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SFMTA

EN TRIPS Corridor Screening and
Recommendations




                           May 2011
Table of Contents
                                                                                                                                         Page

Executive Summary ................................................................................................................... 1 
Introduction ............................................................................................................................... 10 
Methodology ............................................................................................................................. 11 
Recommendations ................................................................................................................... 42 
Next Steps ................................................................................................................................. 46
Appendix A. EN TRIPS Preliminary Corridor Screening - Indicators of Need by Mode
Appendix B. EN TRIPS Preliminary Corridor Screening - Indicators of Need by Mode

Table of Figures
Figure 1              Eastern Neighborhood Modal Networks ............................................................. 13 
Figure 2              South of Market Area Corridor Segments ........................................................... 14 
Figure 3              Mission, Potrero Hill/Showplace Square,
                      and Central Waterfront Corridor Segments......................................................... 15 
Figure 4              High Growth Corridor Segments – South of Market Area ................................... 16 
Figure 5              High Growth Corridor Segments - Mission, Potrero Hill/
                      Showplace Square, and Central Waterfront........................................................ 17 
Figure 6              Growth Score by Eastern Neighborhoods Corridor Segment –
                      South of Market ................................................................................................... 18 
Figure 7              Growth Score by Eastern Neighborhoods Corridor Segment –
                      Mission, Potrero Hill/Showplace Square, and Central Waterfront ....................... 19 
Figure 8              Modal Need Score for Eastern Neighborhoods
                      High Multimodal Need’ Segments ....................................................................... 23 
Figure 9              Modal Need Score by Eastern Neighborhoods
                      Corridor Segment – South of Market .................................................................. 25 
Figure 10             Modal Need Score by Eastern Neighborhoods Corridor Segment –
                      Mission, Potrero Hill/Showplace Square, and Central Waterfront ....................... 26 
Figure 11             Pedestrian and Bicycle Collisions on South of Market
                      North-South Streets (2004 – 2008) ..................................................................... 28 
Figure 12             Pedestrian and Bicycle Collisions on South of Market
                      North-South Streets (2004 – 2008) ..................................................................... 28 
Figure 13             PM Period Max Transit Load (Projected 2035) ................................................... 29 
Figure 14             Areas with ¼ Mile of TEP Rapid Route ............................................................... 30 
Figure 15             Forecast Volume/Capacity for North-South Corridors (2035) ............................. 37 
Figure 14             Forecast Volume/Capacity for North-South Corridors (2035) ............................. 37 
Figure 16             Forecast Volume/Capacity for South of Market Screenlines ............................... 39 
Figure 17             Forecast Volume/Capacity for South of Market Screenlines
                      (north-south corridors)......................................................................................... 40 
Figure 17             Forecast Volume/Capacity for South of Market Screenlines
                      (east-west corridors) ........................................................................................... 41 




                                                                        i
Executive Summary
The Eastern Neighborhoods Transportation Implementation Planning Study (EN TRIPS) is
identifying and developing transportation infrastructure improvements to serve the needs of San
Francisco’s Eastern Neighborhoods, as envisioned by the Eastern Neighborhoods Area Plans.

To ensure that EN TRIPS resources are focused on places that would benefit most, the current
phase of the study has screened and prioritized transportation needs in the large study area by
street segment. Using this technique, combined with input from the public, the study team has
chosen a small number of street segments to recommend for near-term corridor improvement
projects. The aim of these projects is that they will not only address a specific transportation issue
in the study area, but will also work to develop a solution for problems that occur widely
throughout the study area. In addition, the project will investigate ways to mitigate recurring
transportation challenges in the study area through existing SFMTA projects and programs.

The recommended segments not only have major local transportation challenges, but they play
important roles in the overall Eastern Neighborhoods circulation system. Making these segments
work better is key to meeting the explicit goals of the Eastern Neighborhoods Planning process.
They make up important parts of the corridors that knit these diverse neighborhoods together;
they will bear the burden of a significant share of the growth forecast to occur as a result of the
Eastern Neighborhoods; and they are the focus of community interest as expressed through the
Eastern Neighborhoods Community Planning Process, the EN TRIPS outreach workshop, and
related planning processes.

This report explains the method that the EN TRIPS team used to rank and prioritize street
segments, and recommends projects that should be carried through for design and
implementation. These recommendations will be reviewed by the Eastern Neighborhoods
Citizens Advisory Committee before the SFMTA makes a final determination of priority corridor
segments for improvement. The method is summarized below.

Step 1. Divide the major transportation corridors in the study area into
functional segments.
The study considered for near-term corridor improvement projects only those streets that are part
of one of the city’s modal transportation networks as designated through existing City policy.
These networks are: the vehicular network (San Francisco General Plan); truck routes (SFMTA
recommended Truck Routes); bicycle network (San Francisco Bicycle Plan); transit priority
streets (SFMTA Transit Effectiveness Project).

The streets that belong to one or more of these networks were then divided into segments that
have a cohesive character and function. To divide segments, the study team considered modal
priorities (for example, some segments of a particular street have transit service, while others do
not), directionality (for example, transitions from one-way to two-way operations), and consistency
( we have tried to break street segments for adjacent and parallel streets at roughly the same
point in order to maintain consistency across segments).

The outcome of this balance of priorities is as follows: In the South of Market (SOMA) area, most
of the east-west streets (Mission through Brannan) have been divided into three parts: a
Transbay/Financial District segment from the Embarcadero to either Second or Third street,
where the streets have mostly two-way operations; a short mid-market segment where the streets
shift to one-way operations (roughly between Third and Fifth streets); and a longer Western
South of Market segment, stretching roughly from Fifth Street to Division Street. King Street,


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EASTERN NEIGHBORHOODS TRANSPORTATION IMPLEMENTATION PLANNING STUDY
Corridor Screening Methodology and Recommendations


which is much shorter, has been assessed as a single segment. Outside of the South of Market
area, most of the north-south streets are divided at 16th Street. Most of the east-west streets have
been divided at Potrero Avenue. In Potrero Hill, the analysis considers the full length of any street
that has transit service. In some cases, breaks between segments were redefined in later phases
of the evaluation.

Step 2. Assess which corridors fall in high growth areas.
Next, each corridor segment was ranked based on forecast growth in residential and employment
density by 2035. For each corridor segment, the average increase in employment (jobs per
square acre) and population (persons per square acre) was calculated for the land next to the
corridor segment. The resulting values were then ranked and grouped in to quartiles. The quartile
scores for population and for employment growth were then added together, to give an overall
growth score between 2 and 8.

Step 3. Score each corridor segment based on the need for bicycle,
pedestrian, and transit improvements.
The project team developed a set of transportation performance measures, which were used to
rank the corridor segments and to identify high multimodal needs segments. These measures
were grouped by mode of transportation, and included measures related to need for bicycle,
pedestrian, and transit improvements. While vehicle circulation need was not considered as a
stand-alone category, several measures were included related to vehicles, including vehicle
volume and vehicle delay.1

For each mode of transportation, four performance measures were chosen. Each measure was
given a normalized “score” of 1-4, where a score of 4 represents the greatest need for
improvement and 1 represents the lowest need, compared with the other segments in the study
area. The four normalized scores for each mode were then added together and normalized again
by mode, and then added together to reach an overall multimodal need score. This technique
makes it possible to equitably assess transportation need using a range of variables that are each
measured differently. The performance criteria are:

       Transit Score: Transit Priority Category (based on TEP); Forecast PM transit volume;
        Forecast transit capacity constraint; Traffic delay.
       Pedestrian Score: Pedestrian priority category (based on zoning); pedestrian injury
        collisions 2004 – 2008; forecast residential density; number of existing pedestrian facilities
        below city standards (including sidewalk width, closed crosswalks and multiple turn lanes,
        distance between crossings).
       Bicycle Score: Bicycle Priority Category (based on SF Bike plan); Bicycle collisions 2004 –
        2008; completeness of proposed bicycle facilities; Forecast PM vehicle volume.

Step 4. Assess outliers that may represent special opportunities.
Steps 1-3 prioritized streets that have significant needs across multiple measures. In Step 4, we
gave special attention to those street segments that stand out because they have a particularly
urgent need in just one performance measure.

1
  Most of the quantitative data for this evaluation was drawn from the city’s travel demand model, SF CHAMP 4.1
(ABAG projections 2009), which provided estimates of present vehicle and transit conditions, as well as forecasts for
2035. Detailed analysis of vehicle travel in the South of Market area and on 16th Street was performed by the EN
TRIPS study team through the South of Market Circulation Study.

                                                          2
We noted street segments that stood out from the others based on high rates of pedestrian and
bicycle collisions: in particular, the northern segment of Sixth Street has far more pedestrian
collisions than any other segment in this analysis.

