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Why alcohols will replace gasoline
           and diesel
  to be the fuels of the future?


          Robert Falco, PhD
        Professor of Mechanical Engineering
 Director of the Institute for Energy Resourcefulness
          President, Solar Clean Fuels, LLC
Those that fail to learn from history, are doomed to repeat it.
                                                  Winston Churchill
 Why we want to get off gasoline and diesel
       Supply
       Health
       Environment
       Economy
       Security

 Overview of the alternatives
   1.   Electric cars
   2.   Cost of CNG/LNG from natural gas
   3.   Ethanol Economy
   4.   Methanol Economy

 Future Directions
Alaska



           Gulf
On-shore
Demand growth from
China is much greater than
                                               7%
from the US
          Twice our carbon footprint by 2015

 8.3% -- 2009       United          China
 10.9% -- 2010
                    States
Number of cars will increase by
    4 times in 40 years
Average Best & Average Worst
Visibility Impairment in the Phoenix Area




 Figure 9. ADEQ Air Quality Annual Report 2008
The correlation of oil prices and
 unemployment over 45 years




    1965                  2015
Rapid Societal Death

Our commerce, and American life as
         we know it,
     would stop on the dime,
       if OPEC wanted it to.
Gasoline additives
               and our health
 During WWI, it was discovered that you
  can add a chemical called tetraethyl lead to
  gasoline and significantly improve its octane rating.

 Low level exposure to children:
    Lowered IQ, reading and learning disabilities, impaired hearing,
     hyperactivity, impaired growth.
 Acute exposure in adults:
    Blindness, brain damage, kidney disease, cancers, death




 Prohibited because it destroyed catalytic converters!
MTBE replaced lead in so called
 Reformulated Gasoline (RFG)
 MTBE has been used in U.S. gasoline at low levels since
  1979 to replace TEL to increase its octane rating and
  help prevent engine knocking.
 It was used in combination with aromatics like benzene
  and toluene.
 Gasoline can contain as much as 10 percent to 15
  percent MTBE.
 Gasoline may contain up to 50% aromatics
 The main problem with MTBE is that it is thought to be
  carcinogenic and it mixes easily with water.
Benzene: It gets to you in more than
the fumes you breath when you fill up

        We all know about the filler cap regulations,
                             but,
     the benzene emissions that result from the catalytic
            converter acting on the emissions is

            2 orders of magnitude
     worse when the car is either cold or is accelerating.


   At the minimum turn your head away from the pump.
Benzine risk for Leukemia

 WHO: 1 part in a million is considered acceptable.

 In 2001 EPA estimated that we had 10 X this limit in
  the US.

 2005 Swiss study calculated that 100x is emitted from
  the tailpipe of an accelerating vehicle.
What did we replace the
    MTBE with - Ethanol
 Ethanol is OK health wise

 Ethanol made from corn has many problems

 Ethanol can be made from other sources

 Other alcohols can supplement it. Methanol.

 BIGGEST problem: vehicles are designed with
  gasoline as the standard, making alcohols poor
  substitutes
We must get rid of legacy
 practices and procedures
 In moving forward sensibly we must have a plan for
  the future

 In moving forward we can wean ourselves from oil
  gently, but with the full intent to wean ourselves

 For all of the reasons given, we must make gasoline
  and diesel less and less of the fuel mix we use.

 So in our transition we must focus on oil in the
  future as an “additive”, NOT as the standard we are
  modifying.
Outline
   Why we want to get of gasoline and diesel
       Health
       Environment
       Economy
       Security
       Supply

 Overview of the alternatives
  1. Electric cars
  2. Cost of CNG/LNG from natural gas
  3. Ethanol Economy
  4. Methanol Economy

 Future Directions
Electric Cars – Excessive costs –
   High CO2 – limited range
   WTW GHG worse than gasoline ---- coal
   Nuclear not happening in the next few decades
   Natural gas burned to make electricity vs. used directly or
    converted to a liquid (methanol/ethanol)
      60% loss at power plant + 7-10% in transmission

   Battery costs
   Range
   Durability
   Safety
   Every decade a 10% improvement is made in batteries
Fuel cells

    PEM -- very high costs, but can work with
     methanol

    DMFC – even higher costs – methanol fuel

    SOFC – lowest costs – lowest reliability – can use
     methanol
             Bottom line:
         2 decades for SOFC,
and discovery for the PEM and DMFC
CNG/LNG
CNG proponents slogan




Clean, Abundant and American -- YES
        Affordable -- NO.
Storage tanks in a CNG
      automobile




 $7,500 - $12,000 additional costs
24 / 7 CNG self serve pump
   for cars on the UCLA campus

