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critical materials
key issues
resource efficiency
opportunities
UK and EU actions
cycled project
issues for Wales?
Major manufacturing companies consider
  minerals and metals scarcity as an important
  issue for their business, but do not see
  sufficient awareness of this topic among all
  their stakeholders

  The Ticking Time Bomb, PwC, November 2011




Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
over 80% of CEOs of manufacturing
  companies said raw material shortgaes was a
  risk to their business in 2012



  EEF membership survey, December 2011




Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
A recent Eurobarometer survey of European
  entrepreneurs found that 75% have seen
  material costs in their business increase...
  87% said they expect prices to continue rising


  CBI ‘Made to Last’, December 2011




Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
EU critical metals




Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
UK resource secturity action plan




Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
relation between world production and demand for future technologies




Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
what causes supply risk?


                geostrategic risks                                          geological availability
                access to markets                                           life time of resources,
                concentration of                                            exploration activities
                production, social and
                environmental limits



        market power                                                                  technical availability

        high concentration of                                                         supply/demand capacity
        production in a few                                                           in mining, processing,
        countries or companies                                                        metallurgy and transport,
                                                                                      production costs




                speed of R&D                                                dependence on imports

                recycling, substitution,                                    importance of the mineral
                material efficiency, domestic                               value chain
                mineral production


Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
key issues


Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
Key issue 1
 Many critical metals are traded in relatively small
 quantities, compared to steel, copper etc. and the
 supply is concentrated in a few countries.

 These countries have the ability to control supply for
 speculative, political or geo-strategic reasons

 Mining and extraction is a slow and inelastic system. It
 can take 15 years or more to get a mine into production


Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
source: EU

Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
source: USGS

Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
Key issue 2
 Material criticality affects a number of materials
 simultaneously thus causing complexity for the supply
 and demand side.

 For example, supply shortages for several critical
 metals may occur at the same time.




Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
Key issue 3
 Currently recycling rates are minimal due to diffusion,
 product design and business models




Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
recycling rate for 60 metals




Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
recycling rate for 60 metals




Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
recycling rate for 60 metals




Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
Key issue 5
 The social and environmental limits. Many people
 demand iPhones and iPads but would not like a mine in
 their neighbourhood.

 & conflict metals

 & declining grades of ore requiring more energy to
 extract




Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
according to UNEP

Since 1990, at least 18 violent conflicts have been
fuelled by the exploitation of natural resources.

40% of all intrastate conflicts since 1960 have a link
to natural resources

Intrastate conflicts linked to natural resources are
twice as likely to relapse to conflict in five years.

Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
Key issue 6
 On the demand side (manufacturing, retail) there is
 complexity regarding substitution or maintaining
 performance while using resources efficiently.




Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
45% of all electrical energy goes to motors
  –7000 TWh/year
  –6040 Mt CO2/year

  •>99% of all electrical energy from electrical generators

  •40M electric motors produced in EU / US every year

  •12M Electric Vehicles per year by 2030 requiring large,
  volume produced electric motors (Credit Suisse)


Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
opportunities


Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
value of gold in EEE we buy each year in UK is
estaimated at £350 million

by 2020 the UK will dispose of 12 million tonnes of
WEEE = £1 billion of palladium and £380 indium

1/4 of WEEE sent to recycling could be repaired and
resold = £200 million p/a




Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
Recycling has an energy efficiency 2x to 10x times better than primary extraction

  Metals thrown away, and not recycled, represent each year in Europe more than 7
  billions euros lost, in metals value terms.
Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
recovery rates depend on
 material composition              accessibility /             quality of mechanical   quality of metallurgy
 type of connections               removal of key parts        seperation
                                   (catalysts, batteries, PCB)




Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
dissipation


                                                                                  residue

                                                                 use



         residue



               product            new scrap
                                                                                                    end of life
              manufacture



                                                                                       recycling               residue
                                                             industrial
                                                              materials

                                             residue             raw materials
                                                                                                    historic waste
                                                                                ores               (tailing, landfill)
                                                                            concentrates


Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
dissipation


                                                                                  residue

        ecodesign
                                                                  use
        design for disassembly
        dematerialisation                                                                     recyclability

         residue



                product            new scrap         close loop                                     end of life
               manufacture



                                                                                       recycling               residue
                                                              industrial
                     substitution
                       substitution
                                                               materials

                                              residue             raw materials
                                                                                                    historic waste
                                                                                ores               (tailing, landfill)
                                                                            concentrates


Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
actions


Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
• Small Business Research Initiative (SBRI) on feasibility of new approaches
 to gain value from domestic and commercial waste streams (i.e. through
 re-use and recovery) (Lead: Defra with the TSB)
 • improving data capture of WEEE (Lead: BIS)
 • critical resources dashboard (ES KTN, BGS etc.)
 • development of a materials flow analysis for WEEE ‘hot spots’ (Lead: WRAP)
 • recycling demonstration trials (Lead: WRAP)
 • industry-led consortium to further develop links between government,
 business and other organisations (Lead: Green Alliance)