We also noted street segments that had great need in the areas of transit service and transit
capacity. Several Muni routes in the study area are forecast to have ridership demands that far
exceed the available vehicle capacity during the PM peak period, including the T-Third (both on
the surface in Mission Bay and in the Central Subway); the 47 Van Ness Mission (on the northern
Mission District segment of Mission Street); the 9 San Bruno (in the northern segment of Potrero
Avenue); and the 22 Fillmore (in the Mission District segment of 16th Street). Of these, the 22
Fillmore is of particular concern because of its role linking several neighborhoods where
significant growth is forecast.

Step 5. Of the ‘high growth,’ ‘high need’, and ‘outlier’ corridor segments,
identify candidates that best fit into the EN TRIPS proejct timeframe.
Through steps 1-4, a group of street segments was identified as falling in high growth areas,
having high needs for more than one mode of transportation, or have especially high needs in at
least one mode. Of these identified segments, some may present better opportunities than others
for near-term corridor improvement projects through EN TRIPS. This section further narrows
candidate corridors by identifying segments that are either being studied elsewhere, have
immediate needs that can be addressed outside of this study process or have major unknowns
that make studying them further not practical.

Mission Street - Third Street to Fifth Street. The middle segment of Mission Street has a very
important overall circulation function, and important localized needs (particularly for pedestrians).
It is a vital east-west transit corridor through the South of Market, as well as a busy pedestrian
corridor with relatively long distances between crossings, multiple turn lanes at the intersection of
Fourth Street, and high rates of pedestrian injury collisions between 2004 and 2008. Potential
improvement projects could include investment in pedestrian facilities, as well as transit priority
treatments. The Better Market Street plan will consider the function of Mission Street in the South
of Market circulation system, and its relationship to Market Street. Because of this planned
analysis, a near-term design project on Mission Street is not advisable for the EN TRIPS project
despite the identified needs and opportunities.

Folsom Street - Third Street to Eleventh Street. Two segments of Folsom Street have been
identified as having high multimodal needs: Folsom between Second and Fifth, and between Fifth
and Eleventh. Both segments have substandard pedestrian facilities, such as long distances
between crossings and multiple turn lanes. Folsom also has relatively high pedestrian injury
collision rates between 2004 and 2008. Forecast growth suggests that overall pedestrian volumes
could be expected to rise along the full length of Folsom Street. The Folsom and Howard Street
couplet form the major east-west bicycle corridor through the South of Market, and the forecast
increase in vehicle volumes may challenge cyclists in this corridor. Folsom Street was also
identified as a high-need corridor in the Eastern Neighborhoods Area Plans and the Western
SOMA Community Plan. Folsom Street is a strong candidate for near term improvements, with
potential for upgraded pedestrian facilities, improved bicycle facilities, traffic calming and/or a
road diet, and potential vehicle circulation changes such as conversion to two-way operations.

Townsend Street - Third Street to Fifth Street. Currently, Townsend Street has inadequate
pedestrian infrastructure. The north side of the street does not have sidewalks, while the
sidewalks on the south side of the street are very narrow and impeded by parked vehicles,
especially the motorcycle parking area adjacent to the Caltrain station. While improvements to


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EASTERN NEIGHBORHOODS TRANSPORTATION IMPLEMENTATION PLANNING STUDY
Corridor Screening Methodology and Recommendations


Townsend Street are necessary, the corridor is receiving additional attention as part of projects
related to the implementation of high-speed rail and the upgrades planned for the site of the
current Caltrain station on the south side of Townsend west of Fourth. Any additional
improvements to Townsend Street are contingent on final design of the high-speed rail station,
which is not likely to be completed in the near term. Furthermore, improvements to Townsend
could be made as part of station construction. For these reasons, a design project for Townsend
Street may be premature as part of the EN TRIPS project.

Second Street - Market Street to Bryant Street. While pedestrian conditions along Second
Street are not as challenging as along some other SOMA streets, it is zoned commercial and
suffered from a relatively high pedestrian injury collision rate of 35 per mile between 2004 and
2008. Second Street is also the primary bicycle route between the Financial District, Rincon Hill
and South Beach. Bicycle lanes have been planned here, but deferred out of deference to
community concerns. Second Street also has extremely high forecast growth. While high growth
makes Second Street a high priority for investment, this corridor has numerous improvements
planned as part of the Transbay Transit Center District plan, developed by the San Francisco
Planning Department’s City Design group. Given the attention already invested, Second Street is
probably not a strong candidate for further near-term investment through the EN TRIPS project.

Third and Fourth Street - Market Street to Bryant Street. Third and Fourth Streets, which form
a one-way couplet in the eastern South of Market area, have inadequate pedestrian facilities,
high rates of growth, and important roles for three modes of transportation (transit, pedestrians,
and vehicles). Both streets are important pedestrian pathways between Market Street and the
Caltrain station at Fourth and King Streets, and both have high pedestrian injury collision rates.
Pedestrian facilities are inadequate, with narrow sidewalks, long crossings, and restricted
crossings at several intersections. Third and Fourth Streets also work together as a crucial transit
corridor, with significant challenges. A major investment in transit service is already underway in
this corridor, in the form of the Muni Central Subway under Fourth Street. However, even with this
investment, the T-Third light rail service is forecast to be over-capacity by 2035. Currently, the
speed and reliability of 30 and 45 are poor, and forecast traffic congestion at on Third and Fourth
Streets could further degrade performance. Because of these challenges, both streets are strong
candidates for near term improvement. Fourth Street will very likely be the subject of a street
design effort by the San Francisco Planning Department in the near future, as part of a planned
rezoning associated with the construction of the Central Subway.

Fifth Street - Market Street to Brannan Street. Fifth Street is a two-way arterial that serves
multiple roles in South of Market Street network. It is an important corridor for cyclists, connecting
the Union Square area to Caltrain and Mission Bay. Bike lanes are planned on Fifth, but have not
yet been built. Between 2004 and 2008, the bicycle collision rate here was 39 per mile, among
the highest in the evaluation. Fifth Street also has high pedestrian needs, with long crossing
distances, multiple turn lanes at Bryant, a restricted crosswalk at Harrison, and narrow sidewalks.
Fifth Street north of Brannan is also an important transit street, with Muni’s route 27 planned to
operate in this segment. Fifth Street is a strong candidate for near-term improvement through the
EN TRIPS project, particularly if the project wishes to provide a design template for a two-way
SOMA arterial.

Sixth Street - Market Street to Brannan Street. Sixth Street is another two-way arterial with a
high need for improvements. While it carries large volumes of fast-moving traffic, particularly
traffic traveling between the Interstate 280 exit ramp and the north-of market street network, Sixth
Street also has high residential density and serves large numbers of pedestrians. The greatest
challenge on Sixth Street is a pedestrian injury collision rate between 2004 and 2008 of 97 per
mile, by far the highest among any of the segments analyzed. Sixth Street also has one of the

                                                  4
highest rates of bicycle collisions in the study area, despite not being a designated bicycle route.
In addition to a high collision rate, Sixth Street suffers from long crossing distances, multiple turn
lanes at two intersections, narrow sidewalks, high forecast traffic volume, and numerous
intersections with alleys where mid-block crossings are not provided. Because of these factors,
Sixth Street is a candidate for near-term. However, because the primary issue with Sixth Street is
a single factor (a high rate of pedestrian injury collisions) that is not directly related to larger EN
TRIPS system goals, such as addressing growth and connecting EN TRIPS neighborhoods, Sixth
Street may be more suitable for a very short term focus by SFMTA on operational issues to
address pedestrian collisions.

Seventh and Eighth Streets - Market Street to Brannan Street. Seventh and Eighth Streets
form a one-way couplet running north and south through the Western South of Market. The
northern segment of both of these streets emerged as high priority in the corridor screening
analysis, based primarily on high pedestrian and bicycle needs, and relatively high projected
rates of growth. Seventh and Eighth have inadequate pedestrian facilities, including narrow
sidewalks and restricted crossings, and high rates of pedestrian collisions comparable to other
north-south SOMA arterials. Forecast traffic conditions would degrade conditions for cyclists in
the bicycle lanes on Seventh and Eighth, which together make up a key north-south link for
cyclists between Potrero Hill and the Civic Center area. The Western SOMA Community Plan
proposed that Seventh and Eighth Streets be improved. Both Seventh and Eighth Streets north of
the freeway are strong candidates for near-term improvement through the EN TRIPS project,
particularly if the project wishes to provide a design template one-way SOMA arterials.

16th Street – Guerrero Street to Terry Francois Boulevard. Sixteenth Street is the only east-
west arterial that extends all the way from the Mission District to the eastern waterfront. As such,
it is a vital vehicle and transit connection for three of the Eastern Neighborhoods, and will become
even more important as Mission Bay and the waterfront develop. From a transportation
operations perspective, 16th Street is made up of four distinct segments: Guerrero to South Van
Ness Avenue; South Van Ness Avenue to Potrero Avenue; Potrero Avenue to 7th Street; and 7th
Street to Terry Francois Boulevard. Under the TEP, the 22 Fillmore will run the length of 16th
Street, providing the only major east-west connection through the Mission, Showplace Square,
and Potrero Hill. In 2035, demand for ridership on the 22-Fillmore is forecast to exceed capacity
between Guerrero and Arkansas. Significant traffic delay is also projected, particularly at Potrero
Avenue and Third Streets. Significant growth is forecast for the 16th Street corridor and the
neighborhoods that it links together. Ensuring transit priority for the 16th Street corridor should be
a priority for the EN TRIPS project.

