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The Big Picture



Humanitarian trends



Preparedness Trends



     Findings
                       Emergency
                       Preparedness
                       Financing
Recommendations



                      Prepared for FAO on behalf of the IASC
                       Presentation to OCHA, 18th November
                                            2011, New York
“Not all the solutions are within our [humanitarians] hands but
perhaps we are best placed to ensure overall aid is targeted
correctly, because we are otherwise left with the failure of not
doing so.”
Good Humanitarian Donorship (GHD) Donor

“In many countries development funding is declining whilst
humanitarian funding is increasing at an alarming rate. Yet a
number of these countries are not receiving any preparedness
funding. How can this be addressed?”
UN representative

“Preparedness is essential - it saves lives; and it is more cost-
effective than response.”
Emergency Relief Coordinator – Valerie Amos
The Big Picture



Humanitarian trends



Preparedness Trends



     Findings



Recommendations
The big numbers
US$16.7bn
Estimated international humanitarian
                                                Sudan                         United States
                                         Largest recipient, US$1.4bn, 2009         Largest donor, US$4.4bn, 2009
response, 2010

                                             Top 10 recipients                     Top 10 donors
Humanitarian aid from governments
went up to                                                                         United States              4,376
                                             Sudan                       1,422
US$12.4bn...(11.7)                           Palestine/OPT               1,303
                                                                                   EU Institutions            1,613
the highest year on record                   Ethiopia                        692   United Kingdom             1,024

Private contributions are estimated to       Afghanistan                     634   Germany                     727
have reached                                                                       Spain                       632
                                             Somalia                         573
US$4.3bn... (3.9)                            Congo, Dem. Rep.                567   Sweden                      573
                                             Pakistan                        486   Netherlands                 508
Prompted by the ‘mega disasters’ in
                                             Iraq                            468   France                      406
Haiti Pakistan
            and
                                             Kenya                           400   Canada                      396
         US$3.6bn, US$2.9bn FTS
                                             Zimbabwe                        393   Norway                      375




                                                                                                         OECD DAC
Top 20 recipients of total official humanitarian assistance 2000-2009


                                                           Sudan:       11.2% 2000-2009
                                                                                   OECD DAC
The Big Picture



Humanitarian trends



Preparedness Trends



     Findings



Recommendations
Overall, humanitarian aid is
          rising ...




 International humanitarian response, 2006-2010e




                                                   OECD DAC and OCHA FTS
... and more donors are
                participating
  Saudi Arabia                                                 129
                                                  Governments outside the OECD DACD
     Brazil                                  contributing to the international response in 2010

  Two largest donors to Haiti Emergency
      Response Fund (ERF), 2010
                                                              89 in 2009
                                                              93 in 2008
           8     out of   10                                  71 in 2007
Largest government donors to the Haiti ERF
   were not members of the OECD DAC                           100 in 2005
 Some financing aspects of humanitarian
       reform are bearing fruit ...          ...allowing non-OECD DAC governments (as well
                                                  as private donors) increased visibility and
                                                          opportunities to participate




                                                                                        OCHA FTS
But at the same time,
          demand is also rising ...




Funding requirements for UN consolidated appeals process (CAP) appeals, 2000-2010




                                                                                    OCHA FTS
... and so are costs
         300

         250

         200

         150

         100

          50

           0
               1992




                                                     1999




                                                                                       2006
                      Commodity Fuel (energy) Index - Monthly Price     Commodity Food Price Index - Monthly Price


         Supply                                                                                              Demand
 (Humanitarian expenditure)                                                                             (Humanitarian need)
  Escalating costs                                               2007-2011                       Escalating vulnerability
Budgetary constraints                                            Food: 40%                         Increased demand
                                                                   Oil: 36%




                                                                                                       Food and energy price index
Unmet needs in UN CAP
appeals are creeping up again




   Shares of needs met and unmet in UN CAP appeals, 2000-2010


                                           30.2%



                                                                OCHA FTS
... which types of emergencies
        will be funded ...




  UN CAP appeals: requirements by type of emergency, 2000-2010




                        Winners: Flash, Haiti/Pakistan = 70% funded
                        Losers: Consolidated, drop from 70% to 60% funded   OCHA FTS
US$m changes in bilateral humanitarian expenditure
                                                                           2005         2006         2007         2008      2009         2010
                                                         Australia
   ... or how                                            Austria
                                                         Belgium
                                                                               86.5
                                                                               23.2
                                                                                  7.1
                                                                                          -12.2
                                                                                          -11.7
                                                                                           21.7
                                                                                                       -70.4
                                                                                                        -4.1
                                                                                                        -4.3
                                                                                                                   134.7
                                                                                                                    27.7
                                                                                                                    27.1
                                                                                                                               23.4
                                                                                                                               -6.8
                                                                                                                               -6.2
                                                                                                                                           -42.5
                                                                                                                                           -12.9
                                                                                                                                            52.1

