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PJ Devereaux, MD, PhD
McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada
on behalf of POISE-2 Investigators
PeriOperative ISchemic Evaluation-2 Trial
POISE-2POISE-2
Disclosure
• Member of research group with policy
– of not accepting honorariums or other payments from industry
• for own personal financial gain
• Accept honorariums/payments from industry to support
– research endeavors and reimbursement of costs to participate
in meetings
• Based on study questions I originated and grants I wrote
– I have received grants from
• Abbott Diagnostics, AstraZeneca, Bayer, Boehringer Ingelheim,
Bristol-Myers Squibb, Covidien, Philips, Roche Diagnostics, Stryker
• I have participated in
– advisory boarding meeting GlaxoSmithKline
– expert panel meeting AstraZeneca
Goals of presentation
• Background
– magnitude of the problem
– potential for perioperative aspirin and clonidine
• POISE-2 Trial
– methods
– aspirin results
– clonidine results
• POISE-3
• Take away messages
Background
•Worldwide 200 million noncardiac surgeries annually
– 10 million suffer major vascular complication
• MI is most common
Despite magnitude of problem
– no known safe and effective prophylactic interventions
Aspirin background
•Surgery – associated with platelet activation
• thrombosis may be mechanism of periop MI
•Strong evidence aspirin prevents periop VTE
• but physicians more commonly use anticoagulants
•Substantial variability in periop usage of aspirin
for prevention of arterial events
• aspirin-naive patients and
• patients taking aspirin chronically
Clonidine background
• Surgery – activation of sympathetic system
– can lead to myocardial O2
supply-demand mismatch
•may result in MI
• POISE – demonstrated periop beta-blocker
– prevented MI but
– increased risk of death, stroke, and hypotension
• Clonidine – α2-adrenergic agonist
– blunts central sympathetic outflow and has
analgesic and anti-inflammatory effects
– data suggest less hypotension than beta-blocker
POISE-2 methods
•Design – blinded 2 X 2 factorial RCT
• aspirin vs placebo
• clonidine vs placebo
•Eligiblity criteria – undergoing noncardiac surgery,
≥45 yrs, at risk of vascular complication
•Excluded patients
• BMS <6 weeks before surgery
• DES <1 year before surgery
• took aspirin within 72 hrs before surgery
POISE-2 methods
•2 aspirin strata
• Initiation Stratum (n=5628)
• Continuation Stratum (n=4382)
•Intervention
• aspirin/placebo (200 mg) just before surgery;
• continued daily (100 mg) 30 days in Initiation Stratum and 7
days in Continuation Stratum
• clonidine/placebo (0.2 mg/day)
• started before surgery and continued until 72 hrs after Sx
•Primary outcome
• death or nonfatal MI at 30 days
Outcome definitions
• MI – universal definition of MI
• Life threatening bleed – bleeding event with
– emergent surgery, intracranial hemorrhage,
– hypotension required inotrope or vasopressor, or fatal
• Major bleed – bleeding with
– Hb ≤70 g/L and ≥2 units RBCs;
– Hb drop ≥50 g/L and ≥2 units of RBCs;
– ≥4 units of RBCs within 24 hr period;
– intervention (e.g., embolization); or
– retroperitoneal, intraspinal, or intraocular bleed
• Hypotension: systolic <90 mmHg requiring treatment
• Bradycardia: HR <55 beats/min requiring treatment
Recruitment by region
Follow-up complete on 99.9% of patients
Preoperative characteristics
Characteristics (N=10,010)
