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1. DAILY IFOREX REPORT
09th
SEP 2013

2. GBP/USD 1.5578
GBP/EUR 1.1819
EUR/USD 1.3173
GBPAUD 1.7348
GBP/CAD 1.6413
GBP/CHF 1.4580
GBP/CZK 30.365
GBP/DKK 8.814
GBP/HKD 12.076
GBP/INR 104.98
GBP/JPY 155.09
GBP/NOK 9.461
GBP/NZD 1.9920
GBP/PLN 5.0356
GBP/SEK 10.283
GBP/SGD 1.9852
GBP/THB 49.94
GBP/TRY 3.175
GBP/ZAR 16.009
GBP/CNY 9.603
Foreign Exchange Daily Market Update
As expected yesterday the Bank of England and the ECB both kept their base
interest rates at the current level of 0.5%. There was also better than
expected news from the US where the weekly jobless claims were released;
the figure fell by more than expected, from 332K to 323K.
Today will be a very important day for data release in the US as the change in
non farm payrolls will be out. The change of the amount of people in
employment for the month of August is expected to rise from 162K to 180K
which could have a bearish effect on the GBPUSD rate. From the UK later we
have the release of the NIESR GDP estimate which is a highly respected figure,
one that can influence monetary policy.
Forex Forecast: Volatility Threatens Market
Stability Ahead of Fed Taper
US Dollar Risks Breakdown Before the Fed’s Taper Decision
Trading conditions are growing dangerous – not because a particular currency
or asset classes is threatening an unfavorable turn; but rather because there
are alluring technical setups that are likely to fall apart almost immediately
after they trigger. That is particularly true for many of the dollar-based
pairings.
Euro Forecast - Huge Event Risk Didn’t Break Euro so What Will?
A sharply disappointing US Nonfarm Payrolls report was supposed to be
enough to send the US Dollar to fresh lows versus the Euro, but the EURUSD
finished the week almost exactly where it began. What gives?
British Pound Forecast - GBPUSD Preserves Bullish Trend on BoE Policy with
Key Resistance Ahead
The British Pound tracked higher during the first full week of September, with
the GBPUSD climbing to a high of 1.5680, but the bullish trend may be coming
to an end as the pair comes up against key
TRADING TIPS
 BUY EURUSD ABOVE 1.3190 TGT
1.3210/1.3230 SL 1.3160
 SELL USDJPY BELOW 98.80 TGT
98.60/98.30 SL 99.10
 BUY GBPUSD ABOVE 1.5600 TGT
1.5620/1.5650 SL 1.5570
HEADLINES

3.  HOURLY EURUSD CHARTHOURLY EURUSD CHART
ANALYSIS
EURUSD LOOKS UPWARD
TREND: BULLISH
STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS
MACD =>.0003(BULLISH SIGNAL)
RSI => 60(BULLISH SIGNAL)

4. HOURLY USDJPY CHART
ANALYSIS
USDJPY LOOKS DOWNWARD
TREND: BEARISH
STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE
MACD =>.10(BEARISH SIGNAL)
RSI =>37(BEARISH SIGNAL)

5. HOURLY GBPUSD CHART
ANALYSIS
GBPUSD LOOKS UPWARD
TREND: BULLISH
STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS
MACD =>.0004(BULLISH SIGNAL)
RSI =>54(BULLISH SIGNAL)

6. HOURLY EURGBP CHART
ANALYSIS
EURGBP LOOKS UPWARD
TREND: BULLISH
STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS
MACD =>.0004(BULLISH SIGNAL)
RSI =>52(BULLISH SIGNAL)

7. HOURLY USD INDEX CHART
ANALYSIS
USD INDEX LOOKS DOWNWARD
TREND: BEARISH
STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE
MACD =>.0001(BEARISH SIGNAL)
RSI =>34(BEARISH SIGNAL)

