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A positive effect of hydropower development
on water availability for irrigation. The case of
 the Nam Ngum River in the Lower Mekong
                      Basin
       Somphasith Douangsavanh, IWMI-SEA
       Guillaume Lacombe, IWMI-SEA
       Justin Baker, RTI International
       Chu Thai Hoanh, IWMI-SEA
       Chanseng Phongpachith, MoNRE

       The Mekong Forum on Water, Food and Energy
       Hanoi, Vietnam, November 13-14, 2012
                     Water for a food-secure world
Introduction
• Population growth and economic
  development in SEA induces increase in food
  & energy demand
• Several studies have focused only on negative
  impacts of hydropower dams
• In contrast, hydropower development could
  compliment irrigation development


               Water for a food-secure world
Study Area
                                Nam Ngum Basin: one of the
                                most important in Lao PDR
                                (flow, population, food
                                production & irrigation)

                                Upstream: hydropower dev

                                Downstream: irrigation dev in
                                Vientiane Plain




Water for a food-secure world
Research Question
• What are the effects of existing and proposed
  hydropower development on water
  availability for irrigation in the Nam Ngum
  Basin




               Water for a food-secure world
Methodology
• Assessed current and potential irrigation
  water demand from satellite images, cropping
  calendar & simple crop water balance

• Analysed flow data recorded over 1962-2009
  in combination with an optimized reservoir
  system model


              Water for a food-secure world
Methodology cont

                                  Assessed irrigation water
                                  demand (WD)




                                      where




  Water for a food-secure world
Methodology
         cont
                Analyzed flow data recorded
                since 1962-2008

                      1972

                      1974

                      1976

                      1978




                      1987

                      1989

                      1991

                      1993




                      2004

                      2006

                      2008
                      1962
                      1963
                      1964
                      1965
                      1966
                      1967
                      1968
                      1969
                      1970
                      1971

                      1973

                      1975

                      1977

                      1979
                      1980
                      1981
                      1982
                      1983
                      1984
                      1985
                      1986

                      1988

                      1990

                      1992

                      1994
                      1995
                      1996
                      1997
                      1998
                      1999
                      2000
                      2001
                      2002
                      2003

                      2005

                      2007
Hydrological years:

      Time periods:     TP1                                                                TP2
        NN1 stages:    NO DAM        2 TURBINES       4 TURBINES      5 TURBINES
                                          NO WATER DIVERSION             1 DIVERSION   2 DIVERSIONS
      NN1 Turbine
      NN1 spillway
           Hinheup
             Thalat
     Pak Kanhoung
          Tha Ngon
          Na Luang
Nam Leuk diversion
Nam Song diversion


                                      Water for a food-secure world
Structure and functioning of the
            model



                 Each dam represented by a
                 water balance equation:

                 Δvolume = Σ inflow – Σ outflow
                 Power = Turbine flow × Diff
                 water level × Constant

         Water for a food-secure world
Results
Seasonal variability flow at Tha Ngon gauging. (a) no dams_1962-1971;
(b) existing dams; (c) full hydropower dev_2030

    a                                         b




    c




                       Water for a food-secure world
Results cont
  Water availability and water supply at the Tha Ngon
  gauging station in the Vientian Plain
   a                                          b



                                                       203m3.s-1
                                                                   WD2


  c



           227m3.s-1     155m3.s-1   WD3H
                                     WD3L




                       Water for a food-secure world
Conclusions
• Water demand WD1 would not respect the
  environment flow requirement in the dry
  years if no dams existed in the Nam Ngum
  Basin
• Dry season flow is expected to increase by
  >200% and wet season, to decrease by 20%
• Full hydropower development could allow
  current irrigation water demand to triple
  ( 20,824ha-56,376ha)

               Water for a food-secure world
Thank you



Water for a food-secure world

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A Positive Effect of Hydropower Development on Water Availability for Irrigation

  • 1. A positive effect of hydropower development on water availability for irrigation. The case of the Nam Ngum River in the Lower Mekong Basin Somphasith Douangsavanh, IWMI-SEA Guillaume Lacombe, IWMI-SEA Justin Baker, RTI International Chu Thai Hoanh, IWMI-SEA Chanseng Phongpachith, MoNRE The Mekong Forum on Water, Food and Energy Hanoi, Vietnam, November 13-14, 2012 Water for a food-secure world
  • 2. Introduction • Population growth and economic development in SEA induces increase in food & energy demand • Several studies have focused only on negative impacts of hydropower dams • In contrast, hydropower development could compliment irrigation development Water for a food-secure world
  • 3. Study Area Nam Ngum Basin: one of the most important in Lao PDR (flow, population, food production & irrigation) Upstream: hydropower dev Downstream: irrigation dev in Vientiane Plain Water for a food-secure world
  • 4. Research Question • What are the effects of existing and proposed hydropower development on water availability for irrigation in the Nam Ngum Basin Water for a food-secure world
  • 5. Methodology • Assessed current and potential irrigation water demand from satellite images, cropping calendar & simple crop water balance • Analysed flow data recorded over 1962-2009 in combination with an optimized reservoir system model Water for a food-secure world
  • 6. Methodology cont Assessed irrigation water demand (WD) where Water for a food-secure world
  • 7. Methodology cont Analyzed flow data recorded since 1962-2008 1972 1974 1976 1978 1987 1989 1991 1993 2004 2006 2008 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1973 1975 1977 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2005 2007 Hydrological years: Time periods: TP1 TP2 NN1 stages: NO DAM 2 TURBINES 4 TURBINES 5 TURBINES NO WATER DIVERSION 1 DIVERSION 2 DIVERSIONS NN1 Turbine NN1 spillway Hinheup Thalat Pak Kanhoung Tha Ngon Na Luang Nam Leuk diversion Nam Song diversion Water for a food-secure world
  • 8. Structure and functioning of the model Each dam represented by a water balance equation: Δvolume = Σ inflow – Σ outflow Power = Turbine flow × Diff water level × Constant Water for a food-secure world
  • 9. Results Seasonal variability flow at Tha Ngon gauging. (a) no dams_1962-1971; (b) existing dams; (c) full hydropower dev_2030 a b c Water for a food-secure world
  • 10. Results cont Water availability and water supply at the Tha Ngon gauging station in the Vientian Plain a b 203m3.s-1 WD2 c 227m3.s-1 155m3.s-1 WD3H WD3L Water for a food-secure world
  • 11. Conclusions • Water demand WD1 would not respect the environment flow requirement in the dry years if no dams existed in the Nam Ngum Basin • Dry season flow is expected to increase by >200% and wet season, to decrease by 20% • Full hydropower development could allow current irrigation water demand to triple ( 20,824ha-56,376ha) Water for a food-secure world
  • 12. Thank you Water for a food-secure world

Notes de l'éditeur

  1. Explain what are: WD1, WD2 & WD3 are irrigation water demand for existing irrigated area, potential irrigated area & maximum irrigated area. Wd is Areal water demand for dry season irrigated rice calculated from Epan, Kpan, Kc_rice & water loss throught seepage/percolation/leakage. Water loss is assumed about 50% of total water demand during the cropping cycle.
  2. Explain data,,,, Analyzed flow data recorded for water availability of the period of no dams and existing dam(current)
  3. The model was optimized with GAMS