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Why Energy Efficiency should be an
important part of the Mekong region’s energy future?

                Ms. Napaporn Phumaraphand
         Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand


                       9 December 2011
            Mekong Forum on Water, Food and Energy
                    Phnom Penh, Cambodia
Outline of the Presentation

    I.    World Energy Consumption and Efficiency
          and climate change : the need to go EE

    II.   Possible Drivers of and Barriers to EE

    III. EGAT Experiences in Implementing EE

    IV. What EGAT has learned after 15 years

    V.    Conclusion


2
I. World Energy Consumption and Efficiency
       and Climate Change : the need to go EE




3
World Energy Consumption; 2008 – 2030 increase by 43%




                                                During 2007-2030, 93%
                                                of the increase are from
                                                developing countries with
                                                50% from China and
                                                India




4                             Source : IEA World Energy Outlook 2009
Drivers of Energy Demand


                                                                       Rising Incomes
                                                                           As incomes rise,
                                                                            people use the
                                       To be around 6 kWh                   increased disposable
                                        per capita per day
                                                                            income to obtain
                                                                            consumer goods,
                                                                            which include energy-
                              To be around 4-6 kWh
                                per capita per day                          intensive appliances
                                                                            and equipment
               Currently ~ 2
              kWh per capita
                 per day

                                               Source : IEA, 2006

     Figure: How per capita income drives electricity
     demand
5   Source : Energy Trends in Developing Asia: Priorities for a Low-Carbon Future , September 2011
Drivers of Energy Demand


     Urbanization & Energy Consumption
              By 2030, it’s predicted that                         While almost 75% of annual
              half of the world’s urban                            global office space
              populations will live in Asian                       construction is taking place in
              cities                                               Asia



                                                 results in great increase in
                                                 energy use and emission
                                                 ,as buildings are associated
                                                 with 40% of global energy
                                                 use.




6 6 Source : Energy Trends in Developing Asia: Priorities for a Low-Carbon Future , September 2011
Trends in energy Demand and Green House Gas Emissions
                         in Developing Asia
     In the next 20 years, 90% of the growth in world energy
      demand will come from developing countries (share of primary
      energy demand from 28% to 38% in 2030)
     Electricity generation will double by 2030 with production
      from coal increase by 77% while hydroelectric power will
      increase by 44%
                                           Coal will continue to be
                                             the dominant fuel in
                                             power sector, though its
                                             share decrease from
                                             69% to 59%
                                                 Change of World Energy Consumption during 2007-2030
                                                                  Source : IEA World Energy Outlook 2009


7   Source : Energy Trends in Developing Asia: Priorities for a Low-Carbon Future , September 2011
Asia’s Contribution to GHG Emissions


    Abatement Measures for CO2 Reduction in 450 ppm Scenario: ASEAN Countries




                                                                                        EE accounts
                                                                                        for 64-84% of
                                                                                        CO2 reduction
                                                                                        during the
                                                                                        year 2020-
                                                                                        2030




    Potentially, during 2020-2030, ASEAN countries can reduce CO2 emission by 25%



8                                              Source : IEA World Energy Outlook 2009
World’s Abatement Measures in Contribution to GHG Emissions


    Abatement Measures for CO2 Reduction in 450 ppm Scenario: World Overview




                                                                            EE accounts
                                                                            for 57-65% of
                                                                            CO2
                                                                            reductions
                                                                            2020-2030
                                                                            during




9                                       Source : IEA World Energy Outlook 2009
Comparison of Energy Efficiency in various countries

                      Energy Efficiency = Primary Energy Consumption
                                                        GDP




10                                   Source : IEA Energy Balance, 2008
Comparison of Electricity Efficiency in various countries

                     Electricity Efficiency = Primary Electricity Consumption
                                                             GDP




11                                        Source : IEA Energy Balance, 2008
II. Possible Drivers of and Barriers to EE




12
Frequency of energy efficiency barriers cited by 120 respondents from 27 countries

            % Lack of
       consumer awareness

              % Low or subsidised
                energy prices            % Accessing
                                    affordable financing