  $300,000
      to
  $500,000
per dispenser
      to
    install
Costs to US to replace
   gasoline with CHG/LNG
 It cost about 100x as much to convert to CNG/LNG
  as it does to make a Flex Fueled car that can use any
  combination of gasoline, ethanol and/or methanol.
 Our gross national debt is ~ $14 T, our gross
  national product is ~ $14T, CNC/LNG would cost
  ~$3T, or, 21.5% of GNP
   The interstate Hwy system cost 1.4% of GNP in 1958
   Peak WWII spending was 44% of our GNP



 CNG/LNG is NOT a societal solution
What CAN we do?
Drop-in liquid fuels are the
             way to go
    If drop-in is not feasible, then liquid fuels that
     need a minimal modification

    GM has produced four million of the eleven
     million flexfuel cars now on American roads.
     GM's Vice Chairman Tom Stephens says it adds
     "as much as $70 to the production cost" of
     a car to make it a flexfuel car.
                                       Thursday May 26, 2011




Institute for Energy Resourcefulness                           5/30/12
Why not Alcohol?
      Henry Ford made the Model T both alcohol and gasoline
                   compatible for 2 decades.




Until (Rockefeller supported) Prohibition
Ethanol Economy
     Strong proponents                   Water usage
         Corn States
         Brazilian sugarcane industry    Fertilizers
         Equatorial belt countries
                                          Biomass limit
     Sources:
                                          Wheel to well CO2
         Sugarcane and starch (corn)
         Cellulose                       Overall economy
         Natural gas                          Feedstock is 80%

     Performance                         Tail pipe emissions
     ICE and Diesel                      Toxicity and Flammability
     Fuel Cells                          Distribution

The Biomass limit means that ethanol made from crops can only
                   meet 20-30% of our needs
Ethanol/Gasoline Vehicles that get
MORE power and BETTER mileage
Proof of the pudding ICEs can
     run better on alcohols
                  Saab Biopower line

 By reprogramming the on-board computer

 By using a turbocharger to increase the CR of the
  engine

 By changing the fuel system components to handle
  alcohols

 Saab increased the HP of their 2liter, 150HP engine,
  to 180HP

 At the same time they increased the torque by
  40Nm
Saab performance curves




RON – research octane no.
A further example
 The Dutch Koenigsegg CCXR gets 1/3 more power
  running on E85 over its gasoline model.
Saab demonstration of what is
    possible with alcohols
Saab President talking about the future of cars running on alcohols
A big step further – E100

 Saab E100
   Using 100% ethanol, and optimizing the engine for it,
    Saab took a 2 liter 150 HP engine and had it output
    300 HP.

 EPA showed that a VW TDI diesel engine could run
  more efficiently on 100% methanol or 100% ethanol.
   Could manufacture engines more cheaply than diesels

 MIT pointed out that a 15 liter engine could be
  replaced with a 7 liter engine.
Ethanol can give engines „diesel engine‟ efficiencies
without the need for high pressure injection systems and
 either DPF or Urea NOx reducing exhaust treatment.




                Diesel                    Spark ignited E100
 We can replace diesel engines with equally efficient alcohol run spark ignition
 engines, and not need the particulates, NOx or bio-diesel.
At E30 the mileage in an optimized
engine is better than with gasoline alone

  “Combined with an optimized
  conventional drivetrain, the efficiency
  gain shown in the previous slide for
  E30 should yield an estimated 10% -
  12% gain in fuel economy. Thus it
  more than compensates for the
  approximately 8% loss in fuel energy
  density of E30 vs. straight gasoline.”

  EPA
Swedish diesel buses
running on 95% bio-ethanol
        has been running for 15 years
Ethanol has 2/3 the energy
    per unit volume of
         gasoline
Progression of E85 fuel
     economy in US cars
 Because ethanol contains less energy than gasoline,
  fuel economy is reduced for most 2002 and earlier
  American FFVs by about 30%.

 Most after 2003 lose only 15-17% or less.

 Some of he newest American vehicles achieve only a
  5-15% loss.
Are we being manipulated by
 business directed engineering?
 In one test, a Chevy Tahoe flex-fuel vehicle averaged 18 MPG [U.S. gallons]
  for gasoline and 13 MPG for E85, or 28% fewer MPG than gasoline.

 In another test, however, a fleet of Ford Tauruses averaged only about 6%
  fewer miles per gallon in the ethanol-based vehicles as compared to
  traditional, gas-powered Tauruses.

 The Honda Civic FFV, in Brazil, when running on E100, generates 140HP at
  6,200 rpm and 174 Nm of torque at 4,300 rpm. Fill it with an E22 mix and
  those numbers only drop to 138 HP and 172 Nm (this torque peak arrives at
  5,000 rpm).

 With the Honda Fit FFV, in Brazil, on E100, it makes 83 HP at 5,700 rpm
  and 119Nm of torque at 2,800 rpm. On E22, it drops to 80 HP and 116 Nm at
  identical engine speeds.

