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National Sample Survey 64th
           Round
    Insights into Datamining and
evaluating factors for Sectoral growth
Agenda
• To Data mine the NSS data for evaluating socio economic
  variables for understanding:
   – Education
   – Health
   – Employment and Income
   – Rural livelihoods and governance issues
   – Income and consumption
   – Sectoral growth driving State Domestic Product growth in
     Karnataka, Rajasthan, Uttarakhand, Chattisgarh and
     Madhya Pradesh
National Sample Survey- A Brief
• NSSO has been conducting multi-subject integrated sample surveys since
  1950.
• Mainly four types

   •   Household Surveys
   •   Enterprise Surveys
   •   Village Facilities
   •   Land & Livestock holdings

• There is a well defined cycle of the surveys extending over a period of 10
  years.
• The surveys are conducted through interviews of a representative sample
  of households selected randomly through a scientific design and cover
  almost the entire geographical area of India.
The Data Model
     Convert 8 text
   files into 7 levels



     Combine all
     states into 7
        levels



      Combine 7
    levels into one
          file
NSS 64th ROUND DATA MODEL
                    LEVEL 2                     LEVEL 3                               LEVEL 1
Common Items                  Common Items                Centre code,Round,Shift
Level                         Level                       FSU Serial number
Filler                        Filler                      Round
HH Size                       Person Srl No.              State-Region
Religion                      Relation                    District
Social Group                  Sex                         FOD Sub-Region
Type of dwelling code         Age                         hg/ sb Number
Type of structure             Marital Status              Second Stage Stratum
MPCE(Rs. 0.00)                General Education           HHS No.
                                                          Level
                                                          Filler


                    LEVEL 4
Common Items
Level
Filler
Item Code
Quantity(0.000)                                                                       LEVEL 7
Value(Rs. in whole no.)                                   Common Items
Source                                                    Level
                                                          Filler
                                                          Item Code
                    LEVEL 5                     LEVEL 6   First-hand purchase:Number
Common Items                  Common Items                Whether hirepurchased?
Level                         Level                       First-hand purchase:Value
Filler                        Filler                      Cost-raw material,service & repair
Item Code                     Item Code                   2nd-hand purchase:Number
Quantity(0.000)               Quantity(0.000)             2nd-hand purchase:Value
Value(Rs. in whole no.)       Value(Rs. in whole no.)     Total expenditure
Social Contributors to well being
• For many years, using a monetary measure like GDP per capita as a proxy
  for the population’s wellbeing made much sense, at least for developed
  countries.
• The consensus on the use of GDP per capita as a good proxy measure of
  well-being is, however, becoming less obvious also for economists, as the
  more developed societies move from a situation of scarcity to a situation
  of plenty.
• While the level and change in gross domestic product (GDP) per capita
  have long been used as the main yardstick for measuring and comparing
  living standards across countries, policy makers and citizens are concerned
  with much more than just GDP per capita.
• An alternative measure of well being are social indicators.
• Social indicators focus on observable outcomes in a variety of fields
  health, literacy, and poverty.
Literacy Rate




                                    0.00%
                                                                                                                                             100.00%




                                            10.00%
                                                     20.00%
                                                                30.00%
                                                                         40.00%
                                                                                   50.00%
                                                                                                60.00%
                                                                                                                  70.00%
                                                                                                                           80.00%
                                                                                                                                    90.00%
                            Bihar
                       Jharkhand




East
                           Orissa
                     West Bengal
                    Uttar Pradesh
                     Chhattisgarh
                                                                                            61.00%
                 Madhya Pradesh
                                                                                                     62.00%



                Jammu & Kashmir
                         Haryana




North
                      Uttaranchal
                                                                                                         67.00%




                          Punjab
                      Chandigarh
                Himachal Pradesh
                            Delhi
               Arunachal Pradesh
                          Tripura
                           Assam
                         Manipur
                                                                                                                                                       Literacy Rate




                           Sikkim




North East
                      Meghalaya
                        Nagaland
                        Mizoram
                  Andhra Pardesh
                       Karnataka
                                                                                                     66.00%




                      Tamil Nadu
              Andaman & Nicober
South



                    Lakshadweep
                       Pondicheri
                           Kerala
                       Rajasthan
                                                                                  53.00%




             Dadra & Nagar Haveli
                          Gujarat
West




                    Maharashtra
                             Goa
                    Daman & Diu

                                                              Avg. Literacy Rate 63%
100
                                                      200
                                                                  300
                                                                              400
                                                                                     500
                                                                                                 700
                                                                                                       800
                                                                                                             900
                                                                                                                   1000




                                                                                           600




                                    0
                            Bihar
                     West Bengal




East
                       Jharkhand
                           Orissa
                Jammu & Kashmir
                Himachal Pradesh
                          Punjab
                      Chandigarh