Age – (mean yrs) 69
Male (%) 53
Known vascular
disease (%)
33
History of PCI (%) 5
Type of surgery and
periop anticoagulant prophylaxis
Surgery (N=10,010)
Orthopedic
General
Urologic or gynecologic
Vascular
Other
39
27
17
6
11
65% of patients received prophylactic anticoagulant
Aspirin 1O
and 2O
outcome results
Outcome Aspirin
(4998)
Placebo
(5012)
HR
(95% CI)
P
1O
outcome:
death or
nonfatal MI
351 (7.0) 355 (7.1) 0.99 (0.86-1.15) 0.92
Aspirin 1O
and 2O
outcome results
Outcome Aspirin
(4998)
Placebo
(5012)
HR
(95% CI)
P
1O
outcome:
death or
nonfatal MI
351 (7.0) 355 (7.1) 0.99 (0.86-1.15) 0.92
2O
outcomes:
death, MI, or
stroke
362 (7.2) 370 (7.4) 0.98 (0.85-1.13) 0.80
death, MI,
revasc, PE,
DVT
402 (8.0) 407 (8.1) 0.99 (0.86-1.14) 0.90
No interaction with clonidine study drug
Aspirin tertiary outcome results
Outcome Aspirin
(4998)
Placebo
(5012)
HR
(95% CI)
P
Mortality 65 (1.3) 62 (1.2) 1.05 (0.74-1.49) 0.78
MI 309 (6.2) 315 (6.3) 0.98 (0.84-1.15) 0.85
Periph arterial
thrombosis
13 (0.3) 15 (0.3) 0.87 (0.41-1.83) 0.71
Aspirin tertiary outcome results
Outcome Aspirin
(4998)
Placebo
(5012)
HR
(95% CI)
P
Mortality 65 (1.3) 62 (1.2) 1.05 (0.74-1.49) 0.78
MI 309 (6.2) 315 (6.3) 0.98 (0.84-1.15) 0.85
Periph arterial
thrombosis
13 (0.3) 15 (0.3) 0.87 (0.41-1.83) 0.71
PE 33 (0.7) 31 (0.6) 1.07 (0.65-1.74) 0.79
DVT 25 (0.5) 35 (0.7) 0.72 (0.43-1.20) 0.20
acute kidney
injury, dialysis
33 (0.7) 19 (0.4) 1.75 (1.00-3.09) 0.05
Aspirin safety outcome results
Outcome Aspirin
(4998)
Placebo
(5012)
HR
(95% CI)
P
Major bleed 230 (4.6) 188 (3.8) 1.23 (1.01-1.49) 0.04
Life-threat
bleed
87 (1.7) 73 (1.5) 1.19 (0.88-1.63) 0.26
Stroke 16 (0.3) 19 (0.4) 0.84 (0.43-1.64) 0.62
Strata and bleeding results
• 1O
and 2nd
outcome results similar in both aspirin strata
• Multivariable regression – life-threatening or major
bleed independent predictor of periop MI
– HR, 1.82; (95% CI, 1.40-2.36); P<0.001
Absolute risk increase in life-threatening or
major bleeding on each day until day 30
From this day
to 30 day f-up
Aspirin
%
Placebo
%
Abs. risk
increase (%)
P
Day of Sx 6.3 5.1 1.2 0.01
Day 1 > Sx 4.0 2.7 1.3 <0.001
Day 2 > Sx 2.9 1.9 1.0 0.002
Day 3 > Sx 2.2 1.2 1.0 <0.001
Day 4 > Sx 1.6 0.7 0.9 <0.001
From this day
to 30 day f-up
Aspirin
%
Placebo
%
Abs. risk
increase (%)
P
Day 5 > Sx 1.3 0.6 0.7 <0.001
Day 6 > Sx 0.9 0.5 0.4 0.03
Day 7 > Sx 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.03
Day 8 > Sx 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.29
Day 9 > Sx 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.82
Day 10 > Sx 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.67
Absolute risk increase in life-threatening or
major bleeding on each day until day 30
Aspirin conclusions
• Periop aspirin did not prevent death or MI
• but increased risk of major bleeding
• findings apply to both patients naive to aspirin and
patients taking aspirin chronically
• Life-threatening and major bleeding
• independent predictor of MI
• may explain difference b/w non-operative & periop aspirin results
• Among patients taking aspirin chronically
• no increase in thrombotic events due to periop
withholding of aspirin
• optimal time to restart aspirin
• 8 – 10 days after surgery
Clonidine 1O
and 2O
outcome results
Outcome Clonidine
(5009)
Placebo
(5001)
HR
(95% CI)
P
1O
outcome:
death or MI 367 (7.3) 339 (6.8) 1.08 (0.93-1.26) 0.29
Clonidine 1O
and 2O
outcome results
Outcome Clonidine