   The aforementioned facts leads some to believe that the FFV engine is more
    of an infant technology rather than fully mature.

 Others, believe we are being manipulated!
Solar Methanol will use no water
Non-Corn Ethanol
 Sugarcane
   The entire equatorial belt + others (i.e., Hawaii etc.)

 Sugar beet – temperate zone climates
 The Celanese process: ethanol from natural gas
 Cellulosic ethanol
   Joule process: ethanol from waste water, CO2 and sunlight
   1 Coskata, Dupont Danisco, Fulcrum Bio -- corn cobs ,
    switchgrass
   2 Mascoma, Range Fuels, Dyadic – enzymes – wood, etc.
   3 POET, Iogen, Abengoa – wheat straw, corn cobs
   Research Institute of Innovative Technology and Honda
The Methanol Economy
   Broad range of sources:      Higher octane
     Methane, bio-methane,
      organic wastes             Burns cooler

   Useable in both Spark        Higher Flash point
    Ignition Engines and
    Diesels                      Burns cleaner
                                    Emissions
   Can be mixed with ethanol
    and gasoline                 Fuel for furnaces, turbines

                                 Fuel for fuel cells.


The cheapest liquid fuel, with the largest
      number of non-food sources
EPA Brake Thermal Efficiency
         Comparison
                                 same engine run in its native
engine fueled on 100% methanol
                                  diesel mode (1.9L VW TDI
    in spark ignition mode
                                           diesel)




      Typical 1.9L gasoline engine has 22-25% BTE
What Can This Mean for
       Fleet Economics?
 Reduce engine system costs (engine plus exhaust treatment)
  by $10,000 - $15,000 – MIT study.
   The engines cost less (diesels are more expensive)
   No need for either the Diesel Particulate Filter or the Urea Filter
    (NOx)

 Reduced maintenance

 Fuel costs less

 Better mileage – up to 5% better fuel economy
   The Saab 9-5 gets 15% better fuel economy with a turbocharger
Even Ethanol/Gasoline mixtures as low as
E30 can give engine efficiencies close to that
                of a diesel.
                       EPA results




We can replace diesel engines
with equally efficient alcohol run spark ignition engines,
and not need the particulates, NOx or bio-diesel.
• Enables operation with power
  densities up to three times that
  which can be provided by diesel engines .

 This makes possible
  highly downsized
  alcohol engines (e.g. a
  15 liter diesel engine
  could potentially be
  replaced by an SI engine
  with a displacement of 7
  liters or less).
Methanol has ½ the energy
   per unit volume of
        gasoline
WTW GHG Emissions of
 methanol production


          Gasoline WTW GHG



                             Sweden,
                             Germany
Safety

                                                            GASOLINE


            METHANOL




• In the California test (15 years), with over 200 million miles of methanol
driving, there was not a single case of accidental methanol poisoning.

• For M100 a 90% reduction in fuel related automotive fires is projected.
                     P. A. Machiele, Summary Of The Fire Safety Impacts of Methanol
                     as a Transportation Fuel, SAE International paper 901113
Bio-Methanol Processes

 Schwarze Pumpe – 100,000 tons from sewage
  sludge/industrial wastes

 BioMCN – methanol from glycerin

 Haldor-Topsoe black liquor; Sweden, Michigan

 Landfill gas – methanol from biogas - AD

 Human wastes – methanol from biogas –AD

 From wood waste – pyrolysis
A GEM of an idea.
To enable us to move to high %
methanol use before cellulosic
     ethanol comes along
The GEM Idea
 Find the blend of Gasoline, Ethanol and Methanol that:
   The 11,000,000 existing US FFVs can use now
     Make the octane rating exactly the same across a range of GEM
      mixtures
     The volumetric energy content constant across the blends
     The latent heat constant across the blends


  Thus the driver and the sensors do NOT know anything has
  changed,
                                but
  INSTANTY, 11 million vehicles can use up to 50% methanol.
GEM (gasoline, ethanol, methanol) mixtures.
How to use current cars to move to methanol
                  NOW!




Blends at any position along the x-axis will give the same performance; going
from 55% methanol and 45% gasoline (0% ethanol) to 85% ethanol and 15% ethanol.
Alcohol Cars/Engines

Saab Aero X
200HP  400 HP



Brazilian
 4 fuels
  Fiat                         Lotus
                               Exige 270E
                 EPA Alcohol
                 Test Engine
Alcohol Cars E20-E100
     Honda in Brazil – introduced in 2006
With its flexible-fuel system, Honda believes
that it has essentially conquered all the
known drawbacks of using ethanol:
• problems with cold starts
• variations in fuel economy
• and emissions are all addressed with the
   new system.

