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GSA Secretariat Tel +44 1279 439 667
info@gsacom.com




                                   GSM/3G MARKET UPDATE
                                            December 16, 2009
                                   Global mobile Suppliers Association (GSA)

                                                       www.gsacom.com



www.gsacom.com/rss/gsanews.php4
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                                               GSA makes considerable effort to ensure that the content is accurate; however, such content is provided without
                                               warranty in currentness, completeness or correctness. Reproduction of this material for non-commercial use is
                                                allowed if the source is stated. For other use please contact the GSA Secretariat via email to info@gsacom.com
                  www.gsacom.com                                                                             Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009

 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009                                                                                           Slide no. 1/75
Global mobile Suppliers Association (GSA)
 Representing leading GSM/EDGE, WCDMA-HSPA, LTE suppliers globally
 Promoting GSM/EDGE/WCDMA and evolved systems for successful
delivery of mobile broadband, enhanced multimedia, voice services
 3GPP Market Representation Partner

                                           Mobile Broadband Growth
Facts-based research by GSA
Leveraging strong links in the industry    UMTS 900 Global Status
Objective analysis                         Evolution to LTE
GSA surveys, reports, regular updates
                                           Evolution of Network Speeds
LTE Operator Commitments                   Mobile Broadband Spectrum
HSPA network deployments/launches          EDGE Evolution
WCDMA Network Launches                     HSPA Evolution (HSPA+)
HSPA Devices availability                  Digital Dividend spectrum
3G Services and Applications               ~60 charts, maps
Mobile broadband success stories
EDGE Operators Worldwide


                 www.gsacom.com                               Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009

GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009                                        Slide no. 2/75
Global reach
RSS newsfeed www.gsacom.com/rss/gsanews.php4
LinkedIN Group: www.linkedin.com/groups?gid=2313721
Twitter www.twitter.com/gsacom
Mobile site http://gsacom.mobi

  Visitors to GSA website came from 193 countries
  30 November 08 – 30 November 09

                               #1 USA                     The GSA website www.gsacom.com is
                               #2 UK
                               #3 China                     targeted to the industry, operators,
                               #4 Japan                  regulators, analysts, media, government,
                               #5 India
                               #6 Sweden                   consultants, suppliers, services/apps
Ranking of where               #7 Germany                    developers, content industry, and
                               #8 France
visitors to the GSA            #9 Taiwan                           distribution channels
website came from:             #10 Canada
(Google Analytics)             #11 Finland
                               #12 Australia
                               #13 South Korea        13,600 + file downloads average/month in Q3 09
                               #14 Brazil
                               #15 Italy
                               #16 Netherlands
                               #17 Singapore
                               #18 Russia
                               #19 Turkey                     960+ press/industry reports Q1 – Q3 09
                               #20 Hong Kong

                  www.gsacom.com                                         Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009

 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009                                                  Slide no. 3/75
Hot reports
   November 2009 top document downloads




              #1        Evolution to LTE Information Paper

              #2        GSM/3G Market Update


              #3        Evolution of Network Speeds


              #4        Mobile Broadband Growth – Reports from Operators Worldwide

              #5        World map – LTE commitments                             All available as free downloads

              #6        Update on Global HSPA Evolution (HSPA+) commitments                     www.gsacom.com




                 www.gsacom.com                                                      Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009

GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009                                                               Slide no. 4/75
GSA is now on LinkedIN




       Invitation to join the GSA Group on LinkedIN www.linkedin.com/groups?gid=2313721


                                                   757 Members
                                           News, technology and market updates


                                                      Discussions


                                                       Networking


                 www.gsacom.com                                                  Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009

GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009                                                           Slide no. 5/75
GSA – new Member companies




SpiderCloud Wireless                         Velocent Systems
www.spidercloud.com                          www.velocent.com

Also see dedicated page:
www.gsacom.com/about/members.php4?m=37


                                           Also see this paper from
                                                 Velocent Systems




                                           www.gsacom.com/downloads/pdf/Call_Trace_WP_Velocent_GSA.php4
                 www.gsacom.com                                    Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009

GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009                                             Slide no. 6/75
The continuing global GSM and WCDMA success story




                                           GSM/WCDMA market share
                                                         = 89.5%

                                            Market share grew 1.2% in
                                                            past year


                                           4 billion GSM/WCDMA subs
                                                passed in October 2009




                 www.gsacom.com              Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009

GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009                       Slide no. 7/75
GSM success in all regions




                                            See growth charts for all regions and
                                                      key markets at
                                           www.gsacom.com/news/statistics.php4




                 www.gsacom.com                   Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009

GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009                            Slide no. 8/75
Data growth in all regions




                                             Download this chart and other
                                              mobile data-related charts at

                                            www.gsacom.com/news/statistics.php4




                  www.gsacom.com                Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009

 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009                         Slide no. 9/75
Mobile Broadband growth success
Consistent reports from operators worldwide of traffic and revenue growth
                                              Report from GSA – December 2009
                                            Mobile Broadband Growth www.gsacom.com




                                                                      www.gsacom.com/gsm_3g/info_papers.php4



                  www.gsacom.com                                                     Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009

 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009                                                             Slide no. 10/75
www.gsacom.com            Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009

GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009                    Slide no. 11/75
Evolution of Mobile Systems to 3G
- Drivers: capacity, data speeds, lower cost of delivery -
for revenue growth


                                                                                                                        Q3 09 market share

        TDMA                                                                              EDGE
                                                                         EDGE            Evolution
                                                                      3GPP Core                                                         GSM/3G
         GSM                                  GPRS                     Network

                                                                        WCDMA              HSDPA/HSUPA HSPA+                            89.5%
         PDC
                                            © GSA - 2009

                                                                                                                                         cdma
    cdmaOne                                   CDMA2000                                                                                   9.8%
                                                                          CDMA2000               EV/DO EV/DO
                                                 1x                     1x EV/DO Rev 0           Rev A Rev B                             others
                                                                                                                                          0.7%
            2G                         First Step into 3G                 3G phase 1                      Evolved 3G
                                                            Market share according to subscriptions data provided by Informa Telecoms & Media
                  www.gsacom.com                                                                     Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009

 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009                                                                             Slide no. 12/75
3GPP radio access evolution




                                                                                                    LTE Evolution
                                                                               LTE
                                                           HSPA+
                                              HSPA
               3G/WCDMA

D/L peak rate      384 kbps                  14.4 Mbps   21/28/42/84 Mbps   > 150+ Mbps               1 Gbps target




                   www.gsacom.com                                               Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009

  GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009                                                       Slide no. 13/75
www.gsacom.com            Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009

GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009                    Slide no. 14/75
World’s first LTE networks launched



                                                                                        TeliaSonera’s press release:
 On December 15, 2009 TeliaSonera                    http://feed.ne.cision.com/wpyfs/00/00/00/00/00/10/35/95/wkr0011.pdf
 launched the world’s first LTE services in
 Sweden and Norway.

 The LTE networks cover the central city
 areas of Stockholm and Oslo and initially
 will be used for mobile data services.

 Coverage roll-out to more cities in each
 country will continue in 2010.                                          WEBCAST

                                              http://media.fronto.com/streaming/teliasonera/091214/




                 www.gsacom.com                                                   Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009

GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009                                                           Slide no. 15/75
315 Commercial WCDMA Operators in 132 countries



                                                        WCDMA is the leading 3G system globally
                                                       • over 73% commercial 3G networks share




                                      Source:
         GSA 3G/WCDMA-HSPA Launches Worldwide survey
                      December 4, 2009
          www.gsacom.com/gsm_3g/wcdma_databank.php4



                 www.gsacom.com                                  Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009

GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009                                          Slide no. 16/75
354 HSPA network commitments
GLOBAL economies of scale today in HSPA-enabled mobile broadband
303 HSPA networks commercially launched




                                                                  HSPA Operator Commitments Survey: GSA –
                                                                                         December 4, 2009



                               ~ 96% of commercial WCDMA networks are HSPA-enabled

                  www.gsacom.com                                              Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009

 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009                                                      Slide no. 17/75
HSPA subscriptions growth worldwide




                                            244% HSPA annual
                                            growth to June 09

                                             167 million HSPA
                                           subscriptions: June 09




                 www.gsacom.com              Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009

GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009                      Slide no. 18/75
1,875 HSPA devices launched
by 197 suppliers

                    780 new HSPA user devices launched in past 12 months




                                              GSA HSPA Devices Survey: December 3, 2009
                                     Key Findings: www.gsacom.com/gsm_3g/wcdma_databank.php4

                  www.gsacom.com                                                         Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009

 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009                                                                 Slide no. 19/75
HSUPA device availability




                                                                                   159% YoY growth

                                                                          156 HSUPA products support* or
                                                                           are upgradeable for 5.76 Mbps
                                                                                  (peak) or higher

                                                                          (compared to 51 devices Dec 08)




             Download chart www.gsacom.com/news/statistics.php4

                                                                          GSA HSPA Devices Survey: December 3, 2009
                                                         Key Findings: www.gsacom.com/gsm_3g/wcdma_databank.php4
                 www.gsacom.com                                                    Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009

GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009                                                            Slide no. 20/75
Convergence features in HSPA devices



    1,875 HSPA Devices                                                                  “phones” category includes smartphones




    447 phones incorporate GPS/A-GPS                                            (136% annual growth)



    471 phones incorporate 802.11/WiFi                                          (91% annual growth)



    163 phones incorporate mobile TV                                            (various standards)


                                             More analysis in the Key Findings report
                                           GSA HSPA Devices Survey: December 3, 2009

                                                    Key Findings:
                                      www.gsacom.com/gsm_3g/wcdma_databank.php4
                 www.gsacom.com                                                         Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009

GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009                                                                 Slide no. 21/75
HSPA devices by operating frequency




                                                                                     More analysis in
                                           GSA HSPA Devices Survey - Key Findings : December 3, 2009
                                                   www.gsacom.com/gsm_3g/wcdma_databank.php4
                 www.gsacom.com                                     Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009

GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009                                             Slide no. 22/75
GAMBoD – www.gsacom.com/gambod
GSA’s analysis tool for HSPA devices

                                            More comprehensive analysis, personalized to individual needs, is
                                             available using GAMBoD (GSA Analyzer for Mobile Broadband
                                                           Devices) www.gsacom.com/gambod

                                            GAMBoD: analysis tool for HSPA devices, for searches by supplier,
                                            form factor, features, downlink/uplink speeds, operating frequency

                                           Results are presented as lists, spreadsheets, or charts which may be
                                                         inserted into documents or presentations

