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C O M P A N Y                       R E P O R T

                    India

           31 Oct 2012
                                                                                        KPIT Cummins                                           Rs 123.9
       Sector: IT/TECH                                                                           A shining star in mid-cap IT sector

  BSE Code                             532400                    NSE Code                           KPIT    KPIT Cummins (KPIT) has the most well defined
  CMP(31 Oct)                                 124                52W H/L                          142/68    business model amongst mid-cap IT companies. Deep
  Nifty                                     5,597                  Sensex                         18,430    domain expertise in 3 key verticals, and strengths in
  Shares (m)                               179.02          Face Value(Rs)                              2
  Market Cap (Rs m)                        22,181               Free Float                        73.8%     two key horizontals - Oracle and SAP, has helped KPIT
                                                                                                 Rs mn      to outgrow peers on a sustained basis. With a strong
                                                                                                            financial performance in H1 FY13, the company is set to
                  Share holding as per 30 Sep 2012
                                                                                                            maintain its growth leadership.
                                                                                                            At an expected 8xFY14 earnings, KPIT is attractively
                                                                                                            valued. We expect the stock to hit a price of Rs 150 by
                                                26.22%
                                                                                 Promoter                   Sep’13 based on a 12x forward PE. We expect KPIT to
                 33.46%
                                                                                                            continue to command a premium over midcap peers.
                                                                                 FII
                                                                                 DII                        Set to outgrow peers in FY13
                                                                                 Others                     KPIT has grown faster than peers in IT mid-cap space in
                                               26.74%                                                       recent years, reporting growth of 41% in 2011 and 43% in
                    13.58%
                                                                                                            2012 and CAGR 50% from 2003-2009. It is expected to
                                                                                                            outgrow peers in FY13 as well; KPIT should convincingly cross
                                                                                                            its current year guidance of 32-35% growth.
 150
                                                                                                            Vertical strengths explain growth outperformance
 120                                                                                                        With increasing electronics in vehicles, automotive engg
                                                                                                            services outsourcing to India is set to grow. Automotive engg
   90
                                                                                                            services off-shoring is expected to reach $6.4bn with CAGR of
   60                                                                                                       18% in FY11-20. KPIT is largest 3rd Party Vendor for
                                                                                                            Automotive Electronics in India. Similarly, Energy and Utilities
   30                                                                                                       verticals are also expected to see strong tech spends.
                                                                                                            Inorganic strategy has worked well
   -
        Sep-11




                                                                                        Sep-12
                                      Feb-12




                                                                               Aug-12




                                                                                                   Oct-12
                  Nov-11

                           Dec-11




                                                           May-12
                                                Mar-12




                                                                    Jun-12




                                                                                                            KPIT’s inorganic moves have worked well, allowing it to
                                                                                                            develop domain expertise in new areas. Company has
                                                                                                            achieved strong growth through ramping up services offering
                               KPIT Cummins                            Sensex                               in Oracle and SAP through inorganic expansion like CPG and
                                                                                                            SYSTIME. Q2 FY13 results show strong performance from
   Consolidated Financials                                                                                  Systime, where EBITDA margins have expanded from 5.5%
                                                                                                            during acquisition to 14%.
                                    FY'11                FY'12         FY'13E               FY'14E

                                                    15,000               21,861                  25,578     Outperformed all IT mid cap stocks for 1 yr, 6 month
Sales                               9,870
                                                                                                            and 3 month stock performance & top line growth
EBITDA                              1,484                2,166               3,226                3,906
                                                                                                            The Company gave return of almost 50% in last 6 month and
PAT                                  946                 1,454               2,011                2,618
                                                                                                            1 year period, outperforming all the peers. It has consistently
EBITDA (%)                           18.4                 14.4                14.8                 15.3     outperformed Nifty and NSE-IT index through-out the year.
EPS (Rs)                             10.8                  8.1                11.2                 14.6     KPIT Cummins grew highest among almost all mid-cap IT
                                                                                                            stock in FY11 and FY12.
ROE(%)                               32.4                 22.1                24.7                 25.1

                                     26.6                 23.5                30.7                 31.2     Revolo, profitability improvement
ROCE(%)

P/E Ratio(x)                         15.6                 15.3                11.0                  8.5  Couple of key performance drivers for the stock will be what
                                                                                                         happens to Revolo and profit margins. If Revolo’s commercial
EV/EBITDA(x)                          9.3                 10.2                 6.8                  5.6
                                                                                                         launch turns out a success, it will add significant value to
EPS                                  10.8                  8.1                11.2                 14.6  company. Also the margins levers such as fixed price projects,
                                                                                                   Rs mn improved employee mix and increased off-shoring can further
                                                                                                         boost KPIT’s profitability.



                                         Four-s reports are available on BLOOMBERG, Reuters, Thomson Publishers and Market Publishers
Company Report: KPIT Cummins                     31 Oct 2012


                   Investment Rationale

                   Fastest growing mid-cap IT player

                   KPIT Cummins is the fastest growing mid-cap IT player in India.
                   KPIT grew at an outstanding CAGR of 50% in the period 2003-2009.
                   It has maintained superior performance with USD revenue growth of
                   41% in FY11 and 43% in FY12.
Consistently       It has witnessed similar growth in its bottom line too. In FY12 it
growing at         registered PAT growth of 54% to Rs 1,449mn, along with 43%
CAGR of above      growth in EBITDA and EPS growth of 47% y-o-y. These numbers are
40%                better than almost all other mid-cap IT peers.


                    Company         FY12                       Rev Growth    Rev Growth
                    Name             Rev    EBITDA     PAT       in Fy12       in Fy11
                    Hexaware
                    Technologies   15,347     3,354    2,670      37%            3%
                    Infotech
                    Enterprises    15,707     2,866    1,514      29%            22%
                    Mindtree Ltd   19,537     3,315    2,185      27%            12%
                    NIIT
                    Technologies   16,068     3,005    1,964      29%            35%
                    Persistent
                    Systems        10,339     2,580    1,418      28%            32%
                    Polaris FT     16,568     2,730    2,023      21%            -2%
                    KPIT
                    Cummins        15,138    2,304    1,450       52%            35%
                                                                                  (Rs mn)

                   This extraordinary growth is the result of successful execution of its
                   chosen strategy of vertical focussed growth and successful inorganic
                   expansion. This growth is driven by three major verticals, Auto &
                   transportation, Manufacturing and Utilities. While working in these
                   verticals the company has developed strong horizontal service
                   offerings in Auto & Electronics, IES and SAP.

                   Differentiated vertical-focus strategy driving growth

                   While the rest of the IT industry started talking about vertical-focus
                   in the last 2 years, KPIT very early on decided to focus on a few
                   select verticals to be able to compete better. This company can be
Vertical-focus     considered as the pioneer of this differentiating strategy among the
strategy sets it   IT mid-caps.
apart
                   The company has focused from early days on automotive and
                   manufacturing verticals. This has resulted in deep domain expertise
                   in its focus verticals. KPIT Cummins is the largest 3rd party vendor
                   for automobile electronics in India. KPIT has developed a strong
                   domain expertise in the manufacturing segment and specifically in
                   automobile sector. In its last more than 20 years of operations it has


Four-S Research                                                                        2
Company Report: KPIT Cummins                     31 Oct 2012

                   been working mainly in its niche segment i.e. Automotive-
                   manufacturing. This resulted in high domain expertise and strong
                   clientele in the segment.
                   This gives KPIT advantage among not only their Indian competitors
                   but also with most of their global competitors. Till now, KPIT has
                   developed technology solutions for more than 120 global automotive
                   companies which include 8 out of top 10 global original equipment
                   manufacturers (OEMs).



                   Successful inorganic growth strategy

                   KPIT Cummins has successfully kept firing the growth engine by
                   supporting strong organic growth with carefully chosen inorganic
                   acquisitions. These acquisitions have helped the company to grow at
Highly effective   a rapid space of 40-50% CAGR in the last decade, resulting in one of
inorganic          the fastest growing company in the mid-cap IT space. It has also
growth track       been successful in smooth integration of these acquisitions. Through
record             these acquisitions it has developed expertise in various services
                   offering in the likes of ERP implementation, Oracle and SAP services.
                   These acquisitions were done with focus on gaining ground in terms
                   of geography entry, or service offering expertise or gaining
                   important client clusters. For example, KPIT has developed expertise
                   in SAP practice with the successful acquisitions of Panex Consulting
                   and Sparta Consulting whereas Oracle practise has been
                   strengthened with recent CPG and Systime acquisition. It did 10
                   such strategic acquisition in the last decade with focus on driving the
                   growth through strong practice offerings in SAP, ERP and Auto
                   electronics and developed strong client base across the globe.



                   Systime has given scale in Oracle

                   If one takes the example of latest acquisition, SYSTIME ($50mn
                   rev), the largest acquisition till date by KPIT, it gives KPIT strong
                   Oracle practice, with JDE specialisation. This has helped KPIT
                   improve its offering to its key manufacturing clients as clients in this
                   industry prefer JDE solutions. Systime is the largest JD Edwards
                   solution provider globally. It also gave the company foothold and
                   strong client base in Brazil where Systime has good chunk of
                   revenue coming.



                   Innovation focused and R&D driven company

                   Unlike most IT companies in India, KPIT invests significantly in R&D.
                   The investment in these efforts has now increased to ~3% of its
                   revenue. From these initiatives, the Company has applied for 40
                   patents in last 18 months.


Four-S Research                                                                         3
Company Report: KPIT Cummins                      31 Oct 2012

Innovation to     KPIT has many innovation based R&D projects, designed to develop
lead non linear   new technologies and solution for their customers. This has resulted
growth            in growing revenue contribution from its non-linear projects.
                  It has a department named ‘Center for Research in Engineering
                  Services and Technology’ (CREST), which is totally dedicated to
                  these initiatives. It focuses on research in areas such as System
                  engineering, parallel computing, program analysis tool, security and
                  surveillance and Energy. These R&D initiatives are again industry
                  focussed which helps the company to maintain its edge in the
                  industry and provide best service with IP led solution to its
                  customers.



                  Revolo a unique R&D initiative

                  Revolo is one of the key results of this initiative. Revolo is plug-in,
                  parallel hybrid solution for the automobiles which converts a regular
                  vehicle into hybrid vehicle. It has filed 16 patents till date for Revolo
                  only.



                  Robust performance in H1 FY13

                  Top line expands strongly

                  The company has given strong results in H1FY13 with revenue
                  growing by 72% yoy from Rs 6,411mn in H2FY12 to Rs 11,054mn
                  driven by revenue growth from latest acquisition, Systime, and
                  strong momentum in all verticals. This was supported by outstanding
                  growth in the US market where it grew by almost 100% from Rs.
                  4,243mn in H1FY12 to Rs 8,434mn in H1FY13, whereas it witnessed
Strong H1
                  a flat European market with 11% growth and in ROW it grew by
performance
                  35%. Manufacturing and energy & utilities verticals grew at strong
sets the tone
                  265% and 127%, respectively, in H1FY13 whereas Automotives
                  vertical grew at 30%. All the SBUs showed good growth in this
                  period with 94% growth in IES and 77% growth in SAP SBU and
                  53% growth in Auto & engg. Its PAT grew by good 60.8% from Rs.
                  605mn in H1FY12 to 974mn in H1FY13.
                  The company also witnessed strong growth on client level with top
                  client account (Cummins) growing by 60% whereas top 5 clients
                  grew at 60% and top 10 clients account grew by 55%. The company
                  added 7 new customers in this period and has 69 >$1mn clients
                  compared to 59 at the start of the year.



