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ericsson white paper
284 23-3135 Uen Rev B | March 2010




Measuring
emissions
right



                                     Assessing the
                                     climate-positive
                                     effects of ICT
                                     A holistic methodology for effectively
                                     measuring CO2 emissions
Overview
Climate change is perhaps the topmost challenge of our time. To prevent
climate change from severely impacting almost every facet of life on the    Potential of iCt to reduCe overall Co2e
planet, scientific consensus points to a need to reduce the emissions       One industry study, SMART 2020, estimates that ICT
of greenhouse gases (GHG), measured in terms of CO2 equivalents             has the potential to reduce overall CO2e emissions
(CO2e), by as much as 80 percent by 2050.                                   by around 15 percent by 2020. A compete life cycle
   So far the focus has centered on incremental reductions of CO2e          approach was not used, however. In economic terms,
emissions in areas in which they are the highest, without negatively        ICT-enabled energy efficiency translates into savings
impacting the economy. But there is also a large untapped opportunity       of approximately EUR 600 billion. ICT-enabled energy
to drive economic growth by applying transformative solutions. Without      efficiency can be introduced through a variety of
taking a holistic view, however, we run the risk of ending up with          solutions, such as:
incorrect solutions.                                                        • virtual meetings
                                                                            • smart buildings
                                                                            • e-health (healthcare informatics over the internet)
                                                                              and m-health (mobile e-health)
                                                                            • smart grids
                                                                            • smart logistics and intelligent transport systems
                                                                            • e-learning (technology-enhanced learning) and
                                                                              m-learning (mobile e-learning)
                                                                            • dematerialization – the substitution of high-carbon
                                                                            products and activities with low-carbon alternatives;
                                      Figure 1: Overview of the process
                                                                            for example, replacing face-to-face meetings with
                                      to implement climate-positive
                                                                            video conferencing or telepresence, replacing paper
                                      solutions
                                                                            bills with e-billing, or replacing recorded tapes with
                                                                            e-files.
    The first step in measuring emissions is to determine where emissions
occur and at what levels. Once emission levels and inefficiencies have      By replacing physical products with services, and
been identified and assessed, it is possible to change operating models,    by helping people to use resources more efficiently,
supporting systems, and behavior – it is here that the information and      ICT-based solutions can improve basic services while
communications technology (ICT) sector plays an important role. Figure      reducing CO2e emissions. Within the realm of ICT,
1 symbolizes a scale in balance. The message of this illustration is that   broadband provides the most effective foundation
the same function can be delivered in either a new transformative way       for a resource-efficient infrastructure that can deliver
(represented by the smaller, green weight on the left) or in incremental    many different services in a low-carbon way – for
ways (heavy weight on the right).                                           instance, via machine-to-machine, machine-to-human
     Life cycle assessments (LCA) constitute a well-established             or human-to-human communication.
methodology and tool for measuring CO2e emissions, and are used for
comparing the emissions of different systems. This holistic methodology
is needed in order to successfully understand the complexity between        the faCtor effeCt
large industrial systems and user behavior, and ultimately to measure       Ericsson estimates that smart use of broadband-
the reductions of CO2e emissions on a large scale.                          enabled services can reduce CO2 emissions by a
 This paper takes the traditional LCA approach one step further,            factor of 10kg to 100kg; that is, the use of a telecom
by presenting:                                                              service that emits 1kg of CO2 may enable a 10kg to
2 a method for assessing the potential reduction of future CO2e             100kg reduction in CO2 emissions.
   emissions by avoiding or substituting those emissions with
   environmentally smarter solutions; and
2 ˙the results of two case studies.

  The method, which is an enhancement of LCA based on the ISO 14040
series of LCA standards, is used to show how the introduction of an ICT
system can reduce CO2e emissions. Indeed, this method is especially
useful for evaluating the potential of ICT-based solutions to reduce CO2e
emissions in other sectors not traditionally associated with ICT.




ASSESSING THE CLIMATE-POSITIVE EFFECTS OF ICT • OVERVIEW

                                                                   2
Finding a way
through the mist
Scientific consensus points to a need to reduce CO2e emissions. To succeed, several different courses of
action are needed. The primary focus to date has centered on incremental reductions of CO2e emissions,
in particular in areas where they are the highest and without negatively impacting the economy. But
by itself, this approach will not adequately achieve the necessary scale of reductions.
   To achieve the scale of reductions needed to slow climate change, we must replace traditional
methods, processes and systems with “smarter,” more efficient ones. In many instances, these
solutions are enabled by the ICT sector. ICT-based solutions can reduce CO2e emissions and improve
basic services – for example, by replacing physical products with services, supporting home energy
management, and by helping people to use resources more efficiently.
   Broadband constitutes the foundation of a resource-efficient infrastructure that can deliver many
different services in a low-carbon way.

Current measurement methods
At present, several methods are used to analyze the effect of introducing ICT-based solutions to replace
traditional solutions and thereby reduce CO2e emissions. However, few of these methods have been
designed to include all possible aspects of potential reductions. As a consequence, it is possible to
overlook changes that are critical for identifying long-term reductions in CO2e emissions. These methods
are seldom based on life cycle assessments and typically only include end-user equipment.
   Most standards and assessment methods tend to focus on particular
aspects of the life cycle – there are, for example, a number of “energy          As the name implies, LCA-based methods assess
labeling” standards for products that use electricity. One such is the           the environmental impacts of products and services
EU energy label, Energy Star.                                                    through their entire life cycle, from resource extraction
   Unfortunately, none of these methods include “infrastructure” as              (for example, forestry) through manufacture,
part of their assessment of direct and indirect impacts. Consequently,           distribution, usage, and end-of-life (disposal or
these methods have only limited value. Recent scenario-building studies          recycling). In other words, in order to answer a question
have demonstrated that comprehensive LCAs are, in fact, necessary                about the overall impact of a particular product or
to provide a holistic image of environmental impacts.                            service, we must first determine the cumulative impact
   LCA methodologies, such as “Process-Sum” and “Economic Input-                 of said product or service across its entire life cycle.
Output,” have two different approaches for evaluating environmental
impact. There are also hybrid models that use adaptations of these
methods in an effort to take advantage of key benefits while overcoming certain inadequacies. This is
especially so in the case of ICT products, in which the variety of materials and components involved,
as well as the rapid evolution of high-tech manufacturing processes and product innovations, makes
an LCA seem a daunting task.
   Several standardization organizations are currently developing standards that should provide guidelines
for performing an LCA relating to ICT-based products, services and solutions. These organizations include
the European Telecommunications Standards Institute (ETSI) and the International Telecommunication
Union (ITU). This process will provide requirements for assessing the “direct” environmental impact of a
product (that is, those activities associated with the actual manufacture and use of a product) as well as
the “indirect” environmental impact of a product or service (that is, those activities associated with the
applications of the product and how they tangibly affect or benefit the end user or society as a whole).
   In summary, there is not currently an agreed methodology for measuring the potential reductions in
CO2e emissions that ICT-based solutions can provide.
   Nevertheless, the industry should adopt the use of comprehensive LCAs to calculate the potential of
ICT-based solutions to reduce CO2e emissions. The adoption of a holistic LCA methodology would:
2 enable companies to prioritize solutions based on their impact on sustainability;
2 enable and guide policy makers to support balanced decisions regarding sustainability;
2 provide means of making comparisons between ICT services and other services; and
2 help put focus on the total level of energy usage and highlight the potential for CO2e reductions
    in business cases, thereby motivating investments in ICT.