                                                                               381
                      Uttaranchal




                                          91




North
                         Haryana
                            Delhi
                    Uttar Pradesh




                                         83
                     Chhattisgarh
                                                                                           574




                                              102
                 Madhya Pradesh
                                                                        316

                           Sikkim
               Arunachal Pradesh
                                                                                                                          Rural_MPCE on medical expenses




                        Nagaland
                         Manipur
                        Mizoram




North-East
                          Tripura
                      Meghalaya
                           Assam
                  Andhra Pradesh
                                                    143




                       Karnataka
                                                                    297




                    Lakshadweep
                                                                                                                          Urban_MPCE on medical expenses




South                      Kerala
                      Tamil Nadu
                      Puducherry
              Andaman & Nicobar
                                                            221




                       Rajasthan
                                                     163
                                                                                                                                                           State-wise Institutional and Non-Institutional Medical Expenditure




                          Gujarat
                    Daman & Diu
West




             Dadra & Nagar Haveli
                    Maharashtra
                             Goa
600
                                                     800
                                                             1000
                                                                        1200
                                                                               1400
                                                                                      1600
                                                                                             1800
                                                                                                    2000
                                                                                                           2200
                                                                                                                  2400
                                                                                                                         2600

                            Bihar
                           Orissa




East
                       Jharkhand
                     West Bengal
                     Chhattisgarh




                                          732
                 Madhya Pradesh
                    Uttar Pradesh




                                           765 772
                      Uttaranchal




                                                               977
                Jammu & Kashmir




North
                         Haryana
                Himachal Pradesh
                          Punjab
                            Delhi
                      Chandigarh
                           Assam
                         Manipur
                          Tripura
                           Sikkim
                      Meghalaya




North-East
               Arunachal Pradesh
                        Mizoram
                        Nagaland
                  Andhra Pradesh
                                                                                                                                State-wise MPCE Distribution




                      Tamil Nadu
                       Karnataka
                                                                     1098




South                 Puducherry
                    Lakshadweep
                           Kerala
              Andaman & Nicobar
                       Rajasthan
                                                       906




             Dadra & Nagar Haveli
                          Gujarat
West




                     Maharashtra
                             Goa
                    Daman & Diu
India’s Sex Ratio
• The rise of boy child population in India for the past twenty years parallels
  the experience of other Asian Countries such as China and South Korea.

• The new technology has aggravated the social problem of bias against girl
  child and continues to have caused the drastic reduction in the proportion
  of female children.

• India's sex ratio, among children aged 0-6 years, is alarming. The ratio has
  declined from 976 females (for every 1000 males) in 1961 to 914 in 2011.
1500
                                                                   2000
                                                                          2500




                                                     1000




                                        500




                                    0
                           Orissa
                            Bihar




East
                     West Bengal
                       Jharkhand
                         Haryana




                                              825
                     Chhattisgarh




                                                      962
                      Chandigarh
                            Delhi
                    Uttar Pradesh




North
                          Punjab
                Himachal Pradesh
                      Uttaranchal                   912
                                                     962

                Jammu & Kashmir
                                                    955



                 Madhya Pradesh
                                                     904




                           Assam
               Arunachal Pradesh
                                                                                 Urban_sex ratio




                        Nagaland
                           Sikkim
                        Mizoram




North-East
                         Manipur
                      Meghalaya
                                                                                 Rural_sex ratio




                          Tripura
              Andaman & Nicobar
                                                     933




                       Karnataka
                                                      988




                  Andhra Pradesh
South                 Tamil Nadu
                      Puducherry
                           Kerala
                    Lakshadweep
             Dadra & Nagar Haveli
                    Daman & Diu
                          Gujarat
West
                                                    897




                       Rajasthan
                                                     946




                     Maharashtra
                             Goa
1500
                                                                                  2000
                                                                                         2500




                                                                  1000




                                        500




                                    0
                           Orissa
                       Jharkhand




East
                     West Bengal
                            Bihar




                                              564
                     Chhattisgarh




                                                                   960



                                                    642
                      Uttaranchal




                                                            865
                          Punjab
                    Uttar Pradesh




                                                          801
                 Madhya Pradesh



                                                                    978




North
                      Chandigarh
                Jammu & Kashmir
                         Haryana
                            Delhi
                Himachal Pradesh
                           Assam
                        Mizoram
                                                                                                Urban_0-6yrs




                        Nagaland
                         Manipur
               Arunachal Pradesh




North-East
                      Meghalaya
                                                                                                Rural_0-6yrs




                           Sikkim
                          Tripura
                    Lakshadweep
                  Andhra Pradesh
                                                            855




                       Karnataka
                                                                     987




South                 Tamil Nadu
                           Kerala
                      Puducherry
              Andaman & Nicobar
                             Goa
                    Daman & Diu
                                                          765




