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Housing Policies: Better
Targeting Those Most in Need
        Christophe André
      Economics Department
             OECD
              European Research Conference
      Access to Housing for Homeless People in Europe
                York, 21st September 2012
Outline of the presentation

   General economic background

   Housing and welfare systems

   Homelessness: trends and policy orientations

   Conclusions: how to target those most in
    need?

                     European Research Conference
             Access to Housing for Homeless People in Europe
                       York, 21st September 2012
General economic background
                  Trends in most OECD countries


   Rising costs and shortages of housing

   Rising income inequality and poverty

   Deepest recession since the 1930s

   Fiscal crisis


                     European Research Conference
             Access to Housing for Homeless People in Europe
                       York, 21st September 2012
Housing cost overburden rate, 2009 (% of population)




                  European Research Conference
          Access to Housing for Homeless People in Europe
                    York, 21st September 2012
Income inequality
       Gini coefficients of income inequality, mid-1980s and late 2000s

0.50
                           Increasing inequality
0.45             Countries where inequality widened

0.40
                                                                             Little change
0.35                                                                         in inequality

0.30

0.25
                                                                                             Decreasing
0.20                                                                                         inequality

0.15




       Source: OECD, Divided We Stand: Why Inequality Keeps Rising (2011).

                                  European Research Conference
                          Access to Housing for Homeless People in Europe
                                    York, 21st September 2012
OECD output growth and unemployment
        GDP growth over the past 5 years (annualised)         Unemployment rate
  9.0

  8.0

  7.0

  6.0

  5.0

  4.0

  3.0

  2.0

  1.0

  0.0




                    European Research Conference
            Access to Housing for Homeless People in Europe
                      York, 21st September 2012
General government financial balance
                                                                  Per cent of GDP (2011)
20



15



10



 5



 0



 -5



-10



-15




                                                                                                                                                            SWE
                                                                                                PRT




                                                                                                                              AUT
                                                            POL




                                                                                                            AUS
                                                                        NLD



                                                                                          ISR




                                                                                                                                                                              EST
                                                                              CAN




                                                                                                                                          DEU




                                                                                                                                                                                                NOR
                                                                                                                                                                                          HUN
                              GBR
                        GRC




                                                                                                                                                                                    KOR
                  JPN




                                                                  SVK




                                                                                                                                                FIN
                                                                                                                        CZE




                                                                                                                                                                  MEX
                                                                                                                                                                        CHE
      IRL




                                                SVN
            USA




                                          NZL




                                                                                                                                                      LUX
                                                      FRA
                                    ESP




                                                                                                                                    DNK
                                                                                    ISL



                                                                                                      BEL


                                                                                                                  ITA




                                                  European Research Conference
                                          Access to Housing for Homeless People in Europe
                                                    York, 21st September 2012
Welfare systems and social housing
                   Stylised facts
   Nordic model: extended welfare and flexibility –
    Universal social housing
   Continental Europe: significant welfare but less
    flexible and universal – Diverse levels and
    organisation of social housing
   English speaking countries: safety net approach –
    residual social housing
   Transition economies: privatisation of housing at
    different speeds (e.g. cze,pol / est,svk)
                      European Research Conference
              Access to Housing for Homeless People in Europe
                        York, 21st September 2012
Tenure structure across countries
                                   Per cent of dwelling stock
               Owner         Private rental       Public rental          Co-operative   Others

      %
100

90

80

70

60

50

40

30

20

10

 0


          Source: Andrews, Caldera Sánchez and Johansson, “Housing Markets and Structural
          Policies in OECD countries”, OECD Economics Department Working Papers, No. 836.

