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Covering Your Local Economy:
What's Happening with Housing
Marilyn Geewax
NPR Senior Business Editor
In 2013 …
What We Will Explore Today
•  Demand Is Rising
•  But There Are Big Regional Differences
•  Foreclosures Are Very Uneven
•  Real Estate Is Hyperlocal
Housing Sector Spins Off Jobs for
Landscapers, Furniture Stores, Etc.
Things Are Finally Improving
Keep In Mind:
You Might Be Completely Wrong
The slowdown in the housing
sector “is a concern, but at this
point we don't see it as being a
broad financial concern or a
major factor in assessing the
course of the economy.”
-- Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke
Speaking to the House in February
2007.
Even Though You Never
Really Can Predict – We Have
Reason For Optimism
Because of Jobs
The Jobs Outlook Is Improving
http://data.bls.gov/timeseries/LNS14000000
Confidence Plunged Along With
GDP, But It's Smoothing Out
Bureau of Economic Analysis data
Good Sign – Fewer Vacancies
A Very Good Sign
New-Home Sales Up Sharply
from the Same Time Last Year
But Huge Regional Differences
•  North Dakota is
booming, so
home prices
have shot from
an average of
$130,000 in 2011
to $180,000 now
- Zillow Oil rig in Williston, N.D., by Flickr user
lindsey gee
Many Areas Are Still In Poor Shape
•  Nevada is still struggling to bring back
jobs, so home prices remain
depressed.
•  In 2008, the
average house was
$211,000. Now
$153,000, according
to Zillow
Photo by Flickr user Thomas Hawk
Even Though You Never
Really Can Predict – We Have
Reason For Pessimism
Because of Aging Boomers
and Debt Overhang
As Boomers Downsize,
Who Will Buy Their Houses?
As Student
Debt Grows,
Less
Money For
Mortgages
Magic Wand Solutions
•  Wipe out student debt
•  Encourage immigration
•  Raze vacant houses
•  Create about 12 million jobs
•  Give workers raises
To Understand Your Local
Market, Look At These Factors
Economic Fundamentals: Are Jobs Growing?
1.  How Many Foreclosures Still On the Market?
What's the Backlog?
2.  Are Investors Buying Houses?
Local Housing Data Can Be Found
at:
http://www.cbpp.org/cms/index.cfm?
fa=view&id=1406
Questions?
Thanks for coming!
Marilyn Geewax
NPR
mgeewax@npr.org
Twitter: @geewaxnpr
http:/bit.ly/XXX - SUB THIS
for workshop slides, handouts
Photo by Flickr user Xurble

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Covering Your Local Economy - Part III by Marilyn Geewax

  • 1. Covering Your Local Economy: What's Happening with Housing Marilyn Geewax NPR Senior Business Editor In 2013 …
  • 2. What We Will Explore Today •  Demand Is Rising •  But There Are Big Regional Differences •  Foreclosures Are Very Uneven •  Real Estate Is Hyperlocal
  • 3. Housing Sector Spins Off Jobs for Landscapers, Furniture Stores, Etc.
  • 4. Things Are Finally Improving
  • 5. Keep In Mind: You Might Be Completely Wrong The slowdown in the housing sector “is a concern, but at this point we don't see it as being a broad financial concern or a major factor in assessing the course of the economy.” -- Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke Speaking to the House in February 2007.
  • 6. Even Though You Never Really Can Predict – We Have Reason For Optimism Because of Jobs
  • 7. The Jobs Outlook Is Improving http://data.bls.gov/timeseries/LNS14000000
  • 8. Confidence Plunged Along With GDP, But It's Smoothing Out Bureau of Economic Analysis data
  • 9. Good Sign – Fewer Vacancies
  • 10. A Very Good Sign
  • 11. New-Home Sales Up Sharply from the Same Time Last Year
  • 12. But Huge Regional Differences •  North Dakota is booming, so home prices have shot from an average of $130,000 in 2011 to $180,000 now - Zillow Oil rig in Williston, N.D., by Flickr user lindsey gee
  • 13. Many Areas Are Still In Poor Shape •  Nevada is still struggling to bring back jobs, so home prices remain depressed. •  In 2008, the average house was $211,000. Now $153,000, according to Zillow Photo by Flickr user Thomas Hawk
  • 14. Even Though You Never Really Can Predict – We Have Reason For Pessimism Because of Aging Boomers and Debt Overhang
  • 15. As Boomers Downsize, Who Will Buy Their Houses?
  • 17. Magic Wand Solutions •  Wipe out student debt •  Encourage immigration •  Raze vacant houses •  Create about 12 million jobs •  Give workers raises
  • 18. To Understand Your Local Market, Look At These Factors Economic Fundamentals: Are Jobs Growing? 1.  How Many Foreclosures Still On the Market? What's the Backlog? 2.  Are Investors Buying Houses?
  • 19. Local Housing Data Can Be Found at: http://www.cbpp.org/cms/index.cfm? fa=view&id=1406
  • 20.
  • 21. Questions? Thanks for coming! Marilyn Geewax NPR mgeewax@npr.org Twitter: @geewaxnpr http:/bit.ly/XXX - SUB THIS for workshop slides, handouts Photo by Flickr user Xurble