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The Greek Financial Crisis:
The Greek Financial Crisis: The Past
 The Facts of the Past:





Joined the EU in 1991
Old Currency: The Dharma
Population: 11.2 mil
Major Industries: Tourism & Shipping

 Reasons of Joining EU





Access to a competitive market
Solidarity (Euro connection)
Stability
Efficiency
The Greek Financial Crisis:
 http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7inY3k8y4d0
The Greek Financial Crisis: The Past
 Initial Success in Euro Switch
 Increase wages, Early retirement,
 High pensions, Low interest rates,
 Foreign investment

 Maastricht Treaty Obligations:
 Debt Limit Max. 60% GDP (113% in 2009)
 Annual Deficit Max. 3% GDP (14% in 2009)

 Reveals 300 bil. debt. Highest in modern history (2009)
The Greek Financial Crisis: The Past
The Greek Financial Crisis: The Past
 Major Crisis Factors:
 Mismanagement of
Funds
 Inefficient Public
Structure
 Trade Imbalances
 Govt. & Upper Class
Corruption
 Tax Evasion (25-30 bil.
Euros)
The Greek Financial Crisis: The Present
 2010; Greek Gov’t Bonds become “Junk”, Can not privately
finance
 on 2 May, the Eurozone countries and the International Monetary
Fund (IMF) presented a €110 billion bailout loan for Greece. It was
based around 3 key points:
1.
2.
3.

Implementation of austerity measures.
Privatization of government assets worth €50bn by the end of 2015
Structural reforms, to enhance competitiveness.



What is Austerity?
Austerity is a government method of covenants with the
goal of re-stabilzing its debt deficit. Examples:



Lowered Spending
Increased Tax
The Greek Financial Crisis: The Present
Results of 2010 bail out
 Record increase in unemployment
 Abolishment of the trust between the Greek people and the Gov’t.
 Greek economic conditions worsened

2011-2012; Bail Out #2
 Further implementation of Austerity conditions
 All holders of Greek gov’t bonds had to agree to incur a 53% loss
(extremely unpopular)
 €130 billion
 Troika (EU, ECB, IMF) monitor all loans to Greece
 Greece to resume using the private capital markets for debt
refinance and as a source to partly cover its future financial needs

2013; Speculation of a 3rd Bailout
 Rumored that Greece still needs €50 billion from 2015-2020
The Greek Financial Crisis: The Present
Fun Facts
 Rumors of hypocrisy, national self interest conspiring of
EU nations trying to take advantage of Greece
 Huge protests from Greek people who feel they are being
cheated by lenders and are at war with them.
 Greece has lost 40% of its disposable income since crisis
began

 Greek stock market has dropped 85% in less than 4 years
The Greek Financial Crisis: The Present
 Greek currently 160% of GDP, 120% by 2020 (goal)

 Unemployment sitting near 30%
 Wages last two years have fallen 12%
 More than 1.1m jobs lost in the private sector in the past
four years
 Market rigidities in Greece, including state monopolies,
price-fixing by local producers and restricted shopping
hours, keep prices of goods higher than elsewhere in the
eurozone.
The Greek Financial Crisis: The Future
 What would happen if Greece left the Eurozone?
 Greece would have the ability to print currency
 Could cause other countries to follow Greece out of the
Eurozone
 Greece’s absence would cause a decrease in value in the Euro
 Would face minimal austerity measures
The Greek Financial Crisis: The Future
 If Greece stays in the Eurozone and accepts additional

bailouts…
 Greek bank would continue to take losses and continue to
take on more debt

 Austerity measures could be unproductive because of high
unemployment rates
 Private sector will continue to struggle
The Greek Financial Crisis: The Future
The Greek Financial Crisis: The Future
 What needs to be done?
 Tax structure reform (Lagarde List)
 Business regulatory reform
 Less regulation to encourage competition

 Continue to make efforts to increase tourism
 Restore faith in the government
Questions
 Do you believe Greece should leave the Euro zone or stay
within it?
 What do you believe Greece should do to rebuild their
economy and to restore faith in the government?
 Will they make a full recovery?

