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Think Big
But Start Small

     Mike Goguen
   Managing Partner
    Sequoia Capital
Topics

1. Sequoia Capital Snapshot


2. What We Look For In A Startup
SEQUOIA CAPITAL




        • 40 year old Venture Capital firm
        • US, China, India, Israel
        • Seed, Venture, Growth
        • 820+ companies
        • 150+ IPOs, 150+ M&As
Humble Beginnings

Steve & Steve         Trip      Sandy & Len
Humble Beginnings

Jerry & David      Larry & Sergey   Steve   Chad   Jawed
Humble Beginnings
Brian, Joe & Nathan   Reid & Jeff   Drew & Arash
To Household Names




> $500B Market Cap Created
Our Investment Ecosystem

Energy/Cleantech     Alternative, Conventional, Efficiency, Storage


Financial Services   Banking, Brokerage, Payments


Healthcare Services Diagnostics, Drugs, Labs, Patient Care, Product Development


Internet             Advertising, Communications, e-Com, Gaming, Media, Search, Social


Mobile               Apps, Communications, Devices, Gaming, Monetization


Technology           Infrastructure, Data, Open Source, Saas, Security, Semi, Services, Storage
Yesterday
Today
Elements of a Sustainable Company

✔ Clarity of purpose

✔ Spectacular market

✔ Alleviate customer pain


✔ Team DNA

✔ Incredible product focus

✔ Real operating margins

✔ Frugality

✔ Inferno with a single match
What We Look For In A Plan
      1. UNIQUE VALUE PROPOSITION/MARKET POSITIONING
      CLEAR, CONCISE, ABOVE THE NOISE; CUSTOMER
      VALIDATION?
      2. EXPLOSIVE MARKET SECTORS, FULL OF DISCONTINUITIES
      AMBIGUITY AND CONFUSION ARE GOOD. HOW BIG?
      DEFINING? STRUCTURE/ACCESSIBILITY? READINESS?
      DISCONTINUITY—WHAT’S DIFFERENT? VALUE CAPTURE
      POTENTIAL? NO COMPETITION – OFTEN NO MARKET;
      ENTRENCHED PLAYERS: INNOVATOR’S DILEMMA? STARTUPS:
      HOW MANY? OUR TEAM? SOURCES FOR DIFFERENTIATION?
      3. BREAKTHROUGH PRODUCTS/TECHNOLOGY
      SOURCES FOR DEEP SEPARATION AND ADVANTAGE? ORDER
      OF MAGNITUDE? DEGREE OF DIFFICULTY? ADOPTABILITY?
      COMPLETENESS? DEFENSIBILITY?
      4. DEFINING TEAMS
      MAGNET QUALITIES? DOMAIN EXPERTISE? INTENSITY? DNA
      BLEND? SCAR TISSUE?
      5. CAPITAL EFFICIENCY
      WHAT IS THE FULLY FUNDED PLAN? MARGIN? BUSINESS
      MODEL? DIRECT VS INDIRECT? EXPENSE MODEL? REVENUE
      ASSUMPTIONS?
One Revealing Metric: GROSS MARGIN

Sustainable Companies = High Gross Margins (usually > 60%)


High Gross Margins imply:
• Real customer pain
• Differentiated product / strong IP
• Lower cash requirements
• Higher growth potential
• Higher profitability potential
Founder Attributes We Look For

  Very sharp, scrappy, frugal

  Obsessively driven, inquisitive, never satisfied

  Fixated on ―thrilling‖ customers

  Metric focused, always iterating and improving

  Not distracted by ego or title envy

  Not necessarily ―experienced‖
Startups Need Stealth, Speed and Focus
Focus & Alignment

                market pain


                strongest differentiation


                applying the best people


                    taking the most risk
Ups and Downs


     S&P DECLINE 1973 – 74 43%                                    1980 – 82 17%                                                 1987 30%

 1973             1975                 1977           1979            1981               1983              1985            1987
                  ATARI TANDEM                APPLE   AMCC        LINEAR TECH           ORACLE                            CISCO
                                                                    LSI LOGIC          SYMANTEC
                                                                      3COM                EA




                1990 15%                                                                                   1998 15%                  2000-02 44%

 1989                      1991                  1993                   1995                        1997                1999
MICROCHIP                ARBOR                 FLEXTRONCIS              YAHOO!     REDBACK                   PAYPAL                GOOGLE
                      DOCUMENTUM                  NVIDIA                NETAPP                             NETSCREEN              RACKSPACE
                                                   INS




                                                                                    2007 – 08 16%

 2001                        2003                     2005                        2007                     2009                      2011
            GREENDOT        ARUBA      SOURCEFIRE      YOUTUBE    ADMOB       DROPBOX                     UNITY        SQUARE
                             ISILON      ZAPPOS       PALO ALTO   FIREYE        JIVE                   POCKETGEMS      TUMBLR
                           LINKED-IN                    KAYAK                                             BUMP         MONGO
                                                                                                         AIRBNB
Why Are Capital Efficiency & Market Waves
Related?




 Microprocessors   Computers   Hard Drives   Biotech   Internet   Cleantech
Is Your Business Dependant on the
               ―Kindness of Strangers‖?

Government subsidies or (potentially temporary) regulations?

The mass ―belief‖ in a market (before profits)?

The presumed exuberance of later stage investors?