Third Street – South of King Street. Third Street in Mission Bay and the Central Waterfront
received high scores in the transit category, because of very high projected demand for the T-
Third service. In 2035 forecasts, it is projected that demand for the T-Third will far exceed vehicle
capacity in this segment. Current pedestrian and bicycle collision rates are very low on Third
Street, due to low densities and low volumes of trips. However, the segment north of 16th Street
has very high projected growth, due to employment and population growth forecast for Mission
Bay. Third Street is expected to see a very large increase in vehicle volumes and significant
vehicle delays. However, a major investment has only recently been made in transit service in the
corridor (the T-Third Street Muni Metro line), and this investment will be leveraged with
completion of the Central Subway project in a few years. For this reason, it may not be practical
for the EN TRIPS project to invest significant design effort in transit improvements along Third
Street in the near term.

Division Street. Division Street marks the boundary between the South of Market arterial
network and the Mission District, and it runs mostly underneath the Central Freeway segment of


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EASTERN NEIGHBORHOODS TRANSPORTATION IMPLEMENTATION PLANNING STUDY
Corridor Screening Methodology and Recommendations


US 101. Division Street is an important east-west bicycle route, and bicycle lanes are planned.
While high traffic volumes are not projected on Division, two intersections are projected to suffer
from substantial vehicle delay in 2035: Bryant and Townsend/Eighth. Participants in the EN
TRIPS community workshop noted that Division Street is poorly lit and feels unsafe for
pedestrians and bicyclists. Previous City plans and studies have considered removing part of the
overhead Central Freeway and rebuilding Division itself, possibly as a multiway boulevard. While
this idea was studied and not implemented in the past, the elevated freeway will require
expensive investment if it is to be maintained over the coming years. The SFCTA will consider the
future of the Central Freeway as part of the upcoming Countywide Transportation Plan. As such,
Division Street is not strong candidate for a near-term design project through the EN TRIPS
project.

Mission Street - Eleventh Street to 16th Street. The Mission District segment of Mission Street
emerges as a high priority corridor from the screening analysis primarily because of high transit
needs. As compared to South of Market arterials, existing pedestrian facilities on Mission are
strong. Though not a designated bicycle corridor, Mission Street does carry a substantial volume
of bicycle traffic, and the high number of bicycle collisions reflects this function. Demand for travel
on Muni’s 49 Mission-Van Ness is forecast to far exceed available capacity by 2035. EN TRIPS
community meeting participants noted the need for additional express bus service on Mission
Street. Because of high transit demand and high volumes of traffic forecast, Mission Street is a
strong candidate for transit priority treatments. However, the SFMTA’s Transit Effectiveness
Project has taken responsibility for designing and implementing transit priority treatments for this
segment of Mission Street.

Step 6. Assess capacity constraints and opportunities in the vehicle
circulation network.
Building on Steps 1 – 5, in Step 6 we assessed the vehicle circulation network in the South of
Market. This assessment identified street segments with potential “excess vehicular capacity,”
based on a comparison of 2035 forecast vehicle volumes and roadway capacity. The analysis
considers the relationship between volume (the peak hour vehicle demand in a particular
direction), and capacity (the number of vehicles that can be accommodated by a particular
approach or roadway based on a number of factors). Roadway capacity depends upon the
number of travel lanes, signal timing, tow-away lanes, and others. This relationship is expressed
as volume over capacity, or ‘V/C’. A V/C of less than 1.0 represents an approach that is below
capacity, a V/C of 1.0 represents “at-capacity” operations, and a V/C greater than 1.0 represents
“breakdown”, i.e. stop-and-go operations.

The study team calculated V/C ratios for the forecast year (2035) for the majority of intersection
approaches in the study area bounded by 3rd Street, Mission Street, 10th Street, and Bryant
Street. The team also performed ‘screenline’ analysis to determine where excess vehicle
capacity may exist in the SOMA vehicle network as a whole in 2035. A screenline is a
predetermined boundary that can be used to group several segments together for the purposes of
determining aggregate volume/capacity for several streets at once.




                                                   6
The analysis found that all of the study roadways in the vicinity of Third and Fourth Streets are
forecast to be either at or above capacity during the PM peak in 2035. Howard Street, Folsom
Street, and Bryant Street appear to have excess capacity west of Fifth Street. Additionally,
intersections that included freeway on- or off-ramps generally appear to have higher v/c ratios
than other intersections in the study area.
For the north-south SOMA arterials, the western SOMA street network appears to have some
available capacity in the northbound direction at Harrison Street and at the Mission Street
screenline. In the southbound travel direction, the western SOMA street network is forecast to be
above capacity at Mission Street, but just under capacity at Harrison Street. In the eastern SOMA
area, the network is well above capacity in the southbound direction, but has capacity available in
the northbound direction. This pattern reflects PM peak period commute travel, with drivers
traveling towards the freeway.
For the east-west SOMA arterials, the network appears to have available capacity in both
directions for screenlines in the western SOMA area. At the Third Street screenline, however,
vehicle volumes are forecast to be well above capacity in the westbound direction.

These findings suggest that changes could be made to streets in several parts of the SOMA
street network without major disruption to vehicle circulation. It is important to note that while
forecasts of traffic conditions are one important factor in choosing transportation system
investments, a forecast that vehicle volumes may exceed available capacity in a particular
segment does not necessarily exclude that segment from consideration for a corridor
improvement project.

Recommendations
The next step for EN TRIPS will be to work with community stakeholders to design three near-
term corridor improvement projects. The project will also investigate ways to mitigate recurring
transportation challenges in the study area through existing SFMTA projects and programs. This
section discusses recommendations for next steps for each of these areas of work.

Near-term corridor improvement projects. The consultant team recommends the following
corridor segments for near-term design projects through the EN TRIPS projects:

      Folsom Street between Fifth and Eleventh Streets. Working together in a one-way
       couplet with Howard Street, Folsom Street travels through the center of the western and
       eastern South of Market neighborhoods, connecting them to the Transbay District and
       downtown. Folsom Street is also projected to see substantial growth in residential and
       employment density as a result of recently completed land use planning efforts.
       Pedestrian facility deficiencies on Folsom include narrow sidewalks, long crossing
       distances, and long distances between crossings. Along with Howard Street, Folsom is a
       vital east-west link in the South of Market bicycle network in a part of the city that is
       expected to see substantial growth in vehicle traffic. As an important street for bicycles,
       Folsom is projected to have relatively high vehicle traffic volumes. It has also suffered in
       the past from relatively high rates of bicycle collisions. Finally, Folsom Street was
       identified as a high-need corridor in the Eastern Neighborhoods area plans, and improving
       Folsom was specified as a priority project by the San Francisco Board of Supervisors. The
       Western SOMA Community plan identifies Folsom as a center of that community and key
       pedestrian and transit travel corridor, focusing on the western segment of Folsom
       between Fourth and Eleventh Streets. Through design work on Folsom Street, the EN
       TRIPS project will also produce principals and operating concepts that the SFMTA will
       apply in future projects to improve other SOMA east-west arterials.


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EASTERN NEIGHBORHOODS TRANSPORTATION IMPLEMENTATION PLANNING STUDY
Corridor Screening Methodology and Recommendations