                                            % Policy and
                                      implementation capacity




13                                         Source : IEA Energy Efficiency Governance, 2010
Drivers VS. Barriers to promote EE


                                                             Barriers
     Drivers                                                 × Market organization
                                                               and price distortions
      Energy Security
                                                             × Financing
      Economic Development    Energy
       and Competitiveness    Efficiency                     × Information and
                                                               awareness
      Climate Change
                                                             × Regulatory and
      Public Health                                           Institutional
                                                             × Technical




14                            Source : IEA Energy Efficiency Governance, 2010
III. EGAT Experiences in Implementing EE




15
EGAT rationales to implement EE programs

     a) By cabinet resolutions (1992)

     b) Cost-effectiveness; Avoided costs of electricity
        supply exceed EE program costs

     c) Environmental Benefits

     d) Corporate Images




16
EGAT’s DSM Philosophy

          Same or better customers’ benefit on electricity use
           but less consumption
          Efficiency increase with affordable prices &
           standard quality
          Voluntary cooperation of manufacturers &
           importers
          Win – Win Solution
           <Manufacturers/Customers/Nation>


 Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
17                                                         4
Implementation Strategies
     DSM Strategies implemented by EGAT
      # . Market Transformation
          - Thin Tube Program,
          - Appliance Efficiency Labeling Program
      # . Customer-Oriented Program Design
          - Flexibility to Accommodate Customer Needs
          - The Green Building Program
      # . Public-Private Sector Partnership
          - Energy Services Company (ESCO)
      # . Attitude Creation
          - Green Learning Rooms & Use of Mass Media
18
DSM Initiatives – Focusing Residential Sector

                 Standard & Labeling program
                    Energy efficiency labeling, rating scale 1-5
                      (worst-best)
                    13 kinds of appliance to date

                Market transformation
                   Thin tube program




19
Energy Labeling by EGAT

        Refrigerator (1994)
        Air conditioner (1995)
        Compact Fluorescent Lamp (1996)
        Electromagnetic Ballast (1998)
        Electric Fan (2001)
        Automatic Rice Cooker (2003)
        Lighting Luminare (2003)
        T5 (2009)
        Electronic Ballast (2009)
        Double-oscillating Fan (2009)
        T5 Luminare (2010)
        Exhaust Fan (2010)
        Standby 1 Watt – Television (2010)
20
Example of campaign and advertisement



                                              “Together in
                                             conservation”




21
22
DSM program impacts (as of October 2011)

                            Share of Peak Demand saving by program
                                       Fan
                                                 Rice cooker Other
                                      1.8%
                                                    0.7%     0.1%
                                                                            Air
                               Lighting                                  Conditioner
                                31.4%                                      44.7%


                                          Refrigerator
                                            21.3%



                             Share of CO2 reduction by program

                                                         Other
                                               Fan       0.1%    Rice cooker
                                              2.5%                  0.1%

                                  Lighting                                   Air
                                   28.7%                                  Conditioner
                                                                            44.1%


                                                Refrigerator
                                                  24.4%
                                                                                        23
23
DSM program Costs (as of October 2011)

     Accumulated DSM Expenditure                                                          Baht per
     per Unit Saved 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
     Year 1997 1998 1999 2000 by year                                           2008 2009 Unit2011(O
                                                                                          2010      ct.)
     C ost/kW 2,748 2,590 2,992 3,323 3,277 3,174 2,961 2,727 2,492 2,451 2,468 2,364 2,290 2,088          1,897
     Cost/kW 0.49 0.47 0.54 0.60 0.58 0.56 0.53 0.49 0.46 0.44 0.43 0.41 0.39 0.35
            h                                                                                               0.32


                            Cost per kW Saved
         Baht/kW
                                                                              The cost to produce electricity
       3,500

       3,000                                                             Marginal Capacity Cost        5,053.20
                                                                                                      Baht kW/yr.
       2,500
                                                                         Marginal Energy Cost           1.2451
       2,000
                                                                                                      Baht kWh
       1,500