                                               RSS feed can be set up to alert when new devices are added

                                           For use only by GSA website registered users we categorize as being
                                            from GSA member organizations or from mobile network operators




                 www.gsacom.com                                                Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009

GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009                                                        Slide no. 23/75
HSPA Evolution (HSPA+)
- market reality today

Downlink evolution

 64QAM instead of 16QAM = 50% improvement

 Using multiple antennas – MIMO (multiple input, multiple output) will be possible; 2
at the base station and 2 at the terminal will double the bit rate
      This will mean the ability to deliver a downlink data speed of 42 Mbps peak on
      a 5 MHz carrier
Uplink evolution
Using 16QAM instead of QPSK modulation means doubling uplink rate up to 11.5 Mbps

Reduced latency

Further evolution of HSPA utilizes combinations
of and MIMO technologies to reach 84 Mbps peak
on the downlink, and 23 Mbps peak uplink
And further evolution beyond that ……..




                 www.gsacom.com                                                Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009

GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009                                                        Slide no. 24/75
HSPA Evolution (HSPA+)




                 www.gsacom.com            Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009

GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009                    Slide no. 25/75
28 Mbps DL is market reality
42 Mbps expected by year end
                                            Latest: see HSPA+ information updates paper
                                            Global HSPA+ Network Commitments and Deployments –
                                                                              www.gsacom.com




                  www.gsacom.com                                                 Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009

 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009                                                         Slide no. 26/75
EDGE contributes to mobile broadband success
Most HSPA networks combine EDGE with HSPA for 3G services delivery



  The majority of WCDMA-HSPA networks are complemented with
  GSM/EDGE for service continuity in areas where WCDMA-HSPA coverage is
  not available, to ensure that users will receive a good experience of most
  3G services
          233 of 354 HSPA network operator commitments (66%) also
          committed to EDGE


  EDGE can today deliver user data speeds up to 300 kbps peak; more
  coming with EDGE Evolution


  Over 80% of HSDPA user devices also support GSM/EDGE
  (excluding notebooks)




                  www.gsacom.com                          Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009

 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009                                  Slide no. 27/75
EDGE – global, mature technology
Over 80% of commercial GPRS networks
globally have committed to EDGE

                                                                               478 GSM/EDGE
                                                                    commitments in 189 countries
                                                                     443 commercial GSM/EDGE
                                                                        networks in 181 countries




           Source: GSA EDGE Fact Sheet July 7, 2009
         www.gsacom.com/gsm_3g/edge_databank.php4#EDGE_Fact_Sheet

                  www.gsacom.com                                           Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009

 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009                                                   Slide no. 28/75
EDGE networks expansion



                                                                   Download charts www.gsacom.com/news/statistics.php4




          Source: GSA EDGE Fact Sheet July 7, 2009
        www.gsacom.com/gsm_3g/edge_databank.php4#EDGE_Fact_Sheet

                 www.gsacom.com                                                        Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009

GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009                                                                Slide no. 29/75
EDGE Evolution
Evolved GERAN - Drivers and goals



Operators stress service continuity as being very important
WCDMA evolution to HSDPA is a key driver for EDGE Evolution (GERAN
Evolution) since reducing the performance gap is the priority
EDGE Evolution - potential benefits:
 2 – 3 times increase in EDGE bit rates
 2 – 3 times spectral efficiency gain (for voice & data capacity)
 Halve the latency (roundtrip time)
 All achieved with low impact on the GSM/EDGE network

Standardized in 3GPP Release 7
Leading manufacturers committed; commercialization expected from 2009



                  www.gsacom.com                         Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009

 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009                                 Slide no. 30/75
Peak speeds of EDGE Evolution features within
3GPP Release 7 specifications

   DL speed up to 1.2 Mbps per user expected
              standard enables up to 1.9 Mbps per user
              Dual Carrier first phase implementation 10 TSL per user; standard enables
             up to 16 TSL per user
              EGPRS-2 DL (REDHOT) level B maximum 118.4 kbps per TSL


   UL speed up to 474 kbps per user, standard enables up to 947 kbps per user
              EGPRS-2 UL (HUGE) level B with maximum 118.4 kbps per TSL
              Peak implementation today 4 TSL per user; standard enables up to 8 TSL
             per user


                  www.gsacom.com                                  Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009

 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009                                          Slide no. 31/75
Dual Carrier –
the first step in evolving EDGE


 Dual Carrier is the first step in evolving EDGE,
 bringing the prospect of doubling today’s EDGE
 speeds to 592 kbps on existing EDGE-capable
 networks. Commercial downlink Dual Carrier
 solutions are expected to be introduced in 2009.

 EGPRS-2 level B+ is standardized in the newly-
 released 3GPP Release 8, providing a wider pulse
 shaping filter to enable higher average end user
 throughput, and therefore better coverage
 compared to level B.

 Commercial solutions for EGPRS-2 level B+ in the
 downlink are expected to be introduced in 2010.


                           GSA Information Paper “EDGE Evolution”
                       www.gsacom.com/gsm_3g/info_papers.php4

                  www.gsacom.com                                    Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009

 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009                                            Slide no. 32/75
Mobile broadband frequency bands


WCDMA systems incl. HSPA are deployed in 850, 900, 1700, 1800, 1900, 2100 MHz
Most operate in IMT-2000 core band 1920-1980/2110–2170 MHz (referred to as 2100 MHz)
       850, 900 MHz deliver coverage and cost efficiencies and are increasing in importance.
       The eco-system in these bands is rapidly strengthening
       700 MHz: 62 MHz of Digital Dividend spectrum auctioned in US; will be auctioned later in
       other countries in the Americas, and elsewhere

2.50 - 2.69 GHz band is anticipated as the largest new spectrum resource

New UHF Digital Dividend spectrum is becoming available in all regions
        excellent for extending mobile broadband to rural and semi-urban areas, and to improve
       in-building performance in built up areas
                Region 1 (Europe, Middle East and Africa) identified 790-862 MHz for mobile services
                Region 2 (Americas) identified 698-806 MHz
                Region 3 (Asia) some countries (e.g. China, India, Japan) identified 698-862 MHz while others
                identified 790-862 MHz

                 www.gsacom.com                                                   Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009

GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009                                                           Slide no. 33/75
2.6 GHz band



 The 2.50 - 2.69 GHz band is anticipated as the largest new spectrum resource for mobile
 broadband services in the foreseeable future. It is identified by the ITU as the IMT extension
 band and is needed due to traffic growth in 3G/HSPA networks

 It is large enough to allow multiple operators to deploy technologies utilizing wide channels,
 such as the 2 x 20 MHz channels for the highest data speeds of LTE

 The CEPT band plan was included in CEPT Decision (05)05, agreed by consensus in 2005 by
 its 48 member countries. It includes a commitment to make the band available from 2008
 depending on market demand. The plan comprises 2 x 70 MHz paired FDD spectrum
 separated by 50 MHz of unpaired spectrum for FDD downlink or TDD

 Sweden implemented the Decision; first country to auction 2.6 GHz spectrum in compliance.
 Finland, Norway, Hong Kong and Singapore have completed similar auctions.

 Forthcoming allocations likely in 2009/10 include Austria, Denmark, France, Germany,
 Netherlands, Spain, UK,,, …... and in Latin America: Chile, Colombia, Mexico, Brazil



                 www.gsacom.com                                        Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009

GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009                                                Slide no. 34/75
2.6 GHz is a key band for LTE in Europe
and Asia

                      Telenor and Netcom have been granted licences and 2.6 GHz spectrum and will build LTE
                     networks in Norway
                      TeliaSonera announced LTE commercial service in Oslo launched on December 15, 2009

                      Teliasonera, Elisa and DNA have been granted licences and 2.6 GHz spectrum and will build LTE
                     networks in Finland

                      TeliaSonera Sweden is deploying LTE using nationwide 2x20 MHz 2.6 GHz spectrum and
                     announced commercial service in Stockholm launched on December 15, 2009


                      In Hong Kong, 2x15 MHz blocks of 2.6 GHz FDD spectrum have been auctioned, and won by
                     China Mobile, Genius Brand and CSL Limited


                Several auctions of 2.6 GHz spectrum are scheduled or planned
             throughout European markets during 2010 and onwards which will be
                                      key spectrum for LTE
                                                                   Source of data: GSA Information Paper “Evolution to LTE” – December 10, 2009
                 www.gsacom.com                                                                Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009

GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009                                                                           Slide no. 35/75
Spectrum below 1 GHz
850, 900 MHz


Growing awareness and appreciation of the benefits of deploying mobile broadband systems
in re-farmed 900 MHz band:
      systems today referred to as UMTS900 (or WCDMA-HSPA900)

UMTS900 gaining traction amongst operators and regulators across Europe, Asia, Oceania,
Middle East, Africa, Russia
    Regulatory obstacles in Europe being removed
    The 20-year old GSM Directive has been amended, allowing mobile broadband systems
    in re-farmed 900 and 1800 MHz spectrum

UMTS900 eco-system is rapidly developing, including HSPA user devices

UMTS900 and UMTS2100 deployments are complementary

Similar benefits obtained with HSPA in 850 MHz band; commercial systems today in Australia,
New Zealand, and the Americas



                  www.gsacom.com                                  Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009

 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009                                          Slide no. 36/75
UMTS900 = cost reduction in rural/suburban areas
                                            GSA UMTS900 operator case study
                                                    Elisa, Finland


Increased coverage
Significant CAPEX, OPEX savings
Re-use existing sites
Faster rollout
Improved voice service
Improved in-building penetration




                                                                       UMTS900 Operator Case Study on Elisa
                                                                   www.gsacom.com/gsm_3g/info_papers.php4


                                                               UMTS900 has an economic motivation –
                                                                     it is a business decision
                  www.gsacom.com                                               Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009

 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009                                                       Slide no. 37/75
UMTS900 = improved user experience of MBB and voice
                                            GSA UMTS900 operator case study
                                                   Optus, Australia


                                                       “Site optimization gave customers a kick up in performance
                                                       for 2G service as well as access to UMTS900”

                                                       “The extended reach of 900 MHz means we can deliver
                                                       better quality and wider coverage across sparsely
                                                       populated areas, as well as enhanced depth of coverage”

                                                       “UMTS900 has been critical in bringing up the depth of
                                                       coverage into people’s homes, so they get a similar
                                                       experience in both voice and data coverage, making it a
                                                       more economically feasible solution for expansion”

