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The new global security landscape
10 Recommendations
from the 2010 Security Jam




4,000 participants 10,000 logins 124 countries 5 days
Foreword

                                     Our thanks to all the SDA’s partners in the Security Jam*, not least the European Commission and NATO, for making possible this
                                     extraordinary exercise in global dialogue. There are a number of individuals without whose encouragements and active support the
                                     Security Jam would not have been possible. We would particularly like to thank Jean-François Bureau (Assistant Secretary General
                                     for Public Diplomacy) and Jamie Shea (Director for Policy & Planning in the Secretary General’s Office) of NATO; Lars-Gunnar
                                     Wigemark (Head of Unit for Security Policy) and David Ringrose (Head of Unit for Information and Communication) of DG RELEX
                                     in the European Commission; Veronika Wand-Danielsson (Swedish Ambassador to NATO); Mike Ryan (Defence Advisor at the US
                                     Mission to the EU); Kate Byrnes (Public Affairs Advisor at the US Mission to NATO) as well as Leendert Van Bochoven (NATO and
Giles Merritt                        European Defence Leader) and John Reiners (Senior Managing Consultant) of IBM.
Director
Security & Defence Agenda


                                     This online project took an innovative approach to engaging stakeholders from all walks of life and getting fresh and realistic ideas
                                     about our security onto the table.


                                     The potential of new technology to bring together thousands of voices beyond those of the ‘usual suspects’ reinforced our belief
                                     in this sort of worldwide debate. At a critical time for strategic thinking by the EU and NATO, this report’s recommendations offer
                                     food for thought.


                                     The Security Jam has shown us that the modern security community is far from being populated only by defence experts and
                                     the military. The five day online brainstorm embracing 124 countries saw contributions from a wide spectrum of the international
Geert Cami
Co-Founder & Director                community.
Security & Defence Agenda


                                     The message we took away from the Jam was that modern security is too important to be left in the hands of the specialists.
                                     We need a more inclusive security dialogue, and we must also make greater civil-military cooperation a reality.


                                     The recommendations in this report have this end in mind.


                                     We very much hope that these recommendations will inspire political leaders to make closer international security cooperation a reality.




                                     Giles Merritt                                  Geert Cami




                 * Security Jam partnerS:
                  European Commission                                 NATO                                                   IBM
                  Chatham House                                       The Atlantic Council of the United States              Munich Security Conference
                  Global Humanitarian Forum (GHF)                     Open Society Institute (OSI)                           Stockholm International Peace Research
                  Carnegie Endowment for International Peace          Barcelona Centre for International Studies             Institute (SIPRI)
                  Bertelsmann Stiftung                                (CIDOB)                                                Fondation pour la recherche stratégique
                                                                      Geneva Centre for Security Policy (GCSP)               (FRS)
                  Europe’s World
                                                                      US Mission to NATO                                     Friends of Europe
                  Thales
                                                                      Swedish Defence Research Agency (FOI)                  Ministry of Defence France
Table of Contents




                         Summary	                                                                                                                                    5

                         The	recommendations	at	a	glance	                                                                                                            7

                         	      I.		Why	the	Jam	matters	                                                                                                             8

                         	      II.	The	Security	Jam’s	main	recommendations	                                                                                       10

                         	      III.	Dealing	with	a	fragmented	world	                                                                                              30


                         Annex	                                                                                                                                    50

                         Participants	of	the	2010	Security	Jam	included…	                                                                                          50

                         Security	Jam	2010	Hosts	                                                                                                                  51

                         Security	Jam	2010	Facilitators	                                                                                                           52




                                                                                                                                                           Disclaimer
                                                                            This	report	offers	an	independent	analysis	of	the	Security	Jam	for	which	only	the	authors	
A	Security	&	Defence	Agenda	Report                                      and	the	SDA	can	take	full	responsibility.	The	views	expressed	in	this	report	by	individuals	are	
Authors:	Jonathan	Holslag	and	David	Henry	Doyle                         personal	opinions	and	not	necessarily	the	views	of	the	organisation	they	represent,	nor	of	the	
Publisher:	Geert	Cami                                                                                           Security	&	Defence	Agenda,	its	members	or	partners.
Project	Managers:	Jessica	Henderson	and	Pauline	Massart
                                                                            Reproduction	in	whole	or	in	part	is	permitted,	providing	that	full	attribution	is	made	to	the	
Design	&	Layout:	Tipik	Communication	Agency                                 Security	&	Defence	Agenda	and	to	the	source(s)	in	question,	and	provided	that	any	such	
Year	of	publication:	2010                                                      reproduction,	whether	in	full	or	in	part,	is	not	sold	unless	incorporated	in	other	works.




                                                                                                                                    The new global security landscape        3
Preface



                                        The Security Jam has proven to be an inclusive dialogue about security in its broadest sense.
                                        This kind of dialogue addresses the security concerns of stakeholders around the world.


                                        Since their introduction at IBM in 2001, online Jams have taken wings as a new form of collaborative innovation.
                                        The economic crisis has also increased demand for new ways to reach out to stakeholders.


                                        The Jam approach to the security domain was an experiment in itself. It was remarkable to note how
                                        quickly military leaders embraced this approach and used the Jam to present their points of view.
                                        Other Jam participants made it clear that delivering security goes far beyond traditional military means.


                                        The lively debate in the Jam forums illustrates how interconnected our planet has become.
                                        This interconnectedness affects organisational and institutional boundaries and our conception
                                        of who we are and how we relate to one another. No greater symbol of this interconnectedness
                                        could have been that both EU and NATO supported this Security Jam. But the full measure
                                        of the Jam’s success will be whether we can look back in a few years to see the realisation
                                        and implementation of smart ideas that emerged from it.


                                        The goal of the Jam was not to write policy for any particular organisation; it was to generate
                                        as many new ideas as possible and to build on the creative synergies of many minds focused
                                        on a single topic. Now the mission is to take these ideas and integrate them into the institutions’
                                        policy discussions in the hopes that they will help to make this a better, safer, more secure planet for all.



                                        Leendert van Bochoven
                                        IBM
                                        NATO and European Defence Leader
                                        Office of the Chairman, EMEA




    3815 registered participants • 124 countries • 3,954 posts • 10,000 logins • explorer
4   The new global security landscape
Summary



               The	online	Security	Jam’s	goal	has	been	to	bring	together	          Building	on	the	Jam	discussions,	the	final	section	of	this	
               actors	 across	 the	 entire	 spectrum	 of	 the	 international	   report	offers	an	overview	of	the	evolving	security	landscape.	
               community	to	brainstorm	on	the	changing	nature	of	the	           This	reflects	the	uncertainty	expressed	in	many	of	the	
               21st	century	security	landscape.	The	overarching	question	       Jam	discussions	that	hybrid	threats	and	fragile	powers	
               was	‘how	can	international	actors	and	institutions	respond	      will	probably	make	the	world	a	more	unpredictable	place.	
               to	new	security	challenges?’                                     The	clear	message	from	the	Jam	is	that	better	strategic	
                                                                                planning	and	a	comprehensive	approach	to	security	will	
                  Held	over	five	days,	the	Security	Jam	proved	itself	a	        be	imperative	if	the	EU	and	NATO	are	to	maintain	stability	
               catalyst	for	creative	thinking	by	experts,	NGOs,	national	       in	their	neighbourhood	and	to	build	bridges	with	other	
               government	decision	makers	and	international	institutions,	      protagonists	like	China,	Russia,	India	and	Brazil.	
               industry	representatives,	soldiers,	journalists,	scholars	and	
               opinion	leaders.	Ten	forums	took	stock	of	different	security	       The	emerging	multipolar	order	is	composed	of	fragile	
               challenges	and	produced	dozens	of	innovative	ideas	for	          powers	and	will	be	even	less	stable	than	in	the	two	decades	
               improving	security	policies.	                                    since	the	fall	of	the	Berlin	Wall.	But	interdependence	will	
                                                                                not	automatically	produce	cooperation	–	not	even	within	
                  The	main	theme	discussed	by	the	3,815	participants	           the	EU	or	NATO.	The	shifting	balance	of	power	will	create	
               from	124	countries	during	the	online	Jam	was	how	can	            uncertainty,	and	in	the	current	climate	of	economic	insecurity	
               the	EU	and	NATO	work	together	to	protect	our	security	           could	lead	to	fiercer	resource	competition.	The	proposals	
               interests	in	today’s	rapidly	changing	world	order?	With	         contained	in	this	report	are	therefore	intended	to	help	the	
               the	EU	getting	to	grips	with	the	changes	wrought	by	the	         EU	and	NATO	maintain	peace	and	security	in	our	globalised	
               Lisbon	Treaty	and	NATO	on	the	verge	of	launching	its	new	        but	politically	fragmented	world.
               Strategic	Concept	it	was	unsurprising	that	EU	and	NATO	
               collaboration	was	by	far	and	away	the	most	discussed	               The	main	challenge	for	the	EU	and	NATO	will	be	to	
               theme	in	the	Jam.	Almost	10	per	cent	of	all	posts	across	        improve	internal	coherence	and	to	create	a	safer	periphery.	
               forums	centred	on	this	key	issue.	                               Second,	the	objective	should	be	to	develop	a	new	security	
                                                                                consensus	with	other	major	players.	However,	security	
                  This	report	presents	a	shortlist	of	the	10	most	pertinent	    in	today’s	increasingly	fragmented	world	requires	the	EU	
               recommendations	with	a	brief	snapshot	of	the	relevance	          and	NATO	to	overcome	their	internal	divisions.	Practical	
               of	the	Security	Jam	as	a	communication	tool.	The	report	         proactive	steps	are	required	to	achieve	this	and	to	avoid	
               then	 provides	 a	 more	 detailed	 look	 at	 each	 of	 these	    a	divergence	between	capabilities	and	the	threats	of	the	
               recommendations	in	the	context	of	their	development	in	          new	security	landscape.
               the	Security	Jam.	




alain Hubert logged into tHe Jam live from princess elisabetH station in antarctica •
                                                                                                                    The new global security landscape   5
61.8% of Jammers Had over 5 years experience in tHe security or development fields
6   The new global security landscape
The recommendations at a glance


              10 key recommendations
              synthesised from the online
              discussions*:
              1.		 NATO	should	develop	a	civilian	wing	to	prepare,	coordinate	and	cooperate	with	civilian	actors	
                 		
                     at	various	stages	of	operations	                                                                                                          11


              2.		 The	UN	should	secure	agreement	on	UN	Millennium	Security	Goals	comparable	to	the	Millennium	
                   	
                     Development	Goals	and	based	on	the	concept	of	human	security	                                                                             13


              3.		 Expand	both	EU	and	NATO	regional	security	through	mutual	assistance	agreements	
                   	
                     on	non-conventional	threats	with	neighbouring	states	to	build	mutual	trust	                                                               15


              4.		   C
                     	 reate	a	European	Intelligence	Agency	as	an	information	broker	for	complex	and	hybrid	threats	                                           17


              5.		   I
                     	mprove	the	EU’s	internal	public	diplomacy	and	use	new	media	to	consult	European	
                     experts	and	citizens	on	security	threats	and	policies	                                                                                   19


              6.		   C
                     	 reate	a	European	Security	Academy	where	EU	civilian	and	military	staff	
                     and	other	international	actors	can	learn	to	work	together	in	the	field	                                                                  21


              7.		   E
                     	 stablish	a	combined	EU-NATO	Wisemen's	group	made	up	of	independent	personalities	
                     to	evaluate	capability	planning	and	build	public	support	for	cross-border	cooperation	                                                   23


              8.		   E
                     	 stablish	an	EU	scarce	natural	resources	inventory	with	a	mandate	to	protect	them	
                     for	future	generations		                                                                                                                 25


              9.		   P
                     	 ublish	a	joint	EU-NATO	quarterly	publication	where	senior	officials	from	both	organisations	
                     can	highlight	new	collaboration	efforts	between	the	two	players	                                                                         27


              1 E
              	 0.		 stablish	an	International	Crisis	Preparedness	Fund	to	harness	media	spotlight	on	today’s	
                      current	crises	by	collecting	5%	of	all	donations	to	prepare	for	future	disasters	                                                       29




              *	These	recommendations	have	been	selected	on	the	basis	of	their	degree	of	innovation	and	pragmatism.	They	were	not	voted	on.




and 47.1% Had over 10 years experience • in a Jam poll 62% felt tHat tHe european
                                                                                                                                 The new global security landscape   7
I. Why the Jam matters



                                                   	     With	3,815	registered	participants	from	124	countries	the	
                                                         Security	Jam	was	an	unprecedented	global	forum	to	debate	
                                                         the	changing	international	security	landscape.	Through	the	
                                        “ The Security
                                                         power	of	the	web	the	collective	brainpower	of	these	experts	
     Jam has done something that
                                                         was	tapped	in	order	to	gauge	the	consequences	for	the	
      NATO's Group of Experts has
                                                         EU	and	NATO	and	to	develop	future	policies	and	initiatives	
     not adequately done: to reach
                                                         to	address	the	new	challenges	we	face.
         out to people, beyond those
               of us who are the ‘ usual                    However,	the	Jam	was	not	simply	a	barometer	of	experts	
            suspects ’ , many of which                   and	practitioners’	views	on	the	evolution	of	global	security.	
         have truly original ideas and                   More	importantly,	it	was	an	invaluable	source	of	fresh	ideas	
      a range of analysis that goes                      and	an	innovative	method	of	opening	up	communication	
         to the heart of today's and                     channels	between	actors	in	order	to	build	trust.	
       tomorrow's security issues. ”
                                        Robert Hunter,      By	allowing	participants	across	different	organisations	
                                  RAND Corporation and   to	think	outside	of	the	box	and	interact	directly	with	actors	
                          former US Ambassador to NATO
                                                         they	might	not	otherwise	engage	with,	this	online	Jam	was	
                                                         the	perfect	platform	for	creative	brainstorming	and	critical	
                                                         reflection	on	policies,	roles,	working	methods	and	cultures.	




    defence agency is not a force to be reckoned witH • 192 representatives from tHe
8   The new global security landscape
Breaking down barriers