8. Date Time Currency Event Importance Actual Forecast Previous Notes
Sun
Sep 1
01:00
CNY Manufacturing
PMI
Medium 51.0 50.6 50.3
22:45
NZD Terms of Trade
Index (QoQ) (2Q)
Medium 4.9% 3.8% 4.2%
23:01
GBP Hometrack
Housing Survey (MoM)
(AUG)
Low 0.4% 0.3%
23:01
GBP Hometrack
Housing Survey (YoY)
(AUG)
Low 1.8% 1.3%
23:30
AUD AiG Performance
of Manufacturing Index
(AUG)
Medium 46.4 42.0
23:50
JPY Capital Spending
(2Q)
Medium 0.0% -2.1% -3.9%
23:50
JPY Capital Spending
excl Software (2Q)
Medium 1.4% -3.8% -5.2%
23:50
JPY Company Profits
(2Q)
Low 24.0% 6.0%
23:50
JPY Company Sales
(2Q)
Low -0.5% -5.8%
Mon
Sep 2
00:00
AUD RPData/Rismark
House Px (AUG)
Low 0.5% 1.6%
00:30
AUD TD Securities
Inflation (MoM) (AUG)
Low 0.1% 0.5%
00:30
AUD TD Securities
Inflation (YoY) (AUG)
Low 2.1% 2.7%
01:30
AUD Building Approvals
(MoM) (JUL)
Low 10.8% 4.0% -6.3%
01:30
AUD Building Approvals
(YoY) (JUL)
Low 28.3% 20.0% -11.8%
01:30
AUD Company
Operating Profit (QoQ)
(2Q)
Low -0.8% 0.9% 3.5%
01:30 AUD Inventories (2Q) Low 0.2% 0.1% -0.5%
01:45
CNY HSBC/Markit
Manufacturing PMI
(AUG)
Medium 50.1 50.2 47.7
05:00
JPY Vehicle Sales
(YoY) (AUG)
Low -6.4% -13.5%
06:30
AUD RBA Commodity
Index (AUG)
Low 94.3 91.8
06:30
AUD RBA Commodity
Index SDR (YoY)
(AUG)
Low -7.3% 9.7%
07:30
CHF PMI
Manufacturing (AUG)
Low 54.6 56.0 57.4
07:45
EUR Italian Purchasing
Manager Index
Manufacturing (AUG)
Low 51.3 50.8 50.4
ECONOMIC CALLENDER

9. 07:50
EUR French
Purchasing Manager
Index Manufacturing
(AUG F)
Low 49.7 49.7 49.7
07:55
EUR German
Purchasing Manager
Index Manufacturing
(AUG F)
Medium 51.8 52.0 52.0
08:00
EUR Euro-Zone
Purchasing Manager
Index Manufacturing
(AUG F)
Medium 51.4 51.3 51.3
08:30
GBP BoE Publishes
Data on Funding for
Lending
Medium
08:30
GBP Purchasing
Manager Index
Manufacturing (AUG)
Medium 57.2 55.0 54.8
09:00
EUR Schaeuble Briefs
on Greek Aid Package
3
Medium
11:20
EUR ECB's Coeure
Speaks in Berlin on
OMT Proram
Low
11:30
GBP BoE Governor
Mark Carney Press
Briefing Before G20
Summit
Medium
23:01
GBP BRC Sales Like-
For-Like (YoY) (AUG)
Low 2.4% 2.2%
23:50
JPY Monetary Base
(YoY) (AUG)
Medium 38%
23:50
JPY Monetary Base
End of period (AUG)
Low ¥173.3T
Tue
Sep 3
GBP Halifax House
Price (3MoY) (AUG)
Low 5.6% 4.6%
GBP Halifax Plc House
Prices s.a. (MoM)
(AUG)
Low 0.8% 0.9%
01:00
CNY Non-
manufacturing PMI
(AUG)
Medium 54.1
01:00
NZD ANZ Commodity
Price (AUG)
Low 0.6%
01:30
AUD Current Account
Balance (Australian
Dollar) (2Q)
Medium -8.5B -8.5B
01:30
AUD Retail Sales s.a.
(MoM) (JUL)
Medium 0.4% 0.0%
01:30
AUD Net Exports of
GDP (2Q)
Low 0.1 1
01:30
JPY Labor Cash
Earnings (YoY) (JUL)
Low 0.6%
04:30
LIVE
AUD Reserve Bank of
Australia Rate Decision
(SEP 3)
High 2.5% 2.5%
05:45
CHF Gross Domestic
Product (YoY) (2Q)
High 1.7% 1.2%
05:45
CHF Gross Domestic
Product (QoQ) (2Q)
Medium 0.3% 0.6%
08:30
GBP Purchasing
Manager Index
Construction (AUG)
Medium 56.9 57.0

