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Social goes mobile
The next game changing evolution
The next game‐changing evolution




                                   Matthew Froggatt
                                    TNS Technology
                                     11 March 2010




                                             © TNS 2010 All rights reserved
© TNS 2010 All rights reserved
2009 was a difficult year, even for mobiles
    2009 was a difficult year even for mobiles




              48                                                    Russia

                                                      32            France

              37                                                    Germany

                                                                    Sweden
                                                                    S eden
                                                      18
           2008                                    2009      2010
            % looking to purchase mobile in next six months
Source GTI 2008/9/10: A15: When looking to make a purchase

                                                                              © TNS 2010 All rights reserved
…but the world does not stand still…
 but the world does not stand still




                                       © TNS 2010 All rights reserved
… and confidence has returned
      and confidence has returned


                                                              69


              48                                                    Russia

                                                      32            France

              37                                              38
                                                                    Germany

                                                                    Sweden
                                                      18
           2008                                    2009      2010
            % looking to purchase mobile in next six months
Source GTI 2008/9/10: A15: When looking to make a purchase

                                                                              © TNS 2010 All rights reserved
Service preferences are shifting to mobile
    Service preferences are shifting to mobile




                                                                       64
                                           53
                47




               2008                       2009                       2010


            % of messages sent by mobile device (Europe)


Source GTI: I6: Proportion of personal messages sent by different technologies

                                                                                 © TNS 2010 All rights reserved
Mobile ecosystem still dominated by “fixed line” brands
    Mobile ecosystem still dominated by  fixed line brands
    Top regional content providers by usage

                                              Europe
                         N America          Google – 22%
                       Facebook– 29%
                                                                       China
                                                                    Baidu–
                                                                    Baidu 13%

                                                                                          Dev Asia
                                                                                        Yahoo! – 22%

                                          M East
                                        Google – 30%
                                                               India
                                                            Yahoo! – 4%         Emerg Asiai
                                                                                Yahoo! – 9%

                        LatAm
                     Google 
                     Google – 15%

                                                Africa
                                             Google – 13%


Source GTI: E2: Use of content brands

                                                                                          © TNS 2010 All rights reserved
The success of social


A world of communities




                         © TNS 2010 All rights reserved
Social networking is a mainstream,
    mass‐market behaviour
                    %      Watched a video clip                                  60
                                   Used Webmail                                  59
                         Used internet banking                              51
                        Used Instant Messenger                              50
                        Uploaded photos online
                        Uploaded photos online                         42
       Manage your social network profile                              40
                 Listened to LIVE radio online                    32
  Left a comment on a story on a website                         27
              Used online office applications               22
     Made a phone call online / Used VOIP                   22
                        Uploaded a video online             20
               Written a news story / article
                                  y/                   15
               Edited/managed own website              15
         Used a personalised music service             14
                Listened / watched a podcast           14
                         Written your own blog         13
               Used a micro‐blogging service      8
                    Subscribed to an RSS feed      8
                             Used an aggregator   6

                                          Activities conducted online in past month (Europe)
Source GWI: Q45: Behavior online

                                                                                               © TNS 2010 All rights reserved
The UK is matching US uptake, but Germany is lagging
    The UK is matching US uptake but Germany is lagging

                    %




                    49                      49
                                    40            42     41          39
                                                                                35
                                                                                          26




                    US             Europe   UK   Spain   Italy   Netherlands   France   Germany


    Managed social network profile in last month
    Managed social network profile in last month
Source GWI: Q45: Behavior online

                                                                                          © TNS 2010 All rights reserved
Why? More contacts
    Why? More contacts
   %




            39                                                                                                                    low (<10)
                                                                                                                                      (   )
                              45
                                                58                60                 55
                                                                                             65        62            63


            32                                                                                                                    med (10‐50)
                                                                                                                                    d (10 50)
                              38
                                                25                24                 33
                                                                                             27        29            28
            30
                              17                17                17                 13                                           high (>50)
                                                                                              9        9              9