Designed to operate on fuel grades ranging
from E20 all the way up to E100.

The result, according to Honda, is that its
FFVs will have performance and fuel
economy ratios that nearly equal those of
their gasoline-only engines.
An adjustable blend fuel
   pump in South Dakota
                                          Walmart
                                          is talking
                                        about adding
                                         9000 more

                                        We need dispensers
                                        that can dispense
                                        what you need
                                         on demand.

                                        Just like this one.


There are 2900 E85 filling stations in the US
Costs of equivalent amount of energy.
                  Methanol is cheaper
             than either gasoline or ethanol

  Gasoline
  = $3.90

  Ethanol = $3.44*1.25
  = $4.30

  Methanol (estimate)
  = $3.00
Furthermore, contract pricing is
substantially less than market prices.

      California methanol costs:




 The price of methanol today is $1.30 gal
Grams CO2 equivalent vs
        fuels
Outline
   Why we want to get of gasoline and diesel
       Health
       Environment
       Economy
       Security
       Supply

 Overview of the alternatives
  1. Electric cars
  2. Cost of CNG/LNG from natural gas
  3. Ethanol Economy
  4. Methanol Economy

 Future Directions
Future Trends
 Alcohol ICE Engines
      Ethanol or Methanol engines with high efficiency (>40% peak) Lends itself
       to exhaust thermal energy recovery in the form of chemical and
       mechanical energy.

 Combined Alcohol + heat recovery system approach fuel cell
  efficiencies (>55% peak) at a significantly lower cost.
 Hybrids with tiny alcohol ICE
 Methanol reforming  hydrogen for PEM fuel cells
 Anaerobic digestion of organic wastes  alcohols
 Pyrolysis of organic wastes  alcohols
 Direct enzyme solar transformation to ethanol - Joule
 Solar „dry reforming‟ of methane to methanol
 Direct methanol fuel cells
Hybrid-ethanol or methanol vehicle can run
  at maximum efficiency ALL the time.

                                                    Hydraulic
                               US EPA Study         Hybrid
                                                    Operating Line




   Methanol would create a 43% efficiency range for the hydrid operation
Biomass to Methanol

Pyrolysis is a thermochemical
decomposition of organic material at
elevated
temperatures
without the
participation
of oxygen.
COWS------ > BIOGAS----- > GASIFIER -- > METHANOL---- > VEHICLES

                     Landfill




                                 NET EFFICIENCY = .70*.85 = 59.5%

Institute for Energy Resourcefulness             65                 5/30/12
Methanol from CO2 and
      hydrogen
CH4 + CO2  2H2 +2CO;   CH3OH ΔH =-90.6kJmol




                  Maximum theoretical efficiency = 1.3*.85 = 1.10%


Institute for Energy Resourcefulness              67                           5/30/12
Main Takeaway
 Do not be hung up with our problems with corn ethanol –
  alcohols are in your future: both ethanol and methanol
  from non-food origins.
 These will be cheaper, not vie for land or water or fertilizer
 Alcohols are the ONLY replacement for oil in Internal
  Combustion Engines.
 Alcohols are the best fuel for fuel cells
Do we need
to bring out
the cavalry
to move this
forward?
Sustainable oil replacement


                          10% oil
100%




today
What We Must Do Now
 Encourage auto companies to come clean about fuel capabilities of
  current cars, both Flex Fueled and gasoline.
 Marshall our national desire to be independent of the „noose‟
  around our necks that gasoline dependence is.
   Think about what you can do to get this on the national political stage.

 Prepare for alcohols by:
   1) Having the auto companies make vehicles that can use them.
   2) Telling your representatives that you see them as a solution
   3) Tell your local government to investigate them.

 If we get no response ask congress to pass the „fuel neutral‟ “Open
  Fuels Standard Act”.
   Remember ethyl lead! You won‟t miss your daily dose of benzene!
Conclusions

 We can continuously wind down our use of oil, while at the same time
  improving performance, reducing pollution and costs.

 Mixed alcohols are our future fuel for both ICE and Fuel Cells.
    They are in our system already, and their use can be increased rapidly.
    They will be made from corn and natural gas first
    Then they will be made from organic wastes, and algae, and processed
     cleanly using solar, nuclear and wind energy.

 We will be healthier, greener, and self sufficient.

 We will ultimately run very efficient cars, with tiny engines and/or
  methanol fuel cells that are CO2 neutral and with have very low
  emissions.
For more information

               Contact



              Bob Falco

 Institute for Energy Resourcefulness

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Why alcohols will replace gasoline and diesel fuel to be the fuels of the future?