                  Increases margins as well, helped by Systime

                  The company has also managed to push up the EBITDA margin from
                  13% to 14% despite lower EBITDA margins of Systime. Systime has


Four-S Research                                                                         4
Company Report: KPIT Cummins                   31 Oct 2012

Systime                also shown strong performance, with 11.6% and 15.7% revenue
margins are            growth q-o-q in Q1 and Q2FY13, respectively, along with EBITDA
moving up              margin improvement from 5.5% at the time acquisition to 14% in
                       Q2FY13.




                          Q2       Q2        %     Q1FY1        %       H1       H1        %
                        FY13     FY12    Change        3    Change    FY13     FY12    Change
Net Sales               5,672    3,250     74.5     5,383       5.4   11,055   6,412      72.4
Total Expenditure       4,943    2,808     76.0     4,576       8.0    9,500   5,575      70.4
EBITDA                   729      442      65.0      806       -9.6    1,554     837      85.8
Other Income              22      109      -79.5      30      -25.8      34      132     -74.2
Operating Profit         752      552      36.3      837      -10.2    1,589     969      63.9
Interest                  32       11     199.9       30        8.2      62      19      224.3
Exceptional Items         55                          27     104.7       81       0      100.0
PBDT                     774      541      43.2      834       -7.1    1,608     950      69.3
Depreciation             114      116       -1.0     113        0.8     228      210       8.5
PBT                      660      425      55.2      720       -8.4    1,380     740      86.5
Tax                      191       88     118.3      185        3.6     376      159     137.1
Profit After Tax         468      338      38.8      536      -12.5    1,004     581      72.7
Minority Interest         -12       -1    -936.4      -12       0.4      -25      -4    -482.2
Shares of Associates       5       28      -82.4      -10    147.9        -5     28     -119.1
Net Profit               461      365      26.4      513      -10.1     974      606      60.8
                                                                                          (Rs mn)




Four-S Research                                                                            5
Company Report: KPIT Cummins                      31 Oct 2012




                  Peer Benchmarking


                  Strong top-line performance



                   Company        Market         EV      Sales    Sales 3   EBITDA       PAT
                                    Cap                          yr CAGR

                   Infotech          21,252   21,746   15,531       20%      2,691     1,614
                   Hexaware          32,005   32,005   14,505         8%     2,513     2,670
                   Persistent        18,792   18,869   10,003       19%      2,244     1,418
                   NIIT              16,468   16,593   15,765       17%      2,701     1,972
                   Mindtree          27,505   27,576   19,152       16%      2,930     2,185
                   Average        23,204      23,358   14,991       16%      2,616     1,972
                   KPIT           21,765      22,954   15,000       24%      2,166     1,454
                                                                                     (Rs mn)

                  KPIT has shown significant growth in last few years over its peers. It
                  has 3 yr CAGR for sales of 24% despite having not so good
                  performance in FY10 due to recessionary environment. KPIT grew
Better growth     faster than most of the mid-cap IT company in the period with
than peers        decent performance on margins level. Such strong growth was
                  showcased earlier too by KPIT when it grew 50% CAGR in 2003-
                  2009 period and above 40% growth in FY11 and FY12.



                  Scope to improve profitability


                                                 FY12 Margins
                          Company               EBIDTA            PAT

                          Infotech                 17%           10%
                          Hexaware                 17%           18%
                          Persistent               22%           14%
                          NIIT                     17%           13%
                          Mindtree                 15%           11%
                          Average                  18%           13%
                          KPIT                     14%           10%



                  KPIT’s profit margins are on the lower side amongst its peers. Its
                  profitability was also recently impacted by acquisition of Systime.
                  Systime was a strategic acquisition, but it had the lower margins
                  (5.5%) compared to company’s margins. The key will be to push up


Four-S Research                                                                            6
Company Report: KPIT Cummins                     31 Oct 2012

                  the margins of the business coming from such low margin acquisitions
                  while striving for the growth through these acquisitions. Higher
                  margins can also be achieved by various operational levers such as off-
Strong balance    shoring, pyramid restructuring etc.
sheet helps in
                  In H1 FY13, Systime’s margins have started moving up. Systime
inorganic
                  margins have expanded substantially with 10% and 14% EBITDA
strategy
                  margin in Q1 and Q2 FY13, respectively.



                  Liquidity ratios on Par


                                       Current Ratio (x)                   Cash Ratio (x)
                    Company
                                   FY10       FY11       FY12              FY11          FY12
                    Infotech        2.57      6.19         4.81            3.16          2.36
                    Hexaware        2.08      2.84         2.15            1.56          1.01
                    Persistent      2.10      1.88         1.82            0.40          0.45
                    NIIT            1.81      1.93         1.74            0.32          0.41
                    Mindtree        1.79      2.47         1.75            0.21          0.16
                    Industry
                    Average         2.07      3.06       2.45              1.13          0.88
                    KPIT            2.39      1.82       1.39              0.77          0.30



                  The company has strong balance sheet with strong cash ratio and
                  current ratio. Due to strong performance in the past, the company has
                  managed to continue the inorganic expansion without much strain on
                  its balance sheet.



                                     Debt Equity (x)               Interest Coverage (x)

                  Company
                                   FY11          FY12             FY11             FY12
                  Infotech          0.04          0.04            137.15          299.28
                  Hexaware          0.01          0.00            10.57            74.02
                  Persistent        0.02          0.01              NA              NA
                  NIIT              0.01          0.01            92.86            60.85
                  Mindtree          0.03          0.01            266.50          447.00
                  Average          0.02          0.01             126.77          220.29
                  KPIT             0.05          0.17             28.40            23.50




Four-S Research                                                                             7
Company Report: KPIT Cummins                    31 Oct 2012


                       Valuation


                       Valuation: Growth momentum to drive valuation up

                       The company is continuing its growth momentum from last two years
                       into this year. Revenues grew 72% in yoy in H1 FY13 and 74% yoy in
                       Q2FY13. The Company is expected to maintain this growth momentum
                       in the rest of the year and should easily cross its higher range of
                       guidance of 35% this year.
                       Given the strong growth environment in its focus verticals, the
                       Company is expected to carry forward this momentum to the next
                       year. We expect KPIT to overshoot its guidance of 35% growth in FY13
                       and to achieve about 17% growth in FY14.


                                   TTM      Price   Market           Price      EV/     MCap/
          Company Name             Sales    (Rs)     Cap       PE    /BV      EBITDA    Sales
          Hexaware
          Technologies             17,363    112     33,160   10.0     3.1      6.8       1.9
          Infotech Enterprises     17,672    188     20,961   10.3     1.7      4.1       1.2
          Mindtree Ltd             22,047    660     27,145    9.3     2.9      8.1       1.4
          Persistent Systems       11,659    478     19,120   11.4     2.0      5.9       1.6
          Polaris FT               22,480    120     11,917    5.0     1.0      3.1       0.5
          KPIT Cummins             19,643    124     22,181   11.8     2.8      7.9       1.1
                                                                                        (Rs mn)

                       Premium valuations imply one year price target of Rs 150

We expect KPIT         Although company is traded at premium compared its peers, it will
to command a           continue to demand this premium based on its growth prospects and
premium over           vertical growth strategy. Currently stock is trading at Rs 124, implying
peers                  a PE of 10.9x and 8.4x for FY13 and FY14, respectively. We expect
                       KPIT to reach 150 by Sep’13 based on a forward PE of 12x Sep’13. We
                       believe KPIT deserves a continuing premium over the midcap space.

                                 1 yr forward PE band chart
    160
                                                                                       16x
    140
    120                                                                                13x
    100
                                                                                       10x
     80
     60
     40
     20
      0




Four-S Research                                                                              8
Company Report: KPIT Cummins                     31 Oct 2012


                  KPIT’s Business

                  Differentiated Strategy : Strong Vertical Focus

                  KPIT has organised its efforts around 3 key verticals: auto and
                  transportation, manufacturing and energy and utilities. KPIT tries to
                  provide industry specific holistic solutions to its clients with best in
                  class service offerings.
                  With high domain expertise, the company is in a position to provide
Differentiated    full range of services to its customers. The company is also investing
strategy sets     in R&D to develop and maintain domain excellence in automotive
company apart     segment.

                                  Revenue Spread – Verticals

                                         71.38%


                                                                 11.22%
                                                                1.68%
                                                       15.72%




                                      Automotive & Transportation
                                      Manufacturing
                                      Energy & Utilities
                                      Others

                  Automotive and transport vertical contributed more than Rs 10.7bn,
                  i.e. 71% of FY12 revenue, up from Rs 6.39bn or 64.77% of revenue
                  in FY11. The contribution from Manufacturing increased from
                  10.48% in FY11 to 11.22% in FY12. This largely helped drive 41%
                  and 43% growth in FY12 and FY11, respectively.



                  Increased outsourcing in Auto industry

                  With increasing competition in the Auto industry, OEMs are facing
                  intense pressure to bring in the new models at a quicker pace, with
                  increased electronics in them. This has worked as a booster to the
Auto industry     outsourcing industry as outsourcing helps in bringing down the total
more inclining    time required to develop the product and bring it in the market.
towards out-
sourcing          Outsourcing helps OEMs and other auto vendors to bring down the
                  lead time in product development and imparts flexibility to them to
                  easily adjust to market dynamics. Also growing electrification of the
                  vehicles and its increasing criticality in product success has further


Four-S Research                                                                         9
Company Report: KPIT Cummins                        31 Oct 2012

                     pushed the outsourcing market in auto engineering and Auto
                     industry.



                     Technology development in Automotive space to drive top
                     line

                     With focus on fuel efficiency, safety, cost cutting and hybrid
                     technology increasing, auto companies are more and more
                     incorporating electronics into their vehicles. As OEMs are not looking
                     to get into technology development, especially IT, which is not their
Technology           core domain, this development mainly gets outsourced to company’s
development in       working in this domain. KPIT has benefitted in this trend with
Auto to push for     increasing projects from Auto OEMs.
more                 As per Nasscom, the engineering services space is currently
electrification of   exploding, thanks to robust growth across Europe, Asia and the US.
vehicles             According to the report, the total engineering services market was
                     worth $746 billion in 2004 and will touch $1,100 billion by 2020. Of
                     this the outsourced component could be worth around $200 billion.
                     Currently, the engineering services outsourcing (ESO) market is
                     worth around $15 billion with India garnering a healthy
                     12%share. Automotive is second largest contributor in this with 19%
                     share



                     US market on the recovery path

                     US constituted around 70% of revenue in FY12; its share increased
                     to 76% in Q1FY12. With US economy showing signs of recovery,
                     prospects US car sales are expected to improve going forward.



                                                US Auto Sales (in mn)
                        16
                        15
                        14
                        13
                        12
                        11
                        10
                          9
                          8




                     Source:Ycharts.com, Bureau of Economic Analysis and Four-S



Four-S Research                                                                           10
Company Report: KPIT Cummins                    31 Oct 2012

                      With improving US car sales numbers, KPIT is expected to get good
                      demand from its US based clients along with Japan and emerging
                      markets with improving overall sector condition.