                       Rajasthan
                                                           849




West




             Dadra & Nagar Haveli
                     Maharashtra
                          Gujarat
Andaman and Nicobar District Analysis



Andaman and Nicobar District Analysis – 1-6 years female population

     State Code       State      Sector   Age      District     Total Females
35                Andaman &   Urban        1    South Andaman            1556
                  Nicober

35                Andaman &   Urban        2    South Andaman            3307
                  Nicober

35                Andaman &   Urban        3    South Andaman            1857
                  Nicober

35                Andaman &   Urban        4    South Andaman            1611
                  Nicober

35                Andaman &   Urban        6    South Andaman            2327
                  Nicober
Andaman and Nicobar District Analysis




Andaman and Nicobar District Analysis – 1-6 years male population
     State Code       State       Sector       Age      District     Total Males

35                Andaman &   Urban        1         South Andaman            536
                  Nicober

35                Andaman &   Urban        2         South Andaman           2223
                  Nicober

35                Andaman &   Urban        3         South Andaman            559
                  Nicober

35                Andaman &   Urban        4         South Andaman            525
                  Nicober

35                Andaman &   Urban        5         South Andaman            596
                  Nicober
Food and Non-Food Expenditure
• Consumption is primarily of two types – lifeline and lifestyle. Lifeline may
  have further division into food and non-Food like medical, education,
  clothing etc. while lifestyle may include entertainment, processed food,
  white goods etc.

• The level of MPCE has an inverse relationship to the proportion of food
  expenditure.

• As the income of a household increases, they tend to spend a lower
  proportion on food even though the overall expenditure on food may rise.
50%
                                                                                                   100%




                                    0%
                           Orissa
                            Bihar




East
                       Jharkhand
                     West Bengal
                     Chhattisgarh
                 Madhya Pradesh
                    Uttar Pradesh
                      Uttaranchal
                Jammu & Kashmir




North
                Himachal Pradesh
                         Haryana
                          Punjab
                            Delhi
                      Chandigarh
                                                                                                          Food




                         Manipur
                           Sikkim
                           Assam
                      Meghalaya
                                                                                                          Non-Food




                          Tripura




North-East
               Arunachal Pradesh
                        Mizoram
                        Nagaland
                  Andhra Pradesh
                                                                                                          %food_MPCE
                                                                                                                       Food and Non Food Expenditure




                      Tamil Nadu
                       Karnataka
                      Puducherry
South                      Kerala
              Andaman & Nicobar
                    Lakshadweep
                       Rajasthan
             Dadra & Nagar Haveli
                     Maharashtra
West




                          Gujarat
                    Daman & Diu
                             Goa
                                    0
                                         200
                                               400
                                                     600
                                                           800
                                                                       1000
                                                                              1200
                                                                                     1400
                                                                                            1600
                                                                                                   1800
Public Distribution System – A Brief
• Public Distribution System [PDS] can be described as – an essential
  element of the Government’s safety net to the poor.

•   PDS mainly sells
•   Wheat/Atta
•   Rice
•   Sugar
•   Kerosene

• The PDS in the country is functioning but needs further push to ensure
  door-to-door delivery and probably short term credit facilities to the
  Fair Price Shops [FPS].
• The performance of PDS in certain states viz Rajasthan when
  compared to other main wheat consuming states in terms of offtakes
  as percent of allocation by the Central Government is the lowest.
10
                                                  20
                                                       30
                                                                 40
                                                                      50
                                                                            60
                                                                                     70
                                                                                          80
                                                                                               90
                                                                                                    100




                                    0
                            Bihar
                       Jharkhand




East
                           Orissa
                     West Bengal
                    Uttar Pradesh




                                                                           53
                     Chhattisgarh




                                                            31
                 Madhya Pradesh
                Jammu & Kashmir
                         Haryana




North
                                                                 38
                      Uttaranchal
                          Punjab
                Himachal Pradesh
                            Delhi
               Arunachal Pradesh
                          Tripura
                           Assam
                         Manipur
                           Sikkim




North East
                      Meghalaya
                        Nagaland
                        Mizoram
                  Andhra Pardesh
                                                                                                          PDS Penetration – Rural Sector




                                                                                59




                       Karnataka
                      Tamil Nadu
              Andaman & Nicober
South


                    Lakshadweep
                       Pondicheri
                           Kerala
                                             12




                       Rajasthan
             Dadra & Nagar Haveli
                          Gujarat
West




                    Maharashtra
                             Goa
                    Daman & Diu


                                        PDS Penetration 37%
PDS Offtakes - Rural Sector

                                                                        59%
60%
                                                           53%



50%



                                            38%
40%

                          31%

30%




20%

            12%


10%




0%
      Rajasthan   Madhya Pradesh     Uttaranchal   Chhattisgarh   Karnataka
The SEC System to analyze States
• The new SEC system is used to classify households in India.
  It’s based on two variables:
         • Education of chief earner
         • Number of “consumer durables” ( from a predefined list)- owned
  by the family.

