5th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2014 Integrative Risk Management - The role of science, technology & practice 24-28 August 2014 in Davos, Switzerland
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1. New frontiers in assessing and
managing earthquake risk
GEM; a global collaborative effort
5th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2014
‘Integrative Risk Management - The role of science, technology & practice‘ • 24-28 August 2014 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
Nicole Keller, GEM Foundation, Italy
2. 5th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2014
‘Integrative Risk Management - The role of science, technology & practice‘ • 24-28 August 2014 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
http://www.globalquakemodel.org/gem/
3. OpenQuake Platform: calculate, explore, share
5th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2014
‘Integrative Risk Management - The role of science, technology & practice‘ • 24-28 August 2014 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
evolving body of resources and tools
tools
(off- and online,
plus code)
best practice
(methods,
guidelines,
reports)
(global)
risk
information
models
case studies
guides
tutorials
global
datasets
P
P
P
P P P P P
P
P P
P
P
P
4. 5th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2014
‘Integrative Risk Management - The role of science, technology & practice‘ • 24-28 August 2014 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
Inspiring examples and collaborations
Lalitpur
Nepal
5. 5th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2014
‘Integrative Risk Management - The role of science, technology & practice‘ • 24-28 August 2014 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
Global
Datasets and
Methodologies
6. Physical Risk
+
Social Vulnerability
=
Integrated Risk
5th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2014
‘Integrative Risk Management - The role of science, technology & practice‘ • 24-28 August 2014 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
PhD: Integrated Risk Modelling for Turkey
Average Annual Loss Maps at sub-provincial level
7. Annual aggregate Loss EC EQ
1 10 100 1000 10000
5th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2014
‘Integrative Risk Management - The role of science, technology & practice‘ • 24-28 August 2014 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
Annual Aggregate Loss
Return Period
OpenQuake @ Hannover Re
Simple Example, aggregate model for Ecuador
8. 5th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2014
‘Integrative Risk Management - The role of science, technology & practice‘ • 24-28 August 2014 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
9. 5th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2014
‘Integrative Risk Management - The role of science, technology & practice‘ • 24-28 August 2014 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
10. 5th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2014
‘Integrative Risk Management - The role of science, technology & practice‘ • 24-28 August 2014 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
11. In the pipeline or under discussion
5th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2014
‘Integrative Risk Management - The role of science, technology & practice‘ • 24-28 August 2014 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
Beirut
12. 5th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2014
‘Integrative Risk Management - The role of science, technology & practice‘ • 24-28 August 2014 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
Opportunities and Challenges
• Open data, open-source, open platform: sharing and organically
growing data, tools and resources for worldwide use
• Building DRR applications on top of the tools and resources that
end-users need
• How to develop capacity in countries, provinces, cities to reliably
use the advanced tools for hazard, risk and integrated seismic
risk assessment – long term investment
• How to facilitate interdisciplinary and institutional collaboration
between experts in the various domains
• Once there is capacity; to connect the policy makers with the
experts to work together on management and assessment
strategies
13. Added value for the Post 2015 Framework for DRR
• How is GEM supporting the implementation of the HFA?
– Open tools and resources to empower institutions and organisations
5th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2014
‘Integrative Risk Management - The role of science, technology & practice‘ • 24-28 August 2014 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
in identifying, assessing and monitoring disaster risks
– Leveraging science for the benefit of society
– Example of a successful public-private collaboration and concrete
partnership examples for application
• Main gaps, needs and further steps to be addressed in HFA2
– Research: learning from the past – investing in long-term studies
– Education & Training: see previous slide
– Implementation & Practice: opening up of data and approaches,
sharing and comparison
– Policy: mainstreaming of DRR by incorporating risk assessment in the
decision-making process, public-private collaboration
Notes de l'éditeur
We believe that the future of assessing and managing earthquake risk is collaborative; that we need to work together on a global level to share approaches, data and experiences to advance our knowledge on assessment, actions to reduce risk, the impact of such actions, as well as the data and experiences of the emergency and recovery phases when an earthquake does hit.
Now I would first like to introduce GEM, our mission, philosophy and what we are concretely doing. Then I would like to provide you an overview and some examples of how the tools and resources being developed are being applied, discuss the opportunities and challenges we see and finish with a slide on the HFA and post-2015 framework
NSET: first time in 12 years ward and municipal level officials came together to discuss topics relevant to earthquake safety and risk reduction in their city
>4000 downloads
GAR
Regional models, research programmes
Benchmarking and uptake by private sector
IDCT tools for advanced building data exposure development
National institutions using GEM tools and resources for development of hazard maps (PNG, Ecuador)
Real-time loss assessment portal for civil protection in Portugal
Urban risk management plan for Beirut, in collaboration with municipality + DRR partner, which includes capacity development of local risk assessment experts and local facilitating technical institutions
UNESCO safer schools
City scenarios