                      Increasing electronics in Automotives

                      As the technology is developing, more and more electronics is used
                      in automotives to improve vehicle’s safety, fuel efficiency. Power-
                      train, infotainment, interiors, tele/diagnostics. As per databeans,
Increasing            roughly 25% of vehicle cost accounts for electronic products which
electronic            goes up-to 30% in luxury cars. This will soon reach to 50%. Micro
components in         controllers based ECUs are increasing in vehicles with increasing
vehicle, booster      features in the vehicle. ECUs per vehicles range from 25 to 35 in an
for KPIT              average vehicle to as many as 70 in luxury cars up from single digit
                      micro        controllers       few       years       back.       The
                      automotive microcontroller market is expected to expand to Rs.
                      328bn ($7 billion) by 2015.



                      Niche specialisation in other focused verticals driving the
                      growth

                      KPIT is now expanding into emerging verticals like Energy & Utilities
                      and Industrial equipments. Energy & Utilities vertical is expected to
                      attract large technology investments in the coming years which the
                      company looking to leverage with domain specialised offerings. In
                      cognizance with this core sector strategy, KPIT has recently moved
Emerging focus
                      out of BFSI sector which contributed around 2% to its revenue.
vertical: Utilities
                      This niche specialisation helps the Company to win larger deals with
                      the existing and new customers and improves customer mining.
                      Company moving ahead should also improve the profitability with
                      plans to improve business mix and increase in offshore services.



                      IT investment in Utilities on rise

                      With increasing concerns all over the world over climate changes and
                      environment issues, and depleting natural conventional energy
Huge
                      resources, there is rising demand in improving overall efficiency in
opportunity in
                      this sector with the help of information technology. The opportunities
utilities sector
                      vary from smart grid applications to billing solutions to customer
                      management.
                      For utilities vertical, north America is a vital vertical, where the
                      company will gain advantage with its strong presence through Sparta
                      Consulting. Sparta Consulting is one of the fastest growing SAP
                      services partners in North America, having received the 2012 SAP
                      Partner Impact Award as the SAP Services Partner of the Year for
                      Momentum in North America. Sparta has delivered over 250

Four-S Research                                                                         11
Company Report: KPIT Cummins                    31 Oct 2012

                  successful projects based on SAP solutions, which have included over
                  25 leading energy and utilities companies.



                  Strong positioning in horizontal SBUs pushing up the growth

                  IES, Automotive & Engg and SAP constitute company’s key SBUs.



                  IES (INTEGRATED ENTERPRISE SOLUTIONS)

                  IES is the largest SBU in the company contributing 40% revenue to
                  company’s top-line and is largely driven by Oracle practice. It grew
                  57% last year along with new customers deal worth $60mn. IES
IES: Enterprise   includes ERP implementation, support and e-biz. In IES, Oracle is the
consulting        key practice which includes Business Intelligence (BI), Manufacturing
                  Execution Systems (MES), JD Edwards (JDE), Oracle Transportation
                  Management (OTM) and Supply Chain Management (SCM). Through
                  organic skill developments and acquisitions KPIT has strengthen its
                  offering. It is third largest partner in Oracle in North America in
                  Industrial manufacturing and eight largest across the industries.
                  With latest Systime acquisition, the Company’s standing is further
                  strengthened in Oracle-JDE offering.



                  Auto & Engineering

                  KPIT is the largest third party vendor for automotive embedded
                  electronics in India. With 50% growth from last year A&E contributes
                  26% of revenue. Auto & Engg is the highest margin SBU in the
Auto & engg:      company with margins ranging in 19-20%.
Strong domain
                  With increasing electronics in Automotives the company is getting
expertise
                  good traction from Powertrain, Infotainment, AUTOSAR, MEDS,
                  Diagnostics and Telematics. This is niche market service line offering
                  from KPIT with high domain expertise, offering embedded software
                  and automotive electronics related practices to OEMs and tier I & II
                  vendors. To further improve its competence in the vertical lot of R&D
                  work is done in this SBU which results in IP based solutions to its
                  clients.



                  SAP

                  KPIT has strong presence in SAP ERP implementation services for
                  energy and utilization sector along with manufacturing sector with
SAP: strong
                  North America as major geography. The SAP SBU grew 57% last
pipeline with
                  year with the company getting traction across the industries. The
many multi-
                  SAP SBU is seeing good traction in Core ERP implementation,
million deals
                  Business Intelligence (BI) & Analytics, Customer Relationship


Four-S Research                                                                     12
Company Report: KPIT Cummins                    31 Oct 2012

                    Management (CRM), Human Capital Management, Mobility and
                    Application Maintenance & Support (AMS) projects. It closed three
                    deals in SAP with more than $20mn size last year. With technology
                    reset happening with in SAP company sees good opportunity HANA,
                    mobility and Success factors in the coming days.
                    The company is also looking to increase non linear business in SAP
                    by developing industry specific templates targeted for mid size
                    business in its focused industries. These templates can be deployed
                    at much lower cost and time than traditional methods.
                    SAP is lowest margin SBU in the company with Q2FY13 margins at
                    7%. Increased bench due to shift in technology and more onsite
                    implementation projects are one of the key reasons for lower
                    margins.



                                        Revenue Distribution: SBU wise

                                              3%


                                                                      IES
                                     31%                 40%
                                                                      Auto & Engg


                                                                      SAP


                                                                      Semiconductor
                                            26%                       Solutions Group




                    Revolo: A hybrid solution

                    Revolo is a major output of the Company’s R&D efforts. This could be
                    a major lever to push up non linear revenue for the company in the
                    near future. Revolo is a plug-in, parallel hybrid solution for the
                    automobiles which converts a regular vehicle into hybrid vehicle
                    using company’s innovative development in power-train technology.
                    It has filed 16 patents till date for Revolo only.
                    The solution will be developed and manufactured by 50:50 JV
Revolo:             between KPIT and Bharat Forge. Here KPIT will license its technology
Opportunity to      whereas Bharat forge will bring in support for manufacturing and
create hybrid kit   distribution.
market
                    As per Automotive Research Association of India (ARAI) tests, this
                    technology improves fuel efficiency by 40-50% and reduces green
                    house gas emission by 30%. The kit can be fitted to a vehicle in 4-6
                    hrs at the cost of 65k-150K depending on type of vehicle. The
                    Company is currently doing testing on 200 vehicle fitted with the kit

Four-S Research                                                                         13
Company Report: KPIT Cummins                     31 Oct 2012

                  and should come up with results near the year closing.
                  After testing and concluding govt regulatory requirements the
                  company should be able to launch the product in FY14 commercially.
                  Revolo was earlier expected to launch in FY13 but due to battery
                  problems it got delayed. The company expects Rs 3-5bn revenue
                  from this product.



                  Revenue Distribution: Geographically

                  Though KPIT has strong presence across globe, it has strong
                  dependency on US market like many other IT cos. Another reason
                  for this could be attributed to its large client Cummins, based out of
US is the key     USA, which attributes 20-22% of revenue. In FY12, the US market
market            contributed almost 70% of company’s revenue, up from 67% in FY11
                  and 60% in FY10. This is working in favour of the company, as the
                  US economy and auto & manufacturing sector is showing the signs of
                  recovery.

                                    Geographical Revenue Spread




                                                18.20%                     USA
                                 69.56%
                                               12.24%                      Europe
                                                                           Rest of World




                  Due to lower European market exposure, the Company is
                  comparatively sheltered from current European crisis. It is looking to
                  further diversify its geographical reach by gaining market share in
Emerging          emerging market like APAC, China and Brazil. The emerging market
market showing    grew 56% in FY12 with growth coming from countries like India,
strong growth     China, Japan and Korea.
                  To support good growth in China in automotive business, KPIT has
                  set up a subsidiary in China. Similarly it has set up subsidiaries in
                  Brazil and Netherlands too to strengthen its operations in Latin
                  American nations, Scandinavian and other European regions. With
                  the acquisition of Systime it has good positioning in the Brazil
                  market of JDE offerings.



                  Successful inorganic strategy to plug gaps in business model

                  The company has successfully implemented its inorganic growth
                  strategy to plug in gaps in its customer offerings. With 10


Four-S Research                                                                       14
Company Report: KPIT Cummins                           31 Oct 2012

                   acquisitions in as many years the company has managed to increase
                   its top line by 28x in the last 10 years. With these acquisitions
                   company has increased its foothold geographically and improved its
                   client base.



                   Revenue growth strongly supported by acquisitions

                   16000
                   14000
Strategic
                   12000
acquisitions
                   10000
playing big role    8000
in exponential      6000
growth              4000
                    2000
                       0
                              FY02 FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12

                                        Consol Revenue          Standalone revenue

                                                                                          (Rs mn)

                   KPIT’s acquisitions are driven by any of the 3 considerations: domain
                   expertise, geographical presence, or service expansion. Be it
                   Cummins at the initial stage which gave them auto-mfg domain
                   expertise or be it the latest $50mn SYSTIME acquisition which has
                   strong hold in Oracle and JDE practice.



                   Acquisitions


                    Company               Year           Size     Rationale
                                                                  Anchor Customer – Cummins,
                    Cummins Infotech      2002           $1mn     Vertical Focus - Manufacturing
                    Panex                 2003       $ 7.2 Mn     SAP Practice, Anchor Customer
                    SolvCentral           2005       $ 3.5 Mn     BI Practice, Anchor Customer
                                                                  Direct Presence in France,
                    Pivolis               2005       $ 1.5 Mn     Geography
                                                                  Auto Electronics Domain, Auto
10 years: 10        CG Smith              2006       $ 6.2 Mn     OEM & Tier I Customers
acquisition         Harita TVS            2008       $ 1.0 Mn     MEDS Practice
                                                                  SAP Practice, US Geography
                    Sparta Consulting     2009       $ 3.5 Mn     presence in SAP
                                                                  Vehicle Diagnostic & Telematics,
                    In2Soft               2010       $ 4.0 Mn     German Frontline
                    CPG                   2010       $ 11 Mn      Oracle Consulting
                    SysTime               2010       $ 50 Mn      Oracle Consulting, JDE Specialist
                   With these acquisitions KPIT has developed a strong offering in SAP,
                   Auto engg and Oracle. This helps KPIT in cross-selling their
                   Enterprise application services to their existing customer.



Four-S Research                                                                               15
Company Report: KPIT Cummins                               31 Oct 2012

                   Though these acquisitions have boosted company’s growth,
                   organically also the company has shown good growth. Organically
                   company has grown at 40% rate for last few years.



                   SYSTIME acquisition

                   SYSTIME is the largest acquisition till date of KPIT Cummins in its
                   decade long acquisition history. At the time of acquisition in 2010,
Systime:
                   SYSTIME had revenue of $50mn. Systime is the world's largest JD
Biggest bet till
                   Edwards solution provider, with manufacturing industry focused
now
                   offerings. This has further strengthened manufacturing and energy &
                   utilisation vertical of company as JDE is highly preferred in these
                   verticals.
                   With Systime's strong client base in manufacturing sector, including
                   large manufacturers such as France's Lafarge SA and U.S.-based
                   industrial gases maker Praxair Inc, it provides strong cross-selling
                   opportunity to the company.
                   This acquisition adds-up to the company’s Oracle-based consulting
                   and services business, making it a $125mn business for FY12. Also
                   company gets head-start in emerging geography, Brazil, where
                   Systime is an established player.
                   Although Systime has lower EBITDA margins compared to company’s
                   margins, KPIT could improve those with operational levers like off-
                   shoring, pyramid restructuring and other cost cutting majors. Also it
                   represents good cross-selling opportunity to KPIT and Systime
                   customers.