  • 1. Why alcohols will replace gasoline and diesel to be the fuels of the future? Robert Falco, PhD Professor of Mechanical Engineering Director of the Institute for Energy Resourcefulness President, Solar Clean Fuels, LLC
  • 2. Those that fail to learn from history, are doomed to repeat it. Winston Churchill
  • 3.  Why we want to get off gasoline and diesel  Supply  Health  Environment  Economy  Security  Overview of the alternatives 1. Electric cars 2. Cost of CNG/LNG from natural gas 3. Ethanol Economy 4. Methanol Economy  Future Directions
  • 4. Alaska Gulf On-shore
  • 5. Demand growth from China is much greater than 7% from the US Twice our carbon footprint by 2015 8.3% -- 2009 United China 10.9% -- 2010 States
  • 6. Number of cars will increase by 4 times in 40 years
  • 7. Average Best & Average Worst Visibility Impairment in the Phoenix Area Figure 9. ADEQ Air Quality Annual Report 2008
  • 8. The correlation of oil prices and unemployment over 45 years 1965 2015
  • 9. Rapid Societal Death Our commerce, and American life as we know it, would stop on the dime, if OPEC wanted it to.
  • 10. Gasoline additives and our health  During WWI, it was discovered that you can add a chemical called tetraethyl lead to gasoline and significantly improve its octane rating.  Low level exposure to children:  Lowered IQ, reading and learning disabilities, impaired hearing, hyperactivity, impaired growth.  Acute exposure in adults:  Blindness, brain damage, kidney disease, cancers, death  Prohibited because it destroyed catalytic converters!
  • 11. MTBE replaced lead in so called Reformulated Gasoline (RFG)  MTBE has been used in U.S. gasoline at low levels since 1979 to replace TEL to increase its octane rating and help prevent engine knocking.  It was used in combination with aromatics like benzene and toluene.  Gasoline can contain as much as 10 percent to 15 percent MTBE.  Gasoline may contain up to 50% aromatics  The main problem with MTBE is that it is thought to be carcinogenic and it mixes easily with water.
  • 12. Benzene: It gets to you in more than the fumes you breath when you fill up We all know about the filler cap regulations, but, the benzene emissions that result from the catalytic converter acting on the emissions is 2 orders of magnitude worse when the car is either cold or is accelerating. At the minimum turn your head away from the pump.
  • 13. Benzine risk for Leukemia  WHO: 1 part in a million is considered acceptable.  In 2001 EPA estimated that we had 10 X this limit in the US.  2005 Swiss study calculated that 100x is emitted from the tailpipe of an accelerating vehicle.
  • 14. What did we replace the MTBE with - Ethanol  Ethanol is OK health wise  Ethanol made from corn has many problems  Ethanol can be made from other sources  Other alcohols can supplement it. Methanol.  BIGGEST problem: vehicles are designed with gasoline as the standard, making alcohols poor substitutes
  • 15. We must get rid of legacy practices and procedures  In moving forward sensibly we must have a plan for the future  In moving forward we can wean ourselves from oil gently, but with the full intent to wean ourselves  For all of the reasons given, we must make gasoline and diesel less and less of the fuel mix we use.  So in our transition we must focus on oil in the future as an “additive”, NOT as the standard we are modifying.
  • 16. Outline  Why we want to get of gasoline and diesel  Health  Environment  Economy  Security  Supply  Overview of the alternatives 1. Electric cars 2. Cost of CNG/LNG from natural gas 3. Ethanol Economy 4. Methanol Economy  Future Directions
  • 17. Electric Cars – Excessive costs – High CO2 – limited range  WTW GHG worse than gasoline ---- coal  Nuclear not happening in the next few decades  Natural gas burned to make electricity vs. used directly or converted to a liquid (methanol/ethanol)  60% loss at power plant + 7-10% in transmission  Battery costs  Range  Durability  Safety  Every decade a 10% improvement is made in batteries
  • 18. Fuel cells  PEM -- very high costs, but can work with methanol  DMFC – even higher costs – methanol fuel  SOFC – lowest costs – lowest reliability – can use methanol Bottom line: 2 decades for SOFC, and discovery for the PEM and DMFC
  • 20. CNG proponents slogan Clean, Abundant and American -- YES Affordable -- NO.
  • 21. Storage tanks in a CNG automobile $7,500 - $12,000 additional costs
  • 22. 24 / 7 CNG self serve pump for cars on the UCLA campus $300,000 to $500,000 per dispenser to install
  • 23. Costs to US to replace gasoline with CHG/LNG  It cost about 100x as much to convert to CNG/LNG as it does to make a Flex Fueled car that can use any combination of gasoline, ethanol and/or methanol.  Our gross national debt is ~ $14 T, our gross national product is ~ $14T, CNC/LNG would cost ~$3T, or, 21.5% of GNP  The interstate Hwy system cost 1.4% of GNP in 1958  Peak WWII spending was 44% of our GNP CNG/LNG is NOT a societal solution
  • 24. What CAN we do?
  • 25. Drop-in liquid fuels are the way to go  If drop-in is not feasible, then liquid fuels that need a minimal modification  GM has produced four million of the eleven million flexfuel cars now on American roads. GM's Vice Chairman Tom Stephens says it adds "as much as $70 to the production cost" of a car to make it a flexfuel car. Thursday May 26, 2011 Institute for Energy Resourcefulness 5/30/12
  • 26. Why not Alcohol? Henry Ford made the Model T both alcohol and gasoline compatible for 2 decades. Until (Rockefeller supported) Prohibition
  • 27. Ethanol Economy  Strong proponents  Water usage  Corn States  Brazilian sugarcane industry  Fertilizers  Equatorial belt countries  Biomass limit  Sources:  Wheel to well CO2  Sugarcane and starch (corn)  Cellulose  Overall economy  Natural gas  Feedstock is 80%  Performance  Tail pipe emissions  ICE and Diesel  Toxicity and Flammability  Fuel Cells  Distribution The Biomass limit means that ethanol made from crops can only meet 20-30% of our needs
