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Smart Grids Russia and NW Russia
 Heat and Power: FinNode project results
 available

Eco-Russia Seminar 1.11.2012
Hannu Kivelä, Leading Consultant




 1.11.2012
FinNode Smart Grid Russia and NW Russia Heat and Power
FinNode

   • FinNode is a global network of Finnish innovation organisations.
   • Operating via nodes in global innovation activity, FinNode actively
     reveals new openings for Finnish business and research
     organisations and supports their internationalisation.
   • It connects Finnish and international experts and the know-how
     required to promote innovation.
   • As FinNode represents the Finnish innovation system in the countries
     where it operates, foreign partners can engage with Finland’s central
     public innovation organisations.

   • The FinNode network operates in the United States, China, Russia,
     Japan and India.




1/11/2012                          © Finpro                              3
Introduction

   • FinNode published during the spring 2012 two major environment
     and energy related projects on Russia:

            • Smart Grids Russia
            • NW Russia Heat and Power

   • These projects were prepared by Finpro Russian offices

   • This presentation concentrates on the main findings of the two
     reports. The report summaries are available for free on request.




1/11/2012                            © Finpro                           4
Russian Smart
Grids
Energy Consumption in Federal Districts
              (FDs) of Russia
               Unified National (All-Russia) Electric Grid is synchronized with Ukrainian,
               Kazakh, Belorussian, Baltic countries Electric Grids
                               North-Western FD




              Center FD




                                                                                                              Legend:

                                                                                                               Industry
             Southern FD
                                                                                                               Communal/Population

                                                                                                               Services

                                                                                                               Others

                                       Volga FD
                                                   Ural FD                Siberian FD
                                                                                             Far-Eastern FD




                  North-Caucasus
                  FD




    Power consumption in the principal economic sectors by Federal districts of the Russian Federation (pie charts
    scaling reflects the power consumption by each federal district respectively), %



1/11/2012                                                © Finpro                                                          6
Pricing policy
     • Electricity prices for private and public category users offered by the
       electricity supplier can not exceed the tariff limits prescribed annually by
       the Regional Energy Commission. The latter pricing is based on the
       average prices of wholesale market and middle-income of regional
       population.
          o Currently, two tariffs are used all over the country - day and night
             rates (4 times for Moscow).
          o In the future, more than two types of tariffs will be applied, such as
             day-time tariff range between 10 -18, peak 18 -22, reduced tariff 2 -
             5 and the rest time would be charged by night tariff* (*the electricity
               provider does not want to use such a gradation because it would reduce his profit   • 1 – price zone 1 – European part and Ural
               and because electricity consumers cannot change suppliers, only the Government      • 2 – price zone 2 – Siberia
               can set up one or another tariff system)                                            • A-1 – 1st non-pricing zone North-West and
                                                                                                     Kaliningrad Region
     • Wholesale market prices
                                                                                                   • A-2 – 2nd non-pricing zone Far East
        o Price (Cost) estimated Zones
                                                                                                   • B – areas in which the price of electricity
              Short Term Contracts based (defined) on demand and supply                             is set by regional energy companies,
              Long Term Contracts between Supplier and Consumer                                     combining generation, distribution and
                                                                                                     sale
        o Non-price Zones
              Short and Long term Contracts based on price forecast or the
                previous year pricing and costs
• This brings up the question how big the share of the regulated market is. According to the slide 8, less than 30% of
  all consumed energy is sold at regulated prices. In other words, most sales are carried out in the free market.




   1/11/2012                                                          © Finpro                                                               7
Structure of Russian Grids
 After the reform of Russian UES, power grids were divided into two categories – main grids (wide area grids) and
 distribution grids.


  Federal Grid Company is responsible                                                            System Operator of the
  for normal operation, development and
                                                  1   2   4   5    6     7     8
                                                                                                 Centralized Dispatching
  maintenance of the Unified National                                                                Administration
  Electric Grid (Wide Area Grids). The
  Company includes 7 branches, i.e.           3
                                                                                                 • Real-time monitoring and control of
  Inter-systems electric grids of North-
                                                                                                   all components of the Unified
  West (1), Center (2), South (3), Volga                          State Company                    National Electric Grid;
  (4), Ural (5), Western Siberia(6),                                                             • Frequency and voltage (power)
  Siberia (7) and East (8) (U>110 kV)                                                              control;
                                                                                                 • Relay protection;
                                                                                                 • Dispatching of generation and
                                                                                                   consumption
    Electricity distribution is realized by                         RAO UES
    two companies: the first one is the                                                                              State Company
                                                                     Vostoka       Set of JSCs
    MRSK holding covering about 60%
    of Russian territory and 96% of
    population and RAO UES Vostoka                        MRSK
    (40% territory and 4% of population).

