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P2P currencies:
what’s next after Bitcoin?
Sebastiano Scrofina

sebastiano@dropis.com – Dropis
Introduction

• Who am I ?


• What is this talk about ?




                                         Sebastiano Scrofina   2
                              sebastiano@dropis.com – Dropis
Money timeline

 Gift and           Money is       Money is         Money is                          Money is
 barter             barley         gold, silver &   a receipt                         a banknote
                                   copper

Beginning of time   3000 BC       700 BC            1650                         1694




                                                                Sebastiano Scrofina         3
                                                     sebastiano@dropis.com – Dropis
Money timeline

 Money is     Money is       Money is   Money is                       Money is
 a banknote   USD            fiat       bitcoin                        next currency



1694          1944          1971        2009                         2020




                                                     Sebastiano Scrofina      4
                                          sebastiano@dropis.com – Dropis
Features comparison

                   Gold   Fiat                  Bitcoin
 Intrinsic value    ✔
Widely accepted     ✔      ✔
    Ease of use            ✔                                ✔

                                      Sebastiano Scrofina       5
                           sebastiano@dropis.com – Dropis
Definitions

• Money naive, academic, specific


• Currency implementation of money


• Protocol rules to exchange information
                                               Sebastiano Scrofina   6
                                    sebastiano@dropis.com – Dropis
Open questions

• Is economics a natural science ?

• Who’s the expert ?

• Why a de facto monopoly ?

                                         Sebastiano Scrofina   7
                              sebastiano@dropis.com – Dropis
What is Bitcoin ?

• Decentralized electronic cash system

• Open source client

• Born January 2009

• Developed by Satoshi Nakamoto

• Exchange rate with fiat

                                                    Sebastiano Scrofina   8
                                         sebastiano@dropis.com – Dropis
What is Bitcoin ?

       limited money supply



                }
 no middleman
        cheap       transactions
pseudonymous
                                   Sebastiano Scrofina   9
                        sebastiano@dropis.com – Dropis
How does it work ?


   block chain
     mining




                            Sebastiano Scrofina   10
                 sebastiano@dropis.com – Dropis
More features

                        Gold     Fiat                  Bitcoin
      Limited supply      ✔                                        ✔

Not issued upon debt      ✔                                        ✔

       Transparency                                                ✔

    Decentralization      ✔                                        ?

  Micro-transactions                                               ✔

                                             Sebastiano Scrofina       11
                                  sebastiano@dropis.com – Dropis
N E X T
CURRENCY
OPPORTUNITY
                  Sebastiano Scrofina   12
       sebastiano@dropis.com – Dropis
Internet disrupted advertisement
                                                  G O O G L E
                                                  ADVERTISING
$36bn                                             REVENUES

                                                  7.7%
                                                  OF           WORLD’S


Source: Wikipedia, “Google” and “advertisement”
                                                  $467bn
                                                  ADVERTISEMENT MARKET
                                                             Sebastiano Scrofina   13
                                                  sebastiano@dropis.com – Dropis
Internet disrupted communication
                               SKYPE ROUTES

54bn
minutes                        13%
                               O F Y E A R LY

                               406bn
                               M I N U T E S
                               INTERNATIONAL CALLS
Source: TeleGeography 2009


                                          Sebastiano Scrofina   14
                               sebastiano@dropis.com – Dropis
Has Internet disrupted money ?
                                                                                 $41M
                                                                                        BITCOIN
$9.8tn                                                                                  ACCOUNTS FOR
opportunity?
                                                                                        0.00004%
                                                                                        OF WORLD’S

                                                                                        $98tn
                                                                                        M3 MONEY MASS
  Sources: Wikipedia, inverted pyramid of global liquidity | bitcoincharts.com


                                                                                                   Sebastiano Scrofina   15
                                                                                        sebastiano@dropis.com – Dropis
How big is BIG?
200 times bigger.