• The list has 11 items ranging from ‘electricity connection’ and ‘agricultural
  land’- to cars and air conditioners.

• We have analyzed states on the basis of their per capita expenditure on
  consumer durables.
MPCE V/S MPCI

• The more you earn, more you have ability to spend.

• The hypothesis was - MPCE would be highly correlated with
  MPCI(Monthly per capita Income)

• We found that there is 84% correlation between both of
  them.
State       GSDP(Rs crores)   MPCE   POPULATION   MPCI    Expense Ratio
Goa                     19565         1391     1402487    11625       0.12
Pondicheri              9251          1253     827116      9321       0.13
Delhi                  157947         1788    12927037    10182       0.18
Gujarat                329285         1088    49072794     5592       0.19
Chandigarh              13669         2581     884693     12875       0.20
Maharashtra            679004         1210    96457747     5866       0.21
Haryana                151607         1201    21912952     5766       0.21
Uttaranchal             45856          977     8553288     4468       0.22
Nagaland                8075          1487     1014566     6633       0.22

Andaman & Nicober         2990        1676     336961     7395        0.23
Orissa                  129274         676    36154935    2980        0.23
Tamil Nadu              350819        1087    61477386    4755        0.23
Karnataka               270629        1098    49568006    4550        0.24
Andhra Pardesh          364813        1012    74220947    4096        0.25
Chhattisgarh             80255         732    22972323    2911        0.25
Sikkim                    2506         984     554502     3766        0.26
Jharkhand                83950         725    25601937    2733        0.27
Himachal Pradesh         33963        1221    6164086     4592        0.27
Punjab                  152245        1392    24999699    5075        0.27
West Bengal             299483         877    78355392    3185        0.28
Jammu & Kashmir          37099        1063    8531479     3624        0.29
Meghalaya                 9735         988    2457486     3301        0.30
Arunachal Pradesh        4810         1155    1050405     3816        0.30
Kerala                  175141        1518   29802920     4897        0.31
Manipur                  6783          886    2061241     2742        0.32
Tripura                  11797         918    3532845     2783        0.33
Rajasthan               194822         906   59680275     2720        0.33
Madhya Pradesh          161479         764   60629361     2219        0.34
Assam                    71076         858   25459497     2326        0.37
Mizoram                  3816         1380    859358      3700        0.37
Uttar Pradesh           383026         772   174835455    1826        0.42
Bihar                   118923         643   77895752     1272        0.51
MPCE Vs Household Size

• There exist a negative correlation between household size and
  average household consumer expenditure.

• This means as household size decreases, the per capita
  household consumer expenditure increases.

• MPCE is negatively correlated with Household Size.
State   HouseHold Size   MPCE(Rs)
Andaman & Nicober               3.8          1676
Andhra Pardesh                  3.9          1012
Arunachal Pradesh               4.9          1155
Assam                           4.9           858
Bihar                           5.5           643
Chandigarh                      3.8          2581
Chhattisgarh                    5.1           732
Dadra & Nagar Haveli            4.9           933
Daman & Diu                     4.1          1435
Delhi                            4           1788
Goa                             4.1          1391
Gujarat                         4.6          1088
Haryana                         5.3          1201
Himachal Pradesh                4.2          1221
Jammu & Kashmir                 5.3          1063
Jharkhand                       5.2           725
Karnataka                       4.6          1098
Kerala                           4           1518
Lakshadweep                     4.9          1479
Madhya Pradesh                  5.2           764
Maharashtra                     4.7          1210
Manipur                         5.1           886
Meghalaya                       5.1           988
Mizoram                         4.9          1380
Nagaland                        5.1          1487
Orissa                          4.6           676
Pondicheri                      3.7          1253
Punjab                           5           1392
Rajasthan                       5.5           906
Sikkim                          4.4           984
Tamil Nadu                      3.7          1087
Tripura                         4.4           918
Uttar Pradesh                    6            772
Uttaranchal                     4.6           977
West Bengal                     4.4           877
MPCE Vs Literacy Rate

• The illiteracy level is believed to decline with a rise in the
  MPCE of the household.