         Social             Email          Microblog          Personal         Phone calls   SMS   Friend face      Work
        network                                                 blog                                 to face
                                                                                                     to face       contacts
                                                                                                                 face to face

        Number of people you stay in touch with through following means

Source GWI: Q86: how many people do you stay in touch with via the following means

                                                                                                                            © TNS 2010 All rights reserved
Why? More stuff
    Why? More stuff
   %                       Emailed / sent messages to friends                                              65

               Uploaded and share photos on your profile
               Uploaded and share photos on your profile                                              53

                                 Instant messaged with friends                                     48

                                        Written a status update                                  43

                                                  Watched a video                                43

                                                     Joined a group                           41

                                                     Played a game                          36

                                     Searched for new contacts                              36

                                         Installed an application                      24
                                     Sent a digital present / gift                     24

              Uploaded and shared videos on your profile                           18

                                                     Written a blog               17

                     Joined a group from a musician / artist
                              g   p                 /                            12

                       Online dating on your social network                      12

       Joined a group affiliated / connected with a brand                     11                 Social networking 
                                                   Started a group
                                                   Started a group           7                   activities in past month
                                                                                                 activities in past month

Source GWI: Q69 – which of the following activities have you conducted on your social network service in the past month

                                                                                                                            © TNS 2010 All rights reserved
Why? Choice of interaction level
Why? Choice of interaction level

                        Depth of interaction




   Keeping in contact    Sharing moments       Sharing life




                                                          © TNS 2010 All rights reserved
Social goes mobile
Social goes mobile




                     © TNS 2010 All rights reserved
Social networking through mobile is making headlines
Social networking through mobile is making headlines




                                                  © TNS 2010 All rights reserved
Going mobile


Seamless transition
Mobile social networking is booming
    Mobile social networking is booming




                                                                            18

                                              13




         Europe ‐ 2009              Europe ‐ 2010                   US ‐ 2010

           % of mobile users accessing social networks through mobile
           % of mobile users accessing social networks through mobile

Source GTI: A29: Types of social networking sites visited (modelled data)

                                                                                 © TNS 2010 All rights reserved
Why? Four key developments
Why? Four key developments
Improving user    The growth of    Unlimited data    Industry‐wide 
  interface          “Now”             plans           marketing




                                                          © TNS 2010 All rights reserved
Once adopted, social networking proves sticky
    Once adopted social networking proves sticky




                      35
                                  27
                                            24          23
                                                                    17
                                                                    1          15         15



                 Social         Mobile    Download   Navigation   Download   Download   Download
               networking       banking   TV/video                 music      games       Apps

     % daily service users out of all service users
     % daily service users out of all service users
Source GTI: B1: Service usage

                                                                                           © TNS 2010 All rights reserved
The UK has high adoption…
    The UK has high adoption




                                                                                                          23

              18
                                                                                    16     16
                                  13
                                                                           12
                                                                  10
                                                          8
                                              6



              US                Europe   Netherlands   Germany   France   Sweden   Spain   Italy          UK


     % of all mobile users accessing social networks
     % of all mobile users accessing social networks
Source GTI: B1: Service usage

                                                                                                   © TNS 2010 All rights reserved
… but Europe still trails the US in high depth of use
      but Europe still trails the US in high depth of use




              50

                                                                                            39            41
                                                                                    38
                                 35                            33         35
                                           28       30




              US                Europe   Germany   Italy   Netherlands   France   Sweden   Spain         UK


     % daily social networking users out of all social networking users
     % daily social networking users out of all social networking users
Source GTI: B1: Service usage

                                                                                                   © TNS 2010 All rights reserved
This is a youth movement…
    This is a youth movement


                22
                                   13
                                                  5

            16‐30 yrs           31‐45 yrs       46+ yrs

     % of mobile users accessing social networks through mobile




                                        50
                                                          33
                                                                 17

