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Eastern Automotive Summit October 19, 2006 The Global Automotive Outlook: Strategic Trends & Implications
Presentation Outline ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
North American Automotive Outlook
Outlook Scorecard* Key NAFTA Drivers ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],* Expected performance by factor assessed by color and time of evaluation: GREEN (good);    YELLOW (moderate); RED (bad) Source: AutomotiveCompass
Mid-term North American Auto Outlook:  Light Vehicle Production Volume  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Source: AutomotiveCompass
Oil Prices – 12 months tracking Updated 10/11/06 ,[object Object],[object Object]
NAFTA Auto Outlook: Production Light Vehicle Production Volume in 000s, 2002-2010   Source: AutomotiveCompass
NAFTA Auto Outlook: Production Light Vehicle Production Share (%), 2002-2010   Source: AutomotiveCompass
Segment Definitions: Cars and Light Trucks Source: AutomotiveCompass Cargo vehicle over 6,000lbs GVWR LVN Usually car-based and FWD van MVN Primarily American, SUV over 6,000lbs GVWR LSV Truck-based SUV under 6,000lbs GVWR MSV Usually car-based (FWD-based) SUV SSV Primarily American, pickup over 6,000lbs GVWR LPU Truck-based pickup under 6,000lbs GVWR MPU Sporty vehicle not meeting "F" category definition S Exotic and ultra-luxury cars, regardless of size. Chiefly a pricing category F "Near luxury" or "large car" E "Executive car," known as "mid-sized" in the U.S. D Typical "compact" vehicles, principally family cars in Europe and Asia C "Supermini" classification, regarded as "minicompacts" in the US B Description Segment
Segment Shift: Cars Source: AutomotiveCompass North American Market Share by Product Segment
Segment Shift: Light Trucks North American Market Share by Product Segment Source: AutomotiveCompass
Segment Shift: Big Pickups & Small Cars ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],North American  Market Share Source: AutomotiveCompass
Segment Shift: SUVs vs Crossovers North American Market Share by Product Segment Source: AutomotiveCompass
Market Share shift in 2001-2012: Big 3 Domestics North American Market Share by OEM Brands Source: AutomotiveCompass
Market Share shift in 2001-2012: Big 3 Transplants North American Market Share by OEM Brands Source: AutomotiveCompass
GM Overview ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
GM Stock Price Up almost 75% since April! Oct `04 Feb ‘05 Jun ‘05 Oct ‘05 Feb ‘06 Jun ‘06 40 30 20 Oct ‘06
Delphi Update ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Threats of Private Capital ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Global Automotive Outlook
Global Overview ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Winners & Losers: 2005-2010 Mid-term Scorecard Results Source: AutomotiveCompass
Top 10 Global Platforms 2005-2010 NOTE: For comparison purposes the previous generation platform information is also provided Source: AutomotiveCompass
Global Market Clusters: OEMs Change in Market Share (% pts.), History and Forecast Improving Slipping Trailing Leading Top 11 OEMs represent almost 90% of the global market Source: AutomotiveCompass
Global Production by Region: 2002 Global Light Vehicle Production (units, % of total) Global Volume: 56.1 mil
Global Production by Region: 2010 Global Light Vehicle Production (units, % of total) Global Volume: 72.4 mil
Global Production by Region: 2002 - 2010 Units as % of total growth over 2002 Global Production Global Volume Growth: 16.3 mil
Light Vehicle Production by Country 2000 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Ranking of light vehicle   production volume by country 2005 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],2010 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Source: AutomotiveCompass
Key Global Issues ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
GM - Renault Nissan Alliance – Chronology ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Conclusions & Implications
North American Trends ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Global Trends ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Pervasive Global Change ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Business Models in Conflict ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The Lean Model – Critical Elements ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Special Issues: Opportunities/Threats ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Conclusions and Implications ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Eastern Automotive Summit October 19, 2006 The Global Automotive Outlook: Strategic Trends & Implications