                   Strong and diversified customer portfolio

                   KPIT has strong client portfolio with more 176 active clients and 69
                   clients with run rate more than $1mn. It has been adding 3-4 active
                   clients every quarter from different verticals and service portfolio.

                   Include values in the chart below

                    180                                                                           80
                                                                                          69
                                                                                 65
                    175                                                                           70
                                                                        59
                    170                                         54                                60
                                                        51
                                              48
                    165     40       40
                                                                                                  50
                    160                                                                           40
                                                                                          176
                                                                                 172
                    155                                                 169                       30
                                                        163    165
                    150                      159                                                  20
                                    155
                            152
                    145                                                                           10
                    140                                                                           0
                          Q3FY11 Q4FY11 Q1FY12 Q2FY12 Q3FY12 Q4FY12 Q1FY13 Q2Fy13

                              No. of Active Customers         Customers with run rate of >$1Mn




Four-S Research                                                                                  16
Company Report: KPIT Cummins                  31 Oct 2012

                  Dependency on its top client, Cummins, is also drastically come
                  down in last 1-2 years. From almost 25% business coming from
                  Cummins in Q3FY11 it has come down to 19.7% in Q2FY13.



                  Strong growth potential with $1bn target for FY17

                  32-35% growth expected in FY13…

                  The company has the guidance of 32-35% growth in FY13 which is
                  better than most of major-mid cap IT companies expected growth in
                  current environment. KPIT plans to achieve this with maintaining
Company           edge in auto, mfg and utility sector and driving the growth with
expected to       service offering with domain expertise as a differentiator.
outperform its
                  The company has recently (in last 9 months) closed 3 $20mn+ deals
guidance
                  and expects similar deal flow from their focused verticals in the
                  future. The company more than doubled the growth the top-line in
                  last two years from $154mn in FY10 to $309mn in FY12 with major
                  boost coming from SAP and auto segments.



                  FY17 vision to reach $1bn

                  KPIT has set a vision to become $1bn revenue company by FY17,
                  with target to achieve EBITDA margin of 18% up from 14.5%. With
                  strong vertical focused growth and best in class practices in Auto
                  embedded, SAP and Oracle, company should achieve the target with
                  the help of inorganic means and organic growth.




Four-S Research                                                                  17
Company Report: KPIT Cummins                             31 Oct 2012


                   Operational performance



                   Focus on productivity improvement, Systime margins improve

                   The company is showing positive developments in productivity
                   factors. Systime had EBITDA margins of 5.5% at time of acquisitions
                   compared to the company’s 15% which had impacted on company’s
Systime            margins. But as Systime integration is happening one can see
integration        positive trend in its margins.
pushing its
                   In Q4FY12 without SYSTIME EBITDA margin was ~17%, but
margins up
                   SYSTIME itself had margin of 10%, bringing down overall EBITDA
                   margin to 16%. With continued successful integration and increased
                   offshore revenue from SYSTIME the productivity should move up.
                   Also the company also has other levers available with them to
                   increase the margins. By flattening the organisation pyramid further
                   i.e. increasing fresher/experience ratio and improved utilisation on
                   organisational level could further increase in profitability of the
                   company.



                   Improvement in the utilization visible

                                                    Utilisation
                    100%
                                                                                 94.5%    94.7%
                     95%                        90.7%       91.3%
                                     90.2%                           90.6%
                            89.1%
                     90%

                     85%

                     80%
                                                                                 74.3%    74.1%
                     75%                                    72.8%    71.9%
                                                71.2%
                                     69.9%
                     70%    67.6%

                     65%

                     60%
                            Q3FY11   Q4FY11   Q1 FY12       Q2FY12   Q3FY12    Q4 FY12   Q1 FY13

                                       Onsite Utilisation        Offshore Utilisation


                   KPIT is on the mid to lower side of utilisation level if one compares it
                   to its peers (NIIT 78-79%, Polaris 80%, Persistent 73%, Mindtree
                   72%). But the company is trying to improve this shortcoming with
Utilisation rate   increasing utilisation on both onsite and offshore side.
seen uptrend
                   Company’s efforts are getting some positive results as offshore
                   utilisation has gone up from 67.6% in Q3FY11 to 74.1% in Q1 GY13
                   and 89.1% onsite utilisation in Q3FY11 to 94.7% in Q1 FY13.
                   Although company is showing this positive trend, it still has plenty of


Four-S Research                                                                               18
Company Report: KPIT Cummins                   31 Oct 2012

                  ground to catch to come close to its top peers.

                  Increased Off-shoring required

                  KPIT has high amount revenue coming revenue coming from onsite
                  which is in the ratio of 52-53% in recent quarters. This ratio has
Off-shoring to
improve           been on growing trend lately increasing from 43% in Q4 FY11 to
                  more than 53% in Q2 FY13. This growth is has major contribution
margins
                  from SAP SBU which had most of the project in the implementation
                  phase. Also acquired company has more onsite revenue compared to
                  any KPIT.
                  In the coming days company is expected to improve onsite:offshore
                  revenue ratio with increasing offshoring. And existing onsite
                  implementation project going into maintainance phase will also help.

                                             Onsite Revenue
                   55%                                                          54%
                                                                       53%
                   53%                                         52%
                   51%
                   49%                                48%
                                             47%
                   47%
                                    44%
                   45%     43%
                   43%
                   41%
                   39%
                   37%
                   35%
                          Q4FY11 Q1 FY12    Q2FY12   Q3FY12 Q4 FY12 Q1 FY13 Q2 FY13


                  Improvement in organisational pyramid

                  The Company can also use some other majors to improve the
                  productivity such as flattening the organisational pyramid. As of now
                  it has more laterals working in the projects and fewer freshers as
                  compared to its peers. Company is looking to improve this ratio with
                  increasing fresher recruitment.




Four-S Research                                                                    19
Company Report: KPIT Cummins               31 Oct 2012


                      Financial Annexure

Profit & Loss Statement

Income Statement            FY'08    FY'09   FY'10   FY'11   FY'12E      FY'13E     FY'14E

Gross Sales                 5,835    7,932   7,316   9,870   15,000      21,861     25,578



Employee Cost                2145     2634    2654    5300     7718       11361         13160

Other Operating Expenses     2051     2362    1982    1772     3116        4360          5101
Sales, Admin & General
Expenses                      818      970     945    1198     1789        2608          3051

Miscellaneous Expenses         87      706     390     117       211        307           360


Total Expenses              5,102    6,672   5,971   8,386   12,834      18,636     21,672


EBITDA                        733    1,260   1,345   1,484    2,166       3,226         3,906
Depreciation                  255      436     308     411       445        445           445
EBIT                          478     823    1,037   1,073    1,721       2,781         3,461
Other Income                  218       30      56      67       138        -120            80
Financial Expenses             94       76      33      38        73          73            73
Profit before tax and
Exceptional Items             602     778    1,061   1,103    1,786       2,587         3,467
Exceptional Items          (13.72)       -       -       -   100.45            -             -
Profit before tax             588      778   1,061   1,103     1,886      2,587         3,467
Tax                            76      120     169     155       437        623           849
Profit after tax before
minority interest             512     658     892     948     1,450       1,965         2,618

Minority Interest               1       0       0       -2       -31        -46             0

Reported net profit           513     659     892     946     1,454       2,011         2,618
                                                         (Rs mn), consolidated financials




Four-S Research                                                                    20
Company Report: KPIT Cummins                            31 Oct 2012


Balance Sheet


Balance Sheet                   FY'08       FY'09       FY'10       FY'11   FY'12    FY'13E      FY'14E

Shareholder's Equity

Share Capital                     184         156         174         183     359       359           359

Reserves and Surplus            2,454       1,475       3,697       5,849   6,766     8,777      11,395

ESOPs                               -           -           -           -       -          -             -

Total equity capital            2,638       1,631       3,871       6,032   7,125     9,136     11,754



Liabilities

Secured Loans                     858       1,185       1,108         115       4         4              4

Unsecured Loans                     7           -           -         158   1,186       650           650

Minority Interest           5           3           -           9             326       460           460

Total Liabilities and
Owner's Equity                  3,508       2,819       4,979       6,314   8,641    10,250     12,868



Assets

Goodwill on consolidation           -           -           -           -       -          -             -

Gross Block                     5,626       2,489       3,464       4,241   7,445     8,189         9,172

   Less: Depreciation             629       1,042       1,278       1,678   2,155      2,370        2,418

Net Fixed Assets                4,997       1,447       2,186       2,563   5,290     5,819         6,755

Work-in-progress                  207         348         286         316     185       320           400

Investments                         -           0         747       1,258   1,234     1,200         1,531

Inventory                           -           -           -           -       -          -             -

Debtors                         1,432       1,776       1,388       2,288   4,380     4,498         5,263

Cash and Bank Balance             740       1,671       1,052       2,080   1,473     2,283         3,201

Other Current Assets               52          67          58         363     320       333           399

Loans and Advances                478         383         619         216     579       972         1,262

Total Current Assets            2,702       3,896       3,117       4,947   6,752     8,086     10,124


Deferred Tax Asset               (42)        (60)        (51)        (55)      27        50            50

Current Liabilities               546       2,716       1,076       2,517   4,220     4,613         5,398

Provision                         287          97         230         200     628       474           595

Total Current Liabilities        833        2813        1306        2716    4847      5087          5992

Net Current Assets              1868        1083        1811        2231    1905      2999          4132

Total Assets                    7032        2819        4979        6314    8641     10388       12867
                                                                                               (Rs mn)



Four-S Research                                                                                21
Company Report: KPIT Cummins                  31 Oct 2012

   Cash Flow Statement


Cash Flow Statement                 FY'08    FY'09    FY'10    FY'11    FY'12     FY'13E         FY'14E

Net Profit/(Loss) before Tax          602      778    1,061    1,103    1,886      2,587          3,467

 Adjustments                          273      441      432      365      415        324            409



Operating Cash flow before
Wcap                                  875    1,219    1,493    1,467    2,301      2,912          3,876

 Change in WC                         -390     113      -169     -574     -870     -1,074         -1,439


Cash Generated from
Operations before taxes               485     1,332    1,324     894     1,432      1,838         2,437

 Direct Taxes Paid                     -44     -141     -213     -249     -268      -331           -400

Operating Cash flow- A                441     1,191    1,110     645     1,163      1,507         2,038



Cash Flow from Investing
Activities                            -301     -669   -1,366     -675   -2,828      -750           -800



Cash from Financing activities-
C                                     -22      182     -132    1,043    1,084       -320           -320

Change in Cash= A+B+C                 117      704     -388    1,013     -581        437            918

Opening Balance                       625      740    1,444    1,056    2,069      1,846          2,283

Closing Balance                       742     1444     1056     2069     1846       2283          3201
                                                                                    (Rs mn)




   Four-S Research                                                                          22
Company Report: KPIT Cummins            31 Oct 2012