    U = 0.4 … 110 kV                          Set of JSCs



Analyzing the application of Smart Grids Concept in Russia, the following will be taken into account: structure
                   of energy transmission and structure of ownership of three main players

  1/11/2012                                                       © Finpro                                                               8
Russian Grids – Challenges and Problems
                                                                              Electrical grids as a “bottleneck” between
                                                                                       supplier and consumer
                                                                                                      Above
                                                                                                                          Stand-by (more 35 years
                                                                                                     permitted
                                                                        Operation time**                                   for substations and 40
                                                                                                   standards (25
                                                                                                                            years for overheads)
                                                                                                       years)
                                                                            Substations                  47%                         17%

                                                                          Overhead lines                 67%                         26%



                                                                        Equipment**                Domestic                         Western
                                                                       Gas Insulated         Obsolete design of           Dimensions and weight
                                                                       Switchgears           actuators, large             are 20-30% lower, cost of
                                                                                             dimensions and               maintenance is 20% less
                                                                                             weight,


                                                                       Transformers,         Low quality of               Magnetic losses are 20%
                                                                       shunt-reactors        magnetic cores, oil          lower, good gaskets and
                                                                                             leakages, high               seals no leakages,
                                                                                             vibrations and               galvanized tanks
 According to the most pessimistic                                                           corrosions of tanks
 estimates, both generation and
 consumption 50% growth in Russia is
                                                                    Average losses in electric networks in Russia are about 14% compared
 expected by 2030*
                                                                    with the usual 4-9% in Europe***

       *Taras Kupchikov, 2009 , **Yuri Dementyev, Federal Grid Company, 2010*** Elena Petrova, Russian Business Newspaper 03-2011
1/11/2012                                                                  © Finpro                                                                   9
Map of the Smart Grids projects

                                                                                                        New equipment and software based on
                                                                                                        the Smart Grid Platform (digital
                                                                                                        substations, reactive power control)
                      Intellectual Grid                                                                 allow to increase reliability and capacity
                      of the West
                                                                                                        of grids




                                                                                                                                 Intellectual Grid
                                                                                                                                 of the East




       Saint Petersburg’s Energy
       Clusters: the Small Ring
       (2012) and the BigRing (2014)                                                                            “Elga Ugol”                “Vanino”
                                                                                                                Energy Cluster             Energy Cluster
                                                          “Kola” Energy                                         (2012)                     (2013)
                                                          Cluster (2013)




                                                                                                                    “Vanino”
                                                                                                                    Energy Cluster
            Goals of North-Western Projects                                Goals of Eastern Projects                (2013)
            • Increased reliability of power                               • Increased energy supply quality
              supply to Megalopolis            “Komi” Energy                 for new mineral deposits
            • Improvement of power             Cluster (2014)              • Reservation
              transmission system                                          • Reliable power supply for South        Intellectual Grid of
                                                                             and Vladivostok                        the Russkiy Island



                                                                                                               By: Oleg Budargin, FSK UES Chairman, 16.06.2011
1/11/2012                                                                   © Finpro                                                                             10
Smart Grids for “East” interconnected
             power system – the integrated pilot project




The “Eastern” project includes several separate smart grids projects to test hard-and
               software for large projects in all-Russian dimensions
 1/11/2012                             © Finpro                                  11
Pilot Projects for the North-Western Energy
               Clusters




            The Western Smart Grids Projects includes organization of 3 energy clusters

1/11/2012                                     © Finpro                                    12
Potential customers for Finnish companies

   • The most attractive customers for Finnish (and other foreign)
     companies are the two largest players in the Russian market:
      • FGC UES
      • MRSK Holding.

   • Federal authorities with a strong link to Smart Grid

            o Commission for Modernization under the President of Russia
            o Ministry of Regional Development and
            o Ministry of Energy

   However, the Federal authorities are much more difficult to do business
   with.