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Mazda Eas Presentation

  • 1. Eastern Automotive Summit October 19, 2006 The Global Automotive Outlook: Strategic Trends & Implications
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  • 7. NAFTA Auto Outlook: Production Light Vehicle Production Volume in 000s, 2002-2010 Source: AutomotiveCompass
  • 8. NAFTA Auto Outlook: Production Light Vehicle Production Share (%), 2002-2010 Source: AutomotiveCompass
  • 9. Segment Definitions: Cars and Light Trucks Source: AutomotiveCompass Cargo vehicle over 6,000lbs GVWR LVN Usually car-based and FWD van MVN Primarily American, SUV over 6,000lbs GVWR LSV Truck-based SUV under 6,000lbs GVWR MSV Usually car-based (FWD-based) SUV SSV Primarily American, pickup over 6,000lbs GVWR LPU Truck-based pickup under 6,000lbs GVWR MPU Sporty vehicle not meeting "F" category definition S Exotic and ultra-luxury cars, regardless of size. Chiefly a pricing category F "Near luxury" or "large car" E "Executive car," known as "mid-sized" in the U.S. D Typical "compact" vehicles, principally family cars in Europe and Asia C "Supermini" classification, regarded as "minicompacts" in the US B Description Segment
  • 10. Segment Shift: Cars Source: AutomotiveCompass North American Market Share by Product Segment
  • 11. Segment Shift: Light Trucks North American Market Share by Product Segment Source: AutomotiveCompass
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  • 13. Segment Shift: SUVs vs Crossovers North American Market Share by Product Segment Source: AutomotiveCompass
  • 14. Market Share shift in 2001-2012: Big 3 Domestics North American Market Share by OEM Brands Source: AutomotiveCompass
  • 15. Market Share shift in 2001-2012: Big 3 Transplants North American Market Share by OEM Brands Source: AutomotiveCompass
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  • 17. GM Stock Price Up almost 75% since April! Oct `04 Feb ‘05 Jun ‘05 Oct ‘05 Feb ‘06 Jun ‘06 40 30 20 Oct ‘06
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  • 22. Winners & Losers: 2005-2010 Mid-term Scorecard Results Source: AutomotiveCompass
  • 23. Top 10 Global Platforms 2005-2010 NOTE: For comparison purposes the previous generation platform information is also provided Source: AutomotiveCompass
  • 24. Global Market Clusters: OEMs Change in Market Share (% pts.), History and Forecast Improving Slipping Trailing Leading Top 11 OEMs represent almost 90% of the global market Source: AutomotiveCompass
  • 25. Global Production by Region: 2002 Global Light Vehicle Production (units, % of total) Global Volume: 56.1 mil
  • 26. Global Production by Region: 2010 Global Light Vehicle Production (units, % of total) Global Volume: 72.4 mil
  • 27. Global Production by Region: 2002 - 2010 Units as % of total growth over 2002 Global Production Global Volume Growth: 16.3 mil
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  • 39. Eastern Automotive Summit October 19, 2006 The Global Automotive Outlook: Strategic Trends & Implications

Notes de l'éditeur

  1. New NAM trucks (bigger versions of the Titan and Tundra) will take from Big 3, helping to lower the Big 3 number while raising truck output. The number of “crossovers” are helping to boost the truck market even more. New models help replace/supplement cars: Chevrolet HHR (small crossover), Ford Freestyle/Mercury (large crossover), Mazda large crossover, Subaru large crossover
  2. Controlling interest is regional specific; Japan is 34% for example GM includes Saab, Hummer, Opel/Vauxhall, GM DAT Ford includes Aston Martin, Jaguar, Land Rover, Mazda, Volvo Toyota includes Daihatsu, Hino Majority of the “OTHER” category is China “ OTHER” includes major companies such as: Chang’an Chery Daewoo (not GM DAT, which is in GM) Dongfeng FAW Fuji Heavy (Subaru) Mahindra Maruti Mitsubishi Proton Ssangyong Suzuki Tata