  donors will                                            Canada
                                                         Denmark
                                                         Finland
                                                                               39.1
                                                                              176.7
                                                                                           51.2
                                                                                          -10.7
                                                                                                        22.8
                                                                                                       -29.9
                                                                                                                    66.9
                                                                                                                    16.0
                                                                                                                               -8.6
                                                                                                                              -33.7
                                                                                                                                          129.2
                                                                                                                                           -50.6
                                                                               48.5        -6.5         27.6        -23.0      16.3         -4.4

   prioritise                                            France
                                                         Germany
                                                                               10.1
                                                                              145.4
                                                                                           22.3
                                                                                           42.2
                                                                                                       -19.2
                                                                                                      -123.2
                                                                                                                    -14.4
                                                                                                                      6.2
                                                                                                                               16.3
                                                                                                                               72.8
                                                                                                                                            16.5
                                                                                                                                           -32.9
                                                         Greece                   8.0          1.8      -9.5          3.3      -1.6         -9.6

(declining?) aid                                         Ireland
                                                         Italy
                                                                               30.0
                                                                              -11.9
                                                                                           21.4
                                                                                               6.6
                                                                                                        90.6
                                                                                                            0.3
                                                                                                                    -18.1
                                                                                                                    28.3
                                                                                                                              -67.5
                                                                                                                               -3.2
                                                                                                                                            -4.6
                                                                                                                                           -68.0
                                                         Japan

  budgets ...
                                                                             -125.4      -378.1       -104.3       163.9      -20.1       275.2
                                                         Korea                 10.6        -3.5         -6.6          8.2      -4.6         -2.6
                                                         Luxembourg            -9.1        23.4        -12.2          0.3          5.8          9.6
                                                         Netherlands          216.9       -26.5       -106.1        36.3      -83.8        -72.7
                                                         New Zealand           34.8       -30.1             3.2      -1.8      -8.6             3.1
1 Humanitarian aid and development aid both go up        Norway               209.2      -102.0         38.5        -35.3     -43.5         67.7
                                                         Portugal              -6.7        -7.1         -7.5          0.4      -0.0         -0.6
2 Humanitarian aid and development aid both go down
                                                         Spain                 42.5        20.3         73.9       182.3       25.7        -64.5
3. Humanitarian aid rises but other aid falls            Sweden                62.0        26.7        -21.2        38.4       36.5        -10.6
                                                         Switzerland           49.2       -21.6        -17.0        -28.8      -9.3             2.2
4. Humanitarian aid goes down but other aid rises        United Kingdom        94.6       163.4       -338.3       160.4     145.5          -8.8
                                                         United States        906.0      -510.4       -120.5      1,333.8     -45.0       430.5
                                                         EU Institutions      225.8       193.5        -27.7       295.9     -345.8         83.6
                                                         Total              2,273.0      -525.7       -765.0      2,408.6    -346.1       684.5
                                                    Changes in bilateral humanitarian aid, 2007-2010
                                                    (does not include multilateral ODA contributions to UNHCR, UNRWA, WFP)

                                           Haiti/Pakistan                                                                          OECD DAC
... or who will be most
affected by their choices




Concentration of funding in top 3 and top 20 recipients, 2000-2009




                                                                     OECD DAC
The Big Picture



Humanitarian trends



Preparedness Trends



     Findings



Recommendations
What are the needs?
                      500                                                                                                                   700




                                                                                                                                                  Number of affected (millions)
                      450
                                                                                                                                            600
                      400
Number of disasters




                      350                                                                                                                   500
                      300                                                                                                                   400
                      250
                      200                                                                                                                   300
                      150                                                                                                                   200
                      100
                                                                                                                                            100
                       50
                        0                                                                                                                   0
                                                                                    2003
                            1995

                                   1996

                                          1997

                                                 1998

                                                        1999

                                                               2000

                                                                      2001

                                                                             2002



                                                                                           2004

                                                                                                  2005

                                                                                                         2006

                                                                                                                2007

                                                                                                                       2008

                                                                                                                              2009

                                                                                                                                     2010
                                      Number of disasters                                  Total number affected (millions)
And in which environments?
100%
 90%
 80%
 70%
 60%
 50%
 40%
 30%
 20%
 10%
  0%
       2005          2006         2007            2008            2009
        Conflict-affected   Non-conflict-affected (excluding China)
Donor priority growing slowly...
  20…                         5,414                                     3,286                             455

  20…                        5,223                                     3,604                              333

  20…                            4,672                                      2,247                         99

  20…                            4,985                                    2,214                           41

  20…                                6,731                                         2,612                  70

  20…                                 4,251                                             1,756              6

      0%                  20%                 40%                  60%                   80%            100%
  Material relief assistance and services                    Emergency food aid
  Relief co-ordination; protection and support services      Reconstruction relief and rehabilitation
  Disaster prevention and preparedness


