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Improving health worldwide
www.lshtm.ac.uk
GIS: A project by project prospective
Chris Grundy
chris.grundy@lshtm.ac.uk
Why project by project
• Each project will have different data
requirements / issues
• Basic rules / considerations
– Size of dataset
– Confidentiality
– Accuracy: time & location
• Examples
– 20mph zones in London
– Use of satellite imagery in surveys
20mph zones in London
20mph zones on road injury
• What effect have implementation of 20mph
zones in London had on road injury between
1986 - 2006
• GIS used
– Locate 20mph zones
– Link road injury to roads
– Build dataset ready for analysis
Methods
• Controlled interrupted time series analysis
– Measures the change in the number of casualties on
each road in London from 1987-2006
– Control group is all “outside” roads in London
• 20 years of road casualty data (STATS19)
• Each road defined by year as
– Inside a 20mph zone
– Adjacent to a 20mph zone
– Outside 20mph zones
20mph Zones & road casualties
Results
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
All casualties Killed and seriously
injured (KSI)
Child casualties Child KSI casualties
Data considerations
• Large dataset (6 million rows)
– Each stats run took 6 – 10 hours (20 runs)
• Accuracy
– Collisions not always accurate – lots of checks
– During 20 years roads physically changed
• Confidentiality
– Full road injury dataset confidential
– Confidential server too slow to handle size
– Data anonymised for use elsewhere
Satellite imagery in surveys
GIS and mapping in surveys
• Surveys vital part of public health studies
• GIS widely used
– Planning logistics
– Random selection of household
– Population estimation methods
– Locating house holds for return visits
– Mapping results
Using imagery
• Satellite images increasingly available
– Google earth
– Commercial images
– Commissioned images
• Structures visible
• On screen digitizing
Am Timan town, Chad
Stratum 1
Stratum 2
Stratum 3
Methods: quadrat survey
• Area split into grid
– 50 m2 grid defined
– Existing city street grid
• 15 “quadrats” (blocks) per
stratum
• Visit each structure
• Population = Population density x Area
Method: manual structure count
• Structures located by eye
• Type of structure determined by user
– Traditional hut
– Non residential building
• Grid used to ensure
systematic counting
• Count checked
– Missed features / errors
Methods: Population estimation
• Using satellite images to estimate population:
Population = n structures x n people / structure
Manual counts Small structure
occupancy survey
Methods: random survey
• Select & visit random
structures
• Combine pre-located
structures and GPS
• Coordinates allow structure
to be revisited easily
Survey structure
Results: Population estimates
Stratum
Quadrat
Survey
Imagery Method
Manual
Count
Automated
Count
1 14337 12996 12229
(10751 – 19117) (11655 – 14490) (10968 – 13635)
2 16877 16920 16802
(12581 – 22639) (15175 – 18866) (15069 – 18734)
3 25176 16709 16369
(10473 – 60523) (14986 – 18631) (14680 – 18251)
Total 49722 46625 45400
(29 431 – 84003) (41817 – 51987) (40718 – 50620)
Trial in different areas
Location Manual
estimate
Reference
Population
Difference
Kutupalong 12 058 11 047 +1011 (+9.2%)
Breidjing 34 896 26 770 +8126 (+30.4%)
Farchana 22 944 19 070 +3874 (+20.3%)
Bambu 7637 5871 +1766 (+30.1%)
Mugunga III 2986 1969 +1017 (+51.7%)
Sherkole 8355 13 958 -5603 (-40.1%)
Shimelba 11 994 13 043 -1049 (-8.0%)
Champs-de-Mars 12 513 23 214 -10 701 (-46.1%)
Delmas 24 20 612 39 349 -18 737 (-47.6%)
Kakuma 88 457 90 457 -2000 (-2.2%)
Bairro Esturro 8940 9523 -583 (-6.1%)
Data considerations
• Image data licensed
– Images licenses, not allowed to be shared
– Named users verses number of users
– Getting suitable image within time period an issue
– Not all locations have identifiable structures
• Confidentiality
– Main dataset not confidential
– Confidential survey data stored separately
• Ethics / Population security
– Dangers of mapping at risk populations
Summary
Don’t forget
• Time: How current is data
• Preparation: Planning is everything
• Disk space
• Confidentiality & ethics: storage & publication
• Share data wherever possible
Tip: Map your data
• Check data as it comes in
• Explore your data
• Use maps at every opportunity

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GIS: A project by project prospective