               Co-organised	by	12	leading	international	think	tanks,	the	           The	Jam	was	divided	into	10	forums:
               Jam	attracted	a	representative	sample	of	the	established	                 	Political	Context
               security	community	with	the	added	value	of	being	open	to	                 	Capabilities	and	Budgets
               actors	who	are	not	always	included	in	the	security	equation.	             	Crisis	Preparedness
               Experts	from	universities	and	think	tanks	formed	the	largest	             	Development
               section	of	participants.	However,	officials	from	national	                	Security	&	Human	Rights
               governments,	European	and	international	institutions	were	                	Environmental	Security
               also	well	represented,	making	up	28%	of	the	overall	Jam	                  	Comprehensive	Approach	
               population.	Military	figures	and	NGOs	made	up	just	over	                  	Rising	powers
               5%	and	6%	respectively	with	business	representing	14%.	                   	Piracy	(case	study)
               There	was	also	a	striking	balance	between	different	age	                  	Afghanistan	(case	study)
               groups.	About	40%	of	participants	were	between	18	and	
               35	years,	43%	between	36	and	55	years,	and	another	17%	              A	team	of	26	online	hosts	–	all	leading	experts	or	decision-
               55	years	or	more.	                                                makers	–	coached	the	debates	in	real-time	supported	by	
                                                                                 75	facilitators	(see	annex	for	full	list).	Complex	issues	were	
                  The	 Jam	 also	 benefited	 from	 the	 participation	 of	 a	    discussed	in	threads,	often	moving	from	lively	debates	
               large	number	of	people	with	direct	experience	of	recent	          about	current	challenges	and	lessons	learned	to	practical	
               deployment	around	the	world,	including	combat	operations,	        proposals	for	solutions.	
               stabilisation	 operations	 and	 disaster	 relief	 missions	 as	
               well	as	input	from	over	50	VIPs	from	the	political,	military,	       As	both	the	EU	and	NATO	are	going	through	an	important	
               diplomatic	and	business	worlds	(see	annex	for	full	list).	        transition,	the	main	aim	of	this	exercise	is	to	provide	fresh	
               With	57%	of	participants	having	over	5	years	experience	          ideas	for	developing	more	effective	security	strategies	and	
               in	security,	defence	or	development	issues	the	debates	           building	synergies	between	these	two	institutions	which	
               were	of	a	high	level.	                                            although	located	in	the	same	city	often	seem	to	exist	on	
                                                                                 different	planets	when	it	comes	to	policy	making.	The	
                  The	 online	 debate	 generated	 some	 4,000	 written	          ten	recommendations	which	headline	this	report	were	
               contributions,	most	of	which	focused	on	solutions	to	very	        therefore	selected	on	the	basis	of	their	innovativeness,	their	
               specific	challenges	such	as	coordination	between	the	EU	          practicality	and	because	they	tackle	issues	most	discussed	
               and	NATO	(360	posts),	a	better	use	of	civilian	and	military	      in	the	Jam	forums.
               capabilities	(238	posts),	a	strategy	for	the	stabilisation	of	
               Afghanistan	 (144	 posts)	 and	 the	 options	 for	 improving	
               relations	 with	 Russia	 (129	 posts).	 Other	 issues	 which	
               attracted	a	great	deal	of	attention	were	the	concept	of	
               human	security	(135	posts),	the	rise	of	China	(128	posts)	
               and	human	rights	(120	posts).




military, including 6 generals and 5 admirals • Just under 10% of all posts in tHe
                                                                                                                    The new global security landscape   9
II. The Security Jam’s
                   10 main recommendations




                                   “ In Afghanistan,
          we have major problems to
              find policemen, agricultural
     advisors and judges and when
         we do, they are expensive. ”
                                             Jamie Shea,
      Director for Policy & Planning, Private Office of the
                                Secretary General, NATO




        How can tHe eU and nato address new secUrity cHallenges in a rapidly cHanging world order?
        Across the Jam forums there was a strong consensus that threats will be increasingly hybrid and that the EU and
        NATO should therefore invest in hybrid strategies. The overall consensus in the Jam was that this requires an effective
        combination of civilian and military instruments.
        The EU and NATO can only succeed if they gain wider support at home. Given the complicated nature of new threats,
        awareness and legitimacy will be vital in developing a solid security strategy for this century.


     Jam centred around eu-nato collaboration • 18 asian countries represented in tHe
10   The new global security landscape
1.
                   NATO	should	develop	a	civilian	wing	to	
                   prepare,	coordinate	and	cooperate	with	
                   civilian	actors	at	various	stages	of	operations


                   NATO	should	have	a	civilian	wing	responsible	for	preparing	         Institute	for	National	Strategic	Studies	stressed	the	need	for	
                   the	 civilian	 dimension	 of	 operations,	 coordinating	            NATO	and	the	EU	to	develop	a	new	framework	for	consulting	
                   cooperation	 with	 civilian	 actors,	 briefing	 military	 units	    and	coordinating	the	non-military	aspects	of	security.	An	
                   and	evaluating	needs	as	they	arise	on	the	ground.	This	             important	objective	of	the	wing	should	be	to	stimulate	
                   needs	to	be	a	small	permanent	unit	located	at	NATO’s	               creative	thinking	between	civilian	and	military	stakeholders.	
                   operational	headquarters	–	combining	military	officers,	            It	should	give	NGOs,	for	example,	the	possibility	to	express	
                   civilians	with	operational	experience	and	experts	–	which	          their	expectations	.	At	the	same	time,	Bertelsmann	Stiftung’s	
                   can	be	expanded	in	case	of	new	operations.	                         Josef	Janning	maintained	that:	“Rather	than	integrating	the	
                                                                                       civil	side	of	order	building	into	military	planning,	it	would	help	
                      Jam	 participants	 stressed	 that	 interventions	 in	 the	       to	broaden	the	view	of	military	planners	and	commanders	
                   Balkans,	Afghanistan	and	Iraq	revealed	the	same	problem	            to	issues	beyond	their	own	immediate	tasks.	Knowing	
                   time	after	time:	military	progress	is	hard	to	achieve	without	      about	the	civilian	agenda	early	will	be	of	added	value	for	
                                             a	 civilian	 strategy.	 Due	 to	 their	   operations.”
                                               sheer	size	and	solid	command	
                                               structures,	 armies	 always	               The	civilian	wing	also	needs	to	play	a	role	in	operational	
               “ We should have                tend	 to	 overshadow	 civilian	         planning.	It	should	map	the	humanitarian	assistance	space	

    a cell at SHAPE, the NATO
                                               actors.	 As	 there	 is	 simply	 no	     in	conflict	zones	as	well	as	the	development	and	diplomatic	
                                               civilian	equivalent	to	a	military	      realms.	Shuja	Nawaz	of	the	Atlantic	Council	suggested	
         operational HQ, that is
                                               division	 the	 capabilities	 of	        “collecting	the	best	civilian	minds	to	help	fathom	many	of	
     focused specifically on the
                                               NGOs	 and	 governments	 are	            the	non-military	issues	that	affect	military	planning	and	
      comprehensive approach,
                                               often	 fragmented.	 As	 NATO’s	         operations.”	NATO	could	even	consider	forward	civilian	
largely manned by civilians with
                                               Jamie	 Shea	 highlighted:	 “In	         operations.	Before	the	military	intervention,	civilian	experts	
    experience in disasters and                Afghanistan,	 we	 have	 major	          would	start	collecting	information	about	humanitarian	needs	
               reconstruction. ”               problems	 to	 find	 policemen,	         and	possible	economic	consequences	of	the	use	of	force.	
               Admiral James Stavridis,        agricultural	advisors	and	judges	       The	wing	could	process	this	information	and	make	sure	
                              SACEUR           and	 when	 we	 do,	 they	 are	          that	these	concerns	are	taken	into	account	in	the	military	
                                               expensive.”	 The	 NATO	 civilian	       planning.	
                                              wing	should	help	bringing	these	
                   actors	in	step	and	avoid	hindsight	learning	by	developing	             Once	an	operation	begins,	the	wing	would	coordinate	
                   an	institutional	memory.	The	objective	should	not	be	to	            interaction	between	the	battle	zone	and	the	international	
                   duplicate	but	to	coordinate.                                        community,	responding	to	needs	by	sourcing	additional	
                                                                                       capabilities	from	its	networks.	King’s	College	London’s	
                      During	peacetime,	the	civilian	wing’s	main	task	will	be	         Karolina	MacLachlan	argued	that	a	civilian	wing	could	also	
                   to	trace	possible	partners	outside	the	military	realm.	Jam	         help	overcome	communication	problems	towards	local	
                   participants	proposed	that	it	should	act	as	an	interface	with	      populations	and	international	audiences.	
                   NGOs,	the	UN	and	other	governments.	Stanley	Sloan	of	the	




security Jam • saceur admiral James stavridis at one point took part from 33,000
                                                                                                                            The new global security landscape   11
“ Without some
           sense of solidarity between
                   actors and receivers of
        security action, there is little
         prospect of cooperation that
                 can succeed in terms of
           change in the target area. ”
                                Phillip Shetler-Jones,
     Former Royal Marines Officer and PhD candidate at
                                 University of Sheffield




     feet en route to a nato ministerial meeting • in a Jam poll 56% believed tHe eu is not
12   The new global security landscape
2.
               The	UN	should	secure	agreement	on	UN	
               Millennium	Security	Goals	comparable	to	the	
               Millennium	Development	Goals	and	based	
               on	the	concept	of	human	security
               States	cannot	stop	new	threats	at	their	borders,	but	states	         This	requires	the	EU	having	an	open	discussion	with	other	
               often	do	stop	security	cooperation	across	borders.	Many	             protagonists	like	the	US,	Brazil,	China,	India	and	Russia	
               modern	 security	 threats	 do	 not	 discriminate	 between	           about	how	good	governance	can	be	promoted.	These	
               nations.	Yet,	diverging	political	values	and	distrust	among	         countries	understand	that	promoting	good	governance	
               states	complicate	a	global	consensus	on	how	to	tackle	               is	also	in	their	own	interest,	but	a	consensus	needs	to	be	
               them.	As	China’s	Ambassador	Song	Zhe	argued	in	the	                  reached	about	the	instruments	to	do	so.	
               Jam,	 there	 is	 an	 increasing	 number	 of	 non-traditional	
               security	challenges,	but	traditional	security	threats	have	             Jam	 participants	 also	 urged	 consensus	 on	 the	
               not	disappeared.	                                                    responsibility to protect.	For	emerging	powers,	
                                                                                    state	 consent	 remains	 a	 prerequisite	 for	 intervention.	
                  The	EU	and	NATO	should	therefore	take	the	lead	in	                However,	 these	 states	 are	 starting	 to	 realise	 that	 their	
               engaging	other	countries	to	develop	millennium	security	             growing	overseas	presence	increasingly	leads	to	situations	
               goals	centred	on	human security.	Anne	Marie	Slaughter	               in	which	the	protection	of	their	own	interests	becomes	
               of	the	US	State	Department	outlined	this	need	clearly	in	            inseparable	from	protecting	the	security	of	local	populations.	
               her	proposal	for	a	new	security	concept,	“We	have	to	be	             The	European	Union	should	try	to	reach	an	agreement	on	
               able	to	think	about	security	threats	not	only	in	terms	of	           the	conditions	of	humanitarian	interventions	and	at	the	same	
               what	imperils	governments	or	populations	as	a	whole,	                time	to	commit	itself	to	making	a	credible	contribution	to	
               but	also	what	imperils	individuals	in	their	day	to	day	lives.”	      such	operations.	
               Agreement	on	Millennium	Security	Goals	could	help	foster	
               cooperation	by	‘acting	as	a	link	to	join	peoples	in	countries	          All	major	powers	have	been	involved	in	humanitarian	
               with	capacity	(e.g.	EU	members,	NATO	allies)	with	those	             or	peacekeeping	operations	in	the	last	few	years.	In	one	
               in	areas	enjoying	less	security’	says	Phillip	Shetler-Jones	         of	the	forums,	Lars-Gunnar	Wigemark,	the	Head	of	the	
               who	pitched	the	idea	in	the	Jam.	What	we	need	are	not	               Commission’s	Security	Policy	Unit,	referred	to	the	recent	
               ‘definitions	for	the	sake	of	definitions,	but	definitions	for	the	   operation	in	Chad	as	a	good	example	of	maintaining	security	
               purpose	of	cooperation’.                                             around	refugee	camps	while	the	European	Commission	
                                                                                    provided	financing	for	the	training	of	Chadian	police	forces	
                  good governance	should	be	the	first	priority.	States	             inside	the	internally	displaced	person	camps.	However,	
               must	serve	their	nation,	not	the	other	way	around.	Anita	            countries	like	China	and	India	have	also	started	to	combine	
               Inder	 Singh,	 a	 professor	 at	 the	 Centre	 for	 Peace	 and	       civilian	and	military	instruments	for	improving	security	in	
               Conflict	Resolution	in	New	Delhi,	was	just	one	of	many	              African	conflict	states.	The	new	EEAS	should	organise	
               contributors	to	assert	that	developing	countries	deserve	            workshops	to	discuss	lessons learned	and	to	deduce	
               the	support	of	the	international	community	to	meet	the	              best	 practices	 that	 could	 serve	 as	 guidelines	 for	 the	
               needs	of	their	people	by	dealing	with	issues	like	insecurity,	       Millennium	Security	Goals.	
               endemic	corruption	and	the	lack	of	basic	social	services.	




a credible security actor • un special representative kai eide logged in live from
                                                                                                                        The new global security landscape   13
“                                                   „
                         Interdependence between nations is perhaps greater than at
                                   any other time in our history

     kabul • in a Jam poll 65% believed tHat tHe security of eu and us citizens is at stake in
14   The new global security landscape
3.
                Expand	both	EU	and	NATO	regional	security	
                through	mutual	assistance	agreements	on	
                non-conventional	threats	with	neighbouring	
                states	to	build	mutual	trust
                The	EU	and	NATO	should	conceive	their	security	policies	in	        sanction	by	expulsion.	This	will	confront	the	spoiler	with	
                ways	that	are	not	threatening	to	other	powers.	They	could	         both	 increased	 traditional	 and	 non-traditional	 security	
                conclude	agreements	with	non-members	on	our	periphery	             risks.	Other	countries	will	then	balance	against	the	spoiler's	
                that	 guarantee      mutual assistance	against	non-                security	ambitions,	and	it	will	have	to	bear	the	entire	cost	
                conventional	threats	like	large-scale	terrorist	attacks,	forest	   of	protecting	its	domestic	and	foreign	interests,	instead	of	
                fires	or	nuclear	disaster.	The	non-member	signatory	would	         sharing	the	burden.	
                be	responsible	for	making	the	call	to	activate	a	clause	of	
                mutual	assistance,	not	against	war,	but	against	other	threats	        The	concept	of	 mutually        assured protection	
                that	might	overwhelm	that	country's	ability	to	guarantee	          is	thus	highly	relevant	for	the	EU	and	NATO	to	maintain	
                stability	and	contain	the	crisis.                                  stability	on	their	periphery.	At	least	as	important	is	that	
                                                                                   inclusive	security	strategies	are	a	realistic	option	to	coax	
                   With	powers	beyond	our	immediate	neighbourhood	the	             rising	powers	into	constructive	synergies.	Brazil,	China	and	
                EU	and	NATO	have	to	develop	synergies	to	address	specific	         India	have	become	more	willing	to	protect	their	overseas	
                challenges	in	specific	regions.	For	example,	protecting	sea	       interests.	These	countries	are	now	starting	to	develop	
                lanes	around	Africa,	securing	pipelines	in	Central	Asia	and	       diplomatic	 and	 military	 instruments	 to	 do	 so.	 Whether	
                combating	drugs	smuggling	from	the	Golden	Triangle.	These	         it	concerns	the	reconstruction	of	Afghanistan,	bringing	
                security	arrangements	can	even	be	developed	in	the	framework	      peace	to	Africa	or	combating	pirates	at	sea,	developing	
                of	other	regional	organisations	like	the	African	Union.	           and	 maintaining	 pragmatic	 collaboration	 between	 the	
                                                                                   international	protagonists	will	be	indispensible.	
                   One	jammer	provocatively	described	the	difference	
                between	 Defence	 and	 Security	 as	 being	 between	                  “Global	success	in	this	turbulent	century	will	depend	on	
                strengthening	the	castle	walls	and	marrying	ones	children	         our	collective	ability	to	be	like	Wikipedia	-	all	contributing	
                to	key	neighbours:	“The	idea	of	reinforcing	the	degree	of	         knowledge	and	experience,	access	to	a	connected	global	
                interdependence	that	underpins	that	thought	strikes	me	            set	 of	 actors,	 and	 creative	 application	 of	 resources,”	
                as	key	to	understanding	how	we	build	security	in	the	21st	         summarised	 Admiral	 James	 Stavridis.	 But	 many	 other	
                century;	a	time	when	interdependence	between	nations	              Jam	participants	stressed	that	before	such	a	collective	
                is	perhaps	greater	than	at	any	other	time	in	our	history”.         approach	can	be	effective,	Western	powers	need	greater	
                                                                                   coordination,	not	to	enhance	deterrence,	but	to	reaffirm	
                   The	advantage	of	this	approach	is	that	it	reflects	the	         common	 security	 interests	 and	 responsibilities.	 Along	
                growing	interdependence	among	nations,	but	also	reconciles	        these	lines	it	was	suggested	in	the	Jam	that	one	way	to	
                rule-based	cooperation	with	power	politics.	It	moves	from	         begin	to	prioritise	the	security	agenda	is	for	states	to	list	
                exclusive	security	alliances	to	inclusive	arrangements.	The	       their	primary	security	concerns	in	an	open	international	
                costs	for	participating	states	to	go	unilateral	or	to	“free	       conference,	perhaps	at	UN	level,	in	order	to	identify	the	
                ride”	also	increases	as	other	participating	states	could	          most	pressing	issues.