                                    16‐30 yrs      31‐45 yrs   46+ yrs

     % daily social networking users out of all social networking users
     % daily social networking users out of all social networking users
Source GTI: B1: Service usage

                                                                          © TNS 2010 All rights reserved
… and supplements existing connectivity
      and supplements existing connectivity




                                                                                                                                                                                                              In bed before 
                                                          orning
                                  In bed during 




                                                                                                                                                                        dinner
                                                                                                                                                         ening
                                                                                       Late morning



                                                                                                                  unch




                                                                                                                                                                                            ening
   %




                                                                            ting




                                                                                                                                on



                                                                                                                                            on
                                                                                                          During lu




                                                                                                                                                 Early eve
                                                                                                                         afternoo



                                                                                                                                     afternoo
                                                   Early mo



                                                                       Commut




                                                                                                                                                                 During d
                                  morningg




                                                                                                                                                                                     Late eve
                                                                                                                         Early 




                                                                                                                                                                                                              sleep
                                                                                                                                     Late 
  Music                                14                    13               40                      6             10      11          15                  14                   3             11                  12

  Internet                               5                   13               16                 15                 17      17          15                  17                   4             18                  10

  Games                                  2                         4          24                      6             13      10          11                 15                    3             12                  10

  SMS                                    5                   15               20                 20                 20      22          25                  30                   3             19                    8

  Emails                                 4                   12               13                 17                 13      17          13                 15                    4             13                    5

  IM                                     6                   12                    9                  9             11      15          12                  18                   6             20                    8

  Social 
  Social
                                         5                   14               13                 17                 19      18          14                  18              10                 24                  20
  networking

                                                                                                                         Light use                                                                  Heavy use
  Most popular usage occasions by activity
  Most popular usage occasions by activity
Source GTI: A30: Top three usage occasions for different mobile activities

                                                                                                                                                                                                    © TNS 2010 All rights reserved
The gateway to mass adoption of mobile services?
    The gateway to mass adoption of mobile services?
                                                                                66
                                Download apps
                                                               8
                                                                               63
                       Watching social video
                                                       4
                                                                          52
                  Download location maps
                  Download location maps
                                                           5
                                                                         49
                                Mobile banking
                                                       4
                                                                          53
                              Download music
                                                               8
                                                                    45
                          Navigation services
                                                           5
                                                                         49
                             Download games
                                                           7
                                                                    44               Mobile social
                                          Blogging                                   networkers
                                                                                            k
                                                       2
                                                                   41                Others
                    Downloaded TV / video
                                                       3

% using services
Source GTI: A22: Feature usage & B1: Service usage. 

                                                                                                © TNS 2010 All rights reserved
Social goes Mobile


Wrapping up




                     © TNS 2010 All rights reserved
Takeout

• Mobile is the natural home of social networking
                                                g
   – Handset evolution and payment plans have facilitated adoption
   – Adoption in Europe is fast and “sticky”, led by UK
• Social networking provides supplementary usage occasions
• Social network brands have a major opportunity in mobile
   – As access points
   – As aggregators of services
   – A
     As enablers of new behaviours
           bl     f      b h i




                                                                     © TNS 2010 All rights reserved
Social goes mobile
The next game changing evolution
The next game‐changing evolution




                                   Matthew Froggatt
                                    TNS Technology
                                     11 March 2010




                                             © TNS 2010 All rights reserved

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HKD2 - TNS - Social goes mobile

