Presentation of project in the course "Tools for Risk Mitigation" for M.Sc. "Civil Engineering for Risk Mitigation" at Politecnico di Milano. Submitted by: Maryam Izadifar, Alireza Babaee, Iman Gharraie, Tohid Hejazi Submitted to: Professor Scira Menoni

1. EARTHQUAKE RISK ASSESSMENT OF
ISTANBUL
Course: Tools For Risk Mitigation
Professor Scira Menoni
Students: Maryam Izadifar, Alireza Babaee
Iman Gharraie, Tohid Hejazi
Dec. 2013

2. TABLE OF CONTENTS:
• INTRODUCTION
• HAZARD ASSESSMENT
• EXPOSURE (DAY AND NIGHT)
• PHYSICAL VULNERABILITY
• SYSTEMIC VULNERABILITY
• RISK ASSESSMENT (SCENARIO NO. 1 - DAY)
• RISK ASSESSMENT (SCENARIO NO. 2 - NIGHT)
• MITIGATION MEASURES
• EMERGENCY PLANS

3. INTRODUCTION
• ABOUT 14 MILLIONS INHABITANTS
• VERY HUGE METROPOLITAN AREA
• CONNECTION BETWEEN ASIA AND EUROPE
• HISTORIC PLACE
• MIXTURE OF OLD AND MODERN
• TOURIST ATTRACTION
• BUSINESS AREA

4. HAZARD ASSESSMENT
Hazard
Assessment
Earthquake
Intensity
Slop
Gradient Liquefaction Type of Soil

5. HAZARD MAPNo. NAME
12 EM IN ONU
1 AD AL AR
14 FATIH
4 BAKRIKOY
3 BAHVEL IEVLER
32 ZEYTIN BURNU
15 GUNG OREN
5 BAGCILAR
18 KART AL
28 TUZLA
10 BA YR AMP AS A
21 MALTEPE
19 KAGITHANE
2 AV CILAR
22 PENDIK
17 KADI KOY
20 KU CUKCEKME CE
7 BEYOGLU
13 EYUP
23 SARIYER
8 BESIKTAS
902 ESENLER
30 USKU DAR
26 SISLI
29 UMRANIYE
16 GAZIOSM ANP AS A
6 BEYKOZ

6. EXPOSURE (DAY)12 EMINONU
15 GUNGOREN
10
BAYRAMPAS
A
5 BAGCILAR
7 BEYOGLU
32
ZEYTIN
BURNU
14 FATIH
22 PENDIK
18 KARTAL
26 SISLI
3
BAHVEL
IEVLER
17 KADI KOY
16
GAZIOSMAN
PASA
4 BAKRIKOY
29 UMRANIYE
30 USKU DAR
19 KAGITHANE
28 TUZLA
6 BEYKOZ
23 SARIYER
8 BESIKTAS
2 AVCILAR
13 EYUP
20
KUCUKCEK
MECE
21 MALTEPE
902 ESENLER
1 ADALAR

7. EXPOSURE (NIGHT)16 GAZIOSMANPASA
29 UMRANIYE
5 BAGCILAR
17 KADI KOY
3 BAHVEL IEVLER
30 USKU DAR
22 PENDIK
18 KARTAL
19 KAGITHANE
20 KUCUKCEKMECE
14 FATIH
15 GUNGOREN
26 SISLI
23 SARIYER
7 BEYOGLU
32 ZEYTIN BURNU
10 BAYRAMPASA
6 BEYKOZ
21 MALTEPE
4 BAKRIKOY
8 BESIKTAS
902 ESENLER
13 EYUP
2 AVCILAR
28 TUZLA
12 EMINONU
1 ADALAR