 Ratios

Ratios                                FY'08   FY'09   FY'10   FY'11   FY'12   FY'13E        FY'14E
EPS                                     6.6     8.4    11.4    10.8     8.1     11.2          14.6
CEPS                                    5.7    15.3    14.1     7.4     6.5      8.4          11.4
DPS                                     0.7     0.6     0.7     0.7     0.7      0.8           1.0


Valuation Ratios
P/E Ratio                              11.8     3.0    10.1    15.6    15.3     11.0           8.5
EV/EBITDA                               8.4     1.2     6.8     9.3    10.2      6.8           5.6
EV/Sales                                1.1     0.2     1.2     1.4     1.5      1.0           0.9


Profitability (%)
EBITDA margin                          12.6    15.9    18.4    15.0    14.4     14.8          15.3
Pretax margin                          10.1     9.8    14.5    11.2    12.6     11.8          13.6
Net margin                              8.8     8.3    12.2     9.6     9.7      9.2          10.2
Return on avg. Equity                  30.1    30.9    32.4    19.1    22.1     24.7          25.1
Return on avg. Capital employed        14.7    26.1    26.6    19.0    23.5     30.7          31.2


Growth Ratios (%)
Revenue growth                                 35.9    -7.8    34.9    52.0     45.7          17.0
EBITDA growth                                  71.8     6.8    10.3    45.9     48.9          21.1
Net profit growth                              32.3    36.4     3.9    53.7     38.3          30.2


Activity/Turnover Ratios
Asset turnover                          1.9     5.9     4.0     2.7     4.1      4.9           4.2
Working Cap turnover                    6.0     5.4     5.1     4.9     7.3      8.9           7.2
Debtors turnover                        8.1     4.9     4.6     5.4     4.5      4.9           5.2
Debtor Days                            44.8    73.8    78.9    68.0    81.1     74.1          69.6
Payables turnover                      21.4     4.9     3.9     5.5     4.5      4.9           5.1
Payables Days                          17.1    75.1    94.6    66.4    82.0     73.7          71.4


Liquidity Ratios
Current Ratio                           3.2     1.4     2.4     1.8     1.4      1.6           1.7
Cash Ratio                              0.9     0.6     0.8     0.8     0.3      0.4           0.5


Solvency
Debt Equity                             0.3     0.7     0.3     0.0     0.2      0.1           0.1
Leverage Ratio                          2.7     1.7     1.3     1.0     1.2      1.1           1.1
Net Debt / EBITDA                       0.2    -0.4     0.0    -1.2    -0.1     -0.5          -0.7
Interest Coverage                       5.1    10.9    31.8    28.4    23.5     38.0          47.3




 Four-S Research                                                                       23
Company Report: KPIT Cummins                          31 Oct 2012

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Four-S Research                                                                                   24