afgHanistan • tHe average participant spent over 3 Hours in tHe Jam • 2,479 participants
                                                                                                                     The new global security landscape   15
from tHe eu • in a Jam poll 58% said tHe rise of tHe g20 strengtHens tHe atlantic
16   The new global security landscape
4.
                   Create	a	European	Intelligence	Agency		
                   as	an	information	broker	for	complex		
                   and	hybrid	threats


                   The	EEAS	can	only	be	proactive	in	its	strategies	if	it	has	its	      aggressors	 and	 promote	 the	 exchange	 of	 information	
                   own	Intelligence	Agency.	Not	to	conduct	covert	operations	           between	member	states.	Given	the	rapid	evolution	of	IT,	the	
                   or	to	eliminate	specific	threats,	but	to	process	reliable	           European	Intelligence	Agency	should	also	aim	at	effective	
                   assessments	and	scenarios	with	information	that	is	provided	         public	private	partnerships.	
                   by	European	officials	abroad,	open	media	and	member	
                   states.	The	European	Intelligence	Agency	should	act	as	                 Despite	 promising	 new	 green	 technologies,	 the	
                   a	clearinghouse	or	a	 trusted        information broker              competition	for	energy	becomes	fiercer	every	day.	Europe’s	
                   that	unravels	complex	hybrid	threats	for	operational	and	            energy security	will	to	a	large	extent	depend	on	its	
                   strategic	planning.	                                                 internal	 coordination,	 proactive	 planning	 and	 reliable	
                                                                                        intelligence	on	future	threats.	In	this	case,	too,	the	main	
                       Jammers	stressed	the	need	for	monitoring	and	early               role	of	the	European	Intelligence	Agency	will	be	to	connect	
                   warning on impacts of environmental change.	                         the	dots.	It	should	gather	information	about	the	upstream	
                                              Most	 of	 the	 information	 in	 this	     market:	newly	discovered	reserves	abroad,	options	for	
                                                field	 is	 freely	 accessible	 and	     diversifying	supply	lines,	competition	from	other	states,	
                                                can	 be	 further	 supported	 by	        possible	threats	against	sensitive	infrastructure	and	the	
                      “ Intelligence            the	earth	observation	facilities	       impact	of	local	stability	on	production.	
  needs not just to be shared                   of	the	European	Commission’s	
but worked on collaboratively. ”                ISFEREA	 programme.	 The	                  The	Agency	would	also	become	the	central	node	for	
               Lt General David Leakey,         main	objective	here	is	to	signal	       collecting	 and	 disseminating	 information	 to	 support
                 Director EU Military Staff
                                                problems	at	an	early	stage,	map	        eU operations.	“Take	a	not	unlikely	situation	where	
                                                the	environmental	risk	landscape	       there	was	an	EU	engagement	or	intervention	in	a	region	or	
                                              and	 develop	 effective	 indicators	      state	involving	a	military	force,	a	police	mission,	a	special	
                   that	highlight	threats	to	the	food	supply	system,	energy	            representative	and	a	resident	delegation,”	EU	Military	Staff	
                   security,	health	and	ecosystems.	                                    Director	Lt.-General	David	Leakey	stated.	“Would	you	not	
                                                                                        want	to	have	one	coherent	and	collaborative	messaging	
                       cyber security	was	flagged	as	another	area	in	which	             arrangement	in	the	fields	of	media,	information	operations,	
                   both	the	EU	and	NATO	need	to	boost	their	intelligence.	              psychological	operations,	political	themes?”	This	Agency	
                   Several	Jam	participants	proposed	a	cyber	command	or	                should	serve	as	an	intelligence	coordination	centre	between	
                   department	within	NATO,	but	the	EU,	too,	has	to	take	threats	        civilian	and	military	actors,	EU	institutions	and	member	
                   in	the	e-realm	more	seriously.	With	no	physical	and	logical	         states,	EU	and	NATO	stakeholders,	etc.	“Intelligence	needs	
                   separation	between	defence,	critical	infrastructure	and	             not	just	to	be	shared	but	worked	on	collaboratively“	to	
                   commercial	interests	in	cyber	attacks,	the	EU	Intelligence	          ensure	 that	 the	 Comprehensive	 Approach	 is	 actually	
                   Agency	should	map	vulnerable	targets	and	the	possible	               implemented.
                   fall-out	 after	 cyber	 attacks.	 It	 needs	 to	 trace	 potential	




community • 476 tHink tankers around tHe globe took part • 13 african countries
                                                                                                                          The new global security landscape   17
“ The EEAS
        will need publicly to establish
              its legitimacy if it is to be
            credible in terms of adding
     value to the output of individual
                                member states ”
                                     David Ringrose,
          Head of Information and Communications, DG
                         RELEX European Commission




     were represented in tHe security Jam • 87% rated tHe Jam as good or excellent •
18   The new global security landscape
5.
                 Improve	the	EU’s	internal	public	diplomacy	
                 and	use	new	media	to	consult	European	
                 experts	on	security	threats	and	policies


                 The	creation	of	a	European	External	Action	Service	is	raising	       To	hold	the	EEAS	to	account	there	needs	a	reliable	
                 expectations	that	the	EU	will	soon	translate	its	diplomatic	      security barometer:	a	regular	survey	of	Europeans’	
                 ambitions	into	practice.	Yet	the	precondition	for	a	robust	       views	 on	 security	 threats	 and	 European	 policies.	 As	
                 foreign	and	security	policy	is	a	dynamic	security	community.	     suggested	by	Miroslav	Hazer	in	the	Jam,	such	polls	could	
                 This	 not	 only	 requires	 a	 well-functioning	 bureaucracy;	     be	complemented	by	foreign	policy	blogs.	“Traditional	media	
                 what	the	EU	needs	even	more	is	a	 strategic        culture.	      and	professional	journalists	in	connection	with	the	new	
                 The	EEAS	should	reach	out	to	stakeholders	in	member	              social	media	and	bloggers	should	play	an	important	role	in	
                 states	to	analyse	new	international	challenges,	build	a	          such	open	public	discussion,	helping	all	the	stakeholders	
                 consensus	on	primary	objectives	and	critically	evaluate	its	      to	talk	to	each	other,	understand	each	other	and	in	this	way	
                 policy	instruments.	                                              set	the	security-related	public	agenda.”	


                    This	 implies	 an	 effective	 internal	 public	 diplomacy.	       Another	suggestion	from	the	Jam	was	that	this	basic	
                 “The	EEAS	will	need	publicly	to	establish	its	legitimacy	if	      interactive	model	could	be	used	in	the	form	of	regional	
                 it	is	to	be	credible	in	terms	of	adding	value	to	the	output	      EEAS	offices	located	outside	foreign	capitals	to	act	as	
                 of	 individual	 member	 states,”	 the	 Commission’s	 David	       ‘communication	conduits’.	By	offering	dialogue	channels	
                 Ringrose	confirmed	in	the	Jam.	It	should	therefore	set	up	        on	issues	like	human	rights,	economic	and	educational	
                 a	group	of	 outreach     advisors	whose	main	task	is	to	          opportunities	through	local	meetings	and	discussions,	
                 interact	with	experts,	journalists	and	business	people	in	        as	well	virtually,	the	EEAS	could	distinguish	itself	as	a	sui	
                 member	states.	The	aim	of	these	discussions	would	be	             generis	organisation	which	is	more	likely	to	be	accepted	
                                         to	explore	important	international	       by	local	populations.	A	number	of	participants	felt	that	the	
                                            issues	and	to	brainstorm	on	new	       EEAS	should	“try	to	be	different	from	a	twentieth	century	
                                            policy	initiatives.	                   national	diplomatic	service”	by	concentrating	on	being	
   The EEAS should be “ more
                                                                                   “more	people-centric	that	state-centric”.	
          people-centric than
                                               For	 important	 new	 issues,	
              state-centric ” .
                                            the	 EEAS	 needs	 to	 organise	           e-groups and	even	internet	jams	are	another	important	
               Professor Mary Kaldor,       intensive	 brainstorming               tool	 for	 stimulating	 interaction	 among	 members	 of	 the	
           London School of Economics
                                            sessions,	convening	opinion	           European	security	community.	These	groups	can	be	either	
                                            leaders	 to	 analyse	 how	 these	      open	or	restricted	to	a	select	number	of	professionals,	
                                        trends	or	incidents	affect	our	security	   but	 they	 will	 prove	 to	 be	 a	 vital	 tool	 in	 exchanging	
                 and	to	discuss	possible	strategies	in	an	inclusive	and	open	      views,	 information	 and	 experiences.	 Moreover,	 secure	
                 environment.	These	meetings	should	not	become	mere	               e-forums	could	convene	EU	and	NATO	practitioners	to	
                 PR	stunts.	Participants	have	to	be	properly	prepared	and	         informally	discuss	common	policy	issues	or	operational	
                 deserve	to	get	feedback	afterwards.                               lessons	learned.	Such	public	diplomacy	would	boost	the	
                                                                                   authority	of	the	EEAS,	and	the	support	of	a	broad	security	
                                                                                   community	could	increase	its	leverage	vis-à-vis	member	
                                                                                   state	governments.




in a Jam poll 67% believe europe’s military forces are severely underequipped • tHe
                                                                                                                     The new global security landscape   19
“ One real
                          contribution such an
           academy could make would
                be to provide training for
               Europe's civilian actors in
                crisis management. They
        will require skill sets such as
     strategic planning and strategic
                     communications and a
     thorough understanding of how
                    others work in crises. ”
                                         Dr Stephanie Blair,
                                                      SIPRI




     forums posted in most by representatives of tHe european institutions were political
20   The new global security landscape
6.
                   Create	a	European	Security	Academy	
                   where	EU	civilian	and	military	staff	and	
                   other	international	actors	can	learn	to	work	
                   together	in	the	field

                   All	Jam	forums	highlighted	the     expertise deficit	in	         an	institution	which	can	retain	this	kind	of	knowledge	for	
                   the	EU	and	NATO’s	foreign	and	security	policies.	Reliable	       future	generations”.
                   information	is	key	to	anticipating	and	understanding	new	
                   security	risks.	A	complete	picture	of	the	needs,	aspirations	       There	is	also	a	need	to eliminate mistrust	between	
                                        and	 behaviour	 of	 protagonists	 on	       GOs	and	NGOS	without	jeopardising	specialised	training.	“I	
                                             the	 international	 scene	 is	 also	   would	like	to	see	more	military	units	earmarked	as	rescue	
                                              indispensible	 in	 bilateral	 and	    teams,	and	mentally	prepared	to	work	in	the	CIMIC	world,	
                    “ I would like
                                              multilateral	negotiations.	At	the	    not	pretending	anymore	that	they	are	trained	for	war	and	
   to see more military units…                                                      can't	do	anything	‘less’”	says	Commander	Jérôme	Michelet	
                                              same	time,	operational	skills	will	
    mentally prepared to work                                                       of	the	French	Navy.
                                              be	key	if	the	EU	and	NATO	are	to	
       in the CIMIC world, not                excel	in	comprehensive	CIVMIL	
 pretending anymore that they                 operations.                              However,	this	institution	should	not	be	a	new	think	tank	
      are trained for war and                                                       that	duplicates	the	work	of	existing	institutes	or	another	
     can't do anything ‘ less ’ ”                The	 problem	 is	 not	 so	         form	of	academic	window	dressing.	Instead,	the	Academy	
           Commander Jérôme Michelet,         much	that	there	is	no	expertise	      should	take	the	lead	in	developing	a	division	of	labour	among	
                          French Navy
                                              available	in	Europe,	but	that	a	      these	institutions,	sketching	out	a	research	agenda	that	is	
                                              lot	of	it	remains	confined	to	the	    relevant	for	the	EU’s	foreign	policies,	financing	advanced	
                                             academic	realm	or	national	think	      joint	research	projects	and	disseminating	research	output.	
                   tanks,	 governments	 or	 NGOs.	 The	 EU	 often	 does	 not	       Whenever	there	is	need	for	instant	or	specific	reports,	
                   have	the	capacity	to	mobilise	this	vast	pool	of	knowledge	       this	 academy	 could	 source	 from	 a	 large	 network	 of	
                   and	experience.	The	EEAS	therefore	needs	to	establish	a	         experts.	Knowledge	is	not	only	a	vital	asset	in	supporting	
                   european security academy.	                                      policy	making;	joint	research	by	experts	from	different	
                                                                                    member	states	could	also	help	develop	a	common	view	on	
                      This	 Academy	 would	 be	 a	 unique	 location	 for	           international	issues	and	legitimise	EEAS	strategies.	
                   operational training.	 It	 should	 be	 responsible	 for	
                   training	officials,	and,	as	recommended	by	Jam	participants	        A	 requirement	 for	 this	 security	 community	 to	 be	
                   like	SIPRI’s	Stephanie	Blair,	it	should	also	provide	training	   productive	is	that	EEAS	officers	get	the	time	and	scope	
                   in	joint	crisis	management,	bringing	together	civilian	and	      to	participate	in	expert	discussions.	The	experience	of	the	
                   military	staff.	Again,	the	Academy	should	avoid	duplicating	     Jam	suggests	that	officials	are	still	somewhat	reluctant	to	
                   existing	initiatives,	but	it	could	provide	financial	means	      contribute	to	such	debates.	Each	research	or	training	project	
                   to	offer	good	existing	programmes	to	wider	audiences	            organised	by	the	Academy	should	therefore	be	coached	
                   and	 even	 to	 combine	 training	 modules	 from	 different	      by	a	group	of	officials,	allocated	time	in	their	planning	to	
                   organisations	into	one	advanced	programme.	This	way,	the	        do	so.	The	EEAS	should	also	 promote            interaction.	
                   academy	will	be	a	one-stop-shop	for	European	practitioners	      Experts	could	be	allowed	to	temporarily	join	its	units	and	
                   to	gain	and	exchange	experience	with	other	actors	from	          should	encourage	officials	to	spend	longer	time	in	academic	
                   international	organisations	specialised	in	their	given	field.	   institutes	or	NGOs.
                   As	another	Jammer	commented	“it's	important	to	have	


context (26%), Human rigHts (26%) and rising powers (12%) • 5 ministers logged into
                                                                                                                      The new global security landscape   21
tHe Jam including 2 defence ministers, 2 foreign ministers and 1 vice-prime minister
22   The new global security landscape
7.
                            Establish	a	combined	EU-NATO	Wisemen's	
                            group	made	up	of	independent	personalities	
                            to	evaluate	capability	planning	and	build	
                            public	support	for	cross-border	cooperation
                            “There	is	a	risk	of	divergence	between	less	investment	                waste	by	duplication	of	Europe's	defence	effort.	A	political	
                            in	security	and	the	objective	level	of	actual	and	potential	           shock	communication	campaign	seems	to	be	needed	to	
                                                       threats,	 which	 is	 in	 no	 way	           shake	public	opinion	and	thereby,	hopefully,	stir	Europe's	
                                                          declining,”	 General	 Stéphane	          political	class	from	its	slumber.”	
                             “ The general                Abrial	 remarked	 in	 the	 Jam.	

