -17% -9% -17% -15% -11% -15% Gross of good sold Cost Profit -1 991 -415 2 063 -353 12 648 -460 11 792 -396 -1445639 45 -9 729 43 43 -116% -10% -10% -83% -11% -11% Selling general and 39 -30 -98% -36% Gross Profit -1 53 -40 83 39 -30 -98% -36% administrative -13 147 -11 356 -13 590 -13 660 443 2 304 -3% -17% Selling general and expenses -40 -60 -40 -59 0 -1 -1% 1% Other income expenses administrative -610 0 0 -2 400 -610 2 400 #DIV/0! -100% (expense) net (expense) Other income -19 -7 -12 -9 -7 1 56% -14% net Operating Income -15 748 -9 293 -942 -4 268 -14 806 -5 025 1572% 118% Interest expenses (loss) -884-59 Operating Income -14 -1 938 -12 -1 042 -2 25216 -47 -47 158 -29 -29 314 394% 394% -15% -187% -187% -14% Interest income - Interest expenses 0 -7 -755-27 0 -9 -30 1 161 02 3 -1 916 -31% 0 -11% -165% GMAC - income - GMAC - Interest 1 0 4 1 -2 -9 -68% -100% Income from affiliated Earnings from continuing 0 163 0 389 0 552 0 -58% company -64 -40 -18 -14 -47 -27 264% 197% operations Earnings from Income Tax -16 632 -5 0 -11 823 -103 -1 984 4 -4 970 -1498 98 648 -4 -4 -6 853 -95% -95% 738% -105% -105% 138% continuing operations Net Income (Loss) from Income Tax affiliated companies 0 -17 0 0 0 0 0 3 -17 0 -30 0% 0 -86% 0% Equity income net of Equity income net of tax 184 1 0 -1 522 1 0 -1 -1 -338 00 -65% -65% -31% 0% tax Minority interests, net of Minority interests, net 0,3 0 -1 0 1 0 -127% 0% tax 103 0 -406 0 509 0 -125% 0% of tax Income from continued Loss before income tax -16 345 0 0 -11 823 13 -1 868 0 -4 970 -14-13 477 0 -6 853 -100% 775% -78% 138% –operations automotive Net earnings -86 -41 -108 -8 22 -33 -20% 439%
  • 16. Market Segments GM F Automotive Financial Automotive Financial FORD FORD GMNA GMAC NORTH AM CREDIT FORD GME SOUTH AM FORD GMLAAM EUROPE GMAP VOLVO FORD APA
  • 17. Market Segments Change GM 2008 GM 2007 3% Cars 2008 Cars 2007 41% 39% Trucks 2008 Trucks 2007 56% 61% Change 3% F 2008 F 2007 Cars 2008 Cars 2007 34% 31% Trucks 2008 Trucks 2007 63% 69%
  • 18. Risks due to production techniques  Decline in market -> increase of cost/unit. Companies cannot reduce their capacity as quickly as they lose market shares  Suppliers’ distress: Giving up financial support to them for avoiding bankruptcy  Single source of components: Bankruptcy from the sole supplier  Overcapacities (17M/year), very competitive market  Company incentives = pricing pressure -> Op. Margin decreasing
  • 19. Risks due to production techniques  Decline in market -> Comparative Stock Price  Suppliers’ distress & Single source of components:  Ford: 1,600 today; 750 in the future  GM: One large source of components  Delphi: Bankrupt since 2005  Op. Margin: Income Statement  Overcapacity of 24M in 2008, industry-wide (est.)  Pricing pressure due to Japanese and Korean competitors
  • 20. Risks from Strategy and R&D  Lack of reliability or defects in new vehicles  Warranty stable , no delays, no recalls  New laws:  Environmental law: California  Capacity to succeed in implanting brands in emerging countries:  Ford Fiesta, Ford Edge and Ford Transit (last two ,good)  Lower than anticipated acceptance of new vehicles.