1/11/2012                           © Finpro                               13
Main differences compared to the
                development in the West

            o The unified energy system of Russia covers 8 time zones and unites
              approximately 230 GW of generating capacity
            o The share of renewable electricity is less than 0.5% and even in 2020 it
              won’t exceed 4%.
            o Consumption of electricity by population – one of the key target groups
              of smart grids programs is on average only 14% of total consumption -
              much lower than in the western countries.
            o Russian legislation on energy is controversial and disconnected.
            o Existing Russian laws side-step an issue of obligatory connection of
              generating capacities (facilities) to grids. However, in reality a private
              power plant can connect to the grids of the Unified Energy System (and
              sell electricity) only upon agreement with the System Operator. The
              minimum capacity where such an agreement is not necessary is only 5
              MW.




1/11/2012                                    © Finpro                                      14
Opportunities in Russian Smart
            Grid

   We can certainly conclude that elements of smart grids technology
    will be actively used in Russia.
   As estimated by the Institute for Energy Strategy, consumption of
    electric energy in Russia will increase about 2.5 times by 2050.
   FGC UES is implementing the concept of active and adaptive grids.
    The company interest lies in:
      • Application of equipment on modern technological principles e.g.
        FACTS (Flexible AC Transmission System)
      • Automatics
      • Software
   MRSK is actively developing projects connected with introduction of
    Smart Metering concept and with the possibility to widen equipment
    functions
      • Intellectual metering = equipment and technologies

1/11/2012                          © Finpro                                15
Power and
Heat in Russia
Power generation in the North-Western
                Federal District
                                                                                          • The market of high power is well structured. In the
                                                                                            study area are working
                                                                                                • two Territorial Generation Company - TGC-1 1
                                                                                                   and 2, 2
                                                                                                • Electricity company InterRAO UES i
                                                                                                • Wholesale generating companies OGK-2, 2
                                                            2                                      OGK-6 6
                                                                                                • and one nuclear power station owned by state
  FINLAND
                                                                                                   company Rosatom.
                                                                                          • All other power plant (less than 25 MW) are owned
                                                                                            by companies that use electricity produced mainly
                                                                                            to meet their own needs.


                                                                                            • The market (wholesale) price of electricity is based
                                                                                              on the equilibrium of supply and demand. However,
            i
                            1                                                                 the Arkhangelsk region is an exception because the
                  1
                                2                                                             existing electrical grids can not provide the free
                                                                                              flowing of energy to the consumers of the
                                                                                              Arkhangelsk region from other ones,
                                        6               2


                                                                                             • Power plants over 25 MW can sell energy on the
                                                                                               wholesale market. All other can sell electricity only
   Nuclear Power Plants                             Companies
   CHP plants                                                                                  for retail contracts.
   State District Power Station     1       Territorial Generation Company TGK-1
   Hydropower plants                2       Territorial Generation Company TGK-2
   Small CHP-plants                 i       InterRAO UES
   Small Hydro-power plants 2       6       Wholesale Generation Companies OGK-2, OGK-6

1/11/2012                                                            © Finpro                                                               17
Small CHP in the study area

    The investigated region is very heterogeneous in industrial
     capacity and population. The map shows that the main power
     plants and power stations are grouped into industrial zones.
        The most developed region is Leningradskaya Oblast with
          19 small CHP plants between 5 – 55 MW of installed power.
          The main consumer of electricity is St. Petersburg city. Other
          industrial centers are Pikalyovo, Boksitogorsk, Volkhov,
          Tikhvin and Vyborg.
        In the Vologodskaya Oblast there are 17 small CHP plants
          with installed power from 0,5 – 10 MWh. In Vologodskaya
          region there are three mani industrial areas - Cherepovets,
          Vologda and Sokol . The Severstal in the town of
          Cherepovets generates a prevalent share of the Oblast’s
          economy.
        The least amount of power sources is in the Arkhangelskaya
          Oblast with 6 small CHP varying from 6 – 353 MW. These
          include two large CHP boilers, one in Arkhangelsk PPM /
          Severodvinsk and another in Kotlas PPM / Korjazhma.
    The total number of stations operating in the wholesale market is
     20; number of block stations is 42, some of them have rather large
     power capacity.
    Most of the power plants use other fuels than fuel oil (mazut) as
     the main fuel.
1/11/2012                                        © Finpro                  18
Statistical base of the study – heat
               boilers