  • 1. Social goes mobile The next game changing evolution The next game‐changing evolution Matthew Froggatt TNS Technology 11 March 2010 © TNS 2010 All rights reserved
  • 3. 2009 was a difficult year, even for mobiles 2009 was a difficult year even for mobiles 48 Russia 32 France 37 Germany Sweden S eden 18 2008 2009 2010 % looking to purchase mobile in next six months Source GTI 2008/9/10: A15: When looking to make a purchase © TNS 2010 All rights reserved
  • 4. …but the world does not stand still… but the world does not stand still © TNS 2010 All rights reserved
  • 5. … and confidence has returned and confidence has returned 69 48 Russia 32 France 37 38 Germany Sweden 18 2008 2009 2010 % looking to purchase mobile in next six months Source GTI 2008/9/10: A15: When looking to make a purchase © TNS 2010 All rights reserved
  • 6. Service preferences are shifting to mobile Service preferences are shifting to mobile 64 53 47 2008 2009 2010 % of messages sent by mobile device (Europe) Source GTI: I6: Proportion of personal messages sent by different technologies © TNS 2010 All rights reserved
  • 7. Mobile ecosystem still dominated by “fixed line” brands Mobile ecosystem still dominated by  fixed line brands Top regional content providers by usage Europe N America Google – 22% Facebook– 29% China Baidu– Baidu 13% Dev Asia Yahoo! – 22% M East Google – 30% India Yahoo! – 4% Emerg Asiai Yahoo! – 9% LatAm Google  Google – 15% Africa Google – 13% Source GTI: E2: Use of content brands © TNS 2010 All rights reserved
  • 8. The success of social A world of communities © TNS 2010 All rights reserved
  • 9. Social networking is a mainstream, mass‐market behaviour % Watched a video clip 60 Used Webmail 59 Used internet banking 51 Used Instant Messenger 50 Uploaded photos online Uploaded photos online 42 Manage your social network profile 40 Listened to LIVE radio online 32 Left a comment on a story on a website 27 Used online office applications 22 Made a phone call online / Used VOIP 22 Uploaded a video online 20 Written a news story / article y/ 15 Edited/managed own website 15 Used a personalised music service 14 Listened / watched a podcast 14 Written your own blog 13 Used a micro‐blogging service 8 Subscribed to an RSS feed 8 Used an aggregator 6 Activities conducted online in past month (Europe) Source GWI: Q45: Behavior online © TNS 2010 All rights reserved
  • 10. The UK is matching US uptake, but Germany is lagging The UK is matching US uptake but Germany is lagging % 49 49 40 42 41 39 35 26 US Europe UK Spain Italy Netherlands France Germany Managed social network profile in last month Managed social network profile in last month Source GWI: Q45: Behavior online © TNS 2010 All rights reserved
  • 11. Why? More contacts Why? More contacts % 39 low (<10) ( ) 45 58 60 55 65 62 63 32 med (10‐50) d (10 50) 38 25 24 33 27 29 28 30 17 17 17 13 high (>50) 9 9 9 Social Email Microblog Personal Phone calls SMS Friend face Work network blog to face to face contacts face to face Number of people you stay in touch with through following means Source GWI: Q86: how many people do you stay in touch with via the following means © TNS 2010 All rights reserved
  • 12. Why? More stuff Why? More stuff % Emailed / sent messages to friends 65 Uploaded and share photos on your profile Uploaded and share photos on your profile 53 Instant messaged with friends 48 Written a status update 43 Watched a video 43 Joined a group 41 Played a game 36 Searched for new contacts 36 Installed an application 24 Sent a digital present / gift 24 Uploaded and shared videos on your profile 18 Written a blog 17 Joined a group from a musician / artist g p / 12 Online dating on your social network 12 Joined a group affiliated / connected with a brand 11 Social networking  Started a group Started a group 7 activities in past month activities in past month Source GWI: Q69 – which of the following activities have you conducted on your social network service in the past month © TNS 2010 All rights reserved
  • 13. Why? Choice of interaction level Why? Choice of interaction level Depth of interaction Keeping in contact Sharing moments Sharing life © TNS 2010 All rights reserved