                                                                                     WORLD M3
                     WORLD ADVERTISEMENT
                                                                                      MARKET
                           MARKET




 Source: Wikipedia, “Google”, “advertisement” and “inverted pyramid of global liquidity”

                                                                                                      Sebastiano Scrofina   16
                                                                                           sebastiano@dropis.com – Dropis
Why 0.00004% only ?

convenient ?
               {
               • to buy illegal goods
               • for microtransactions


  valuable ?
               {
               • no intrinsic value (e.g. gold)
               • no backing authority (e.g. USD)

                                          Sebastiano Scrofina   17
                               sebastiano@dropis.com – Dropis
What is Bitcoin then ?
• digital store of value
• volatility risk
• can act as a electronic cash-
  like currency




                              Sebastiano Scrofina   18
                   sebastiano@dropis.com – Dropis
Is the next currency here ?
• Namecoin name/value datastore
• Solidcoin fairer and not scarce as Bitcoin
• Ixcoin shorter maturity period
• Litecoin faster blocks, 81M coins
• Devcoin developers over miners
• Freicoin Bitcoin with demurrage
• Mastercoin a new layer on top of Bitcoin
• Geistgeld and many more coming...
                                                          Sebastiano Scrofina   19
                                               sebastiano@dropis.com – Dropis
N E X T
CURRENCY
F E AT U R E S
                    Sebastiano Scrofina   20
         sebastiano@dropis.com – Dropis
If the block chain is like
                       SVN                                                    {   • central authority
                                                                                  • single point of failure
                                                                                    (e.g. takeover, infiltration, etc)




                                                                              {
                                                                                  • decentralized (not just distributed)
Next currency will be like                                                        • no central repository
                       Git                                                        • no central authority
                                                                                  • no single point of failure

Reference: Laurie, “Decentralized currencies are probably impossible”, 2011


                                                                                                     Sebastiano Scrofina   21
                                                                                          sebastiano@dropis.com – Dropis
{
                                                                                     • self-referential
                  Access to                                                          • restricted, slow, inefficient

                                   credit                                            • days
                                                                                     • success rate ~10% [3]




  information
                  Access to
                                                                        {            • universal, fast, efficient
                                                                                     • seconds
                                                                                     • success rate ~70% [1,2,4]

[1] http://www.ibtimes.com/articles/61429/20100911/google-instant-redefines-search-but-is-world-ready-1.htm
[2] http://newyork.ibtimes.com/articles/197961/20110815/bing-yahoo-google-search-engine-effective-success-rate.htm
[3] http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Microfinance
[4] http://mrpogson.com/2011/06/28/99-9949-uptime-for-google-apps-in-2011/

                                                                                                                                Sebastiano Scrofina   22
                                                                                                                     sebastiano@dropis.com – Dropis
What if banks owned search ?



                             Sebastiano Scrofina   23
                  sebastiano@dropis.com – Dropis
Access to credit is broken

• Banks are risk adverse

• “Poor” people are trustworthy (Yunus, 2006)

• Healthy credit / wealth link (De Soto, 2000)

• Vicious circle, self-fulfilling prophecy

                                                  Sebastiano Scrofina   24
                                       sebastiano@dropis.com – Dropis
Overproduction (?!)

Greece
     2008-2011                  {                unemployment grew from 7.2% to 21%
                                                 but
                                                 skills and needs did not change dramatically




      Food
             2001               {                9M people died of starvation [1]
                                                 but
                                                 EU spent €150M to destroy 1M tons of edible food [2]

[2] Source: UK FPH, “A cap on health”, [1] FAO

                                                                                       Sebastiano Scrofina   25
                                                                            sebastiano@dropis.com – Dropis
Internet drives abundance


• negligible marginal costs
• potential audience (look at p2p)




                                 Sebastiano Scrofina   26
                      sebastiano@dropis.com – Dropis
If Bitcoin is like
                       gold    {
                               • scarce
                               • limited



Next currency will be like
              PageRank         {
                               • always enough
                               • abundant

                                          Sebastiano Scrofina   27
                               sebastiano@dropis.com – Dropis
Gold   Fiat      Bitcoin                   Next

Easy access to credit                                              ✔
         Abundance                                                 ✔
         Crisis-proof                                              ✔

                                             Sebastiano Scrofina      28
                                  sebastiano@dropis.com – Dropis
Go and hack the money


