Kestävä talous: Suurien lukujen tyrannia ja uudenlaiset hyvinvointiajattelut
1. Maapallon kantokyky
Suurien lukujen tyrannia ja uudenlaiset hyvinvointiajattelut
Kestävän talouspolitiikan johtaminen -kurssi / Sitra Aalto EE
Tuuli Kaskinen
Demos Helsinki
@Tuulikas
tuuli.kaskinen@demos.fi
3. The report says that the 4°C
scenarios are potentially
devastating:
- inundation of coastal cities
- increasing risks for food
production potentially leading
to higher malnutrition rates
- many dry regions becoming
dryer, wet regions wetter
- unprecedented heat waves in
many regions
- substantially exacerbated
water scarcity in many regions
- increased intensity of tropical
cyclones
- irreversible loss of
biodiversity, including coral
reef systems
http://climatechange.worldbank.org/sites/default/files/Turn_Down_the_heat_Why_a_4_degree_centrigrade_warmer_world_must_be_avoided.pdf
4. 1-2 %
BKT:sta ilmastonmuutoksen hillintään.
Siten voidaan estää 20 % talouden kutistuminen.
Stern review (2010) http://webarchive.nationalarchives.gov.uk/+/http:/www.hm-treasury.gov.uk/sternreview_index.htm
8. World’s largest businesses
Company Industry Revenue
(billion USD)
Exxon Mobil Oil and gas 486 $
Royal Dutch Shell Oil and gas 470 $
Walmart Retail 447 $
Sinopec company Oil and gas 398 $
China National
Petroleum Corporation
Oil and gas 378 $
BP Oil and gas 376 $
Vitol Commodities 297 $
State Grid
Corporation of China Electric utility 266 $
Chevron Oil and gas 254 $
ConocoPhillips Oil and gas 251 $
Wikipedia (2012) http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_companies_by_revenue
9. ivero
h iil
o ba ali nt iöt
Gl tökii
pä äs
tai set
a akoh
M
aup pa
äs tök uk at
Pä ti rmit
äin öno
itt ist
Er är
y mp
11. Muita vaihtoehtoja...
1. Muutetaan 10 suurimman
yrityksen strategiat.
2. Luodaan uudet 10 suurinta
yritystä.
3. Rakennetaan talousjärjestelmää,
jossa suuruuden ekonomian
sijaan vauraus syntyy
pienemmissä yksiköissä.
12. Ja talouspoliittisia
ratkaisuja...
a-alan
nergi set
ana e panok
1. Erittäin voimakas O ngelm T&K-
alh aiset
innovaatiopolitiikka.
2. Start-up -yhteiskunta, jossa teena unnan
Haas teisk
vihreä kasvuyrittäjyys on o intiyh inen.
hyvinv äpitäm
yl l
erityisessä suosiossa.
h allaan
3. Regulaatio ja verotus suosimaan an ta ut?
Ja h ukata used
u
paikallisia ratkaisuja. te hokk
17. Elämäntavat -80%
Others
900 kg
Leisure time
1500 kg
Product
consumption Leisure
2600 kg time Others
Food 300 kg
7300 kg
Product
consumption
Food
2500 kg
Housing: building
2400 kg
Mobility
(daily and tourism)
2800 kg
Housing:
Mobility (daily and tourism) electricity Housing:
11 000 kg 3300 kg building
1300 kg
Housing:
electricity
300 kg
2012 2020 2030 2040 2050
www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu
18. Assumption on
sustainable
lifestyles as a Others
doable goal
900 kg
Leisure time
1500 kg
Leisure
time Others Product
300 kg consumption
2600 kg
Food
Product 7300 kg
consumption
Food
2500 kg
Mobility Housing: building
(daily and tourism) 2400 kg
2800 kg
Housing:
building Housing:
1300 kg Mobility (daily and tourism) electricity
11 000 kg 3300 kg
Housing:
electricity
300 kg
2050 2040 2030 2020 2012
www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu
21. !