  • 28. Ethanol/Gasoline Vehicles that get MORE power and BETTER mileage
  • 29. Proof of the pudding ICEs can run better on alcohols Saab Biopower line  By reprogramming the on-board computer  By using a turbocharger to increase the CR of the engine  By changing the fuel system components to handle alcohols  Saab increased the HP of their 2liter, 150HP engine, to 180HP  At the same time they increased the torque by 40Nm
  • 30. Saab performance curves RON – research octane no.
  • 31. A further example  The Dutch Koenigsegg CCXR gets 1/3 more power running on E85 over its gasoline model.
  • 32. Saab demonstration of what is possible with alcohols
  • 33. Saab President talking about the future of cars running on alcohols
  • 34. A big step further – E100  Saab E100  Using 100% ethanol, and optimizing the engine for it, Saab took a 2 liter 150 HP engine and had it output 300 HP.  EPA showed that a VW TDI diesel engine could run more efficiently on 100% methanol or 100% ethanol.  Could manufacture engines more cheaply than diesels  MIT pointed out that a 15 liter engine could be replaced with a 7 liter engine.
  • 35. Ethanol can give engines „diesel engine‟ efficiencies without the need for high pressure injection systems and either DPF or Urea NOx reducing exhaust treatment. Diesel Spark ignited E100 We can replace diesel engines with equally efficient alcohol run spark ignition engines, and not need the particulates, NOx or bio-diesel.
  • 36. At E30 the mileage in an optimized engine is better than with gasoline alone “Combined with an optimized conventional drivetrain, the efficiency gain shown in the previous slide for E30 should yield an estimated 10% - 12% gain in fuel economy. Thus it more than compensates for the approximately 8% loss in fuel energy density of E30 vs. straight gasoline.” EPA
  • 37. Swedish diesel buses running on 95% bio-ethanol has been running for 15 years
  • 38. Ethanol has 2/3 the energy per unit volume of gasoline
  • 39. Progression of E85 fuel economy in US cars  Because ethanol contains less energy than gasoline, fuel economy is reduced for most 2002 and earlier American FFVs by about 30%.  Most after 2003 lose only 15-17% or less.  Some of he newest American vehicles achieve only a 5-15% loss.
  • 40. Are we being manipulated by business directed engineering?  In one test, a Chevy Tahoe flex-fuel vehicle averaged 18 MPG [U.S. gallons] for gasoline and 13 MPG for E85, or 28% fewer MPG than gasoline.  In another test, however, a fleet of Ford Tauruses averaged only about 6% fewer miles per gallon in the ethanol-based vehicles as compared to traditional, gas-powered Tauruses.  The Honda Civic FFV, in Brazil, when running on E100, generates 140HP at 6,200 rpm and 174 Nm of torque at 4,300 rpm. Fill it with an E22 mix and those numbers only drop to 138 HP and 172 Nm (this torque peak arrives at 5,000 rpm).  With the Honda Fit FFV, in Brazil, on E100, it makes 83 HP at 5,700 rpm and 119Nm of torque at 2,800 rpm. On E22, it drops to 80 HP and 116 Nm at identical engine speeds.  The aforementioned facts leads some to believe that the FFV engine is more of an infant technology rather than fully mature.  Others, believe we are being manipulated!
  • 41. Solar Methanol will use no water
  • 42. Non-Corn Ethanol  Sugarcane  The entire equatorial belt + others (i.e., Hawaii etc.)  Sugar beet – temperate zone climates  The Celanese process: ethanol from natural gas  Cellulosic ethanol  Joule process: ethanol from waste water, CO2 and sunlight  1 Coskata, Dupont Danisco, Fulcrum Bio -- corn cobs , switchgrass  2 Mascoma, Range Fuels, Dyadic – enzymes – wood, etc.  3 POET, Iogen, Abengoa – wheat straw, corn cobs  Research Institute of Innovative Technology and Honda
  • 43. The Methanol Economy  Broad range of sources:  Higher octane  Methane, bio-methane, organic wastes  Burns cooler  Useable in both Spark  Higher Flash point Ignition Engines and Diesels  Burns cleaner  Emissions  Can be mixed with ethanol and gasoline  Fuel for furnaces, turbines  Fuel for fuel cells. The cheapest liquid fuel, with the largest number of non-food sources
  • 44. EPA Brake Thermal Efficiency Comparison same engine run in its native engine fueled on 100% methanol diesel mode (1.9L VW TDI in spark ignition mode diesel) Typical 1.9L gasoline engine has 22-25% BTE
  • 45. What Can This Mean for Fleet Economics?  Reduce engine system costs (engine plus exhaust treatment) by $10,000 - $15,000 – MIT study.  The engines cost less (diesels are more expensive)  No need for either the Diesel Particulate Filter or the Urea Filter (NOx)  Reduced maintenance  Fuel costs less  Better mileage – up to 5% better fuel economy  The Saab 9-5 gets 15% better fuel economy with a turbocharger
  • 46. Even Ethanol/Gasoline mixtures as low as E30 can give engine efficiencies close to that of a diesel. EPA results We can replace diesel engines with equally efficient alcohol run spark ignition engines, and not need the particulates, NOx or bio-diesel.
  • 47. • Enables operation with power densities up to three times that which can be provided by diesel engines .  This makes possible highly downsized alcohol engines (e.g. a 15 liter diesel engine could potentially be replaced by an SI engine with a displacement of 7 liters or less).
  • 48. Methanol has ½ the energy per unit volume of gasoline
  • 49. WTW GHG Emissions of methanol production Gasoline WTW GHG Sweden, Germany
  • 50. Safety GASOLINE METHANOL • In the California test (15 years), with over 200 million miles of methanol driving, there was not a single case of accidental methanol poisoning. • For M100 a 90% reduction in fuel related automotive fires is projected. P. A. Machiele, Summary Of The Fire Safety Impacts of Methanol as a Transportation Fuel, SAE International paper 901113