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Kpit cummins company report

  • 1. C O M P A N Y R E P O R T India 31 Oct 2012 KPIT Cummins Rs 123.9 Sector: IT/TECH A shining star in mid-cap IT sector BSE Code 532400 NSE Code KPIT KPIT Cummins (KPIT) has the most well defined CMP(31 Oct) 124 52W H/L 142/68 business model amongst mid-cap IT companies. Deep Nifty 5,597 Sensex 18,430 domain expertise in 3 key verticals, and strengths in Shares (m) 179.02 Face Value(Rs) 2 Market Cap (Rs m) 22,181 Free Float 73.8% two key horizontals - Oracle and SAP, has helped KPIT Rs mn to outgrow peers on a sustained basis. With a strong financial performance in H1 FY13, the company is set to Share holding as per 30 Sep 2012 maintain its growth leadership. At an expected 8xFY14 earnings, KPIT is attractively valued. We expect the stock to hit a price of Rs 150 by 26.22% Promoter Sep’13 based on a 12x forward PE. We expect KPIT to 33.46% continue to command a premium over midcap peers. FII DII Set to outgrow peers in FY13 Others KPIT has grown faster than peers in IT mid-cap space in 26.74% recent years, reporting growth of 41% in 2011 and 43% in 13.58% 2012 and CAGR 50% from 2003-2009. It is expected to outgrow peers in FY13 as well; KPIT should convincingly cross its current year guidance of 32-35% growth. 150 Vertical strengths explain growth outperformance 120 With increasing electronics in vehicles, automotive engg services outsourcing to India is set to grow. Automotive engg 90 services off-shoring is expected to reach $6.4bn with CAGR of 60 18% in FY11-20. KPIT is largest 3rd Party Vendor for Automotive Electronics in India. Similarly, Energy and Utilities 30 verticals are also expected to see strong tech spends. Inorganic strategy has worked well - Sep-11 Sep-12 Feb-12 Aug-12 Oct-12 Nov-11 Dec-11 May-12 Mar-12 Jun-12 KPIT’s inorganic moves have worked well, allowing it to develop domain expertise in new areas. Company has achieved strong growth through ramping up services offering KPIT Cummins Sensex in Oracle and SAP through inorganic expansion like CPG and SYSTIME. Q2 FY13 results show strong performance from Consolidated Financials Systime, where EBITDA margins have expanded from 5.5% during acquisition to 14%. FY'11 FY'12 FY'13E FY'14E 15,000 21,861 25,578 Outperformed all IT mid cap stocks for 1 yr, 6 month Sales 9,870 and 3 month stock performance & top line growth EBITDA 1,484 2,166 3,226 3,906 The Company gave return of almost 50% in last 6 month and PAT 946 1,454 2,011 2,618 1 year period, outperforming all the peers. It has consistently EBITDA (%) 18.4 14.4 14.8 15.3 outperformed Nifty and NSE-IT index through-out the year. EPS (Rs) 10.8 8.1 11.2 14.6 KPIT Cummins grew highest among almost all mid-cap IT stock in FY11 and FY12. ROE(%) 32.4 22.1 24.7 25.1 26.6 23.5 30.7 31.2 Revolo, profitability improvement ROCE(%) P/E Ratio(x) 15.6 15.3 11.0 8.5 Couple of key performance drivers for the stock will be what happens to Revolo and profit margins. If Revolo’s commercial EV/EBITDA(x) 9.3 10.2 6.8 5.6 launch turns out a success, it will add significant value to EPS 10.8 8.1 11.2 14.6 company. Also the margins levers such as fixed price projects, Rs mn improved employee mix and increased off-shoring can further boost KPIT’s profitability. Four-s reports are available on BLOOMBERG, Reuters, Thomson Publishers and Market Publishers
  • 2. Company Report: KPIT Cummins 31 Oct 2012 Investment Rationale Fastest growing mid-cap IT player KPIT Cummins is the fastest growing mid-cap IT player in India. KPIT grew at an outstanding CAGR of 50% in the period 2003-2009. It has maintained superior performance with USD revenue growth of 41% in FY11 and 43% in FY12. Consistently It has witnessed similar growth in its bottom line too. In FY12 it growing at registered PAT growth of 54% to Rs 1,449mn, along with 43% CAGR of above growth in EBITDA and EPS growth of 47% y-o-y. These numbers are 40% better than almost all other mid-cap IT peers. Company FY12 Rev Growth Rev Growth Name Rev EBITDA PAT in Fy12 in Fy11 Hexaware Technologies 15,347 3,354 2,670 37% 3% Infotech Enterprises 15,707 2,866 1,514 29% 22% Mindtree Ltd 19,537 3,315 2,185 27% 12% NIIT Technologies 16,068 3,005 1,964 29% 35% Persistent Systems 10,339 2,580 1,418 28% 32% Polaris FT 16,568 2,730 2,023 21% -2% KPIT Cummins 15,138 2,304 1,450 52% 35% (Rs mn) This extraordinary growth is the result of successful execution of its chosen strategy of vertical focussed growth and successful inorganic expansion. This growth is driven by three major verticals, Auto & transportation, Manufacturing and Utilities. While working in these verticals the company has developed strong horizontal service offerings in Auto & Electronics, IES and SAP. Differentiated vertical-focus strategy driving growth While the rest of the IT industry started talking about vertical-focus in the last 2 years, KPIT very early on decided to focus on a few select verticals to be able to compete better. This company can be Vertical-focus considered as the pioneer of this differentiating strategy among the strategy sets it IT mid-caps. apart The company has focused from early days on automotive and manufacturing verticals. This has resulted in deep domain expertise in its focus verticals. KPIT Cummins is the largest 3rd party vendor for automobile electronics in India. KPIT has developed a strong domain expertise in the manufacturing segment and specifically in automobile sector. In its last more than 20 years of operations it has Four-S Research 2
  • 3. Company Report: KPIT Cummins 31 Oct 2012 been working mainly in its niche segment i.e. Automotive- manufacturing. This resulted in high domain expertise and strong clientele in the segment. This gives KPIT advantage among not only their Indian competitors but also with most of their global competitors. Till now, KPIT has developed technology solutions for more than 120 global automotive companies which include 8 out of top 10 global original equipment manufacturers (OEMs). Successful inorganic growth strategy KPIT Cummins has successfully kept firing the growth engine by supporting strong organic growth with carefully chosen inorganic acquisitions. These acquisitions have helped the company to grow at Highly effective a rapid space of 40-50% CAGR in the last decade, resulting in one of inorganic the fastest growing company in the mid-cap IT space. It has also growth track been successful in smooth integration of these acquisitions. Through record these acquisitions it has developed expertise in various services offering in the likes of ERP implementation, Oracle and SAP services. These acquisitions were done with focus on gaining ground in terms of geography entry, or service offering expertise or gaining important client clusters. For example, KPIT has developed expertise in SAP practice with the successful acquisitions of Panex Consulting and Sparta Consulting whereas Oracle practise has been strengthened with recent CPG and Systime acquisition. It did 10 such strategic acquisition in the last decade with focus on driving the growth through strong practice offerings in SAP, ERP and Auto electronics and developed strong client base across the globe. Systime has given scale in Oracle If one takes the example of latest acquisition, SYSTIME ($50mn rev), the largest acquisition till date by KPIT, it gives KPIT strong Oracle practice, with JDE specialisation. This has helped KPIT improve its offering to its key manufacturing clients as clients in this industry prefer JDE solutions. Systime is the largest JD Edwards solution provider globally. It also gave the company foothold and strong client base in Brazil where Systime has good chunk of revenue coming. Innovation focused and R&D driven company Unlike most IT companies in India, KPIT invests significantly in R&D. The investment in these efforts has now increased to ~3% of its revenue. From these initiatives, the Company has applied for 40 patents in last 18 months. Four-S Research 3
  • 4. Company Report: KPIT Cummins 31 Oct 2012 Innovation to KPIT has many innovation based R&D projects, designed to develop lead non linear new technologies and solution for their customers. This has resulted growth in growing revenue contribution from its non-linear projects. It has a department named ‘Center for Research in Engineering Services and Technology’ (CREST), which is totally dedicated to these initiatives. It focuses on research in areas such as System engineering, parallel computing, program analysis tool, security and surveillance and Energy. These R&D initiatives are again industry focussed which helps the company to maintain its edge in the industry and provide best service with IP led solution to its customers. Revolo a unique R&D initiative Revolo is one of the key results of this initiative. Revolo is plug-in, parallel hybrid solution for the automobiles which converts a regular vehicle into hybrid vehicle. It has filed 16 patents till date for Revolo only. Robust performance in H1 FY13 Top line expands strongly The company has given strong results in H1FY13 with revenue growing by 72% yoy from Rs 6,411mn in H2FY12 to Rs 11,054mn driven by revenue growth from latest acquisition, Systime, and strong momentum in all verticals. This was supported by outstanding growth in the US market where it grew by almost 100% from Rs. 4,243mn in H1FY12 to Rs 8,434mn in H1FY13, whereas it witnessed Strong H1 a flat European market with 11% growth and in ROW it grew by performance 35%. Manufacturing and energy & utilities verticals grew at strong sets the tone 265% and 127%, respectively, in H1FY13 whereas Automotives vertical grew at 30%. All the SBUs showed good growth in this period with 94% growth in IES and 77% growth in SAP SBU and 53% growth in Auto & engg. Its PAT grew by good 60.8% from Rs. 605mn in H1FY12 to 974mn in H1FY13. The company also witnessed strong growth on client level with top client account (Cummins) growing by 60% whereas top 5 clients grew at 60% and top 10 clients account grew by 55%. The company added 7 new customers in this period and has 69 >$1mn clients compared to 59 at the start of the year. Increases margins as well, helped by Systime The company has also managed to push up the EBITDA margin from 13% to 14% despite lower EBITDA margins of Systime. Systime has Four-S Research 4
  • 5. Company Report: KPIT Cummins 31 Oct 2012 Systime also shown strong performance, with 11.6% and 15.7% revenue margins are growth q-o-q in Q1 and Q2FY13, respectively, along with EBITDA moving up margin improvement from 5.5% at the time acquisition to 14% in Q2FY13. Q2 Q2 % Q1FY1 % H1 H1 % FY13 FY12 Change 3 Change FY13 FY12 Change Net Sales 5,672 3,250 74.5 5,383 5.4 11,055 6,412 72.4 Total Expenditure 4,943 2,808 76.0 4,576 8.0 9,500 5,575 70.4 EBITDA 729 442 65.0 806 -9.6 1,554 837 85.8 Other Income 22 109 -79.5 30 -25.8 34 132 -74.2 Operating Profit 752 552 36.3 837 -10.2 1,589 969 63.9 Interest 32 11 199.9 30 8.2 62 19 224.3 Exceptional Items 55 27 104.7 81 0 100.0 PBDT 774 541 43.2 834 -7.1 1,608 950 69.3 Depreciation 114 116 -1.0 113 0.8 228 210 8.5 PBT 660 425 55.2 720 -8.4 1,380 740 86.5 Tax 191 88 118.3 185 3.6 376 159 137.1 Profit After Tax 468 338 38.8 536 -12.5 1,004 581 72.7 Minority Interest -12 -1 -936.4 -12 0.4 -25 -4 -482.2 Shares of Associates 5 28 -82.4 -10 147.9 -5 28 -119.1 Net Profit 461 365 26.4 513 -10.1 974 606 60.8 (Rs mn) Four-S Research 5
  • 6. Company Report: KPIT Cummins 31 Oct 2012 Peer Benchmarking Strong top-line performance Company Market EV Sales Sales 3 EBITDA PAT Cap yr CAGR Infotech 21,252 21,746 15,531 20% 2,691 1,614 Hexaware 32,005 32,005 14,505 8% 2,513 2,670 Persistent 18,792 18,869 10,003 19% 2,244 1,418 NIIT 16,468 16,593 15,765 17% 2,701 1,972 Mindtree 27,505 27,576 19,152 16% 2,930 2,185 Average 23,204 23,358 14,991 16% 2,616 1,972 KPIT 21,765 22,954 15,000 24% 2,166 1,454 (Rs mn) KPIT has shown significant growth in last few years over its peers. It has 3 yr CAGR for sales of 24% despite having not so good performance in FY10 due to recessionary environment. KPIT grew Better growth faster than most of the mid-cap IT company in the period with than peers decent performance on margins level. Such strong growth was showcased earlier too by KPIT when it grew 50% CAGR in 2003- 2009 period and above 40% growth in FY11 and FY12. Scope to improve profitability FY12 Margins Company EBIDTA PAT Infotech 17% 10% Hexaware 17% 18% Persistent 22% 14% NIIT 17% 13% Mindtree 15% 11% Average 18% 13% KPIT 14% 10% KPIT’s profit margins are on the lower side amongst its peers. Its profitability was also recently impacted by acquisition of Systime. Systime was a strategic acquisition, but it had the lower margins (5.5%) compared to company’s margins. The key will be to push up Four-S Research 6
  • 7. Company Report: KPIT Cummins 31 Oct 2012 the margins of the business coming from such low margin acquisitions while striving for the growth through these acquisitions. Higher margins can also be achieved by various operational levers such as off- Strong balance shoring, pyramid restructuring etc. sheet helps in In H1 FY13, Systime’s margins have started moving up. Systime inorganic margins have expanded substantially with 10% and 14% EBITDA strategy margin in Q1 and Q2 FY13, respectively. Liquidity ratios on Par Current Ratio (x) Cash Ratio (x) Company FY10 FY11 FY12 FY11 FY12 Infotech 2.57 6.19 4.81 3.16 2.36 Hexaware 2.08 2.84 2.15 1.56 1.01 Persistent 2.10 1.88 1.82 0.40 0.45 NIIT 1.81 1.93 1.74 0.32 0.41 Mindtree 1.79 2.47 1.75 0.21 0.16 Industry Average 2.07 3.06 2.45 1.13 0.88 KPIT 2.39 1.82 1.39 0.77 0.30 The company has strong balance sheet with strong cash ratio and current ratio. Due to strong performance in the past, the company has managed to continue the inorganic expansion without much strain on its balance sheet. Debt Equity (x) Interest Coverage (x) Company FY11 FY12 FY11 FY12 Infotech 0.04 0.04 137.15 299.28 Hexaware 0.01 0.00 10.57 74.02 Persistent 0.02 0.01 NA NA NIIT 0.01 0.01 92.86 60.85 Mindtree 0.03 0.01 266.50 447.00 Average 0.02 0.01 126.77 220.29 KPIT 0.05 0.17 28.40 23.50 Four-S Research 7