• There exists a strong association between Literacy and MPCE.
  The correlation is 0.54.
State   MPCE   Literacy Rate
Andaman & Nicober          1676         74
Andhra Pardesh             1012         56
Arunachal Pradesh          1155         65
Assam                       858         76
Bihar                       643         49
Chandigarh                 2581         75
Chhattisgarh                732         61
Dadra & Nagar Haveli        933         62
Daman & Diu                1435         80
Delhi                      1788         82
Goa                        1391         76
Gujarat                    1088         68
Haryana                    1201         65
Himachal Pradesh           1221         75
Jammu & Kashmir            1063         63
Jharkhand                   725         59
Karnataka                  1098         66
Kerala                     1518         85
Lakshadweep                1479         77
Madhya Pradesh              764         62
Maharashtra                1210         74
Manipur                     886         76
Meghalaya                   988         85
Mizoram                    1380         89
Nagaland                   1487         86
Orissa                      676         61
Pondicheri                 1253         80
Punjab                     1392         68
Rajasthan                   906         53
Sikkim                      984         79
Tamil Nadu                 1087         73
Tripura                     918         73
Uttar Pradesh               772         56
Uttaranchal                 977         67
West Bengal                 877         68
Conclusion

• Rajasthan:

   – With the average Literacy rate at 63%, Rajasthan with Literacy rate of
     53% lies below the average and needs to improve on this metric.
   – Average MPCE of India is Rs. 955. MPCE of Rajasthan is Rs. 906.
     Rajasthan again lies below the average and can improve on this
     metric.
   – Rajasthan can improve it’s PDS also.
Conclusion

• Karnataka:
   – In the Urban sector, the gender ratio for 1-6 years is 855 females to
     1000 males while in the rural sector it is 987 females:1000 males.

• Chattisgarh:
   – Chattisgarh has a Literacy rate of 61% lies just below the national
     average.
   – MPCE of Chattisgarh is Rs. 732. Chattisgarh lies below the average and
     can improve on this metric.
   – The gender ratio for age 1 to 6 years is startling. It is an abysmal 564
     females to 1000 males.
Conclusion

• Madhya Pradesh:
   – In the Urban sector, the gender ratio for 1-6 years is 801 females to
      1000 males while in the rural sector it is 978 females:1000 males
   – MPCE is Rs 764 and literacy rate is 62%.
   – The per capita disposable income is lower in Madhya Pradesh than
      other states.
• Uttaranchal:
   – The gender ratio for ages 1 to 6 years in urban areas is 642 females to
      1000 females while in rural areas it is 865 females to 1000 males.