  • 21. Risks linked to Credit Companies  Credit Risk: Paymt Default & collection and servicing problems  Residual Risks: Lower-than-expected salvage value = lower transaction profitability  Strong competition: banks/other financial institutions  Int’l: Credit Companies = Banks  Reserve Required Ratios  Residential Mortgage: Weakness  Interest Rates Change: Strong impact on the consolidated company  Banks and Portfolios
  • 22. Income Statement 2yr Horizontal Analysis Total Company 2008 2007 V$ V% $M GM Ford GM Ford GM Ford GM Ford $ $ $ $ Net Sales 148 979 146 277 179 984 172 455 -31 005 -26 178 -17% -15% Cost of good sold -149 311 -127 103 -165 573 -142 587 16 262 15 484 -10% -11% Gross Profit -332 19 174 -14 411 29 868 14 079 -10 694 -98% -36% Selling general and administrative expenses -14 253 -21 430 -14 412 -21 169 159 -261 -1% 1% Other income (expense) net -6 699 -2629 -4 308 -3 068 -2 391 439 56% -14% Operating Income (loss) -21 284 -4 885 -4 309 5 631 -16 975 -10 516 394% -187% Interest expenses -2 345 -9 682 -3 388 -10 927 1 043 1 245 -31% -11% Interest income - GMAC - 424 0 1 316 389 -892 -389 -68% -100% Earnings from continuing operations -23 205 -14 567 -6 381 -4 907 -16 824 -9 660 264% 197% Income Tax -1 766 -63 -37 162 1 294 35 396 -1 357 -95% -105% Net Income (Loss) from affiliated companies -6 183 163 0 1 161 -6 183 -998 0% -86% Equity income net of tax 186 -214 524 -312 -338 98 -65% -31% Minority interests, net of tax 108 0 -406 0 514 0 -127% 0% Income from continued operations 0 9 4 565 41 -4 565 -32 -100% -78% Net earnings -30 860 -14 672 -38 732 -2 723 7 872 -11 949 -20% 439%
  • 23. Income Statement 2yr horizontal Analysis Automotive 2008 2007 $M GM Ford GM Ford $ % $ % $ % $ % Net Sales 147 732 100 129 166 100 177 594 100 154 379 100 Cost of good sold -149 723 -101 -127 103 -98 -164 946 -93 -142 587 -92 Gross Profit -1 991 -1 2 063 2 12 648 7 11 792 8 Selling general and administrative expenses -13 147 -9 -11 356 -9 -13 590 -8 -13 660 -9 Other income (expense) net -610 0 0 0 0 0 -2 400 -2 Operating Income -15 748 -11 -9 293 -7 -942 -1 -4 268 -3 Interest expenses -884 -1 -1 938 -2 -1 042 -1 -2 252 -1 Interest income - GMAC - 0 0 -755 -1 0 0 1 161 1 Income from affiliated company 0 0 163 0 0 0 389 0 Earnings from continuing operations -16 632 -11 -11 823 -9 -1 984 -1 -4 970 -3 Income Tax 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Equity income net of tax 184 0 0 0 522 0 0 0 Minority interests, net of tax 103 0 0 0 -406 0 0 0 Loss before income tax – automotive -16 345 -11 -11 823 -9 -1 868 -1 -4 970 -3
  • 24. Income Statement 2yr vertical analysis Total Company 2008 2007 $M GM Ford GM Ford $ % $ % $ % $ % Net Sales 148 979 100 146 277 100 179 984 100 172 455 100 Cost of good sold -149 311 -100 -127 103 -87 -165 573 -92 -142 587 -83 Gross Profit -332 0 19 174 13 -14 411 -8 29 868 17 Selling general and administrative expenses -14 253 -10 -21 430 -15 -14 412 -8 -21 169 -12 Other income (expense) net -6 699 -4 -2629 -2 -4 308 -2 -3 068 -2 Operating Income (loss) -21 284 -14 -4 885 -3 -4 309 -2 5 631 3 Interest expenses -2 345 -2 -9 682 -7 -3 388 -2 -10 927 -6 Interest income - GMAC - 424 0 0 0 1 316 1 389 0 Earnings from continuing operations -23 205 -16 -14 567 -10 -6 381 -4 -4 907 -3 Income Tax -1 766 -1 -63 0 -37 162 -21 1 294 1 Net Income (Loss) from affiliated companies -6 183 -4 163 0 0 0 1 161 1 Equity income net of tax 186 0 -214 0 524 0 -312 0 Minority interests, net of tax 108 0 0 0 -406 0 0 0 Income from continued operations 0 0 9 0 4 565 3 41 0 Net earnings -30 860 -21 -14 672 -10 -38 732 -22 -2 723 -2