ASSESSING THE CLIMATE-POSITIVE EFFECTS OF ICT • FINDING A WAY THROUGH THE MIST
                                                                       3
Reducing the
emissions
methodology for assessing the use of iCt to reduCe Co2e
emissions
To quantify the potential that ICT-based applications and services
have to reduce CO2e emissions, it must be possible to assess,
from a life cycle perspective, the environmental impact of both
the ICT-based system and the conventional system it replaces
– for example, physical transport. Figure 2 shows a schematic
illustration of a holistic LCA method for comparing a new ICT-
based service with a conventional service. The method builds
on results from LCA studies of ICT-based systems, for example,
PCs and network access, and LCA studies of the conventional
systems from traditional sectors, for example, buildings and
transport. The conventional system and the ICT-based system
are each assessed in the same way and then compared.
    The climate-positive approach to LCA provides a systematic
method for measuring the cumulative environmental impacts of
a product or service. The scope of this method, which is based
on the ISO 14040 series (14040 and 14044), encompasses a                 Figure 2: Overview of a holistic LCA method for comparing ICT-
wider perspective than other methods by incorporating needed             based systems with conventional systems that deliver equivalent
infrastructure. In simple terms, this method consists of the three       services (C-LCA = CO2e-based LCA)
main LCA steps: system definition, data collection, and an
assessment of the impacts of Co2e.

system definition
The first step – system definition – entails defining the processes and boundaries of the system. A
system is made up of the processes and boundaries of the service to be analyzed. Setting the scope
of the analysis entails deciding what changes result from implementing the system and what CO2e
impact the system has.
    Access to ICT has direct and measurable impacts on society, the environment, and economic
development. In some cases – depending on the service – it might be necessary to consider both fixed
and mobile broadband in order to analyze the environmental impacts of the introduction of ICT.

data ColleCtion
During the second step – data collection – data is collected from a variety of sources, such as LCA
databases, field studies, and statistics published via outlets such as government agency websites.
This baseline data enables the comparison against which reductions or increases can be measured or
estimated. The crucial part, in order to compare different systems, is to collect real-world data about
the use of the service in the conventional system as well as in the new ICT-based system. In some
instances, scenarios can be used to bridge the gap when real-world data about the new ICT-based
systems is not available.
  The availability of published LCA data about the infrastructure of conventional services and activities
(such as the production of cars and roads) and higher-order infrastructure (such as the construction
of the factories in which cars are manufactured) is limited.
  Statistics about travel (distance, in kilometers), transportation (weight, in 1000kg x kilometer), building
area (in square meters), and so forth, must be collected during the life cycle inventory (LCI) phase.
  Some LCA data about mobile and fixed broadband networks (for instance, data about PCs) has already
been published. Ericsson, for example, has for some time performed LCAs relative to communication
networks (including mobile phones).




ASSESSING THE CLIMATE-POSITIVE EFFECTS OF ICT • REDUCING THE EMISSIONS

                                                                     4
Co2e assessment based on the lCa method
In the third step – assessment of Co2e impacts – the CO2e emissions of the defined ICT-based system
and the conventional system, including the infrastructure needed, are assessed. This assessment
is based on the LCA methodology, the scope of which includes the manufacturing as well as the
operation phases of the new ICT-based system. The LCA must also include fuel extraction, production
and distribution, vehicle manufacturing and construction, and the operation of infrastructure for all
travel and transportation associated with the service.
   Figure 3 shows the average CO2e emissions of travel related to car travel and air travel, as well as
emissions from buildings related to building operation.
   The emission profile given for car travel is valid for most road travel and transport, with the exception
of manufacturing due to different lifetimes of, for instance, trucks.      CO2e emissions (+%)
                                                                           related to car travel
There is only limited published data about road infrastructure               100

and other infrastructure (such as street lighting, gas and service            90
                                                                              80
stations, car dealers, and parking facilities) that can be linked to          70                 /pkm
                                                                              60                 (/metric tonkm)
road transport.                                                               50

   The fuel-chain and CO2e effects (others) of air freight are similar        40
                                                                              30
to that given for air travel. However, compared with air travel,              20
                                                                                                                                               ?
                                                                              10
less of the impact of airport operation and construction can                   0
                                                                                      Car travel         Fuel supply Car manufacturing        Road        Others
be allocated.                                                                                                                            infrastructure

   The fuel chain includes the extraction, production and distribution     CO2e emissions (+%)
                                                                           related to building operation
phases of fuel: primarily gas and oil. The utilities infrastructure          100
can share the electricity model used for ICT systems and should               90
                                                                              80
include the electricity infrastructure.                                       70                 /sqm
                                                                                                 (/person)
    The others bar for buildings includes renovation. To go from a            60
                                                                              50
general view to a more specific view of a building, one needs to know         40
                                                                              30
the type and amount of energy that is consumed per unit of area.              20
                                                                                                                                               ?