(5009)
Placebo
(5001)
HR
(95% CI)
P
1O
outcome:
death or MI 367 (7.3) 339 (6.8) 1.08 (0.93-1.26) 0.29
2O
outcome:
death, MI,
or stroke
380 (7.6) 352 (7.0) 1.08 (0.93-1.25) 0.30
No interaction with aspirin study drug
Clonidine tertiary outcomes
Outcome Clonidine
(5009)
Placebo
(5001)
HR
(95% CI)
P
Total mortality 64 (1.3) 63 (1.3) 1.01 (0.72-1.44) 0.94
Vascular
mortality
38 (0.8) 32 (0.6) 1.19 (0.74-1.90) 0.48
Myocardial
infarction
329 (6.6) 295 (5.9) 1.11 (0.95-1.30) 0.18
Cardiac
revascularisation
19 (0.4) 11 (0.2) 1.73 (0.82-3.63) 0.15
Pulmonary
embolus
32 (0.6) 32 (0.6) 1.00 (0.61-1.63) 0.99
Nonfatal cardiac
arrest
16 (0.3) 5 (0.1) 3.20 (1.17-8.73) 0.02
Clonidine safety outcomes
Outcome Clonidine
(5009)
Placebo
(5001)
HR
(95% CI)
P
Clinically
important
hypotension
2385 (48) 1854 (37) 1.32 (1.24-1.40) <0.001
Clinically
important
bradycardia
600 (12) 403 (8) 1.49 (1.32-1.69) <0.001
Stroke 18 (0.4) 17 (0.3) 1.06 (0.54-2.05) 0.87
Independent predictor of MI
Predictor Adjusted HR
(95% CI)
P
Clinically important
hypotension
1.37
(1.16-1.62)
<0.001
POISE vs POISE-2
• Discordant results
– POISE metoprolol MI HR: 0.73 (0.60-0.89)
– POISE-2 clonidine MI HR: 1.11 (0.95-1.30)
• Clinically important hypotension increased by
• metoprolol HR: 1.55 (1.38-1.74)
• clonidine HR: 1.32 (1.24-1.40)
• More clinically important bradycardia with metoprolol
• metoprolol HR: 2.74 (2.19-3.43)
• clonidine HR: 1.49 (1.32-1.69)
• Preventing MIs may be balance between
• decreasing HR (minimizing oxygen demand)
• avoiding hypotension (ensuring oxygen supply)
Clonidine conclusions
• Clonidine does not reduce postop MI or death
• increases clinically important hypotension
• Clinically important hypotension
• independent predictor of MI
POISE-3
• Design – blinded factorial RCT
• Eligibility – age ≥45 yrs, undergoing
noncardiac surgery, NT-proBNP ≥100
• Intervention
– Ivabradine versus placebo
– Tranexamic acid versus placebo
Take away messages
• Sometimes in research discovered unintended ways to
help patients
– any discovery that help patients is positive
• By not giving clonidine and aspirin to patients having
noncardiac surgery in an effort to reduce perioperative
mortality or MI
– we can help patients
• POISE-3 will inform 2 promising interventions
Risk and duration of hypotension
Period Clonidine
(%)
Placebo
(%)
P Placebo
duration
minutes
Clonidine
duration
minutes
P
Surgery 39 32 <0.001 15 15 0.12
PACU 8 4 <0.001 30 30 0.30
Post-op
Day 1
8 5 <0.001 150 180 0.13
Post-op
Day 2
3 2 <0.001 110 160 0.03
Post-op
Day 3
1.1 0.6 0.004 109 214 0.07
32
Aspirin 1O
outcome subgroup analyses
0.16
0.89
0.92
Independent predictors of MI
Predictor Adj HR
(95% CI)
P
Hx of CAD 1.49 (1.25-1.78) <0.001
Hx of PVD 2.10 (1.69-2.60) <0.001
Hx of CHF 1.60 (1.15-2.22) 0.005
eGFR <60 ml/min/ 1.73m2
1.52 (1.28-1.79) <0.001
Age ≥ 75 1.89 (1.60-2.23) <0.001
Clin. Imp. hypotension 1.37 (1.16-1.62) <0.001
Life threatening & major bleed 1.82 (1.40-2.36) <0.001
Strata subgroup analysis for stroke
Outcome
Aspirin
n/N (%)
Placebo
n/N (%)
HR
(95%)
P
Inter-
action
P
Overall 16/4998
(0.3)
19/5012
(0.4)
0.84
(0.43-1.64)
0.62
ASA
Starting
3/2807
(0.1)
12/2821
(0.4)
0.25
(0.07-0.89)
0.03 0.01
ASA
Continuation
13/2191
(0.6)
7/2191
(0.3)
1.86
(0.74-4.66)
0.19

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Apresentação do estudo poise 2