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Nss 64 insights

  • 1. National Sample Survey 64th Round Insights into Datamining and evaluating factors for Sectoral growth
  • 2. Agenda • To Data mine the NSS data for evaluating socio economic variables for understanding: – Education – Health – Employment and Income – Rural livelihoods and governance issues – Income and consumption – Sectoral growth driving State Domestic Product growth in Karnataka, Rajasthan, Uttarakhand, Chattisgarh and Madhya Pradesh
  • 3. National Sample Survey- A Brief • NSSO has been conducting multi-subject integrated sample surveys since 1950. • Mainly four types • Household Surveys • Enterprise Surveys • Village Facilities • Land & Livestock holdings • There is a well defined cycle of the surveys extending over a period of 10 years. • The surveys are conducted through interviews of a representative sample of households selected randomly through a scientific design and cover almost the entire geographical area of India.
  • 4. The Data Model Convert 8 text files into 7 levels Combine all states into 7 levels Combine 7 levels into one file
  • 5. NSS 64th ROUND DATA MODEL LEVEL 2 LEVEL 3 LEVEL 1 Common Items Common Items Centre code,Round,Shift Level Level FSU Serial number Filler Filler Round HH Size Person Srl No. State-Region Religion Relation District Social Group Sex FOD Sub-Region Type of dwelling code Age hg/ sb Number Type of structure Marital Status Second Stage Stratum MPCE(Rs. 0.00) General Education HHS No. Level Filler LEVEL 4 Common Items Level Filler Item Code Quantity(0.000) LEVEL 7 Value(Rs. in whole no.) Common Items Source Level Filler Item Code LEVEL 5 LEVEL 6 First-hand purchase:Number Common Items Common Items Whether hirepurchased? Level Level First-hand purchase:Value Filler Filler Cost-raw material,service & repair Item Code Item Code 2nd-hand purchase:Number Quantity(0.000) Quantity(0.000) 2nd-hand purchase:Value Value(Rs. in whole no.) Value(Rs. in whole no.) Total expenditure
  • 6. Social Contributors to well being • For many years, using a monetary measure like GDP per capita as a proxy for the population’s wellbeing made much sense, at least for developed countries. • The consensus on the use of GDP per capita as a good proxy measure of well-being is, however, becoming less obvious also for economists, as the more developed societies move from a situation of scarcity to a situation of plenty. • While the level and change in gross domestic product (GDP) per capita have long been used as the main yardstick for measuring and comparing living standards across countries, policy makers and citizens are concerned with much more than just GDP per capita. • An alternative measure of well being are social indicators. • Social indicators focus on observable outcomes in a variety of fields health, literacy, and poverty.
  • 7. Literacy Rate 0.00% 100.00% 10.00% 20.00% 30.00% 40.00% 50.00% 60.00% 70.00% 80.00% 90.00% Bihar Jharkhand East Orissa West Bengal Uttar Pradesh Chhattisgarh 61.00% Madhya Pradesh 62.00% Jammu & Kashmir Haryana North Uttaranchal 67.00% Punjab Chandigarh Himachal Pradesh Delhi Arunachal Pradesh Tripura Assam Manipur Literacy Rate Sikkim North East Meghalaya Nagaland Mizoram Andhra Pardesh Karnataka 66.00% Tamil Nadu Andaman & Nicober South Lakshadweep Pondicheri Kerala Rajasthan 53.00% Dadra & Nagar Haveli Gujarat West Maharashtra Goa Daman & Diu Avg. Literacy Rate 63%
  • 8. 100 200 300 400 500 700 800 900 1000 600 0 Bihar West Bengal East Jharkhand Orissa Jammu & Kashmir Himachal Pradesh Punjab Chandigarh 381 Uttaranchal 91 North Haryana Delhi Uttar Pradesh 83 Chhattisgarh 574 102 Madhya Pradesh 316 Sikkim Arunachal Pradesh Rural_MPCE on medical expenses Nagaland Manipur Mizoram North-East Tripura Meghalaya Assam Andhra Pradesh 143 Karnataka 297 Lakshadweep Urban_MPCE on medical expenses South Kerala Tamil Nadu Puducherry Andaman & Nicobar 221 Rajasthan 163 State-wise Institutional and Non-Institutional Medical Expenditure Gujarat Daman & Diu West Dadra & Nagar Haveli Maharashtra Goa
  • 9. 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 2000 2200 2400 2600 Bihar Orissa East Jharkhand West Bengal Chhattisgarh 732 Madhya Pradesh Uttar Pradesh 765 772 Uttaranchal 977 Jammu & Kashmir North Haryana Himachal Pradesh Punjab Delhi Chandigarh Assam Manipur Tripura Sikkim Meghalaya North-East Arunachal Pradesh Mizoram Nagaland Andhra Pradesh State-wise MPCE Distribution Tamil Nadu Karnataka 1098 South Puducherry Lakshadweep Kerala Andaman & Nicobar Rajasthan 906 Dadra & Nagar Haveli Gujarat West Maharashtra Goa Daman & Diu
  • 10.