  • 25. Income Statement 2 yr vertical analysis Automotive 2008 2007 $M GM Ford GM Ford $ % $ % $ % $ % Net Sales 147 732 100 129 166 100 177 594 100 154 379 100 Cost of good sold -149 723 -101 -127 103 -98 -164 946 -93 -142 587 -92 Gross Profit -1 991 -1 2 063 2 12 648 7 11 792 8 Selling general and administrative expenses -13 147 -9 -11 356 -9 -13 590 -8 -13 660 -9 Other income (expense) net -610 0 0 0 0 -2 400 -2 Operating Income -15 748 -11 -9 293 -7 -942 -1 -4 268 -3 Interest expenses -884 -1 -1 938 -2 -1 042 -1 -2 252 -1 Interest income - GMAC - 0 0 -755 -1 0 0 1 161 1 Income from affiliated company 0 0 163 0 0 0 389 0 Earnings from continuing operations -16 632 -11 -11 823 -9 -1 984 -1 -4 970 -3 Income Tax 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Equity income net of tax 184 0 0 0 522 0 0 0 Minority interests, net of tax 103 0 0 0 -406 0 0 0 Loss before income tax – automotive -16 345 -11 -11 823 -9 -1 868 -1 -4 970 -3
  • 26. Mix Analysis – General Motors Mix Analysis GM Operating Percentage to Change in Operating Percentage of Sales Change in Sales Total Sales Percentage sales Mix Analysis GM 2008 2007 2008 2007 Percentage of % Operating $ % $ $ Sales Percentage to Sales Change in Sales 2008 2007 2008 2007 % $ Other Financing 1% 1%Other Financing 1% -27% -562% 1% -48% -562% -1143 -48%-535%-1143 -5218 -27% -6361 GM Auto GMNA 58% 62% -16% -3% -23% -26261 GM Auto GME 23% 21% -8% -1% -8% -3090 GMLAAM 14% 10% 6% 7% 7% 1366 GAAP 12% 11% -7% 3% -12% -2489 GMNA 58% 62% -16% -3% -23% -26261 -13% 15648 -10613 Corporate -7% -6% 52% 32% -5% 612 Total 100% 100% -20% -3% -17% -31005 GME 23% 21% -8% -1% -8% -3090 -7% 755 -2335 GMLAAM 14% 10% 6% 7% 7% 1366 -1% -1409 -43 GAAP 12% 11% -7% 3% -12% -2489 -9% 739 -1750 Corporate -7% -6% 52% 32% -5% 612 20% -2645 -2033 Total 100% 100% -20% -3% -17% -31005 -16% 7870 -23135
  • 27. Mix Analysis – Ford Consolidated Change in ($M) Percentage of Operating Percentage Change in Operating Percentage Sales & Revenues to Sales & Revenues Sales & Revenues Sales & Revenue Total 2008 2007 2008 2007 % $ % $ $ Bank 11% 10% -2% 1% -6% -8 -2% -3590 -3 774 Non-bank 36% 41% -7% -2% -24% 408 -5% -6737 Ford NA -6 109 Ford SA 6% 4% 1% 1% 14% 7 0% 236 58 Ford Europe 27% 21% 1% 0% 7% 12 0% 339 226 Volvo 10% 10% -1% -2% -17% 49 0% 615 1 028 Ford APA 4% 4% 0% 0% -8% 0 0% -292 -292 Mazda 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0 0% -259 -287 Other 0% 0% -1% -1% 44% -1 -1% -853 -694 Jaguar LR&AM 5% 9% 0% 0% -54% -41 0% -686 -814 -10 658 Total 100% 100% -10% -2% -15% 569 -8% -7637
  • 28. 60% 50 120% 101 50% 101% 50% 100% 1st Quarter 40% 31% 1st Quarter 80% 28% 26% 25% 2nd Quarter 30% 21% 2nd Quarter 60% 20% 3rd Quarter 40% 24% 26% 24% 26% 3rd Quarter 11% 8% 10% 4th Quarter 20% 0% 2% 2% 4th Quarter 0% 0% Net Sales and Net Income Net Sales and Net Income Revenue Revenue 46 804 46,519 46,804 50,000 50,000 43,094 43,567 42,383 37,808 38,010 40,000 1st Quarter 40,000 30,778 1st Quarter 30 778 30,000 30,000 2nd Quarter 20,000 2nd Quarter 20,000 10,000 891 3rd Quarter 62 3rd Quarter 10,000 0 4th Quarter -722 4th Quarter -10,000 Net Sales and Net Income 0 Revenue -3,251 -20,000 Net Sales and Net Income -10,000 Revenue -2,542 -9,596 -30,000 -20,000 -15,471 -40,000 -38,963 -38 963
  • 29. 59 59% 60% 120% 103 103% 50% 41% 100% 40% 1st Quarter 80% 1st Quarter 30% 28% 30% 22% 20% 2nd Quarter 60% 2nd Quarter 20% 3rd Quarter 40% 25%26%24%26% 28% 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter 10% 14% 4th Quarter 10% 1% 1% 20% 0% 0% Net Sales and Net Income Net Sales and Net Income Revenue Revenue 44 44242 44116 43019 116 50,000 45000 41078 43,528 41512 41,512 40000 40,000 35000 32,045 29,192 30000 1st Quarter 1st Quarter 30,000 29 192 25000 2nd Quarter 2nd Quarter 20000 20,000 3rd Quarter 3rd Quarter 15000 10,000 4th Quarter 10000 4th Quarter 100 5000 750 0 0 -129 -5000 Net Sales and -282 Income Net -380 -2811 Net Sales and Net Income -10,000 Revenue -5,976 Revenue -8,667
  • 30. Global Balance Sheet - Assets GM Ford December 31, 2008 2007 2008 2007 (Dollars in millions) Current assets 45 731 77 124 175 379 214 658 Assets Non-current assets 45 316 71 759 43 700 64 769 Total assets 91 047 148 883 219 079 279 427 $91b $219b Current liabilities 75 733 75 323 68 926 76 047 Liabilities Non-current liabilities 100 654 109 040 165 518 196 168 Total Liabilities $176b 176 387 184 363 $234b 234 444 272 215 Minority interests 814 1 614 1 195 1 421 Owner Equity -86 154 -37 094 -17 311 5 628 Total Liabilities&Owner's Equity 91 047 148 883 218 328 279 264