       1,000

        500

          0




24
at Generation Level
                                                                                             Year 2010-2015
                                                                                    Estimated Saving                                           CO2
  DSM                   Item       Appliance/Equipment
                                                                     Peak Demand Reduction          Energy Saving                            Reduction
                                                                        MW           %            GWh            %                         (Thousand Ton)

Master Plan             On-going Programs
                         1 Refrigerator                              192                26.5             524               15.0                 288
                         2 Air Conditioner                            77                10.6             631               18.0                 347
2010-2015                3 Electric Rice Cooker
                         4 Electric Fan
                                                                       0
                                                                      51
                                                                                        0.0
                                                                                        7.0
                                                                                                          2
                                                                                                         114
                                                                                                                            0.1
                                                                                                                            3.3
                                                                                                                                                 1
                                                                                                                                                 63
                            (all types of 12 & 16-inch blade )         0                                  0
                         5 CFL                                       209                28.8            1,356              38.7                 746
                         6 T5 Fluorescent Lamp                       175                24.1             805               23.0                 443
                         7 Low Loss Ballast                    No saving claimed due to its replacement by electronic ballast-T5 set             -
    Continuation        8 Electronic Ballast for T5           Already claim saving in T5 set                                                    -
                         9  Luminaire                          No saving claimed                                                                 -
     and expansion of                    Total                         704.0              97.1             3,433              98.0             1,888
                        New Programs
     Label NO. 5         10 Standby Power                               N/A               N/A                54                1.6              30
                                       Television                       N/A               N/A                47                1.4              26
    Market-based                      Computer Monitor                 N/A               N/A                 0                0.0              0
                                       Air Conditioner                  N/A               N/A                 6                0.2              4
     Standard            11 Electric Water Boiler                        1                0.1                 4                0.1               2
     Adjustment          12 Freezer                                      0                0.1                 3                0.1               2
                         13 Transformer                                  1                0.1                 6                0.2               3
                         14 Load Control project                         19               2.6                 0                0.0               0
    Load control        15 Washing Machine                              0                0.0                 2                0.0               1
                         16 Air Conditioner (rescaling)           Standard rescaling in 2011 and the saving potential is already
     project             17 Refrigerator (rescaling)              calculated in the on-going program
                         18 Electric Fan (rescaling)               Standard rescaling in 2011 and saving potential is already calculated
(Demand Response)        19 T5 Luminaire                          No saving claimed
                         20 Electric Water Heater                 Feasibility studying
                         21 Television                            Feasibility studying
                         22 Electric Motor                        Feasibility studying
                         23 LED                                   Feasibility studying
                         24 Chiller                               Feasibility studying
                         25 Microwave Oven                        Feasibility studying
                         26 Pump                                  Feasibility studying
                         27 Air Conditioner (Invertor, Hybrid)    Feasibility studying
                                         Total                           21                2.9               70                2.0              38
                                    Grand Total                         725               100              3,502              100             1,926

25
IV. What EGAT has learned after 15 years




26
Lessons Learned

     1. Credit of EGAT as a government-owned utility or
        energy provider always gains public trusts in EE
        implementation. e.g. Labeling No.5 has been widely
        accepted by consumers.
     2. Program monitoring and evaluation is as critical to
        the success as program delivery/implementation.
        Because it is important that the achieved no. of
        energy saving to be integrated into power planning
        as a supply option should be reliable.


27
Lessons Learned

     3. Supportive government and utility policies on key issues
        are necessary.

        3.1 For program sustainability. It is obvious that utility or
            energy provider like EGAT only performs voluntary
            programs which will not last in longer term. While EE
            measures could be permanently achieved through
            mandatory/compulsory programs that needs strong
            policy direction e.g. Voluntary Labeling VS. MEPS




28
Lessons Learned


     3.2 Financial resources and mechanism are critical to the
         scale of energy efficiency program delivery and its
         sustainability.
         Policies and regulations to encourage utility to
         promote energy efficiency programs could be
         developed such as rewarding mechanism with
         comparable level of earnings for energy efficiency
         investments as well as earnings from energy sales.