                                                       “By having a technology that allows us to get into more
                                                       places at a lower cost, we can deliver more services. For
                                                       example, we can grow our small and medium business and
                                                       consumer market penetration”
         UMTS900 Operator Case Study on Optus          “Amongst other applications, UMTS900 implementation is a
      www.gsacom.com/gsm_3g/info_papers.php4           case study for how we will utilize new spectrum arising
                                                       from the Digital Dividend”


                  www.gsacom.com                                                   Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009

 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009                                                           Slide no. 38/75
UMTS900 commercialization
                                            Updates: UMTS900 Global Status report
                                                      www.gsacom.com


                                             14 commercial UMTS900 systems




                                           208 UMTS900-HSPA devices launched

                 www.gsacom.com                                        Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009

GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009                                                Slide no. 39/75
UMTS900 – operator insights



 Recommended download – www.gsacom.com

 UMTS900 Update: New Operator Insights

 Presentation by Dr Eetu Prieur, Elisa Finland
 Developing A Fully Inclusive Mobile Broadband
 Strategy: Bringing Mobile Broadband To Remote And
 Rural Areas

 Presentation by Dr. Eetu Prieur, Elisa at IIR Mobile
 Broadband World, London, September 23, 2009

 Elisa launched the world's first UMTS900 (HSPA)
 system in Finland in November 2007 and are now
 upgrading to HSPA+. In his presentation Dr Eetu Prieur
 explains why UMTS900 is “a 100% clear go”.



                  www.gsacom.com                          Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009

 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009                                  Slide no. 40/75
UMTS850 networks in commercial service
(WCDMA-HSPA)
                                             UMTS850 commercial launch: October 06

                                             World’s largest UMTS 850 network. Telstra's
                                            Next G™ network covers more than 1.9 million
                                              square kilometres. The Next G™ network
                                             provides mobile broadband access to 99 per
                                             cent of Australians, spanning city to country
                                               including many remote coastal and rural
                                                  communities (www.telstra.com.au)



                                            56 commercial UMTS-HSPA networks throughout the
                                             Americas; several operating in the 850 MHz band


                                               Strong UMTS850 ecosystem exists today including
                                                643 HSPA devices (plus notebooks) in the market
                                                      which operate in the 850 MHz band

                                                   (Source: GSA HSPA Devices survey – December 3, 2009)

                  www.gsacom.com                                                Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009

 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009                                                        Slide no. 41/75
Digital Dividend Spectrum




     Digital Dividend spectrum is excellent for extending mobile
 broadband to rural and semi-urban areas, and to improve in-building
                    performance in built up areas




                 www.gsacom.com                   Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009

GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009                           Slide no. 42/75
700 MHz band Digital Dividend spectrum


700 MHz is a key band for LTE deployments
 700 MHz LTE deployments include Verizon Wireless, AT&T Mobility, several regional players
     Verizon Wireless has set up trial networks in Boston and Seattle
     700 MHz spectrum availability will extend throughout Americas. This could be earliest in
    Chile where LTE trials are planned by Entel PCS, Claro and Movistar. Subtel (regulator)
    expected to soon launch a spectrum auction (2.6 GHz, 700 MHz)
 The Indian government has formed a task group to develop a national band plan at 700 MHz

 Consultations on future use of 700 MHz have commenced in New Zealand




                                                       Verizon Wireless

         LTE commercial launch in up to 30 markets scheduled by end 2010
                                                  Nationwide by end 2013

                  www.gsacom.com                                           Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009

 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009                                                   Slide no. 43/75
Europe Digital Dividend: 790-862 MHz


 Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Sweden and Switzerland have confirmed they will allocate 790–862
 MHz for mobile broadband services. The UK government proposes ring-fencing of some Digital Dividend
 spectrum so that operators can push 3G beyond their license obligation of 80% population. In return,
 operators would receive an indefinite extension to their 3G licences
 In Germany, trials are underway with some local authorities in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern to use digital
 dividend frequencies to provide HSPA or LTE broadband services to communities without broadband
 possibilities. An auction of 790-862 MHz spectrum will be held soon.
 In Italy, Communications Undersecretary, Paolo Romani, announced that frequencies vacated during the
 analogue switch off will be auctioned
 Belgium is undertaking a consultation on the Digital Dividend, as is Poland
 Czech Republic regulator CTU has undertaken a 2nd round of consultation on the 470-862 MHz band. A 3rd
 round of consultation is likely in the Autumn
 Norway stated (September 2009) 790-862MHz to be allocated to mobile broadband (auction expected 2010)
 In Ireland, Comreg began a Digital Dividend review at its annual conference in October 2008
 In Slovakia the regulator TU launched a public consultation calling for comments by April 3rd, 2009
                 In Spain, the Industry Ministry recently issued a press release indicating digital dividend spectrum
                 would likely be reserved for cellular, especially for mobile Internet broadband, from January 2015
                 In Portugal, public consultations on the Digital Dividend closed on May 13, 2009
                 Serbia recently completed a consultation on the Digital Dividend
                 www.gsacom.com                                                      Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009

GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009                                                              Slide no. 44/75
Europe Digital TV transition timetable



Examples of the digital switchover timetable in Europe:


                • Belgium (Flanders region), Finland, Germany, Luxembourg, the Netherlands,
                Sweden, Switzerland: already switched over
                • 2010: includes Austria, Denmark, Estonia, Malta, Slovenia, and Spain
                • 2011 – 2012: includes Bulgaria, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Greece, France, Hungary,
                Ireland, Italy, Lithuania, Latvia, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, the United Kingdom,
                regions of Wallonia and Brussels (Belgium)



It is clear that political debate on the Digital Dividend is entering the mainstream
         in other parts of the world – particularly Africa, India, Latin America



                  www.gsacom.com                                           Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009

 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009                                                   Slide no. 45/75
LTE: Long Term Evolution




LTE is the next step in the user experience



LTE is essential to take mobile broadband to the mass market




                 www.gsacom.com                                Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009

GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009                                        Slide no. 46/75
The industry direction is to LTE


LTE is needed to accommodate huge traffic growth


                                                 Traffic rising/revenue falling


                                                  40x – 100x traffic increase

                                                  may need to be supported
                                               across several frequency bands


                                           Mobile broadband is gaining momentum
                                           from widespread 3.5G deployments, flat
                                              rate data tariffs, and availability of
                                                   internet friendly mobiles




                 www.gsacom.com                             Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009

GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009                                     Slide no. 47/75
Benefits of LTE



                                           Spectrum flexibility
                                           Can use new or re-farmed spectrum, FDD and TDD
                                           Variable channel bandwidth

                                           Improved performance
 Year 2010: LTE performance                Higher capacity, peak and user data rates
                                           Higher bandwidth
                                           “always on”; enhanced user experience
 Peak downlink: > 150 Mbps

 Typical user experience: 10-100 Mbps      Lower cost
                                           IP-based flat network architecture; Low OPEX
 Typical user UL rate: 5-50 Mbps           High degree of self configuration/optimization
                                           High re-use of assets including sites

                                           Complements 3G/HSPA
                                           Addresses high capacity requirements
                                           Seamless service continuity/multimode devices
                                           Next generation solution for 3GPP and 3GPP2


                 www.gsacom.com                                 Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009

GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009                                         Slide no. 48/75
The Roadmap



                     Excellent Mobile Broadband Today                            Enhanced User Experience
                          Voice and full Range of IP Services                    Improved voice and data capability



                        Rel-99             Rel-5          Rel-6          Rel-7         Rel-8                  Rel-9 & beyond

                    WCDMA                              HSPA                         HSPA+               (HSPA Evolved)
                                                                                                  Rel-8          Rel-9           Rel-10
                                                                  LTE leverages new, wider
                                                                     and TDD spectrum
                                                                                                  LTE                         LTE - A


                                                                             2009 - 2010                  2011+ - - - - - - - - - >




                 www.gsacom.com                                                                                       Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009

GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009                                                                                               Slide no. 49/75
LTE system design


Downlink based on OFDMA: Orthogonal Frequency Division Multiple Access, for
improved spectral efficiency, capacity etc
QPSK, 16QAM and 64QAM modulation schemes supported
Uplink based on SC-FDMA: Single Carrier – Frequency Division Multiple Access.
Technically similar to OFDMA but better suited for uplink from hand-held devices
(battery power considerations)
BPSK, QPSK, 8PSK and 16QAM modulation schemes supported
Designed for both paired and unpaired spectrum use
Designed for FDD and TDD use
Macro-diversity (soft handover) no longer required
Circuit-switched connectivity no longer supported


                  www.gsacom.com                            Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009

 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009                                    Slide no. 50/75
LTE Standard

 LTE Release 8 Major Parameters

 Access Scheme            UL        DFTS-OFDM

                          DL        OFDMA                                  LTE-Release 8 User Equipment Categories
 Bandwidth                          1.4, 3.5, 10,15, 20MHz

 Minimum TTI                        1msec

 Sub-carrier spacing                15kHx

 Cyclic prefix length     Short     4.7usec

                          Long      16.7usec

 Modulation                         QPSK, 16QAM, 64QAM

 Spatial multiplexing               Single layer for UL per UE
                                    Up to 4 layers for DL per UE
                                    MU-MIMO supported for UL and DL



                    LTE is specified in 36 series technical specifications
                    The LTE Release 8 specifications can be found on www.3gpp.org


                                                                      ™ ETSI has registered "LTE" as a trademark for the benefit of the 3GPP Partners

                 www.gsacom.com                                                                              Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009

GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009                                                                                         Slide no. 51/75
Evolution of the 3GPP Core Network
- SAE
The 3GPP core network has also undergone System
Architecture Evolution (SAE) in the same timeframe                                      The architecture is based on an
as LTE, optimizing it for packet mode and, in particular,                  evolution of the existing GSM/WCDMA core
for the IP-Multimedia Subsystem (IMS), which supports                           network, with simplified operations and
all access technologies, including fixed wire-line access.                           smooth, cost-efficient deployment

This allows:
 Improvements in latency, capacity, throughput
Simplification of the core network, and optimization for
IP traffic and services, and expected growth
Simplified support & handover to non-3GPP access
technologies

The result is the evolved packet system (EPS) that
consists of the core network part, the evolved packet
core (EPC) and the radio network evolution part, the
evolved UTRAN (E-UTRAN), i.e. LTE. The EPS is                                                                 Source: Ericsson
also standardized within 3GPP Release 8 (March 2009)      There are two nodes in the SAE architecture user plane; the LTE base
and is the baseline for implementations.              station (eNodeB) and the SAE Gateway. This flat architecture reduces the
                                                                          number of involved nodes in connections. LTE base stations are
                                                                                      connected to the core network over the S1 interface


                 www.gsacom.com                                                               Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009

GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009                                                                        Slide no. 52/75
Is LTE ready?