  • 8. Company Report: KPIT Cummins 31 Oct 2012 Valuation Valuation: Growth momentum to drive valuation up The company is continuing its growth momentum from last two years into this year. Revenues grew 72% in yoy in H1 FY13 and 74% yoy in Q2FY13. The Company is expected to maintain this growth momentum in the rest of the year and should easily cross its higher range of guidance of 35% this year. Given the strong growth environment in its focus verticals, the Company is expected to carry forward this momentum to the next year. We expect KPIT to overshoot its guidance of 35% growth in FY13 and to achieve about 17% growth in FY14. TTM Price Market Price EV/ MCap/ Company Name Sales (Rs) Cap PE /BV EBITDA Sales Hexaware Technologies 17,363 112 33,160 10.0 3.1 6.8 1.9 Infotech Enterprises 17,672 188 20,961 10.3 1.7 4.1 1.2 Mindtree Ltd 22,047 660 27,145 9.3 2.9 8.1 1.4 Persistent Systems 11,659 478 19,120 11.4 2.0 5.9 1.6 Polaris FT 22,480 120 11,917 5.0 1.0 3.1 0.5 KPIT Cummins 19,643 124 22,181 11.8 2.8 7.9 1.1 (Rs mn) Premium valuations imply one year price target of Rs 150 We expect KPIT Although company is traded at premium compared its peers, it will to command a continue to demand this premium based on its growth prospects and premium over vertical growth strategy. Currently stock is trading at Rs 124, implying peers a PE of 10.9x and 8.4x for FY13 and FY14, respectively. We expect KPIT to reach 150 by Sep’13 based on a forward PE of 12x Sep’13. We believe KPIT deserves a continuing premium over the midcap space. 1 yr forward PE band chart 160 16x 140 120 13x 100 10x 80 60 40 20 0 Four-S Research 8
  • 9. Company Report: KPIT Cummins 31 Oct 2012 KPIT’s Business Differentiated Strategy : Strong Vertical Focus KPIT has organised its efforts around 3 key verticals: auto and transportation, manufacturing and energy and utilities. KPIT tries to provide industry specific holistic solutions to its clients with best in class service offerings. With high domain expertise, the company is in a position to provide Differentiated full range of services to its customers. The company is also investing strategy sets in R&D to develop and maintain domain excellence in automotive company apart segment. Revenue Spread – Verticals 71.38% 11.22% 1.68% 15.72% Automotive & Transportation Manufacturing Energy & Utilities Others Automotive and transport vertical contributed more than Rs 10.7bn, i.e. 71% of FY12 revenue, up from Rs 6.39bn or 64.77% of revenue in FY11. The contribution from Manufacturing increased from 10.48% in FY11 to 11.22% in FY12. This largely helped drive 41% and 43% growth in FY12 and FY11, respectively. Increased outsourcing in Auto industry With increasing competition in the Auto industry, OEMs are facing intense pressure to bring in the new models at a quicker pace, with increased electronics in them. This has worked as a booster to the Auto industry outsourcing industry as outsourcing helps in bringing down the total more inclining time required to develop the product and bring it in the market. towards out- sourcing Outsourcing helps OEMs and other auto vendors to bring down the lead time in product development and imparts flexibility to them to easily adjust to market dynamics. Also growing electrification of the vehicles and its increasing criticality in product success has further Four-S Research 9
  • 10. Company Report: KPIT Cummins 31 Oct 2012 pushed the outsourcing market in auto engineering and Auto industry. Technology development in Automotive space to drive top line With focus on fuel efficiency, safety, cost cutting and hybrid technology increasing, auto companies are more and more incorporating electronics into their vehicles. As OEMs are not looking to get into technology development, especially IT, which is not their Technology core domain, this development mainly gets outsourced to company’s development in working in this domain. KPIT has benefitted in this trend with Auto to push for increasing projects from Auto OEMs. more As per Nasscom, the engineering services space is currently electrification of exploding, thanks to robust growth across Europe, Asia and the US. vehicles According to the report, the total engineering services market was worth $746 billion in 2004 and will touch $1,100 billion by 2020. Of this the outsourced component could be worth around $200 billion. Currently, the engineering services outsourcing (ESO) market is worth around $15 billion with India garnering a healthy 12%share. Automotive is second largest contributor in this with 19% share US market on the recovery path US constituted around 70% of revenue in FY12; its share increased to 76% in Q1FY12. With US economy showing signs of recovery, prospects US car sales are expected to improve going forward. US Auto Sales (in mn) 16 15 14 13 12 11 10 9 8 Source:Ycharts.com, Bureau of Economic Analysis and Four-S Four-S Research 10
  • 11. Company Report: KPIT Cummins 31 Oct 2012 With improving US car sales numbers, KPIT is expected to get good demand from its US based clients along with Japan and emerging markets with improving overall sector condition. Increasing electronics in Automotives As the technology is developing, more and more electronics is used in automotives to improve vehicle’s safety, fuel efficiency. Power- train, infotainment, interiors, tele/diagnostics. As per databeans, Increasing roughly 25% of vehicle cost accounts for electronic products which electronic goes up-to 30% in luxury cars. This will soon reach to 50%. Micro components in controllers based ECUs are increasing in vehicles with increasing vehicle, booster features in the vehicle. ECUs per vehicles range from 25 to 35 in an for KPIT average vehicle to as many as 70 in luxury cars up from single digit micro controllers few years back. The automotive microcontroller market is expected to expand to Rs. 328bn ($7 billion) by 2015. Niche specialisation in other focused verticals driving the growth KPIT is now expanding into emerging verticals like Energy & Utilities and Industrial equipments. Energy & Utilities vertical is expected to attract large technology investments in the coming years which the company looking to leverage with domain specialised offerings. In cognizance with this core sector strategy, KPIT has recently moved Emerging focus out of BFSI sector which contributed around 2% to its revenue. vertical: Utilities This niche specialisation helps the Company to win larger deals with the existing and new customers and improves customer mining. Company moving ahead should also improve the profitability with plans to improve business mix and increase in offshore services. IT investment in Utilities on rise With increasing concerns all over the world over climate changes and environment issues, and depleting natural conventional energy Huge resources, there is rising demand in improving overall efficiency in opportunity in this sector with the help of information technology. The opportunities utilities sector vary from smart grid applications to billing solutions to customer management. For utilities vertical, north America is a vital vertical, where the company will gain advantage with its strong presence through Sparta Consulting. Sparta Consulting is one of the fastest growing SAP services partners in North America, having received the 2012 SAP Partner Impact Award as the SAP Services Partner of the Year for Momentum in North America. Sparta has delivered over 250 Four-S Research 11
  • 12. Company Report: KPIT Cummins 31 Oct 2012 successful projects based on SAP solutions, which have included over 25 leading energy and utilities companies. Strong positioning in horizontal SBUs pushing up the growth IES, Automotive & Engg and SAP constitute company’s key SBUs. IES (INTEGRATED ENTERPRISE SOLUTIONS) IES is the largest SBU in the company contributing 40% revenue to company’s top-line and is largely driven by Oracle practice. It grew 57% last year along with new customers deal worth $60mn. IES IES: Enterprise includes ERP implementation, support and e-biz. In IES, Oracle is the consulting key practice which includes Business Intelligence (BI), Manufacturing Execution Systems (MES), JD Edwards (JDE), Oracle Transportation Management (OTM) and Supply Chain Management (SCM). Through organic skill developments and acquisitions KPIT has strengthen its offering. It is third largest partner in Oracle in North America in Industrial manufacturing and eight largest across the industries. With latest Systime acquisition, the Company’s standing is further strengthened in Oracle-JDE offering. Auto & Engineering KPIT is the largest third party vendor for automotive embedded electronics in India. With 50% growth from last year A&E contributes 26% of revenue. Auto & Engg is the highest margin SBU in the Auto & engg: company with margins ranging in 19-20%. Strong domain With increasing electronics in Automotives the company is getting expertise good traction from Powertrain, Infotainment, AUTOSAR, MEDS, Diagnostics and Telematics. This is niche market service line offering from KPIT with high domain expertise, offering embedded software and automotive electronics related practices to OEMs and tier I & II vendors. To further improve its competence in the vertical lot of R&D work is done in this SBU which results in IP based solutions to its clients. SAP KPIT has strong presence in SAP ERP implementation services for energy and utilization sector along with manufacturing sector with SAP: strong North America as major geography. The SAP SBU grew 57% last pipeline with year with the company getting traction across the industries. The many multi- SAP SBU is seeing good traction in Core ERP implementation, million deals Business Intelligence (BI) & Analytics, Customer Relationship Four-S Research 12
  • 13. Company Report: KPIT Cummins 31 Oct 2012 Management (CRM), Human Capital Management, Mobility and Application Maintenance & Support (AMS) projects. It closed three deals in SAP with more than $20mn size last year. With technology reset happening with in SAP company sees good opportunity HANA, mobility and Success factors in the coming days. The company is also looking to increase non linear business in SAP by developing industry specific templates targeted for mid size business in its focused industries. These templates can be deployed at much lower cost and time than traditional methods. SAP is lowest margin SBU in the company with Q2FY13 margins at 7%. Increased bench due to shift in technology and more onsite implementation projects are one of the key reasons for lower margins. Revenue Distribution: SBU wise 3% IES 31% 40% Auto & Engg SAP Semiconductor 26% Solutions Group Revolo: A hybrid solution Revolo is a major output of the Company’s R&D efforts. This could be a major lever to push up non linear revenue for the company in the near future. Revolo is a plug-in, parallel hybrid solution for the automobiles which converts a regular vehicle into hybrid vehicle using company’s innovative development in power-train technology. It has filed 16 patents till date for Revolo only. The solution will be developed and manufactured by 50:50 JV Revolo: between KPIT and Bharat Forge. Here KPIT will license its technology Opportunity to whereas Bharat forge will bring in support for manufacturing and create hybrid kit distribution. market As per Automotive Research Association of India (ARAI) tests, this technology improves fuel efficiency by 40-50% and reduces green house gas emission by 30%. The kit can be fitted to a vehicle in 4-6 hrs at the cost of 65k-150K depending on type of vehicle. The Company is currently doing testing on 200 vehicle fitted with the kit Four-S Research 13
  • 14. Company Report: KPIT Cummins 31 Oct 2012 and should come up with results near the year closing. After testing and concluding govt regulatory requirements the company should be able to launch the product in FY14 commercially. Revolo was earlier expected to launch in FY13 but due to battery problems it got delayed. The company expects Rs 3-5bn revenue from this product. Revenue Distribution: Geographically Though KPIT has strong presence across globe, it has strong dependency on US market like many other IT cos. Another reason for this could be attributed to its large client Cummins, based out of US is the key USA, which attributes 20-22% of revenue. In FY12, the US market market contributed almost 70% of company’s revenue, up from 67% in FY11 and 60% in FY10. This is working in favour of the company, as the US economy and auto & manufacturing sector is showing the signs of recovery. Geographical Revenue Spread 18.20% USA 69.56% 12.24% Europe Rest of World Due to lower European market exposure, the Company is comparatively sheltered from current European crisis. It is looking to further diversify its geographical reach by gaining market share in Emerging emerging market like APAC, China and Brazil. The emerging market market showing grew 56% in FY12 with growth coming from countries like India, strong growth China, Japan and Korea. To support good growth in China in automotive business, KPIT has set up a subsidiary in China. Similarly it has set up subsidiaries in Brazil and Netherlands too to strengthen its operations in Latin American nations, Scandinavian and other European regions. With the acquisition of Systime it has good positioning in the Brazil market of JDE offerings. Successful inorganic strategy to plug gaps in business model The company has successfully implemented its inorganic growth strategy to plug in gaps in its customer offerings. With 10 Four-S Research 14
