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The State of Working America, 12th
              Edition

Lawrence Mishel, Josh Bivens, Elise Gould, Heidi
                  Shierholz
               Economic Policy Institute
                Cornell University Press
                   September 2012
Main findings we’ll discuss
• A Lost Decade of income growth for low and
  middle-income Americans has already happened
• Another Lost Decade is in the pipeline, unless
  policy changes to combat high unemployment
  much more aggressively
• Rising inequality has been the primary barrier to
  income growth for the last generation of low and
  middle-income families/households
• The fingerprints of intentional policy decisions
  are all over this upward redistribution
                       www.epi.org                    2
America’s broad middle class has
already suffered a ‘Lost Decade’
www.epi.org   4
www.epi.org   5
…and faces the threat of another
         ‘Lost Decade’
www.epi.org   7
www.epi.org   8
Rising inequality blocked wage and
income growth for most of the last
    generation of Americans….

   First we’ll show the trends…
www.epi.org   10
www.epi.org   11
www.epi.org   12
Now the consequences of rising
         inequality…
www.epi.org   15
www.epi.org   16
www.epi.org   17
www.epi.org   18
www.epi.org   19
The fingerprints of intentional policy
decisions are all over this increased
  inequality of wages and incomes
www.epi.org   21
Illustrating policy’s impact by examining
                three “wage-gaps”
•   Top 1% wages vs. everybody else, grew continuously 1979-2011 except during
    stock declines
•   CEO/executive compensation
•   Expanded and increasingly highly-paid finance

•   Middle/bottom (50/10 wage gap), only grew in 1980s
•   Minimum wage
•   Unemployment

•   Top vs. middle (95/50 wage gap), grew continuously 1979-2011
•   Unemployment
•   Globalization
•   Deunionization
•   Industry deregulation (trucking, airline, etc.)/privatization
•   Eroded labor standards/norms more generally
•   Not: health care costs; Skills/education deficit


                                     www.epi.org                                 22
Explaining top wages



        www.epi.org    23
www.epi.org   24
www.epi.org   25
www.epi.org   26
Explaining
middle/bottom
 wage gap

     www.epi.org   27
Explains 57% of the overall increase in the “50/10 wage gap” between 1979 and 2011,
66% of the female 50/10 wage gap.
                                       www.epi.org                                    28
www.epi.org   29
Explaining
top/middle
 wage gap

    www.epi.org   30
Trade with less developed nations explains a third of the overall rise in the college
premium between 1979 and 2011 – but explains 90% of the increase post-1995.
                                        www.epi.org                                     31
Explains a third of the increase in male wage inequality, and 20% of the increase in
women’s wage inequality*.
*Wage inequality as measured by the log variance of the wage distribution.
                                                 www.epi.org                           32
What else is in State of Working
                      America?
• Evidence on how there is no “skills-gap” and why
  inequality is not about lagging education
• Evidence on deep poverty reaching its highest rate in
  recorded history in 2010
• Evidence that the US today is not a mobile society –
  relative to its own history or its international peers
• Evidence that there has been no “democratization” of
  the stock market
• Evidence on that Social Security and Medicare have
  contributed more to middle-income growth than
  wages and salaries over the past generation
March 9, 2009             www.epi.org                      33
Favorites section
–
www.epi.org   36
March 9, 2009   www.epi.org   37

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The State of Working America, 12th Edition

  • 1. The State of Working America, 12th Edition Lawrence Mishel, Josh Bivens, Elise Gould, Heidi Shierholz Economic Policy Institute Cornell University Press September 2012
  • 2. Main findings we’ll discuss • A Lost Decade of income growth for low and middle-income Americans has already happened • Another Lost Decade is in the pipeline, unless policy changes to combat high unemployment much more aggressively • Rising inequality has been the primary barrier to income growth for the last generation of low and middle-income families/households • The fingerprints of intentional policy decisions are all over this upward redistribution www.epi.org 2
  • 3. America’s broad middle class has already suffered a ‘Lost Decade’
  • 6. …and faces the threat of another ‘Lost Decade’
  • 9. Rising inequality blocked wage and income growth for most of the last generation of Americans…. First we’ll show the trends…
  • 13.
  • 14. Now the consequences of rising inequality…
  • 20. The fingerprints of intentional policy decisions are all over this increased inequality of wages and incomes
  • 22. Illustrating policy’s impact by examining three “wage-gaps” • Top 1% wages vs. everybody else, grew continuously 1979-2011 except during stock declines • CEO/executive compensation • Expanded and increasingly highly-paid finance • Middle/bottom (50/10 wage gap), only grew in 1980s • Minimum wage • Unemployment • Top vs. middle (95/50 wage gap), grew continuously 1979-2011 • Unemployment • Globalization • Deunionization • Industry deregulation (trucking, airline, etc.)/privatization • Eroded labor standards/norms more generally • Not: health care costs; Skills/education deficit www.epi.org 22
  • 23. Explaining top wages www.epi.org 23
  • 28. Explains 57% of the overall increase in the “50/10 wage gap” between 1979 and 2011, 66% of the female 50/10 wage gap. www.epi.org 28
  • 31. Trade with less developed nations explains a third of the overall rise in the college premium between 1979 and 2011 – but explains 90% of the increase post-1995. www.epi.org 31
  • 32. Explains a third of the increase in male wage inequality, and 20% of the increase in women’s wage inequality*. *Wage inequality as measured by the log variance of the wage distribution. www.epi.org 32
  • 33. What else is in State of Working America? • Evidence on how there is no “skills-gap” and why inequality is not about lagging education • Evidence on deep poverty reaching its highest rate in recorded history in 2010 • Evidence that the US today is not a mobile society – relative to its own history or its international peers • Evidence that there has been no “democratization” of the stock market • Evidence on that Social Security and Medicare have contributed more to middle-income growth than wages and salaries over the past generation March 9, 2009 www.epi.org 33
  • 35.
  • 37. March 9, 2009 www.epi.org 37