 Money is
 ___________


2020
               {•
                •
                •
                •
                    money is information
                    currency is a protocol
                    the current protocol is broken
                    internet needs its own currency



                                          Sebastiano Scrofina   29
                               sebastiano@dropis.com – Dropis
$5M
Satoshi Nakamoto’s worth in BTC




                         Sebastiano Scrofina   30
              sebastiano@dropis.com – Dropis
Our contribution



Dropis
         {   • we started up a company
             • we’re developing a currency




                                  Sebastiano Scrofina   31
                       sebastiano@dropis.com – Dropis
work@dropis.com
invest@dropis.com

@dropisapp
www.dropis.com


                  Sebastiano Scrofina   32
       sebastiano@dropis.com – Dropis

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P2P currencies: what's next after Bitcoin

  • 1. P2P currencies: what’s next after Bitcoin? Sebastiano Scrofina sebastiano@dropis.com – Dropis
  • 2. Introduction • Who am I ? • What is this talk about ? Sebastiano Scrofina 2 sebastiano@dropis.com – Dropis
  • 3. Money timeline Gift and Money is Money is Money is Money is barter barley gold, silver & a receipt a banknote copper Beginning of time 3000 BC 700 BC 1650 1694 Sebastiano Scrofina 3 sebastiano@dropis.com – Dropis
  • 4. Money timeline Money is Money is Money is Money is Money is a banknote USD fiat bitcoin next currency 1694 1944 1971 2009 2020 Sebastiano Scrofina 4 sebastiano@dropis.com – Dropis
  • 5. Features comparison Gold Fiat Bitcoin Intrinsic value ✔ Widely accepted ✔ ✔ Ease of use ✔ ✔ Sebastiano Scrofina 5 sebastiano@dropis.com – Dropis
  • 6. Definitions • Money naive, academic, specific • Currency implementation of money • Protocol rules to exchange information Sebastiano Scrofina 6 sebastiano@dropis.com – Dropis
  • 7. Open questions • Is economics a natural science ? • Who’s the expert ? • Why a de facto monopoly ? Sebastiano Scrofina 7 sebastiano@dropis.com – Dropis
  • 8. What is Bitcoin ? • Decentralized electronic cash system • Open source client • Born January 2009 • Developed by Satoshi Nakamoto • Exchange rate with fiat Sebastiano Scrofina 8 sebastiano@dropis.com – Dropis
  • 9. What is Bitcoin ? limited money supply } no middleman cheap transactions pseudonymous Sebastiano Scrofina 9 sebastiano@dropis.com – Dropis
  • 10. How does it work ? block chain mining Sebastiano Scrofina 10 sebastiano@dropis.com – Dropis
  • 11. More features Gold Fiat Bitcoin Limited supply ✔ ✔ Not issued upon debt ✔ ✔ Transparency ✔ Decentralization ✔ ? Micro-transactions ✔ Sebastiano Scrofina 11 sebastiano@dropis.com – Dropis
  • 12. N E X T CURRENCY OPPORTUNITY Sebastiano Scrofina 12 sebastiano@dropis.com – Dropis
  • 13. Internet disrupted advertisement G O O G L E ADVERTISING $36bn REVENUES 7.7% OF WORLD’S Source: Wikipedia, “Google” and “advertisement” $467bn ADVERTISEMENT MARKET Sebastiano Scrofina 13 sebastiano@dropis.com – Dropis
  • 14. Internet disrupted communication SKYPE ROUTES 54bn minutes 13% O F Y E A R LY 406bn M I N U T E S INTERNATIONAL CALLS Source: TeleGeography 2009 Sebastiano Scrofina 14 sebastiano@dropis.com – Dropis
  • 15. Has Internet disrupted money ? $41M BITCOIN $9.8tn ACCOUNTS FOR opportunity? 0.00004% OF WORLD’S $98tn M3 MONEY MASS Sources: Wikipedia, inverted pyramid of global liquidity | bitcoincharts.com Sebastiano Scrofina 15 sebastiano@dropis.com – Dropis
  • 16. How big is BIG? 200 times bigger. WORLD M3 WORLD ADVERTISEMENT MARKET MARKET Source: Wikipedia, “Google”, “advertisement” and “inverted pyramid of global liquidity” Sebastiano Scrofina 16 sebastiano@dropis.com – Dropis
