3. Levels of drivers
1. Global drivers of change
2. Country specific drivers of change
– Infrastructure and policies,
3. Local drivers of change
4. Global drivers
• Rising energy costs
• World trade and globalisation
– Increased distance food travels
– What does WTO mean for Lao
• World prices
• Biotec
• Climate change
5. Population growth and demography
•
•
•
•
Total
Urban:rural
Aging work force in rural areas
Currently low dependency ratio is some
countries like Laos….that is going to change
11. Biofuels
• Crops now linked to energy markets
• Crops linked to developments in other
crop/tree markets
– Already were linked in the starch market
– Now linked in biofuel sector
12. National food security
• Main crops
• Secondary crops not given preference
– Inefficiencies
• What happens if China gives up on selfsufficiency objectives
13. Price controls vs support for farmers
• Concern over rising prices
– Price controls along the value chain
• Thailand rice support
14. Infrastructure
• Access to remote areas
– Market access
– Changing commodities (from subsistence to
commercialisation
– Differential impacts
• Potential for a backwash effect