CTX Economy5. Central Texas Schools and Student Enrollment, 2011-2012
Schools Students
35 Independent School Districts 443 299,738
15 Charter Organizations 37 6,978
Total = 480 306,716
Source: © E3 Alliance, 2012
6. Economics: Texas Highlights
• The 129,000 high school dropouts from the
Class of 2011 will cost the Texas economy $18
Billion in lost wages over their lifetimes*
• If half of these students had graduated, they
would provide Texas $61 million in increased
annual state tax revenue*
• If Texas’ high schools were to graduate all
students ready for college, the state would likely
save as much as $462 million in college
remediation costs and lost earnings**
*Source: Alliance for Excellent Education (Alliance), “The High Cost of High School Dropouts,” 2011
**Source: Alliance, “Saving Now and Saving Later,” 2011 © E3 Alliance, 2012
7. Migration into Texas
• The population of Texas is over 25 million
– 85% of population growth is due to new births
– 15% of population growth is due to immigration
• 74% of immigration comes from U.S.A.
Texas Population Domestic
Increase
(2009 to 2010) International
0 150,000 300,000 450,000 600,000 750,000
Source: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2010 © E3 Alliance, 2012
8. Texas Immigration vs. Emigration
Texas Immigration vs. Emigration
600,000
Number of People Moving
500,000
400,000
300,000
200,000
100,000
???
0
Other State Other Country
Immigrants Emigrants
Source: © E3 Alliance, 2012
9. Central Texans Have Higher Levels of
Education than the State Average
Educational Attainment for Adult Population (18 years and older), 2010
Texas Central Texas
Less than
Less than High
College High School, 1
Graduate, School, 1 College 3%
23% 9% Graduate,
35% High
School
Graduate,
High 20%
Some School
College, 3 Graduate, Some
1% 26% College, 3
2%
Source: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2010 © E3 Alliance, 2012
10. More Adults Have “Some” College, but
Degree Attainment Has Fallen
Educational Attainment for Adult Population, Central Texas
2003 2010
Less than
Less than
High
High
School, 13
School, 1
College College %
6%
Graduate, Graduate,
37% 35% High
High
School
School
Graduate,
Graduate,
20%
19%
Some Some
College, 2 College, 3
8% 2%
Source: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2010 © E3 Alliance, 2012
12. Unemployment Rate
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
2001 Jun
2001 Sep
2001 Dec
2002 Mar
2002 Jun
2002 Sep
2002 Dec
2003 Mar
2003 Jun
2003 Sep
2003 Dec
2004 Mar
2004 Jun
2004 Sep
CTX Unemp. Rate
2004 Dec
2005 Mar
2005 Jun
2005 Sep
2005 Dec
2006 Mar
2006 Jun
Source: Texas Comptroller of Public Accounts, Texas Ahead website, 2011
2006 Sep
2006 Dec
TX Unemp. Rate
2007 Mar
2007 Jun
2007 Sep
2007 Dec
2008 Mar
2008 Jun
2008 Sep
2008 Dec
2009 Mar
US Unemp. Rate
2009 Jun
2009 Sep
Compared to Texas and the US
2009 Dec
2010 Mar
2010 Jun
2010 Sep
Central Texas Unemployment Rate Compared to Texas and the US, 2001-2011
2010 Dec
2011 Mar
Central Texas Fairs Well in Unemployment
2011 Jun
© E3 Alliance, 2012
13. Unemployment Rates Decline with
Educational Attainment
16
US Unemployment Rate by Educational Attainment
14
12
Unemployment Rate
10
8
6
4
2
0
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Less than High School Degree High School Degree
Some College or Associate's Degree Bachelor's Degree or higher
Source: U.S. Department of Labor © E3 Alliance, 2012
14. Texas Below the National Average for Unemployment
at All Levels of Education
16%
Unemployment Rate for Persons Age 25 and
Older, 2010
14% 14.9%
Unemployment Rate
12%
10% 10.6% 10.3%
9.1%
8% 8.4%
7.4%
6%
4% 4.7%
4.1%
2%
0%
Less than High High School Some College or Bachelor's degree
School graduate graduate Associate's degree or higher
US Texas
Source: US Department of Labor and Census Bureau © E3 Alliance, 2012