                                                 Preparedness funding                                    US$ million
                                                 Disaster prevention and preparedness                      454.6
                                                 Other humanitarian funding                                 73.7
                                                 Development funding                                       130.2
                                                 Total                                                     658.5
But not uniformly...
 Norway                                                                                                   22
      EU                                                                                                   77
    USA                                                                                                             59
      UK                                                                                                  53
   Japan                                                                                             46
Australia                                                                                                 28
Germany                                                                                                   25
Sweden                                                                                                     23
 Canada                                                                                                         6
Denmark                                                                                                         3
Switzerl…                                                                                                           2

            0%     10%      20%       30%      40%       50%      60%       70%       80%      90%             100%

 Material relief assistance and services                  Emergency food aid
 Relief co-ordination; protection and support services    Reconstruction relief and rehabilitation
 Disaster prevention and preparedness




                                                                                                                         2009
The Big Picture



Humanitarian trends



Preparedness Trends



     Findings



Recommendations
The Definition
• “The aim of emergency preparedness is to strengthen
  local, national and global capacity to minimise loss of
  life and livelihoods, to ensure effective response, to
  enable rapid recovery and increase resilience to all
  hazards (including conflict and epidemics).
• This entails readiness measures (risk assessment,
  contingency planning, stockpiling of equipment and
  supplies, training, community drills and exercises) and
  institutional preparedness (coordination arrangements,
  early warning systems, public education) supported by
  legal and budgetary frameworks.”
Guiding Principles
•   In the news, all the time.
•   Consensus on need.
•   Transformative power.
•   Linking humanitarian and development.
•   Including conflict.
•   National actors to the fore.
Positives... Despite the system
• HCTs find ways of using CAP for preparedness funding in
  the absence of clear guidance.
• Humanitarian donors make preparedness a priority for
  development counterparts – work around funding silos.
• Some financing mechanisms do fund preparedness
  activities of different types in different contexts.
• Institutions formed both informal and formal relationships
  to improve preparedness, especially for disasters.
• The Nepal Consortium is an example of how a well
  argued and articulated plan can garner both attention and
  funding.
Overall
• Data reporting structures and practices are weak.
• Slowly growing funding in increasingly uncertain financing
  environment
• Donor structures and policies are very variable and almost
  always inadequate.
• Financing mechanisms currently inadequate and do not fund
  enough.
• Little prioritisation and little analysis of all risks.
• CAP has potential but is not at all a comprehensive solution.
• Examples of best practice at country level are not used.
• Considerable structural issues in the system, globally and at
  country level.
[




              Detailed look at donors
     Donor        Preparedness      Funding mechanism                 Emergency preparedness policy
                    definition

                 Own   Adopted      Hum.     Dev.   Other    Integrated       Nat.     Conflict   Pandemic
                                     Aid     Aid            All Risk Policy Disaster
                       HFA   ISDR
Canada            X    Y      Y      Y        Y         X         X             Y        Y            Y
USA**             Y    Y      Y      Y        Y         Y         X             Y        Y            Y
Japan             X    Y      Y      Y        Y         X         X             Y        X*           X
United Kingdom    X    Y      Y      Y        Y         X         X             Y        X*           Y
Germany           X    Y      Y      Y        Y         Y         X             Y        X*           Y
European Union    X    Y      Y      Y        X         X         X             Y        X*           X
Switzerland       X    Y      Y      Y        X         X         X             Y        X*           X
Sweden            X    Y      Y      Y        X         X         X             Y        X*           X
Australia         X    Y      Y      Y        Y         X         X             Y        X*           Y
Denmark           X    Y      Y      Y        Y         X         X             Y        X*           X
Norway            X    Y      Y      Y        X         X         X             Y        X*           Y



                                           Bifurcated donor structures dominate preparedness
                                                                       articulation and funding.
The Three Tensions and the
      one major issues
• 1) conflict and natural disaster
• 2) local/national and institutional
• 3) short-term preparedness and long-term
  risk reduction.

    • Joining all these together into a single
                       question and answer.
The Big Picture



Humanitarian trends



Preparedness Trends



     Findings



Recommendations
The Evidence Base
–   Forensic analysis of spending.
–   Support ongoing initiatives to improve coding and reporting.
–   Promote introduction of a marker in databases.
–   Track preparedness within all CAP appeals.
–   Advocate for much better preparedness reporting by all
    actors (visibility) and all methods.