  • 1. Improving health worldwide www.lshtm.ac.uk GIS: A project by project prospective Chris Grundy chris.grundy@lshtm.ac.uk
  • 2. Why project by project • Each project will have different data requirements / issues • Basic rules / considerations – Size of dataset – Confidentiality – Accuracy: time & location • Examples – 20mph zones in London – Use of satellite imagery in surveys
  • 3. 20mph zones in London
  • 4. 20mph zones on road injury • What effect have implementation of 20mph zones in London had on road injury between 1986 - 2006 • GIS used – Locate 20mph zones – Link road injury to roads – Build dataset ready for analysis
  • 5. Methods • Controlled interrupted time series analysis – Measures the change in the number of casualties on each road in London from 1987-2006 – Control group is all “outside” roads in London • 20 years of road casualty data (STATS19) • Each road defined by year as – Inside a 20mph zone – Adjacent to a 20mph zone – Outside 20mph zones
  • 6. 20mph Zones & road casualties
  • 7. Results 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% All casualties Killed and seriously injured (KSI) Child casualties Child KSI casualties
  • 8. Data considerations • Large dataset (6 million rows) – Each stats run took 6 – 10 hours (20 runs) • Accuracy – Collisions not always accurate – lots of checks – During 20 years roads physically changed • Confidentiality – Full road injury dataset confidential – Confidential server too slow to handle size – Data anonymised for use elsewhere
  • 10. GIS and mapping in surveys • Surveys vital part of public health studies • GIS widely used – Planning logistics – Random selection of household – Population estimation methods – Locating house holds for return visits – Mapping results
  • 11. Using imagery • Satellite images increasingly available – Google earth – Commercial images – Commissioned images • Structures visible • On screen digitizing
  • 12. Am Timan town, Chad Stratum 1 Stratum 2 Stratum 3
  • 13. Methods: quadrat survey • Area split into grid – 50 m2 grid defined – Existing city street grid • 15 “quadrats” (blocks) per stratum • Visit each structure • Population = Population density x Area
  • 14. Method: manual structure count • Structures located by eye • Type of structure determined by user – Traditional hut – Non residential building • Grid used to ensure systematic counting • Count checked – Missed features / errors
  • 15. Methods: Population estimation • Using satellite images to estimate population: Population = n structures x n people / structure Manual counts Small structure occupancy survey
  • 16. Methods: random survey • Select & visit random structures • Combine pre-located structures and GPS • Coordinates allow structure to be revisited easily Survey structure
  • 17. Results: Population estimates Stratum Quadrat Survey Imagery Method Manual Count Automated Count 1 14337 12996 12229 (10751 – 19117) (11655 – 14490) (10968 – 13635) 2 16877 16920 16802 (12581 – 22639) (15175 – 18866) (15069 – 18734) 3 25176 16709 16369 (10473 – 60523) (14986 – 18631) (14680 – 18251) Total 49722 46625 45400 (29 431 – 84003) (41817 – 51987) (40718 – 50620)
  • 18. Trial in different areas Location Manual estimate Reference Population Difference Kutupalong 12 058 11 047 +1011 (+9.2%) Breidjing 34 896 26 770 +8126 (+30.4%) Farchana 22 944 19 070 +3874 (+20.3%) Bambu 7637 5871 +1766 (+30.1%) Mugunga III 2986 1969 +1017 (+51.7%) Sherkole 8355 13 958 -5603 (-40.1%) Shimelba 11 994 13 043 -1049 (-8.0%) Champs-de-Mars 12 513 23 214 -10 701 (-46.1%) Delmas 24 20 612 39 349 -18 737 (-47.6%) Kakuma 88 457 90 457 -2000 (-2.2%) Bairro Esturro 8940 9523 -583 (-6.1%)
  • 19. Data considerations • Image data licensed – Images licenses, not allowed to be shared – Named users verses number of users – Getting suitable image within time period an issue – Not all locations have identifiable structures • Confidentiality – Main dataset not confidential – Confidential survey data stored separately • Ethics / Population security – Dangers of mapping at risk populations
  • 21. Don’t forget • Time: How current is data • Preparation: Planning is everything • Disk space • Confidentiality & ethics: storage & publication • Share data wherever possible
  • 22. Tip: Map your data • Check data as it comes in • Explore your data • Use maps at every opportunity