10. 09:00
EUR Euro-Zone
Producer Price Index
(MoM) (JUL)
Low 0.1% 0.0%
09:00
EUR Euro-Zone
Producer Price Index
(YoY) (JUL)
Low 0.1% 0.3%
12:58
USD Markit US PMI
Final (AUG)
Medium 54.0
14:00
USD ISM
Manufacturing (AUG)
High 54 55.4
14:00
USD Construction
Spending (MoM) (JUL)
Medium 0.3% -0.6%
14:00
USD ISM Prices Paid
(AUG)
Medium 51.2 49
14:00
USD IBD/TIPP
Economic Optimism
(SEP)
Low 46 45.1
21:00
USD EIA Gasoline and
Diesel Fuel Update
(2Q)
Low
22:45
NZD Value of All
Buildings s.a. (QoQ)
(AUG)
Low 5.8%
23:01
GBP BRC Shop Price
Index (YoY) (AUG)
Low -0.5%
23:30
AUD AiG Performance
of Service Index (AUG)
Medium 39.4
Wed
Sep 4
01:30
LIVE
AUD Gross Domestic
Product (QoQ) (2Q)
High 0.6% 0.6%
01:30
LIVE
AUD Gross Domestic
Product (YoY) (2Q)
High 2.5% 2.5%
01:45
CNY HSBC/Markit
Services PMI (AUG)
Medium 51.3
07:45
EUR Italian Purchasing
Manager Index
Services (AUG)
Low 48.7
07:50
EUR French
Purchasing Manager
Index Services (AUG F)
Low 47.7 47.7
07:55
EUR German
Purchasing Manager
Index Services (AUG F)
Medium 52.4 52.4
08:00
EUR Euro-Zone
Purchasing Manager
Index Composite (AUG
F)
Medium 51.7 51.7
08:00
EUR Euro-Zone
Purchasing Manager
Index Services (AUG F)
Medium 51 51
08:30
GBP Purchasing
Manager Index
Services (AUG)
Medium 59 60.2
08:30
GBP Official Reserves
(Changes) (AUG)
Low $1672M
09:00
EUR Euro-Zone Gross
Domestic Product s.a.
(QoQ) (2Q P)
High 0.3% 0.3%
09:00
EUR Euro-Zone Gross
Domestic Product s.a.
(YoY) (2Q P)
High -0.7% -0.7%
09:00
EUR Euro-Zone Retail
Sales (YoY) (JUL)
Medium -0.3% -0.9%

11. 09:00
EUR Euro-Zone
Government
Expenditure (QoQ) (2Q
P)
Low -0.1%
09:00
EUR Euro-Zone Gross
Fixed Capital (QoQ)
(2Q P)
Low -1.6%
09:00
EUR Euro-Zone
Household
Consumption (QoQ)
(2Q P)
Low 0.1%
09:00
EUR Euro-Zone Retail
Sales (MoM) (JUL)
Low 0.4% -0.5%
11:00
USD MBA Mortgage
Applications (AUG 30)
Low -2.5%
11:30
USD Challenger Job
Cuts (YoY) (AUG)
Low 2.3%
12:30
USD Trade Balance
(JUL)
Medium -$38.6B -$34.2B
12:30
CAD International
Merchandise Trade
(Canadian dollar) (JUL)
Low -0.40B -0.47B
13:45
USD ISM New York
(AUG)
Low 67.8
14:00
CAD Bank of Canada
Rate Decision (SEP 4)
High 1.00% 1.00%
16:30
USD Fed's Williams
Speaks on Monetary
Policy in Oregon
Low
18:00
USD US Federal
Reserve Releases
Beige Book
High
21:00
USD Domestic Vehicle
Sales (AUG)
Low 12.20M 12.09M
21:00
USD Total Vehicle
Sales (AUG)
Low 15.80M 15.60M
Thu
Sep 5
JPY BOJ 2014
Monetary Base Target
(SEP 5)
High ¥270T
JPY Bank of Japan
Rate Decision (SEP 5)
High
00:00
USD Fed's
Kocherlakota Speaks in
Wisconsin
Low
01:30
AUD Trade Balance
(Australian dollar) (JUL)
Medium 100M 602M
10:00
EUR German Factory
Orders n.s.a. (YoY)
(JUL)
Medium 2.7% 4.3%
10:00
EUR German Factory
Orders s.a. (MoM)
(JUL)
Low -1.0% 3.8%
11:00
LIVE
GBP Bank of England
Rate Decision (SEP 5)
High 0.5% 0.5%
11:00
LIVE
GBP BoE Asset
Purchase Target (SEP)
High 375B 375B
11:45
LIVE
EUR European Central
Bank Rate Decision
(SEP 5)
High 0.5% 0.5%
11:45
LIVE
EUR ECB Deposit
Facility Rate (SEP 5)
Medium 0.0% 0.0%