  • 14. Social goes mobile Social goes mobile © TNS 2010 All rights reserved
  • 15. Social networking through mobile is making headlines Social networking through mobile is making headlines © TNS 2010 All rights reserved
  • 17. Mobile social networking is booming Mobile social networking is booming 18 13 Europe ‐ 2009 Europe ‐ 2010 US ‐ 2010 % of mobile users accessing social networks through mobile % of mobile users accessing social networks through mobile Source GTI: A29: Types of social networking sites visited (modelled data) © TNS 2010 All rights reserved
  • 18. Why? Four key developments Why? Four key developments Improving user  The growth of  Unlimited data  Industry‐wide  interface “Now” plans marketing © TNS 2010 All rights reserved
  • 19. Once adopted, social networking proves sticky Once adopted social networking proves sticky 35 27 24 23 17 1 15 15 Social Mobile Download Navigation Download Download Download networking banking TV/video music games Apps % daily service users out of all service users % daily service users out of all service users Source GTI: B1: Service usage © TNS 2010 All rights reserved
  • 20. The UK has high adoption… The UK has high adoption 23 18 16 16 13 12 10 8 6 US Europe Netherlands Germany France Sweden Spain Italy UK % of all mobile users accessing social networks % of all mobile users accessing social networks Source GTI: B1: Service usage © TNS 2010 All rights reserved
  • 21. … but Europe still trails the US in high depth of use but Europe still trails the US in high depth of use 50 39 41 38 35 33 35 28 30 US Europe Germany Italy Netherlands France Sweden Spain UK % daily social networking users out of all social networking users % daily social networking users out of all social networking users Source GTI: B1: Service usage © TNS 2010 All rights reserved
  • 22. This is a youth movement… This is a youth movement 22 13 5 16‐30 yrs 31‐45 yrs 46+ yrs % of mobile users accessing social networks through mobile 50 33 17 16‐30 yrs 31‐45 yrs 46+ yrs % daily social networking users out of all social networking users % daily social networking users out of all social networking users Source GTI: B1: Service usage © TNS 2010 All rights reserved
  • 23. … and supplements existing connectivity and supplements existing connectivity In bed before  orning In bed during  dinner ening Late morning unch ening % ting on on During lu Early eve afternoo afternoo Early mo Commut During d morningg Late eve Early  sleep Late  Music 14 13 40 6 10 11 15 14 3 11 12 Internet 5 13 16 15 17 17 15 17 4 18 10 Games 2 4 24 6 13 10 11 15 3 12 10 SMS 5 15 20 20 20 22 25 30 3 19 8 Emails 4 12 13 17 13 17 13 15 4 13 5 IM 6 12 9 9 11 15 12 18 6 20 8 Social  Social 5 14 13 17 19 18 14 18 10 24 20 networking Light use Heavy use Most popular usage occasions by activity Most popular usage occasions by activity Source GTI: A30: Top three usage occasions for different mobile activities © TNS 2010 All rights reserved
  • 24. The gateway to mass adoption of mobile services? The gateway to mass adoption of mobile services? 66 Download apps 8 63 Watching social video 4 52 Download location maps Download location maps 5 49 Mobile banking 4 53 Download music 8 45 Navigation services 5 49 Download games 7 44 Mobile social Blogging networkers k 2 41 Others Downloaded TV / video 3 % using services Source GTI: A22: Feature usage & B1: Service usage.  © TNS 2010 All rights reserved
  • 25. Social goes Mobile Wrapping up © TNS 2010 All rights reserved
  • 26. Takeout • Mobile is the natural home of social networking g – Handset evolution and payment plans have facilitated adoption – Adoption in Europe is fast and “sticky”, led by UK • Social networking provides supplementary usage occasions • Social network brands have a major opportunity in mobile – As access points – As aggregators of services – A As enablers of new behaviours bl f b h i © TNS 2010 All rights reserved
  • 27. Social goes mobile The next game changing evolution The next game‐changing evolution Matthew Froggatt TNS Technology 11 March 2010 © TNS 2010 All rights reserved