     Standards are complete (Release 8 – March 2009)


     LTE has global acceptance by leading operators worldwide


     Infrastructure systems are shipping and being installed now


     Spectrum is available to support initial system deployments


     In trials LTE performance consistently meets or exceeds expectations


     LTE is poised for market entry, with several trials and commercial deployments on-going, and
    several operator launch plans already announced




                 www.gsacom.com                                               Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009

GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009                                                       Slide no. 53/75
Who is committed?
51 LTE network commitments worldwide
                                   51 LTE network commitments in 24 countries

                                   Up to 19 LTE networks in service by end 2010

                                   Up to 36 LTE networks in service by end 2012




                                                               Source of data: GSA Information Paper “Evolution to LTE” – December 10, 2009
                 www.gsacom.com                                                            Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009

GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009                                                                       Slide no. 54/75
Global LTE Commitments




                                                                                 Charts and maps are available at
                                                                             www.gsacom.com/news/statistics.php4




                                           Source of data: GSA Information Paper “Evolution to LTE” – December 10, 2009
                 www.gsacom.com                                        Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009

GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009                                                   Slide no. 55/75
Global LTE Commitments




                 www.gsacom.com            Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009

GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009                    Slide no. 56/75
LTE eco-system is building
Mobile phones, computer & consumer electronics devices (notebooks,
netbooks, UMPCs, gaming devices, cameras, PMPs, etc.) will incorporate
embedded LTE connectivity


 Several LTE device platforms are already announced by leading vendors, including
Altair, Qualcomm, Infineon, LG, Samsung, ST-Ericsson, 4M Wireless
 Test instruments/systems already available from several vendors
 GSA expects many of today’s 190 HSPA device manufacturers to participate in the
LTE market, with others also coming in
 First LTE user devices are modems; Samsung GT-B3710 launched (TeliaSonera)
 LTE handsets expected in the market around 2010-2011

                                  Verizon Wireless LTE Device Requirements Specification
                                 published April 2009 (700 MHz)




                                           World’s first LTE USB modem announced at CommunicAsia 2009
                 www.gsacom.com                                                             Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009

GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009                                                                     Slide no. 57/75
Voice over LTE
LTE is likely to be deployed with a focus on data services connectivity for PCs, netbooks, etc
 Voice service will be introduced as a second step
 The One Voice initiative – announced on November 4, 2009, aims for industry agreement on
a harmonized way to implement voice and SMS over LTE, based on existing standards.
         As LTE is a pure IP technology, traditional voice and SMS services must be
        implemented over the packet network
         One Voice uses current open standards to define the minimum mandatory set of
        functionality for interoperable IMS-based voice & SMS in LTE
         IMS basic capabilities and voice including supplementary services
         Real-time media negotiation, transport and codecs
         LTE radio and evolved packet core capabilities
         Functionality that is relevant across the protocol stack and subsystems

                                            AT&T                     Orange
                      The One Voice
                       initiative is       Telefonica                Vodafone
                      backed up by         TeliaSonera               Ericsson
                       the largest         Verizon                   Nokia
                      players in the
                                           Alcatel-Lucent            Samsung
                         industry
                                           Nokia Siemens Networks    Sony Ericsson
                 www.gsacom.com                                                     Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009

GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009                                                             Slide no. 58/75
TD-LTE

      The LTE market will include TD-LTE as well as FDD systems
   Li Yizhong, Minister of Industry and Information Technology, stated recently that TD-SCDMA subscribers in China
   are expected to reach 80 million by 2011. China Mobile aims to cover 238 cities by end 2009. China Mobile posted
   1.327 million 3G/TD-SCDMA subscribers total at end August 2009 and set a target of 3 million by end 2009

      TD-LTE is positioned as the next evolution in TD-SCDMA family and a natural progression

       From 3GPP standards perspective: commonality with FDD
       From vendor perspective: increasing use of software defined radio techniques
       From operator perspective: spectrum availability, flexible base stations


      TD-LTE trials now

       Timescales established for prototype, dual-mode and multimode devices
            In-service estimated as 2012-2013

                                                           Early TDD Spectrum for LTE (TTD-LTE)

                                                            IMT Extension Center Gap 2570–2620 MHz
                                                            2.3 TDD I.e. 2300 – 2400 MHz
                 www.gsacom.com                                                    Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009

GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009                                                            Slide no. 59/75
TD-LTE
- comparison of FDD and TDD modes



                                            FDD v TDD DL PHY differences

                                            In the DL, the PDCCH contains a
                                            number of extra bits specific to TDD

                                            The P-SCH, S-SCH and PHICH
                                            also differ from FDD. Other
                                            channels are unchanged


                                            FDD v TDD UL PHY differences

                                            TDD operation affects the timing,
                                            control and frame structure.
                                                                                   DwPTS: sent from eNodeB as part of synchronisation
                                                                                                               GP: empty guard band
                                            For the UL channels, the key               UpPTS: sent from UE as part of synchronisation
                                            changes are the PRACH channel
                                            and sounding.




                  www.gsacom.com                                                      Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009

 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009                                                                Slide no. 60/75
TD-LTE
- more information



 Recommended download – www.gsacom.com

 From TD-SCDMA to TD-LTE (Presentation by Aeroflex
 Asia at 4G Wireless Broadband Evolution seminar)
 - Where we are today
 - Next steps
 - The role of TD-LTE
 - Looking forward

 Presentation by Stephen Hire, Director of Marketing,
 Aeroflex Asia at the 4G Wireless Broadband Evolution
 seminar - Hong Kong, September 7, 2009 - jointly
 organized by GSA and Hong Kong Science and
 Technology Parks (www.hkstp.org)

         Aeroflex (www.aeroflex.com) is a member
         organization of the Global mobile Suppliers
         Association (GSA)
                  www.gsacom.com                        Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009

 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009                                Slide no. 61/75
Spectrum for LTE deployments


      An operator may introduce LTE in „new‟ bands where it is easier to deploy 10 MHz or 20 MHz
     carriers
            e.g. 2.6 GHz band (IMT Extension band) or Digital Dividend spectrum 700, 800 MHz
            Or in re-farmed existing mobile bands e.g. 850, 900, 1700, 1800, 1900, 2100 MHz



      Eventually LTE may be deployed in all of these bands – and others later



      2.6 GHz (for capacity) and 700/800 MHz (wider coverage, improved in-building) is a good
     combination


      LTE offers a choice of carrier bandwidths: 1.4 MHz to 20 MHz; the widest bandwidth will be
     needed for the highest speeds




                 www.gsacom.com                                               Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009

GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009                                                       Slide no. 62/75
LTE deployment - Sweden




2.6 GHz spectrum has been auctioned
                                                                 Tele2 Sweden and Telenor
                                                                   Sweden are to build a
                                                                  nationwide LTE network
900 MHz can be used for 3G                                        through a new JV, “Net4
                                                                         Mobility”
“The present licences in the 900 MHz band will be
renewed and it will be possible for the operators to                Operators will share
phase in new technology for mobile broadband                      spectrum in the 900 MHz
while at the same time continuing to offer GSM                      and 2.6 GHz bands
mobile telephony. The entire frequency space
available in the 900 MHz band will be assigned,                  Shared GSM network also
which will enable entry of a new stakeholder through PTS         planned to extend reach by
approving the transfer of frequencies to the operator Hi3G.”              30 – 50%

Press release, PTS, 13.03.09




                 www.gsacom.com                                Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009

GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009                                        Slide no. 63/75
Other frequency bands for LTE


LTE FDD                                                  TD- LTE
LTE FDD will most likely in future be       Early TDD Spectrum for LTE (TTD-LTE)
deployed in existing cellular bands too,
including:                                   IMT Extension Center Gap 2570–2620 MHz
                                             2.3 TDD I.e. 2300 – 2400 MHz
 850 MHz
 900 MHz
 AWS (1700/2100 MHz)
 1800 MHz
 1900 MHz
 2100 MHz


                    Future possibilities:            Future TDD possibility
                     450 – 470 MHz                   3.6 GHz
                     3.6 GHz

                 www.gsacom.com                               Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009

GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009                                       Slide no. 64/75
Update from the LTE/SAE Trial Initiative
LSTI



LSTI is an open initiative driven by Vendors
and Operators launched in May 2007

 Its objectives are to:
• Drive industrialization of 3GPP LTE/SAE
technology
• Demonstrate LTE/SAE capabilities against
3GPP
and NGMN requirements
• Stimulate development of the LTE/SAE                     Recommended download
ecosystem
                                               For the latest results, including Proof of Concept
www.lstiforum.org                                  Activity, Interoperability Testing, Friendly
                                                Customer Trials, Milestone Plan, etc. download
                                                 “Update from the LTE/SAE Trial Initiative” at
                                                                www.gsacom.com

                  www.gsacom.com                                    Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009

 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009                                            Slide no. 65/75
LTE-Advanced


3GPP made a formal submission to the ITU,
meeting the deadline of October 7, 2009, proposing
that LTE Release 10 & beyond (LTE-Advanced) be
evaluated as a candidate for IMT-Advanced.

The submission was made jointly in the name of the
3GPP Organizational Partners: ARIB, ATIS, CCSA,
ETSI, TTA and TTC.

(GSA is a Market Representation Partner in 3GPP)

3GPP plans to complete its work on LTE-Advanced
specifications by 2010/2011

                                           Further information:




                                                                  Source of data: GSA Information Paper “Evolution to LTE” – December 10, 2009
                 www.gsacom.com                                                               Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009

GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009                                                                          Slide no. 66/75
LTE-Advanced (Information update)



Recommended download


PRESENTATION

Beyond Mobile Broadband - What Is LTE-Advanced & What Will It Offer to Your Network?