      Sixteenth Street between Potrero Avenue and Seventh Street. Because the 22
       Fillmore service planned for 16th Street will be a vital transit link between several growing
       neighborhoods in the EN TRIPS study area, 16th Street will require transit priority
       treatments on all four of its major segments. As an important first step towards these
       improvements, 16th Street between Potrero Avenue and Seventh Streets is recommended
       for a near-term corridor segment improvement project. This segment has been prioritized
       above other segments of 16th because of expected residential growth, forecast vehicle
       congestion, transit capacity constraints, and community priority as expressed through the
       EN TRIPS community workshop. While land use densities in this section are currently
       low, due to rezoning as part of the Eastern Neighborhoods land use plan, as many as
       3,000 new housing units could be built along this segment of 16th by 2035, leading to a
       substantial growth in residential density, as well as increasing vehicle and pedestrian
       travel demand. Through design work on this segment, the EN TRIPS project will also
       produce principles and operating concepts that the SFMTA will apply in future projects to
       develop transit priority treatments for the remaining segments of 16th Street.
      Seventh and Eighth Streets - Market Street to Brannan Street. Seventh and Eighth
       Streets from Market to Brannan, which work together to form a one-way couplet through
       the western South of Market area, are recommended for near-term improvement.
       Because the dimensions for these two streets are so similar, EN TRIPS project resources
       will allow the project team to design improvements to both streets as part of a single
       design effort. Seventh Street travels north and south between its intersection with 16th
       Street through the South of Market and across Market Street, where it connects to the
       north of Market street grid. With this alignment, Seventh Street has unique role as a
       connecting street between several of the Eastern Neighborhoods for drivers, pedestrians,
       and cyclists. Seventh and Eighth also cut through the portion of the western South of
       Market where substantial new development is forecast as the result of recent zoning
       changes. Seventh and Eighth have narrow sidewalks and high rates of pedestrian
       collisions. Forecast traffic conditions would degrade conditions for cyclists in the bicycle
       lanes on Seventh and Eighth Streets, which together make up a key north-south link for
       cyclists between Potrero Hill and the Civic Center area. Finally, the Western SOMA
       Community Plan proposed that Seventh and Eighth Streets be improved, and the project
       could help to support ongoing revitalization efforts for the mid-Market area. Through
       design work on these segments, the EN TRIPS project will also produce principals and
       operating concepts that the SFMTA will apply in future projects to improve other SOMA
       north-south arterials.
Recurring Transportation Challenges. In addition to three near-term corridor improvement
projects recommended above, the study team will collaborate with SFMTA to prepare
recommendations for solutions to transportation challenges that recur throughout the study area.
These challenges, which were catalogued through the EN TRIPS existing conditions work, will be
organized by challenge type, mapped, and evaluated to provide guidance on how they can be
addressed through on-going SFMTA transportation improvement programs. This guidance will
be illustrated and included in the EN TRIPS Final Report. Many of these types of challenges will
be addressed through existing programs at SFMTA – for these challenges, EN TRIPS work will
designate departments at SFMTA and other city agencies that will be responsible for addressing
these issues in the Eastern Neighborhoods, and will recommend next steps. Potential
implementing parties may include SFMTA service planning and TEP implementation staff,
SFMTA traffic calming programs, and others.




                                                 8
Next Steps. Next steps for the EN TRIPS project will be as follows:

   1.   Select final project corridors. (May 2011)
   2.   Develop design and circulation concepts. (June 2011)
   3.   Model circulation impacts. (August 2011)
   4.   Refine design concepts. (September 2011)
   5.   Assess recurring transportation challenges. (October 2011)
   6.   Create Funding and Implementation Strategy. (November 2011)
   7.   Prepare EN TRIPS Report. (December 2011)




                                                9
Introduction
The Eastern Neighborhoods Transportation Implementation Planning Study (EN TRIPS) is
identifying and developing transportation infrastructure improvements to serve the needs of San
Francisco’s Eastern Neighborhoods, as envisioned by the Eastern Neighborhoods Area Plans.
The study area of EN TRIPS includes not only the Eastern Neighborhoods themselves (the
Mission District, Eastern South of Market, Potrero Hill/Showplace Square, and the Central
Waterfront), but also surrounding planning districts (Mission Bay, the Transbay District, and
Western South of Market) that share key transportation corridors with the Eastern
Neighborhoods.

The first work product for the EN TRIPS study, the Existing Conditions report, assembled data on
current travel patterns and known transportation system deficiencies in the study area. The
second work product, the Future Conditions report, examined projections of land use change,
travel patterns, and transportation system capacity for a 2035 horizon year, including the growth
in the area anticipated by the Eastern Neighborhoods Area Plans. There were a number of
consistent themes in different parts of the study area:

      As the result of land use regulation changes and overall regional growth, very large
       increases in population, employment, and total travel demand are projected for the
       Eastern Neighborhoods study area by 2035. The South of Market area will see the
       majority of population growth, but several areas of growth are projected in the rest of the
       study area, including Mission Bay, the Central Waterfront, and Showplace Square.
      Both the physical constraints of the study area and the City’s Transit First Policy preclude
       major expansions of roadway capacity as a strategy for dealing with projected vehicle
       volumes and congestion.
      As a result of the projected growth, there will be competing demands for space on South
       of Market streets. Areas with lower projected growth may also require pedestrian and
       public realm improvements.
      In addition to strategies for managing or reducing vehicle congestion, maintaining and
       improving quality of life in the parts of the Eastern Neighborhoods that are poised for
       substantial growth will require the city to maintain and expand alternatives to travel by
       private vehicle. Investments could include: transit priority street treatments; new bicycle
       facilities; and further development of safe and comfortable pedestrian spaces.
To ensure that EN TRIPS resources are focused on places that would benefit most, the current
phase of the study has screened and prioritized transportation needs in the large study area by
street segment. Using this data and input from the public, the study team has chosen a small
number of transportation street segments to recommend for near-term improvement projects.
The aim of these projects is that they will not only address a specific transportation issue, but will
also work to develop a solution for problems that occur widely throughout the study area. In
addition, the project will investigate ways to mitigate recurring transportation challenges in the
study area through existing SFMTA projects and programs.

This report explains the method that the EN TRIPS team used to rank and prioritize street
segments, and recommends projects that should be carried through for design and
implementation. These recommendations will be reviewed by the Eastern Neighborhoods
Citizens Advisory Committee before the SFMTA makes a final determination of priority corridor
segments for improvement. The method is summarized below.




                                                  10
Methodology
To determine which street segments in the study area should be the focus of near-term corridor
improvement projects, each eligible major transportation corridor in the study area was screened
based on the following procedure:
   1. Divide the major transportation corridors in the study area segments with consistent
      function and character.
   2. Assess which corridor segments fall in high growth areas.
   3. Score each segment based on need for bicycle, pedestrian, and transit improvements.
   4. Assess outliers that may represent special challenges and opportunities.
   5. Of the ‘high growth,’ ‘high need’, and ‘outlier’ corridor segments, identify opportunities for
      a near-term corridor improvement projects.
   6. Assess capacity constraints and opportunities in the vehicle circulation network.
These steps are outlined in more detail below.

Step 1. Divide the major transportation corridors in the study area into
functional segments.
The study considered for near-term corridor improvement projects only those streets that are part
of one of the city’s modal transportation networks as designated through existing City policy.
These networks are as follows, and are illustrated in Figure 1:

      Vehicular Network (San Francisco General Plan)
      Truck Routes (SFMTA recommended Truck Routes)
      Bicycle Network (San Francisco Bicycle Plan)
      Transit Priority Streets (SFMTA Transit Effectiveness Project)

For the initial assessment of corridor needs by mode, the streets that belong to one or more of
these networks were then divided into segments that have a cohesive character and function. To
divide segments, the study team considered:

      Modal priorities: for example, some segments of a particular street have transit service,
       while others do not.
      Directionality: where street segments change directionality (for example, shift from one-
       way to two-way operations), the character of the street changes.
      Consistency: We have tried to break street segments for adjacent and parallel streets at
       roughly the same point in order to maintain consistency across segments.

The outcome of this balance of priorities is as follows: In the South of Market area, most of the
east-west streets (Mission through Brannan) have been divided into three parts: a
Transbay/Financial District segment from the Embarcadero to either Second or Third street,
where the streets have mostly two-way operations; a short mid-Market segment where the streets
shift to one-way operations (roughly between Third and Fifth streets); and a longer Western
South of Market segment, stretching roughly from Fifth Street to Division Street. King Street,
which is much shorter, has been assessed as a single segment. Outside of the South of Market
area, most of the North-South streets are divided at 16th Street. Most of the east-west streets
have been divided at Potrero Avenue. In Potrero Hill, the analysis considers the full length of any

                                                 11
EASTERN NEIGHBORHOODS TRANSPORTATION IMPLEMENTATION PLANNING STUDY
Corridor Screening Methodology and Recommendations


street that has transit service. Based on these designations, the major circulation corridor
segments used in the initial needs analysis are listed in Figures 2 and 3.

Once the initial needs and growth analyses were completed (Steps 2 and 3), the extents of
several corridors segments were further refined in Steps 4 and 5 to respond to specific needs and
opportunities. The refined project extents, along with the reasons for refinement, are discussed in
more detail in the descriptions of Steps 4 and 5 below.