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International Finance: Greek Financial Crisis

  • 2. The Greek Financial Crisis: The Past  The Facts of the Past:     Joined the EU in 1991 Old Currency: The Dharma Population: 11.2 mil Major Industries: Tourism & Shipping  Reasons of Joining EU     Access to a competitive market Solidarity (Euro connection) Stability Efficiency
  • 3. The Greek Financial Crisis:  http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7inY3k8y4d0
  • 4. The Greek Financial Crisis: The Past  Initial Success in Euro Switch  Increase wages, Early retirement,  High pensions, Low interest rates,  Foreign investment  Maastricht Treaty Obligations:  Debt Limit Max. 60% GDP (113% in 2009)  Annual Deficit Max. 3% GDP (14% in 2009)  Reveals 300 bil. debt. Highest in modern history (2009)
  • 5. The Greek Financial Crisis: The Past
  • 6. The Greek Financial Crisis: The Past  Major Crisis Factors:  Mismanagement of Funds  Inefficient Public Structure  Trade Imbalances  Govt. & Upper Class Corruption  Tax Evasion (25-30 bil. Euros)
  • 7. The Greek Financial Crisis: The Present  2010; Greek Gov’t Bonds become “Junk”, Can not privately finance  on 2 May, the Eurozone countries and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) presented a €110 billion bailout loan for Greece. It was based around 3 key points: 1. 2. 3. Implementation of austerity measures. Privatization of government assets worth €50bn by the end of 2015 Structural reforms, to enhance competitiveness.  What is Austerity? Austerity is a government method of covenants with the goal of re-stabilzing its debt deficit. Examples:   Lowered Spending Increased Tax
  • 8. The Greek Financial Crisis: The Present Results of 2010 bail out  Record increase in unemployment  Abolishment of the trust between the Greek people and the Gov’t.  Greek economic conditions worsened 2011-2012; Bail Out #2  Further implementation of Austerity conditions  All holders of Greek gov’t bonds had to agree to incur a 53% loss (extremely unpopular)  €130 billion  Troika (EU, ECB, IMF) monitor all loans to Greece  Greece to resume using the private capital markets for debt refinance and as a source to partly cover its future financial needs 2013; Speculation of a 3rd Bailout  Rumored that Greece still needs €50 billion from 2015-2020
  • 9. The Greek Financial Crisis: The Present Fun Facts  Rumors of hypocrisy, national self interest conspiring of EU nations trying to take advantage of Greece  Huge protests from Greek people who feel they are being cheated by lenders and are at war with them.  Greece has lost 40% of its disposable income since crisis began  Greek stock market has dropped 85% in less than 4 years
  • 10. The Greek Financial Crisis: The Present  Greek currently 160% of GDP, 120% by 2020 (goal)  Unemployment sitting near 30%  Wages last two years have fallen 12%  More than 1.1m jobs lost in the private sector in the past four years  Market rigidities in Greece, including state monopolies, price-fixing by local producers and restricted shopping hours, keep prices of goods higher than elsewhere in the eurozone.
  • 11. The Greek Financial Crisis: The Future  What would happen if Greece left the Eurozone?  Greece would have the ability to print currency  Could cause other countries to follow Greece out of the Eurozone  Greece’s absence would cause a decrease in value in the Euro  Would face minimal austerity measures
  • 12. The Greek Financial Crisis: The Future  If Greece stays in the Eurozone and accepts additional bailouts…  Greek bank would continue to take losses and continue to take on more debt  Austerity measures could be unproductive because of high unemployment rates  Private sector will continue to struggle
  • 13. The Greek Financial Crisis: The Future
  • 14. The Greek Financial Crisis: The Future  What needs to be done?  Tax structure reform (Lagarde List)  Business regulatory reform  Less regulation to encourage competition  Continue to make efforts to increase tourism  Restore faith in the government
  • 15. Questions  Do you believe Greece should leave the Euro zone or stay within it?  What do you believe Greece should do to rebuild their economy and to restore faith in the government?  Will they make a full recovery?