   public seems largely unaware
                                                          This	growing	gap	applies	to	all	            The	challenge	for	the	EU	is	to	find	a	balance	between	
                                                          layers	 of	 the	 EU	 and	 NATO’s	        reducing	 budgets,	 operational	 needs	 and	 economic	
                  of the sheer waste
                                                          capabilities	–	military	and	civilian.	   interests.	 Jam	 participants	 identified	 the	 fact	 that	
        by duplication of Europe's
                                                          One	of	the	most	urgent	battles	          multinational	 programmes	 are	 often	 more	 expensive	
                          defence effort.
                                                          for	the	EU	and	NATO	will	be	the	         than	 national	 ones.	 The	 Wisemen	 should	 encourage	
                                                          battle	against	fragmentation	and	        interoperability	of	equipment	by	working	to	harmonise	
A political shock communication                           wasteful	duplicatiton.	                  requirements	and	underlying	standards.
 campaign seems to be needed
   to shake public opinion and …                             There	 needs	 to	 be	 a	                 However,	similar	challenges	exist	in	regard	to	civilian	
       stir Europe's political class                      combined	 EU-NATO	 group	                capabilities.	The	wisemen	should	therefore	develop	an	EU-
                    from its slumber. ”                   made	up	of	retired	independent	          NATO	pool     for civilian crisis management.	“This	
                                      Robert Cox,         military	and	political	authorities	to	   is	not	a	matter	of	showing	one’s	own	flag,”	the	European	
former Senior Advisor to the European Community’s         evaluate	current	approaches	to	          Commission’s	Nico	Keppens	insisted,	“it	is	about	helping	
                        Humanitarian Office (ECHO)
                                                          capability	planning	and	promote	         people	in	the	most	efficient	way.”	Antje	Herrberg	of	the	Crisis	
                                                         cross	border	collaboration.	This	         Management	Initiative	proposed	to	start	with	integrating	all	
                                                     group	should	also	have	a	major	role	in	       the	EU's	foreign	affairs	policies	into	one	coherent	political	
                            building	public	support	and	awareness	in	the	public	sphere	            and	operational	framework:	DG	Relex:,	DG	Development,	
                            for	increased	cross	border	cooperation.                                ECHO,	 EuropAID,	 DG	 Trade,	 the	 crisis	 management	
                                                                                                   structures	of	the	Council	Secretariat	and	member	states’	
                                                           The	     group	      needs	      to	    agencies.	 The	 latter	 could	 commit	 policemen,	 judges,	
                                                          explore	 options	 for      smart         lawyers,	corrections	officials,	health	officials,	administrators,	
                                   “ There is             procurement            of	 military	     economists	and	agronomists	to	a	civilian	crisis	response	

                                    a risk of
                                                          capabilities.	 The	 EU	 member	          corps.	The	EEAS	would	coordinate	the	deployment	of	these	
                                                          states	are	currently	developing	         instruments	and	streamline	synergies	with	NATO.	
          divergence between less
                                                          89	 new	 systems	 in	 25	 main	
              investment in security
                                                          categories	 of	 armaments,	                 While	Jam	discussions	confirmed	that	development	
         and the objective level of
                                                          whereas	 the	 United	 States	            cooperation	has	a	much	broader	scope	than	preventing	or	
   actual and potential threats ”
                                                          finances	only	27	major	projects.	        addressing	security	threats,	more effective spending
                       General Stéphane Abrial,
       Supreme Allied Commander Transformation
                                                          As	Robert	Cox	pointed	out	in	the	        of aid	is	vital	to	support	CIVMIL	operations.	
                                         NATO             Jam	“The	general	public	seems	
                                                          largely	 unaware	 of	 the	 sheer	




• 335 security Jam participants logged in wHile on operations in tHe field • in a Jam
                                                                                                                                         The new global security landscape   23
poll 55% said tHat even massive development aid could not defuse insurgencies
24   The new global security landscape
8.
                          Establish	an	EU	scarce	natural	resources	
                          inventory	with	a	mandate	to	protect	them		
                          for	future	generations


                          The	European	Commission	should	develop	an	inventory	               In	one	of	the	most	urbanised	regions	of	the	world,	the	
                          of	limited	natural	resources	in	Europe	and	establish	an	        first	priority	of	the	agency	should	be	to	protect	Europe’s	own	
                          agency	responsible	for	managing	and	protecting	them.	           scarce	resources.	It	should	compile	relevant	information	
                          Building	on	the	experience	of	the	European	Water	Initiative,	   from	 NGOs	 and	 member	 state	 governments	 into	 an	
                          this	agency	would	also	be	responsible	for	coordinating	         EU-wide	database	of	important	natural	heritages:	water	
                                                   and	supporting	projects	to	change	     reserves,	fragile	agriculture	areas,	etc.	The	next	step	is	to	
                                                     consumer	 behaviour	 and	 to	        work	with	local	governments	and	NGOs	to	protect	these	
                                                      ensure	 that	 precious	 natural	    assets.	Companies,	too,	can	play	a	role.	As	Jacqueline	
                        “ Unfortunately,              resources	are	better	valued.	       McGlade	suggested,	“A	number	of	major	water	companies	
            the world all too often                                                       have	been	able	to	develop	adaptation	plans	that	include	
  responds only when there is                            Director	of	the	World	Food	      citizens	accepting	their	role	in	reducing	their	demand	on	

               a security problem. ”
                                                      Programme	 Josette	 Sheeran	        water	supplies	and	sharing	the	burden	of	the	risks	of	water	
                                                      stressed	 that:	 “The	 risks	 to	   shortages	in	the	future.”
                                Josette Sheeran,
 Executive Director of the World Food Programme       stability	 and	 peace	 posed	
                                                      by	 financial,	 food	 price	 and	     This	agency	should	also	foster	 partnerships with
                                                     environmental	 shocks	 for	 the	     environmental protection organisations	 in	
                          50	percent	of	the	world’s	population	without	food	safety	       developing	countries.	This	is	crucial	to	prevent	foreign	or	
                          nets	are	significant.	Unfortunately,	the	world	all	too	often	   multinational	companies	from	externalising	pollution.	One	
                          responds	only	when	there	is	a	security	problem.”	Jamming	       successful	case	referred	to	in	the	Jam	was	the	partnership	
                          from	Antarctica,	Explorer	Alain	Hubert	was	one	of	the	many	     between	 Rainforest	 Alliance	 and	 Chiquita,	 which	 was	
                          participants	to	insist	on	“Informing	the	individual	of	what	    concluded	after	mainly	European	consumers	started	to	
                          lies	ahead	and	the	need	to	radically	modify	their	lifestyles	   criticise	the	banana	producer’s	disastrous	environmental	
                          and	providing	the	means	to	act.”                                impact	in	Latin	America.	It	could	consider	environmental	
                                                                                          monitoring	for	all	important	agriculture	products	that	are	
                                                                                          imported.	But	these	partnerships	should	also	strengthen	
                                                                                          enforcement	capacity	and	enhance	the	awareness	of	local	

                                    “ Inform
                                                                                          civil	society.

             the individual of what
          lies ahead and the need
          to radically modify their
              lifestyles and provide
                the means to act. ”
                               Alain Hubert,
     Explorer and UNICEF Goodwill Ambassador




in afgHanistan and pakistan • 9 middle eastern countries were represented in tHe
                                                                                                                            The new global security landscape   25
security Jam • 710 participants from tHe usa • 2,479 participants from tHe european
26   The new global security landscape
9.
                   Publish a joint EU-NATO quarterly
                   publication where senior officials
                   from both organisations can collaborate
                   in public
                   “Are we doing enough to harmonise Europe's or the                   This publication is just one concrete example of the kind
                   Atlantic's view on what's bothering us in terms of security,     of steps that many Security Jam participants felt could be
                   and how to cope?” a senior EU official asked in the Jam.         useful in getting the EU and NATO communicating effectively
                   A   joint EU and NATO security review can help                   with each other on a more regular basis. Such a platform
                   shape the intellectual debate with hard-hitting contributions    could not only serve as a space to share opinions but also as
                   from experts of both organisations on better cooperation         an ongoing platform for innovation among top level experts
                   and harmonisation. This could be a place where new               and decision makers in the transatlantic security community.
                   collaboration is forged in public through co-authorship of
                   articles and where the EU and NATO can be seen to be                Moreover, because such a publication would be
                   getting “in step” with one another.                              freely available to the general public it would serve as an
                                                                                    information tool to promote awareness of their respective
                        As Former NATO Secretary General Jaap de Hoop               policies and maintain the kind of informed
                                                                                                                          debate in
                   Scheffer pointed out the problem is that “EU and NATO            the public realm which the Security Jam sought to
                   Ambassadors can hardly talk to each other… The time for          promote.
                   competition should long be over!”


                       This review could be published every three months so
                   that it combines articles on long-term security. Blending
                                                                                         “ Today, soft-power is about the
                   sharp and opinionated writing with innovative research
                   contributions, the review should aim at a wide readership             ability to lead efficient public debate

                   and be disseminated freely in both member states and                  across borders engaging brains and
                   beyond.                                                               winning hearts. Empower traditional
                                                                                         media and connect them with the
                                                 However, there can only be              multiplying affect of new social
                                              scope for such analysis if the             media.
                 “ EU and NATO                EEAS and NATO provide support
     Ambassadors can hardly                   for it. The journal should have a          This will help all stakeholders to
          talk to each other…                 professional editorial team and            understand each other and set up
     The time for competition
                                              an active group of advisors to
                                                                                         the security-related agenda with
                                              help develop it into an influential
        should long be over! ”                                                           sufficient public international support. ”
                                              international publication.
                Jaap de Hoop Scheffer,                                                   Miroslav Hazer,
          Former NATO Secretary General                                                  Project Manager
                                                                                         European Journalism Centre




Union • in a Jam poll 70% believed that the iranian nUclear programme posed a
                                                                                                                      The new global security landscape   27
“ We are tired
      of programme managers with
             little knowledge in risk and
            crisis management heading
                    departments in UN and
          affiliated agencies, preparing
     and managing conferences and
          meetings all year round, but
          paying little attention to the
                       crust of the matter ”
                                            Stella Attakpah,
                                           Ghanaian diplomat




     tHreat to tHe west • tHe forums posted in most by representatives of nato were
28   The new global security landscape
Establish	an	International	Crisis	Preparedness	


10.
                      Fund	to	harness	the	media	spotlight	on	
                      today’s	current	crises	by	collecting	5%	of	all	
                      donations	to	prepare	for	future	disasters
                      Five	per	cent	of	all	donations	made	to	any	crisis	should	be	         money	donated	to	major	crises	should	go	to	a	disaster	
                      invested	into	an	international	disaster	relief	fund	managed	         prevention	fund.	“This	donated	fund	could	be	used	by	
                      by	the	United	Nations.	The	aim	of	the	fund	is	to	capitalise	         the	United	Nations	to	implement	disaster	 prevention
                      on	the	short-term	media	spotlight	of	humanitarian	disasters	         measures	in	the	poorest	and	most	vulnerable	regions	of	the	
                      in	order	to	shift	attention	to	long-term	preparedness.               world.”	The	money	could	be	used	to	fund	Tsunami	warning	
                                                                                           systems	or	to	educate	people	on	the	correct	responses	
                          Large-scale	 crises	 like	 those	 recently	 in	 Haiti	 or	 in	   to	disasters.	The	UN	International	Strategy	for	Disaster	
                      Asian	countries	vulnerable	to	Tsunamis	are	often	followed	           Reduction	(ISDR)	was	named	in	the	Jam	as	a	possible	
                      by	ambitious	emergency	relief	operations	and	generous	               beneficent	of	the	fund.
                      financial	aid.	But	spontaneity	often	comes	at	the	expense	
                      of	 effectiveness.	 Donor	 countries	 and	 NGOs	 can	 be	              Other	Jammers	emphasised	the	need	to	 invest in
                      more	eager	to	show	their	flag	than	to	invest	in	efficient	           preparedness,	 minimising	 the	 impact	 of	 a	 disaster	
                      multilateral	coordination.	When	the	camera	teams	have	left,	         by	 strengthening	 the	 capacity	 to	 provide	 a	 timely	 and	
                      local	governments	have	seldom	enough	support	to	beef	                appropriate	 humanitarian	 response	 to	 the	 needs	 of	
                      up	their	own	crisis	response	capacity	like	alert	networks	           affected	populations.	The	five-percent-levy	could	be	used	
                      for	earthquakes	or	tsunamis,	effective	evacuation	plans	             to	strengthen	the	stand-by	capacities	of	the	UN	Office	for	
                      or	well-trained	public	services.	In	the	case	of	smaller	or	          the	Coordination	of	Humanitarian	Affairs	(OCHA).	
                      chronic	crises,	it	is	not	even	certain	that	any	serious	help	
                      arrives	at	all.	                                                        However,	a	condition	for	such	a	fund	to	be	helpful	is	
                                                                                           once	more	to	limit	 wasteful      fragmentation	among	
                                                       “The	problem	I	see	is	that	the	     donors	and	increase	expertise	of	risk	managers	in	both	
                                                   country	 gets	 the	 money	 after	       international	organisations	and	recipient	countries.	“Most	
                      “ The problem                something	has	happened,	not	            times	the	work	of	disaster	prevention	is	rarely	managed	

