"Ceramic Roadmap to 2050" by Dr Laura Cohen, British Ceramic Confederation.
Presentation made in the context of the Ceramic Days 2012 and the publication of "Paving the way to 2050: The Ceramic Industry Roadmap".
Digital Transformation in the PLM domain - distrib.pdf
"Ceramic Roadmap to 2050" | Dr Laura Cohen
1. Ceramic Roadmap to 2050
CeramicDays, November 2012
LauraCohen,Cerame-Unie
2. 1. Why a Roadmap
2. What is included
3. Call to policymakers
4. How do we take this forward
Overview
3. Why a Ceramic Roadmap?
Tough economic times for Europe’s industry
Environmental challenges and opportunities
EU’s actions
4. 8 sectors
€ 28 billion
25% sold outside of the EU
200,000 direct jobs in all
European regions
Europe’s ceramic industry
% Production value of ceramic industry in Europe by sector in 2011.
(Sources: Prodcom, Eurostat)
6. Efficient over the lifecycle
Raw materials and
restoration
Production
Use phase
A closed loop
7. 2010 Emissions
Tiles / Bricks, Refractory and Wall/ Floor tile sectors -
representing approximately 90% of total European ceramics sector emissions
Energy mix is 85% gas, 15% electricity
Total: 19 Mton CO2 (source: Cerame-Unie)
9. CO2 emissions
Assessment based on Brick/roof tile; wall/floor tile and refractory sectors
Approximately 90% of the total ceramic industry’s emissions
Data from 1990, 2000 and 2010
Major improvements before 1990 excluded
Assumptions:
Constant production from 2010 to 2050
Near-full kilns
95% decarbonisation of electricity supply by 2050 (vs.1990 levels)
Checked with specific energy consumption in trends in ceramic BREF
10. Emission reduction models
A) Excluding kiln electrification
• € 90 billion capital
• € 40 billion write off and lost production
• Unprofitable running costs
B) Including kiln electrification
Solution for “process emissions” from clay not available yet
11. Our 2050 emission reduction models
65% reduction if ...
“Syngas/Biogas” technology developed to replace fossil fuels, retrofitted,
and sustainable, affordable feedstocks secured
Financial support for breakthrough R&D and implementation
Stable regulatory framework for industry to compete with non-European
manufacturers
78% reduction ...
Remaining 50% of kilns electrified - 95% decarbonisation of electricity
Completely uneconomic
12. Call to policymakers
Lifecycle-view
Emissions (energy in use phase, end of life)
Appropriate indicators - to include raw materials
Trade
Address market access / trade barriers
Strong action on unfair practices:
• Counterfeiting / IP infringement, subsidies, dumping
Access to raw materials
13. Call to policymakers
Investment Cycles
Long paybacks require affordable finance
Sustainable, uninterrupted and affordable alternative fuels
Electric kilns not economic
Climate and Energy
Consistent and predictable legal framework
International agreement – comparable burden – trading partners
Innovation
Finance required for breakthrough technology development
Need supportive framework - E2B PPP and SPIRE
14. How do we take this forward
Exploring further key aspects of
the Roadmap with:
European policy-makers
National authorities
NGOs and other stakeholders
Keeping our members involved and building on these
discussions