 New designs for a circular economy (tbc) TSB with RSA & Ellen MacArthur
 Foundation




Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012

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Edc critical materials briefing june2012 low res

  • 2. key issues resource efficiency opportunities UK and EU actions cycled project issues for Wales?
  • 3. Major manufacturing companies consider minerals and metals scarcity as an important issue for their business, but do not see sufficient awareness of this topic among all their stakeholders The Ticking Time Bomb, PwC, November 2011 Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
  • 4. over 80% of CEOs of manufacturing companies said raw material shortgaes was a risk to their business in 2012 EEF membership survey, December 2011 Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
  • 5. A recent Eurobarometer survey of European entrepreneurs found that 75% have seen material costs in their business increase... 87% said they expect prices to continue rising CBI ‘Made to Last’, December 2011 Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
  • 6. EU critical metals Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
  • 7. UK resource secturity action plan Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
  • 8. relation between world production and demand for future technologies Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
  • 9. what causes supply risk? geostrategic risks geological availability access to markets life time of resources, concentration of exploration activities production, social and environmental limits market power technical availability high concentration of supply/demand capacity production in a few in mining, processing, countries or companies metallurgy and transport, production costs speed of R&D dependence on imports recycling, substitution, importance of the mineral material efficiency, domestic value chain mineral production Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
  • 10. Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
  • 11. key issues Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
  • 12. Key issue 1 Many critical metals are traded in relatively small quantities, compared to steel, copper etc. and the supply is concentrated in a few countries. These countries have the ability to control supply for speculative, political or geo-strategic reasons Mining and extraction is a slow and inelastic system. It can take 15 years or more to get a mine into production Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
  • 13. source: EU Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
  • 14. source: USGS Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
  • 15. Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
  • 16. Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
  • 17. Key issue 2 Material criticality affects a number of materials simultaneously thus causing complexity for the supply and demand side. For example, supply shortages for several critical metals may occur at the same time. Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
  • 18. Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
  • 19. Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
  • 20. Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
  • 21. Key issue 3 Currently recycling rates are minimal due to diffusion, product design and business models Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
  • 22. recycling rate for 60 metals Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
  • 23. recycling rate for 60 metals Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
  • 24. Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
  • 25. recycling rate for 60 metals Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
  • 26. Key issue 5 The social and environmental limits. Many people demand iPhones and iPads but would not like a mine in their neighbourhood. & conflict metals & declining grades of ore requiring more energy to extract Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
  • 27. Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
  • 28. according to UNEP Since 1990, at least 18 violent conflicts have been fuelled by the exploitation of natural resources. 40% of all intrastate conflicts since 1960 have a link to natural resources Intrastate conflicts linked to natural resources are twice as likely to relapse to conflict in five years. Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
  • 29. Key issue 6 On the demand side (manufacturing, retail) there is complexity regarding substitution or maintaining performance while using resources efficiently. Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
  • 30. 45% of all electrical energy goes to motors –7000 TWh/year –6040 Mt CO2/year •>99% of all electrical energy from electrical generators •40M electric motors produced in EU / US every year •12M Electric Vehicles per year by 2030 requiring large, volume produced electric motors (Credit Suisse) Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
  • 31. Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
  • 32. Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
  • 33. opportunities Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
  • 34. Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
  • 35. Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
  • 36. value of gold in EEE we buy each year in UK is estaimated at £350 million by 2020 the UK will dispose of 12 million tonnes of WEEE = £1 billion of palladium and £380 indium 1/4 of WEEE sent to recycling could be repaired and resold = £200 million p/a Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
  • 37. Recycling has an energy efficiency 2x to 10x times better than primary extraction Metals thrown away, and not recycled, represent each year in Europe more than 7 billions euros lost, in metals value terms. Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
  • 38. recovery rates depend on material composition accessibility / quality of mechanical quality of metallurgy type of connections removal of key parts seperation (catalysts, batteries, PCB) Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
  • 39. dissipation residue use residue product new scrap end of life manufacture recycling residue industrial materials residue raw materials historic waste ores (tailing, landfill) concentrates Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
  • 40. dissipation residue ecodesign use design for disassembly dematerialisation recyclability residue product new scrap close loop end of life manufacture recycling residue industrial substitution substitution materials residue raw materials historic waste ores (tailing, landfill) concentrates Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
  • 41. actions Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
  • 42. • Small Business Research Initiative (SBRI) on feasibility of new approaches to gain value from domestic and commercial waste streams (i.e. through re-use and recovery) (Lead: Defra with the TSB) • improving data capture of WEEE (Lead: BIS) • critical resources dashboard (ES KTN, BGS etc.) • development of a materials flow analysis for WEEE ‘hot spots’ (Lead: WRAP) • recycling demonstration trials (Lead: WRAP) • industry-led consortium to further develop links between government, business and other organisations (Lead: Green Alliance) New designs for a circular economy (tbc) TSB with RSA & Ellen MacArthur Foundation Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
  • 43. Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012