                               European Research Conference
                       Access to Housing for Homeless People in Europe
                                 York, 21st September 2012
Types of social housing systems
                Based on eligibility and allocation criteria
                          Broad-based system                         Targeted system

 Size: Percentage of
 social housing in the                                 Income limits:
                                                                                 Income limits:
  total dwelling stock   No income limit: Waiting   Waiting list with some
                                                                               Needs/priority based
                                  list              combination of priority
                                                                                   allocation
                                                           groups



                                                           Estonia
                                                                                       Australia
                                                            Korea
                                                                                         Italy
                                                           Mexico
                                                                                       Portugal
0-5%                          Luxembourg                   Norway
                                                                                       Hungary
                                                       Slovak Republic
                                                                                        Greece
                                                         Switzerland
                                                                                       Slovenia
                                                        United States




                                                          Belgium                       Canada
6-10%                                                   New Zealand                    Germany
                                                          Ireland                        Israel




                                                                                 Czech Republic
                                                           Poland                    Finland
11-20%                           Sweden
                                                           Spain                     France
                                                                                 United Kingdom




                                Denmark
More than 20%                                              Austria
                               Netherlands



Source: OECD Housing Market questionnaire.


                         European Research Conference
                 Access to Housing for Homeless People in Europe
                           York, 21st September 2012
Public spending on housing


   Tax reliefs: tend to be regressive
   Grants for social housing: generally declining
   Housing allowances: under pressure


   Public finances increasingly tight -> need for
    more focus

                      European Research Conference
              Access to Housing for Homeless People in Europe
                        York, 21st September 2012
Homelessness: Trends

   Difficult to measure. But seems to be
    rising in many countries
   The recession and budget cuts are likely
    to make things worse
   Main causes for homelessness:
     Relationship breakdown and eviction
     Personal vulnerabilities (addictions, mental

      health problems…)

                     European Research Conference
             Access to Housing for Homeless People in Europe
                       York, 21st September 2012
Homelessness: Policy orientations

   People with no special needs:
     Welfare safety net
     Support for housing (allowances, social housing)

     Forbearance (mortgage/rent arrears)/Prevention

   People with special needs
     Housing First (rather than Staircase models)
     Additional social services

     Coordination with landlords


                      European Research Conference
              Access to Housing for Homeless People in Europe
                        York, 21st September 2012
Homelessness and social housing

   Disconnect between homelessness policies
    and social housing: path dependency,
    “policy silos”, stigma, financial risk…
   Social housing for people with special
    needs?
     Difficult for them to access market housing
     Could face hardship in private rental

     Coordination with social services


                    European Research Conference
            Access to Housing for Homeless People in Europe
                      York, 21st September 2012
Conclusions: how to target the most in need?

   System approach to housing policies: is
    more social housing needed or are the
    problems elsewhere?
   Allocation of social housing is key
   For people with special needs: need for
    better coordination with social and health
    services

                     European Research Conference
             Access to Housing for Homeless People in Europe
                       York, 21st September 2012
Thank you !




        European Research Conference
Access to Housing for Homeless People in Europe
          York, 21st September 2012

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Housing Policies: Better Targeting Those Most in Need