The positive sentiment of the public markets?
Even For “Capital Intensive” Categories

The Likely Winners Will Still Stand Out from the Pack:
• Will use dramatically less capital
• Will use less people
• Will get to market faster
• Will be more profitable


For Startups, the ―Best‖ Technology Doesn’t Always Win
Conclusions

 Think Big…

    market size, ultimate market dominance
    gross margins, operating margins
    value to customers, ultimate value of the company…

But Start Small…

    headcount, burn rate, money required
    singular focus, short time to market, …


If you have the ―right stuff‖, it’s always a great time to start a new
company!
Think Big But Start Small

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Think Big But Start Small

  • 1. Think Big But Start Small Mike Goguen Managing Partner Sequoia Capital
  • 2. Topics 1. Sequoia Capital Snapshot 2. What We Look For In A Startup
  • 3. SEQUOIA CAPITAL • 40 year old Venture Capital firm • US, China, India, Israel • Seed, Venture, Growth • 820+ companies • 150+ IPOs, 150+ M&As
  • 4. Humble Beginnings Steve & Steve Trip Sandy & Len
  • 5. Humble Beginnings Jerry & David Larry & Sergey Steve Chad Jawed
  • 6. Humble Beginnings Brian, Joe & Nathan Reid & Jeff Drew & Arash
  • 7. To Household Names > $500B Market Cap Created
  • 8. Our Investment Ecosystem Energy/Cleantech Alternative, Conventional, Efficiency, Storage Financial Services Banking, Brokerage, Payments Healthcare Services Diagnostics, Drugs, Labs, Patient Care, Product Development Internet Advertising, Communications, e-Com, Gaming, Media, Search, Social Mobile Apps, Communications, Devices, Gaming, Monetization Technology Infrastructure, Data, Open Source, Saas, Security, Semi, Services, Storage
  • 10. Today
  • 11. Elements of a Sustainable Company ✔ Clarity of purpose ✔ Spectacular market ✔ Alleviate customer pain ✔ Team DNA ✔ Incredible product focus ✔ Real operating margins ✔ Frugality ✔ Inferno with a single match
  • 12. What We Look For In A Plan 1. UNIQUE VALUE PROPOSITION/MARKET POSITIONING CLEAR, CONCISE, ABOVE THE NOISE; CUSTOMER VALIDATION? 2. EXPLOSIVE MARKET SECTORS, FULL OF DISCONTINUITIES AMBIGUITY AND CONFUSION ARE GOOD. HOW BIG? DEFINING? STRUCTURE/ACCESSIBILITY? READINESS? DISCONTINUITY—WHAT’S DIFFERENT? VALUE CAPTURE POTENTIAL? NO COMPETITION – OFTEN NO MARKET; ENTRENCHED PLAYERS: INNOVATOR’S DILEMMA? STARTUPS: HOW MANY? OUR TEAM? SOURCES FOR DIFFERENTIATION? 3. BREAKTHROUGH PRODUCTS/TECHNOLOGY SOURCES FOR DEEP SEPARATION AND ADVANTAGE? ORDER OF MAGNITUDE? DEGREE OF DIFFICULTY? ADOPTABILITY? COMPLETENESS? DEFENSIBILITY? 4. DEFINING TEAMS MAGNET QUALITIES? DOMAIN EXPERTISE? INTENSITY? DNA BLEND? SCAR TISSUE? 5. CAPITAL EFFICIENCY WHAT IS THE FULLY FUNDED PLAN? MARGIN? BUSINESS MODEL? DIRECT VS INDIRECT? EXPENSE MODEL? REVENUE ASSUMPTIONS?
  • 13. One Revealing Metric: GROSS MARGIN Sustainable Companies = High Gross Margins (usually > 60%) High Gross Margins imply: • Real customer pain • Differentiated product / strong IP • Lower cash requirements • Higher growth potential • Higher profitability potential
  • 14. Founder Attributes We Look For Very sharp, scrappy, frugal Obsessively driven, inquisitive, never satisfied Fixated on ―thrilling‖ customers Metric focused, always iterating and improving Not distracted by ego or title envy Not necessarily ―experienced‖
  • 15. Startups Need Stealth, Speed and Focus
  • 16. Focus & Alignment market pain strongest differentiation applying the best people taking the most risk
  • 17. Ups and Downs S&P DECLINE 1973 – 74 43% 1980 – 82 17% 1987 30% 1973 1975 1977 1979 1981 1983 1985 1987 ATARI TANDEM APPLE AMCC LINEAR TECH ORACLE CISCO LSI LOGIC SYMANTEC 3COM EA 1990 15% 1998 15% 2000-02 44% 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 MICROCHIP ARBOR FLEXTRONCIS YAHOO! REDBACK PAYPAL GOOGLE DOCUMENTUM NVIDIA NETAPP NETSCREEN RACKSPACE INS 2007 – 08 16% 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 GREENDOT ARUBA SOURCEFIRE YOUTUBE ADMOB DROPBOX UNITY SQUARE ISILON ZAPPOS PALO ALTO FIREYE JIVE POCKETGEMS TUMBLR LINKED-IN KAYAK BUMP MONGO AIRBNB
  • 18. Why Are Capital Efficiency & Market Waves Related? Microprocessors Computers Hard Drives Biotech Internet Cleantech
  • 19. Is Your Business Dependant on the ―Kindness of Strangers‖? Government subsidies or (potentially temporary) regulations? The mass ―belief‖ in a market (before profits)? The presumed exuberance of later stage investors? The positive sentiment of the public markets?
  • 20. Even For “Capital Intensive” Categories The Likely Winners Will Still Stand Out from the Pack: • Will use dramatically less capital • Will use less people • Will get to market faster • Will be more profitable For Startups, the ―Best‖ Technology Doesn’t Always Win
  • 21. Conclusions  Think Big… market size, ultimate market dominance gross margins, operating margins value to customers, ultimate value of the company… But Start Small… headcount, burn rate, money required singular focus, short time to market, … If you have the ―right stuff‖, it’s always a great time to start a new company!