            – This work will help detail what is meant by conflict
             preparedness, working towards a clear consensus.
Enabling environment
• Establish programme of engagement with donors.
• Work with the GHD to develop policies/practices;
  examples: large-scale multi-country crisis, developing
  principles, combating bifurcation, encourage multi-year
  funding.
• Widen partnerships, especially beyond humanitarians.
• Communicate relevance, evidence, benefits of improved
  financing to all, including beyond IASC.
• Donors undertake policy work on conflict preparedness
Need, Prioritisation and Risk
• Conflict preparedness, both short- and long-term.
• Comprehensive risk analysis that addresses multi-
  hazards
• Use prioritisation to bridge the aid divide.
• Analyse first those countries most in need, not those
  easiest to fund.
• Include likely scenarios/trends: food prices,
  urbanisation, scarcity, climate change.
Leadership, Champions, Role
        Clarification
 – IASC and UNDG should resolve issues of mandate
   and leadership, duplications and gaps.
 – National ownership and conflict scenarios.
 – Clearer leadership on preparedness amongst the
   donor community and constituencies such as G20
   and GHD.
 – Single institution responsible for articulating,
   presenting, and developing policy within the CAP.
Financing Mechanisms
Existing pooled fund mechanisms
• Increase financing using existing funds: GFDRR
• CHFs for national leadership.
• Expand ERFs to include preparedness & country
  number.
• Consider expansion of CERF.
Vertical fund
• Consider added value in context of challenge
  presented by combining disaster/conflict, and divide
  between humanitarian and development assistance.
Financing Mechanisms II
Role of the CAP
• Work to make CAP more strategic includes emergency
  preparedness.
• Take the steps to make emergency preparedness a
  specific element within the CAP.
• Assess the possibility of a marker for tracking levels of
  preparedness funding within individual projects.
Quality of Activities:
• Investigate how good current activities are and what
  can be improved.
Phase II
• Country-level work essential
• All actors examined and partnerships developed
• Forensic data examination
• Data and reporting advocacy
• Risk analysis and prioritisation
• Financing mechanisms investigated
• Advocacy and engagement with those can make
  decisions
• Improvement of the preparedness system
  • Bifurcated donor structures undermine attempts to
                                       move forward.
The Big Picture



Humanitarian trends



Preparedness Trends



     Findings         Why is this
                      important?
Recommendations
Preparedness expenditures
  where it matters... are minimal
    Indonesia (9)                                                                 30.0
  Afghanistan (8)                                                                        11.9                                 1,454
     Pakistan (8)                                   15.6
          DRC (7)                    11.4                                                                                     1,996
       Sudan (6)                                  3.6
      Uganda (6)               8.8
     Ethiopia (6)        16.5                                                                                                 2,585
    Average (5.5)                           9.3
       Serbia (5)         0.3
         Chad (5)        0.5
     Lebanon (5)                                  0.6
       Liberia (5)         0.7
      Somalia (5)                             3.5
   Zimbabwe (5)          4.2
      Burundi (5)              5.5
        Kenya (5)        11.1
     Sri Lanka (5)                                         11.6
          Iraq (5)                                            47.4                                                             1,602
       Angola (4)          0.5
       Jordan (3)          0.2
Palestine/OPT (2)                     1.9

                     0                200            400     600         800          1000       1200   1400       1600        1800      2000
                                                                        US$ million

     Reconstruction relief and rehabilitation                  Disaster prevention and preparedness       Total remaining humanitarian

                                                                                                                  OECD DAC 2005-2009
... And investments on tackling
  vulnerability to risk are poor




                             OECD DAC
... of all kinds...
                                     2000                                                                                                          16%
                                     1800                                                                         13%                              14%
                                                                                                  13%
US$ million (constant 2009 prices)




                                     1600
                                                                                                                                                   12%
                                     1400        10%

                                     1200                                                                                                          10%
                                            8%
                                     1000                                                                                                          8%
                                                                                6%                                               7%
                                     800                                                                                                           6%
                                                                 4%                          4%                         4% 4%
                                     600               4%
                                                                                                                                                   4%
                                     400                    2%             2%
                                                                                                        2%                             1%
                                     200                                             1% 1%                                                  1%     2%
                                                                      0%                                     0%
                                       0                                                                                                           0%




          Child soldiers (prevention and demobilisation)                                     Civilian peace-building, conflict prevention and resolution
          Land mine clearance                                                                Post-conflict peace building (un)
          Reintegration and salw control                                                     Security system management and reform
          % of ODA
Humanitarian financing.
   Clarity Counts.
           Our aim is to provide access to reliable, transparent and
           understandable information so that we can all work to ensure
           better outcomes for people affected by humanitarian crises.