16. Job Growth is Highest in the
Professional, Business & Other Services
Industry1st Quarter 2010-11
Employment Growth by Industry,
10%
7.8%
Percentage Change
8%
in Employment
6% 5.1% 5.0% 4.8%
4.3%
4% 3.3%
2.6%
2%
0.3% 0.0%
0%
-2% -1.2%
-1.6%
Source: Texas Workforce Commission, Country Narrative Profile, February 2012 © E3 Alliance, 2012
17. More Jobs Are Found In the Education &
Health Services Industry
Percentage Employed by Industry, 2011 1st Quarter
Information, 3% Natural Resources &
Mining, 1%
Other Services, 4%
Construction, 5%
Financial Activities
Group, 6%
Education & Health
Svcs., 23%
Manufacturing, 6%
Public
Administration, 7%
Trade, Transport. &
Utilities, 19%
Leisure &
Hospitality
Group, 11%
Prof., Business &
Other Svcs., 15%
Source: Texas Workforce Commission, Country Narrative Profile, February 2012 © E3 Alliance, 2012
18. The Majority of Employed Workers are in
Low-Wage Occupations
Austin-Round Rock Employment Statistics by Occupation Group, 2010
160,000 $120,000
140,000
Number Employed
$100,000
120,000
Average Wage
$80,000
100,000
80,000 $60,000
60,000
$40,000
40,000
$20,000
20,000
- $-
Occupational Group
Source: Texas Workforce Commission © E3 Alliance, 2012
19. Job Growth Will Occur in the
Medical, Energy & Computer Fields
Statewide Projected Job Growth,
by Cluster, 2008-2018
Biotechnology and Life Sciences
Energy
Information and Computer
Aerospace and Defense
Petroleum and Chemical Products
Advanced Technologies and Manufacturing
0% 5% 10% 15% 20%
Source: Texas Workforce Commission © E3 Alliance, 2012
20. Top 43 Targeted Occupations Texas
• Projected employment demands through
2018 rely on bachelor degree attainment and
STEM education.
Educational Number of Typical Salary STEM
Requirements Targeted Range Occupation
Occupations
Work Experience in a 3 $32,000 - $57,000 1
Related Occupation
On-The-Job Training 6 $33,000 - $67,000 0
Associates Degree or 6 $40,000 - $64,000 3
Vocational Certificate
Bachelor Degree 28 $48,000 - $94,000 16
or Higher
Source: Texas Workforce Commission © E3 Alliance, 2012
21. The Fastest Growing Careers Requiring
2-Year Degrees are in the Medical Fields
Source: Texas Comptroller of Public Accounts, Every Chance Every Texas website, 2011 © E3 Alliance, 2012
22. Top 10 Manufactures for Central Texas
Vrc Industries
Source: Texas Workforce Commission, County Narrative Profile, February 2012 © E3 Alliance, 2012
23. The conclusions of this research do not necessarily reflect the opinions or official position of the Texas Education Agency,
the Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board, or the State of Texas.
www.e3alliance.org/moreinfo
Notes de l'éditeur SD Starts Off Source: TEA, TxDOT, TNRIS? Source: E3 Alliance analysis of PEIMS data at UT ERC? Dropouts from 2011 will cost $18B. http://www.all4ed.org/files/Texas_hs.pdf Hannah does “get” this slide. This slide needs a DATE!! And what the source is!Emigration is 84.6% of Immigration. ACS Survey too??? Source:ACSHS grads include GED, Some college includes AA degrees, College Grads includes bacc and post-bacc. http://www.texasahead.org/economy/forecasts/fcst0910/fiscalSummary.html -- Projections Is the source the TWC – is this correct?Office and Administrative SupportSales and Related Food Preparation and Serving RelatedEducation, Training and Library Occupations http://www.texasindustryprofiles.com/apps/swap/asp/naicIndex.asp http://www.texasindustryprofiles.com/apps/swap/asp/socTable.asp20 out of 43 are in the STEM fields(employment for these occupations is expected to increase 23%)Projected employment demands through 2018 due to industry growth or employee turnover from 2008 to 2018 http://www.everychanceeverytexan.org/texasjobs/ These were takes from the 8 County Profile created from Socrates (2/15/12) cmb