• 3 initial data sources were in use:                                                       Number of
                                                                 Number of Number of                     Total number
      • An official State Statistics                    Oblast     studied companies got
                                                                                          boiling houses
                                                                                                         of boilers
           information ;                                                                   according to
                                                                 companies info about BHs                (replies)
                                                                                              replies




                                                                                   Finland
      • Industrial directories
      • Results of previous studies carried     Arkhangelskaya      380           149           381          1231
           out by Finpro and special agencies
• Data from different sources is a bit          Vologodskaya        768           180           388          1178
  contradictory. However, it gives clear
  indication of the number and level of heat    Leningradskaya      811           199           782          2149
  generation capacity                           Total              1959           528          1551          4558
• Total 1959 companies in 3 studied oblasts
  were found
• Interviewing them we got information from
  528 companies with about 1551 boiling
  houses (66.5% of the official data)


Thus, we have received quite a representative sample for the search for the most
attractive projects



1/11/2012                                       © Finpro                                                      19
Fuel mix in heating
                      Consolidated data
                                                                                           Share of companies using boilers on
                          Total   Number of companies using boilers running on:                   different types of fuel
                       number of                                                                           Other
          Oblast       companies                                                                            6%
                        (boilers’      Diesel/           Firewood,
                       operators) Gas Fuel Oil Coal         chips
                                                                       Other                                                  Gas
                                                                                        Wood/chips                            36%
  Arkhangelskaya          149            16   6       23      54            10            30%

  Vologodskaya            180            32   3       19      63             1
  Leningradskaya          199        105      39      32      11            13
                                                                                                                        Diesel/fuel
                                                                                                         Coal               oil
  Total                   528        153      48      74     128            24
                                                                                                         17%               11%

Fuel mix is different in the studied areas: for Vologodskaya and Arkhangelskaya Oblasts leading position has
wood/chips, for Leningradskaya Oblast the leader is gas
          Arkhangelskaya Oblast                        Vologodskaya Oblast                    Leningradskaya Oblast
              Other         Gas                                                            Wood/C
               9%           15%                              Other                                              Other
                                                                                            hips
                                   Diesel/                    1%          Gas               6%                   7%
                                   Fuel Oil
                                     5%                                   27%
                                                                                              Coal
                                                                                              16%
                                                   Wood/C                    Diesel/F                                   Gas
                                  Coal              hips                      uel Oil                                   52%
     Wood/                        21%               53%                        3%             Diesel/F
     Chips
      50%                                                                 Coal                 uel Oil
                                                                          16%                   19%
1/11/2012                                                      © Finpro                                                               20
Companies planning boiler investments
Further operations in existing boiler houses (based on the processing of interviews’ memos)
                      Replacem Further                                  Replacem Further
        Oblast
                         ent  operation
                                        Repair                Total
                                                                           ent  operation
                                                                                                   Repair                          Total
                                                                                                               50%
Arkhangelskaya            34         29           10           73            47%         40%        14%
                                                                                                               40%
                                                                                                               30%
Vologodskaya              33         33           16           82            40%         40%        20%
                                                                                                               20%

Leningradskaya            44         42           50          136            32%         31%        37%        10%
                                                                                                                0%
Total                     111        104          76          291            38%         36%        26%              Replacement     Further    Repair
                                                                                                                                    operation




                 Arkhangelskaya    Vologodskaya        Leningradskaya

50%

40%

30%
                                                                                               •   Share of companies that are planning to replace
20%                                                                                                existing boilers is rather big (about 40%).
                                                                                               •   These companies are candidates for the opportunities
10%                                                                                                study

0%
            Replacement           Further operation                 Repair



 1/11/2012                                                                    © Finpro                                                              21
Search for opportunities – potential
               companies planning investments

   3 groups of potential end-users that are in interest to improve existing power/heat supply system and
   could be the customers of Finnish products and services in power and heat supply.