  • 31. Global Balance Sheet - Assets HORIZONTAL GM Ford VERTICAL V% HORIZONTAL V$ V% December 31, 2008 2007 2008 2007 2008 2007 GM Ford GM Ford (Dollars in millions) GM Ford GM Ford Current Assets Cash and cash equivalents 14 053 24 817 22 049 35 283 15% 10% 17% 13% -10 764 -13 234 -43% -38% Loaned securities 0 0 0 10 267 0% 0% 0% 4% 0 -10 267 0% -100% Marketable securities 141 2 354 $12b 5 248 17 903 0% 8% 2% 2% -2 213 12 655 -94% 241% Total cash and marketable securities $14b 14 194 27 171 $40b 39 952 50 798 16% 18% 18% 18% -12 977 -10 846 -137% 104% Finance Receivables $8b 7 711 9 659 99 657 117 916 $100b10 121 8% 45% 6% 42% -1 948 -18 259 -20% -15% Inventories 13 042 14 939 8 618 14% 4% 10% 4% -1 897 -1 503 -13% -15% $13b $23b Equipment on operating leases, net 5 584 11 995 23 120 30 309 6% 11% 8% 11% -6 411 -7 189 -53% -24% Equity in net assets of affiliated companies $0.5b 491 7 079 0 0 1% 0% 5% 0% -6 588 0 -93% 0% Other current assets and deferred 4 709 6 281 4 032 5 514 5% 2% 4% 2% -1 572 -1 482 -25% -27% income taxes Total current assets 45 731 77 124 175 379 214 658 50% 80% 52% 77% -31 393 -39 279 -342% 23% Non-Current Assets Equity in net assets of 1 655 1 919 1 592 2 853 2% 1% 1% 1% -264 -1 261 -14% -44% nonconsolidated affiliates Property, net 39 656 43 017 28 352 35 979 44% 13% 29% 13% -3 361 -7 627 -8% -21% Goodwill and intangible assets, net 265 1 066 1 593 2 069 0% 1% 1% 1% -801 -476 -75% -23% Deferred income taxes 98 2 116 3 108 3 500 0% 1% 1% 1% -2 018 -392 -95% -11% Prepaid pension 109 20 175 0 0 0% 0% 14% 0% -20 066 0 -99% 0% Assets of discontinued/held for sale 0 0 198 7 537 0% 0% 0% 3% 0 -7 339 0% -97% operations Other assets 3 533 3 466 8 857 12 831 4% 4% 2% 5% 67 -3 974 2% -31% Total non-current assets 45 316 71 759 43 700 64 769 50% 20% 48% 23% -26 443 -21 069 -37% -33% Total assets 91 047 148 883 219 079 279 427 100% 100% 100% 100% -57 836 -60 348 -4 0
  • 32. Current = CR = CA / CL Liquidity Quick = Q = CA-Inv / CL 3.5 3 GM’s Cr < .7, 2.5 2 GM is illiquid since 2006. 1.5 So ,there is risk of CR = 0.56 CR = 0.56 Q = 0.38 1 0.5 bankruptcy Q = 0.38 0 latest 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Qtr Current Ratio 0.64 0.58 0.66 2.9 3.45 3.27 3.21 0.95 0.86 0.56 0.56 Industry Quick Ratio 0.3 0.27 0.39 1.48 2.29 2.2 1.92 0.47 0.52 0.29 0.29 CR = 0,83 Q= 1,05 3.5 3 Ford’s Cr > 2.00, 2.5 Ford is in excess of liquidity since 2007; it can either invest in Fixed CR = 1.23 2 Assets, R&D, Buy back shares, pay Q = 1.17 1.5 dividends, retire bonds, buy a 0.5 1 Co., put money into bond sinking ERROR!!! fund, develop the banking 0 activities, or advertise more latest 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Qtr Current Ratio 1.02 0.81 0.76 1.01 1.1 1.06 1.18 0.75 2.32 2.22 2.22 Quick Ratio 0.7 0.5 0.45 0.7 0.65 0.74 0.83 0.55 2.06 1.78 1.78
  • 33. 260 210 160 110 60 10 -40 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Days Sales Outstanding 11.1 10.8 11.6 20.6 35.7 39.4 34.9 20.9 8.3 9.5 Days Inventory 32.9 27 26.6 23.8 25.1 26.5 28.4 31.3 31.7 33.9 Payables Period 59.7 59.2 65.9 63.9 63.5 61.9 62.7 64.3 63.2 62.7 Cash Conversion Cycle -15.8 -21.3 -27.7 -19.4 -2.7 4 0.6 -12.1 -23.3 -19.3 260 DSO= A/R x 360 / Sales 210 ICD= Inv x 360 / CGS 160 APD= A/P x 360 / CGS 110 CCC= DSO + ICD - APD 60 10 Error?! -40 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Days Sales Outstanding 9.7 13.3 9.5 4.8 5.3 9.2 14.9 18.6 124 123.6 260 260.3 Days Inventory 18.5 20.2 19.4 19.2 22.7 26.8 26.5 26.7 27.8 26.9 Payables Period 42.7 42.7 43.5 44.2 42 49.4 55.8 56.7 56.8 51.1 Cash Conversion Cycle -14.4 -9.3 -14.6 -20.2 -14 -13.4 -14.4 -11.4 95 94.6 236 236.1