The others bar for air travel indicates the uncertainty that exists for       10
                                                                               0
various other GHG emissions and the uncertain effects attributed                        Building
                                                                                       operation
                                                                                                          Fuel chain       Utilities
                                                                                                                       infrastructure
                                                                                                                                           Building
                                                                                                                                         construction
                                                                                                                                                          Others

to aircraft, including high-altitude emissions and their effects.
                                                                           CO2e emissions (+%)
   For the ICT-based system, the use of mobile broadband services          related to air travel                                                               ?
must, based on data traffic, also consider:                                  100
                                                                              90
2 user profiles and behavior, including type of mobile device;                80

2 the characteristics of mobile network access; and                           70                 /pkm
                                                                              60                 (/metric tonkm)
2 the core or transmission network and specified data centers.                50
                                                                                        40
                                                                                        30

  Operator business overheads should also be specified for the                 20
                                                                               10
analysis.                                                                       0
                                                                                     Air travel Fuel supply Airport operation Aircraft and airport Others
  Fixed broadband has many different user profiles with individual                                          and ground trp.      construction

types of PCs, modems, or home network setups. Access sites Figure 3: Average CO2e emissions from infrastructure for car
and data traffic may be aggregated to form a total or average travel, buildings and air travel related to the direct emissions
ICT system user profile for all users or for an entire company,
organization or region.
  Finally, it is necessary to determine the total use of the specific service and all related services.
Preferably, the data traffic of the service should be compared with the total data traffic of the user
profile. The data traffic ratio (service data traffic/total data traffic) is called the allocation key.
  For PCs and advanced PC-like mobile phones, the allocation attributed to the manufacturing and
operation phases should be based on use time (duration) instead of data traffic, because lifetime and
operation are proportional to use time, not data traffic.




ASSESSING THE CLIMATE-POSITIVE EFFECTS OF ICT • REDUCING THE EMISSIONS
                                                                                    5
mandatory elements to Consider                    Comments

  Type of end-user equipment                        This information provides manufacturing impact
  (PC, mobile phone)                                and operation characteristics
  Use time and baseline operation (standby)         This is dependent on electrical power consumption
                                                    and the type of end-user equipment. The
                                                    specification needs to be based on user behavior.
  Energy consumption for network access             The type of access and use time is used to
                                                    quantify network access. Data traffic cannot be
                                                    used because most energy consumption relates to
                                                    network access standby.
  Average data traffic of the service               This is used to quantify data transport, cable
                                                    infrastructure and data centers, in order to
                                                    calculate the services share of the total network
                                                    infrastructure.
  Electricity mix in the region studied             All electrical power consumption in the
                                                    operation phase can be adjusted to the
                                                    specific region.

Table 1: Mandatory elements to consider when assessing the CO2e emissions of an ICT service



ComParison of systems
After the CO2e assessment is complete, it is possible to compare the two systems and evaluate the
potential of the ICT-based service to reduce CO2e emissions. The total results of the analysis are
twofold: potential reduction factor and relative reduction factor.
  The potential reduction factor is the total reduction in CO2e divided by the total CO2e of the new ICT-
based system. For fixed services using a PC, this factor is typically a figure (or a goal to be reached)
above 10; for mobile services using a mobile phone, the factor is typically a figure above 100.
   The relative reduction factor is the total potential reduction in CO2e divided by the total CO2e
emissions of the replaced conventional system.
  These results can be complemented by an uncertainty figure that summarizes the known or estimated
uncertainties introduced by the adjustments, allocations and scope limitations.




ASSESSING THE CLIMATE-POSITIVE EFFECTS OF ICT • REDUCING THE EMISSIONS

                                                                   6
Conclusions
One of the most significant ways of achieving substantial reductions in CO2e is by shifting from a high-
carbon physical infrastructure to a low-carbon virtual infrastructure based on the evolving information
society and smart technology – what we call information and communications technology (ICT).
   Much of the focus to date has been on sectors with high-carbon emissions, such as energy and
transport. However, it is just as important to understand how improving low-carbon infrastructure
and strengthening other services will affect CO2e emissions. Investments in broadband, for example,
are paving the way for ICT-based services, such as the increased use of virtual meetings to enhance
teleworking; the rollout of telemedicine services; and smart homes, where energy management plays
a central role in replacing traditional high-carbon solutions.
   To support the transition to low-carbon ICT-based solutions, society needs to know to what extent
the new solutions will reduce CO2e emissions. And given that discussions about climate change take
a long-term view, this perspective must be reflected in the LCA studies that are used as input for
the discussions.
   This paper presents a holistic methodology for measuring CO2e emissions. Armed with data from
these measurements, society can finally begin:
2 to assess a large number of solutions;
2 to understand the magnitude of reductions (including infrastructure changes over time); and
2 to understand where these reductions will take place.

   Detailed LCAs are important - and necessary as a basis in this methodology. The detailed LCAs
provide more exact estimations, however they can also allow a less detailed approach. They also
identify (new) areas that must be included in assessments in order for an approximate estimation to
yield results of the right magnitude.
   Ericsson has studied several services, calculating the potential of ICT-based solutions to reduce
CO2e emissions compared with traditional solutions. One example indicates that the potential of
broadband to reduce CO2e emissions increases by 50 to 150 percent when the life cycle emissions and
underlying infrastructure are included in the calculations – as opposed to when only direct emissions
are included.




ASSESSING THE CLIMATE-POSITIVE EFFECTS OF ICT • CONCLUSIONS
                                                                    7
Case studies
Case study no. 1: introduCtion of e-health in Croatia

baCkground
The term e-health refers to the application and use of ICT in all aspects of healthcare:
2 to provide better and more efficient services; and
2 to facilitate access to healthcare.

  The Healthcare Networking Information System, developed by Ericsson Nikola Tesla in Croatia, is
a comprehensive ICT solution for integrating healthcare processes, information management and
business workflows for healthcare organizations, enterprises and delivery systems. In this study,
the system was used to transfer prescriptions and referrals electronically. Among other things, this
reduced the need for:
2 printing prescriptions for patients
2 patients to travel.

data and assumPtions
Conventional healthcare system
Croatia has about 4.5 million inhabitants, 55 percent of whom live in cities. There are about 260 cars per
1000 people. In addition, there are 6600 primary healthcare teams/units in Croatia and approximately
one doctor for every 450 people.
  The main assumptions were as follows:
2 The e-referral service can reduce patient visits (approximately 12 million per year) by 50 percent.
2 On average, patients travel 10km + 10km per visit. Twenty-five percent of patients travel by car; the
  other 75 percent by public transport.
2 The e-prescription service can reduce paper consumption by 50 percent.

the new e-health system
The data center consumes 400MWh of electrical power a year. There are approximately 10,000 PCs
in the network. The PCs and the data center are used for many purposes, not just the two services
studied. Therefore, in all likelihood, the allocation of the total system to the two services studied will
decline over time, especially as new services are introduced.
   The main assumptions were as follows:
2 About 10 percent of the system’s PCs were installed in parallel to the system. Therefore, 10 percent
of the total system will be allocated to the e-referral service.
2 One percent of the total system is allocated to the e-prescription service. Without the e-prescription
service, prescriptions would require input and printing. The service can be quantified by its added
datacom overhead for which the assumption of 1 percent of the total system is probably high.