                                                 12
Task 3.a:  Inventory of Key Eastern Neighborhood Priority Corridors
Task 3.a:  Inventory of Key Eastern Neighborhood Priority Corridors
Task 3.a:  Inventory of Key Eastern Neighborhood Priority Corridors
Task 3.a:  Inventory of Key Eastern Neighborhood Priority Corridors
Task 3.a:  Inventory of Key Eastern Neighborhood Priority Corridors
Task 3.a:  Inventory of Key Eastern Neighborhood Priority Corridors
Task 3.a:  Inventory of Key Eastern Neighborhood Priority Corridors
Task 3.a:  Inventory of Key Eastern Neighborhood Priority Corridors
Task 3.a:  Inventory of Key Eastern Neighborhood Priority Corridors
Task 3.a:  Inventory of Key Eastern Neighborhood Priority Corridors
Task 3.a:  Inventory of Key Eastern Neighborhood Priority Corridors
Task 3.a:  Inventory of Key Eastern Neighborhood Priority Corridors
Task 3.a:  Inventory of Key Eastern Neighborhood Priority Corridors
Task 3.a:  Inventory of Key Eastern Neighborhood Priority Corridors
Task 3.a:  Inventory of Key Eastern Neighborhood Priority Corridors
Task 3.a:  Inventory of Key Eastern Neighborhood Priority Corridors
Task 3.a:  Inventory of Key Eastern Neighborhood Priority Corridors
Task 3.a:  Inventory of Key Eastern Neighborhood Priority Corridors
Task 3.a:  Inventory of Key Eastern Neighborhood Priority Corridors
Task 3.a:  Inventory of Key Eastern Neighborhood Priority Corridors
Task 3.a:  Inventory of Key Eastern Neighborhood Priority Corridors
Task 3.a:  Inventory of Key Eastern Neighborhood Priority Corridors
Task 3.a:  Inventory of Key Eastern Neighborhood Priority Corridors
Task 3.a:  Inventory of Key Eastern Neighborhood Priority Corridors
Task 3.a:  Inventory of Key Eastern Neighborhood Priority Corridors
Task 3.a:  Inventory of Key Eastern Neighborhood Priority Corridors
Task 3.a:  Inventory of Key Eastern Neighborhood Priority Corridors
Task 3.a:  Inventory of Key Eastern Neighborhood Priority Corridors
Task 3.a:  Inventory of Key Eastern Neighborhood Priority Corridors
Task 3.a:  Inventory of Key Eastern Neighborhood Priority Corridors
Task 3.a:  Inventory of Key Eastern Neighborhood Priority Corridors
Task 3.a:  Inventory of Key Eastern Neighborhood Priority Corridors
Task 3.a:  Inventory of Key Eastern Neighborhood Priority Corridors
Task 3.a:  Inventory of Key Eastern Neighborhood Priority Corridors
Task 3.a:  Inventory of Key Eastern Neighborhood Priority Corridors
Task 3.a:  Inventory of Key Eastern Neighborhood Priority Corridors
Task 3.a:  Inventory of Key Eastern Neighborhood Priority Corridors

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Task 3.a: Inventory of Key Eastern Neighborhood Priority Corridors