     I see is that the country
                                                   before,”	 Humanitarian	 Affairs	        by	Risk	Managers	who	are	skilled	in	this	type	of	work,”	the	
                                                   Advisor	 to	 the	 Austrian	 Chief	      Ghanian	diplomat	Stella	Attakpah	remarked,	“We	are	tired	
        gets the money after
                                                   of	Defence	Staff	General	Alois	         of	programme	managers	with	little	knowledge	heading	
     something has happened,
                                                   Hirschmugl	 remarked	 in	 the	          departments	 in	 UN	 and	 affiliated	 agencies,	 preparing	
                         not before ”
                                                   Jam.	 Nottingham	 University’s	         and	managing	conferences	and	meetings	all	year	round,	
                General Alois Hirschmugl,
               Austrian Humanitarian Affairs
                                                   Matthew	 Fribbance	 therefore	          but	paying	little	attention	to	the	crust	of	the	matter:	crisis	
        Advisor to the Chief of Defence Staff      proposed	that	five	percent	of	the	      management,	prevention	and	impact	reduction.”	




political context (24%), afgHanistan (19%) and compreHensive approacH (15%) • over
                                                                                                                             The new global security landscape   29
III. Dealing with a fragmented world



                                         Globalisation	has	flattened	borders	between	states.	Just	            Despite	most	countries’	awareness	of	the	fact	that	the	
                                         like	modern	business	transactions	carried	out	across	the	         security	of	one	state	can	no	longer	be	separated	from	the	
                                         globe	with	one	mouse	click	non-traditional	security	threats	      security	of	another	state,	distrust	of	each	other’s	strategic	
                                         also	journey	over	long	distances.	Organised	gangs	have	the	       intentions	 and	 pressing	 economic	 needs	 complicate	
                                         entire	world	as	their	hunting	ground.	Booming	trade	and	          collaboration.	
                                         financial	flows	make	it	almost	impossible	to	detect	deadly	
                                         shipments	of	arms,	illegally	excavated	natural	resources	or	         Yet,	the	overwhelming	message	from	the	Security	Jam	
                                         terrorist	transactions.	Failing	states	automatically	imperil	     seems	to	be	that	the	very	challenges	posed	by	failing	states,	
                                         operations	of	foreign	investors	and	disturb	international	        hybrid	and	cross-border	threats	“require	the	engagement	of	
                                         markets.	                                                         all	powers-	rising	or	not”.	The	message	is	clear:	in	the	new	
                                                                                                           security	landscape	“cooperation	and	rivalry	among	these	
                                            But	if	the	world	has	indeed	become	flat,	it	also	remains	      powers	will	have	a	significant	impact	on	the	trajectory	of	
                                         fragmented.	Effective	cooperation	for	tackling	non-traditional	   our	globalised	world.”	
                                         security	threats	is	often	thwarted	by	traditional	power	plays	
                                         between	states.	                                                     A	number	of	distinct	 cross     cutting themes	also	
                                                                                                           emerged	from	the	Security	Jam	to	reflect	the	fragmented	
                                            The	relative	erosion	of	the	United	States’	influence	and	      nature	of	today’s	global	security	architecture.	Within	these	
                                         the	emergence	of	new	ambitious	regional	powers	have	              themes	Jam	participants	identified	a	number	of	areas	where	
                                         culminated	in	a	new	climate	of	uncertainty.	Many	in	the	          future	progress	and	collaboration	can	occur.	Let	us	take	a	
                                         Jam	described	the	emergence	of	“a	confusing	world	-	not	          closer	look	then	at	how	the	Jam	assessed	this	quandary	
                                         unipolar	but	not	really	multipolar,	either”.	Harkening	back	      and	what	kind	of	solutions	it	proposed.
                                         to	the	Ancient	Greeks	one	Jammer	depicted	a	kind	of	
                                         “oligopoly”	to	describe	current	international	affairs	in	which	
                                         there	is	“a	group	of	players	of	very	different	nature	and	size	
                                         but	all	distinctively	more	powerful,	stronger	economically	
                                         and/or	demographically,	potentially	more	destructive	and	
                                         more	relevant	to	the	other	major	players	than	the	rest”.	




                  “  Cooperation and rivalry among these powers will have a
              significant impact on the trajectory of our globalised world.                                                                            „
     a quarter of posts relating directly to tHe eu and nato in tHe Jam were tagged
30   The new global security landscape
Security Jam statistics




Percentage of registered participants by professional affiliation
                               2%                                   European Institutions
                        5%          11%
                   3%                                               NATO
                                                5%                  United Nations
                                                                    Other international institution
                                                  2%
       21%                                        3%                National government/civil service
                                                                    National government/politician
                                                                    Business
                                                     12%            NGO
                                                                    Think tank
                                                                    University
                                                2%
                                                                    Media
             12%
                                                                    Military
                                          15%
                                                                    Other
                          7%




Percentage of posts per Security Jam forum
                             4%
                    5%
                                                                    Political context
              6%                            26%
                                                                    Rising powers
                                                                    Case study 2: Afghanistan
        8%                                                          Comprehensive approach
                                                                    Capabilities & budgets
                                                                    Security & human rights
       8%                                                           Environmental security
                                                  13%               Crisis preparedness
                                                                    Development
              8%                                                    Case study 1: Piracy

                         11%        11%
Security Jam statistics




Percentage of European Institution posts and NATO posts per Security Jam forum

   Case study 2: Afghanistan                                              European Institutions
       Case study 1: Piracy                                               NATO
             Rising powers
  Comprehensive approach
     Environmental security
   Security & human rights
              Development
       Crisis preparedness
     Capabilities & budgets
            Political context
                                0%    20%   40%   60%    80%   100%




Security Jam quick poll: How long will public opinion in the EU and NATO countries tolerate deployments
in Afghanistan?
                                 4%
                         11%
                                                                      2 years
                                                   37%                5 years
                                                                      10 years
                                                                      20 years




                     48%
Registered participants of the Security Jam by age
                              2%
                10%                      13%
                                                                         18 - 25 years
                                                                         26 - 35 years
                                                                         36 - 45 years
                                                                         46 - 55 years
                                                                         56 - 64 years
      20%                                        28%                     65+ years




                      23%




Percentage of posts per Security Jam forum by affiliation

 Case study 2: Afghanistan                                                                            Military
     Case study 1: Piracy                                                                             NGO
                                                                                                      National
            Rising powers
                                                                                                      government/
Comprehensive approach
                                                                                                      civil service
   Environmental security                                                                             Business
 Security & human rights
            Development
     Crisis preparedness
   Capabilities & budgets
          Political context
                              0%   10%     20%   30%   40%   50%   60%   70%     80%     90%   100%
Security Jam quick poll: What is THE priority issue for international leaders to focus on in 2010?

                                                                  Climate change
                                                                  Poverty
                                       30%
                                                                  Disarmament
       37%
                                                                  Terrorism
                                                                  Jobs & economy




                                       12%

                  12%
                            9%




Percentage of total posts by years of experience in security, defence or development issues

                  13%                                             0-5 years
                                                                  6-10 years
             5%
                                                                  11-15 years
                                             39%                  16-20 years
         7%                                                       21-25 years
                                                                  26-29 years
                                                                  30+ years

         12%



                   9%            15%
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witH tHe categorisation ‘strategy & leadersHip’ • 58% of Jammers were over 36
                                                                                                                  The new global security landscape   31
The world will be dominated by fragile powers
                                         America’s	unipolar	moment	appears	to	be	fading.	Even	if	               Their	foreign	policies	will	mainly	depend	on	the	extent	
                                         the	U.S.	market	recovers	from	the	economic	crisis	and	the	          to	which	they	are	able	to	tap	the	international	market	for	
                                         Obama	Administration	succeeds	to	“re-energise		the	nation”,	        creating	opportunities	for	their	expanding	labour	forces.	
                                         it	will	be	burdened	by	huge	financial	deficits	that	could	weigh	    China,	India	and	Brazil	will	follow	different	paths	in	pursuit	of	
                                         on	its	capacity	to	innovate.	Domestic	problems	will	weaken	         unity	and	affluence.	If	they	continue	to	experience	success	
                                         Washington’s	political	leverage	in	negotiations	with	other	         and	maintain	confidence	in	the	prospects	of	an	open	global	
                                         countries	and	erode	its	soft	power.	US	military	might	is	likely	    economy,	there	will	be	more	scope	for	domestic	reform	and	
                                         to	hold,	but	the	rapid	military	modernisation	of	the	emerging	      taking	a	constructive	role	in	international	affairs.	
                                         powers	as	well	as	the	enormous	costs	of	wars	in	Iraq	and	
                                         Afghanistan	will	further	reduce	its	manoeuvrability.	In	many	          Yet,	 for	 all	 three	 emerging	 powers,	 needs	 are	 now	
                                         ways	the	United	States	remains	the	dominant	player	on	the	          growing	faster	than	the	capacity	to	fulfil	them.	This	has	the	
                                         international	scene,	but	it	will	have	to	wield	its	power	more	      potential	to	engender	domestic	instability	and	could	prompt	
                                         carefully	and	selectively.                                          political	leaders	to	focus	on	national	security	instead	of	
                                                                                                             personal	liberties.	In	their	foreign	policies,	the	emphasis	
                                                                         International	 politics	 in	 the	   will	be	on	short-term	economic	gains	and	avoiding	costs	
                                                                      coming	decades	will	most	likely	       rather	than	on	long-term	international	stability.	This	greatly	
                                             “ Engaging               be	determined	by	a	loose	group	        obstructs	the	development	of	a	consensus	with	Western	

             China and India and Russia
                                                                      of	fragile	powers.	Still	banking	      countries	about	the	norms	that	guide	international	politics.	
                                                                      on	its	success	during	the	two	
          and others is a policy which
                                                                      great	 wars	 and	 the	 long	 Cold	        As	pointed	out	by	George	Perkovich,	vice	president	
                 might or might not have
                                                                      War	 of	 the	 past	 century,	 the	     for	studies	and	director	of	the	Nuclear	Policy	Program	at	
          been successful in the past.
                                                                      United	States	will	be	forced	more	     the	Carnegie	Endowment	for	International	Peace	“China,	
       In present, and even more so
                                                                      and	more	onto	the	defensive	to	        India,	Brazil,	and	Russia	should	be	analysed	and	engaged	
         in future circumstances, one                                 protect	its	interests.	Russia	will	    as	 distinct	 individual	 states	 with	 distinct	 interests	 and	
     would need to learn to engage                                    continue	 to	 slide	 backwards,	       capabilities	to	affect	others	and	the	international	system	
                                         WITH them. ”                 failing	 to	 reform	 its	 economy	     as	a	whole”.	We	must	recognise	“when	and	where	each	
                                          Dmitri Trenin,              and	 even	 more	 to	 gain	 the	        could	play	an	effective	positive	role	in	redressing	a	global	
           Director of the Moscow Office of the Carnegie
                      Endowment for International Peace               international	 esteem	 it	 longs	      problem”.	Dmitri	Trenin,	Director	of	the	Moscow	Office	of	
                                                                      for.	China,	India	and	Brazil	will	     the	Carnegie	Endowment	for	International	Peace	echoed	
                                                                      continue	their	attempts	to	bring	      this	by	stating	that	the	problem	could	be	boiled	down	to	a	
                                                                  their	international	status	up	to	par	      mere	preposition:	it	is	not	so	much	a	question	of	engaging	
                                         with	 their	 vast	 geopolitical,	 demographic	 and	 cultural	       rising	powers,	what	we	need	to	do	is	“learn	to	engage	WITH	
                                         potential.	They	are	still	regional	powers	but	have	growing	         them”.	This	requires	“a	more	co-equal	approach	from	the	
                                         global	interests	which	will	produce	new	dilemmas	about	             U.S.	and	the	EU”.	
                                         how	to	reconcile	their	strained	capabilities	with	growing	
                                         responsibilities	abroad.	




     years old • tHe security Jam ran for a total of 128 Hours • witH a total of 3954
32   The new global security landscape
International Security Issues: 10 Recommendations from the 2010 Security Jam
International Security Issues: 10 Recommendations from the 2010 Security Jam
International Security Issues: 10 Recommendations from the 2010 Security Jam
International Security Issues: 10 Recommendations from the 2010 Security Jam
International Security Issues: 10 Recommendations from the 2010 Security Jam
International Security Issues: 10 Recommendations from the 2010 Security Jam
International Security Issues: 10 Recommendations from the 2010 Security Jam
International Security Issues: 10 Recommendations from the 2010 Security Jam
International Security Issues: 10 Recommendations from the 2010 Security Jam
International Security Issues: 10 Recommendations from the 2010 Security Jam
International Security Issues: 10 Recommendations from the 2010 Security Jam
International Security Issues: 10 Recommendations from the 2010 Security Jam
International Security Issues: 10 Recommendations from the 2010 Security Jam
International Security Issues: 10 Recommendations from the 2010 Security Jam
International Security Issues: 10 Recommendations from the 2010 Security Jam
International Security Issues: 10 Recommendations from the 2010 Security Jam
International Security Issues: 10 Recommendations from the 2010 Security Jam
International Security Issues: 10 Recommendations from the 2010 Security Jam
International Security Issues: 10 Recommendations from the 2010 Security Jam
International Security Issues: 10 Recommendations from the 2010 Security Jam
International Security Issues: 10 Recommendations from the 2010 Security Jam
International Security Issues: 10 Recommendations from the 2010 Security Jam
International Security Issues: 10 Recommendations from the 2010 Security Jam
International Security Issues: 10 Recommendations from the 2010 Security Jam

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International Security Issues: 10 Recommendations from the 2010 Security Jam