8. PHYSICAL VULNERABILITY
Physical
Vulnerability
Population
Vulnerability
Building
Vulnerability
Infrastructure
Vulnerability
0 1 2 4 5 0 1 3 5 1 2 4 5
No Buildings
Low
Vulnerable
Medium
Vulnerable
High
Vulnerable
Very High
Vulnerable
No Settlement 0%-25% 25%-50% 51% low medium high very high
No. Building Vulnerability Population Vulnerability Vul. Of infrastructure (line)
1 51 0 14 35 0 70 30 0 0 100 0 0 0
2 0 78 22 0 0 50 40 10 0 70 10 10 10
3 0 24 76 0 0 5 65 30 0 30 10 30 30
4 0 25 75 0 0 10 70 20 0 75 10 10 5
5 0 24 76 0 0 0 20 70 10 55 25 20 0
6 0 27 62 11 0 40 40 20 0 100 0 0 0
7 0 0 10 65 25 5 60 35 0 55 25 15 5
8 0 0 75 25 0 10 75 15 0 95 0 5 0
10 0 0 34 66 0 0 30 70 0 55 5 25 15
12 0 0 15 75 10 0 95 0 5 40 30 20 10
13 55 0 35 10 0 50 25 25 0 70 20 5 5
14 0 0 10 80 10 0 50 50 0 5 10 15 70
15 0 0 90 10 0 0 80 20 0 25 10 25 40
16 40 0 45 15 0 50 20 30 0 90 10 0 0
17 0 0 84 16 0 10 50 40 0 70 20 10 0
18 0 6 88 6 0 10 45 45 0 85 10 5 0
19 0 0 40 60 0 5 20 75 0 85 10 5 0
20 0 0 90 10 0 70 5 25 0 70 10 15 5
21 52 14 32 2 0 60 30 10 0 95 5 0 0
22 0 30 64 6 0 10 20 70 0 75 20 5 0
23 0 0 85 15 0 5 25 70 0 100 0 0 0
26 0 60 15 25 0 80 10 10 0 90 10 0 0
28 23 56 21 0 0 60 5 35 0 95 5 0 0
29 0 32 68 0 0 10 10 80 0 100 0 0 0
30 0 2 70 28 0 5 15 80 0 95 5 0 0
32 0 0 95 5 0 10 60 30 0 60 10 20 10
902 0 80 20 0 0 70 5 25 0 80 5 15 0

9. PHYSICAL VULNERABILITY MAP
No. NAME
14 FATIH
7 BEYOGLU
10 BAYRAMPASA
12 EMINONU
19 KAGITHANE
15 GUNGOREN
3 BAHVEL IEVLER
30 USKU DAR
5 BAGCILAR
32 ZEYTIN BURNU
17 KADI KOY
23 SARIYER
8 BESIKTAS
20 KUCUKCEKMECE
22 PENDIK
18 KARTAL
29 UMRANIYE
4 BAKRIKOY
6 BEYKOZ
26 SISLI
16
GAZIOSMANPAS
A
2 AVCILAR
13 EYUP
902 ESENLER
1 ADALAR
28 TUZLA
21 MALTEPE

10. SYSTEMIC VULNERABILITY
1- BUILDING , LINES (ROADS , INFRASTRUCTURE)
VERY HIGH
HIGH
MODERATE

11. SYSTEMIC VULNERABILITY
2- CRITICAL FACILITIES , BUILDINGS

12. SYSTEMIC VULNERABILITY
3- CRITICAL FACILITIES , LINES
PORTS
FIRE STATIONS
SPECIALIZED HOSPITALS
Atatürk Airport
Sabiha Airport