  • 51. Bio-Methanol Processes  Schwarze Pumpe – 100,000 tons from sewage sludge/industrial wastes  BioMCN – methanol from glycerin  Haldor-Topsoe black liquor; Sweden, Michigan  Landfill gas – methanol from biogas - AD  Human wastes – methanol from biogas –AD  From wood waste – pyrolysis
  • 52. A GEM of an idea. To enable us to move to high % methanol use before cellulosic ethanol comes along
  • 53. The GEM Idea  Find the blend of Gasoline, Ethanol and Methanol that:  The 11,000,000 existing US FFVs can use now  Make the octane rating exactly the same across a range of GEM mixtures  The volumetric energy content constant across the blends  The latent heat constant across the blends Thus the driver and the sensors do NOT know anything has changed, but INSTANTY, 11 million vehicles can use up to 50% methanol.
  • 54. GEM (gasoline, ethanol, methanol) mixtures. How to use current cars to move to methanol NOW! Blends at any position along the x-axis will give the same performance; going from 55% methanol and 45% gasoline (0% ethanol) to 85% ethanol and 15% ethanol.
  • 55. Alcohol Cars/Engines Saab Aero X 200HP  400 HP Brazilian 4 fuels Fiat Lotus Exige 270E EPA Alcohol Test Engine
  • 56. Alcohol Cars E20-E100 Honda in Brazil – introduced in 2006 With its flexible-fuel system, Honda believes that it has essentially conquered all the known drawbacks of using ethanol: • problems with cold starts • variations in fuel economy • and emissions are all addressed with the new system. Designed to operate on fuel grades ranging from E20 all the way up to E100. The result, according to Honda, is that its FFVs will have performance and fuel economy ratios that nearly equal those of their gasoline-only engines.
  • 57. An adjustable blend fuel pump in South Dakota Walmart is talking about adding 9000 more We need dispensers that can dispense what you need on demand. Just like this one. There are 2900 E85 filling stations in the US
  • 58. Costs of equivalent amount of energy. Methanol is cheaper than either gasoline or ethanol Gasoline = $3.90 Ethanol = $3.44*1.25 = $4.30 Methanol (estimate) = $3.00
  • 59. Furthermore, contract pricing is substantially less than market prices. California methanol costs: The price of methanol today is $1.30 gal
  • 61. Outline  Why we want to get of gasoline and diesel  Health  Environment  Economy  Security  Supply  Overview of the alternatives 1. Electric cars 2. Cost of CNG/LNG from natural gas 3. Ethanol Economy 4. Methanol Economy  Future Directions
  • 62. Future Trends  Alcohol ICE Engines  Ethanol or Methanol engines with high efficiency (>40% peak) Lends itself to exhaust thermal energy recovery in the form of chemical and mechanical energy.  Combined Alcohol + heat recovery system approach fuel cell efficiencies (>55% peak) at a significantly lower cost.  Hybrids with tiny alcohol ICE  Methanol reforming  hydrogen for PEM fuel cells  Anaerobic digestion of organic wastes  alcohols  Pyrolysis of organic wastes  alcohols  Direct enzyme solar transformation to ethanol - Joule  Solar „dry reforming‟ of methane to methanol  Direct methanol fuel cells
  • 63. Hybrid-ethanol or methanol vehicle can run at maximum efficiency ALL the time. Hydraulic US EPA Study Hybrid Operating Line Methanol would create a 43% efficiency range for the hydrid operation
  • 64. Biomass to Methanol Pyrolysis is a thermochemical decomposition of organic material at elevated temperatures without the participation of oxygen.
  • 65. COWS------ > BIOGAS----- > GASIFIER -- > METHANOL---- > VEHICLES Landfill NET EFFICIENCY = .70*.85 = 59.5% Institute for Energy Resourcefulness 65 5/30/12
  • 66. Methanol from CO2 and hydrogen
  • 67. CH4 + CO2  2H2 +2CO; CH3OH ΔH =-90.6kJmol Maximum theoretical efficiency = 1.3*.85 = 1.10% Institute for Energy Resourcefulness 67 5/30/12
  • 68. Main Takeaway  Do not be hung up with our problems with corn ethanol – alcohols are in your future: both ethanol and methanol from non-food origins.  These will be cheaper, not vie for land or water or fertilizer  Alcohols are the ONLY replacement for oil in Internal Combustion Engines.  Alcohols are the best fuel for fuel cells
  • 69. Do we need to bring out the cavalry to move this forward?
  • 70. Sustainable oil replacement 10% oil 100% today
  • 71. What We Must Do Now  Encourage auto companies to come clean about fuel capabilities of current cars, both Flex Fueled and gasoline.  Marshall our national desire to be independent of the „noose‟ around our necks that gasoline dependence is.  Think about what you can do to get this on the national political stage.  Prepare for alcohols by:  1) Having the auto companies make vehicles that can use them.  2) Telling your representatives that you see them as a solution  3) Tell your local government to investigate them.  If we get no response ask congress to pass the „fuel neutral‟ “Open Fuels Standard Act”.  Remember ethyl lead! You won‟t miss your daily dose of benzene!
  • 72. Conclusions  We can continuously wind down our use of oil, while at the same time improving performance, reducing pollution and costs.  Mixed alcohols are our future fuel for both ICE and Fuel Cells.  They are in our system already, and their use can be increased rapidly.  They will be made from corn and natural gas first  Then they will be made from organic wastes, and algae, and processed cleanly using solar, nuclear and wind energy.  We will be healthier, greener, and self sufficient.  We will ultimately run very efficient cars, with tiny engines and/or methanol fuel cells that are CO2 neutral and with have very low emissions.
  • 73. For more information Contact Bob Falco Institute for Energy Resourcefulness