  • 1. The new global security landscape 10 Recommendations from the 2010 Security Jam 4,000 participants 10,000 logins 124 countries 5 days
  • 2. Foreword Our thanks to all the SDA’s partners in the Security Jam*, not least the European Commission and NATO, for making possible this extraordinary exercise in global dialogue. There are a number of individuals without whose encouragements and active support the Security Jam would not have been possible. We would particularly like to thank Jean-François Bureau (Assistant Secretary General for Public Diplomacy) and Jamie Shea (Director for Policy & Planning in the Secretary General’s Office) of NATO; Lars-Gunnar Wigemark (Head of Unit for Security Policy) and David Ringrose (Head of Unit for Information and Communication) of DG RELEX in the European Commission; Veronika Wand-Danielsson (Swedish Ambassador to NATO); Mike Ryan (Defence Advisor at the US Mission to the EU); Kate Byrnes (Public Affairs Advisor at the US Mission to NATO) as well as Leendert Van Bochoven (NATO and Giles Merritt European Defence Leader) and John Reiners (Senior Managing Consultant) of IBM. Director Security & Defence Agenda This online project took an innovative approach to engaging stakeholders from all walks of life and getting fresh and realistic ideas about our security onto the table. The potential of new technology to bring together thousands of voices beyond those of the ‘usual suspects’ reinforced our belief in this sort of worldwide debate. At a critical time for strategic thinking by the EU and NATO, this report’s recommendations offer food for thought. The Security Jam has shown us that the modern security community is far from being populated only by defence experts and the military. The five day online brainstorm embracing 124 countries saw contributions from a wide spectrum of the international Geert Cami Co-Founder & Director community. Security & Defence Agenda The message we took away from the Jam was that modern security is too important to be left in the hands of the specialists. We need a more inclusive security dialogue, and we must also make greater civil-military cooperation a reality. The recommendations in this report have this end in mind. We very much hope that these recommendations will inspire political leaders to make closer international security cooperation a reality. Giles Merritt Geert Cami * Security Jam partnerS: European Commission NATO IBM Chatham House The Atlantic Council of the United States Munich Security Conference Global Humanitarian Forum (GHF) Open Society Institute (OSI) Stockholm International Peace Research Carnegie Endowment for International Peace Barcelona Centre for International Studies Institute (SIPRI) Bertelsmann Stiftung (CIDOB) Fondation pour la recherche stratégique Geneva Centre for Security Policy (GCSP) (FRS) Europe’s World US Mission to NATO Friends of Europe Thales Swedish Defence Research Agency (FOI) Ministry of Defence France
  • 3. Table of Contents Summary 5 The recommendations at a glance 7 I. Why the Jam matters 8 II. The Security Jam’s main recommendations 10 III. Dealing with a fragmented world 30 Annex 50 Participants of the 2010 Security Jam included… 50 Security Jam 2010 Hosts 51 Security Jam 2010 Facilitators 52 Disclaimer This report offers an independent analysis of the Security Jam for which only the authors A Security & Defence Agenda Report and the SDA can take full responsibility. The views expressed in this report by individuals are Authors: Jonathan Holslag and David Henry Doyle personal opinions and not necessarily the views of the organisation they represent, nor of the Publisher: Geert Cami Security & Defence Agenda, its members or partners. Project Managers: Jessica Henderson and Pauline Massart Reproduction in whole or in part is permitted, providing that full attribution is made to the Design & Layout: Tipik Communication Agency Security & Defence Agenda and to the source(s) in question, and provided that any such Year of publication: 2010 reproduction, whether in full or in part, is not sold unless incorporated in other works. The new global security landscape 3
  • 4. Preface The Security Jam has proven to be an inclusive dialogue about security in its broadest sense. This kind of dialogue addresses the security concerns of stakeholders around the world. Since their introduction at IBM in 2001, online Jams have taken wings as a new form of collaborative innovation. The economic crisis has also increased demand for new ways to reach out to stakeholders. The Jam approach to the security domain was an experiment in itself. It was remarkable to note how quickly military leaders embraced this approach and used the Jam to present their points of view. Other Jam participants made it clear that delivering security goes far beyond traditional military means. The lively debate in the Jam forums illustrates how interconnected our planet has become. This interconnectedness affects organisational and institutional boundaries and our conception of who we are and how we relate to one another. No greater symbol of this interconnectedness could have been that both EU and NATO supported this Security Jam. But the full measure of the Jam’s success will be whether we can look back in a few years to see the realisation and implementation of smart ideas that emerged from it. The goal of the Jam was not to write policy for any particular organisation; it was to generate as many new ideas as possible and to build on the creative synergies of many minds focused on a single topic. Now the mission is to take these ideas and integrate them into the institutions’ policy discussions in the hopes that they will help to make this a better, safer, more secure planet for all. Leendert van Bochoven IBM NATO and European Defence Leader Office of the Chairman, EMEA 3815 registered participants • 124 countries • 3,954 posts • 10,000 logins • explorer 4 The new global security landscape
  • 5. Summary The online Security Jam’s goal has been to bring together Building on the Jam discussions, the final section of this actors across the entire spectrum of the international report offers an overview of the evolving security landscape. community to brainstorm on the changing nature of the This reflects the uncertainty expressed in many of the 21st century security landscape. The overarching question Jam discussions that hybrid threats and fragile powers was ‘how can international actors and institutions respond will probably make the world a more unpredictable place. to new security challenges?’ The clear message from the Jam is that better strategic planning and a comprehensive approach to security will Held over five days, the Security Jam proved itself a be imperative if the EU and NATO are to maintain stability catalyst for creative thinking by experts, NGOs, national in their neighbourhood and to build bridges with other government decision makers and international institutions, protagonists like China, Russia, India and Brazil. industry representatives, soldiers, journalists, scholars and opinion leaders. Ten forums took stock of different security The emerging multipolar order is composed of fragile challenges and produced dozens of innovative ideas for powers and will be even less stable than in the two decades improving security policies. since the fall of the Berlin Wall. But interdependence will not automatically produce cooperation – not even within The main theme discussed by the 3,815 participants the EU or NATO. The shifting balance of power will create from 124 countries during the online Jam was how can uncertainty, and in the current climate of economic insecurity the EU and NATO work together to protect our security could lead to fiercer resource competition. The proposals interests in today’s rapidly changing world order? With contained in this report are therefore intended to help the the EU getting to grips with the changes wrought by the EU and NATO maintain peace and security in our globalised Lisbon Treaty and NATO on the verge of launching its new but politically fragmented world. Strategic Concept it was unsurprising that EU and NATO collaboration was by far and away the most discussed The main challenge for the EU and NATO will be to theme in the Jam. Almost 10 per cent of all posts across improve internal coherence and to create a safer periphery. forums centred on this key issue. Second, the objective should be to develop a new security consensus with other major players. However, security This report presents a shortlist of the 10 most pertinent in today’s increasingly fragmented world requires the EU recommendations with a brief snapshot of the relevance and NATO to overcome their internal divisions. Practical of the Security Jam as a communication tool. The report proactive steps are required to achieve this and to avoid then provides a more detailed look at each of these a divergence between capabilities and the threats of the recommendations in the context of their development in new security landscape. the Security Jam. alain Hubert logged into tHe Jam live from princess elisabetH station in antarctica • The new global security landscape 5
  • 6. 61.8% of Jammers Had over 5 years experience in tHe security or development fields 6 The new global security landscape
  • 7. The recommendations at a glance 10 key recommendations synthesised from the online discussions*: 1. NATO should develop a civilian wing to prepare, coordinate and cooperate with civilian actors at various stages of operations 11 2. The UN should secure agreement on UN Millennium Security Goals comparable to the Millennium Development Goals and based on the concept of human security 13 3. Expand both EU and NATO regional security through mutual assistance agreements on non-conventional threats with neighbouring states to build mutual trust 15 4. C reate a European Intelligence Agency as an information broker for complex and hybrid threats 17 5. I mprove the EU’s internal public diplomacy and use new media to consult European experts and citizens on security threats and policies 19 6. C reate a European Security Academy where EU civilian and military staff and other international actors can learn to work together in the field 21 7. E stablish a combined EU-NATO Wisemen's group made up of independent personalities to evaluate capability planning and build public support for cross-border cooperation 23 8. E stablish an EU scarce natural resources inventory with a mandate to protect them for future generations 25 9. P ublish a joint EU-NATO quarterly publication where senior officials from both organisations can highlight new collaboration efforts between the two players 27 1 E 0. stablish an International Crisis Preparedness Fund to harness media spotlight on today’s current crises by collecting 5% of all donations to prepare for future disasters 29 * These recommendations have been selected on the basis of their degree of innovation and pragmatism. They were not voted on. and 47.1% Had over 10 years experience • in a Jam poll 62% felt tHat tHe european The new global security landscape 7
  • 8. I. Why the Jam matters With 3,815 registered participants from 124 countries the Security Jam was an unprecedented global forum to debate the changing international security landscape. Through the “ The Security power of the web the collective brainpower of these experts Jam has done something that was tapped in order to gauge the consequences for the NATO's Group of Experts has EU and NATO and to develop future policies and initiatives not adequately done: to reach to address the new challenges we face. out to people, beyond those of us who are the ‘ usual However, the Jam was not simply a barometer of experts suspects ’ , many of which and practitioners’ views on the evolution of global security. have truly original ideas and More importantly, it was an invaluable source of fresh ideas a range of analysis that goes and an innovative method of opening up communication to the heart of today's and channels between actors in order to build trust. tomorrow's security issues. ” Robert Hunter, By allowing participants across different organisations RAND Corporation and to think outside of the box and interact directly with actors former US Ambassador to NATO they might not otherwise engage with, this online Jam was the perfect platform for creative brainstorming and critical reflection on policies, roles, working methods and cultures. defence agency is not a force to be reckoned witH • 192 representatives from tHe 8 The new global security landscape
  • 9. Breaking down barriers Co-organised by 12 leading international think tanks, the The Jam was divided into 10 forums: Jam attracted a representative sample of the established Political Context security community with the added value of being open to Capabilities and Budgets actors who are not always included in the security equation. Crisis Preparedness Experts from universities and think tanks formed the largest Development section of participants. However, officials from national Security & Human Rights governments, European and international institutions were Environmental Security also well represented, making up 28% of the overall Jam Comprehensive Approach population. Military figures and NGOs made up just over Rising powers 5% and 6% respectively with business representing 14%. Piracy (case study) There was also a striking balance between different age Afghanistan (case study) groups. About 40% of participants were between 18 and 35 years, 43% between 36 and 55 years, and another 17% A team of 26 online hosts – all leading experts or decision- 55 years or more. makers – coached the debates in real-time supported by 75 facilitators (see annex for full list). Complex issues were The Jam also benefited from the participation of a discussed in threads, often moving from lively debates large number of people with direct experience of recent about current challenges and lessons learned to practical deployment around the world, including combat operations, proposals for solutions. stabilisation operations and disaster relief missions as well as input from over 50 VIPs from the political, military, As both the EU and NATO are going through an important diplomatic and business worlds (see annex for full list). transition, the main aim of this exercise is to provide fresh With 57% of participants having over 5 years experience ideas for developing more effective security strategies and in security, defence or development issues the debates building synergies between these two institutions which were of a high level. although located in the same city often seem to exist on different planets when it comes to policy making. The The online debate generated some 4,000 written ten recommendations which headline this report were contributions, most of which focused on solutions to very therefore selected on the basis of their innovativeness, their specific challenges such as coordination between the EU practicality and because they tackle issues most discussed and NATO (360 posts), a better use of civilian and military in the Jam forums. capabilities (238 posts), a strategy for the stabilisation of Afghanistan (144 posts) and the options for improving relations with Russia (129 posts). Other issues which attracted a great deal of attention were the concept of human security (135 posts), the rise of China (128 posts) and human rights (120 posts). military, including 6 generals and 5 admirals • Just under 10% of all posts in tHe The new global security landscape 9
  • 10. II. The Security Jam’s 10 main recommendations “ In Afghanistan, we have major problems to find policemen, agricultural advisors and judges and when we do, they are expensive. ” Jamie Shea, Director for Policy & Planning, Private Office of the Secretary General, NATO How can tHe eU and nato address new secUrity cHallenges in a rapidly cHanging world order? Across the Jam forums there was a strong consensus that threats will be increasingly hybrid and that the EU and NATO should therefore invest in hybrid strategies. The overall consensus in the Jam was that this requires an effective combination of civilian and military instruments. The EU and NATO can only succeed if they gain wider support at home. Given the complicated nature of new threats, awareness and legitimacy will be vital in developing a solid security strategy for this century. Jam centred around eu-nato collaboration • 18 asian countries represented in tHe 10 The new global security landscape
  • 11. 1. NATO should develop a civilian wing to prepare, coordinate and cooperate with civilian actors at various stages of operations NATO should have a civilian wing responsible for preparing Institute for National Strategic Studies stressed the need for the civilian dimension of operations, coordinating NATO and the EU to develop a new framework for consulting cooperation with civilian actors, briefing military units and coordinating the non-military aspects of security. An and evaluating needs as they arise on the ground. This important objective of the wing should be to stimulate needs to be a small permanent unit located at NATO’s creative thinking between civilian and military stakeholders. operational headquarters – combining military officers, It should give NGOs, for example, the possibility to express civilians with operational experience and experts – which their expectations . At the same time, Bertelsmann Stiftung’s can be expanded in case of new operations. Josef Janning maintained that: “Rather than integrating the civil side of order building into military planning, it would help Jam participants stressed that interventions in the to broaden the view of military planners and commanders Balkans, Afghanistan and Iraq revealed the same problem to issues beyond their own immediate tasks. Knowing time after time: military progress is hard to achieve without about the civilian agenda early will be of added value for a civilian strategy. Due to their operations.” sheer size and solid command structures, armies always The civilian wing also needs to play a role in operational “ We should have tend to overshadow civilian planning. It should map the humanitarian assistance space a cell at SHAPE, the NATO actors. As there is simply no in conflict zones as well as the development and diplomatic civilian equivalent to a military realms. Shuja Nawaz of the Atlantic Council suggested operational HQ, that is division the capabilities of “collecting the best civilian minds to help fathom many of focused specifically on the NGOs and governments are the non-military issues that affect military planning and comprehensive approach, often fragmented. As NATO’s operations.” NATO could even consider forward civilian largely manned by civilians with Jamie Shea highlighted: “In operations. Before the military intervention, civilian experts experience in disasters and Afghanistan, we have major would start collecting information about humanitarian needs reconstruction. ” problems to find policemen, and possible economic consequences of the use of force. Admiral James Stavridis, agricultural advisors and judges The wing could process this information and make sure SACEUR and when we do, they are that these concerns are taken into account in the military expensive.” The NATO civilian planning. wing should help bringing these actors in step and avoid hindsight learning by developing Once an operation begins, the wing would coordinate an institutional memory. The objective should not be to interaction between the battle zone and the international duplicate but to coordinate. community, responding to needs by sourcing additional capabilities from its networks. King’s College London’s During peacetime, the civilian wing’s main task will be Karolina MacLachlan argued that a civilian wing could also to trace possible partners outside the military realm. Jam help overcome communication problems towards local participants proposed that it should act as an interface with populations and international audiences. NGOs, the UN and other governments. Stanley Sloan of the security Jam • saceur admiral James stavridis at one point took part from 33,000 The new global security landscape 11
  • 12. “ Without some sense of solidarity between actors and receivers of security action, there is little prospect of cooperation that can succeed in terms of change in the target area. ” Phillip Shetler-Jones, Former Royal Marines Officer and PhD candidate at University of Sheffield feet en route to a nato ministerial meeting • in a Jam poll 56% believed tHe eu is not 12 The new global security landscape