   Group 1 – owners of CHP              Group 2 – owners of boiling              Group 3 – Regional and
   plants, both large and small         houses                                   municipal authorities
   They need to decrease cost of        They need to decrease cost of            • They are responsible for
   power/heat                           supplied heat                              reliable heat supply to the
                                                                                   voters and Federal Government
   All of them were identified above    • All of them should be identified and
                                                                                 • They have to spend budgets for
                                          prioritized during desk-study and
                                                                                   subsidies for heating
   • We carried out the desk-study        interviews
                                                                                 • They are actual owners of
   • Excluded companies having
                                        • Then the most interesting                hundreds of municipal boilers
     boilers running on natural gas
                                          companies should be interviewed
   • Interviewed to identify interest                                            • Responsible persons were
                                          in details to identify interest to
     to Finnish technologies or                                                    identified and interviewed
                                          Finnish technologies or services
     services                                                                      during field study
                                          and financial resources




1/11/2012                                             © Finpro                                                  22
Summary of identified opportunities

   The study focused to identify projects which substitutes oil with wood and peat,
   reconstruction of old wood and peat plants as well as building of new wood and
   peat firing plants in NW Russia

   The study identified and described the following projects:

   • 5 projects with existing financing to be realised in 2012 – 2014
   • 12 projects, which should be financed during 2012
   • 3 case studies
       • Upgrade of district heating of the City of Arkhangelsk
       • Upgrade of district heating system in several districts of the
         Arkhangelskaya region
       • Building of a new peat power plant and reconstruction of boiling houses in
         the Chadoga district
   • The opportunities are described in detail in the report, which is available on
     request
1/11/2012                              © Finpro                                  23
Conclusions
     • The NW Russian heating facilities are obsolete and in need for major
       investments.
     • The heat reform has not been finished and, thus, the applicable heat
       tariff levels do not yet support wide scale commercial investments to
       the municipal sector
     • Thus, still the most lucrative clients for Finnish technology are the
       private companies, sawmills, pulp and paper mills and other industrial
       producers
     • However, the municipal sector represents huge potential with
       hundreds of boiler houses and DH networks in desperate need for
       replacement and / or renovation




1/11/2012                           © Finpro                              24
Thank you!
Contact:
Hannu Kivelä
Leading Consultant,
Energy, Environment and Forestry

Porkkalankatu 1, FI-00180 Helsinki
Mobile: +358 40 343 3354
hannu.kivela@finpro.fi

www.finpro.fi

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FinNode Smart Grid Russia and NW Russia Heat and Power