Comparing the two systems
                                                                          Metric ton CO2e / year
In total, the two services in the e-health system account for about
330 metric tons of CO2e emissions per year. Of this amount, PCs             5.000


and networks account for over 90 percent and the data center
accounts for the rest. Given that patients reduce their travel, on              0
                                                                                       PCs           Data center       Paper        Travel         Buildings
average by almost three visits per year, the potential reduction
in travel is about 7kg CO2e per patient and year. This results in           -5.000
a reduction of up to 15,000 metric tons of CO2e, provided 50
percent of all travel can be avoided.
                                                                           -10.000
   A 50 percent reduction of paper consumption due to the
e-prescription service would result in approximately 230 metric
                                                                           -15.000
tons of CO2e per year.                                                                   Infrastructure and land use
                                                                                                                               Potential reduction factor: up to
   Figure 4 shows added CO2e emissions due to the introduction                           Fuels and networks
                                                                                                                               50 depending on system boundary.
                                                                                         Direct (operation)
of the service and the potential reductions that can be derived            -20.000

from the two e-health services.                                           Figure 4: Graphical presentation of the e-health case study results




ASSESSING THE CLIMATE-POSITIVE EFFECTS OF ICT • CASE STUDIES

                                                                      8
Conclusions
The e-health system installed to support primary healthcare in Croatia can significantly reduce CO2e
emissions, thanks to reductions in patient travel as well as to reductions in paper consumption.
   Taken together, the e-referral and e-prescription services have the potential to reduce CO2e emissions
by up to 15,000 metric tons per year while the two services only add 330 metric tons of CO2e/year
from operation and manufacturing activities.
   The potential reduction factor over a 20-year period is up to 50, depending on whether infrastructure
is included and, if so, to what extent.

Case study no. 2: sPots4media solution in sPain

baCkground
Spots4media is an Ericsson digital distribution solution used for media campaigns. Media agencies
and TV broadcasters use the Spots4media platform to manage advertising materials. With the solution,
Ericsson receives a videotape of the media from the advertiser’s production company, digitizes it, and
sends a digital copy to an FTP server to which all TV channels are connected. The platform serves as
an interface that media agencies use to access and complete a distribution form that identifies the
TV channels to be used for distributing spots. The TV channels, in turn, use the platform to download
the materials.
  This case focused on a specific media campaign in Spain, which provided digital delivery to 10 television-
broadcasting networks of seven separate advertisements in two languages (Spanish and Catalan).

data and assumPtions
Conventional media distribution
Traditionally this media campaign would have required the delivery of a total of 38 physical media
tapes to the television stations. Traditional transportation methods would have used a total of 1520km
worth of motorcycle and car deliveries.
  A main assumption in this study is:
2 The infrastructure for transportation (roadways) exists independently of method and is therefore
   not included in the calculations.
2 The system boundary includes tape manufacture and disposal, and the distribution phase of
the delivery.

new iCt-based digital delivery solution
The Spots4media digital solution only required the delivery of seven tapes to Ericsson for digitizing.
This resulted in a travel distance of six kilometers per motorcycle delivery.
  The main assumptions are as follows:
2 The infrastructure for the ICT delivery method (fiber) exists independently of method and is therefore
  not included in the calculations.
2 A dedicated quad-core server is used for digitizing and transfer.
2 A quad-core server is equivalent to two standard PCs.
2 A PC has a lifetime of four years.
2 The system boundary includes tape manufacture and disposal, manufacture of dedicated PCs,
  distribution, digitizing and data transfer.

Comparing the two systems
A single media campaign using traditional methods of delivering taped media produces approximately
410kg of CO2e emissions. These emissions can be divided evenly between tape production and
transportation. The Spots4media digital delivery solution produces approximately 40kg of CO2e
emissions, including tapes and physical distribution. The actual addition due to the ICT service is
less than 2kg of CO2e per media campaign. This translates into a 370kg (91 percent) reduction in
CO2e emissions per media campaign. The potential reduction factor is up to 230. The manufacture
and disposal of the tapes used to transfer media from the media agency accounts for 95 percent of
the impact.
   Spots4media has the potential to digitize approximately 1500 media campaigns per year if applied
nationwide. By multiplying this figure by the results of a single media campaign we obtain the total
annual reduction of 558 metric tons of CO2e emissions.
   Moreover, the digital delivery solution reduces delivery times by more than 90 percent.




ASSESSING THE CLIMATE-POSITIVE EFFECTS OF ICT • CASE STUDIES
                                                                       9
Conclusions
Compared to traditional media campaigns, the Spots4media digital delivery solution can reduce the
CO2e emissions by more than 90 percent thanks to less transportation and fewer physical tapes.
   In Spain, the service has the potential to reduce CO2e emissions by about 500 metric tons per year
if used for 1500 campaigns, while adding less than 3 metric tons of CO2e per year.
    The potential reduction factor in this case for 1500 media campaigns per year is up to 230.




ASSESSING THE CLIMATE-POSITIVE EFFECTS OF ICT • CASE STUDIES

                                                               10
Glossary
C-lCa             CO2e-based LCA
Co2               carbon dioxide
Co2e              carbon dioxide equivalent
etsi              European Telecommunications Standards Institute
eu                European Union
ftP               file transfer protocol
ghg               greenhouse gas
iCt               information and communications technology
iso               International Organization for Standardization
itu               International Telecommunication Union
lCa               life cycle assessment
lCi               life cycle inventory
mWh               megawatt hour
metric ton        1000kg




ASSESSING THE CLIMATE-POSITIVE EFFECTS OF ICT • GLOSSARY
                                                             11
References
Borealis Centre for Environment and Trade Research, 2009. Findings from the US book industry –
Environmental trends and climate impacts. Book Industry Study Group. Green Press Initiative.