  • 1. PJ Devereaux, MD, PhD McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada on behalf of POISE-2 Investigators PeriOperative ISchemic Evaluation-2 Trial POISE-2POISE-2
  • 2. Disclosure • Member of research group with policy – of not accepting honorariums or other payments from industry • for own personal financial gain • Accept honorariums/payments from industry to support – research endeavors and reimbursement of costs to participate in meetings • Based on study questions I originated and grants I wrote – I have received grants from • Abbott Diagnostics, AstraZeneca, Bayer, Boehringer Ingelheim, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Covidien, Philips, Roche Diagnostics, Stryker • I have participated in – advisory boarding meeting GlaxoSmithKline – expert panel meeting AstraZeneca
  • 3. Goals of presentation • Background – magnitude of the problem – potential for perioperative aspirin and clonidine • POISE-2 Trial – methods – aspirin results – clonidine results • POISE-3 • Take away messages
  • 4. Background •Worldwide 200 million noncardiac surgeries annually – 10 million suffer major vascular complication • MI is most common Despite magnitude of problem – no known safe and effective prophylactic interventions
  • 5. Aspirin background •Surgery – associated with platelet activation • thrombosis may be mechanism of periop MI •Strong evidence aspirin prevents periop VTE • but physicians more commonly use anticoagulants •Substantial variability in periop usage of aspirin for prevention of arterial events • aspirin-naive patients and • patients taking aspirin chronically
  • 6. Clonidine background • Surgery – activation of sympathetic system – can lead to myocardial O2 supply-demand mismatch •may result in MI • POISE – demonstrated periop beta-blocker – prevented MI but – increased risk of death, stroke, and hypotension • Clonidine – α2-adrenergic agonist – blunts central sympathetic outflow and has analgesic and anti-inflammatory effects – data suggest less hypotension than beta-blocker
  • 7. POISE-2 methods •Design – blinded 2 X 2 factorial RCT • aspirin vs placebo • clonidine vs placebo •Eligiblity criteria – undergoing noncardiac surgery, ≥45 yrs, at risk of vascular complication •Excluded patients • BMS <6 weeks before surgery • DES <1 year before surgery • took aspirin within 72 hrs before surgery
  • 8. POISE-2 methods •2 aspirin strata • Initiation Stratum (n=5628) • Continuation Stratum (n=4382) •Intervention • aspirin/placebo (200 mg) just before surgery; • continued daily (100 mg) 30 days in Initiation Stratum and 7 days in Continuation Stratum • clonidine/placebo (0.2 mg/day) • started before surgery and continued until 72 hrs after Sx •Primary outcome • death or nonfatal MI at 30 days
  • 9. Outcome definitions • MI – universal definition of MI • Life threatening bleed – bleeding event with – emergent surgery, intracranial hemorrhage, – hypotension required inotrope or vasopressor, or fatal • Major bleed – bleeding with – Hb ≤70 g/L and ≥2 units RBCs; – Hb drop ≥50 g/L and ≥2 units of RBCs; – ≥4 units of RBCs within 24 hr period; – intervention (e.g., embolization); or – retroperitoneal, intraspinal, or intraocular bleed • Hypotension: systolic <90 mmHg requiring treatment • Bradycardia: HR <55 beats/min requiring treatment
  • 10. Recruitment by region Follow-up complete on 99.9% of patients
  • 11. Preoperative characteristics Characteristics (N=10,010) Age – (mean yrs) 69 Male (%) 53 Known vascular disease (%) 33 History of PCI (%) 5