  • 1. Smart Grids Russia and NW Russia Heat and Power: FinNode project results available Eco-Russia Seminar 1.11.2012 Hannu Kivelä, Leading Consultant 1.11.2012
  • 3. FinNode • FinNode is a global network of Finnish innovation organisations. • Operating via nodes in global innovation activity, FinNode actively reveals new openings for Finnish business and research organisations and supports their internationalisation. • It connects Finnish and international experts and the know-how required to promote innovation. • As FinNode represents the Finnish innovation system in the countries where it operates, foreign partners can engage with Finland’s central public innovation organisations. • The FinNode network operates in the United States, China, Russia, Japan and India. 1/11/2012 © Finpro 3
  • 4. Introduction • FinNode published during the spring 2012 two major environment and energy related projects on Russia: • Smart Grids Russia • NW Russia Heat and Power • These projects were prepared by Finpro Russian offices • This presentation concentrates on the main findings of the two reports. The report summaries are available for free on request. 1/11/2012 © Finpro 4
  • 6. Energy Consumption in Federal Districts (FDs) of Russia Unified National (All-Russia) Electric Grid is synchronized with Ukrainian, Kazakh, Belorussian, Baltic countries Electric Grids North-Western FD Center FD Legend: Industry Southern FD Communal/Population Services Others Volga FD Ural FD Siberian FD Far-Eastern FD North-Caucasus FD Power consumption in the principal economic sectors by Federal districts of the Russian Federation (pie charts scaling reflects the power consumption by each federal district respectively), % 1/11/2012 © Finpro 6
  • 7. Pricing policy • Electricity prices for private and public category users offered by the electricity supplier can not exceed the tariff limits prescribed annually by the Regional Energy Commission. The latter pricing is based on the average prices of wholesale market and middle-income of regional population. o Currently, two tariffs are used all over the country - day and night rates (4 times for Moscow). o In the future, more than two types of tariffs will be applied, such as day-time tariff range between 10 -18, peak 18 -22, reduced tariff 2 - 5 and the rest time would be charged by night tariff* (*the electricity provider does not want to use such a gradation because it would reduce his profit • 1 – price zone 1 – European part and Ural and because electricity consumers cannot change suppliers, only the Government • 2 – price zone 2 – Siberia can set up one or another tariff system) • A-1 – 1st non-pricing zone North-West and Kaliningrad Region • Wholesale market prices • A-2 – 2nd non-pricing zone Far East o Price (Cost) estimated Zones • B – areas in which the price of electricity  Short Term Contracts based (defined) on demand and supply is set by regional energy companies,  Long Term Contracts between Supplier and Consumer combining generation, distribution and sale o Non-price Zones  Short and Long term Contracts based on price forecast or the previous year pricing and costs • This brings up the question how big the share of the regulated market is. According to the slide 8, less than 30% of all consumed energy is sold at regulated prices. In other words, most sales are carried out in the free market. 1/11/2012 © Finpro 7
  • 8. Structure of Russian Grids After the reform of Russian UES, power grids were divided into two categories – main grids (wide area grids) and distribution grids. Federal Grid Company is responsible System Operator of the for normal operation, development and 1 2 4 5 6 7 8 Centralized Dispatching maintenance of the Unified National Administration Electric Grid (Wide Area Grids). The Company includes 7 branches, i.e. 3 • Real-time monitoring and control of Inter-systems electric grids of North- all components of the Unified West (1), Center (2), South (3), Volga State Company National Electric Grid; (4), Ural (5), Western Siberia(6), • Frequency and voltage (power) Siberia (7) and East (8) (U>110 kV) control; • Relay protection; • Dispatching of generation and consumption Electricity distribution is realized by RAO UES two companies: the first one is the State Company Vostoka Set of JSCs MRSK holding covering about 60% of Russian territory and 96% of population and RAO UES Vostoka MRSK (40% territory and 4% of population). U = 0.4 … 110 kV Set of JSCs Analyzing the application of Smart Grids Concept in Russia, the following will be taken into account: structure of energy transmission and structure of ownership of three main players 1/11/2012 © Finpro 8
  • 9. Russian Grids – Challenges and Problems Electrical grids as a “bottleneck” between supplier and consumer Above Stand-by (more 35 years permitted Operation time** for substations and 40 standards (25 years for overheads) years) Substations 47% 17% Overhead lines 67% 26% Equipment** Domestic Western Gas Insulated Obsolete design of Dimensions and weight Switchgears actuators, large are 20-30% lower, cost of dimensions and maintenance is 20% less weight, Transformers, Low quality of Magnetic losses are 20% shunt-reactors magnetic cores, oil lower, good gaskets and leakages, high seals no leakages, vibrations and galvanized tanks According to the most pessimistic corrosions of tanks estimates, both generation and consumption 50% growth in Russia is Average losses in electric networks in Russia are about 14% compared expected by 2030* with the usual 4-9% in Europe*** *Taras Kupchikov, 2009 , **Yuri Dementyev, Federal Grid Company, 2010*** Elena Petrova, Russian Business Newspaper 03-2011 1/11/2012 © Finpro 9