  • 17. Why 0.00004% only ? convenient ? { • to buy illegal goods • for microtransactions valuable ? { • no intrinsic value (e.g. gold) • no backing authority (e.g. USD) Sebastiano Scrofina 17 sebastiano@dropis.com – Dropis
  • 18. What is Bitcoin then ? • digital store of value • volatility risk • can act as a electronic cash- like currency Sebastiano Scrofina 18 sebastiano@dropis.com – Dropis
  • 19. Is the next currency here ? • Namecoin name/value datastore • Solidcoin fairer and not scarce as Bitcoin • Ixcoin shorter maturity period • Litecoin faster blocks, 81M coins • Devcoin developers over miners • Freicoin Bitcoin with demurrage • Mastercoin a new layer on top of Bitcoin • Geistgeld and many more coming... Sebastiano Scrofina 19 sebastiano@dropis.com – Dropis
  • 20. N E X T CURRENCY F E AT U R E S Sebastiano Scrofina 20 sebastiano@dropis.com – Dropis
  • 21. If the block chain is like SVN { • central authority • single point of failure (e.g. takeover, infiltration, etc) { • decentralized (not just distributed) Next currency will be like • no central repository Git • no central authority • no single point of failure Reference: Laurie, “Decentralized currencies are probably impossible”, 2011 Sebastiano Scrofina 21 sebastiano@dropis.com – Dropis
  • 22. { • self-referential Access to • restricted, slow, inefficient credit • days • success rate ~10% [3] information Access to { • universal, fast, efficient • seconds • success rate ~70% [1,2,4] [1] http://www.ibtimes.com/articles/61429/20100911/google-instant-redefines-search-but-is-world-ready-1.htm [2] http://newyork.ibtimes.com/articles/197961/20110815/bing-yahoo-google-search-engine-effective-success-rate.htm [3] http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Microfinance [4] http://mrpogson.com/2011/06/28/99-9949-uptime-for-google-apps-in-2011/ Sebastiano Scrofina 22 sebastiano@dropis.com – Dropis
  • 23. What if banks owned search ? Sebastiano Scrofina 23 sebastiano@dropis.com – Dropis
  • 24. Access to credit is broken • Banks are risk adverse • “Poor” people are trustworthy (Yunus, 2006) • Healthy credit / wealth link (De Soto, 2000) • Vicious circle, self-fulfilling prophecy Sebastiano Scrofina 24 sebastiano@dropis.com – Dropis
  • 25. Overproduction (?!) Greece 2008-2011 { unemployment grew from 7.2% to 21% but skills and needs did not change dramatically Food 2001 { 9M people died of starvation [1] but EU spent €150M to destroy 1M tons of edible food [2] [2] Source: UK FPH, “A cap on health”, [1] FAO Sebastiano Scrofina 25 sebastiano@dropis.com – Dropis
  • 26. Internet drives abundance • negligible marginal costs • potential audience (look at p2p) Sebastiano Scrofina 26 sebastiano@dropis.com – Dropis
  • 27. If Bitcoin is like gold { • scarce • limited Next currency will be like PageRank { • always enough • abundant Sebastiano Scrofina 27 sebastiano@dropis.com – Dropis
  • 28. Gold Fiat Bitcoin Next Easy access to credit ✔ Abundance ✔ Crisis-proof ✔ Sebastiano Scrofina 28 sebastiano@dropis.com – Dropis
  • 29. Go and hack the money Money is ___________ 2020 {• • • • money is information currency is a protocol the current protocol is broken internet needs its own currency Sebastiano Scrofina 29 sebastiano@dropis.com – Dropis
  • 30. $5M Satoshi Nakamoto’s worth in BTC Sebastiano Scrofina 30 sebastiano@dropis.com – Dropis
  • 31. Our contribution Dropis { • we started up a company • we’re developing a currency Sebastiano Scrofina 31 sebastiano@dropis.com – Dropis
  • 32. work@dropis.com invest@dropis.com @dropisapp www.dropis.com Sebastiano Scrofina 32 sebastiano@dropis.com – Dropis

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