           Global Humanitarian Assistance is a Development Initiatives
           programme, funded by the governments of Canada, Denmark, the
           Netherlands, Sweden and the United Kingdom
           Name: Lisa Walmsley
           Email: lisa@devinit.org
           Tel: +44 (0)1749 671343
           Web: globalhumanitarianassistance.org


           Global Humanitarian Assistance, Development Initiatives, Keward Court, Jocelyn
           Drive, Wells, Somerset, BA5 1DB, UK

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Preparedness presentation nov 18th 2011

  • 1. The Big Picture Humanitarian trends Preparedness Trends Findings Emergency Preparedness Financing Recommendations Prepared for FAO on behalf of the IASC Presentation to OCHA, 18th November 2011, New York
  • 2. “Not all the solutions are within our [humanitarians] hands but perhaps we are best placed to ensure overall aid is targeted correctly, because we are otherwise left with the failure of not doing so.” Good Humanitarian Donorship (GHD) Donor “In many countries development funding is declining whilst humanitarian funding is increasing at an alarming rate. Yet a number of these countries are not receiving any preparedness funding. How can this be addressed?” UN representative “Preparedness is essential - it saves lives; and it is more cost- effective than response.” Emergency Relief Coordinator – Valerie Amos
  • 3. The Big Picture Humanitarian trends Preparedness Trends Findings Recommendations
  • 4. The big numbers US$16.7bn Estimated international humanitarian Sudan United States Largest recipient, US$1.4bn, 2009 Largest donor, US$4.4bn, 2009 response, 2010 Top 10 recipients Top 10 donors Humanitarian aid from governments went up to United States 4,376 Sudan 1,422 US$12.4bn...(11.7) Palestine/OPT 1,303 EU Institutions 1,613 the highest year on record Ethiopia 692 United Kingdom 1,024 Private contributions are estimated to Afghanistan 634 Germany 727 have reached Spain 632 Somalia 573 US$4.3bn... (3.9) Congo, Dem. Rep. 567 Sweden 573 Pakistan 486 Netherlands 508 Prompted by the ‘mega disasters’ in Iraq 468 France 406 Haiti Pakistan and Kenya 400 Canada 396 US$3.6bn, US$2.9bn FTS Zimbabwe 393 Norway 375 OECD DAC
  • 5. Top 20 recipients of total official humanitarian assistance 2000-2009 Sudan: 11.2% 2000-2009 OECD DAC
  • 6. The Big Picture Humanitarian trends Preparedness Trends Findings Recommendations
  • 7. Overall, humanitarian aid is rising ... International humanitarian response, 2006-2010e OECD DAC and OCHA FTS
  • 8. ... and more donors are participating Saudi Arabia 129 Governments outside the OECD DACD Brazil contributing to the international response in 2010 Two largest donors to Haiti Emergency Response Fund (ERF), 2010 89 in 2009 93 in 2008 8 out of 10 71 in 2007 Largest government donors to the Haiti ERF were not members of the OECD DAC 100 in 2005 Some financing aspects of humanitarian reform are bearing fruit ... ...allowing non-OECD DAC governments (as well as private donors) increased visibility and opportunities to participate OCHA FTS
  • 9. But at the same time, demand is also rising ... Funding requirements for UN consolidated appeals process (CAP) appeals, 2000-2010 OCHA FTS
  • 10. ... and so are costs 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 1992 1999 2006 Commodity Fuel (energy) Index - Monthly Price Commodity Food Price Index - Monthly Price Supply Demand (Humanitarian expenditure) (Humanitarian need) Escalating costs 2007-2011 Escalating vulnerability Budgetary constraints Food: 40% Increased demand Oil: 36% Food and energy price index
  • 11. Unmet needs in UN CAP appeals are creeping up again Shares of needs met and unmet in UN CAP appeals, 2000-2010 30.2% OCHA FTS
  • 12. ... which types of emergencies will be funded ... UN CAP appeals: requirements by type of emergency, 2000-2010 Winners: Flash, Haiti/Pakistan = 70% funded Losers: Consolidated, drop from 70% to 60% funded OCHA FTS
  • 13. US$m changes in bilateral humanitarian expenditure 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Australia ... or how Austria Belgium 86.5 23.2 7.1 -12.2 -11.7 21.7 -70.4 -4.1 -4.3 134.7 27.7 27.1 23.4 -6.8 -6.2 -42.5 -12.9 52.1 donors will Canada Denmark Finland 39.1 176.7 51.2 -10.7 22.8 -29.9 66.9 16.0 -8.6 -33.7 129.2 -50.6 48.5 -6.5 27.6 -23.0 16.3 -4.4 prioritise France Germany 10.1 145.4 22.3 42.2 -19.2 -123.2 -14.4 6.2 16.3 72.8 16.5 -32.9 Greece 8.0 1.8 -9.5 3.3 -1.6 -9.6 (declining?) aid Ireland Italy 30.0 -11.9 21.4 6.6 90.6 0.3 -18.1 28.3 -67.5 -3.2 -4.6 -68.0 Japan budgets ... -125.4 -378.1 -104.3 163.9 -20.1 275.2 Korea 10.6 -3.5 -6.6 8.2 -4.6 -2.6 Luxembourg -9.1 23.4 -12.2 0.3 5.8 9.6 Netherlands 216.9 -26.5 -106.1 36.3 -83.8 -72.7 New Zealand 34.8 -30.1 3.2 -1.8 -8.6 3.1 1 Humanitarian aid and development aid both go up Norway 209.2 -102.0 38.5 -35.3 -43.5 67.7 Portugal -6.7 -7.1 -7.5 0.4 -0.0 -0.6 2 Humanitarian aid and development aid both go down Spain 42.5 20.3 73.9 182.3 25.7 -64.5 3. Humanitarian aid rises but other aid falls Sweden 62.0 26.7 -21.2 38.4 36.5 -10.6 Switzerland 49.2 -21.6 -17.0 -28.8 -9.3 2.2 4. Humanitarian aid goes down but other aid rises United Kingdom 94.6 163.4 -338.3 160.4 145.5 -8.8 United States 906.0 -510.4 -120.5 1,333.8 -45.0 430.5 EU Institutions 225.8 193.5 -27.7 295.9 -345.8 83.6 Total 2,273.0 -525.7 -765.0 2,408.6 -346.1 684.5 Changes in bilateral humanitarian aid, 2007-2010 (does not include multilateral ODA contributions to UNHCR, UNRWA, WFP) Haiti/Pakistan OECD DAC