  • 13. 2. The UN should secure agreement on UN Millennium Security Goals comparable to the Millennium Development Goals and based on the concept of human security States cannot stop new threats at their borders, but states This requires the EU having an open discussion with other often do stop security cooperation across borders. Many protagonists like the US, Brazil, China, India and Russia modern security threats do not discriminate between about how good governance can be promoted. These nations. Yet, diverging political values and distrust among countries understand that promoting good governance states complicate a global consensus on how to tackle is also in their own interest, but a consensus needs to be them. As China’s Ambassador Song Zhe argued in the reached about the instruments to do so. Jam, there is an increasing number of non-traditional security challenges, but traditional security threats have Jam participants also urged consensus on the not disappeared. responsibility to protect. For emerging powers, state consent remains a prerequisite for intervention. The EU and NATO should therefore take the lead in However, these states are starting to realise that their engaging other countries to develop millennium security growing overseas presence increasingly leads to situations goals centred on human security. Anne Marie Slaughter in which the protection of their own interests becomes of the US State Department outlined this need clearly in inseparable from protecting the security of local populations. her proposal for a new security concept, “We have to be The European Union should try to reach an agreement on able to think about security threats not only in terms of the conditions of humanitarian interventions and at the same what imperils governments or populations as a whole, time to commit itself to making a credible contribution to but also what imperils individuals in their day to day lives.” such operations. Agreement on Millennium Security Goals could help foster cooperation by ‘acting as a link to join peoples in countries All major powers have been involved in humanitarian with capacity (e.g. EU members, NATO allies) with those or peacekeeping operations in the last few years. In one in areas enjoying less security’ says Phillip Shetler-Jones of the forums, Lars-Gunnar Wigemark, the Head of the who pitched the idea in the Jam. What we need are not Commission’s Security Policy Unit, referred to the recent ‘definitions for the sake of definitions, but definitions for the operation in Chad as a good example of maintaining security purpose of cooperation’. around refugee camps while the European Commission provided financing for the training of Chadian police forces good governance should be the first priority. States inside the internally displaced person camps. However, must serve their nation, not the other way around. Anita countries like China and India have also started to combine Inder Singh, a professor at the Centre for Peace and civilian and military instruments for improving security in Conflict Resolution in New Delhi, was just one of many African conflict states. The new EEAS should organise contributors to assert that developing countries deserve workshops to discuss lessons learned and to deduce the support of the international community to meet the best practices that could serve as guidelines for the needs of their people by dealing with issues like insecurity, Millennium Security Goals. endemic corruption and the lack of basic social services. a credible security actor • un special representative kai eide logged in live from The new global security landscape 13
  • 14. „ Interdependence between nations is perhaps greater than at any other time in our history kabul • in a Jam poll 65% believed tHat tHe security of eu and us citizens is at stake in 14 The new global security landscape
  • 15. 3. Expand both EU and NATO regional security through mutual assistance agreements on non-conventional threats with neighbouring states to build mutual trust The EU and NATO should conceive their security policies in sanction by expulsion. This will confront the spoiler with ways that are not threatening to other powers. They could both increased traditional and non-traditional security conclude agreements with non-members on our periphery risks. Other countries will then balance against the spoiler's that guarantee mutual assistance against non- security ambitions, and it will have to bear the entire cost conventional threats like large-scale terrorist attacks, forest of protecting its domestic and foreign interests, instead of fires or nuclear disaster. The non-member signatory would sharing the burden. be responsible for making the call to activate a clause of mutual assistance, not against war, but against other threats The concept of mutually assured protection that might overwhelm that country's ability to guarantee is thus highly relevant for the EU and NATO to maintain stability and contain the crisis. stability on their periphery. At least as important is that inclusive security strategies are a realistic option to coax With powers beyond our immediate neighbourhood the rising powers into constructive synergies. Brazil, China and EU and NATO have to develop synergies to address specific India have become more willing to protect their overseas challenges in specific regions. For example, protecting sea interests. These countries are now starting to develop lanes around Africa, securing pipelines in Central Asia and diplomatic and military instruments to do so. Whether combating drugs smuggling from the Golden Triangle. These it concerns the reconstruction of Afghanistan, bringing security arrangements can even be developed in the framework peace to Africa or combating pirates at sea, developing of other regional organisations like the African Union. and maintaining pragmatic collaboration between the international protagonists will be indispensible. One jammer provocatively described the difference between Defence and Security as being between “Global success in this turbulent century will depend on strengthening the castle walls and marrying ones children our collective ability to be like Wikipedia - all contributing to key neighbours: “The idea of reinforcing the degree of knowledge and experience, access to a connected global interdependence that underpins that thought strikes me set of actors, and creative application of resources,” as key to understanding how we build security in the 21st summarised Admiral James Stavridis. But many other century; a time when interdependence between nations Jam participants stressed that before such a collective is perhaps greater than at any other time in our history”. approach can be effective, Western powers need greater coordination, not to enhance deterrence, but to reaffirm The advantage of this approach is that it reflects the common security interests and responsibilities. Along growing interdependence among nations, but also reconciles these lines it was suggested in the Jam that one way to rule-based cooperation with power politics. It moves from begin to prioritise the security agenda is for states to list exclusive security alliances to inclusive arrangements. The their primary security concerns in an open international costs for participating states to go unilateral or to “free conference, perhaps at UN level, in order to identify the ride” also increases as other participating states could most pressing issues. afgHanistan • tHe average participant spent over 3 Hours in tHe Jam • 2,479 participants The new global security landscape 15
  • 16. from tHe eu • in a Jam poll 58% said tHe rise of tHe g20 strengtHens tHe atlantic 16 The new global security landscape
  • 17. 4. Create a European Intelligence Agency as an information broker for complex and hybrid threats The EEAS can only be proactive in its strategies if it has its aggressors and promote the exchange of information own Intelligence Agency. Not to conduct covert operations between member states. Given the rapid evolution of IT, the or to eliminate specific threats, but to process reliable European Intelligence Agency should also aim at effective assessments and scenarios with information that is provided public private partnerships. by European officials abroad, open media and member states. The European Intelligence Agency should act as Despite promising new green technologies, the a clearinghouse or a trusted information broker competition for energy becomes fiercer every day. Europe’s that unravels complex hybrid threats for operational and energy security will to a large extent depend on its strategic planning. internal coordination, proactive planning and reliable intelligence on future threats. In this case, too, the main Jammers stressed the need for monitoring and early role of the European Intelligence Agency will be to connect warning on impacts of environmental change. the dots. It should gather information about the upstream Most of the information in this market: newly discovered reserves abroad, options for field is freely accessible and diversifying supply lines, competition from other states, can be further supported by possible threats against sensitive infrastructure and the “ Intelligence the earth observation facilities impact of local stability on production. needs not just to be shared of the European Commission’s but worked on collaboratively. ” ISFEREA programme. The The Agency would also become the central node for Lt General David Leakey, main objective here is to signal collecting and disseminating information to support Director EU Military Staff problems at an early stage, map eU operations. “Take a not unlikely situation where the environmental risk landscape there was an EU engagement or intervention in a region or and develop effective indicators state involving a military force, a police mission, a special that highlight threats to the food supply system, energy representative and a resident delegation,” EU Military Staff security, health and ecosystems. Director Lt.-General David Leakey stated. “Would you not want to have one coherent and collaborative messaging cyber security was flagged as another area in which arrangement in the fields of media, information operations, both the EU and NATO need to boost their intelligence. psychological operations, political themes?” This Agency Several Jam participants proposed a cyber command or should serve as an intelligence coordination centre between department within NATO, but the EU, too, has to take threats civilian and military actors, EU institutions and member in the e-realm more seriously. With no physical and logical states, EU and NATO stakeholders, etc. “Intelligence needs separation between defence, critical infrastructure and not just to be shared but worked on collaboratively“ to commercial interests in cyber attacks, the EU Intelligence ensure that the Comprehensive Approach is actually Agency should map vulnerable targets and the possible implemented. fall-out after cyber attacks. It needs to trace potential community • 476 tHink tankers around tHe globe took part • 13 african countries The new global security landscape 17
  • 18. “ The EEAS will need publicly to establish its legitimacy if it is to be credible in terms of adding value to the output of individual member states ” David Ringrose, Head of Information and Communications, DG RELEX European Commission were represented in tHe security Jam • 87% rated tHe Jam as good or excellent • 18 The new global security landscape
  • 19. 5. Improve the EU’s internal public diplomacy and use new media to consult European experts on security threats and policies The creation of a European External Action Service is raising To hold the EEAS to account there needs a reliable expectations that the EU will soon translate its diplomatic security barometer: a regular survey of Europeans’ ambitions into practice. Yet the precondition for a robust views on security threats and European policies. As foreign and security policy is a dynamic security community. suggested by Miroslav Hazer in the Jam, such polls could This not only requires a well-functioning bureaucracy; be complemented by foreign policy blogs. “Traditional media what the EU needs even more is a strategic culture. and professional journalists in connection with the new The EEAS should reach out to stakeholders in member social media and bloggers should play an important role in states to analyse new international challenges, build a such open public discussion, helping all the stakeholders consensus on primary objectives and critically evaluate its to talk to each other, understand each other and in this way policy instruments. set the security-related public agenda.” This implies an effective internal public diplomacy. Another suggestion from the Jam was that this basic “The EEAS will need publicly to establish its legitimacy if interactive model could be used in the form of regional it is to be credible in terms of adding value to the output EEAS offices located outside foreign capitals to act as of individual member states,” the Commission’s David ‘communication conduits’. By offering dialogue channels Ringrose confirmed in the Jam. It should therefore set up on issues like human rights, economic and educational a group of outreach advisors whose main task is to opportunities through local meetings and discussions, interact with experts, journalists and business people in as well virtually, the EEAS could distinguish itself as a sui member states. The aim of these discussions would be generis organisation which is more likely to be accepted to explore important international by local populations. A number of participants felt that the issues and to brainstorm on new EEAS should “try to be different from a twentieth century policy initiatives. national diplomatic service” by concentrating on being The EEAS should be “ more “more people-centric that state-centric”. people-centric than For important new issues, state-centric ” . the EEAS needs to organise e-groups and even internet jams are another important Professor Mary Kaldor, intensive brainstorming tool for stimulating interaction among members of the London School of Economics sessions, convening opinion European security community. These groups can be either leaders to analyse how these open or restricted to a select number of professionals, trends or incidents affect our security but they will prove to be a vital tool in exchanging and to discuss possible strategies in an inclusive and open views, information and experiences. Moreover, secure environment. These meetings should not become mere e-forums could convene EU and NATO practitioners to PR stunts. Participants have to be properly prepared and informally discuss common policy issues or operational deserve to get feedback afterwards. lessons learned. Such public diplomacy would boost the authority of the EEAS, and the support of a broad security community could increase its leverage vis-à-vis member state governments. in a Jam poll 67% believe europe’s military forces are severely underequipped • tHe The new global security landscape 19
  • 20. “ One real contribution such an academy could make would be to provide training for Europe's civilian actors in crisis management. They will require skill sets such as strategic planning and strategic communications and a thorough understanding of how others work in crises. ” Dr Stephanie Blair, SIPRI forums posted in most by representatives of tHe european institutions were political 20 The new global security landscape
  • 21. 6. Create a European Security Academy where EU civilian and military staff and other international actors can learn to work together in the field All Jam forums highlighted the expertise deficit in an institution which can retain this kind of knowledge for the EU and NATO’s foreign and security policies. Reliable future generations”. information is key to anticipating and understanding new security risks. A complete picture of the needs, aspirations There is also a need to eliminate mistrust between and behaviour of protagonists on GOs and NGOS without jeopardising specialised training. “I the international scene is also would like to see more military units earmarked as rescue indispensible in bilateral and teams, and mentally prepared to work in the CIMIC world, “ I would like multilateral negotiations. At the not pretending anymore that they are trained for war and to see more military units… can't do anything ‘less’” says Commander Jérôme Michelet same time, operational skills will mentally prepared to work of the French Navy. be key if the EU and NATO are to in the CIMIC world, not excel in comprehensive CIVMIL pretending anymore that they operations. However, this institution should not be a new think tank are trained for war and that duplicates the work of existing institutes or another can't do anything ‘ less ’ ” The problem is not so form of academic window dressing. Instead, the Academy Commander Jérôme Michelet, much that there is no expertise should take the lead in developing a division of labour among French Navy available in Europe, but that a these institutions, sketching out a research agenda that is lot of it remains confined to the relevant for the EU’s foreign policies, financing advanced academic realm or national think joint research projects and disseminating research output. tanks, governments or NGOs. The EU often does not Whenever there is need for instant or specific reports, have the capacity to mobilise this vast pool of knowledge this academy could source from a large network of and experience. The EEAS therefore needs to establish a experts. Knowledge is not only a vital asset in supporting european security academy. policy making; joint research by experts from different member states could also help develop a common view on This Academy would be a unique location for international issues and legitimise EEAS strategies. operational training. It should be responsible for training officials, and, as recommended by Jam participants A requirement for this security community to be like SIPRI’s Stephanie Blair, it should also provide training productive is that EEAS officers get the time and scope in joint crisis management, bringing together civilian and to participate in expert discussions. The experience of the military staff. Again, the Academy should avoid duplicating Jam suggests that officials are still somewhat reluctant to existing initiatives, but it could provide financial means contribute to such debates. Each research or training project to offer good existing programmes to wider audiences organised by the Academy should therefore be coached and even to combine training modules from different by a group of officials, allocated time in their planning to organisations into one advanced programme. This way, the do so. The EEAS should also promote interaction. academy will be a one-stop-shop for European practitioners Experts could be allowed to temporarily join its units and to gain and exchange experience with other actors from should encourage officials to spend longer time in academic international organisations specialised in their given field. institutes or NGOs. As another Jammer commented “it's important to have context (26%), Human rigHts (26%) and rising powers (12%) • 5 ministers logged into The new global security landscape 21
  • 22. tHe Jam including 2 defence ministers, 2 foreign ministers and 1 vice-prime minister 22 The new global security landscape