Chester M. V. and Horvath A., 2009. Environmental assessment of passenger transportation should
include infrastructure and supply chains. Environmental Research Letters, 4 024008 (8pp).

GeSi, SMART 2020: Enabling the low carbon economy in the information age, Global e-Sustainability
Initiative, 2008.

International Organization for Standardization 2006. ISO 14040, Environmental management – Life
cycle assessment – Principles and framework.

International Organization for Standardization 2006. ISO 14044, Environmental management – Life
cycle assessment – Requirements and guidelines.

Loerincik, Y., 2006. Environmental impacts and benefits of information and communication technology
infrastructure and services, using process and input-output life cycle assessment. École Polytechnique
Fédérale de Lausanne (EPFL), These no 3540.

Malmodin J., Moberg Å., Lundén D., Finnveden G. and Lövehagen N., 2009. Greenhouse gas emissions
and operational electricity use in the ICT and entertainment and media sectors. Submitted to Journal
of Industrial Ecology. To be published.




ASSESSING THE CLIMATE-POSITIVE EFFECTS OF ICT • REFERENCES

                                                                12

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  • 1. ericsson white paper 284 23-3135 Uen Rev B | March 2010 Measuring emissions right Assessing the climate-positive effects of ICT A holistic methodology for effectively measuring CO2 emissions
  • 2. Overview Climate change is perhaps the topmost challenge of our time. To prevent climate change from severely impacting almost every facet of life on the Potential of iCt to reduCe overall Co2e planet, scientific consensus points to a need to reduce the emissions One industry study, SMART 2020, estimates that ICT of greenhouse gases (GHG), measured in terms of CO2 equivalents has the potential to reduce overall CO2e emissions (CO2e), by as much as 80 percent by 2050. by around 15 percent by 2020. A compete life cycle So far the focus has centered on incremental reductions of CO2e approach was not used, however. In economic terms, emissions in areas in which they are the highest, without negatively ICT-enabled energy efficiency translates into savings impacting the economy. But there is also a large untapped opportunity of approximately EUR 600 billion. ICT-enabled energy to drive economic growth by applying transformative solutions. Without efficiency can be introduced through a variety of taking a holistic view, however, we run the risk of ending up with solutions, such as: incorrect solutions. • virtual meetings • smart buildings • e-health (healthcare informatics over the internet) and m-health (mobile e-health) • smart grids • smart logistics and intelligent transport systems • e-learning (technology-enhanced learning) and m-learning (mobile e-learning) • dematerialization – the substitution of high-carbon products and activities with low-carbon alternatives; Figure 1: Overview of the process for example, replacing face-to-face meetings with to implement climate-positive video conferencing or telepresence, replacing paper solutions bills with e-billing, or replacing recorded tapes with e-files. The first step in measuring emissions is to determine where emissions occur and at what levels. Once emission levels and inefficiencies have By replacing physical products with services, and been identified and assessed, it is possible to change operating models, by helping people to use resources more efficiently, supporting systems, and behavior – it is here that the information and ICT-based solutions can improve basic services while communications technology (ICT) sector plays an important role. Figure reducing CO2e emissions. Within the realm of ICT, 1 symbolizes a scale in balance. The message of this illustration is that broadband provides the most effective foundation the same function can be delivered in either a new transformative way for a resource-efficient infrastructure that can deliver (represented by the smaller, green weight on the left) or in incremental many different services in a low-carbon way – for ways (heavy weight on the right). instance, via machine-to-machine, machine-to-human Life cycle assessments (LCA) constitute a well-established or human-to-human communication. methodology and tool for measuring CO2e emissions, and are used for comparing the emissions of different systems. This holistic methodology is needed in order to successfully understand the complexity between the faCtor effeCt large industrial systems and user behavior, and ultimately to measure Ericsson estimates that smart use of broadband- the reductions of CO2e emissions on a large scale. enabled services can reduce CO2 emissions by a This paper takes the traditional LCA approach one step further, factor of 10kg to 100kg; that is, the use of a telecom by presenting: service that emits 1kg of CO2 may enable a 10kg to 2 a method for assessing the potential reduction of future CO2e 100kg reduction in CO2 emissions. emissions by avoiding or substituting those emissions with environmentally smarter solutions; and 2 ˙the results of two case studies. The method, which is an enhancement of LCA based on the ISO 14040 series of LCA standards, is used to show how the introduction of an ICT system can reduce CO2e emissions. Indeed, this method is especially useful for evaluating the potential of ICT-based solutions to reduce CO2e emissions in other sectors not traditionally associated with ICT. ASSESSING THE CLIMATE-POSITIVE EFFECTS OF ICT • OVERVIEW 2
  • 3. Finding a way through the mist Scientific consensus points to a need to reduce CO2e emissions. To succeed, several different courses of action are needed. The primary focus to date has centered on incremental reductions of CO2e emissions, in particular in areas where they are the highest and without negatively impacting the economy. But by itself, this approach will not adequately achieve the necessary scale of reductions. To achieve the scale of reductions needed to slow climate change, we must replace traditional methods, processes and systems with “smarter,” more efficient ones. In many instances, these solutions are enabled by the ICT sector. ICT-based solutions can reduce CO2e emissions and improve basic services – for example, by replacing physical products with services, supporting home energy management, and by helping people to use resources more efficiently. Broadband constitutes the foundation of a resource-efficient infrastructure that can deliver many different services in a low-carbon way. Current measurement methods At present, several methods are used to analyze the effect of introducing ICT-based solutions to replace traditional solutions and thereby reduce CO2e emissions. However, few of these methods have been designed to include all possible aspects of potential reductions. As a consequence, it is possible to overlook changes that are critical for identifying long-term reductions in CO2e emissions. These methods are seldom based on life cycle assessments and typically only include end-user equipment. Most standards and assessment methods tend to focus on particular aspects of the life cycle – there are, for example, a number of “energy As the name implies, LCA-based methods assess labeling” standards for products that use electricity. One such is the the environmental impacts of products and services EU energy label, Energy Star. through their entire life cycle, from resource extraction Unfortunately, none of these methods include “infrastructure” as (for example, forestry) through manufacture, part of their assessment of direct and indirect impacts. Consequently, distribution, usage, and end-of-life (disposal or these methods have only limited value. Recent scenario-building studies recycling). In other words, in order to answer a question have demonstrated that comprehensive LCAs