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Intensive Bank Analysis
                                                    A Three day training course in bank Analysis.




Course Objectives
                                                                                           25th - 27th oct 2011,
The overall goal of this intensive three day workshop is to provide participants with
structured approach to analysing the credit risk of banks and the skills to make an
independent assessment of the strengths and weaknesses of a bank.
                                                                                                           egypt
Participants will be equipped to:
Ÿ Use a structured approach to the analysis of banks, incorporating the CAMELS
    framework within the wider context of the operating environment and support
Ÿ Identify strong & weak performers using a detailed analysis of financial statements
                                                                                         Target Audience
    within the context of local and international accounting and business norms
Ÿ Identify financial, qualitative and market early warning signals of credit migration   Intermediate level workshop for credit risk
Ÿ Stress test bank capital and ability to withstand credit, market and liquidity risk    management, fixed
Ÿ Evaluate strategy and risk management capabilities within the context of the current   income, origination and regulatory
    and future economic climate and changing competitive, political and regulatory
                                                                                         professionals.
    conditions, including Basel III capital and liquidity requirements.




                                                                                          Organised by :


Analytic Overview
The goal of this section is to establish a structured framework of analysis and use
market indicators to give a first view on a credit. Overview of the frameworks and
tools of bank analysis: operating environment, financial fundamentals,
management, support Rating agency approaches: issuer ratings, individual /
financial strength and support ratings
CAMELS (capital, assets, management, earnings, liquidity, sensitivity to market
risk) Market perspective on credit: equity indicators, credit default swap and bond
market indicators                                                                         T : + 91-80-41241378 F :+ 91-80-4126 3672
Purpose and payback model: a structured approach to credit analysis
Key issues in exposures to banks: exposure profile, seniority, safeguards, pricing                    C :Zayeem Ahmed
Case study / exercise: understanding and applying the purpose payback model
and demonstrate the typical borrowing needs and repayment capacity of a                     E-mail trainings@sapienceevents.com
                                                                                                   :
commercial bank.




                       For more details please log on to our website: www.maximevents.in
Intensive Bank Analysis
                                                25th - 27th OCT 2011, Egypt



                                                  Trainer Profile

     Mr BUCAILLE, HEC, Master of Law (Paris); Languages: English, French and German

     Mr Bucaille’s career encompasses two distinct streams: Professional Banker and Teacher.

     He started his career as an Assistant Professor in Finance at HEC Management School, followed by 4
     years with Schneider Electric within the industrial and financial subsidiaries internet audit and financial
     controlling teams.

     In 1976, he joined CIC Banking Group and held a number of positions including Head of CIC’s Financial
     Institutions Group and Corporate Banking Manager. Since 2000, Jean Francois was head of Global Risks
     Analytics at Credit Mutuel CIC with coverage responsibility for Developed and Emerging Markets, and
     the management and development of junior and senior staff.

     Throughout his career he has trained and taught Finance within the financial industry and in an
     academic context. He is known for his unique and interactive training style – he is a passionate trainer:
     Professor of Finance at HEC and University of Caen – Banks and Corporate ratings etc. and within
     industry at the Luxembourg Banking Academy, Germany Banking Academy, Austria Banking Academy.


                                                  Course outline

                                                              Day 1

INTRODUCTION

Introduction to Bank’s credit risk analysis:

Ø   Presentation, course organization
Ø   Contents overview
Ø   Trainer’s advice and guidelines to credit risk analysis



PART 1: - BANKS BUSINESS PROFILE

Section 1: BUSINESS MODEL EVALUATION

Section 2: MANAGEMENT

Section 3: SIZE & MARKET SHARE



                                               SECTION 1: Business Model Evaluation

Ø Banks business segments and performance identification
EXERCISE 1: Identifying banks business segments (IFRS 8), their long term individual contributions
to a bank’s revenues and operating income after cost of risk.

         T : + 91-80-41241378 F : + 91-80-4126 3672 C : Zayeem Ahmed E-mail : trainings@maximevents.in
Intensive Bank Analysis

Ø       Banks business segments specific profitability and risks assessment

EXERCISE 2:Assess the benchmark bank’s profitability level, volatility and specific segments related risks (credit specific risk and concentration,
refinancing risk, forex risk, other market risks, operational risk, etc..). Relate the benchmark bank to an aggressive or more conservative banking
business model


                                                              SECTION 2: Management


Ø       What is a bank’s risk culture?
Ø       Benchmark bank’s evaluation of its management’s experience, achievement, risk culture, organization and corporate governance

Benchmark bank’s management evaluation
Lessons learned

                                                              SECTION 3: SIZE & MARKET SHARE


    Ÿ Benchmark bank’s size and market share evaluation



    GROUP CONCLUSION ON PART 1:

    QUALITATTIVE ASSESSMENT OF THE BENCHMARK BANK’S BUSINESS PROFILE




                                                               Day 2

        PART 2: REGULATION QUALITY & LEADING MACROECONOMICS INDICATORS

        Section 1: REGULATION and SUPERVISION

        Section 2: KEY MACROECONOMICS DATA



                                                  SECTION 1: REGULATION and SUPERVISION

    Ø     Central Banking and Supervisory Watch

    Focus on supervision objectives, adequate means, experience, quality, independence and
    achievement
    Quality assessment of the benchmark bank’s regulation authority

    Ø     BIS Central Banking Forum
    Focus on Basel II and Basel III new approach to minimum required capital rules

    Benchmark bank’s Tier 1 and Tier 2 calculation examples




              T : + 91-80-41241378 F : + 91-80-4126 3672 C : Zayeem Ahmed E-mail : trainings@maximevents.in
Intensive Bank Analysis

                                                       SECTION 2: KEY MACROECONOMICS DATA

 Ø       Leading indicators selection and their direct or indirect influence on credit and market risks
 Ø       Warning signals on macroeconomics deterioration (Market and non market linked)

EXERCISE 3: Risk assessment of the benchmark bank’s country

 GROUP CONCLUSION ON PART 2

     PART 3: FINANCIAL ANALYSIS (CAMELS)

     Section 1: LIQUIDITY TESTING

     Section 2: PROFITABILITY ANALYSIS

     Section 3: ASSET QUALITY STRESS

     Section 4: CAPITAL ADEQUACY


                                                        SECTION 1: LIQUIDITY TESTING

     Ø      Focus on refinancing risk

     EXERCISE 4

                                                        SECTION 2: PROFITABILITY ANALYSIS
     Ø     Focus on profitability after cost of risk

     EXERCISE 5


                                                        SECTION 3: ASSET QUALITY STRESS
     Ø Focus on default probabilities and loss given at default assumptions by asset categories
     Ø compared to balance sheet impaired assets and NPL calculated ratios
     Ø Use of result as a WARNING SIGNAL

     EXERCISE 6


                                                                     Day 2
                                                   SECTION 4: CAPITAL ADEQUACY

     Ø      Focus on the minimum required capital as a function of the bank’s risk profile

     EXERCISE 7


                        PART 4: RECAPITALISATION ISSUES

     Ÿ Focus on shareholders and regulator intervention capacities


           GROUP FINAL RECOMMENDATION

     Ÿ Seminar Evaluation


              T : + 91-80-41241378 F : + 91-80-4126 3672 C : Zayeem Ahmed E-mail : trainings@maximevents.in