  • 14. ... or who will be most affected by their choices Concentration of funding in top 3 and top 20 recipients, 2000-2009 OECD DAC
  • 15. The Big Picture Humanitarian trends Preparedness Trends Findings Recommendations
  • 16. What are the needs? 500 700 Number of affected (millions) 450 600 400 Number of disasters 350 500 300 400 250 200 300 150 200 100 100 50 0 0 2003 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Number of disasters Total number affected (millions)
  • 17. And in which environments? 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Conflict-affected Non-conflict-affected (excluding China)
  • 18. Donor priority growing slowly... 20… 5,414 3,286 455 20… 5,223 3,604 333 20… 4,672 2,247 99 20… 4,985 2,214 41 20… 6,731 2,612 70 20… 4,251 1,756 6 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Material relief assistance and services Emergency food aid Relief co-ordination; protection and support services Reconstruction relief and rehabilitation Disaster prevention and preparedness Preparedness funding US$ million Disaster prevention and preparedness 454.6 Other humanitarian funding 73.7 Development funding 130.2 Total 658.5
  • 19. But not uniformly... Norway 22 EU 77 USA 59 UK 53 Japan 46 Australia 28 Germany 25 Sweden 23 Canada 6 Denmark 3 Switzerl… 2 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Material relief assistance and services Emergency food aid Relief co-ordination; protection and support services Reconstruction relief and rehabilitation Disaster prevention and preparedness 2009
  • 20. The Big Picture Humanitarian trends Preparedness Trends Findings Recommendations
  • 21. The Definition • “The aim of emergency preparedness is to strengthen local, national and global capacity to minimise loss of life and livelihoods, to ensure effective response, to enable rapid recovery and increase resilience to all hazards (including conflict and epidemics). • This entails readiness measures (risk assessment, contingency planning, stockpiling of equipment and supplies, training, community drills and exercises) and institutional preparedness (coordination arrangements, early warning systems, public education) supported by legal and budgetary frameworks.”
  • 22. Guiding Principles • In the news, all the time. • Consensus on need. • Transformative power. • Linking humanitarian and development. • Including conflict. • National actors to the fore.
  • 23. Positives... Despite the system • HCTs find ways of using CAP for preparedness funding in the absence of clear guidance. • Humanitarian donors make preparedness a priority for development counterparts – work around funding silos. • Some financing mechanisms do fund preparedness activities of different types in different contexts. • Institutions formed both informal and formal relationships to improve preparedness, especially for disasters. • The Nepal Consortium is an example of how a well argued and articulated plan can garner both attention and funding.
  • 24. Overall • Data reporting structures and practices are weak. • Slowly growing funding in increasingly uncertain financing environment • Donor structures and policies are very variable and almost always inadequate. • Financing mechanisms currently inadequate and do not fund enough. • Little prioritisation and little analysis of all risks. • CAP has potential but is not at all a comprehensive solution. • Examples of best practice at country level are not used. • Considerable structural issues in the system, globally and at country level.
  • 25. [ Detailed look at donors Donor Preparedness Funding mechanism Emergency preparedness policy definition Own Adopted Hum. Dev. Other Integrated Nat. Conflict Pandemic Aid Aid All Risk Policy Disaster HFA ISDR Canada X Y Y Y Y X X Y Y Y USA** Y Y Y Y Y Y X Y Y Y Japan X Y Y Y Y X X Y X* X United Kingdom X Y Y Y Y X X Y X* Y Germany X Y Y Y Y Y X Y X* Y European Union X Y Y Y X X X Y X* X Switzerland X Y Y Y X X X Y X* X Sweden X Y Y Y X X X Y X* X Australia X Y Y Y Y X X Y X* Y Denmark X Y Y Y Y X X Y X* X Norway X Y Y Y X X X Y X* Y Bifurcated donor structures dominate preparedness articulation and funding.