are, in fact, necessary about the overall impact of a particular product or to provide a holistic image of environmental impacts. service, we must first determine the cumulative impact LCA methodologies, such as “Process-Sum” and “Economic Input- of said product or service across its entire life cycle. Output,” have two different approaches for evaluating environmental impact. There are also hybrid models that use adaptations of these methods in an effort to take advantage of key benefits while overcoming certain inadequacies. This is especially so in the case of ICT products, in which the variety of materials and components involved, as well as the rapid evolution of high-tech manufacturing processes and product innovations, makes an LCA seem a daunting task. Several standardization organizations are currently developing standards that should provide guidelines for performing an LCA relating to ICT-based products, services and solutions. These organizations include the European Telecommunications Standards Institute (ETSI) and the International Telecommunication Union (ITU). This process will provide requirements for assessing the “direct” environmental impact of a product (that is, those activities associated with the actual manufacture and use of a product) as well as the “indirect” environmental impact of a product or service (that is, those activities associated with the applications of the product and how they tangibly affect or benefit the end user or society as a whole). In summary, there is not currently an agreed methodology for measuring the potential reductions in CO2e emissions that ICT-based solutions can provide. Nevertheless, the industry should adopt the use of comprehensive LCAs to calculate the potential of ICT-based solutions to reduce CO2e emissions. The adoption of a holistic LCA methodology would: 2 enable companies to prioritize solutions based on their impact on sustainability; 2 enable and guide policy makers to support balanced decisions regarding sustainability; 2 provide means of making comparisons between ICT services and other services; and 2 help put focus on the total level of energy usage and highlight the potential for CO2e reductions in business cases, thereby motivating investments in ICT. ASSESSING THE CLIMATE-POSITIVE EFFECTS OF ICT • FINDING A WAY THROUGH THE MIST 3
  • 4. Reducing the emissions methodology for assessing the use of iCt to reduCe Co2e emissions To quantify the potential that ICT-based applications and services have to reduce CO2e emissions, it must be possible to assess, from a life cycle perspective, the environmental impact of both the ICT-based system and the conventional system it replaces – for example, physical transport. Figure 2 shows a schematic illustration of a holistic LCA method for comparing a new ICT- based service with a conventional service. The method builds on results from LCA studies of ICT-based systems, for example, PCs and network access, and LCA studies of the conventional systems from traditional sectors, for example, buildings and transport. The conventional system and the ICT-based system are each assessed in the same way and then compared. The climate-positive approach to LCA provides a systematic method for measuring the cumulative environmental impacts of a product or service. The scope of this method, which is based on the ISO 14040 series (14040 and 14044), encompasses a Figure 2: Overview of a holistic LCA method for comparing ICT- wider perspective than other methods by incorporating needed based systems with conventional systems that deliver equivalent infrastructure. In simple terms, this method consists of the three services (C-LCA = CO2e-based LCA) main LCA steps: system definition, data collection, and an assessment of the impacts of Co2e. system definition The first step – system definition – entails defining the processes and boundaries of the system. A system is made up of the processes and boundaries of the service to be analyzed. Setting the scope of the analysis entails deciding what changes result from implementing the system and what CO2e impact the system has. Access to ICT has direct and measurable impacts on society, the environment, and economic development. In some cases – depending on the service – it might be necessary to consider both fixed and mobile broadband in order to analyze the environmental impacts of the introduction of ICT. data ColleCtion During the second step – data collection – data is collected from a variety of sources, such as LCA databases, field studies, and statistics published via outlets such as government agency websites. This baseline data enables the comparison against which reductions or increases can be measured or estimated. The crucial part, in order to compare different systems, is to collect real-world data about the use of the service in the conventional system as well as in the new ICT-based system. In some instances, scenarios can be used to bridge the gap when real-world data about the new ICT-based systems is not available. The availability of published LCA data about the infrastructure of conventional services and activities (such as the production of cars and roads) and higher-order infrastructure (such as the construction of the factories in which cars are manufactured) is limited. Statistics about travel (distance, in kilometers), transportation (weight, in 1000kg x kilometer), building area (in square meters), and so forth, must be collected during the life cycle inventory (LCI) phase. Some LCA data about mobile and fixed broadband networks (for instance, data about PCs) has already been published. Ericsson, for example, has for some time performed LCAs relative to communication networks (including mobile phones). ASSESSING THE CLIMATE-POSITIVE EFFECTS OF ICT • REDUCING THE EMISSIONS 4
  • 5. Co2e assessment based on the lCa method In the third step – assessment of Co2e impacts – the CO2e emissions of the defined ICT-based system and the conventional system, including the infrastructure needed, are assessed. This assessment is based on the LCA methodology, the scope of which includes the manufacturing as well as the operation phases of the new ICT-based system. The LCA must also include fuel extraction, production and distribution, vehicle manufacturing and construction, and the operation of infrastructure for all travel and transportation associated with the service. Figure 3 shows the average CO2e emissions of travel related to car travel and air travel, as well as emissions from buildings related to building operation. The emission profile given for car travel is valid for most road travel and transport, with the exception of manufacturing due to different lifetimes of, for instance, trucks. CO2e emissions (+%) related to car travel There is only limited published data about road infrastructure 100 and other infrastructure (such as street lighting, gas and service 90 80 stations, car dealers, and parking facilities) that can be linked to 70 /pkm 60 (/metric tonkm) road transport. 50 The fuel-chain and CO2e effects (others) of air freight are similar 40 30 to that given for air travel. However, compared with air travel, 20 ? 10 less of the impact of airport operation and construction can 0 Car travel Fuel supply Car manufacturing Road Others be allocated. infrastructure The fuel chain includes the extraction, production and distribution CO2e emissions (+%) related to building operation phases of fuel: primarily gas and oil. The utilities infrastructure 100 can share the electricity model used for ICT systems and should 90 80 include the electricity infrastructure. 