Peak-oil 2023: Oil prices continue to rise beyond belief,
pushing great numbers of logistics companies
out of the market or forcing them to sell their
I love living in my operations to the few remaining large ones. As
Rediscovery Danish town. We a result, a small number of firms dominate
haven’t had to worrytransport markets in many countries, which
about buying energyultimately leads to significant price increases.
in
ages. I know lots of
other towns that enjoy
Open kitchens
promoting
the same situation.
local gastronomy Food lessons
Local of green cooking
Green doorkeepers
I returned my old are a specialized
shoes to the shoe guild that controls,
store and got my monitors and ensures
Craftsman the energy efficiency
store credit returned of buildings and
“For my husband and me, doing means visitingblocks. They serve as
by leisure so. I can
one the Local Gastronomy Guildsbrand new are between the
now get around, who links
reinventing new recipes from local seasonal food.”
neighbourhoods.
shoes and I know that
it’s great for the
environment as well!
www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu
23. Vaikka tilanne on
erittäin vakava. Ei vain
ilmastonmuutoksen
vaan myös muiden
ympäristöhaasteiden
suhteen.
24. Ilmastonmuutos
in en ha
um pp M
oit am eri
lis oi en
ika tu
m
Kem i ne
n
li-
tus
Aeroso
Otsonikato
kuormi
ki
T
erto
ypen
ti n
tee n
rsi ne
ive mi
iod äviä
k s
ier for
Fo
B h
to in
saat
tos n
uu tö Mak avuu
m äy ean s
k ved
Maan en
25. LÄHDE:
Rockström, J., W. Steffen, K. Noone, Å. Persson, F. S.
Chapin, III, E. Lambin, T. M. Lenton, M. Scheffer, C.
Folke, H. Schellnhuber, B. Nykvist, C. A. De Wit, T.
Hughes, S. van der Leeuw, H. Rodhe, S. Sörlin, P. K.
Snyder, R. Costanza, U. Svedin, M. Falkenmark, L.
Karlberg, R. W. Corell, V. J. Fabry, J. Hansen, B.
Walker, D. Liverman, K. Richardson, P. Crutzen, and
J. Foley. 2009. Planetary boundaries:exploring the
safe operating space for humanity. Ecology and
Society 14(2): 32. [online] URL: http://
www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol14/iss2/art32/
27. Lue lisää
Global Carbon Budget: http://www.globalcarbonproject.org/carbonbudget/index.htm
World Bank: http://climatechange.worldbank.org/sites/default/files/Turn_Down_the_heat_Why_a_4_degree_centrigrade_warmer_world_must_be_avoided.pdf
Thinkprogress (2011) Meinshauden et al. (2009), Allen et al. (2009), Sokolov et al (2009), Carbon Tracker Initiative (2011): http://thinkprogress.org/climate/
2012/03/26/452306/infographic-the-22-trillion-carbon-bubble/
Stern review (2010) http://webarchive.nationalarchives.gov.uk/+/http:/www.hm-treasury.gov.uk/sternreview_index.htm
The Washington Post: http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/wonkblog/wp/2012/12/05/graph-of-the-day-americans-buying-more-efficient-cars-polluting-less/
Suomen ympäristökeskus, Ari Nissinen (2009): esim. esitelmä http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W0ArE3WXOoQ
Scenarios for Sustainable Lifestyles: http://www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu/fileadmin/images/content/D4.1_FourFutureScenarios.pdf
Planetary boundaries, Rockström, J. et al. (2011) http://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol14/iss2/art32/
Valtioneuvoston kanslia (2009) Tulevaisuusselonteko http://vnk.fi/julkaisukansio/2009/j28-ilmasto-selonteko-j29-klimat-framtidsredogoerelse-j30-climate_/pdf/
fi.pdf
Demos Helsinki (2011) Kaskinen & Mokka: Green Markets Must Be Created By You: http://www.low2no.org/essays/green-markets-created-by-you
Me
Ota yhteyttä!
Tuuli Kaskinen
Demos Helsinki
+358 50 5149752
tuuli.kaskinen@demos.fi
Twitter: @Tuulikas
LinkedIn: http://www.linkedin.com/in/tuulikaskinen