  • 12. Type of surgery and periop anticoagulant prophylaxis Surgery (N=10,010) Orthopedic General Urologic or gynecologic Vascular Other 39 27 17 6 11 65% of patients received prophylactic anticoagulant
  • 13. Aspirin 1O and 2O outcome results Outcome Aspirin (4998) Placebo (5012) HR (95% CI) P 1O outcome: death or nonfatal MI 351 (7.0) 355 (7.1) 0.99 (0.86-1.15) 0.92
  • 14. Aspirin 1O and 2O outcome results Outcome Aspirin (4998) Placebo (5012) HR (95% CI) P 1O outcome: death or nonfatal MI 351 (7.0) 355 (7.1) 0.99 (0.86-1.15) 0.92 2O outcomes: death, MI, or stroke 362 (7.2) 370 (7.4) 0.98 (0.85-1.13) 0.80 death, MI, revasc, PE, DVT 402 (8.0) 407 (8.1) 0.99 (0.86-1.14) 0.90 No interaction with clonidine study drug
  • 15. Aspirin tertiary outcome results Outcome Aspirin (4998) Placebo (5012) HR (95% CI) P Mortality 65 (1.3) 62 (1.2) 1.05 (0.74-1.49) 0.78 MI 309 (6.2) 315 (6.3) 0.98 (0.84-1.15) 0.85 Periph arterial thrombosis 13 (0.3) 15 (0.3) 0.87 (0.41-1.83) 0.71
  • 16. Aspirin tertiary outcome results Outcome Aspirin (4998) Placebo (5012) HR (95% CI) P Mortality 65 (1.3) 62 (1.2) 1.05 (0.74-1.49) 0.78 MI 309 (6.2) 315 (6.3) 0.98 (0.84-1.15) 0.85 Periph arterial thrombosis 13 (0.3) 15 (0.3) 0.87 (0.41-1.83) 0.71 PE 33 (0.7) 31 (0.6) 1.07 (0.65-1.74) 0.79 DVT 25 (0.5) 35 (0.7) 0.72 (0.43-1.20) 0.20 acute kidney injury, dialysis 33 (0.7) 19 (0.4) 1.75 (1.00-3.09) 0.05
  • 17. Aspirin safety outcome results Outcome Aspirin (4998) Placebo (5012) HR (95% CI) P Major bleed 230 (4.6) 188 (3.8) 1.23 (1.01-1.49) 0.04 Life-threat bleed 87 (1.7) 73 (1.5) 1.19 (0.88-1.63) 0.26 Stroke 16 (0.3) 19 (0.4) 0.84 (0.43-1.64) 0.62
  • 18. Strata and bleeding results • 1O and 2nd outcome results similar in both aspirin strata • Multivariable regression – life-threatening or major bleed independent predictor of periop MI – HR, 1.82; (95% CI, 1.40-2.36); P<0.001
  • 19. Absolute risk increase in life-threatening or major bleeding on each day until day 30 From this day to 30 day f-up Aspirin % Placebo % Abs. risk increase (%) P Day of Sx 6.3 5.1 1.2 0.01 Day 1 > Sx 4.0 2.7 1.3 <0.001 Day 2 > Sx 2.9 1.9 1.0 0.002 Day 3 > Sx 2.2 1.2 1.0 <0.001 Day 4 > Sx 1.6 0.7 0.9 <0.001
  • 20. From this day to 30 day f-up Aspirin % Placebo % Abs. risk increase (%) P Day 5 > Sx 1.3 0.6 0.7 <0.001 Day 6 > Sx 0.9 0.5 0.4 0.03 Day 7 > Sx 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.03 Day 8 > Sx 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.29 Day 9 > Sx 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.82 Day 10 > Sx 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.67 Absolute risk increase in life-threatening or major bleeding on each day until day 30
  • 21. Aspirin conclusions • Periop aspirin did not prevent death or MI • but increased risk of major bleeding • findings apply to both patients naive to aspirin and patients taking aspirin chronically • Life-threatening and major bleeding • independent predictor of MI • may explain difference b/w non-operative & periop aspirin results • Among patients taking aspirin chronically • no increase in thrombotic events due to periop withholding of aspirin • optimal time to restart aspirin • 8 – 10 days after surgery
  • 22. Clonidine 1O and 2O outcome results Outcome Clonidine (5009) Placebo (5001) HR (95% CI) P 1O outcome: death or MI 367 (7.3) 339 (6.8) 1.08 (0.93-1.26) 0.29