Notes de l'éditeur

  1. Goldman Saks 22 April 09 8.3% 2009 and 10.9% 20101.32 billion vs 300,000,000 = 4.3x Chapter 1. The long and short of supply and demand - DemandThe demand picture has changed greatly in the last few years. The curve shows the US demand versus that of China. Focusing on the US growth we can see it has been essentially linear (light blue curve fit) over a century. This includes the great depression and two world wars, so we can project it over the next 20 years with confidence.The rapid growth of China clearly shows that we can’t ignore it. It is growing non-linearly, and its rate cant be accurately predicted based on its past history. Thus, we conservatively assume linear growth at 7%.(It should be noted that China grew at 12% last year and is predicted to grow at 8.5% this year. China has already surpassed the US in total carbon usage, and will be using 2 times our consumption in the next fourteen years (at the projected growth rate of 7%). Usage = (1.05)^14 = 1.98 (2 times). Five percent is the difference in China vs the US growth rate. In 20 years (the period this presentation focuses on) China will be using 2.65 times the energy we use.INDIA’s increasing at 5-7%/year ( CHINA 5-7%/year)Has a ten year plan of 10% growth rateSo world’s economy is facing two simultaneous challenges: The end of cheap and easy oil and the explosive demand for fuel in developing countries.Demand for carbon has already exceeded that of the US.
  2. Lower octane grades of gasoline could be made usable by adding this chemical. This led to the widespread use of "ethyl" or "leaded" gasoline.
  3. Woolsey
  4. . Just used the compression ratio –
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