  • 23. 7. Establish a combined EU-NATO Wisemen's group made up of independent personalities to evaluate capability planning and build public support for cross-border cooperation “There is a risk of divergence between less investment waste by duplication of Europe's defence effort. A political in security and the objective level of actual and potential shock communication campaign seems to be needed to threats, which is in no way shake public opinion and thereby, hopefully, stir Europe's declining,” General Stéphane political class from its slumber.” “ The general Abrial remarked in the Jam. public seems largely unaware This growing gap applies to all The challenge for the EU is to find a balance between layers of the EU and NATO’s reducing budgets, operational needs and economic of the sheer waste capabilities – military and civilian. interests. Jam participants identified the fact that by duplication of Europe's One of the most urgent battles multinational programmes are often more expensive defence effort. for the EU and NATO will be the than national ones. The Wisemen should encourage battle against fragmentation and interoperability of equipment by working to harmonise A political shock communication wasteful duplicatiton. requirements and underlying standards. campaign seems to be needed to shake public opinion and … There needs to be a However, similar challenges exist in regard to civilian stir Europe's political class combined EU-NATO group capabilities. The wisemen should therefore develop an EU- from its slumber. ” made up of retired independent NATO pool for civilian crisis management. “This Robert Cox, military and political authorities to is not a matter of showing one’s own flag,” the European former Senior Advisor to the European Community’s evaluate current approaches to Commission’s Nico Keppens insisted, “it is about helping Humanitarian Office (ECHO) capability planning and promote people in the most efficient way.” Antje Herrberg of the Crisis cross border collaboration. This Management Initiative proposed to start with integrating all group should also have a major role in the EU's foreign affairs policies into one coherent political building public support and awareness in the public sphere and operational framework: DG Relex:, DG Development, for increased cross border cooperation. ECHO, EuropAID, DG Trade, the crisis management structures of the Council Secretariat and member states’ The group needs to agencies. The latter could commit policemen, judges, explore options for smart lawyers, corrections officials, health officials, administrators, “ There is procurement of military economists and agronomists to a civilian crisis response a risk of capabilities. The EU member corps. The EEAS would coordinate the deployment of these states are currently developing instruments and streamline synergies with NATO. divergence between less 89 new systems in 25 main investment in security categories of armaments, While Jam discussions confirmed that development and the objective level of whereas the United States cooperation has a much broader scope than preventing or actual and potential threats ” finances only 27 major projects. addressing security threats, more effective spending General Stéphane Abrial, Supreme Allied Commander Transformation As Robert Cox pointed out in the of aid is vital to support CIVMIL operations. NATO Jam “The general public seems largely unaware of the sheer • 335 security Jam participants logged in wHile on operations in tHe field • in a Jam The new global security landscape 23
  • 24. poll 55% said tHat even massive development aid could not defuse insurgencies 24 The new global security landscape
  • 25. 8. Establish an EU scarce natural resources inventory with a mandate to protect them for future generations The European Commission should develop an inventory In one of the most urbanised regions of the world, the of limited natural resources in Europe and establish an first priority of the agency should be to protect Europe’s own agency responsible for managing and protecting them. scarce resources. It should compile relevant information Building on the experience of the European Water Initiative, from NGOs and member state governments into an this agency would also be responsible for coordinating EU-wide database of important natural heritages: water and supporting projects to change reserves, fragile agriculture areas, etc. The next step is to consumer behaviour and to work with local governments and NGOs to protect these ensure that precious natural assets. Companies, too, can play a role. As Jacqueline “ Unfortunately, resources are better valued. McGlade suggested, “A number of major water companies the world all too often have been able to develop adaptation plans that include responds only when there is Director of the World Food citizens accepting their role in reducing their demand on a security problem. ” Programme Josette Sheeran water supplies and sharing the burden of the risks of water stressed that: “The risks to shortages in the future.” Josette Sheeran, Executive Director of the World Food Programme stability and peace posed by financial, food price and This agency should also foster partnerships with environmental shocks for the environmental protection organisations in 50 percent of the world’s population without food safety developing countries. This is crucial to prevent foreign or nets are significant. Unfortunately, the world all too often multinational companies from externalising pollution. One responds only when there is a security problem.” Jamming successful case referred to in the Jam was the partnership from Antarctica, Explorer Alain Hubert was one of the many between Rainforest Alliance and Chiquita, which was participants to insist on “Informing the individual of what concluded after mainly European consumers started to lies ahead and the need to radically modify their lifestyles criticise the banana producer’s disastrous environmental and providing the means to act.” impact in Latin America. It could consider environmental monitoring for all important agriculture products that are imported. But these partnerships should also strengthen enforcement capacity and enhance the awareness of local “ Inform civil society. the individual of what lies ahead and the need to radically modify their lifestyles and provide the means to act. ” Alain Hubert, Explorer and UNICEF Goodwill Ambassador in afgHanistan and pakistan • 9 middle eastern countries were represented in tHe The new global security landscape 25
  • 26. security Jam • 710 participants from tHe usa • 2,479 participants from tHe european 26 The new global security landscape
  • 27. 9. Publish a joint EU-NATO quarterly publication where senior officials from both organisations can collaborate in public “Are we doing enough to harmonise Europe's or the This publication is just one concrete example of the kind Atlantic's view on what's bothering us in terms of security, of steps that many Security Jam participants felt could be and how to cope?” a senior EU official asked in the Jam. useful in getting the EU and NATO communicating effectively A joint EU and NATO security review can help with each other on a more regular basis. Such a platform shape the intellectual debate with hard-hitting contributions could not only serve as a space to share opinions but also as from experts of both organisations on better cooperation an ongoing platform for innovation among top level experts and harmonisation. This could be a place where new and decision makers in the transatlantic security community. collaboration is forged in public through co-authorship of articles and where the EU and NATO can be seen to be Moreover, because such a publication would be getting “in step” with one another. freely available to the general public it would serve as an information tool to promote awareness of their respective As Former NATO Secretary General Jaap de Hoop policies and maintain the kind of informed debate in Scheffer pointed out the problem is that “EU and NATO the public realm which the Security Jam sought to Ambassadors can hardly talk to each other… The time for promote. competition should long be over!” This review could be published every three months so that it combines articles on long-term security. Blending “ Today, soft-power is about the sharp and opinionated writing with innovative research contributions, the review should aim at a wide readership ability to lead efficient public debate and be disseminated freely in both member states and across borders engaging brains and beyond. winning hearts. Empower traditional media and connect them with the However, there can only be multiplying affect of new social scope for such analysis if the media. “ EU and NATO EEAS and NATO provide support Ambassadors can hardly for it. The journal should have a This will help all stakeholders to talk to each other… professional editorial team and understand each other and set up The time for competition an active group of advisors to the security-related agenda with help develop it into an influential should long be over! ” sufficient public international support. ” international publication. Jaap de Hoop Scheffer, Miroslav Hazer, Former NATO Secretary General Project Manager European Journalism Centre Union • in a Jam poll 70% believed that the iranian nUclear programme posed a The new global security landscape 27
  • 28. “ We are tired of programme managers with little knowledge in risk and crisis management heading departments in UN and affiliated agencies, preparing and managing conferences and meetings all year round, but paying little attention to the crust of the matter ” Stella Attakpah, Ghanaian diplomat tHreat to tHe west • tHe forums posted in most by representatives of nato were 28 The new global security landscape
  • 29. Establish an International Crisis Preparedness 10. Fund to harness the media spotlight on today’s current crises by collecting 5% of all donations to prepare for future disasters Five per cent of all donations made to any crisis should be money donated to major crises should go to a disaster invested into an international disaster relief fund managed prevention fund. “This donated fund could be used by by the United Nations. The aim of the fund is to capitalise the United Nations to implement disaster prevention on the short-term media spotlight of humanitarian disasters measures in the poorest and most vulnerable regions of the in order to shift attention to long-term preparedness. world.” The money could be used to fund Tsunami warning systems or to educate people on the correct responses Large-scale crises like those recently in Haiti or in to disasters. The UN International Strategy for Disaster Asian countries vulnerable to Tsunamis are often followed Reduction (ISDR) was named in the Jam as a possible by ambitious emergency relief operations and generous beneficent of the fund. financial aid. But spontaneity often comes at the expense of effectiveness. Donor countries and NGOs can be Other Jammers emphasised the need to invest in more eager to show their flag than to invest in efficient preparedness, minimising the impact of a disaster multilateral coordination. When the camera teams have left, by strengthening the capacity to provide a timely and local governments have seldom enough support to beef appropriate humanitarian response to the needs of up their own crisis response capacity like alert networks affected populations. The five-percent-levy could be used for earthquakes or tsunamis, effective evacuation plans to strengthen the stand-by capacities of the UN Office for or well-trained public services. In the case of smaller or the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA). chronic crises, it is not even certain that any serious help arrives at all. However, a condition for such a fund to be helpful is once more to limit wasteful fragmentation among “The problem I see is that the donors and increase expertise of risk managers in both country gets the money after international organisations and recipient countries. “Most “ The problem something has happened, not times the work of disaster prevention is rarely managed I see is that the country before,” Humanitarian Affairs by Risk Managers who are skilled in this type of work,” the Advisor to the Austrian Chief Ghanian diplomat Stella Attakpah remarked, “We are tired gets the money after of Defence Staff General Alois of programme managers with little knowledge heading something has happened, Hirschmugl remarked in the departments in UN and affiliated agencies, preparing not before ” Jam. Nottingham University’s and managing conferences and meetings all year round, General Alois Hirschmugl, Austrian Humanitarian Affairs Matthew Fribbance therefore but paying little attention to the crust of the matter: crisis Advisor to the Chief of Defence Staff proposed that five percent of the management, prevention and impact reduction.” political context (24%), afgHanistan (19%) and compreHensive approacH (15%) • over The new global security landscape 29
  • 30. III. Dealing with a fragmented world Globalisation has flattened borders between states. Just Despite most countries’ awareness of the fact that the like modern business transactions carried out across the security of one state can no longer be separated from the globe with one mouse click non-traditional security threats security of another state, distrust of each other’s strategic also journey over long distances. Organised gangs have the intentions and pressing economic needs complicate entire world as their hunting ground. Booming trade and collaboration. financial flows make it almost impossible to detect deadly shipments of arms, illegally excavated natural resources or Yet, the overwhelming message from the Security Jam terrorist transactions. Failing states automatically imperil seems to be that the very challenges posed by failing states, operations of foreign investors and disturb international hybrid and cross-border threats “require the engagement of markets. all powers- rising or not”. The message is clear: in the new security landscape “cooperation and rivalry among these But if the world has indeed become flat, it also remains powers will have a significant impact on the trajectory of fragmented. Effective cooperation for tackling non-traditional our globalised world.” security threats is often thwarted by traditional power plays between states. A number of distinct cross cutting themes also emerged from the Security Jam to reflect the fragmented The relative erosion of the United States’ influence and nature of today’s global security architecture. Within these the emergence of new ambitious regional powers have themes Jam participants identified a number of areas where culminated in a new climate of uncertainty. Many in the future progress and collaboration can occur. Let us take a Jam described the emergence of “a confusing world - not closer look then at how the Jam assessed this quandary unipolar but not really multipolar, either”. Harkening back and what kind of solutions it proposed. to the Ancient Greeks one Jammer depicted a kind of “oligopoly” to describe current international affairs in which there is “a group of players of very different nature and size but all distinctively more powerful, stronger economically and/or demographically, potentially more destructive and more relevant to the other major players than the rest”. “ Cooperation and rivalry among these powers will have a significant impact on the trajectory of our globalised world. „ a quarter of posts relating directly to tHe eu and nato in tHe Jam were tagged 30 The new global security landscape
  • 31. Security Jam statistics Percentage of registered participants by professional affiliation 2% European Institutions 5% 11% 3% NATO 5% United Nations Other international institution 2% 21% 3% National government/civil service National government/politician Business 12% NGO Think tank University 2% Media 12% Military 15% Other 7% Percentage of posts per Security Jam forum 4% 5% Political context 6% 26% Rising powers Case study 2: Afghanistan 8% Comprehensive approach Capabilities & budgets Security & human rights 8% Environmental security 13% Crisis preparedness Development 8% Case study 1: Piracy 11% 11%
  • 32. Security Jam statistics Percentage of European Institution posts and NATO posts per Security Jam forum Case study 2: Afghanistan European Institutions Case study 1: Piracy NATO Rising powers Comprehensive approach Environmental security Security & human rights Development Crisis preparedness Capabilities & budgets Political context 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Security Jam quick poll: How long will public opinion in the EU and NATO countries tolerate deployments in Afghanistan? 4% 11% 2 years 37% 5 years 10 years 20 years 48%
  • 33. Registered participants of the Security Jam by age 2% 10% 13% 18 - 25 years 26 - 35 years 36 - 45 years 46 - 55 years 56 - 64 years 20% 28% 65+ years 23% Percentage of posts per Security Jam forum by affiliation Case study 2: Afghanistan Military Case study 1: Piracy NGO National Rising powers government/ Comprehensive approach civil service Environmental security Business Security & human rights Development Crisis preparedness Capabilities & budgets Political context 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
  • 34. Security Jam quick poll: What is THE priority issue for international leaders to focus on in 2010? Climate change Poverty 30% Disarmament 37% Terrorism Jobs & economy 12% 12% 9% Percentage of total posts by years of experience in security, defence or development issues 13% 0-5 years 6-10 years 5% 11-15 years 39% 16-20 years 7% 21-25 years 26-29 years 30+ years 12% 9% 15%
  • 35. The sure-fire thunder behind the F-35 Lightning II. An evolution of the Pratt & Whitney F119 engine, the only 5th generation fighter technology with more than 275,000 hours, our F135 engine delivers a safety assurance that simply can’t be equaled. Learn more at f135engine.com. CARRIER | HAMILTON SUNDSTRAND | OTIS | PRATT & WHITNEY | SIKORSKY | UTC FIRE & SECURITY F135 Surefire Engine UTC SecurityJamv4.indd 1 3/23/10 11:10:03 AM Client: Pratt & Whitney Commercial Engines Ad Title: UTC Thank You Publication: Security Jam Trim: 210 mm x 148 mm witH tHe categorisation ‘strategy & leadersHip’ • 58% of Jammers were over 36 The new global security landscape 31
  • 36. The world will be dominated by fragile powers America’s unipolar moment appears to be fading. Even if Their foreign policies will mainly depend on the extent the U.S. market recovers from the economic crisis and the to which they are able to tap the international market for Obama Administration succeeds to “re-energise the nation”, creating opportunities for their expanding labour forces. it will be burdened by huge financial deficits that could weigh China, India and Brazil will follow different paths in pursuit of on its capacity to innovate. Domestic problems will weaken unity and affluence. If they continue to experience success Washington’s political leverage in negotiations with other and maintain confidence in the prospects of an open global countries and erode its soft power. US military might is likely economy, there will be more scope for domestic reform and to hold, but the rapid military modernisation of the emerging taking a constructive role in international affairs. powers as well as the enormous costs of wars in Iraq and Afghanistan will further reduce its manoeuvrability. In many Yet, for all three emerging powers, needs are now ways the United States remains the dominant player on the growing faster than the capacity to fulfil them. This has the international scene, but it will have to wield its power more potential to engender domestic instability and could prompt carefully and selectively. political leaders to focus on national security instead of personal liberties. In their foreign policies, the emphasis International politics in the will be on short-term economic gains and avoiding costs coming decades will most likely rather than on long-term international stability. This greatly “ Engaging be determined by a loose group obstructs the development of a consensus with Western China and India and Russia of fragile powers. Still banking countries about the norms that guide international politics. on its success during the two and others is a policy which great wars and the long Cold As pointed out by George Perkovich, vice president might or might not have War of the past century, the for studies and director of the Nuclear Policy Program at been successful in the past. United States will be forced more the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace “China, In present, and even more so and more onto the defensive to India, Brazil, and Russia should be analysed and engaged in future circumstances, one protect its interests. Russia will as distinct individual states with distinct interests and would need to learn to engage continue to slide backwards, capabilities to affect others and the international system WITH them. ” failing to reform its economy as a whole”. We must recognise “when and where each Dmitri Trenin, and even more to gain the could play an effective positive role in redressing a global Director of the Moscow Office of the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace international esteem it longs problem”. Dmitri Trenin, Director of the Moscow Office of for. China, India and Brazil will the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace echoed continue their attempts to bring this by stating that the problem could be boiled down to a their international status up to par mere preposition: it is not so much a question of engaging with their vast geopolitical, demographic and cultural rising powers, what we need to do is “learn to engage WITH potential. They are still regional powers but have growing them”. This requires “a more co-equal approach from the global interests which will produce new dilemmas about U.S. and the EU”. how to reconcile their strained capabilities with growing responsibilities abroad. years old • tHe security Jam ran for a total of 128 Hours • witH a total of 3954 32 The new global security landscape