  • 26. The Three Tensions and the one major issues • 1) conflict and natural disaster • 2) local/national and institutional • 3) short-term preparedness and long-term risk reduction. • Joining all these together into a single question and answer.
  • 27. The Big Picture Humanitarian trends Preparedness Trends Findings Recommendations
  • 28. The Evidence Base – Forensic analysis of spending. – Support ongoing initiatives to improve coding and reporting. – Promote introduction of a marker in databases. – Track preparedness within all CAP appeals. – Advocate for much better preparedness reporting by all actors (visibility) and all methods. – This work will help detail what is meant by conflict preparedness, working towards a clear consensus.
  • 29. Enabling environment • Establish programme of engagement with donors. • Work with the GHD to develop policies/practices; examples: large-scale multi-country crisis, developing principles, combating bifurcation, encourage multi-year funding. • Widen partnerships, especially beyond humanitarians. • Communicate relevance, evidence, benefits of improved financing to all, including beyond IASC. • Donors undertake policy work on conflict preparedness
  • 30. Need, Prioritisation and Risk • Conflict preparedness, both short- and long-term. • Comprehensive risk analysis that addresses multi- hazards • Use prioritisation to bridge the aid divide. • Analyse first those countries most in need, not those easiest to fund. • Include likely scenarios/trends: food prices, urbanisation, scarcity, climate change.
  • 31. Leadership, Champions, Role Clarification – IASC and UNDG should resolve issues of mandate and leadership, duplications and gaps. – National ownership and conflict scenarios. – Clearer leadership on preparedness amongst the donor community and constituencies such as G20 and GHD. – Single institution responsible for articulating, presenting, and developing policy within the CAP.
  • 32. Financing Mechanisms Existing pooled fund mechanisms • Increase financing using existing funds: GFDRR • CHFs for national leadership. • Expand ERFs to include preparedness & country number. • Consider expansion of CERF. Vertical fund • Consider added value in context of challenge presented by combining disaster/conflict, and divide between humanitarian and development assistance.
  • 33. Financing Mechanisms II Role of the CAP • Work to make CAP more strategic includes emergency preparedness. • Take the steps to make emergency preparedness a specific element within the CAP. • Assess the possibility of a marker for tracking levels of preparedness funding within individual projects. Quality of Activities: • Investigate how good current activities are and what can be improved.
  • 34. Phase II • Country-level work essential • All actors examined and partnerships developed • Forensic data examination • Data and reporting advocacy • Risk analysis and prioritisation • Financing mechanisms investigated • Advocacy and engagement with those can make decisions • Improvement of the preparedness system • Bifurcated donor structures undermine attempts to move forward.
  • 35. The Big Picture Humanitarian trends Preparedness Trends Findings Why is this important? Recommendations
  • 36. Preparedness expenditures where it matters... are minimal Indonesia (9) 30.0 Afghanistan (8) 11.9 1,454 Pakistan (8) 15.6 DRC (7) 11.4 1,996 Sudan (6) 3.6 Uganda (6) 8.8 Ethiopia (6) 16.5 2,585 Average (5.5) 9.3 Serbia (5) 0.3 Chad (5) 0.5 Lebanon (5) 0.6 Liberia (5) 0.7 Somalia (5) 3.5 Zimbabwe (5) 4.2 Burundi (5) 5.5 Kenya (5) 11.1 Sri Lanka (5) 11.6 Iraq (5) 47.4 1,602 Angola (4) 0.5 Jordan (3) 0.2 Palestine/OPT (2) 1.9 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 2000 US$ million Reconstruction relief and rehabilitation Disaster prevention and preparedness Total remaining humanitarian OECD DAC 2005-2009
  • 37. ... And investments on tackling vulnerability to risk are poor OECD DAC
  • 38. ... of all kinds... 2000 16% 1800 13% 14% 13% US$ million (constant 2009 prices) 1600 12% 1400 10% 1200 10% 8% 1000 8% 6% 7% 800 6% 4% 4% 4% 4% 600 4% 4% 400 2% 2% 2% 1% 200 1% 1% 1% 2% 0% 0% 0 0% Child soldiers (prevention and demobilisation) Civilian peace-building, conflict prevention and resolution Land mine clearance Post-conflict peace building (un) Reintegration and salw control Security system management and reform % of ODA
  • 39. Humanitarian financing. Clarity Counts. Our aim is to provide access to reliable, transparent and understandable information so that we can all work to ensure better outcomes for people affected by humanitarian crises. Global Humanitarian Assistance is a Development Initiatives programme, funded by the governments of Canada, Denmark, the Netherlands, Sweden and the United Kingdom Name: Lisa Walmsley Email: lisa@devinit.org Tel: +44 (0)1749 671343 Web: globalhumanitarianassistance.org Global Humanitarian Assistance, Development Initiatives, Keward Court, Jocelyn Drive, Wells, Somerset, BA5 1DB, UK