29
V. Conclusion




30
Conclusion

        Energy Demand still growing especially in the developing
            world.
        Other than RE, we need EE to protect our environment.
            RE alone is not sufficient.
        New supply of power does not deserve to be developed if
            it is feeding wasteful use.
        Power utility is appropriate for implementing EE / DSM
            programs like EGAT does.
        EE / DSM is always a win-win solution to all stakeholders.



 Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
31                                                            4
Thank you
                             for your attention

                         Ms. Napaporn Phumaraphand

             Director, Demand- Side Management & Planning Division
                    Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
                    Bang Kruai, Nonthaburi 11130, THAILAND

                                   E-mail: napaporn.p@egat.co.th
                                        Tel. +66 2436 8100
                                        Fax.+66 2436 8190
                                                                     3
32Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand                       2

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Why Energy Efficiency should be an important part of the Mekong region's energy future

  • 1. Why Energy Efficiency should be an important part of the Mekong region’s energy future? Ms. Napaporn Phumaraphand Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand 9 December 2011 Mekong Forum on Water, Food and Energy Phnom Penh, Cambodia
  • 2. Outline of the Presentation I. World Energy Consumption and Efficiency and climate change : the need to go EE II. Possible Drivers of and Barriers to EE III. EGAT Experiences in Implementing EE IV. What EGAT has learned after 15 years V. Conclusion 2
  • 3. I. World Energy Consumption and Efficiency and Climate Change : the need to go EE 3
  • 4. World Energy Consumption; 2008 – 2030 increase by 43% During 2007-2030, 93% of the increase are from developing countries with 50% from China and India 4 Source : IEA World Energy Outlook 2009
  • 5. Drivers of Energy Demand  Rising Incomes  As incomes rise, people use the To be around 6 kWh increased disposable per capita per day income to obtain consumer goods, which include energy- To be around 4-6 kWh per capita per day intensive appliances and equipment Currently ~ 2 kWh per capita per day Source : IEA, 2006 Figure: How per capita income drives electricity demand 5 Source : Energy Trends in Developing Asia: Priorities for a Low-Carbon Future , September 2011
  • 6. Drivers of Energy Demand  Urbanization & Energy Consumption By 2030, it’s predicted that While almost 75% of annual half of the world’s urban global office space populations will live in Asian construction is taking place in cities Asia results in great increase in energy use and emission ,as buildings are associated with 40% of global energy use. 6 6 Source : Energy Trends in Developing Asia: Priorities for a Low-Carbon Future , September 2011
  • 7. Trends in energy Demand and Green House Gas Emissions in Developing Asia  In the next 20 years, 90% of the growth in world energy demand will come from developing countries (share of primary energy demand from 28% to 38% in 2030)  Electricity generation will double by 2030 with production from coal increase by 77% while hydroelectric power will increase by 44%  Coal will continue to be the dominant fuel in power sector, though its share decrease from 69% to 59% Change of World Energy Consumption during 2007-2030 Source : IEA World Energy Outlook 2009 7 Source : Energy Trends in Developing Asia: Priorities for a Low-Carbon Future , September 2011