  • 34. GM F 2008 2007 2008 2007 Liquidity CURRENT CA/CL 55,8 86,5 1.22 1.03 QUICK (CA-INV)/CL 38,1 65,0 1.16 0.97 Profitability ROA NI/TA -34% -26% -7% -1% ROE (NI-PS Div)/CE 36% 104% 85% -48% ROS NI/SALES -21% -22% -10% -2% Cash Management DSO REC/(SALES7360) 19 19 15 17 ICD INV/(CGS/360) 31 32 24 26 APD PAY/(CGS/360) 54 64 42 53 CCC DSO+ICD-APD -4 -12 -2 -10 Market Value DPS DIV/WSO $0 $1 $0 $0 EPS (NI-PSD)/WSO -$53,30 -$68,43 -$6,45 -$1,38 DIV PAYOUT DPS/EPS 0% -1% 0% 0% WSO 579 566 2273 1979 MKT CAP O/S*Mkt price $1 953 546 339 $1 811 389 597 $0 $0 Turnover ASSET TURN SALES/TA 1,6 1,2 0,7 0,6 INV TURN CGS/INV 11,4 11,1 14,7 14,1 REC TURN SALES/REC 19,3 18,6 24,1 21,0 Leverage DEBT/ASSETS TL/TA 194% 124% 107% 97% DEBT/EQUITY TL/TOE -204,7% -497,0% -1354,3% 4836,8% TIE Op. Inc./Int.Exp. -9,1 -1,4 16,3 15,3 Productivity SALES/EMPLOYEE $613 082 $676 632 $686 746 $701 037 NI/EMPLOYEE -$126 996 -$145 609 -$68 883 -$11 069
  • 35. Bond Analysis Bond Ratings: Risks and Returns on Different Classes of •The higher the Securities risk, the higher the return demanded • Nationally CCC bonds Recognized BB bonds Statistical Rating Rate of Return A bonds Organizations AAA bonds • Moody’s Short Term • S&P US Treasury Bills Risk of Investors
  • 36. Bond Analysis - Ford  Even THEY would not buy themselves  - Negative trend - Speculative Bonds to Substandard Ones - (Horrible to Very Bad…)  Consequence: - Difficulty to generate capital to the Company - => Bankruptcy
  • 37. Bond Analysis - GM GM GMAC ResCap NRSRO Senior Corporate Secured Unsecured Outlook Senior Debt Outlook Senior Debt Outlook DBRS Watch - Watch- CC CCC (low) CC Negative RD Positive D Positive Fitch C CCC C Negative C Developing C Stable Mood y’s Ca B3 C Negative CCC Negative CC Negative S&P Review- Review - CC CCC C Negative CCC Negative C Negative
  • 38. Global Balance Sheet - Liabilities HORIZONTAL GM Ford VERTICAL V% HORIZONTAL V$ V% December 31, 2008 2007 2008 2007 2008 2007 GM Ford GM Ford (Dollars in millions) GM Ford GM Ford Current Liabilities Accounts payable (principally trade) 22 259 29 469 14 772 20 832 24% 7% 20% 7% -7 210 -6 060 -24% -29% Short-term borrowings and current portion of long-term debt 16 946 10 955 21 759 27 543 19% 10% 7% 10% 5 991 -5 784 55% -21% Accrued expenses 35 921 34 024 32 395 27 672 39% 15% 23% 10% 1 897 4 723 6% 17% Other liabilities and deferred income taxes 607 875 0 0 1% 0% 1% 0% -268 0 -31% 0% Total current liabilities 75 733 75 323 68 926 76 047 83% 32% 51% 27% 410 -7 121 1% -9% Non-Current Liabilities Long-term debt 29 594 33 384 132 437 141 244 33% 61% 22% 51% -3 790 -8 807 -11% -6% Postretirement benefits other than pensions 28 919 47 375 5 358 23 760 32% 2% 32% 9% -$18b -18 456 -18 402 -39% -77% 25 178 11 381 11 435 6 678 28% 5% 8% 2% 13 797 4 757 121% 71% Pensions Other liabilities and deferred income $14b taxes 16 963 16 900 16 233 19 662 19% 7% 11% 7% 63 -3 429 0% -17% Liabilities of discontinued/held-for-sale operations 0 0 55 4 824 0% 0% 0% 2% 0 -4 769 0% -99% Total non-current liabilities 100 654 109 040 165 518 196 168 111% 76% 73% 70% -$8b-4%-$31b -16% -8 386 -30 650 -8% -16% Total Liabilities 176 387 184 363 234 444 272 215 194% 107% 124% 97% -7 976 -37 771 -4% -14% Minority interests 814 1 614 1 195 1 421 1% 1% 1% 1% -800 -226 -50% -16% Stockholders’ Deficit / Equity Common Stock 1 017 943 24 22 1% 0% 1% 0% 74 2 8% 9% Capital surplus (principally additional paid-in capital) 15 755 15 319 9 076 7 834 17% 4% 10% 3% 436 1 242 3% 16% Retained earnings (deficit) -70 610 -39 392 -16 145 -1 485 -78% -7% -26% -1% -31 218 -14 660 79% 987% Accumulated other comprehensive income/loss -32 316 -13 964 -10 085 -558 -35% -5% -9% 0% -18 352 -9 527 131% 1707% Treasury Stock 0 0 -181 -185 0% 0% 0% 0% 0 4 0% -2% Owner Equity -86 154 -37 094 -17 311 5 628 -95% -8% -25% 2% -49 060 -22 939 132% -408% Total Liabilities&Owner's Equity 91 047 148 883 218 328 279264 100% 100% 100% 100% -57 836 -60 936 78% -437%