  • 15. Company Report: KPIT Cummins 31 Oct 2012 acquisitions in as many years the company has managed to increase its top line by 28x in the last 10 years. With these acquisitions company has increased its foothold geographically and improved its client base. Revenue growth strongly supported by acquisitions 16000 14000 Strategic 12000 acquisitions 10000 playing big role 8000 in exponential 6000 growth 4000 2000 0 FY02 FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 Consol Revenue Standalone revenue (Rs mn) KPIT’s acquisitions are driven by any of the 3 considerations: domain expertise, geographical presence, or service expansion. Be it Cummins at the initial stage which gave them auto-mfg domain expertise or be it the latest $50mn SYSTIME acquisition which has strong hold in Oracle and JDE practice. Acquisitions Company Year Size Rationale Anchor Customer – Cummins, Cummins Infotech 2002 $1mn Vertical Focus - Manufacturing Panex 2003 $ 7.2 Mn SAP Practice, Anchor Customer SolvCentral 2005 $ 3.5 Mn BI Practice, Anchor Customer Direct Presence in France, Pivolis 2005 $ 1.5 Mn Geography Auto Electronics Domain, Auto 10 years: 10 CG Smith 2006 $ 6.2 Mn OEM & Tier I Customers acquisition Harita TVS 2008 $ 1.0 Mn MEDS Practice SAP Practice, US Geography Sparta Consulting 2009 $ 3.5 Mn presence in SAP Vehicle Diagnostic & Telematics, In2Soft 2010 $ 4.0 Mn German Frontline CPG 2010 $ 11 Mn Oracle Consulting SysTime 2010 $ 50 Mn Oracle Consulting, JDE Specialist With these acquisitions KPIT has developed a strong offering in SAP, Auto engg and Oracle. This helps KPIT in cross-selling their Enterprise application services to their existing customer. Four-S Research 15
  • 16. Company Report: KPIT Cummins 31 Oct 2012 Though these acquisitions have boosted company’s growth, organically also the company has shown good growth. Organically company has grown at 40% rate for last few years. SYSTIME acquisition SYSTIME is the largest acquisition till date of KPIT Cummins in its decade long acquisition history. At the time of acquisition in 2010, Systime: SYSTIME had revenue of $50mn. Systime is the world's largest JD Biggest bet till Edwards solution provider, with manufacturing industry focused now offerings. This has further strengthened manufacturing and energy & utilisation vertical of company as JDE is highly preferred in these verticals. With Systime's strong client base in manufacturing sector, including large manufacturers such as France's Lafarge SA and U.S.-based industrial gases maker Praxair Inc, it provides strong cross-selling opportunity to the company. This acquisition adds-up to the company’s Oracle-based consulting and services business, making it a $125mn business for FY12. Also company gets head-start in emerging geography, Brazil, where Systime is an established player. Although Systime has lower EBITDA margins compared to company’s margins, KPIT could improve those with operational levers like off- shoring, pyramid restructuring and other cost cutting majors. Also it represents good cross-selling opportunity to KPIT and Systime customers. Strong and diversified customer portfolio KPIT has strong client portfolio with more 176 active clients and 69 clients with run rate more than $1mn. It has been adding 3-4 active clients every quarter from different verticals and service portfolio. Include values in the chart below 180 80 69 65 175 70 59 170 54 60 51 48 165 40 40 50 160 40 176 172 155 169 30 163 165 150 159 20 155 152 145 10 140 0 Q3FY11 Q4FY11 Q1FY12 Q2FY12 Q3FY12 Q4FY12 Q1FY13 Q2Fy13 No. of Active Customers Customers with run rate of >$1Mn Four-S Research 16
  • 17. Company Report: KPIT Cummins 31 Oct 2012 Dependency on its top client, Cummins, is also drastically come down in last 1-2 years. From almost 25% business coming from Cummins in Q3FY11 it has come down to 19.7% in Q2FY13. Strong growth potential with $1bn target for FY17 32-35% growth expected in FY13… The company has the guidance of 32-35% growth in FY13 which is better than most of major-mid cap IT companies expected growth in current environment. KPIT plans to achieve this with maintaining Company edge in auto, mfg and utility sector and driving the growth with expected to service offering with domain expertise as a differentiator. outperform its The company has recently (in last 9 months) closed 3 $20mn+ deals guidance and expects similar deal flow from their focused verticals in the future. The company more than doubled the growth the top-line in last two years from $154mn in FY10 to $309mn in FY12 with major boost coming from SAP and auto segments. FY17 vision to reach $1bn KPIT has set a vision to become $1bn revenue company by FY17, with target to achieve EBITDA margin of 18% up from 14.5%. With strong vertical focused growth and best in class practices in Auto embedded, SAP and Oracle, company should achieve the target with the help of inorganic means and organic growth. Four-S Research 17
  • 18. Company Report: KPIT Cummins 31 Oct 2012 Operational performance Focus on productivity improvement, Systime margins improve The company is showing positive developments in productivity factors. Systime had EBITDA margins of 5.5% at time of acquisitions compared to the company’s 15% which had impacted on company’s Systime margins. But as Systime integration is happening one can see integration positive trend in its margins. pushing its In Q4FY12 without SYSTIME EBITDA margin was ~17%, but margins up SYSTIME itself had margin of 10%, bringing down overall EBITDA margin to 16%. With continued successful integration and increased offshore revenue from SYSTIME the productivity should move up. Also the company also has other levers available with them to increase the margins. By flattening the organisation pyramid further i.e. increasing fresher/experience ratio and improved utilisation on organisational level could further increase in profitability of the company. Improvement in the utilization visible Utilisation 100% 94.5% 94.7% 95% 90.7% 91.3% 90.2% 90.6% 89.1% 90% 85% 80% 74.3% 74.1% 75% 72.8% 71.9% 71.2% 69.9% 70% 67.6% 65% 60% Q3FY11 Q4FY11 Q1 FY12 Q2FY12 Q3FY12 Q4 FY12 Q1 FY13 Onsite Utilisation Offshore Utilisation KPIT is on the mid to lower side of utilisation level if one compares it to its peers (NIIT 78-79%, Polaris 80%, Persistent 73%, Mindtree 72%). But the company is trying to improve this shortcoming with Utilisation rate increasing utilisation on both onsite and offshore side. seen uptrend Company’s efforts are getting some positive results as offshore utilisation has gone up from 67.6% in Q3FY11 to 74.1% in Q1 GY13 and 89.1% onsite utilisation in Q3FY11 to 94.7% in Q1 FY13. Although company is showing this positive trend, it still has plenty of Four-S Research 18
  • 19. Company Report: KPIT Cummins 31 Oct 2012 ground to catch to come close to its top peers. Increased Off-shoring required KPIT has high amount revenue coming revenue coming from onsite which is in the ratio of 52-53% in recent quarters. This ratio has Off-shoring to improve been on growing trend lately increasing from 43% in Q4 FY11 to more than 53% in Q2 FY13. This growth is has major contribution margins from SAP SBU which had most of the project in the implementation phase. Also acquired company has more onsite revenue compared to any KPIT. In the coming days company is expected to improve onsite:offshore revenue ratio with increasing offshoring. And existing onsite implementation project going into maintainance phase will also help. Onsite Revenue 55% 54% 53% 53% 52% 51% 49% 48% 47% 47% 44% 45% 43% 43% 41% 39% 37% 35% Q4FY11 Q1 FY12 Q2FY12 Q3FY12 Q4 FY12 Q1 FY13 Q2 FY13 Improvement in organisational pyramid The Company can also use some other majors to improve the productivity such as flattening the organisational pyramid. As of now it has more laterals working in the projects and fewer freshers as compared to its peers. Company is looking to improve this ratio with increasing fresher recruitment. Four-S Research 19
  • 20. Company Report: KPIT Cummins 31 Oct 2012 Financial Annexure Profit & Loss Statement Income Statement FY'08 FY'09 FY'10 FY'11 FY'12E FY'13E FY'14E Gross Sales 5,835 7,932 7,316 9,870 15,000 21,861 25,578 Employee Cost 2145 2634 2654 5300 7718 11361 13160 Other Operating Expenses 2051 2362 1982 1772 3116 4360 5101 Sales, Admin & General Expenses 818 970 945 1198 1789 2608 3051 Miscellaneous Expenses 87 706 390 117 211 307 360 Total Expenses 5,102 6,672 5,971 8,386 12,834 18,636 21,672 EBITDA 733 1,260 1,345 1,484 2,166 3,226 3,906 Depreciation 255 436 308 411 445 445 445 EBIT 478 823 1,037 1,073 1,721 2,781 3,461 Other Income 218 30 56 67 138 -120 80 Financial Expenses 94 76 33 38 73 73 73 Profit before tax and Exceptional Items 602 778 1,061 1,103 1,786 2,587 3,467 Exceptional Items (13.72) - - - 100.45 - - Profit before tax 588 778 1,061 1,103 1,886 2,587 3,467 Tax 76 120 169 155 437 623 849 Profit after tax before minority interest 512 658 892 948 1,450 1,965 2,618 Minority Interest 1 0 0 -2 -31 -46 0 Reported net profit 513 659 892 946 1,454 2,011 2,618 (Rs mn), consolidated financials Four-S Research 20
  • 21. Company Report: KPIT Cummins 31 Oct 2012 Balance Sheet Balance Sheet FY'08 FY'09 FY'10 FY'11 FY'12 FY'13E FY'14E Shareholder's Equity Share Capital 184 156 174 183 359 359 359 Reserves and Surplus 2,454 1,475 3,697 5,849 6,766 8,777 11,395 ESOPs - - - - - - - Total equity capital 2,638 1,631 3,871 6,032 7,125 9,136 11,754 Liabilities Secured Loans 858 1,185 1,108 115 4 4 4 Unsecured Loans 7 - - 158 1,186 650 650 Minority Interest 5 3 - 9 326 460 460 Total Liabilities and Owner's Equity 3,508 2,819 4,979 6,314 8,641 10,250 12,868 Assets Goodwill on consolidation - - - - - - - Gross Block 5,626 2,489 3,464 4,241 7,445 8,189 9,172 Less: Depreciation 629 1,042 1,278 1,678 2,155 2,370 2,418 Net Fixed Assets 4,997 1,447 2,186 2,563 5,290 5,819 6,755 Work-in-progress 207 348 286 316 185 320 400 Investments - 0 747 1,258 1,234 1,200 1,531 Inventory - - - - - - - Debtors 1,432 1,776 1,388 2,288 4,380 4,498 5,263 Cash and Bank Balance 740 1,671 1,052 2,080 1,473 2,283 3,201 Other Current Assets 52 67 58 363 320 333 399 Loans and Advances 478 383 619 216 579 972 1,262 Total Current Assets 2,702 3,896 3,117 4,947 6,752 8,086 10,124 Deferred Tax Asset (42) (60) (51) (55) 27 50 50 Current Liabilities 546 2,716 1,076 2,517 4,220 4,613 5,398 Provision 287 97 230 200 628 474 595 Total Current Liabilities 833 2813 1306 2716 4847 5087 5992 Net Current Assets 1868 1083 1811 2231 1905 2999 4132 Total Assets 7032 2819 4979 6314 8641 10388 12867 (Rs mn) Four-S Research 21
  • 22. Company Report: KPIT Cummins 31 Oct 2012 Cash Flow Statement Cash Flow Statement FY'08 FY'09 FY'10 FY'11 FY'12 FY'13E FY'14E Net Profit/(Loss) before Tax 602 778 1,061 1,103 1,886 2,587 3,467 Adjustments 273 441 432 365 415 324 409 Operating Cash flow before Wcap 875 1,219 1,493 1,467 2,301 2,912 3,876 Change in WC -390 113 -169 -574 -870 -1,074 -1,439 Cash Generated from Operations before taxes 485 1,332 1,324 894 1,432 1,838 2,437 Direct Taxes Paid -44 -141 -213 -249 -268 -331 -400 Operating Cash flow- A 441 1,191 1,110 645 1,163 1,507 2,038 Cash Flow from Investing Activities -301 -669 -1,366 -675 -2,828 -750 -800 Cash from Financing activities- C -22 182 -132 1,043 1,084 -320 -320 Change in Cash= A+B+C 117 704 -388 1,013 -581 437 918 Opening Balance 625 740 1,444 1,056 2,069 1,846 2,283 Closing Balance 742 1444 1056 2069 1846 2283 3201 (Rs mn) Four-S Research 22
  • 23. Company Report: KPIT Cummins 31 Oct 2012 Ratios Ratios FY'08 FY'09 FY'10 FY'11 FY'12 FY'13E FY'14E EPS 6.6 8.4 11.4 10.8 8.1 11.2 14.6 CEPS 5.7 15.3 14.1 7.4 6.5 8.4 11.4 DPS 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 1.0 Valuation Ratios P/E Ratio 11.8 3.0 10.1 15.6 15.3 11.0 8.5 EV/EBITDA 8.4 1.2 6.8 9.3 10.2 6.8 5.6 EV/Sales 1.1 0.2 1.2 1.4 1.5 1.0 0.9 Profitability (%) EBITDA margin 12.6 15.9 18.4 15.0 14.4 14.8 15.3 Pretax margin 10.1 9.8 14.5 11.2 12.6 11.8 13.6 Net margin 8.8 8.3 12.2 9.6 9.7 9.2 10.2 Return on avg. Equity 30.1 30.9 32.4 19.1 22.1 24.7 25.1 Return on avg. Capital employed 14.7 26.1 26.6 19.0 23.5 30.7 31.2 Growth Ratios (%) Revenue growth 35.9 -7.8 34.9 52.0 45.7 17.0 EBITDA growth 71.8 6.8 10.3 45.9 48.9 21.1 Net profit growth 32.3 36.4 3.9 53.7 38.3 30.2 Activity/Turnover Ratios Asset turnover 1.9 5.9 4.0 2.7 4.1 4.9 4.2 Working Cap turnover 6.0 5.4 5.1 4.9 7.3 8.9 7.2 Debtors turnover 8.1 4.9 4.6 5.4 4.5 4.9 5.2 Debtor Days 44.8 73.8 78.9 68.0 81.1 74.1 69.6 Payables turnover 21.4 4.9 3.9 5.5 4.5 4.9 5.1 Payables Days 17.1 75.1 94.6 66.4 82.0 73.7 71.4 Liquidity Ratios Current Ratio 3.2 1.4 2.4 1.8 1.4 1.6 1.7 Cash Ratio 0.9 0.6 0.8 0.8 0.3 0.4 0.5 Solvency Debt Equity 0.3 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 Leverage Ratio 2.7 1.7 1.3 1.0 1.2 1.1 1.1 Net Debt / EBITDA 0.2 -0.4 0.0 -1.2 -0.1 -0.5 -0.7 Interest Coverage 5.1 10.9 31.8 28.4 23.5 38.0 47.3 Four-S Research 23
  • 24. Company Report: KPIT Cummins 31 Oct 2012 About Four-S Services Founded in 2002, Four-S Services is a financial boutique providing Research, Financial Consulting and Investment Banking services. We have executed more than 100+ mandates across diverse range of industries for Indian as well as global companies, investment firms and private equity and venture capital firms. Our clients value our focused, actionable advice which is based on deep domain expertise in Education, Financial Services, Media & Entertainment, Healthcare, Consumer Goods, Automotive, Energy, Logistics and Manufacturing. For further information on the company please visit www.four-s.com Disclaimer The information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable but is not necessarily complete and its accuracy cannot be guaranteed. No representation, warranty, guarantee or undertaking, express or implied, is made as to the fairness, accuracy or completeness of any information, projections or opinions contained in this document. Four-S Services Pvt. Ltd. will not accept any liability whatsoever, with respect to the use of this document or its contents. This company commissioned document has been distributed for information purposes only and does n ot constitute or form part of any offer or solicitation of any offer to buy or sell any securities. This document shall not form the basis of and should not be relied upon in connection with any contract or commitment whatsoever. This document is not to be reported or copied or made available to others. Four-S may from time to time solicit from, or perform consulting or other services for any company mentioned in this document. For further details/clarifications please contact: Alok Somwanshi Ajay Jindal Alok.somwanshi@four-s.com Ajay.jindal@four-s.com Tel: +91-22-42153659 Tel: +91-22-42153659 Four-S Research 24