  • 8. Asia’s Contribution to GHG Emissions Abatement Measures for CO2 Reduction in 450 ppm Scenario: ASEAN Countries EE accounts for 64-84% of CO2 reduction during the year 2020- 2030 Potentially, during 2020-2030, ASEAN countries can reduce CO2 emission by 25% 8 Source : IEA World Energy Outlook 2009
  • 9. World’s Abatement Measures in Contribution to GHG Emissions Abatement Measures for CO2 Reduction in 450 ppm Scenario: World Overview EE accounts for 57-65% of CO2 reductions 2020-2030 during 9 Source : IEA World Energy Outlook 2009
  • 10. Comparison of Energy Efficiency in various countries Energy Efficiency = Primary Energy Consumption GDP 10 Source : IEA Energy Balance, 2008
  • 11. Comparison of Electricity Efficiency in various countries Electricity Efficiency = Primary Electricity Consumption GDP 11 Source : IEA Energy Balance, 2008
  • 12. II. Possible Drivers of and Barriers to EE 12
  • 13. Frequency of energy efficiency barriers cited by 120 respondents from 27 countries % Lack of consumer awareness % Low or subsidised energy prices % Accessing affordable financing % Policy and implementation capacity 13 Source : IEA Energy Efficiency Governance, 2010
  • 14. Drivers VS. Barriers to promote EE Barriers Drivers × Market organization and price distortions  Energy Security × Financing  Economic Development Energy and Competitiveness Efficiency × Information and awareness  Climate Change × Regulatory and  Public Health Institutional × Technical 14 Source : IEA Energy Efficiency Governance, 2010
  • 15. III. EGAT Experiences in Implementing EE 15
  • 16. EGAT rationales to implement EE programs a) By cabinet resolutions (1992) b) Cost-effectiveness; Avoided costs of electricity supply exceed EE program costs c) Environmental Benefits d) Corporate Images 16
  • 17. EGAT’s DSM Philosophy  Same or better customers’ benefit on electricity use but less consumption  Efficiency increase with affordable prices & standard quality  Voluntary cooperation of manufacturers & importers  Win – Win Solution <Manufacturers/Customers/Nation> Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand 17 4
  • 18. Implementation Strategies DSM Strategies implemented by EGAT # . Market Transformation - Thin Tube Program, - Appliance Efficiency Labeling Program # . Customer-Oriented Program Design - Flexibility to Accommodate Customer Needs - The Green Building Program # . Public-Private Sector Partnership - Energy Services Company (ESCO) # . Attitude Creation - Green Learning Rooms & Use of Mass Media 18
  • 19. DSM Initiatives – Focusing Residential Sector  Standard & Labeling program  Energy efficiency labeling, rating scale 1-5 (worst-best)  13 kinds of appliance to date Market transformation  Thin tube program 19
  • 20. Energy Labeling by EGAT  Refrigerator (1994)  Air conditioner (1995)  Compact Fluorescent Lamp (1996)  Electromagnetic Ballast (1998)  Electric Fan (2001)  Automatic Rice Cooker (2003)  Lighting Luminare (2003)  T5 (2009)  Electronic Ballast (2009)  Double-oscillating Fan (2009)  T5 Luminare (2010)  Exhaust Fan (2010)  Standby 1 Watt – Television (2010) 20
  • 21. Example of campaign and advertisement “Together in conservation” 21
  • 22. 22
  • 23. DSM program impacts (as of October 2011) Share of Peak Demand saving by program Fan Rice cooker Other 1.8% 0.7% 0.1% Air Lighting Conditioner 31.4% 44.7% Refrigerator 21.3% Share of CO2 reduction by program Other Fan 0.1% Rice cooker 2.5% 0.1% Lighting Air 28.7% Conditioner 44.1% Refrigerator 24.4% 23 23
  • 24. DSM program Costs (as of October 2011) Accumulated DSM Expenditure Baht per per Unit Saved 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Year 1997 1998 1999 2000 by year 2008 2009 Unit2011(O 2010 ct.) C ost/kW 2,748 2,590 2,992 3,323 3,277 3,174 2,961 2,727 2,492 2,451 2,468 2,364 2,290 2,088 1,897 Cost/kW 0.49 0.47 0.54 0.60 0.58 0.56 0.53 0.49 0.46 0.44 0.43 0.41 0.39 0.35 h 0.32 Cost per kW Saved Baht/kW The cost to produce electricity 3,500 3,000  Marginal Capacity Cost 5,053.20 Baht kW/yr. 2,500  Marginal Energy Cost 1.2451 2,000 Baht kWh 1,500 1,000 500 0 24