  • 39. Global Balance Sheet - Assets HORIZONTAL GM Ford VERTICAL V% HORIZONTAL V$ V% December 31, 2008 2007 2008 2007 2008 2007 GM Ford GM Ford (Dollars in millions) GM Ford GM Ford Current Assets Cash and cash equivalents 14 053 24 817 22 049 35 283 15% 10% 17% 13% -10 764 -13 234 -43% -38% Loaned securities 0 0 0 10 267 0% 0% 0% 4% 0 -10 267 0% -100% Marketable securities 141 2 354 17 903 5 248 0% 8% 2% 2% -2 213 12 655 -94% 241% Total cash and marketable securities 14 194 27 171 39 952 50 798 16% 18% 18% 18% -12 977 -10 846 -137% 104% Finance Receivables 7 711 9 659 99 657 117 916 8% 45% 6% 42% -1 948 -18 259 -20% -15% Inventories 13 042 14 939 8 618 10 121 14% 4% 10% 4% -1 897 -1 503 -13% -15% Equipment on operating leases, net 5 584 11 995 23 120 30 309 6% 11% 8% 11% -6 411 -7 189 -53% -24% Equity in net assets of affiliated 491 7 079 0 0 1% 0% 5% 0% -6 588 0 -93% 0% companies Other current assets and deferred 4 709 6 281 4 032 5 514 5% 2% 4% 2% -1 572 -1 482 -25% -27% income taxes Total current assets 45 731 77 124 175 379 214 658 50% 80% 52% 77% -31 393 -39 279 -342% 23% Non-Current Assets Equity in net assets of 1 655 1 919 1 592 2 853 2% 1% 1% 1% -264 -1 261 -14% -44% nonconsolidated affiliates Property, net 39 656 43 017 28 352 35 979 44% 13% 29% 13% -$3b -3 361 -$8b -8% -7 627 -21% Goodwill and intangible assets, net 265 1 066 1 593 2 069 0% 1% 1% 1% -801 -476 -75% -23% Deferred income taxes 98 2 116 3 108 3 500 0% 1% 1% 1% -2 018 -392 -95% -11% Prepaid pension 109 20 175 0 0 0% 0% 14% -$20b 0% -20 066 0 0-99% 0% Assets of discontinued/held for sale 0 0 198 7 537 0% 0% 0% 3% 0 -7 339 0% -97% operations Other assets 3 533 3 466 8 857 12 831 4% 4% 2% 5% 67 -3 974 2% -31% Total non-current assets 45 316 71 759 43 700 64 769 50% 20% 48% 23% -26 443 -21 069 -37% -33% Total assets 91 047 148 883 219 079 279 427 100% 100% 100% 100% -57 836 -60 348 -4 0
  • 40. Structure of the Global Balance Sheet 2008 2008 23% 2007 60 40 20 2007 Debt to Assets 0 2008 Debt to Assets latest 194% 2008 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 50% Qtr 107% 20% 48% Financial Leverage 13.31 10.04 16.44 54.41 17.75 17.3 32.61 0 0 0 0 52% Debt to Equity Debt/Equity 6.28 4.72 8.32 29.64 10.75 10.83 19.58 0 0 0 80% 0 Debt to Equity -204,7% 50% -1354,3% 60 40 77% Interest 20 0 Interest Coverage 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 latest Qtr Coverage -9,1 Financial Leverage 10.03 15.28 35.52 52.81 27.12 18.24 20.8 0 49.62 0 0 16,3 Current assets Non-current assets Current assets Non-current assets Debt/Equity 5.61 9.11 22.05 29.97 15.55 10.78 11.91 0 29.94 0 0 1% 2% -18% 1% 27% Current liabilities 29% 34% 1% -7% 27% -33% Current liabilities Non-current liabilities Non-current liabilities Minority interests Minority interests Owner Equity 0% Owner Equity 38% 65% 49% 2008 70% 2008 2007 2007
  • 41. 2005: Sales of Electro-Motive Division (EMD) for $201M 2006: Sale of 51% of GMAC for $7.4b 2005: Delphi restructuring activities 2006: $3.5b Net loss from continuing operations 2006: 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Cash from Financing 8610 14120 22372 26667 58922 21475 3480 -3 -3767 -5 593 767 -5593 3843 Cash from Investing -34994 -33773 -23171 -41377 -55492 -31768 8 565 8565 19 695 -1760 19695 -1764 Cash from Operations 27030 19750 9166 17109 7600 13061 -16856 -11759 7731 -12065 -16 856 -11 759 Ford sold Hertz in 2005 for $200M 2006: $.50 Dividend per share 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Cash from Financing 12213 3771 -2976 -10333 -5132 -9865 -20651 15 273 15273 -5242 -9104 Cash from Investing -40282 -36151 -17169 -3620 -6325 -14851 7 7457 457 -24864 -6483 -3143 Cash from Operations 29811 33764 22764 18633 20195 24514 21674 9609 17074 -179 -179
  • 42. ROS= NI / Sales ROA = NI / TA Profitability ROE= NI / TOE 35.00% 25.00% 15.00% 5.00% -5.00% -15.00% -25.00% -35.00% -45.00% -55.00% 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Return on Assets 2.23% 1.50% 0.16% 0.49% 0.93% 0.60% -2.21% -0.60% -23.12% -25.72% Return on Equity 33.24% 17.09% 2.01% 12.74% 23.83% 10.59% -49.94% -43.21% 0 0 35.00% 25.00% 15.00% 5.00% -5.00% -15.00% -25.00% -35.00% -45.00% -55.00% 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Return on Assets 2.81% 1.23% -1.95% -0.35% 0.16% 1.15% 0.72% -4.60% -0.98% -5.90% Return on Equity 28.35% 14.96% -41.43% -14.88% 5.74% 25.18% 13.96% 0 0 0