  • 1. SFMTA EN TRIPS Corridor Screening and Recommendations May 2011
  • 2.
  • 3. Table of Contents Page Executive Summary ................................................................................................................... 1  Introduction ............................................................................................................................... 10  Methodology ............................................................................................................................. 11  Recommendations ................................................................................................................... 42  Next Steps ................................................................................................................................. 46 Appendix A. EN TRIPS Preliminary Corridor Screening - Indicators of Need by Mode Appendix B. EN TRIPS Preliminary Corridor Screening - Indicators of Need by Mode Table of Figures Figure 1  Eastern Neighborhood Modal Networks ............................................................. 13  Figure 2  South of Market Area Corridor Segments ........................................................... 14  Figure 3  Mission, Potrero Hill/Showplace Square, and Central Waterfront Corridor Segments......................................................... 15  Figure 4  High Growth Corridor Segments – South of Market Area ................................... 16  Figure 5  High Growth Corridor Segments - Mission, Potrero Hill/ Showplace Square, and Central Waterfront........................................................ 17  Figure 6  Growth Score by Eastern Neighborhoods Corridor Segment – South of Market ................................................................................................... 18  Figure 7  Growth Score by Eastern Neighborhoods Corridor Segment – Mission, Potrero Hill/Showplace Square, and Central Waterfront ....................... 19  Figure 8  Modal Need Score for Eastern Neighborhoods High Multimodal Need’ Segments ....................................................................... 23  Figure 9  Modal Need Score by Eastern Neighborhoods Corridor Segment – South of Market .................................................................. 25  Figure 10  Modal Need Score by Eastern Neighborhoods Corridor Segment – Mission, Potrero Hill/Showplace Square, and Central Waterfront ....................... 26  Figure 11  Pedestrian and Bicycle Collisions on South of Market North-South Streets (2004 – 2008) ..................................................................... 28  Figure 12  Pedestrian and Bicycle Collisions on South of Market North-South Streets (2004 – 2008) ..................................................................... 28  Figure 13  PM Period Max Transit Load (Projected 2035) ................................................... 29  Figure 14  Areas with ¼ Mile of TEP Rapid Route ............................................................... 30  Figure 15  Forecast Volume/Capacity for North-South Corridors (2035) ............................. 37  Figure 14  Forecast Volume/Capacity for North-South Corridors (2035) ............................. 37  Figure 16  Forecast Volume/Capacity for South of Market Screenlines ............................... 39  Figure 17  Forecast Volume/Capacity for South of Market Screenlines (north-south corridors)......................................................................................... 40  Figure 17  Forecast Volume/Capacity for South of Market Screenlines (east-west corridors) ........................................................................................... 41  i
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  • 5. Executive Summary The Eastern Neighborhoods Transportation Implementation Planning Study (EN TRIPS) is identifying and developing transportation infrastructure improvements to serve the needs of San Francisco’s Eastern Neighborhoods, as envisioned by the Eastern Neighborhoods Area Plans. To ensure that EN TRIPS resources are focused on places that would benefit most, the current phase of the study has screened and prioritized transportation needs in the large study area by street segment. Using this technique, combined with input from the public, the study team has chosen a small number of street segments to recommend for near-term corridor improvement projects. The aim of these projects is that they will not only address a specific transportation issue in the study area, but will also work to develop a solution for problems that occur widely throughout the study area. In addition, the project will investigate ways to mitigate recurring transportation challenges in the study area through existing SFMTA projects and programs. The recommended segments not only have major local transportation challenges, but they play important roles in the overall Eastern Neighborhoods circulation system. Making these segments work better is key to meeting the explicit goals of the Eastern Neighborhoods Planning process. They make up important parts of the corridors that knit these diverse neighborhoods together; they will bear the burden of a significant share of the growth forecast to occur as a result of the Eastern Neighborhoods; and they are the focus of community interest as expressed through the Eastern Neighborhoods Community Planning Process, the EN TRIPS outreach workshop, and related planning processes. This report explains the method that the EN TRIPS team used to rank and prioritize street segments, and recommends projects that should be carried through for design and implementation. These recommendations will be reviewed by the Eastern Neighborhoods Citizens Advisory Committee before the SFMTA makes a final determination of priority corridor segments for improvement. The method is summarized below. Step 1. Divide the major transportation corridors in the study area into functional segments. The study considered for near-term corridor improvement projects only those streets that are part of one of the city’s modal transportation networks as designated through existing City policy. These networks are: the vehicular network (San Francisco General Plan); truck routes (SFMTA recommended Truck Routes); bicycle network (San Francisco Bicycle Plan); transit priority streets (SFMTA Transit Effectiveness Project). The streets that belong to one or more of these networks were then divided into segments that have a cohesive character and function. To divide segments, the study team considered modal priorities (for example, some segments of a particular street have transit service, while others do not), directionality (for example, transitions from one-way to two-way operations), and consistency ( we have tried to break street segments for adjacent and parallel streets at roughly the same point in order to maintain consistency across segments). The outcome of this balance of priorities is as follows: In the South of Market (SOMA) area, most of the east-west streets (Mission through Brannan) have been divided into three parts: a Transbay/Financial District segment from the Embarcadero to either Second or Third street, where the streets have mostly two-way operations; a short mid-market segment where the streets shift to one-way operations (roughly between Third and Fifth streets); and a longer Western South of Market segment, stretching roughly from Fifth Street to Division Street. King Street, 1
  • 6. EASTERN NEIGHBORHOODS TRANSPORTATION IMPLEMENTATION PLANNING STUDY Corridor Screening Methodology and Recommendations which is much shorter, has been assessed as a single segment. Outside of the South of Market area, most of the north-south streets are divided at 16th Street. Most of the east-west streets have been divided at Potrero Avenue. In Potrero Hill, the analysis considers the full length of any street that has transit service. In some cases, breaks between segments were redefined in later phases of the evaluation. Step 2. Assess which corridors fall in high growth areas. Next, each corridor segment was ranked based on forecast growth in residential and employment density by 2035. For each corridor segment, the average increase in employment (jobs per square acre) and population (persons per square acre) was calculated for the land next to the corridor segment. The resulting values were then ranked and grouped in to quartiles. The quartile scores for population and for employment growth were then added together, to give an overall growth score between 2 and 8. Step 3. Score each corridor segment based on the need for bicycle, pedestrian, and transit improvements. The project team developed a set of transportation performance measures, which were used to rank the corridor segments and to identify high multimodal needs segments. These measures were grouped by mode of transportation, and included measures related to need for bicycle, pedestrian, and transit improvements. While vehicle circulation need was not considered as a stand-alone category, several measures were included related to vehicles, including vehicle volume and vehicle delay.1 For each mode of transportation, four performance measures were chosen. Each measure was given a normalized “score” of 1-4, where a score of 4 represents the greatest need for improvement and 1 represents the lowest need, compared with the other segments in the study area. The four normalized scores for each mode were then added together and normalized again by mode, and then added together to reach an overall multimodal need score. This technique makes it possible to equitably assess transportation need using a range of variables that are each measured differently. The performance criteria are:  Transit Score: Transit Priority Category (based on TEP); Forecast PM transit volume; Forecast transit capacity constraint; Traffic delay.  Pedestrian Score: Pedestrian priority category (based on zoning); pedestrian injury collisions 2004 – 2008; forecast residential density; number of existing pedestrian facilities below city standards (including sidewalk width, closed crosswalks and multiple turn lanes, distance between crossings).  Bicycle Score: Bicycle Priority Category (based on SF Bike plan); Bicycle collisions 2004 – 2008; completeness of proposed bicycle facilities; Forecast PM vehicle volume. Step 4. Assess outliers that may represent special opportunities. Steps 1-3 prioritized streets that have significant needs across multiple measures. In Step 4, we gave special attention to those street segments that stand out because they have a particularly urgent need in just one performance measure. 1 Most of the quantitative data for this evaluation was drawn from the city’s travel demand model, SF CHAMP 4.1 (ABAG projections 2009), which provided estimates of present vehicle and transit conditions, as well as forecasts for 2035. Detailed analysis of vehicle travel in the South of Market area and on 16th Street was performed by the EN TRIPS study team through the South of Market Circulation Study. 2
  • 7. We noted street segments that stood out from the others based on high rates of pedestrian and bicycle collisions: in particular, the northern segment of Sixth Street has far more pedestrian collisions than any other segment in this analysis. We also noted street segments that had great need in the areas of transit service and transit capacity. Several Muni routes in the study area are forecast to have ridership demands that far exceed the available vehicle capacity during the PM peak period, including the T-Third (both on the surface in Mission Bay and in the Central Subway); the 47 Van Ness Mission (on the northern Mission District segment of Mission Street); the 9 San Bruno (in the northern segment of Potrero Avenue); and the 22 Fillmore (in the Mission District segment of 16th Street). Of these, the 22 Fillmore is of particular concern because of its role linking several neighborhoods where significant growth is forecast. Step 5. Of the ‘high growth,’ ‘high need’, and ‘outlier’ corridor segments, identify candidates that best fit into the EN TRIPS proejct timeframe. Through steps 1-4, a group of street segments was identified as falling in high growth areas, having high needs for more than one mode of transportation, or have especially high needs in at least one mode. Of these identified segments, some may present better opportunities than others for near-term corridor improvement projects through EN TRIPS. This section further narrows candidate corridors by identifying segments that are either being studied elsewhere, have immediate needs that can be addressed outside of this study process or have major unknowns that make studying them further not practical. Mission Street - Third Street to Fifth Street. The middle segment of Mission Street has a very important overall circulation function, and important localized needs (particularly for pedestrians). It is a vital east-west transit corridor through the South of Market, as well as a busy pedestrian corridor with relatively long distances between crossings, multiple turn lanes at the intersection of Fourth Street, and high rates of pedestrian injury collisions between 2004 and 2008. Potential improvement projects could include investment in pedestrian facilities, as well as transit priority treatments. The Better Market Street plan will consider the function of Mission Street in the South of Market circulation system, and its relationship to Market Street. Because of this planned analysis, a near-term design project on Mission Street is not advisable for the EN TRIPS project despite the identified needs and opportunities. Folsom Street - Third Street to Eleventh Street. Two segments of Folsom Street have been identified as having high multimodal needs: Folsom between Second and Fifth, and between Fifth and Eleventh. Both segments have substandard pedestrian facilities, such as long distances between crossings and multiple turn lanes. Folsom also has relatively high pedestrian injury collision rates between 2004 and 2008. Forecast growth suggests that overall pedestrian volumes could be expected to rise along the full length of Folsom Street. The Folsom and Howard Street couplet form the major east-west bicycle corridor through the South of Market, and the forecast increase in vehicle volumes may challenge cyclists in this corridor. Folsom Street was also identified as a high-need corridor in the Eastern Neighborhoods Area Plans and the Western SOMA Community Plan. Folsom Street is a strong candidate for near term improvements, with potential for upgraded pedestrian facilities, improved bicycle facilities, traffic calming and/or a road diet, and potential vehicle circulation changes such as conversion to two-way operations. Townsend Street - Third Street to Fifth Street. Currently, Townsend Street has inadequate pedestrian infrastructure. The north side of the street does not have sidewalks, while the sidewalks on the south side of the street are very narrow and impeded by parked vehicles, especially the motorcycle parking area adjacent to the Caltrain station. While improvements to 3