  • 25. at Generation Level Year 2010-2015 Estimated Saving CO2 DSM Item Appliance/Equipment Peak Demand Reduction Energy Saving Reduction MW % GWh % (Thousand Ton) Master Plan On-going Programs 1 Refrigerator 192 26.5 524 15.0 288 2 Air Conditioner 77 10.6 631 18.0 347 2010-2015 3 Electric Rice Cooker 4 Electric Fan 0 51 0.0 7.0 2 114 0.1 3.3 1 63 (all types of 12 & 16-inch blade ) 0 0 5 CFL 209 28.8 1,356 38.7 746 6 T5 Fluorescent Lamp 175 24.1 805 23.0 443 7 Low Loss Ballast No saving claimed due to its replacement by electronic ballast-T5 set -  Continuation 8 Electronic Ballast for T5 Already claim saving in T5 set - 9 Luminaire No saving claimed - and expansion of Total 704.0 97.1 3,433 98.0 1,888 New Programs Label NO. 5 10 Standby Power N/A N/A 54 1.6 30 Television N/A N/A 47 1.4 26  Market-based Computer Monitor N/A N/A 0 0.0 0 Air Conditioner N/A N/A 6 0.2 4 Standard 11 Electric Water Boiler 1 0.1 4 0.1 2 Adjustment 12 Freezer 0 0.1 3 0.1 2 13 Transformer 1 0.1 6 0.2 3 14 Load Control project 19 2.6 0 0.0 0  Load control 15 Washing Machine 0 0.0 2 0.0 1 16 Air Conditioner (rescaling) Standard rescaling in 2011 and the saving potential is already project 17 Refrigerator (rescaling) calculated in the on-going program 18 Electric Fan (rescaling) Standard rescaling in 2011 and saving potential is already calculated (Demand Response) 19 T5 Luminaire No saving claimed 20 Electric Water Heater Feasibility studying 21 Television Feasibility studying 22 Electric Motor Feasibility studying 23 LED Feasibility studying 24 Chiller Feasibility studying 25 Microwave Oven Feasibility studying 26 Pump Feasibility studying 27 Air Conditioner (Invertor, Hybrid) Feasibility studying Total 21 2.9 70 2.0 38 Grand Total 725 100 3,502 100 1,926 25
  • 26. IV. What EGAT has learned after 15 years 26
  • 27. Lessons Learned 1. Credit of EGAT as a government-owned utility or energy provider always gains public trusts in EE implementation. e.g. Labeling No.5 has been widely accepted by consumers. 2. Program monitoring and evaluation is as critical to the success as program delivery/implementation. Because it is important that the achieved no. of energy saving to be integrated into power planning as a supply option should be reliable. 27
  • 28. Lessons Learned 3. Supportive government and utility policies on key issues are necessary. 3.1 For program sustainability. It is obvious that utility or energy provider like EGAT only performs voluntary programs which will not last in longer term. While EE measures could be permanently achieved through mandatory/compulsory programs that needs strong policy direction e.g. Voluntary Labeling VS. MEPS 28
  • 29. Lessons Learned 3.2 Financial resources and mechanism are critical to the scale of energy efficiency program delivery and its sustainability. Policies and regulations to encourage utility to promote energy efficiency programs could be developed such as rewarding mechanism with comparable level of earnings for energy efficiency investments as well as earnings from energy sales. 29
  • 31. Conclusion  Energy Demand still growing especially in the developing world.  Other than RE, we need EE to protect our environment. RE alone is not sufficient.  New supply of power does not deserve to be developed if it is feeding wasteful use.  Power utility is appropriate for implementing EE / DSM programs like EGAT does.  EE / DSM is always a win-win solution to all stakeholders. Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand 31 4
  • 32. Thank you for your attention Ms. Napaporn Phumaraphand Director, Demand- Side Management & Planning Division Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand Bang Kruai, Nonthaburi 11130, THAILAND E-mail: napaporn.p@egat.co.th Tel. +66 2436 8100 Fax.+66 2436 8190 3 32Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand 2