  • 10. Map of the Smart Grids projects New equipment and software based on the Smart Grid Platform (digital substations, reactive power control) Intellectual Grid allow to increase reliability and capacity of the West of grids Intellectual Grid of the East Saint Petersburg’s Energy Clusters: the Small Ring (2012) and the BigRing (2014) “Elga Ugol” “Vanino” Energy Cluster Energy Cluster “Kola” Energy (2012) (2013) Cluster (2013) “Vanino” Energy Cluster Goals of North-Western Projects Goals of Eastern Projects (2013) • Increased reliability of power • Increased energy supply quality supply to Megalopolis “Komi” Energy for new mineral deposits • Improvement of power Cluster (2014) • Reservation transmission system • Reliable power supply for South Intellectual Grid of and Vladivostok the Russkiy Island By: Oleg Budargin, FSK UES Chairman, 16.06.2011 1/11/2012 © Finpro 10
  • 11. Smart Grids for “East” interconnected power system – the integrated pilot project The “Eastern” project includes several separate smart grids projects to test hard-and software for large projects in all-Russian dimensions 1/11/2012 © Finpro 11
  • 12. Pilot Projects for the North-Western Energy Clusters The Western Smart Grids Projects includes organization of 3 energy clusters 1/11/2012 © Finpro 12
  • 13. Potential customers for Finnish companies • The most attractive customers for Finnish (and other foreign) companies are the two largest players in the Russian market: • FGC UES • MRSK Holding. • Federal authorities with a strong link to Smart Grid o Commission for Modernization under the President of Russia o Ministry of Regional Development and o Ministry of Energy However, the Federal authorities are much more difficult to do business with. 1/11/2012 © Finpro 13
  • 14. Main differences compared to the development in the West o The unified energy system of Russia covers 8 time zones and unites approximately 230 GW of generating capacity o The share of renewable electricity is less than 0.5% and even in 2020 it won’t exceed 4%. o Consumption of electricity by population – one of the key target groups of smart grids programs is on average only 14% of total consumption - much lower than in the western countries. o Russian legislation on energy is controversial and disconnected. o Existing Russian laws side-step an issue of obligatory connection of generating capacities (facilities) to grids. However, in reality a private power plant can connect to the grids of the Unified Energy System (and sell electricity) only upon agreement with the System Operator. The minimum capacity where such an agreement is not necessary is only 5 MW. 1/11/2012 © Finpro 14
  • 15. Opportunities in Russian Smart Grid We can certainly conclude that elements of smart grids technology will be actively used in Russia. As estimated by the Institute for Energy Strategy, consumption of electric energy in Russia will increase about 2.5 times by 2050. FGC UES is implementing the concept of active and adaptive grids. The company interest lies in: • Application of equipment on modern technological principles e.g. FACTS (Flexible AC Transmission System) • Automatics • Software MRSK is actively developing projects connected with introduction of Smart Metering concept and with the possibility to widen equipment functions • Intellectual metering = equipment and technologies 1/11/2012 © Finpro 15
  • 17. Power generation in the North-Western Federal District • The market of high power is well structured. In the study area are working • two Territorial Generation Company - TGC-1 1 and 2, 2 • Electricity company InterRAO UES i • Wholesale generating companies OGK-2, 2 2 OGK-6 6 • and one nuclear power station owned by state FINLAND company Rosatom. • All other power plant (less than 25 MW) are owned by companies that use electricity produced mainly to meet their own needs. • The market (wholesale) price of electricity is based on the equilibrium of supply and demand. However, i 1 the Arkhangelsk region is an exception because the 1 2 existing electrical grids can not provide the free flowing of energy to the consumers of the Arkhangelsk region from other ones, 6 2 • Power plants over 25 MW can sell energy on the wholesale market. All other can sell electricity only Nuclear Power Plants Companies CHP plants for retail contracts. State District Power Station 1 Territorial Generation Company TGK-1 Hydropower plants 2 Territorial Generation Company TGK-2 Small CHP-plants i InterRAO UES Small Hydro-power plants 2 6 Wholesale Generation Companies OGK-2, OGK-6 1/11/2012 © Finpro 17
  • 18. Small CHP in the study area  The investigated region is very heterogeneous in industrial capacity and population. The map shows that the main power plants and power stations are grouped into industrial zones.  The most developed region is Leningradskaya Oblast with 19 small CHP plants between 5 – 55 MW of installed power. The main consumer of electricity is St. Petersburg city. Other industrial centers are Pikalyovo, Boksitogorsk, Volkhov, Tikhvin and Vyborg.  In the Vologodskaya Oblast there are 17 small CHP plants with installed power from 0,5 – 10 MWh. In Vologodskaya region there are three mani industrial areas - Cherepovets, Vologda and Sokol . The Severstal in the town of Cherepovets generates a prevalent share of the Oblast’s economy.  The least amount of power sources is in the Arkhangelskaya Oblast with 6 small CHP varying from 6 – 353 MW. These include two large CHP boilers, one in Arkhangelsk PPM / Severodvinsk and another in Kotlas PPM / Korjazhma.  The total number of stations operating in the wholesale market is 20; number of block stations is 42, some of them have rather large power capacity.  Most of the power plants use other fuels than fuel oil (mazut) as the main fuel. 1/11/2012 © Finpro 18