Log in and go to

www.gsacom.com/downloads/pdf/LTE_Advanced__Peter_Merz_NSN.php4




                  www.gsacom.com                                           Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009

 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009                                                   Slide no. 67/75
LTE: A single global standard



  LTE is on track, attracting global industry support

  LTE is the natural migration choice for GSM/HSPA operators. LTE is also the next
 generation mobile broadband system of choice of leading CDMA operators, who are expected
 to be in the forefront of service introduction

  As a result of collaboration between 3GPP, 3GPP2 and IEEE there is a roadmap for CDMA
 operators to evolve to LTE

  Successful handovers between CDMA and LTE networks have been demonstrated and
 announced (August 2009)

  The LTE-TDD mode (TD-LTE) provides a future-proof evolutionary path for TD-SCDMA

  With LTE we have one single global standard, securing and driving even higher economies
 of scale and importantly, simplifying roaming
                                                             Source: Evolution to LTE: GSA Information Paper
                                                                    www.gsacom.com/gsm_3g/info_papers.php4

                 www.gsacom.com                                     Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009

GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009                                             Slide no. 68/75
Evolution to LTE – regular updates
   Information Paper


                                             New!
                                                      Presentation slide deck




    www.gsacom.com/gsm_3g/info_papers.php4    www.gsacom.com/gsm_3g/info_papers.php4


                 www.gsacom.com                               Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009

GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009                                       Slide no. 69/75
Wireless broadband global forecasts



                                                                     Source: Analysys Mason
                                                                     Insight, July 31, 2008




  ABI Research forecasts by 2013 operators will spend over US$ 8.6 billion on LTE base stations infrastructure

  Strategy Analytics forecasts global LTE handset growth from 70 million units in 2012 to 150 million by 2013

                                     Pyramid Research predicts LTE will grow faster than 3G


                 www.gsacom.com                                                               Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009

GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009                                                                       Slide no. 70/75
Key events supported by GSA
The listed events are endorsed by GSA
Discounts are available to GSA members for most events
More information and links to organizers’ websites at www.gsacom.com/events/index.php4




                 www.gsacom.com                                            Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009

GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009                                                    Slide no. 71/75
GSA at Mobile World Congress 2010




                                           GSA will be participating at Mobile World Congress

                                               Contact point at the Show: Trade Fair Ltd

                                                          Hall 1 Gallery Level
                                                           Stand: 1.1 HS43




                                                  Meeting and interview requests via:

                                              Lucy Turner, GSA email: info@gsacom.com




                 www.gsacom.com                                     Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009

GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009                                             Slide no. 72/75
LTE Forum 2010 – Stockholm, 27-28 April, 2010




 LTE Forum 2010 will help operators to identify the
 evolutionary steps to LTE (Long Term Evolution), to
 understand the drivers for migrating, and to
 determine what they need to be doing now to
 ensure their network remains competitive.

 Presentations from mobile operators and other
 industry experts will help delegates to understand
 why, when and how to migrate
 to LTE, and what they should be doing now to
 ensure their networks remain competitive into the
 future.                                               GSA is an endorsing association and will
                                                             be participating in this event

                                                                 More information
                                                               www.lteforum2010.com
                 www.gsacom.com                                    Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009

GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009                                            Slide no. 73/75
New IMS Report



The Moriana IMS and RCS Report 2009


Exclusive 17.5% discount for visitors to the GSA website
This new market study from The Moriana Group www.morianagroup.com is an
analysis of original research conducted by Moriana in 2009 into the state of the
IMS industry. And what key stakeholders actually think and have experienced in
terms of IMS industry activity. The resulting report provides a rich set of data from
which conclusions can be made regarding real activity and the likely future
direction of the industry.

Visit www.gsacom.com/store/ims_rcs.php4
to order the report, or download sample pages




                 www.gsacom.com                                                         Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009

GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009                                                                 Slide no. 74/75
Register for updates/press releases/downloads www.gsacom.com/php/register_form.php4

Evolution to LTE: GSA Information Paper
www.gsacom.com/gsm_3g/info_papers.php4     60+ charts, graphs, maps
                                           www.gsacom.com/news/statistics.php4




                                                                  Charts and maps available at www.gsacom.com/news/statistics.php4



                                                                                               website: www.gsacom.com
                                                                                    www.gsacom.com/rss/gsanews.php4



                                                                                                  www.twitter.com/gsacom
                                                                                                        http://gsacom.mobi


                 www.gsacom.com                                                         Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009

GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009                                                                 Slide no. 75/75