  • 1. Housing Policies: Better Targeting Those Most in Need Christophe André Economics Department OECD European Research Conference Access to Housing for Homeless People in Europe York, 21st September 2012
  • 2. Outline of the presentation  General economic background  Housing and welfare systems  Homelessness: trends and policy orientations  Conclusions: how to target those most in need? European Research Conference Access to Housing for Homeless People in Europe York, 21st September 2012
  • 3. General economic background Trends in most OECD countries  Rising costs and shortages of housing  Rising income inequality and poverty  Deepest recession since the 1930s  Fiscal crisis European Research Conference Access to Housing for Homeless People in Europe York, 21st September 2012
  • 4. Housing cost overburden rate, 2009 (% of population) European Research Conference Access to Housing for Homeless People in Europe York, 21st September 2012
  • 5. Income inequality Gini coefficients of income inequality, mid-1980s and late 2000s 0.50 Increasing inequality 0.45 Countries where inequality widened 0.40 Little change 0.35 in inequality 0.30 0.25 Decreasing 0.20 inequality 0.15 Source: OECD, Divided We Stand: Why Inequality Keeps Rising (2011). European Research Conference Access to Housing for Homeless People in Europe York, 21st September 2012
  • 6. OECD output growth and unemployment GDP growth over the past 5 years (annualised) Unemployment rate 9.0 8.0 7.0 6.0 5.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 European Research Conference Access to Housing for Homeless People in Europe York, 21st September 2012
  • 7. General government financial balance Per cent of GDP (2011) 20 15 10 5 0 -5 -10 -15 SWE PRT AUT POL AUS NLD ISR EST CAN DEU NOR HUN GBR GRC KOR JPN SVK FIN CZE MEX CHE IRL SVN USA NZL LUX FRA ESP DNK ISL BEL ITA European Research Conference Access to Housing for Homeless People in Europe York, 21st September 2012
  • 8. Welfare systems and social housing Stylised facts  Nordic model: extended welfare and flexibility – Universal social housing  Continental Europe: significant welfare but less flexible and universal – Diverse levels and organisation of social housing  English speaking countries: safety net approach – residual social housing  Transition economies: privatisation of housing at different speeds (e.g. cze,pol / est,svk) European Research Conference Access to Housing for Homeless People in Europe York, 21st September 2012
  • 9. Tenure structure across countries Per cent of dwelling stock Owner Private rental Public rental Co-operative Others % 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Source: Andrews, Caldera Sánchez and Johansson, “Housing Markets and Structural Policies in OECD countries”, OECD Economics Department Working Papers, No. 836. European Research Conference Access to Housing for Homeless People in Europe York, 21st September 2012
  • 10. Types of social housing systems Based on eligibility and allocation criteria Broad-based system Targeted system Size: Percentage of social housing in the Income limits: Income limits: total dwelling stock No income limit: Waiting Waiting list with some Needs/priority based list combination of priority allocation groups Estonia Australia Korea Italy Mexico Portugal 0-5% Luxembourg Norway Hungary Slovak Republic Greece Switzerland Slovenia United States Belgium Canada 6-10% New Zealand Germany Ireland Israel Czech Republic Poland Finland 11-20% Sweden Spain France United Kingdom Denmark More than 20% Austria Netherlands Source: OECD Housing Market questionnaire. European Research Conference Access to Housing for Homeless People in Europe York, 21st September 2012
  • 11. Public spending on housing  Tax reliefs: tend to be regressive  Grants for social housing: generally declining  Housing allowances: under pressure  Public finances increasingly tight -> need for more focus European Research Conference Access to Housing for Homeless People in Europe York, 21st September 2012
  • 12. Homelessness: Trends  Difficult to measure. But seems to be rising in many countries  The recession and budget cuts are likely to make things worse  Main causes for homelessness:  Relationship breakdown and eviction  Personal vulnerabilities (addictions, mental health problems…) European Research Conference Access to Housing for Homeless People in Europe York, 21st September 2012
  • 13. Homelessness: Policy orientations  People with no special needs:  Welfare safety net  Support for housing (allowances, social housing)  Forbearance (mortgage/rent arrears)/Prevention  People with special needs  Housing First (rather than Staircase models)  Additional social services  Coordination with landlords European Research Conference Access to Housing for Homeless People in Europe York, 21st September 2012
  • 14. Homelessness and social housing  Disconnect between homelessness policies and social housing: path dependency, “policy silos”, stigma, financial risk…  Social housing for people with special needs?  Difficult for them to access market housing  Could face hardship in private rental  Coordination with social services European Research Conference Access to Housing for Homeless People in Europe York, 21st September 2012
  • 15. Conclusions: how to target the most in need?  System approach to housing policies: is more social housing needed or are the problems elsewhere?  Allocation of social housing is key  For people with special needs: need for better coordination with social and health services European Research Conference Access to Housing for Homeless People in Europe York, 21st September 2012
  • 16. Thank you ! European Research Conference Access to Housing for Homeless People in Europe York, 21st September 2012