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Jose luis ayala
Director government relations
for latin america
Ericsson
700 MHZimpact on Latin America’s Mobile Broadband
THE Networked Society
Security
Management
Sustainability
Network Cloud
ServicesDevices
Wireless Connectivity
is key
9 billion subscriptions by 2018
140%
PENETRATION in latam
by 2018
900 m
SUBSCRIPTIONS in latam
by 2018
3 GB
0.6 GB
0.45 GB
11 GB
2.7 GB
1.9 GB
2012 2018
Data traffic times 12 by 2018
Mobile Traffic Voice and Data
Mobile data traffic is expected to continue the trend of doubling each year
Data Consumption per device and month
SMARTPHONES FLOODING
MARKETS
50% OF PHONES
SOLD IN q1 WERE
SMARTPHONES
4,5 B
0,8 B
1,2 B
0,3 B
17% OF SMARTPHONE
penetration in latam
Subscriptions with cellular connection
video: half of data traffic in
2018
2012 2018
Video is the largest segment of data traffic in mobile networks expected to grow by
around 60% annually until the end of 2018.
Technologies evolution
Mobile subscriptions by Technology and Region
2012 2018
Latin America will experience a technology shift ahead, by 2018, WCDMA/HSPA will be the dominant
technology (~70%), however GSM/EDGE-only subscriptions will still have significant presence
(~20%) and, LTE will reach ~10%
Latin
America
Latin
America
Network evolution example
Driven by spectrum availability
GSM / Edge-only
WCDMA / HSPA
LTE
Step 1: GSM & HSPA in existing bands today
850 1900
700
Step 2: Introduction of HSPA Dual carrier + LTE in new band
Step 3: Expand LTE Coverage and capacity in new bands
1700 2100
2600
New Coverage and Capacity bands are needed to introduce LTE today, and in the future
Coverage Capacity
Application coverage
@
SMS10
Mbps 1
Mbps 0.1
Mbps
“App Coverage” – the area where my app works as I expect”
≈ 50%
≈ 5%
≈ 30%
≈ 15%
Heterogeneous
Networks
Improve
Densify
Add
Improve
Dense urbanSub-urban UrbanRural
Improve
Densify
Traffic density
IMPROVE
ADD
DENSIFY
Site distribution in a typical European country
How To provide APP coverage
MEA
Base: 2100
Future: 900, 1800 & 2600
2013+: CEPT800 & APT700
APAC
Base: 2100, 900 & 850
Future: 1800, 2300 & 2600
2013+: APT700
Japan
Base: 2100, 1700, JP850
Future: 1500, 900 & APT700
Europa
Base: 2100 & 900
Future: 2600, 1800 & CEPT800
North America
Base: 850, 1900, US700 & AWS
Future: 2600
spectrum Available for imt per
region
Out of a total 1177 MHz of identified spectrum in ITU RR, on average, ~ 1000 MHz
available for licensing in each Region
Latin America
Base: 850/900, 1800/1900, 2100
2013+: 1.7/2.1, 2500, 700
Future: 600, E850, 2.3, 1.5, & 3.5
Latam Spectrum availability
july 2013
Source: Ericsson
• The lack of enough spectrum in the region is the major
threat for massive MBB adoption
• Another challenge is the slow spectrum release
process (i.e., typically between 6 – 10 yrs. from start)
529
380
240
440
192 180 179 178 170 170 170
120 110 118
260262
AvailableSpectrumperBand(MHz)
-NationwideAverage
292
digital dividend Advantages for
latam
› Cost-efficient alternative for expanding
Mobile Broadband services
› Improved Indoor penetration
› Large block of spectrum allows
competitive market development
5
NumberofSitesrequired(normalized)
4.5
4
3.5
3
2.5
2
1.5
1
600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 2000 2200 2400 2600
Frequency (MHz)
LTE 700 requires ¼ sites than higher bands
UHF 3433 363514 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 37 5857 605938 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 61 6665 686762 63 64 69
470 MHz 698 MHz 806 MHz
2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
VHF
54 174 MHz72 76 88 MHz 216 MHz
614 MHz
DDDD 2.0
512 MHz
Latam: 5 countries
already licensed it, 2
countries in process
to, and 4 planning to
Latam: 9 countries
already allocated to
mobile service on a
primary basis
global atribution uhf bandjuly, 2013
Australia
April 16, 2013
Mexico
New Zealand
Q3-2013
Chile
Q3-2013
Ecuador
Licensed!
Taiwan
Sep, 2013Colombia
Brazil
2015
Japan
Licensed!