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GSM 3G Market Update 161209

  • 1. GSA Secretariat Tel +44 1279 439 667 info@gsacom.com GSM/3G MARKET UPDATE December 16, 2009 Global mobile Suppliers Association (GSA) www.gsacom.com www.gsacom.com/rss/gsanews.php4 Follow GSA on Twitter www.linkedin.com/groups?gid=2313721 www.twitter.com/gsacom www.youtube.com/user/GSAMOBILESUPPLIERS Terms of Use Copyright GSA 2009. All rights reserved. GSA makes considerable effort to ensure that the content is accurate; however, such content is provided without warranty in currentness, completeness or correctness. Reproduction of this material for non-commercial use is allowed if the source is stated. For other use please contact the GSA Secretariat via email to info@gsacom.com www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009 Slide no. 1/75
  • 2. Global mobile Suppliers Association (GSA)  Representing leading GSM/EDGE, WCDMA-HSPA, LTE suppliers globally  Promoting GSM/EDGE/WCDMA and evolved systems for successful delivery of mobile broadband, enhanced multimedia, voice services  3GPP Market Representation Partner Mobile Broadband Growth Facts-based research by GSA Leveraging strong links in the industry UMTS 900 Global Status Objective analysis Evolution to LTE GSA surveys, reports, regular updates Evolution of Network Speeds LTE Operator Commitments Mobile Broadband Spectrum HSPA network deployments/launches EDGE Evolution WCDMA Network Launches HSPA Evolution (HSPA+) HSPA Devices availability Digital Dividend spectrum 3G Services and Applications ~60 charts, maps Mobile broadband success stories EDGE Operators Worldwide www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009 Slide no. 2/75
  • 3. Global reach RSS newsfeed www.gsacom.com/rss/gsanews.php4 LinkedIN Group: www.linkedin.com/groups?gid=2313721 Twitter www.twitter.com/gsacom Mobile site http://gsacom.mobi Visitors to GSA website came from 193 countries 30 November 08 – 30 November 09 #1 USA The GSA website www.gsacom.com is #2 UK #3 China targeted to the industry, operators, #4 Japan regulators, analysts, media, government, #5 India #6 Sweden consultants, suppliers, services/apps Ranking of where #7 Germany developers, content industry, and #8 France visitors to the GSA #9 Taiwan distribution channels website came from: #10 Canada (Google Analytics) #11 Finland #12 Australia #13 South Korea 13,600 + file downloads average/month in Q3 09 #14 Brazil #15 Italy #16 Netherlands #17 Singapore #18 Russia #19 Turkey 960+ press/industry reports Q1 – Q3 09 #20 Hong Kong www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009 Slide no. 3/75
  • 4. Hot reports November 2009 top document downloads #1 Evolution to LTE Information Paper #2 GSM/3G Market Update #3 Evolution of Network Speeds #4 Mobile Broadband Growth – Reports from Operators Worldwide #5 World map – LTE commitments All available as free downloads #6 Update on Global HSPA Evolution (HSPA+) commitments www.gsacom.com www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009 Slide no. 4/75
  • 5. GSA is now on LinkedIN Invitation to join the GSA Group on LinkedIN www.linkedin.com/groups?gid=2313721 757 Members News, technology and market updates Discussions Networking www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009 Slide no. 5/75
  • 6. GSA – new Member companies SpiderCloud Wireless Velocent Systems www.spidercloud.com www.velocent.com Also see dedicated page: www.gsacom.com/about/members.php4?m=37 Also see this paper from Velocent Systems www.gsacom.com/downloads/pdf/Call_Trace_WP_Velocent_GSA.php4 www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009 Slide no. 6/75
  • 7. The continuing global GSM and WCDMA success story GSM/WCDMA market share = 89.5% Market share grew 1.2% in past year 4 billion GSM/WCDMA subs passed in October 2009 www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009 Slide no. 7/75
  • 8. GSM success in all regions See growth charts for all regions and key markets at www.gsacom.com/news/statistics.php4 www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009 Slide no. 8/75
  • 9. Data growth in all regions Download this chart and other mobile data-related charts at www.gsacom.com/news/statistics.php4 www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009 Slide no. 9/75
  • 10. Mobile Broadband growth success Consistent reports from operators worldwide of traffic and revenue growth Report from GSA – December 2009 Mobile Broadband Growth www.gsacom.com www.gsacom.com/gsm_3g/info_papers.php4 www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009 Slide no. 10/75
  • 11. www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009 Slide no. 11/75
  • 12. Evolution of Mobile Systems to 3G - Drivers: capacity, data speeds, lower cost of delivery - for revenue growth Q3 09 market share TDMA EDGE EDGE Evolution 3GPP Core GSM/3G GSM GPRS Network WCDMA HSDPA/HSUPA HSPA+ 89.5% PDC © GSA - 2009 cdma cdmaOne CDMA2000 9.8% CDMA2000 EV/DO EV/DO 1x 1x EV/DO Rev 0 Rev A Rev B others 0.7% 2G First Step into 3G 3G phase 1 Evolved 3G Market share according to subscriptions data provided by Informa Telecoms & Media www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009 Slide no. 12/75
  • 13. 3GPP radio access evolution LTE Evolution LTE HSPA+ HSPA 3G/WCDMA D/L peak rate 384 kbps 14.4 Mbps 21/28/42/84 Mbps > 150+ Mbps 1 Gbps target www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009 Slide no. 13/75
  • 14. www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009 Slide no. 14/75
  • 15. World’s first LTE networks launched TeliaSonera’s press release: On December 15, 2009 TeliaSonera http://feed.ne.cision.com/wpyfs/00/00/00/00/00/10/35/95/wkr0011.pdf launched the world’s first LTE services in Sweden and Norway. The LTE networks cover the central city areas of Stockholm and Oslo and initially will be used for mobile data services. Coverage roll-out to more cities in each country will continue in 2010. WEBCAST http://media.fronto.com/streaming/teliasonera/091214/ www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009 Slide no. 15/75
  • 16. 315 Commercial WCDMA Operators in 132 countries WCDMA is the leading 3G system globally • over 73% commercial 3G networks share Source: GSA 3G/WCDMA-HSPA Launches Worldwide survey December 4, 2009 www.gsacom.com/gsm_3g/wcdma_databank.php4 www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009 Slide no. 16/75
  • 17. 354 HSPA network commitments GLOBAL economies of scale today in HSPA-enabled mobile broadband 303 HSPA networks commercially launched HSPA Operator Commitments Survey: GSA – December 4, 2009 ~ 96% of commercial WCDMA networks are HSPA-enabled www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009 Slide no. 17/75
  • 18. HSPA subscriptions growth worldwide 244% HSPA annual growth to June 09 167 million HSPA subscriptions: June 09 www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009 Slide no. 18/75
  • 19. 1,875 HSPA devices launched by 197 suppliers 780 new HSPA user devices launched in past 12 months GSA HSPA Devices Survey: December 3, 2009 Key Findings: www.gsacom.com/gsm_3g/wcdma_databank.php4 www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009 Slide no. 19/75
  • 20. HSUPA device availability 159% YoY growth 156 HSUPA products support* or are upgradeable for 5.76 Mbps (peak) or higher (compared to 51 devices Dec 08) Download chart www.gsacom.com/news/statistics.php4 GSA HSPA Devices Survey: December 3, 2009 Key Findings: www.gsacom.com/gsm_3g/wcdma_databank.php4 www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009 Slide no. 20/75
  • 21. Convergence features in HSPA devices 1,875 HSPA Devices “phones” category includes smartphones 447 phones incorporate GPS/A-GPS (136% annual growth) 471 phones incorporate 802.11/WiFi (91% annual growth) 163 phones incorporate mobile TV (various standards) More analysis in the Key Findings report GSA HSPA Devices Survey: December 3, 2009 Key Findings: www.gsacom.com/gsm_3g/wcdma_databank.php4 www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009 Slide no. 21/75
  • 22. HSPA devices by operating frequency More analysis in GSA HSPA Devices Survey - Key Findings : December 3, 2009 www.gsacom.com/gsm_3g/wcdma_databank.php4 www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009 Slide no. 22/75
  • 23. GAMBoD – www.gsacom.com/gambod GSA’s analysis tool for HSPA devices More comprehensive analysis, personalized to individual needs, is available using GAMBoD (GSA Analyzer for Mobile Broadband Devices) www.gsacom.com/gambod GAMBoD: analysis tool for HSPA devices, for searches by supplier, form factor, features, downlink/uplink speeds, operating frequency Results are presented as lists, spreadsheets, or charts which may be inserted into documents or presentations RSS feed can be set up to alert when new devices are added For use only by GSA website registered users we categorize as being from GSA member organizations or from mobile network operators www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009 Slide no. 23/75
  • 24. HSPA Evolution (HSPA+) - market reality today Downlink evolution  64QAM instead of 16QAM = 50% improvement  Using multiple antennas – MIMO (multiple input, multiple output) will be possible; 2 at the base station and 2 at the terminal will double the bit rate This will mean the ability to deliver a downlink data speed of 42 Mbps peak on a 5 MHz carrier Uplink evolution Using 16QAM instead of QPSK modulation means doubling uplink rate up to 11.5 Mbps Reduced latency Further evolution of HSPA utilizes combinations of and MIMO technologies to reach 84 Mbps peak on the downlink, and 23 Mbps peak uplink And further evolution beyond that …….. www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009 Slide no. 24/75
  • 25. HSPA Evolution (HSPA+) www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009 Slide no. 25/75
  • 26. 28 Mbps DL is market reality 42 Mbps expected by year end Latest: see HSPA+ information updates paper Global HSPA+ Network Commitments and Deployments – www.gsacom.com www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009 Slide no. 26/75
  • 27. EDGE contributes to mobile broadband success Most HSPA networks combine EDGE with HSPA for 3G services delivery The majority of WCDMA-HSPA networks are complemented with GSM/EDGE for service continuity in areas where WCDMA-HSPA coverage is not available, to ensure that users will receive a good experience of most 3G services 233 of 354 HSPA network operator commitments (66%) also committed to EDGE EDGE can today deliver user data speeds up to 300 kbps peak; more coming with EDGE Evolution Over 80% of HSDPA user devices also support GSM/EDGE (excluding notebooks) www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009 Slide no. 27/75
  • 28. EDGE – global, mature technology Over 80% of commercial GPRS networks globally have committed to EDGE  478 GSM/EDGE commitments in 189 countries  443 commercial GSM/EDGE networks in 181 countries Source: GSA EDGE Fact Sheet July 7, 2009 www.gsacom.com/gsm_3g/edge_databank.php4#EDGE_Fact_Sheet www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009 Slide no. 28/75
  • 29. EDGE networks expansion Download charts www.gsacom.com/news/statistics.php4 Source: GSA EDGE Fact Sheet July 7, 2009 www.gsacom.com/gsm_3g/edge_databank.php4#EDGE_Fact_Sheet www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009 Slide no. 29/75
  • 30. EDGE Evolution Evolved GERAN - Drivers and goals Operators stress service continuity as being very important WCDMA evolution to HSDPA is a key driver for EDGE Evolution (GERAN Evolution) since reducing the performance gap is the priority EDGE Evolution - potential benefits:  2 – 3 times increase in EDGE bit rates  2 – 3 times spectral efficiency gain (for voice & data capacity)  Halve the latency (roundtrip time)  All achieved with low impact on the GSM/EDGE network Standardized in 3GPP Release 7 Leading manufacturers committed; commercialization expected from 2009 www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009 Slide no. 30/75
  • 31. Peak speeds of EDGE Evolution features within 3GPP Release 7 specifications  DL speed up to 1.2 Mbps per user expected  standard enables up to 1.9 Mbps per user  Dual Carrier first phase implementation 10 TSL per user; standard enables up to 16 TSL per user  EGPRS-2 DL (REDHOT) level B maximum 118.4 kbps per TSL  UL speed up to 474 kbps per user, standard enables up to 947 kbps per user  EGPRS-2 UL (HUGE) level B with maximum 118.4 kbps per TSL  Peak implementation today 4 TSL per user; standard enables up to 8 TSL per user www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009 Slide no. 31/75
  • 32. Dual Carrier – the first step in evolving EDGE Dual Carrier is the first step in evolving EDGE, bringing the prospect of doubling today’s EDGE speeds to 592 kbps on existing EDGE-capable networks. Commercial downlink Dual Carrier solutions are expected to be introduced in 2009. EGPRS-2 level B+ is standardized in the newly- released 3GPP Release 8, providing a wider pulse shaping filter to enable higher average end user throughput, and therefore better coverage compared to level B. Commercial solutions for EGPRS-2 level B+ in the downlink are expected to be introduced in 2010. GSA Information Paper “EDGE Evolution” www.gsacom.com/gsm_3g/info_papers.php4 www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009 Slide no. 32/75