  • 23. Clonidine 1O and 2O outcome results Outcome Clonidine (5009) Placebo (5001) HR (95% CI) P 1O outcome: death or MI 367 (7.3) 339 (6.8) 1.08 (0.93-1.26) 0.29 2O outcome: death, MI, or stroke 380 (7.6) 352 (7.0) 1.08 (0.93-1.25) 0.30 No interaction with aspirin study drug
  • 24. Clonidine tertiary outcomes Outcome Clonidine (5009) Placebo (5001) HR (95% CI) P Total mortality 64 (1.3) 63 (1.3) 1.01 (0.72-1.44) 0.94 Vascular mortality 38 (0.8) 32 (0.6) 1.19 (0.74-1.90) 0.48 Myocardial infarction 329 (6.6) 295 (5.9) 1.11 (0.95-1.30) 0.18 Cardiac revascularisation 19 (0.4) 11 (0.2) 1.73 (0.82-3.63) 0.15 Pulmonary embolus 32 (0.6) 32 (0.6) 1.00 (0.61-1.63) 0.99 Nonfatal cardiac arrest 16 (0.3) 5 (0.1) 3.20 (1.17-8.73) 0.02
  • 25. Clonidine safety outcomes Outcome Clonidine (5009) Placebo (5001) HR (95% CI) P Clinically important hypotension 2385 (48) 1854 (37) 1.32 (1.24-1.40) <0.001 Clinically important bradycardia 600 (12) 403 (8) 1.49 (1.32-1.69) <0.001 Stroke 18 (0.4) 17 (0.3) 1.06 (0.54-2.05) 0.87
  • 26. Independent predictor of MI Predictor Adjusted HR (95% CI) P Clinically important hypotension 1.37 (1.16-1.62) <0.001
  • 27. POISE vs POISE-2 • Discordant results – POISE metoprolol MI HR: 0.73 (0.60-0.89) – POISE-2 clonidine MI HR: 1.11 (0.95-1.30) • Clinically important hypotension increased by • metoprolol HR: 1.55 (1.38-1.74) • clonidine HR: 1.32 (1.24-1.40) • More clinically important bradycardia with metoprolol • metoprolol HR: 2.74 (2.19-3.43) • clonidine HR: 1.49 (1.32-1.69) • Preventing MIs may be balance between • decreasing HR (minimizing oxygen demand) • avoiding hypotension (ensuring oxygen supply)
  • 28. Clonidine conclusions • Clonidine does not reduce postop MI or death • increases clinically important hypotension • Clinically important hypotension • independent predictor of MI
  • 29. POISE-3 • Design – blinded factorial RCT • Eligibility – age ≥45 yrs, undergoing noncardiac surgery, NT-proBNP ≥100 • Intervention – Ivabradine versus placebo – Tranexamic acid versus placebo
  • 30. Take away messages • Sometimes in research discovered unintended ways to help patients – any discovery that help patients is positive • By not giving clonidine and aspirin to patients having noncardiac surgery in an effort to reduce perioperative mortality or MI – we can help patients • POISE-3 will inform 2 promising interventions
  • 31. Risk and duration of hypotension Period Clonidine (%) Placebo (%) P Placebo duration minutes Clonidine duration minutes P Surgery 39 32 <0.001 15 15 0.12 PACU 8 4 <0.001 30 30 0.30 Post-op Day 1 8 5 <0.001 150 180 0.13 Post-op Day 2 3 2 <0.001 110 160 0.03 Post-op Day 3 1.1 0.6 0.004 109 214 0.07
  • 32. 32 Aspirin 1O outcome subgroup analyses 0.16 0.89 0.92
  • 33. Independent predictors of MI Predictor Adj HR (95% CI) P Hx of CAD 1.49 (1.25-1.78) <0.001 Hx of PVD 2.10 (1.69-2.60) <0.001 Hx of CHF 1.60 (1.15-2.22) 0.005 eGFR <60 ml/min/ 1.73m2 1.52 (1.28-1.79) <0.001 Age ≥ 75 1.89 (1.60-2.23) <0.001 Clin. Imp. hypotension 1.37 (1.16-1.62) <0.001 Life threatening & major bleed 1.82 (1.40-2.36) <0.001
  • 34. Strata subgroup analysis for stroke Outcome Aspirin n/N (%) Placebo n/N (%) HR (95%) P Inter- action P Overall 16/4998 (0.3) 19/5012 (0.4) 0.84 (0.43-1.64) 0.62 ASA Starting 3/2807 (0.1) 12/2821 (0.4) 0.25 (0.07-0.89) 0.03 0.01 ASA Continuation 13/2191 (0.6) 7/2191 (0.3) 1.86 (0.74-4.66) 0.19