Venezuela
Unknown or spectrum band conditions under development
Licensed or intends to implement the 790 – 862 MHz band [3GPP Band 20]
Licensed or intends to implement the US700 arrangement [3GPP Bands 12, 13, 14, 17]
Licensed or intends to implement the APT700 band plan [3GPP Band 28 ]
Other spectrum band arrangement
Embargo countries
Panama
› RLAM will experience an explosive mobile traffic growth by 2015 – 2020
› Operators will use different technology alternatives to cope with traffic demands
› Releasing harmonized spectrum will continue being key for competitive market
development
› Digital Dividend will help increase Mobile Broadband adoption everywhere, with
competitive and accessible prices
conclusions
Ericsson mobility report
www.ericsson.com/ericsson-mobility-report
Please address further inquiries to:
Jose Luis Ayala
jose.ayala@ericsson.com and Linkedin
700 MHZ - Impact on Latin America’s Mobile Broadband

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700 MHZ - Impact on Latin America’s Mobile Broadband

  • 1. Jose luis ayala Director government relations for latin america Ericsson 700 MHZimpact on Latin America’s Mobile Broadband
  • 2. THE Networked Society Security Management Sustainability Network Cloud ServicesDevices Wireless Connectivity is key
  • 3. 9 billion subscriptions by 2018 140% PENETRATION in latam by 2018 900 m SUBSCRIPTIONS in latam by 2018
  • 4. 3 GB 0.6 GB 0.45 GB 11 GB 2.7 GB 1.9 GB 2012 2018 Data traffic times 12 by 2018 Mobile Traffic Voice and Data Mobile data traffic is expected to continue the trend of doubling each year Data Consumption per device and month
  • 5. SMARTPHONES FLOODING MARKETS 50% OF PHONES SOLD IN q1 WERE SMARTPHONES 4,5 B 0,8 B 1,2 B 0,3 B 17% OF SMARTPHONE penetration in latam Subscriptions with cellular connection
  • 6. video: half of data traffic in 2018 2012 2018 Video is the largest segment of data traffic in mobile networks expected to grow by around 60% annually until the end of 2018.
  • 7. Technologies evolution Mobile subscriptions by Technology and Region 2012 2018 Latin America will experience a technology shift ahead, by 2018, WCDMA/HSPA will be the dominant technology (~70%), however GSM/EDGE-only subscriptions will still have significant presence (~20%) and, LTE will reach ~10% Latin America Latin America
  • 8. Network evolution example Driven by spectrum availability GSM / Edge-only WCDMA / HSPA LTE Step 1: GSM & HSPA in existing bands today 850 1900 700 Step 2: Introduction of HSPA Dual carrier + LTE in new band Step 3: Expand LTE Coverage and capacity in new bands 1700 2100 2600 New Coverage and Capacity bands are needed to introduce LTE today, and in the future Coverage Capacity
  • 9. Application coverage @ SMS10 Mbps 1 Mbps 0.1 Mbps “App Coverage” – the area where my app works as I expect”
  • 10. ≈ 50% ≈ 5% ≈ 30% ≈ 15% Heterogeneous Networks Improve Densify Add Improve Dense urbanSub-urban UrbanRural Improve Densify Traffic density IMPROVE ADD DENSIFY Site distribution in a typical European country How To provide APP coverage
  • 11. MEA Base: 2100 Future: 900, 1800 & 2600 2013+: CEPT800 & APT700 APAC Base: 2100, 900 & 850 Future: 1800, 2300 & 2600 2013+: APT700 Japan Base: 2100, 1700, JP850 Future: 1500, 900 & APT700 Europa Base: 2100 & 900 Future: 2600, 1800 & CEPT800 North America Base: 850, 1900, US700 & AWS Future: 2600 spectrum Available for imt per region Out of a total 1177 MHz of identified spectrum in ITU RR, on average, ~ 1000 MHz available for licensing in each Region Latin America Base: 850/900, 1800/1900, 2100 2013+: 1.7/2.1, 2500, 700 Future: 600, E850, 2.3, 1.5, & 3.5
  • 12. Latam Spectrum availability july 2013 Source: Ericsson • The lack of enough spectrum in the region is the major threat for massive MBB adoption • Another challenge is the slow spectrum release process (i.e., typically between 6 – 10 yrs. from start) 529 380 240 440 192 180 179 178 170 170 170 120 110 118 260262 AvailableSpectrumperBand(MHz) -NationwideAverage 292
  • 13. digital dividend Advantages for latam › Cost-efficient alternative for expanding Mobile Broadband services › Improved Indoor penetration › Large block of spectrum allows competitive market development 5 NumberofSitesrequired(normalized) 4.5 4 3.5 3 2.5 2 1.5 1 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 2000 2200 2400 2600 Frequency (MHz) LTE 700 requires ¼ sites than higher bands UHF 3433 363514 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 37 5857 605938 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 61 6665 686762 63 64 69 470 MHz 698 MHz 806 MHz 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 VHF 54 174 MHz72 76 88 MHz 216 MHz 614 MHz DDDD 2.0 512 MHz Latam: 5 countries already licensed it, 2 countries in process to, and 4 planning to Latam: 9 countries already allocated to mobile service on a primary basis
  • 14. global atribution uhf bandjuly, 2013 Australia April 16, 2013 Mexico New Zealand Q3-2013 Chile Q3-2013 Ecuador Licensed! Taiwan Sep, 2013Colombia Brazil 2015 Japan Licensed! Venezuela Unknown or spectrum band conditions under development Licensed or intends to implement the 790 – 862 MHz band [3GPP Band 20] Licensed or intends to implement the US700 arrangement [3GPP Bands 12, 13, 14, 17] Licensed or intends to implement the APT700 band plan [3GPP Band 28 ] Other spectrum band arrangement Embargo countries Panama
  • 15. › RLAM will experience an explosive mobile traffic growth by 2015 – 2020 › Operators will use different technology alternatives to cope with traffic demands › Releasing harmonized spectrum will continue being key for competitive market development › Digital Dividend will help increase Mobile Broadband adoption everywhere, with competitive and accessible prices conclusions
  • 16. Ericsson mobility report www.ericsson.com/ericsson-mobility-report Please address further inquiries to: Jose Luis Ayala jose.ayala@ericsson.com and Linkedin