  • 33. Mobile broadband frequency bands WCDMA systems incl. HSPA are deployed in 850, 900, 1700, 1800, 1900, 2100 MHz Most operate in IMT-2000 core band 1920-1980/2110–2170 MHz (referred to as 2100 MHz) 850, 900 MHz deliver coverage and cost efficiencies and are increasing in importance. The eco-system in these bands is rapidly strengthening 700 MHz: 62 MHz of Digital Dividend spectrum auctioned in US; will be auctioned later in other countries in the Americas, and elsewhere 2.50 - 2.69 GHz band is anticipated as the largest new spectrum resource New UHF Digital Dividend spectrum is becoming available in all regions  excellent for extending mobile broadband to rural and semi-urban areas, and to improve in-building performance in built up areas Region 1 (Europe, Middle East and Africa) identified 790-862 MHz for mobile services Region 2 (Americas) identified 698-806 MHz Region 3 (Asia) some countries (e.g. China, India, Japan) identified 698-862 MHz while others identified 790-862 MHz www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009 Slide no. 33/75
  • 34. 2.6 GHz band The 2.50 - 2.69 GHz band is anticipated as the largest new spectrum resource for mobile broadband services in the foreseeable future. It is identified by the ITU as the IMT extension band and is needed due to traffic growth in 3G/HSPA networks It is large enough to allow multiple operators to deploy technologies utilizing wide channels, such as the 2 x 20 MHz channels for the highest data speeds of LTE The CEPT band plan was included in CEPT Decision (05)05, agreed by consensus in 2005 by its 48 member countries. It includes a commitment to make the band available from 2008 depending on market demand. The plan comprises 2 x 70 MHz paired FDD spectrum separated by 50 MHz of unpaired spectrum for FDD downlink or TDD Sweden implemented the Decision; first country to auction 2.6 GHz spectrum in compliance. Finland, Norway, Hong Kong and Singapore have completed similar auctions. Forthcoming allocations likely in 2009/10 include Austria, Denmark, France, Germany, Netherlands, Spain, UK,,, …... and in Latin America: Chile, Colombia, Mexico, Brazil www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009 Slide no. 34/75
  • 35. 2.6 GHz is a key band for LTE in Europe and Asia  Telenor and Netcom have been granted licences and 2.6 GHz spectrum and will build LTE networks in Norway  TeliaSonera announced LTE commercial service in Oslo launched on December 15, 2009  Teliasonera, Elisa and DNA have been granted licences and 2.6 GHz spectrum and will build LTE networks in Finland  TeliaSonera Sweden is deploying LTE using nationwide 2x20 MHz 2.6 GHz spectrum and announced commercial service in Stockholm launched on December 15, 2009  In Hong Kong, 2x15 MHz blocks of 2.6 GHz FDD spectrum have been auctioned, and won by China Mobile, Genius Brand and CSL Limited Several auctions of 2.6 GHz spectrum are scheduled or planned throughout European markets during 2010 and onwards which will be key spectrum for LTE Source of data: GSA Information Paper “Evolution to LTE” – December 10, 2009 www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009 Slide no. 35/75
  • 36. Spectrum below 1 GHz 850, 900 MHz Growing awareness and appreciation of the benefits of deploying mobile broadband systems in re-farmed 900 MHz band: systems today referred to as UMTS900 (or WCDMA-HSPA900) UMTS900 gaining traction amongst operators and regulators across Europe, Asia, Oceania, Middle East, Africa, Russia Regulatory obstacles in Europe being removed The 20-year old GSM Directive has been amended, allowing mobile broadband systems in re-farmed 900 and 1800 MHz spectrum UMTS900 eco-system is rapidly developing, including HSPA user devices UMTS900 and UMTS2100 deployments are complementary Similar benefits obtained with HSPA in 850 MHz band; commercial systems today in Australia, New Zealand, and the Americas www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009 Slide no. 36/75
  • 37. UMTS900 = cost reduction in rural/suburban areas GSA UMTS900 operator case study Elisa, Finland Increased coverage Significant CAPEX, OPEX savings Re-use existing sites Faster rollout Improved voice service Improved in-building penetration UMTS900 Operator Case Study on Elisa www.gsacom.com/gsm_3g/info_papers.php4 UMTS900 has an economic motivation – it is a business decision www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009 Slide no. 37/75
  • 38. UMTS900 = improved user experience of MBB and voice GSA UMTS900 operator case study Optus, Australia “Site optimization gave customers a kick up in performance for 2G service as well as access to UMTS900” “The extended reach of 900 MHz means we can deliver better quality and wider coverage across sparsely populated areas, as well as enhanced depth of coverage” “UMTS900 has been critical in bringing up the depth of coverage into people’s homes, so they get a similar experience in both voice and data coverage, making it a more economically feasible solution for expansion” “By having a technology that allows us to get into more places at a lower cost, we can deliver more services. For example, we can grow our small and medium business and consumer market penetration” UMTS900 Operator Case Study on Optus “Amongst other applications, UMTS900 implementation is a www.gsacom.com/gsm_3g/info_papers.php4 case study for how we will utilize new spectrum arising from the Digital Dividend” www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009 Slide no. 38/75
  • 39. UMTS900 commercialization Updates: UMTS900 Global Status report www.gsacom.com 14 commercial UMTS900 systems 208 UMTS900-HSPA devices launched www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009 Slide no. 39/75
  • 40. UMTS900 – operator insights Recommended download – www.gsacom.com UMTS900 Update: New Operator Insights Presentation by Dr Eetu Prieur, Elisa Finland Developing A Fully Inclusive Mobile Broadband Strategy: Bringing Mobile Broadband To Remote And Rural Areas Presentation by Dr. Eetu Prieur, Elisa at IIR Mobile Broadband World, London, September 23, 2009 Elisa launched the world's first UMTS900 (HSPA) system in Finland in November 2007 and are now upgrading to HSPA+. In his presentation Dr Eetu Prieur explains why UMTS900 is “a 100% clear go”. www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009 Slide no. 40/75
  • 41. UMTS850 networks in commercial service (WCDMA-HSPA) UMTS850 commercial launch: October 06 World’s largest UMTS 850 network. Telstra's Next G™ network covers more than 1.9 million square kilometres. The Next G™ network provides mobile broadband access to 99 per cent of Australians, spanning city to country including many remote coastal and rural communities (www.telstra.com.au) 56 commercial UMTS-HSPA networks throughout the Americas; several operating in the 850 MHz band Strong UMTS850 ecosystem exists today including 643 HSPA devices (plus notebooks) in the market which operate in the 850 MHz band (Source: GSA HSPA Devices survey – December 3, 2009) www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009 Slide no. 41/75
  • 42. Digital Dividend Spectrum Digital Dividend spectrum is excellent for extending mobile broadband to rural and semi-urban areas, and to improve in-building performance in built up areas www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009 Slide no. 42/75
  • 43. 700 MHz band Digital Dividend spectrum 700 MHz is a key band for LTE deployments  700 MHz LTE deployments include Verizon Wireless, AT&T Mobility, several regional players  Verizon Wireless has set up trial networks in Boston and Seattle  700 MHz spectrum availability will extend throughout Americas. This could be earliest in Chile where LTE trials are planned by Entel PCS, Claro and Movistar. Subtel (regulator) expected to soon launch a spectrum auction (2.6 GHz, 700 MHz)  The Indian government has formed a task group to develop a national band plan at 700 MHz  Consultations on future use of 700 MHz have commenced in New Zealand Verizon Wireless LTE commercial launch in up to 30 markets scheduled by end 2010 Nationwide by end 2013 www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009 Slide no. 43/75
  • 44. Europe Digital Dividend: 790-862 MHz Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Sweden and Switzerland have confirmed they will allocate 790–862 MHz for mobile broadband services. The UK government proposes ring-fencing of some Digital Dividend spectrum so that operators can push 3G beyond their license obligation of 80% population. In return, operators would receive an indefinite extension to their 3G licences In Germany, trials are underway with some local authorities in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern to use digital dividend frequencies to provide HSPA or LTE broadband services to communities without broadband possibilities. An auction of 790-862 MHz spectrum will be held soon. In Italy, Communications Undersecretary, Paolo Romani, announced that frequencies vacated during the analogue switch off will be auctioned Belgium is undertaking a consultation on the Digital Dividend, as is Poland Czech Republic regulator CTU has undertaken a 2nd round of consultation on the 470-862 MHz band. A 3rd round of consultation is likely in the Autumn Norway stated (September 2009) 790-862MHz to be allocated to mobile broadband (auction expected 2010) In Ireland, Comreg began a Digital Dividend review at its annual conference in October 2008 In Slovakia the regulator TU launched a public consultation calling for comments by April 3rd, 2009 In Spain, the Industry Ministry recently issued a press release indicating digital dividend spectrum would likely be reserved for cellular, especially for mobile Internet broadband, from January 2015 In Portugal, public consultations on the Digital Dividend closed on May 13, 2009 Serbia recently completed a consultation on the Digital Dividend www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009 Slide no. 44/75
  • 45. Europe Digital TV transition timetable Examples of the digital switchover timetable in Europe: • Belgium (Flanders region), Finland, Germany, Luxembourg, the Netherlands, Sweden, Switzerland: already switched over • 2010: includes Austria, Denmark, Estonia, Malta, Slovenia, and Spain • 2011 – 2012: includes Bulgaria, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Greece, France, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Lithuania, Latvia, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, the United Kingdom, regions of Wallonia and Brussels (Belgium) It is clear that political debate on the Digital Dividend is entering the mainstream in other parts of the world – particularly Africa, India, Latin America www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009 Slide no. 45/75
  • 46. LTE: Long Term Evolution LTE is the next step in the user experience LTE is essential to take mobile broadband to the mass market www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009 Slide no. 46/75
  • 47. The industry direction is to LTE LTE is needed to accommodate huge traffic growth Traffic rising/revenue falling 40x – 100x traffic increase may need to be supported across several frequency bands Mobile broadband is gaining momentum from widespread 3.5G deployments, flat rate data tariffs, and availability of internet friendly mobiles www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009 Slide no. 47/75
  • 48. Benefits of LTE Spectrum flexibility Can use new or re-farmed spectrum, FDD and TDD Variable channel bandwidth Improved performance Year 2010: LTE performance Higher capacity, peak and user data rates Higher bandwidth “always on”; enhanced user experience Peak downlink: > 150 Mbps Typical user experience: 10-100 Mbps Lower cost IP-based flat network architecture; Low OPEX Typical user UL rate: 5-50 Mbps High degree of self configuration/optimization High re-use of assets including sites Complements 3G/HSPA Addresses high capacity requirements Seamless service continuity/multimode devices Next generation solution for 3GPP and 3GPP2 www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009 Slide no. 48/75
  • 49. The Roadmap Excellent Mobile Broadband Today Enhanced User Experience Voice and full Range of IP Services Improved voice and data capability Rel-99 Rel-5 Rel-6 Rel-7 Rel-8 Rel-9 & beyond WCDMA HSPA HSPA+ (HSPA Evolved) Rel-8 Rel-9 Rel-10 LTE leverages new, wider and TDD spectrum LTE LTE - A 2009 - 2010 2011+ - - - - - - - - - > www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009 Slide no. 49/75
  • 50. LTE system design Downlink based on OFDMA: Orthogonal Frequency Division Multiple Access, for improved spectral efficiency, capacity etc QPSK, 16QAM and 64QAM modulation schemes supported Uplink based on SC-FDMA: Single Carrier – Frequency Division Multiple Access. Technically similar to OFDMA but better suited for uplink from hand-held devices (battery power considerations) BPSK, QPSK, 8PSK and 16QAM modulation schemes supported Designed for both paired and unpaired spectrum use Designed for FDD and TDD use Macro-diversity (soft handover) no longer required Circuit-switched connectivity no longer supported www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009 Slide no. 50/75
  • 51. LTE Standard LTE Release 8 Major Parameters Access Scheme UL DFTS-OFDM DL OFDMA LTE-Release 8 User Equipment Categories Bandwidth 1.4, 3.5, 10,15, 20MHz Minimum TTI 1msec Sub-carrier spacing 15kHx Cyclic prefix length Short 4.7usec Long 16.7usec Modulation QPSK, 16QAM, 64QAM Spatial multiplexing Single layer for UL per UE Up to 4 layers for DL per UE MU-MIMO supported for UL and DL LTE is specified in 36 series technical specifications The LTE Release 8 specifications can be found on www.3gpp.org ™ ETSI has registered "LTE" as a trademark for the benefit of the 3GPP Partners www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009 Slide no. 51/75