  • 43. 30.00% 25.00% 20.00% 15.00% 10.00% 5.00% 0.00% -5.00% -10.00% -15.00% 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 TTM Operating Margin 9.50% 9.10% 5.70% 5.20% 6.70% 6.80% -0.60% -3.70% -2.40% -14.30% -14.30% EBT Margin 5.10% 3.90% 0.90% 1.10% 1.60% 0.60% -8.80% -2.40% -3.50% -19.70% -19.70% Gross Margin 28.20% 21.10% 18.80% 17.90% 18.00% 17.30% 11.20% 20.60% 8.20% -1.10% -1.10% 30.00% 25.00% 20.00% 15.00% 10.00% 5.00% 0.00% -5.00% -10.00% -15.00% 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 TTM Operating Margin 11.40% 10.40% 2.10% 6.00% 4.90% 6.20% 4.00% -5.10% 3.30% -9.40% -9.40% EBT Margin 6.80% 4.80% -4.70% 0.60% 0.80% 2.80% 1.10% -9.40% -2.20% -9.80% -9.80% Gross Margin 26.80% 25.80% 20.50% 23.40% 20.90% 20.90% 18.20% 6.90% 17.30% 13.10% 13.10%
  • 44. 40000 30000 20000 10000 0 -10000 -20000 -30000 -40000 -50000 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Cash from Operations 27030 19750 9166 17109 7600 13061 -16856 -11759 7731 -12065 Cap Ex -30549 -31605 -26671 -24067 -19091 -22077 -23675 -7933 0 -7530 Free Cash Flow -3519 -11855 -17505 -6958 -11491 -9016 -4 -40531 531 -19692 00 -19595 40000 35000 30000 25000 20000 15000 10000 5000 0 -5000 -10000 -15000 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Cash from Operations 29811 33764 22764 18633 20195 24514 21674 9609 17074 -179 Cap Ex -8535 -8348 -7008 -7278 -7749 -6745 -7517 -6848 -6022 -6696 Free Cash Flow 21276 2525416 416 15756 11355 12446 17769 14157 2761 11052 -6 875 -6875
  • 45. Capital Expenditures Analysis - Ford Capital Expenditures Analysis Pb Assets/ ($M) Assets % P&E additions % P&E addition 2008 P&E addition 2007 Segments 2008 2007 2008 2007 % of Assets % to Dep % of Assets % to Dep Bank (Ford Credit) 67% 57% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Other Financing Services 5% 4% 0% 1% 0% 86% 0% 153% Elims -4% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Non-bank (Automotive) 33% 40% 99% 99% 3% 60% 2% 88% Other -1% -1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 3% 0% 2% 46% Capital Expenditures Ford Automotive Pb Assets/ ($M) P&E additions % P&E addition 2008 P&E addition 2007 Segments 2008 2007 % of Assets % to Dep % of Assets % to Dep Ford NA 2% 1% 2% 45% 1% 76% Ford SA 0% 0% 0% 112% 0% 156% Ford Europe 1% 0% 1% 101% 0% 96% Volvo 0% 0% 0% 74% 0% 98% Ford APA 0% 0% 0% 126% 0% 99% Mazda 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Jaguar LR&AM 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 135% Total Automotive 3% 2% 3% 58% 2% 88%
  • 46. Capital Expenditures Analysis - GM Capital Expenditures GM Assets % P&E additions % P&E addition 2008 P&E addition 2007 Segments 2008 2007 2008 2007 % of Assets % to Dep % of Assets % to Dep Bank (GMAC) 6% 8% 0% 0% 0% Other Financing -1% 3% 0% 0% 0% Segments 2008 2007 2008 2007 % of Assets Dep % to Dep % of Assets Dep % to Dep Bank (GMAC) 5072 6% 12110 8% 0 0% 0 0% 0% 8100 0% 0% 0 0% Non-bank Other Financing -565 -1% 4879 3% 0 0% 4 0% 0% 157 0% 0% 0 0% Non-bank 0% GMNA 68037 75% 95433 64% 4064 54% 4988 66% 6% -989 -411% 5% 1594 313% GMNA GME 19265 21% 75%25201 17% 64%1563 21% 54% 1311 17% 66% 8% 1175 6% 133% -411% 5% 90 5%1457% 313% GMLAAM 7039 8% 7733 5% 370 5% 220 3% 5% 35 1057% 3% 5 4400% GAAP GME 10940 12% 21%15567 10%17% 818 11% 21%899 12% 17% 7% 67 8% 1221% 133% 6% 14 5%6421% 1457% GMA Eliminations -12117 -13% -11313 -8% 178 2% 41 1% -1% 0 0% 0% 0 0% Corporate -6624 -7% -727 0% 537 7% 79 1% -8% 765 70% -11% 38021 0% Total GMLAAM 91047 100% 8% 148883 100% 5%7530 100% 5% 7542 100% 3% 8% 9310 5% 124% 1057% 5% 39724 3% 19% 4400% GAAP 12% 10% 11% 12% 7% 1221% 6% 6421% GMA Eliminations -13% -8% 2% 1% -1% 0% 0% 0% Corporate -7% 0% 7% 1% -8% 70% -11% 0% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 8% 124% 5% 19%
  • 47. Banking  GM  General Motors Acceptance Corporation  ResCap  Ford  Ford Credit