Notes de l'éditeur

  1. Humanitarian aid is risingPoint out GROWTH in Spain’s HA (now 5th largest donor).. Caveat with indicative fall in 2010 data..Huge growth (double) in HA to Palestine/OPT
  2. P19 of report1. HA is volatile – but overall, the trend is upwards.2. Public and non-DACs contributions mainly captured following ‘big’ emergencies; 2008 food price crisis, 2010 haiti and PakistanAll figures for 2010 are preliminary estimates. Private contribution figures for 2006-08 are based on our own reserach of a study set of NGOs and UN delivery agencies. The figure for 2009 is an estimate. The figure for 2010 is a preliminary estimate.
  3. P12 of reportNot a greater vol of money.. Greater mix, lowering entry criteria for non-trad donors, encouraging incrased participation P45... Pooled funds facilitate increase in number of donors without coordination challenges1. In 2010, 127 non-DAC donors reported to the FTS 2010 saw humanitarian aid from non-DAC donors (as reported to the FTS) increase by US$67.2 million to US$622.5 – mainly in response to Haiti and Pakistan.2. The top two donor governments contributing to the Haiti emergency response fund were non-DAC donors – Saudi Arabia, with US$50 million, and Brazil, with US$8 million. 3. eight of the ten governments making the largest contributions to this fund were non-DAC donors. Thirdly, India made the largest contribution to the Pakistan ERF, with US$20 million. This represents a move away from traditional bilateral government funding towards support for multilateral mechanisms that contribute towards improved coordinationBut in recent years, engagement in fundingmechanisms and UN processes (seeSection 1.3: ‘How does the funding getthere?”) has made the contributions fromother governments and private donorsmore visible.4. Different types of donor have differentpriorities. Countries which have seenincreased flows from both privatecontributions and other governmentsinclude Indonesia and Sri Lanka (inresponse to the Indian Ocean-earthquake/tsunami), Pakistan (South Asiaearthquake), Myanmar (Cyclone Nargis),Somalia, Palestine/OPT and Lebanon.
  4. Funding requirements in UN appeals continues to grow and the gap in unmet needs has widened
  5. P61Funding requirements in UN CAP appeals continues to grow and the gap in unmet needs has widened
  6. ... For first time since 2003. and within that trend there are some big losers.. The biggest losers in 2010 were: CHAD CAR PALESTINE UGANDA
  7. Some donors’ overall aid budgets have declined, while others have increased (in attempts to meet their 0.7% commitments). They might be chosing to prioritise development programmes over aid, or certain countries over others. It really is a mixed bag in terms of how financial crisis may have affected donors’ humanitarian aid budgets. Ones to watch of course are the BIG donors in terms of overall volume (US, UK, EU, Germany, NL, Spain etc) ... Though in terms of recipients, the smaller donors may chose to target the recipients that the big 5 don’t .. So this is something to watch.In fact, Spain has doubled its humanitarianaid contributions since 2000, rising fromfifteenth largest donor that year to becomethe fifth largest in 2009 (the latest year forwhich we have full final data for OECD DACmembers). Its share of total governmentcontributions has risen from 2.8% to 5.4%.Preliminary partial data (which does notinclude donors’ totally unearmarked funds– i.e. core contributions to UN agenciesor EU institutions), suggests that Spain’sexpenditure may have dipped in 2010, alongwith that of 12 other OECD DAC members.The Netherlands’ humanitarian expenditurecontracted for the second year in a row,as did that of Austria, Denmark, Greece,Korea and Portugal. Ireland’s humanitarianaid declined for the third consecutive year.However, overall, the dip in volumes fromthese donors is offset by large increasesin expenditure by the United States (up bysome US$400 million), Canada (by US$129million) and Japan (by US$275 million). Thisis likely to be attributable to expenditure inHaiti and Pakistan.
  8. p44In order to guard against ..share of non top 20 has halved in last 10yrs. In fact, Spain has doubled its humanitarianaid contributions since 2000, rising fromfifteenth largest donor that year to becomethe fifth largest in 2009 (the latest year forwhich we have full final data for OECD DACmembers). Its share of total governmentcontributions has risen from 2.8% to 5.4%.Preliminary partial data (which does notinclude donors’ totally unearmarked funds– i.e. core contributions to UN agenciesor EU institutions), suggests that Spain’sexpenditure may have dipped in 2010, alongwith that of 12 other OECD DAC members.The Netherlands’ humanitarian expenditurecontracted for the second year in a row,as did that of Austria, Denmark, Greece,Korea and Portugal. Ireland’s humanitarianaid declined for the third consecutive year.However, overall, the dip in volumes fromthese donors is offset by large increasesin expenditure by the United States (up bysome US$400 million), Canada (by US$129million) and Japan (by US$275 million). Thisis likely to be attributable to expenditure inHaiti and Pakistan.