  • 11. India’s Sex Ratio • The rise of boy child population in India for the past twenty years parallels the experience of other Asian Countries such as China and South Korea. • The new technology has aggravated the social problem of bias against girl child and continues to have caused the drastic reduction in the proportion of female children. • India's sex ratio, among children aged 0-6 years, is alarming. The ratio has declined from 976 females (for every 1000 males) in 1961 to 914 in 2011.
  • 12. 1500 2000 2500 1000 500 0 Orissa Bihar East West Bengal Jharkhand Haryana 825 Chhattisgarh 962 Chandigarh Delhi Uttar Pradesh North Punjab Himachal Pradesh Uttaranchal 912 962 Jammu & Kashmir 955 Madhya Pradesh 904 Assam Arunachal Pradesh Urban_sex ratio Nagaland Sikkim Mizoram North-East Manipur Meghalaya Rural_sex ratio Tripura Andaman & Nicobar 933 Karnataka 988 Andhra Pradesh South Tamil Nadu Puducherry Kerala Lakshadweep Dadra & Nagar Haveli Daman & Diu Gujarat West 897 Rajasthan 946 Maharashtra Goa
  • 13. 1500 2000 2500 1000 500 0 Orissa Jharkhand East West Bengal Bihar 564 Chhattisgarh 960 642 Uttaranchal 865 Punjab Uttar Pradesh 801 Madhya Pradesh 978 North Chandigarh Jammu & Kashmir Haryana Delhi Himachal Pradesh Assam Mizoram Urban_0-6yrs Nagaland Manipur Arunachal Pradesh North-East Meghalaya Rural_0-6yrs Sikkim Tripura Lakshadweep Andhra Pradesh 855 Karnataka 987 South Tamil Nadu Kerala Puducherry Andaman & Nicobar Goa Daman & Diu 765 Rajasthan 849 West Dadra & Nagar Haveli Maharashtra Gujarat
  • 14. Andaman and Nicobar District Analysis Andaman and Nicobar District Analysis – 1-6 years female population State Code State Sector Age District Total Females 35 Andaman & Urban 1 South Andaman 1556 Nicober 35 Andaman & Urban 2 South Andaman 3307 Nicober 35 Andaman & Urban 3 South Andaman 1857 Nicober 35 Andaman & Urban 4 South Andaman 1611 Nicober 35 Andaman & Urban 6 South Andaman 2327 Nicober
  • 15. Andaman and Nicobar District Analysis Andaman and Nicobar District Analysis – 1-6 years male population State Code State Sector Age District Total Males 35 Andaman & Urban 1 South Andaman 536 Nicober 35 Andaman & Urban 2 South Andaman 2223 Nicober 35 Andaman & Urban 3 South Andaman 559 Nicober 35 Andaman & Urban 4 South Andaman 525 Nicober 35 Andaman & Urban 5 South Andaman 596 Nicober
  • 16. Food and Non-Food Expenditure • Consumption is primarily of two types – lifeline and lifestyle. Lifeline may have further division into food and non-Food like medical, education, clothing etc. while lifestyle may include entertainment, processed food, white goods etc. • The level of MPCE has an inverse relationship to the proportion of food expenditure. • As the income of a household increases, they tend to spend a lower proportion on food even though the overall expenditure on food may rise.
  • 17. 50% 100% 0% Orissa Bihar East Jharkhand West Bengal Chhattisgarh Madhya Pradesh Uttar Pradesh Uttaranchal Jammu & Kashmir North Himachal Pradesh Haryana Punjab Delhi Chandigarh Food Manipur Sikkim Assam Meghalaya Non-Food Tripura North-East Arunachal Pradesh Mizoram Nagaland Andhra Pradesh %food_MPCE Food and Non Food Expenditure Tamil Nadu Karnataka Puducherry South Kerala Andaman & Nicobar Lakshadweep Rajasthan Dadra & Nagar Haveli Maharashtra West Gujarat Daman & Diu Goa 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800
  • 18. Public Distribution System – A Brief • Public Distribution System [PDS] can be described as – an essential element of the Government’s safety net to the poor. • PDS mainly sells • Wheat/Atta • Rice • Sugar • Kerosene • The PDS in the country is functioning but needs further push to ensure door-to-door delivery and probably short term credit facilities to the Fair Price Shops [FPS]. • The performance of PDS in certain states viz Rajasthan when compared to other main wheat consuming states in terms of offtakes as percent of allocation by the Central Government is the lowest.
  • 19. 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 0 Bihar Jharkhand East Orissa West Bengal Uttar Pradesh 53 Chhattisgarh 31 Madhya Pradesh Jammu & Kashmir Haryana North 38 Uttaranchal Punjab Himachal Pradesh Delhi Arunachal Pradesh Tripura Assam Manipur Sikkim North East Meghalaya Nagaland Mizoram Andhra Pardesh PDS Penetration – Rural Sector 59 Karnataka Tamil Nadu Andaman & Nicober South Lakshadweep Pondicheri Kerala 12 Rajasthan Dadra & Nagar Haveli Gujarat West Maharashtra Goa Daman & Diu PDS Penetration 37%
  • 20. PDS Offtakes - Rural Sector 59% 60% 53% 50% 38% 40% 31% 30% 20% 12% 10% 0% Rajasthan Madhya Pradesh Uttaranchal Chhattisgarh Karnataka
  • 21. The SEC System to analyze States • The new SEC system is used to classify households in India. It’s based on two variables: • Education of chief earner • Number of “consumer durables” ( from a predefined list)- owned by the family. • The list has 11 items ranging from ‘electricity connection’ and ‘agricultural land’- to cars and air conditioners. • We have analyzed states on the basis of their per capita expenditure on consumer durables.