  • 19. Statistical base of the study – heat boilers • 3 initial data sources were in use: Number of Number of Number of Total number • An official State Statistics Oblast studied companies got boiling houses of boilers information ; according to companies info about BHs (replies) replies Finland • Industrial directories • Results of previous studies carried Arkhangelskaya 380 149 381 1231 out by Finpro and special agencies • Data from different sources is a bit Vologodskaya 768 180 388 1178 contradictory. However, it gives clear indication of the number and level of heat Leningradskaya 811 199 782 2149 generation capacity Total 1959 528 1551 4558 • Total 1959 companies in 3 studied oblasts were found • Interviewing them we got information from 528 companies with about 1551 boiling houses (66.5% of the official data) Thus, we have received quite a representative sample for the search for the most attractive projects 1/11/2012 © Finpro 19
  • 20. Fuel mix in heating Consolidated data Share of companies using boilers on Total Number of companies using boilers running on: different types of fuel number of Other Oblast companies 6% (boilers’ Diesel/ Firewood, operators) Gas Fuel Oil Coal chips Other Gas Wood/chips 36% Arkhangelskaya 149 16 6 23 54 10 30% Vologodskaya 180 32 3 19 63 1 Leningradskaya 199 105 39 32 11 13 Diesel/fuel Coal oil Total 528 153 48 74 128 24 17% 11% Fuel mix is different in the studied areas: for Vologodskaya and Arkhangelskaya Oblasts leading position has wood/chips, for Leningradskaya Oblast the leader is gas Arkhangelskaya Oblast Vologodskaya Oblast Leningradskaya Oblast Other Gas Wood/C 9% 15% Other Other hips Diesel/ 1% Gas 6% 7% Fuel Oil 5% 27% Coal 16% Wood/C Diesel/F Gas Coal hips uel Oil 52% Wood/ 21% 53% 3% Diesel/F Chips 50% Coal uel Oil 16% 19% 1/11/2012 © Finpro 20
  • 21. Companies planning boiler investments Further operations in existing boiler houses (based on the processing of interviews’ memos) Replacem Further Replacem Further Oblast ent operation Repair Total ent operation Repair Total 50% Arkhangelskaya 34 29 10 73 47% 40% 14% 40% 30% Vologodskaya 33 33 16 82 40% 40% 20% 20% Leningradskaya 44 42 50 136 32% 31% 37% 10% 0% Total 111 104 76 291 38% 36% 26% Replacement Further Repair operation Arkhangelskaya Vologodskaya Leningradskaya 50% 40% 30% • Share of companies that are planning to replace 20% existing boilers is rather big (about 40%). • These companies are candidates for the opportunities 10% study 0% Replacement Further operation Repair 1/11/2012 © Finpro 21
  • 22. Search for opportunities – potential companies planning investments 3 groups of potential end-users that are in interest to improve existing power/heat supply system and could be the customers of Finnish products and services in power and heat supply. Group 1 – owners of CHP Group 2 – owners of boiling Group 3 – Regional and plants, both large and small houses municipal authorities They need to decrease cost of They need to decrease cost of • They are responsible for power/heat supplied heat reliable heat supply to the voters and Federal Government All of them were identified above • All of them should be identified and • They have to spend budgets for prioritized during desk-study and subsidies for heating • We carried out the desk-study interviews • They are actual owners of • Excluded companies having • Then the most interesting hundreds of municipal boilers boilers running on natural gas companies should be interviewed • Interviewed to identify interest • Responsible persons were in details to identify interest to to Finnish technologies or identified and interviewed Finnish technologies or services services during field study and financial resources 1/11/2012 © Finpro 22
  • 23. Summary of identified opportunities The study focused to identify projects which substitutes oil with wood and peat, reconstruction of old wood and peat plants as well as building of new wood and peat firing plants in NW Russia The study identified and described the following projects: • 5 projects with existing financing to be realised in 2012 – 2014 • 12 projects, which should be financed during 2012 • 3 case studies • Upgrade of district heating of the City of Arkhangelsk • Upgrade of district heating system in several districts of the Arkhangelskaya region • Building of a new peat power plant and reconstruction of boiling houses in the Chadoga district • The opportunities are described in detail in the report, which is available on request 1/11/2012 © Finpro 23
  • 24. Conclusions • The NW Russian heating facilities are obsolete and in need for major investments. • The heat reform has not been finished and, thus, the applicable heat tariff levels do not yet support wide scale commercial investments to the municipal sector • Thus, still the most lucrative clients for Finnish technology are the private companies, sawmills, pulp and paper mills and other industrial producers • However, the municipal sector represents huge potential with hundreds of boiler houses and DH networks in desperate need for replacement and / or renovation 1/11/2012 © Finpro 24
  • 25. Thank you! Contact: Hannu Kivelä Leading Consultant, Energy, Environment and Forestry Porkkalankatu 1, FI-00180 Helsinki Mobile: +358 40 343 3354 hannu.kivela@finpro.fi www.finpro.fi