13. SYSTEMIC VULNERABILITY
4- OPEN SPACES , CRITICAL FACILITIES

14. SYSTEMIC VULNERABILITY
5- OPEN SPACES , BUILDINGS

15. SYSTEMIC VULNERABILITY
6- OPEN SPACES , LINES (ROADS, INFRASTRUCTURES

16. SYSTEMIC VULNERABILITY
FINAL ASSESSMENT
0-essential facilities(hospital,port,fire
brigade,airport)
1-building+lines
2-critical
facilities+buildings
3-1-critical facilities+roads
3-2-critical
facilities+infrastructure
4,5,6-open spaces+(critical
facilities,building,lines)
1 -4 1 1 -1 1 -1
2 -3 2.5 1 -1 1 -4
3 -2 3.5 2 -1 2 -1
4 -4 3.5 2 -3 2 -3
5 0 2.5 2 -1 1 -1
6 -4 3 2 -1 1 -4
7 -2 4 3 -1 1 -1
8 -3 4 3 -2 1 -2
10 -2 4 3 -1 3 -1
12 -2 4 4 -1 4 -2
13 -2 3 2.5 -1 2 -4
14 -4 4 4 -3 4 -1
15 -2 4 2 -1 2 -1
16 -2 3 2 -2 1 -4
17 -4 3.5 2 -3 3 -1
18 -3 2 2 -1 2 -2
19 -2 3.5 2.5 -1 1 -1
20 -2 2 1 -1 1 -4
21 -2 2 1.5 -1 1 -3
22 -4 2 2.5 -1 2 -1
23 -4 4 2.5 -1 1 -2
26 -3 4 3 -1 1 -4
28 -2 2 1.5 -1 1 -1
29 -2 2.5 2 -1 1 -4
30 -4 3.5 3.5 -2 1 -1
32 -3 4 2 -2 3 -1
902 0 3 1.5 -1 1 -4

17. SYSTEMIC VULNERABILITY
12
10
7
14
15
3
5
19
32
8
30
13
17
22
23
28
902
18
26
21
29
16
4
1
6
20
2

18. RISK ASSESSMENT
(SCENARIO NO. 1 - DAY)
HAZARD MAP, EXPOSURE MAP (DAY), VULNERABILITY MAPS
12
14
10
7
15
3
5
32
18
4
8
17
19
22
30
23
1
26
28
2
13
16
20
29
902
6
21

19. RISK ASSESSMENT
(SCENARIO NO. 1 - DAY)
REGIONAL ASSESSMENT

20. RISK ASSESSMENT
(SCENARIO NO. 2 - NIGHT)
HAZARD MAP, EXPOSURE MAP (NIGHT), VULNERABILITY MAPS
14 15
3 14
10 14
5 13
7 13
12 13
15 13
18 12
30 12
32 12
17 11
19 11
22 11
4 10
8 10
23 10
20 9
29 9
1 8
13 8
16 8
26 8
28 8
902 8
2 7
6 7
21 7

21. RISK ASSESSMENT
(SCENARIO NO. 2 - NIGHT)
REGIONAL ASSESSMENT

22. MITIGATION MEASURES
SHORT TERM AND LONG TERM
STRUCTURAL MITIGATION MEASURES:
1.STRUCTURAL RETROFITTING (SCHOOLS, HOSPITALS, HISTORICAL PLACES, …)
2.RECONSTRUCTION (SCHOOLS, HOSPITALS)
3.IMPROVEMENT OF BUILDING CODE
4.LANDSLIDE CONSOLIDATION
NON-STRUCTURAL MITIGATION MEASURES:
1.UPGRADING THE EMERGENCY RESPONSE CAPACITY
2.PUBLIC AWARENESS AND TRAINING (FROM SCHOOLS)
3.LAND USE PLANNING (RELOCATION, ZONING, …)
4. SUPPORT TO IMPLEMENTATION (INSURANCE, DISCLOSURE, INCENTIVE)

23. EMERGENCY PLANS
1- EMERGENCY (CRISIS) MANAGEMENT
2- COMMUNICATION
3- SEARCH AND RESCUE OPERATION
4- PUBLIC HEALTH AND MEDICAL SERVICES
5-TRANSPORTATION
6- FIRE FIGHTING
7- HOUSING AND HUMAN SERVICES
8- ENERGY SUPPLY
9- PUBLIC SAFETY AND SECURITY
10- LOGISTIC MANAGEMENT AND RESOURCE SUPPORT

24. THANK YOU FOR YOUR
ATTENTION!