  • 8. EASTERN NEIGHBORHOODS TRANSPORTATION IMPLEMENTATION PLANNING STUDY Corridor Screening Methodology and Recommendations Townsend Street are necessary, the corridor is receiving additional attention as part of projects related to the implementation of high-speed rail and the upgrades planned for the site of the current Caltrain station on the south side of Townsend west of Fourth. Any additional improvements to Townsend Street are contingent on final design of the high-speed rail station, which is not likely to be completed in the near term. Furthermore, improvements to Townsend could be made as part of station construction. For these reasons, a design project for Townsend Street may be premature as part of the EN TRIPS project. Second Street - Market Street to Bryant Street. While pedestrian conditions along Second Street are not as challenging as along some other SOMA streets, it is zoned commercial and suffered from a relatively high pedestrian injury collision rate of 35 per mile between 2004 and 2008. Second Street is also the primary bicycle route between the Financial District, Rincon Hill and South Beach. Bicycle lanes have been planned here, but deferred out of deference to community concerns. Second Street also has extremely high forecast growth. While high growth makes Second Street a high priority for investment, this corridor has numerous improvements planned as part of the Transbay Transit Center District plan, developed by the San Francisco Planning Department’s City Design group. Given the attention already invested, Second Street is probably not a strong candidate for further near-term investment through the EN TRIPS project. Third and Fourth Street - Market Street to Bryant Street. Third and Fourth Streets, which form a one-way couplet in the eastern South of Market area, have inadequate pedestrian facilities, high rates of growth, and important roles for three modes of transportation (transit, pedestrians, and vehicles). Both streets are important pedestrian pathways between Market Street and the Caltrain station at Fourth and King Streets, and both have high pedestrian injury collision rates. Pedestrian facilities are inadequate, with narrow sidewalks, long crossings, and restricted crossings at several intersections. Third and Fourth Streets also work together as a crucial transit corridor, with significant challenges. A major investment in transit service is already underway in this corridor, in the form of the Muni Central Subway under Fourth Street. However, even with this investment, the T-Third light rail service is forecast to be over-capacity by 2035. Currently, the speed and reliability of 30 and 45 are poor, and forecast traffic congestion at on Third and Fourth Streets could further degrade performance. Because of these challenges, both streets are strong candidates for near term improvement. Fourth Street will very likely be the subject of a street design effort by the San Francisco Planning Department in the near future, as part of a planned rezoning associated with the construction of the Central Subway. Fifth Street - Market Street to Brannan Street. Fifth Street is a two-way arterial that serves multiple roles in South of Market Street network. It is an important corridor for cyclists, connecting the Union Square area to Caltrain and Mission Bay. Bike lanes are planned on Fifth, but have not yet been built. Between 2004 and 2008, the bicycle collision rate here was 39 per mile, among the highest in the evaluation. Fifth Street also has high pedestrian needs, with long crossing distances, multiple turn lanes at Bryant, a restricted crosswalk at Harrison, and narrow sidewalks. Fifth Street north of Brannan is also an important transit street, with Muni’s route 27 planned to operate in this segment. Fifth Street is a strong candidate for near-term improvement through the EN TRIPS project, particularly if the project wishes to provide a design template for a two-way SOMA arterial. Sixth Street - Market Street to Brannan Street. Sixth Street is another two-way arterial with a high need for improvements. While it carries large volumes of fast-moving traffic, particularly traffic traveling between the Interstate 280 exit ramp and the north-of market street network, Sixth Street also has high residential density and serves large numbers of pedestrians. The greatest challenge on Sixth Street is a pedestrian injury collision rate between 2004 and 2008 of 97 per mile, by far the highest among any of the segments analyzed. Sixth Street also has one of the 4
  • 9. highest rates of bicycle collisions in the study area, despite not being a designated bicycle route. In addition to a high collision rate, Sixth Street suffers from long crossing distances, multiple turn lanes at two intersections, narrow sidewalks, high forecast traffic volume, and numerous intersections with alleys where mid-block crossings are not provided. Because of these factors, Sixth Street is a candidate for near-term. However, because the primary issue with Sixth Street is a single factor (a high rate of pedestrian injury collisions) that is not directly related to larger EN TRIPS system goals, such as addressing growth and connecting EN TRIPS neighborhoods, Sixth Street may be more suitable for a very short term focus by SFMTA on operational issues to address pedestrian collisions. Seventh and Eighth Streets - Market Street to Brannan Street. Seventh and Eighth Streets form a one-way couplet running north and south through the Western South of Market. The northern segment of both of these streets emerged as high priority in the corridor screening analysis, based primarily on high pedestrian and bicycle needs, and relatively high projected rates of growth. Seventh and Eighth have inadequate pedestrian facilities, including narrow sidewalks and restricted crossings, and high rates of pedestrian collisions comparable to other north-south SOMA arterials. Forecast traffic conditions would degrade conditions for cyclists in the bicycle lanes on Seventh and Eighth, which together make up a key north-south link for cyclists between Potrero Hill and the Civic Center area. The Western SOMA Community Plan proposed that Seventh and Eighth Streets be improved. Both Seventh and Eighth Streets north of the freeway are strong candidates for near-term improvement through the EN TRIPS project, particularly if the project wishes to provide a design template one-way SOMA arterials. 16th Street – Guerrero Street to Terry Francois Boulevard. Sixteenth Street is the only east- west arterial that extends all the way from the Mission District to the eastern waterfront. As such, it is a vital vehicle and transit connection for three of the Eastern Neighborhoods, and will become even more important as Mission Bay and the waterfront develop. From a transportation operations perspective, 16th Street is made up of four distinct segments: Guerrero to South Van Ness Avenue; South Van Ness Avenue to Potrero Avenue; Potrero Avenue to 7th Street; and 7th Street to Terry Francois Boulevard. Under the TEP, the 22 Fillmore will run the length of 16th Street, providing the only major east-west connection through the Mission, Showplace Square, and Potrero Hill. In 2035, demand for ridership on the 22-Fillmore is forecast to exceed capacity between Guerrero and Arkansas. Significant traffic delay is also projected, particularly at Potrero Avenue and Third Streets. Significant growth is forecast for the 16th Street corridor and the neighborhoods that it links together. Ensuring transit priority for the 16th Street corridor should be a priority for the EN TRIPS project. Third Street – South of King Street. Third Street in Mission Bay and the Central Waterfront received high scores in the transit category, because of very high projected demand for the T- Third service. In 2035 forecasts, it is projected that demand for the T-Third will far exceed vehicle capacity in this segment. Current pedestrian and bicycle collision rates are very low on Third Street, due to low densities and low volumes of trips. However, the segment north of 16th Street has very high projected growth, due to employment and population growth forecast for Mission Bay. Third Street is expected to see a very large increase in vehicle volumes and significant vehicle delays. However, a major investment has only recently been made in transit service in the corridor (the T-Third Street Muni Metro line), and this investment will be leveraged with completion of the Central Subway project in a few years. For this reason, it may not be practical for the EN TRIPS project to invest significant design effort in transit improvements along Third Street in the near term. Division Street. Division Street marks the boundary between the South of Market arterial network and the Mission District, and it runs mostly underneath the Central Freeway segment of 5
  • 10. EASTERN NEIGHBORHOODS TRANSPORTATION IMPLEMENTATION PLANNING STUDY Corridor Screening Methodology and Recommendations US 101. Division Street is an important east-west bicycle route, and bicycle lanes are planned. While high traffic volumes are not projected on Division, two intersections are projected to suffer from substantial vehicle delay in 2035: Bryant and Townsend/Eighth. Participants in the EN TRIPS community workshop noted that Division Street is poorly lit and feels unsafe for pedestrians and bicyclists. Previous City plans and studies have considered removing part of the overhead Central Freeway and rebuilding Division itself, possibly as a multiway boulevard. While this idea was studied and not implemented in the past, the elevated freeway will require expensive investment if it is to be maintained over the coming years. The SFCTA will consider the future of the Central Freeway as part of the upcoming Countywide Transportation Plan. As such, Division Street is not strong candidate for a near-term design project through the EN TRIPS project. Mission Street - Eleventh Street to 16th Street. The Mission District segment of Mission Street emerges as a high priority corridor from the screening analysis primarily because of high transit needs. As compared to South of Market arterials, existing pedestrian facilities on Mission are strong. Though not a designated bicycle corridor, Mission Street does carry a substantial volume of bicycle traffic, and the high number of bicycle collisions reflects this function. Demand for travel on Muni’s 49 Mission-Van Ness is forecast to far exceed available capacity by 2035. EN TRIPS community meeting participants noted the need for additional express bus service on Mission Street. Because of high transit demand and high volumes of traffic forecast, Mission Street is a strong candidate for transit priority treatments. However, the SFMTA’s Transit Effectiveness Project has taken responsibility for designing and implementing transit priority treatments for this segment of Mission Street. Step 6. Assess capacity constraints and opportunities in the vehicle circulation network. Building on Steps 1 – 5, in Step 6 we assessed the vehicle circulation network in the South of Market. This assessment identified street segments with potential “excess vehicular capacity,” based on a comparison of 2035 forecast vehicle volumes and roadway capacity. The analysis considers the relationship between volume (the peak hour vehicle demand in a particular direction), and capacity (the number of vehicles that can be accommodated by a particular approach or roadway based on a number of factors). Roadway capacity depends upon the number of travel lanes, signal timing, tow-away lanes, and others. This relationship is expressed as volume over capacity, or ‘V/C’. A V/C of less than 1.0 represents an approach that is below capacity, a V/C of 1.0 represents “at-capacity” operations, and a V/C greater than 1.0 represents “breakdown”, i.e. stop-and-go operations. The study team calculated V/C ratios for the forecast year (2035) for the majority of intersection approaches in the study area bounded by 3rd Street, Mission Street, 10th Street, and Bryant Street. The team also performed ‘screenline’ analysis to determine where excess vehicle capacity may exist in the SOMA vehicle network as a whole in 2035. A screenline is a predetermined boundary that can be used to group several segments together for the purposes of determining aggregate volume/capacity for several streets at once. 6