  • 52. Evolution of the 3GPP Core Network - SAE The 3GPP core network has also undergone System Architecture Evolution (SAE) in the same timeframe The architecture is based on an as LTE, optimizing it for packet mode and, in particular, evolution of the existing GSM/WCDMA core for the IP-Multimedia Subsystem (IMS), which supports network, with simplified operations and all access technologies, including fixed wire-line access. smooth, cost-efficient deployment This allows:  Improvements in latency, capacity, throughput Simplification of the core network, and optimization for IP traffic and services, and expected growth Simplified support & handover to non-3GPP access technologies The result is the evolved packet system (EPS) that consists of the core network part, the evolved packet core (EPC) and the radio network evolution part, the evolved UTRAN (E-UTRAN), i.e. LTE. The EPS is Source: Ericsson also standardized within 3GPP Release 8 (March 2009) There are two nodes in the SAE architecture user plane; the LTE base and is the baseline for implementations. station (eNodeB) and the SAE Gateway. This flat architecture reduces the number of involved nodes in connections. LTE base stations are connected to the core network over the S1 interface www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009 Slide no. 52/75
  • 53. Is LTE ready?  Standards are complete (Release 8 – March 2009)  LTE has global acceptance by leading operators worldwide  Infrastructure systems are shipping and being installed now  Spectrum is available to support initial system deployments  In trials LTE performance consistently meets or exceeds expectations  LTE is poised for market entry, with several trials and commercial deployments on-going, and several operator launch plans already announced www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009 Slide no. 53/75
  • 54. Who is committed? 51 LTE network commitments worldwide  51 LTE network commitments in 24 countries  Up to 19 LTE networks in service by end 2010  Up to 36 LTE networks in service by end 2012 Source of data: GSA Information Paper “Evolution to LTE” – December 10, 2009 www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009 Slide no. 54/75
  • 55. Global LTE Commitments Charts and maps are available at www.gsacom.com/news/statistics.php4 Source of data: GSA Information Paper “Evolution to LTE” – December 10, 2009 www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009 Slide no. 55/75
  • 56. Global LTE Commitments www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009 Slide no. 56/75
  • 57. LTE eco-system is building Mobile phones, computer & consumer electronics devices (notebooks, netbooks, UMPCs, gaming devices, cameras, PMPs, etc.) will incorporate embedded LTE connectivity  Several LTE device platforms are already announced by leading vendors, including Altair, Qualcomm, Infineon, LG, Samsung, ST-Ericsson, 4M Wireless  Test instruments/systems already available from several vendors  GSA expects many of today’s 190 HSPA device manufacturers to participate in the LTE market, with others also coming in  First LTE user devices are modems; Samsung GT-B3710 launched (TeliaSonera)  LTE handsets expected in the market around 2010-2011  Verizon Wireless LTE Device Requirements Specification published April 2009 (700 MHz) World’s first LTE USB modem announced at CommunicAsia 2009 www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009 Slide no. 57/75
  • 58. Voice over LTE LTE is likely to be deployed with a focus on data services connectivity for PCs, netbooks, etc  Voice service will be introduced as a second step  The One Voice initiative – announced on November 4, 2009, aims for industry agreement on a harmonized way to implement voice and SMS over LTE, based on existing standards.  As LTE is a pure IP technology, traditional voice and SMS services must be implemented over the packet network  One Voice uses current open standards to define the minimum mandatory set of functionality for interoperable IMS-based voice & SMS in LTE  IMS basic capabilities and voice including supplementary services  Real-time media negotiation, transport and codecs  LTE radio and evolved packet core capabilities  Functionality that is relevant across the protocol stack and subsystems  AT&T  Orange The One Voice initiative is Telefonica  Vodafone backed up by TeliaSonera  Ericsson the largest Verizon  Nokia players in the Alcatel-Lucent  Samsung industry Nokia Siemens Networks  Sony Ericsson www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009 Slide no. 58/75
  • 59. TD-LTE The LTE market will include TD-LTE as well as FDD systems Li Yizhong, Minister of Industry and Information Technology, stated recently that TD-SCDMA subscribers in China are expected to reach 80 million by 2011. China Mobile aims to cover 238 cities by end 2009. China Mobile posted 1.327 million 3G/TD-SCDMA subscribers total at end August 2009 and set a target of 3 million by end 2009 TD-LTE is positioned as the next evolution in TD-SCDMA family and a natural progression  From 3GPP standards perspective: commonality with FDD  From vendor perspective: increasing use of software defined radio techniques  From operator perspective: spectrum availability, flexible base stations TD-LTE trials now  Timescales established for prototype, dual-mode and multimode devices  In-service estimated as 2012-2013 Early TDD Spectrum for LTE (TTD-LTE)  IMT Extension Center Gap 2570–2620 MHz  2.3 TDD I.e. 2300 – 2400 MHz www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009 Slide no. 59/75
  • 60. TD-LTE - comparison of FDD and TDD modes FDD v TDD DL PHY differences In the DL, the PDCCH contains a number of extra bits specific to TDD The P-SCH, S-SCH and PHICH also differ from FDD. Other channels are unchanged FDD v TDD UL PHY differences TDD operation affects the timing, control and frame structure. DwPTS: sent from eNodeB as part of synchronisation GP: empty guard band For the UL channels, the key UpPTS: sent from UE as part of synchronisation changes are the PRACH channel and sounding. www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009 Slide no. 60/75
  • 61. TD-LTE - more information Recommended download – www.gsacom.com From TD-SCDMA to TD-LTE (Presentation by Aeroflex Asia at 4G Wireless Broadband Evolution seminar) - Where we are today - Next steps - The role of TD-LTE - Looking forward Presentation by Stephen Hire, Director of Marketing, Aeroflex Asia at the 4G Wireless Broadband Evolution seminar - Hong Kong, September 7, 2009 - jointly organized by GSA and Hong Kong Science and Technology Parks (www.hkstp.org) Aeroflex (www.aeroflex.com) is a member organization of the Global mobile Suppliers Association (GSA) www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009 Slide no. 61/75
  • 62. Spectrum for LTE deployments  An operator may introduce LTE in „new‟ bands where it is easier to deploy 10 MHz or 20 MHz carriers  e.g. 2.6 GHz band (IMT Extension band) or Digital Dividend spectrum 700, 800 MHz  Or in re-farmed existing mobile bands e.g. 850, 900, 1700, 1800, 1900, 2100 MHz  Eventually LTE may be deployed in all of these bands – and others later  2.6 GHz (for capacity) and 700/800 MHz (wider coverage, improved in-building) is a good combination  LTE offers a choice of carrier bandwidths: 1.4 MHz to 20 MHz; the widest bandwidth will be needed for the highest speeds www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009 Slide no. 62/75
  • 63. LTE deployment - Sweden 2.6 GHz spectrum has been auctioned Tele2 Sweden and Telenor Sweden are to build a nationwide LTE network 900 MHz can be used for 3G through a new JV, “Net4 Mobility” “The present licences in the 900 MHz band will be renewed and it will be possible for the operators to Operators will share phase in new technology for mobile broadband spectrum in the 900 MHz while at the same time continuing to offer GSM and 2.6 GHz bands mobile telephony. The entire frequency space available in the 900 MHz band will be assigned, Shared GSM network also which will enable entry of a new stakeholder through PTS planned to extend reach by approving the transfer of frequencies to the operator Hi3G.” 30 – 50% Press release, PTS, 13.03.09 www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009 Slide no. 63/75
  • 64. Other frequency bands for LTE LTE FDD TD- LTE LTE FDD will most likely in future be Early TDD Spectrum for LTE (TTD-LTE) deployed in existing cellular bands too, including:  IMT Extension Center Gap 2570–2620 MHz  2.3 TDD I.e. 2300 – 2400 MHz  850 MHz  900 MHz  AWS (1700/2100 MHz)  1800 MHz  1900 MHz  2100 MHz Future possibilities: Future TDD possibility  450 – 470 MHz  3.6 GHz  3.6 GHz www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009 Slide no. 64/75
  • 65. Update from the LTE/SAE Trial Initiative LSTI LSTI is an open initiative driven by Vendors and Operators launched in May 2007 Its objectives are to: • Drive industrialization of 3GPP LTE/SAE technology • Demonstrate LTE/SAE capabilities against 3GPP and NGMN requirements • Stimulate development of the LTE/SAE Recommended download ecosystem For the latest results, including Proof of Concept www.lstiforum.org Activity, Interoperability Testing, Friendly Customer Trials, Milestone Plan, etc. download “Update from the LTE/SAE Trial Initiative” at www.gsacom.com www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009 Slide no. 65/75
  • 66. LTE-Advanced 3GPP made a formal submission to the ITU, meeting the deadline of October 7, 2009, proposing that LTE Release 10 & beyond (LTE-Advanced) be evaluated as a candidate for IMT-Advanced. The submission was made jointly in the name of the 3GPP Organizational Partners: ARIB, ATIS, CCSA, ETSI, TTA and TTC. (GSA is a Market Representation Partner in 3GPP) 3GPP plans to complete its work on LTE-Advanced specifications by 2010/2011 Further information: Source of data: GSA Information Paper “Evolution to LTE” – December 10, 2009 www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009 Slide no. 66/75
  • 67. LTE-Advanced (Information update) Recommended download PRESENTATION Beyond Mobile Broadband - What Is LTE-Advanced & What Will It Offer to Your Network? Log in and go to www.gsacom.com/downloads/pdf/LTE_Advanced__Peter_Merz_NSN.php4 www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009 Slide no. 67/75
  • 68. LTE: A single global standard  LTE is on track, attracting global industry support  LTE is the natural migration choice for GSM/HSPA operators. LTE is also the next generation mobile broadband system of choice of leading CDMA operators, who are expected to be in the forefront of service introduction  As a result of collaboration between 3GPP, 3GPP2 and IEEE there is a roadmap for CDMA operators to evolve to LTE  Successful handovers between CDMA and LTE networks have been demonstrated and announced (August 2009)  The LTE-TDD mode (TD-LTE) provides a future-proof evolutionary path for TD-SCDMA  With LTE we have one single global standard, securing and driving even higher economies of scale and importantly, simplifying roaming Source: Evolution to LTE: GSA Information Paper www.gsacom.com/gsm_3g/info_papers.php4 www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009 Slide no. 68/75
  • 69. Evolution to LTE – regular updates Information Paper New! Presentation slide deck www.gsacom.com/gsm_3g/info_papers.php4 www.gsacom.com/gsm_3g/info_papers.php4 www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009 Slide no. 69/75
  • 70. Wireless broadband global forecasts Source: Analysys Mason Insight, July 31, 2008 ABI Research forecasts by 2013 operators will spend over US$ 8.6 billion on LTE base stations infrastructure Strategy Analytics forecasts global LTE handset growth from 70 million units in 2012 to 150 million by 2013 Pyramid Research predicts LTE will grow faster than 3G www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009 Slide no. 70/75
  • 71. Key events supported by GSA The listed events are endorsed by GSA Discounts are available to GSA members for most events More information and links to organizers’ websites at www.gsacom.com/events/index.php4 www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009 Slide no. 71/75
  • 72. GSA at Mobile World Congress 2010 GSA will be participating at Mobile World Congress Contact point at the Show: Trade Fair Ltd Hall 1 Gallery Level Stand: 1.1 HS43 Meeting and interview requests via: Lucy Turner, GSA email: info@gsacom.com www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009 Slide no. 72/75
  • 73. LTE Forum 2010 – Stockholm, 27-28 April, 2010 LTE Forum 2010 will help operators to identify the evolutionary steps to LTE (Long Term Evolution), to understand the drivers for migrating, and to determine what they need to be doing now to ensure their network remains competitive. Presentations from mobile operators and other industry experts will help delegates to understand why, when and how to migrate to LTE, and what they should be doing now to ensure their networks remain competitive into the future. GSA is an endorsing association and will be participating in this event More information www.lteforum2010.com www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009 Slide no. 73/75
  • 74. New IMS Report The Moriana IMS and RCS Report 2009 Exclusive 17.5% discount for visitors to the GSA website This new market study from The Moriana Group www.morianagroup.com is an analysis of original research conducted by Moriana in 2009 into the state of the IMS industry. And what key stakeholders actually think and have experienced in terms of IMS industry activity. The resulting report provides a rich set of data from which conclusions can be made regarding real activity and the likely future direction of the industry. Visit www.gsacom.com/store/ims_rcs.php4 to order the report, or download sample pages www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009 Slide no. 74/75
  • 75. Register for updates/press releases/downloads www.gsacom.com/php/register_form.php4 Evolution to LTE: GSA Information Paper www.gsacom.com/gsm_3g/info_papers.php4 60+ charts, graphs, maps www.gsacom.com/news/statistics.php4 Charts and maps available at www.gsacom.com/news/statistics.php4 website: www.gsacom.com www.gsacom.com/rss/gsanews.php4 www.twitter.com/gsacom http://gsacom.mobi www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2009 GSM/3G Market Update - December 16, 2009 Slide no. 75/75