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Intensive Bank Analysis

  • 1. Intensive Bank Analysis A Three day training course in bank Analysis. Course Objectives 25th - 27th oct 2011, The overall goal of this intensive three day workshop is to provide participants with structured approach to analysing the credit risk of banks and the skills to make an independent assessment of the strengths and weaknesses of a bank. egypt Participants will be equipped to: Ÿ Use a structured approach to the analysis of banks, incorporating the CAMELS framework within the wider context of the operating environment and support Ÿ Identify strong & weak performers using a detailed analysis of financial statements Target Audience within the context of local and international accounting and business norms Ÿ Identify financial, qualitative and market early warning signals of credit migration Intermediate level workshop for credit risk Ÿ Stress test bank capital and ability to withstand credit, market and liquidity risk management, fixed Ÿ Evaluate strategy and risk management capabilities within the context of the current income, origination and regulatory and future economic climate and changing competitive, political and regulatory professionals. conditions, including Basel III capital and liquidity requirements. Organised by : Analytic Overview The goal of this section is to establish a structured framework of analysis and use market indicators to give a first view on a credit. Overview of the frameworks and tools of bank analysis: operating environment, financial fundamentals, management, support Rating agency approaches: issuer ratings, individual / financial strength and support ratings CAMELS (capital, assets, management, earnings, liquidity, sensitivity to market risk) Market perspective on credit: equity indicators, credit default swap and bond market indicators T : + 91-80-41241378 F :+ 91-80-4126 3672 Purpose and payback model: a structured approach to credit analysis Key issues in exposures to banks: exposure profile, seniority, safeguards, pricing C :Zayeem Ahmed Case study / exercise: understanding and applying the purpose payback model and demonstrate the typical borrowing needs and repayment capacity of a E-mail trainings@sapienceevents.com : commercial bank. For more details please log on to our website: www.maximevents.in
  • 2. Intensive Bank Analysis 25th - 27th OCT 2011, Egypt Trainer Profile Mr BUCAILLE, HEC, Master of Law (Paris); Languages: English, French and German Mr Bucaille’s career encompasses two distinct streams: Professional Banker and Teacher. He started his career as an Assistant Professor in Finance at HEC Management School, followed by 4 years with Schneider Electric within the industrial and financial subsidiaries internet audit and financial controlling teams. In 1976, he joined CIC Banking Group and held a number of positions including Head of CIC’s Financial Institutions Group and Corporate Banking Manager. Since 2000, Jean Francois was head of Global Risks Analytics at Credit Mutuel CIC with coverage responsibility for Developed and Emerging Markets, and the management and development of junior and senior staff. Throughout his career he has trained and taught Finance within the financial industry and in an academic context. He is known for his unique and interactive training style – he is a passionate trainer: Professor of Finance at HEC and University of Caen – Banks and Corporate ratings etc. and within industry at the Luxembourg Banking Academy, Germany Banking Academy, Austria Banking Academy. Course outline Day 1 INTRODUCTION Introduction to Bank’s credit risk analysis: Ø Presentation, course organization Ø Contents overview Ø Trainer’s advice and guidelines to credit risk analysis PART 1: - BANKS BUSINESS PROFILE Section 1: BUSINESS MODEL EVALUATION Section 2: MANAGEMENT Section 3: SIZE & MARKET SHARE SECTION 1: Business Model Evaluation Ø Banks business segments and performance identification EXERCISE 1: Identifying banks business segments (IFRS 8), their long term individual contributions to a bank’s revenues and operating income after cost of risk. T : + 91-80-41241378 F : + 91-80-4126 3672 C : Zayeem Ahmed E-mail : trainings@maximevents.in
  • 3. Intensive Bank Analysis Ø Banks business segments specific profitability and risks assessment EXERCISE 2:Assess the benchmark bank’s profitability level, volatility and specific segments related risks (credit specific risk and concentration, refinancing risk, forex risk, other market risks, operational risk, etc..). Relate the benchmark bank to an aggressive or more conservative banking business model SECTION 2: Management Ø What is a bank’s risk culture? Ø Benchmark bank’s evaluation of its management’s experience, achievement, risk culture, organization and corporate governance Benchmark bank’s management evaluation Lessons learned SECTION 3: SIZE & MARKET SHARE Ÿ Benchmark bank’s size and market share evaluation GROUP CONCLUSION ON PART 1: QUALITATTIVE ASSESSMENT OF THE BENCHMARK BANK’S BUSINESS PROFILE Day 2 PART 2: REGULATION QUALITY & LEADING MACROECONOMICS INDICATORS Section 1: REGULATION and SUPERVISION Section 2: KEY MACROECONOMICS DATA SECTION 1: REGULATION and SUPERVISION Ø Central Banking and Supervisory Watch Focus on supervision objectives, adequate means, experience, quality, independence and achievement Quality assessment of the benchmark bank’s regulation authority Ø BIS Central Banking Forum Focus on Basel II and Basel III new approach to minimum required capital rules Benchmark bank’s Tier 1 and Tier 2 calculation examples T : + 91-80-41241378 F : + 91-80-4126 3672 C : Zayeem Ahmed E-mail : trainings@maximevents.in
  • 4. Intensive Bank Analysis SECTION 2: KEY MACROECONOMICS DATA Ø Leading indicators selection and their direct or indirect influence on credit and market risks Ø Warning signals on macroeconomics deterioration (Market and non market linked) EXERCISE 3: Risk assessment of the benchmark bank’s country GROUP CONCLUSION ON PART 2 PART 3: FINANCIAL ANALYSIS (CAMELS) Section 1: LIQUIDITY TESTING Section 2: PROFITABILITY ANALYSIS Section 3: ASSET QUALITY STRESS Section 4: CAPITAL ADEQUACY SECTION 1: LIQUIDITY TESTING Ø Focus on refinancing risk EXERCISE 4 SECTION 2: PROFITABILITY ANALYSIS Ø Focus on profitability after cost of risk EXERCISE 5 SECTION 3: ASSET QUALITY STRESS Ø Focus on default probabilities and loss given at default assumptions by asset categories Ø compared to balance sheet impaired assets and NPL calculated ratios Ø Use of result as a WARNING SIGNAL EXERCISE 6 Day 2 SECTION 4: CAPITAL ADEQUACY Ø Focus on the minimum required capital as a function of the bank’s risk profile EXERCISE 7 PART 4: RECAPITALISATION ISSUES Ÿ Focus on shareholders and regulator intervention capacities GROUP FINAL RECOMMENDATION Ÿ Seminar Evaluation T : + 91-80-41241378 F : + 91-80-4126 3672 C : Zayeem Ahmed E-mail : trainings@maximevents.in