70 /sqm (/person) The others bar for buildings includes renovation. To go from a 60 50 general view to a more specific view of a building, one needs to know 40 30 the type and amount of energy that is consumed per unit of area. 20 ? The others bar for air travel indicates the uncertainty that exists for 10 0 various other GHG emissions and the uncertain effects attributed Building operation Fuel chain Utilities infrastructure Building construction Others to aircraft, including high-altitude emissions and their effects. CO2e emissions (+%) For the ICT-based system, the use of mobile broadband services related to air travel ? must, based on data traffic, also consider: 100 90 2 user profiles and behavior, including type of mobile device; 80 2 the characteristics of mobile network access; and 70 /pkm 60 (/metric tonkm) 2 the core or transmission network and specified data centers. 50 40 30 Operator business overheads should also be specified for the 20 10 analysis. 0 Air travel Fuel supply Airport operation Aircraft and airport Others Fixed broadband has many different user profiles with individual and ground trp. construction types of PCs, modems, or home network setups. Access sites Figure 3: Average CO2e emissions from infrastructure for car and data traffic may be aggregated to form a total or average travel, buildings and air travel related to the direct emissions ICT system user profile for all users or for an entire company, organization or region. Finally, it is necessary to determine the total use of the specific service and all related services. Preferably, the data traffic of the service should be compared with the total data traffic of the user profile. The data traffic ratio (service data traffic/total data traffic) is called the allocation key. For PCs and advanced PC-like mobile phones, the allocation attributed to the manufacturing and operation phases should be based on use time (duration) instead of data traffic, because lifetime and operation are proportional to use time, not data traffic. ASSESSING THE CLIMATE-POSITIVE EFFECTS OF ICT • REDUCING THE EMISSIONS 5
  • 6. mandatory elements to Consider Comments Type of end-user equipment This information provides manufacturing impact (PC, mobile phone) and operation characteristics Use time and baseline operation (standby) This is dependent on electrical power consumption and the type of end-user equipment. The specification needs to be based on user behavior. Energy consumption for network access The type of access and use time is used to quantify network access. Data traffic cannot be used because most energy consumption relates to network access standby. Average data traffic of the service This is used to quantify data transport, cable infrastructure and data centers, in order to calculate the services share of the total network infrastructure. Electricity mix in the region studied All electrical power consumption in the operation phase can be adjusted to the specific region. Table 1: Mandatory elements to consider when assessing the CO2e emissions of an ICT service ComParison of systems After the CO2e assessment is complete, it is possible to compare the two systems and evaluate the potential of the ICT-based service to reduce CO2e emissions. The total results of the analysis are twofold: potential reduction factor and relative reduction factor. The potential reduction factor is the total reduction in CO2e divided by the total CO2e of the new ICT- based system. For fixed services using a PC, this factor is typically a figure (or a goal to be reached) above 10; for mobile services using a mobile phone, the factor is typically a figure above 100. The relative reduction factor is the total potential reduction in CO2e divided by the total CO2e emissions of the replaced conventional system. These results can be complemented by an uncertainty figure that summarizes the known or estimated uncertainties introduced by the adjustments, allocations and scope limitations. ASSESSING THE CLIMATE-POSITIVE EFFECTS OF ICT • REDUCING THE EMISSIONS 6
  • 7. Conclusions One of the most significant ways of achieving substantial reductions in CO2e is by shifting from a high- carbon physical infrastructure to a low-carbon virtual infrastructure based on the evolving information society and smart technology – what we call information and communications technology (ICT). Much of the focus to date has been on sectors with high-carbon emissions, such as energy and transport. However, it is just as important to understand how improving low-carbon infrastructure and strengthening other services will affect CO2e emissions. Investments in broadband, for example, are paving the way for ICT-based services, such as the increased use of virtual meetings to enhance teleworking; the rollout of telemedicine services; and smart homes, where energy management plays a central role in replacing traditional high-carbon solutions. To support the transition to low-carbon ICT-based solutions, society needs to know to what extent the new solutions will reduce CO2e emissions. And given that discussions about climate change take a long-term view, this perspective must be reflected in the LCA studies that are used as input for the discussions. This paper presents a holistic methodology for measuring CO2e emissions. Armed with data from these measurements, society can finally begin: 2 to assess a large number of solutions; 2 to understand the magnitude of reductions (including infrastructure changes over time); and 2 to understand where these reductions will take place. Detailed LCAs are important - and necessary as a basis in this methodology. The detailed LCAs provide more exact estimations, however they can also allow a less detailed approach. They also identify (new) areas that must be included in assessments in order for an approximate estimation to yield results of the right magnitude. Ericsson has studied several services, calculating the potential of ICT-based solutions to reduce CO2e emissions compared with traditional solutions. One example indicates that the potential of broadband to reduce CO2e emissions increases by 50 to 150 percent when the life cycle emissions and underlying infrastructure are included in the calculations – as opposed to when only direct emissions are included. ASSESSING THE CLIMATE-POSITIVE EFFECTS OF ICT • CONCLUSIONS 7
  • 8. Case studies Case study no. 1: introduCtion of e-health in Croatia baCkground The term e-health refers to the application and use of ICT in all aspects of healthcare: 2 to provide better and more efficient services; and 2 to facilitate access to healthcare. The Healthcare Networking Information System, developed by Ericsson Nikola Tesla in Croatia, is a comprehensive ICT solution for integrating healthcare processes, information management and business workflows for healthcare organizations, enterprises and delivery systems. In this study, the system was used to transfer prescriptions and referrals electronically. Among other things, this reduced the need for: 2 printing prescriptions for patients 2 patients to travel. data and assumPtions Conventional healthcare system Croatia has about 4.5 million inhabitants, 55 percent of whom live in cities. There are about 260 cars per 1000 people. In addition, there are 6600 primary healthcare teams/units in Croatia and approximately one doctor for every 450 people. The main assumptions were as follows: 2 The e-referral service can reduce patient visits (approximately 12 million per year) by 50 percent. 2 On average, patients travel 10km + 10km per visit. Twenty-five percent of patients travel by car; the other 75 percent by public transport. 2 The e-prescription service can reduce paper consumption by 50 percent. the new e-health system The data center consumes 400MWh of electrical power a year. There are approximately 10,000 PCs in the network. The PCs and the data center are used for many purposes, not just the two services studied. Therefore, in all likelihood, the allocation of the total system to the two services studied will decline over time, especially as new services are introduced. The main assumptions were as follows: 2 About 10 percent of the system’s PCs were installed in parallel to the system. Therefore, 10 percent of the total system will be allocated to the e-referral service. 