  • 11. The analysis found that all of the study roadways in the vicinity of Third and Fourth Streets are forecast to be either at or above capacity during the PM peak in 2035. Howard Street, Folsom Street, and Bryant Street appear to have excess capacity west of Fifth Street. Additionally, intersections that included freeway on- or off-ramps generally appear to have higher v/c ratios than other intersections in the study area. For the north-south SOMA arterials, the western SOMA street network appears to have some available capacity in the northbound direction at Harrison Street and at the Mission Street screenline. In the southbound travel direction, the western SOMA street network is forecast to be above capacity at Mission Street, but just under capacity at Harrison Street. In the eastern SOMA area, the network is well above capacity in the southbound direction, but has capacity available in the northbound direction. This pattern reflects PM peak period commute travel, with drivers traveling towards the freeway. For the east-west SOMA arterials, the network appears to have available capacity in both directions for screenlines in the western SOMA area. At the Third Street screenline, however, vehicle volumes are forecast to be well above capacity in the westbound direction. These findings suggest that changes could be made to streets in several parts of the SOMA street network without major disruption to vehicle circulation. It is important to note that while forecasts of traffic conditions are one important factor in choosing transportation system investments, a forecast that vehicle volumes may exceed available capacity in a particular segment does not necessarily exclude that segment from consideration for a corridor improvement project. Recommendations The next step for EN TRIPS will be to work with community stakeholders to design three near- term corridor improvement projects. The project will also investigate ways to mitigate recurring transportation challenges in the study area through existing SFMTA projects and programs. This section discusses recommendations for next steps for each of these areas of work. Near-term corridor improvement projects. The consultant team recommends the following corridor segments for near-term design projects through the EN TRIPS projects:  Folsom Street between Fifth and Eleventh Streets. Working together in a one-way couplet with Howard Street, Folsom Street travels through the center of the western and eastern South of Market neighborhoods, connecting them to the Transbay District and downtown. Folsom Street is also projected to see substantial growth in residential and employment density as a result of recently completed land use planning efforts. Pedestrian facility deficiencies on Folsom include narrow sidewalks, long crossing distances, and long distances between crossings. Along with Howard Street, Folsom is a vital east-west link in the South of Market bicycle network in a part of the city that is expected to see substantial growth in vehicle traffic. As an important street for bicycles, Folsom is projected to have relatively high vehicle traffic volumes. It has also suffered in the past from relatively high rates of bicycle collisions. Finally, Folsom Street was identified as a high-need corridor in the Eastern Neighborhoods area plans, and improving Folsom was specified as a priority project by the San Francisco Board of Supervisors. The Western SOMA Community plan identifies Folsom as a center of that community and key pedestrian and transit travel corridor, focusing on the western segment of Folsom between Fourth and Eleventh Streets. Through design work on Folsom Street, the EN TRIPS project will also produce principals and operating concepts that the SFMTA will apply in future projects to improve other SOMA east-west arterials. 7
  • 12. EASTERN NEIGHBORHOODS TRANSPORTATION IMPLEMENTATION PLANNING STUDY Corridor Screening Methodology and Recommendations  Sixteenth Street between Potrero Avenue and Seventh Street. Because the 22 Fillmore service planned for 16th Street will be a vital transit link between several growing neighborhoods in the EN TRIPS study area, 16th Street will require transit priority treatments on all four of its major segments. As an important first step towards these improvements, 16th Street between Potrero Avenue and Seventh Streets is recommended for a near-term corridor segment improvement project. This segment has been prioritized above other segments of 16th because of expected residential growth, forecast vehicle congestion, transit capacity constraints, and community priority as expressed through the EN TRIPS community workshop. While land use densities in this section are currently low, due to rezoning as part of the Eastern Neighborhoods land use plan, as many as 3,000 new housing units could be built along this segment of 16th by 2035, leading to a substantial growth in residential density, as well as increasing vehicle and pedestrian travel demand. Through design work on this segment, the EN TRIPS project will also produce principles and operating concepts that the SFMTA will apply in future projects to develop transit priority treatments for the remaining segments of 16th Street.  Seventh and Eighth Streets - Market Street to Brannan Street. Seventh and Eighth Streets from Market to Brannan, which work together to form a one-way couplet through the western South of Market area, are recommended for near-term improvement. Because the dimensions for these two streets are so similar, EN TRIPS project resources will allow the project team to design improvements to both streets as part of a single design effort. Seventh Street travels north and south between its intersection with 16th Street through the South of Market and across Market Street, where it connects to the north of Market street grid. With this alignment, Seventh Street has unique role as a connecting street between several of the Eastern Neighborhoods for drivers, pedestrians, and cyclists. Seventh and Eighth also cut through the portion of the western South of Market where substantial new development is forecast as the result of recent zoning changes. Seventh and Eighth have narrow sidewalks and high rates of pedestrian collisions. Forecast traffic conditions would degrade conditions for cyclists in the bicycle lanes on Seventh and Eighth Streets, which together make up a key north-south link for cyclists between Potrero Hill and the Civic Center area. Finally, the Western SOMA Community Plan proposed that Seventh and Eighth Streets be improved, and the project could help to support ongoing revitalization efforts for the mid-Market area. Through design work on these segments, the EN TRIPS project will also produce principals and operating concepts that the SFMTA will apply in future projects to improve other SOMA north-south arterials. Recurring Transportation Challenges. In addition to three near-term corridor improvement projects recommended above, the study team will collaborate with SFMTA to prepare recommendations for solutions to transportation challenges that recur throughout the study area. These challenges, which were catalogued through the EN TRIPS existing conditions work, will be organized by challenge type, mapped, and evaluated to provide guidance on how they can be addressed through on-going SFMTA transportation improvement programs. This guidance will be illustrated and included in the EN TRIPS Final Report. Many of these types of challenges will be addressed through existing programs at SFMTA – for these challenges, EN TRIPS work will designate departments at SFMTA and other city agencies that will be responsible for addressing these issues in the Eastern Neighborhoods, and will recommend next steps. Potential implementing parties may include SFMTA service planning and TEP implementation staff, SFMTA traffic calming programs, and others. 8
  • 13. Next Steps. Next steps for the EN TRIPS project will be as follows: 1. Select final project corridors. (May 2011) 2. Develop design and circulation concepts. (June 2011) 3. Model circulation impacts. (August 2011) 4. Refine design concepts. (September 2011) 5. Assess recurring transportation challenges. (October 2011) 6. Create Funding and Implementation Strategy. (November 2011) 7. Prepare EN TRIPS Report. (December 2011) 9
  • 14. Introduction The Eastern Neighborhoods Transportation Implementation Planning Study (EN TRIPS) is identifying and developing transportation infrastructure improvements to serve the needs of San Francisco’s Eastern Neighborhoods, as envisioned by the Eastern Neighborhoods Area Plans. The study area of EN TRIPS includes not only the Eastern Neighborhoods themselves (the Mission District, Eastern South of Market, Potrero Hill/Showplace Square, and the Central Waterfront), but also surrounding planning districts (Mission Bay, the Transbay District, and Western South of Market) that share key transportation corridors with the Eastern Neighborhoods. The first work product for the EN TRIPS study, the Existing Conditions report, assembled data on current travel patterns and known transportation system deficiencies in the study area. The second work product, the Future Conditions report, examined projections of land use change, travel patterns, and transportation system capacity for a 2035 horizon year, including the growth in the area anticipated by the Eastern Neighborhoods Area Plans. There were a number of consistent themes in different parts of the study area:  As the result of land use regulation changes and overall regional growth, very large increases in population, employment, and total travel demand are projected for the Eastern Neighborhoods study area by 2035. The South of Market area will see the majority of population growth, but several areas of growth are projected in the rest of the study area, including Mission Bay, the Central Waterfront, and Showplace Square.  Both the physical constraints of the study area and the City’s Transit First Policy preclude major expansions of roadway capacity as a strategy for dealing with projected vehicle volumes and congestion.  As a result of the projected growth, there will be competing demands for space on South of Market streets. Areas with lower projected growth may also require pedestrian and public realm improvements.  In addition to strategies for managing or reducing vehicle congestion, maintaining and improving quality of life in the parts of the Eastern Neighborhoods that are poised for substantial growth will require the city to maintain and expand alternatives to travel by private vehicle. Investments could include: transit priority street treatments; new bicycle facilities; and further development of safe and comfortable pedestrian spaces. To ensure that EN TRIPS resources are focused on places that would benefit most, the current phase of the study has screened and prioritized transportation needs in the large study area by street segment. Using this data and input from the public, the study team has chosen a small number of transportation street segments to recommend for near-term improvement projects. The aim of these projects is that they will not only address a specific transportation issue, but will also work to develop a solution for problems that occur widely throughout the study area. In addition, the project will investigate ways to mitigate recurring transportation challenges in the study area through existing SFMTA projects and programs. This report explains the method that the EN TRIPS team used to rank and prioritize street segments, and recommends projects that should be carried through for design and implementation. These recommendations will be reviewed by the Eastern Neighborhoods Citizens Advisory Committee before the SFMTA makes a final determination of priority corridor segments for improvement. The method is summarized below. 10
  • 15. Methodology To determine which street segments in the study area should be the focus of near-term corridor improvement projects, each eligible major transportation corridor in the study area was screened based on the following procedure: 1. Divide the major transportation corridors in the study area segments with consistent function and character. 2. Assess which corridor segments fall in high growth areas. 3. Score each segment based on need for bicycle, pedestrian, and transit improvements. 4. Assess outliers that may represent special challenges and opportunities. 5. Of the ‘high growth,’ ‘high need’, and ‘outlier’ corridor segments, identify opportunities for a near-term corridor improvement projects. 6. Assess capacity constraints and opportunities in the vehicle circulation network. These steps are outlined in more detail below. Step 1. Divide the major transportation corridors in the study area into functional segments. The study considered for near-term corridor improvement projects only those streets that are part of one of the city’s modal transportation networks as designated through existing City policy. These networks are as follows, and are illustrated in Figure 1:  Vehicular Network (San Francisco General Plan)  Truck Routes (SFMTA recommended Truck Routes)  Bicycle Network (San Francisco Bicycle Plan)  Transit Priority Streets (SFMTA Transit Effectiveness Project) For the initial assessment of corridor needs by mode, the streets that belong to one or more of these networks were then divided into segments that have a cohesive character and function. To divide segments, the study team considered:  Modal priorities: for example, some segments of a particular street have transit service, while others do not.  Directionality: where street segments change directionality (for example, shift from one- way to two-way operations), the character of the street changes.  Consistency: We have tried to break street segments for adjacent and parallel streets at roughly the same point in order to maintain consistency across segments. The outcome of this balance of priorities is as follows: In the South of Market area, most of the east-west streets (Mission through Brannan) have been divided into three parts: a Transbay/Financial District segment from the Embarcadero to either Second or Third street, where the streets have mostly two-way operations; a short mid-Market segment where the streets shift to one-way operations (roughly between Third and Fifth streets); and a longer Western South of Market segment, stretching roughly from Fifth Street to Division Street. King Street, which is much shorter, has been assessed as a single segment. Outside of the South of Market area, most of the North-South streets are divided at 16th Street. Most of the east-west streets have been divided at Potrero Avenue. In Potrero Hill, the analysis considers the full length of any 11
  • 16. EASTERN NEIGHBORHOODS TRANSPORTATION IMPLEMENTATION PLANNING STUDY Corridor Screening Methodology and Recommendations street that has transit service. Based on these designations, the major circulation corridor segments used in the initial needs analysis are listed in Figures 2 and 3. Once the initial needs and growth analyses were completed (Steps 2 and 3), the extents of several corridors segments were further refined in Steps 4 and 5 to respond to specific needs and opportunities. The refined project extents, along with the reasons for refinement, are discussed in more detail in the descriptions of Steps 4 and 5 below. 12