  • 22.
  • 23. MPCE V/S MPCI • The more you earn, more you have ability to spend. • The hypothesis was - MPCE would be highly correlated with MPCI(Monthly per capita Income) • We found that there is 84% correlation between both of them.
  • 24. State GSDP(Rs crores) MPCE POPULATION MPCI Expense Ratio Goa 19565 1391 1402487 11625 0.12 Pondicheri 9251 1253 827116 9321 0.13 Delhi 157947 1788 12927037 10182 0.18 Gujarat 329285 1088 49072794 5592 0.19 Chandigarh 13669 2581 884693 12875 0.20 Maharashtra 679004 1210 96457747 5866 0.21 Haryana 151607 1201 21912952 5766 0.21 Uttaranchal 45856 977 8553288 4468 0.22 Nagaland 8075 1487 1014566 6633 0.22 Andaman & Nicober 2990 1676 336961 7395 0.23 Orissa 129274 676 36154935 2980 0.23 Tamil Nadu 350819 1087 61477386 4755 0.23 Karnataka 270629 1098 49568006 4550 0.24 Andhra Pardesh 364813 1012 74220947 4096 0.25 Chhattisgarh 80255 732 22972323 2911 0.25 Sikkim 2506 984 554502 3766 0.26 Jharkhand 83950 725 25601937 2733 0.27 Himachal Pradesh 33963 1221 6164086 4592 0.27 Punjab 152245 1392 24999699 5075 0.27 West Bengal 299483 877 78355392 3185 0.28 Jammu & Kashmir 37099 1063 8531479 3624 0.29 Meghalaya 9735 988 2457486 3301 0.30 Arunachal Pradesh 4810 1155 1050405 3816 0.30 Kerala 175141 1518 29802920 4897 0.31 Manipur 6783 886 2061241 2742 0.32 Tripura 11797 918 3532845 2783 0.33 Rajasthan 194822 906 59680275 2720 0.33 Madhya Pradesh 161479 764 60629361 2219 0.34 Assam 71076 858 25459497 2326 0.37 Mizoram 3816 1380 859358 3700 0.37 Uttar Pradesh 383026 772 174835455 1826 0.42 Bihar 118923 643 77895752 1272 0.51
  • 25. MPCE Vs Household Size • There exist a negative correlation between household size and average household consumer expenditure. • This means as household size decreases, the per capita household consumer expenditure increases. • MPCE is negatively correlated with Household Size.
  • 26. State HouseHold Size MPCE(Rs) Andaman & Nicober 3.8 1676 Andhra Pardesh 3.9 1012 Arunachal Pradesh 4.9 1155 Assam 4.9 858 Bihar 5.5 643 Chandigarh 3.8 2581 Chhattisgarh 5.1 732 Dadra & Nagar Haveli 4.9 933 Daman & Diu 4.1 1435 Delhi 4 1788 Goa 4.1 1391 Gujarat 4.6 1088 Haryana 5.3 1201 Himachal Pradesh 4.2 1221 Jammu & Kashmir 5.3 1063 Jharkhand 5.2 725 Karnataka 4.6 1098 Kerala 4 1518 Lakshadweep 4.9 1479 Madhya Pradesh 5.2 764 Maharashtra 4.7 1210 Manipur 5.1 886 Meghalaya 5.1 988 Mizoram 4.9 1380 Nagaland 5.1 1487 Orissa 4.6 676 Pondicheri 3.7 1253 Punjab 5 1392 Rajasthan 5.5 906 Sikkim 4.4 984 Tamil Nadu 3.7 1087 Tripura 4.4 918 Uttar Pradesh 6 772 Uttaranchal 4.6 977 West Bengal 4.4 877
  • 27. MPCE Vs Literacy Rate • The illiteracy level is believed to decline with a rise in the MPCE of the household. • There exists a strong association between Literacy and MPCE. The correlation is 0.54.
  • 28. State MPCE Literacy Rate Andaman & Nicober 1676 74 Andhra Pardesh 1012 56 Arunachal Pradesh 1155 65 Assam 858 76 Bihar 643 49 Chandigarh 2581 75 Chhattisgarh 732 61 Dadra & Nagar Haveli 933 62 Daman & Diu 1435 80 Delhi 1788 82 Goa 1391 76 Gujarat 1088 68 Haryana 1201 65 Himachal Pradesh 1221 75 Jammu & Kashmir 1063 63 Jharkhand 725 59 Karnataka 1098 66 Kerala 1518 85 Lakshadweep 1479 77 Madhya Pradesh 764 62 Maharashtra 1210 74 Manipur 886 76 Meghalaya 988 85 Mizoram 1380 89 Nagaland 1487 86 Orissa 676 61 Pondicheri 1253 80 Punjab 1392 68 Rajasthan 906 53 Sikkim 984 79 Tamil Nadu 1087 73 Tripura 918 73 Uttar Pradesh 772 56 Uttaranchal 977 67 West Bengal 877 68
  • 29. Conclusion • Rajasthan: – With the average Literacy rate at 63%, Rajasthan with Literacy rate of 53% lies below the average and needs to improve on this metric. – Average MPCE of India is Rs. 955. MPCE of Rajasthan is Rs. 906. Rajasthan again lies below the average and can improve on this metric. – Rajasthan can improve it’s PDS also.
  • 30. Conclusion • Karnataka: – In the Urban sector, the gender ratio for 1-6 years is 855 females to 1000 males while in the rural sector it is 987 females:1000 males. • Chattisgarh: – Chattisgarh has a Literacy rate of 61% lies just below the national average. – MPCE of Chattisgarh is Rs. 732. Chattisgarh lies below the average and can improve on this metric. – The gender ratio for age 1 to 6 years is startling. It is an abysmal 564 females to 1000 males.
  • 31. Conclusion • Madhya Pradesh: – In the Urban sector, the gender ratio for 1-6 years is 801 females to 1000 males while in the rural sector it is 978 females:1000 males – MPCE is Rs 764 and literacy rate is 62%. – The per capita disposable income is lower in Madhya Pradesh than other states. • Uttaranchal: – The gender ratio for ages 1 to 6 years in urban areas is 642 females to 1000 females while in rural areas it is 865 females to 1000 males.