2 One percent of the total system is allocated to the e-prescription service. Without the e-prescription service, prescriptions would require input and printing. The service can be quantified by its added datacom overhead for which the assumption of 1 percent of the total system is probably high. Comparing the two systems Metric ton CO2e / year In total, the two services in the e-health system account for about 330 metric tons of CO2e emissions per year. Of this amount, PCs 5.000 and networks account for over 90 percent and the data center accounts for the rest. Given that patients reduce their travel, on 0 PCs Data center Paper Travel Buildings average by almost three visits per year, the potential reduction in travel is about 7kg CO2e per patient and year. This results in -5.000 a reduction of up to 15,000 metric tons of CO2e, provided 50 percent of all travel can be avoided. -10.000 A 50 percent reduction of paper consumption due to the e-prescription service would result in approximately 230 metric -15.000 tons of CO2e per year. Infrastructure and land use Potential reduction factor: up to Figure 4 shows added CO2e emissions due to the introduction Fuels and networks 50 depending on system boundary. Direct (operation) of the service and the potential reductions that can be derived -20.000 from the two e-health services. Figure 4: Graphical presentation of the e-health case study results ASSESSING THE CLIMATE-POSITIVE EFFECTS OF ICT • CASE STUDIES 8
  • 9. Conclusions The e-health system installed to support primary healthcare in Croatia can significantly reduce CO2e emissions, thanks to reductions in patient travel as well as to reductions in paper consumption. Taken together, the e-referral and e-prescription services have the potential to reduce CO2e emissions by up to 15,000 metric tons per year while the two services only add 330 metric tons of CO2e/year from operation and manufacturing activities. The potential reduction factor over a 20-year period is up to 50, depending on whether infrastructure is included and, if so, to what extent. Case study no. 2: sPots4media solution in sPain baCkground Spots4media is an Ericsson digital distribution solution used for media campaigns. Media agencies and TV broadcasters use the Spots4media platform to manage advertising materials. With the solution, Ericsson receives a videotape of the media from the advertiser’s production company, digitizes it, and sends a digital copy to an FTP server to which all TV channels are connected. The platform serves as an interface that media agencies use to access and complete a distribution form that identifies the TV channels to be used for distributing spots. The TV channels, in turn, use the platform to download the materials. This case focused on a specific media campaign in Spain, which provided digital delivery to 10 television- broadcasting networks of seven separate advertisements in two languages (Spanish and Catalan). data and assumPtions Conventional media distribution Traditionally this media campaign would have required the delivery of a total of 38 physical media tapes to the television stations. Traditional transportation methods would have used a total of 1520km worth of motorcycle and car deliveries. A main assumption in this study is: 2 The infrastructure for transportation (roadways) exists independently of method and is therefore not included in the calculations. 2 The system boundary includes tape manufacture and disposal, and the distribution phase of the delivery. new iCt-based digital delivery solution The Spots4media digital solution only required the delivery of seven tapes to Ericsson for digitizing. This resulted in a travel distance of six kilometers per motorcycle delivery. The main assumptions are as follows: 2 The infrastructure for the ICT delivery method (fiber) exists independently of method and is therefore not included in the calculations. 2 A dedicated quad-core server is used for digitizing and transfer. 2 A quad-core server is equivalent to two standard PCs. 2 A PC has a lifetime of four years. 2 The system boundary includes tape manufacture and disposal, manufacture of dedicated PCs, distribution, digitizing and data transfer. Comparing the two systems A single media campaign using traditional methods of delivering taped media produces approximately 410kg of CO2e emissions. These emissions can be divided evenly between tape production and transportation. The Spots4media digital delivery solution produces approximately 40kg of CO2e emissions, including tapes and physical distribution. The actual addition due to the ICT service is less than 2kg of CO2e per media campaign. This translates into a 370kg (91 percent) reduction in CO2e emissions per media campaign. The potential reduction factor is up to 230. The manufacture and disposal of the tapes used to transfer media from the media agency accounts for 95 percent of the impact. Spots4media has the potential to digitize approximately 1500 media campaigns per year if applied nationwide. By multiplying this figure by the results of a single media campaign we obtain the total annual reduction of 558 metric tons of CO2e emissions. Moreover, the digital delivery solution reduces delivery times by more than 90 percent. ASSESSING THE CLIMATE-POSITIVE EFFECTS OF ICT • CASE STUDIES 9
  • 10. Conclusions Compared to traditional media campaigns, the Spots4media digital delivery solution can reduce the CO2e emissions by more than 90 percent thanks to less transportation and fewer physical tapes. In Spain, the service has the potential to reduce CO2e emissions by about 500 metric tons per year if used for 1500 campaigns, while adding less than 3 metric tons of CO2e per year. The potential reduction factor in this case for 1500 media campaigns per year is up to 230. ASSESSING THE CLIMATE-POSITIVE EFFECTS OF ICT • CASE STUDIES 10
  • 11. Glossary C-lCa CO2e-based LCA Co2 carbon dioxide Co2e carbon dioxide equivalent etsi European Telecommunications Standards Institute eu European Union ftP file transfer protocol ghg greenhouse gas iCt information and communications technology iso International Organization for Standardization itu International Telecommunication Union lCa life cycle assessment lCi life cycle inventory mWh megawatt hour metric ton 1000kg ASSESSING THE CLIMATE-POSITIVE EFFECTS OF ICT • GLOSSARY 11
  • 12. References Borealis Centre for Environment and Trade Research, 2009. Findings from the US book industry – Environmental trends and climate impacts. Book Industry Study Group. Green Press Initiative. Chester M. V. and Horvath A., 2009. Environmental assessment of passenger transportation should include infrastructure and supply chains. Environmental Research Letters, 4 024008 (8pp). GeSi, SMART 2020: Enabling the low carbon economy in the information age, Global e-Sustainability Initiative, 2008. International Organization for Standardization 2006. ISO 14040, Environmental management – Life cycle assessment – Principles and framework. International Organization for Standardization 2006. ISO 14044, Environmental management – Life cycle assessment – Requirements and guidelines. Loerincik, Y., 2006. Environmental impacts and benefits of information and communication technology infrastructure and services, using process and input-output life cycle assessment. École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne (EPFL), These no 3540. Malmodin J., Moberg Å., Lundén D., Finnveden G. and Lövehagen N., 2009. Greenhouse gas emissions and operational electricity use in the ICT and entertainment and media sectors. Submitted to Journal of Industrial Ecology. To be published. ASSESSING THE CLIMATE-POSITIVE EFFECTS OF ICT • REFERENCES 12