  • 48. GMAC vs. GM Comparative Income Comparative Income & &Sales 2008 Sales 2007 $200,000 200,000 $150,000 $100,000 100,000 $50,000 0 $0 GMAC GMA Total -$50,000 GMAC GMA Total -100,000 EBT Financing Revenue EBT Financing Revenue Comparative Total Comparative Total Assets 2 Liabilities 2 years years $300,000 $300,000 $200,000 $200,000 $100,000 $100,000 $0 $0 GMAC GMA Total GMAC GMA Total TL 2008 TL 2007 2008 2007
  • 49. Ford Credit vs. Segments Comparative Income & Comparative Income & Sales 2008 Sales 2007 $200,000 200000 $150,000 150000 $100,000 100000 $50,000 50000 $0 0 -$50,000 -50000 Ford Credit Ford Total Ford Credit Ford Total Automotive Automotive EBT SALES EBT SALES Comparative Total Assets 2 Comparative Total Liabilities years 2 years $300,000 $300,000 $200,000 $200,000 $100,000 $100,000 $0 Ford Credit Ford Ford Total Assets $0 Automotive FC FA FT 2008 2007 2008 2007
  • 50. Revenue Consumer 6 737 37% 9 469 45% Commercial 2 368 13% 2 947 14% Loans held-for-sale 1 092 6% 1 557 7% Operating leases 8 198 45% 7 214 34% Total Financing Revenue 18 395 100% 21 187 100% Interest expense 11 870 65% 14 776 70% Depreciation expense on operating lease assets 5 483 30% 4 915 23% Impairment of investment in operating leases 1 234 7% 0 0% Net financing revenue/(loss) 192 -1% 1 496 7% Other Revenue Servicing fees 1 782 10% 2 193 10% Amortization and impairment of servicing rights 0 0% 0 0% Servicing asset valuation and hedge activities, 284 -2% 544 -3% net Insurance premiums and service revenue earned 4 329 24% 4 378 21% Gain/(loss) on mortgage and automotive loans, 1 560 -8% 508 2% net Gain on extinguishment of debt 12 628 69% 563 3% Investment (loss) income 446 -2% 473 2% Gains on sale of equity-method investments, net 0 0% 0 0% Other income, net of losses 601 3% 2 732 13% Total other revenue 17 050 93% 10 303 49% Total Net Revenue 16 858 92% 11 799 56% Provision for credit losses 3 683 20% 3 096 15% Noninterest expenses Compensation and benefits expense 2 229 12% 2 453 12% Insurance losses and loss adjustment expenses 2 522 14% 2 451 12% Other operating expenses 6 505 35% 5 286 25% Impairment of goodwill and other intangible 58 0% 455 2% assets Total noninterest expense 11 314 62% 10 645 50% EBT 1 861 10% 1 942 -9% Income tax expense/(benefit) 7 0% 390 2% Net income/(loss) 1 868 10% 2 332 -11%
  • 51. Revenue Consumer 6 737 9 469 45% -29% Commercial 2 368 2 947 14% -20% Loans held-for-sale 1 092 1 557 7% -30% Operating leases 8 198 7 214 34% 14% Total Financing Revenue 18 395 21 187 100% -13% Interest expense 11 870 14 776 70% -20% Depreciation expense on operating lease assets 5 483 4 915 23% 12% Impairment of investment in operating leases 1 234 0 0% N/A Net financing revenue/(loss) 192 1 496 7% -113% Other Revenue Servicing fees 1 782 2 193 10% -19% Amortization and impairment of servicing rights 0 0 0% 0% Servicing asset valuation and hedge activities, net 284 544 -3% -48% Insurance premiums and service revenue earned 4 329 4 378 21% -1% Gain/(loss) on mortgage and automotive loans, net 1 560 508 2% -407% Gain on extinguishment of debt 12 628 563 3% 2143% Investment (loss) income 446 473 2% -194% Gains on sale of equity-method investments, net 0 0 0% 0% Other income, net of losses 601 2 732 13% -78% Total other revenue 17 050 10 303 49% 65% Total Net Revenue 16 858 11 799 56% 43% Provision for credit losses 3 683 3 096 15% 19% Noninterest expenses Compensation and benefits expense 2 229 2 453 12% -9% Insurance losses and loss adjustment expenses 2 522 2 451 12% 3% Other operating expenses 6 505 5 286 25% 23% Impairment of goodwill and other intangible assets 58 455 2% -87% Total noninterest expense 11 314 10 645 50% 6% EBT 1 861 1 942 -9% -196% Income tax expense/(benefit) 7 390 2% -102% Net income/(loss) 1 868 2 332 -11% -180%
  • 52. 200,000 200,000 150,000 150,000 100,000 100,000 50,000 50,000 0 GMAC GMA Total 0 GMAC GMA Total -50,000 EBT Financing Revenue -50,000 EBT Financing Revenue