12. 12:15
USD ADP Employment
Change (AUG)
Medium 180K 200K
12:30
USD Initial Jobless
Claims (AUG 31)
Medium 330K 331K
12:30
USD Continuing Claims
(AUG 24)
Low 2989K
12:30
USD Non-Farm
Productivity (2Q F)
Low 1.5% 0.9%
12:30
USD Unit Labor Costs
(2Q F)
Low 1.0% 1.4%
13:00
USD Fed's
Kocherlakota Speaks in
Wisconsin
Low
14:00
USD Factory Orders
(JUL)
Medium -3.50% 1.50%
14:00
USD ISM Non-
Manufacutring
Composite (AUG)
Medium 55 56
15:00
USD DOE U.S. Crude
Oil Inventories (AUG
30)
Low 2986K
15:00
USD DOE U.S.
Distillate Inventory
(AUG 30)
Low -316K
15:00
USD DOE U.S.
Gasoline Inventories
(AUG 30)
Low -587K
23:30
AUD AiG Performance
of Construction Index
(AUG)
Medium 44.1
23:50
JPY Official Reserve
Assets (AUG)
Low $1254.0B
Fri
Sep 6
GBP New Car
Registrations (YoY)
(AUG)
Low 12.7%
05:00
JPY Bank of Japan's
Monthly Economic
Report for September
Medium
05:00
JPY Coincident Index
(JUL P)
Medium 106.9 105.5
05:00
JPY Leading Index
(JUL P)
Medium 107.9 107.2
06:00
EUR German Trade
Balance (euros) (JUL)
Medium 16.3B 16.9B
06:00
EUR German Current
Account (euros) (JUL)
Low 14.0B 17.3B
06:00
EUR German Exports
s.a. (MoM) (JUL)
Low 0.8% 0.6%
06:00
EUR German Imports
s.a. (MoM) (JUL)
Low 0.7% -0.8%
06:00
EUR German Labor
Costs s.a. (QoQ) (2Q)
Low 1.1%
06:00
EUR German Labor
Costs w.d.a. (YoY) (2Q)
Low 3.9%
06:30
AUD Foreign Reserves
(Australian dollar)
(AUG)
Low A$55.5B

13. 07:00
CHF Foreign Currency
Reserves (AUG)
Low 434.9B
07:15
CHF CPI EU
Harmonized (YoY)
(AUG)
Medium 0.5%
07:15
CHF Consumer Price
Index (YoY) (AUG)
Medium 0.0% 0.0%
07:15
CHF Industrial
Production (YoY) (2Q)
Medium 3.0%
07:15
CHF CPI EU
Harmonized (MoM)
(AUG)
Low 0.0%
07:15
CHF Consumer Price
Index (MoM) (AUG)
Low 0.0% -0.4%
08:30
GBP BoE/GfK Inflation
Next 12 Mths (AUG)
Medium 3.6%
08:30
GBP Industrial
Production (YoY) (JUL)
Medium -1.7% 1.2%
08:30
GBP Manufacturing
Production (YoY) (JUL)
Medium -0.7% 2.0%
08:30
GBP Total Trade
Balance (Pounds) (JUL)
Medium -£1700 -£1548
08:30
GBP Industrial
Production (MoM) (JUL)
Low 0.0% 1.1%
08:30
GBP Manufacturing
Production (MoM) (JUL)
Low 0.3% 1.9%
08:30
GBP Trade Balance
Non EU (Pounds) (JUL)
Low -£2950 -£2646
08:30
GBP Visible Trade
Balance (Pounds) (JUL)
Low -£8200 -£8082
10:00
EUR German Industrial
Production n.s.a. and
w.d.a. (YoY) (JUL)
Medium 0.6% 2.0%
10:00
EUR German Industrial
Production s.a. (MoM)
(JUL)
Low -0.5% 2.4%
12:00
USD Fed's Evans
Speaks in South
Carolina
Low
12:30
CAD Net Change in
Employment (AUG)
High 30.0K -39.4K
12:30
CAD Unemployment
Rate (AUG)
High 7.2% 7.2%
12:30
LIVE
USD Change in Non-
farm Payrolls (AUG)
High 180K 162K
12:30
LIVE
USD Unemployment
Rate (AUG)
High 7.4% 7.4%
12:30
CAD Full Time
Employment Change
(AUG)
Medium -18.3
12:30
USD Average Hourly
Earnings (YoY) (AUG)
Medium 2.0% 1.9%
12:30
USD Change in Private
Payrolls (AUG)
Medium 175K 161K

14. 12:30
USD Labor Force
Participation Rate
(AUG)
Medium 63.4%
12:30
USD Underemployment
Rate (AUG)
Medium 14.0%
12:30
CAD Part Time
Employment Change
(AUG)
Low -21.2
12:30
CAD Participation Rate
(AUG)
Low 66.5
12:30
USD Average Hourly
Earnings (MoM) (AUG)
Low 0.2% -0.1%
12:30
USD Average Weekly
Hours All Employees
(AUG)
Low 34.5 34.4
12:30
USD Change in
Household Employment
(AUG)
Low 227K
12:30
USD Change in
Manufacturing Payrolls
(AUG)
Low 5K 6K
12:30
USD Two-Month
Payroll Net Revision
(AUG)
Low
14:00
GBP NIESR Gross
Domestic Product
Estimate (AUG)
High 0.7%
14:00
CAD Ivey Purchasing
Managers Index s.a.
(AUG)
Medium 54 48.4
17:30
USD Fed's George
Speaks on the
Economy in Nebraska
Low

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