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The	
  Green	
  Plan	
  
For	
  Food	
  Security	
  
International Conference on Policies for Water and Food
Security in Dry Areas
24th to 26th of June, Cairo, Egypt
Pr Mohamed Ait Kadi
Morocco	
  
Content of this talk
WATER
AGRICULTURE TRADE
SS
FS
ü Commercial / Non commercial Agriculture
ü “Super market revolution”
ü Commodity prices volatility
IWRM
MohamedAitKadiCGDA
Agriculture	
  Matters	
  
MohamedAitKadiCGDA
Farming	
  Systems	
  
20-35%
5-10%
70-80 BMAD
45-50%
60-70%
3-4 Mio
Jobs
35-40%
10-15%
EmploymentValue
Fresh
50-55%
13 BMADDH
Processed
45-50%
Exports
High value added
Fruits & Vegetables
Grains & Forage
25%
7,4 Mio Ha
75%
Area
Livestock
MohamedAitKadiCGDA
Importance	
  of	
  the	
  	
  
Smallholders	
  Sector	
  
Annual income (MAD)
149 000Tomatoes
115 000Apples
66 000Citrus
7 000Olives
2 000Wheat
The poverty trap!
1.5 mio 8.7mio Ha
Farms CL
< 5 ha
> 5 ha
70%
24%
Average:
2,1 Ha per
Holding
MohamedAitKadiCGDA
MohamedAitKadiCGDA
The	
  Challenge	
  
Ø  To reliably produce increasing supplies and more varieties
of food, mainly through higher yields using less water and
other resource inputs in an environmentally friendly
manner – and at reasonable and affordable prices for
consumers
Ø  This challenge must be met as the climate changes, and as
almost every input to the food production, processing and
consumption chain increases in cost.
Ø  This can only be done by mobilizing technology in all
kinds of agriculture including smallholders, using all
sources of water and achieving much better coordination,
cooperation and partnerships among the major
stakeholders involved
MohamedAitKadiCGDA
Generating	
  a	
  Virtuous	
  Cycle	
  
Investments
Productivity
/ Quality
High Value
MohamedAitKadiCGDA
Building	
  on	
  Successes	
  
MohamedAitKadiCGDA
Operating	
  Principles	
  of	
  the	
  New	
  Vision	
  for	
  Agriculture	
  
MohamedAitKadiCGDA
Agriculture a positive driver of socio-
economic development &
environmental sustainability
Cross cutting Reforms + Enabling Environment
Pillar II
Smallholder
farming as a
business
Pillar I
Robust commercial
Agriculture
Holistic/transactional
Approach
Land tenure Water Trade
Domestic
Market
Doing business Value Chains Administration
MohamedAitKadiCGDA
Pillar I: Aggressively
develop a high value/
high productivity
agricultural sector
Implementing advanced production & developing
value- add facilities through holistic value chain
interventions
700 – 900 investment projects across the
country
Attract private investors while protecting
social interests
Investment :
110-150 Md DH
10 years
MohamedAitKadiCGDA
« OFFRE MAROC » for Investors
A WIN WIN Partnership in the context of Aggregation
Strategic aggregation
program based on
contracts with clearly
defined conditions
for each value chain
Innovative framework of incentives
(targeted subsidies, special tax regimes)
V1
Preferential land leasing
V2
Preferential access to financing
V3
Support of aggregation over the
long- term:
• Promotion
• Dispute resolution/arbitration
V4
Preferential access to trade
associated benefits
• Exports & logistics
• Branding & Quality management
• Agrotec – R&D
V5
Commitment to generate growth and
investments (upstream &
downstream)
Investments, sales& value added,
jobs, know-how
E2
Commtment to support aggregated
farmers upstream
Access to inputs and technology
Uptake garanties…
E1
Commitment to fairness
Policy of fair and attractive
remuneration to farmers
E3
Commitments made by the
State
Framework of Incentives
Commitments made by
aggregators
MohamedAitKadiCGDA
14
Pillar II: Smallholder
farming as a business
Lifting greatest
number of farmers
out of poverty
Investment :
15-20 Md DH
10 years
Proactive marketing to Domestic and
International Investors
Strengthening capacities of social institutions
for proper project implementation on the
ground
Reconversion Projects
Intensification Projects
Diversification Projects
300-400 projects
Catalyst for development of Oasis & Mountains
MohamedAitKadiCGDA
WATER-AGRICULTURE-TRADE
WATER
AGRICULTURE TRADE
SS
FS
ü Commercial / Non commercial Agriculture
ü “Super market revolution”
ü Commodity prices volatility
IWRM
Mohamed AITKADI GWP/TEC
MohamedAitKadiCGDA
Sujets	
  de	
  discussion	
  
•  Présentez les principales idées que vous allez
développer
Morocco is a highly water stressed country
with erratic rainfall and frequent droughts.
The country is reaching the end of the water
development era. Water resources
management is therefore shifting to the more
difficult task of ensuring economically,
socially and environmentally efficient water
allocation within the existing water resources
constraints.
MohamedAitKadiCGDA
Rewable Water Resources/ca/RB
1190
853
1045
141
856
512
418
1144
161
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
River Basins
RenewableWater
Resourcesm3/ca
1
23
4
56
7
8
9
730 m3 /ca/year
Deficit/surplus
96
-219
1068
-35
-1468
-163 -126
11 -4
-2000
-1500
-1000
-500
0
500
1000
1500
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
River Basins
Mm3
Water resources
endowment/distribution
MohamedAitKadiCGDA
Morroco’s	
  Water	
  Issues	
  &	
  Constraints	
  
• Water demand is growing fast;
• Water availability is falling to crisis
levels;
• Overexploitation of groundwater
• Shortages are compounded by
pollution
• Low water use efficiency in irrigation;
MohamedAitKadiCGDA
Water	
  Sector	
  Reforms	
  
(1995/2009)	
  
•  The adoption of a long term strategy for an integrated
water resources management;
•  The development of a new legal and institutional
framework to promote decentralized management and
increase stakeholder participation;
•  Introducing economic incentives in water allocation
decisions through rational tariff and cost recovery;
•  Taking capacity enhancing measures to meet
institutional challenges for the management of water
resources; and
•  Establishing effective monitoring and control of water
quality to reduce environmental degradation
MohamedAitKadiCGDA
§ Objectives
§ Cost: 37
BMAD
1.  Convert 550 000 Ha to drip
irrigation (2008-2020)
>220 000 Ha collective projects
>330 000 Ha individuals
•  Increase irrigation efficiency and water productivity
THE NATIONAL IRRIGATION WATER SAVINGS PROGRAMME
§ Impacts:
Savings: 1.4
Km3
Upper
Catchment
Basin Agencies Irrigation agencies WUA/Farmers
Watershed Reservoir
Conveyance & Distribution
System Farm
Evaporation
Evapotranspiration
Evaporation
Seepage Operation
Seepage
Run off
Deep percolation
Leaching
Phreatophytes
Return flow and
aquifer recharge
* Reforestation
and watershed
management
* Water resource database
* Decision support systems
* Coordination
* Control
* O. & M.
* Rehabilitation
* WUA
* PPP
* Cropping patterns
* crop productivity
.*Irrigation technologies and practices
* pricing
-
- A System wide approach
MohamedAitKadiCGDA
100,000	
  
300,000	
  
500,000	
  
700,000	
  
900,000	
  
2002	
  
2003	
  
2004	
  
2005	
  
2006	
  
2007	
  
2008	
  
2009	
  
2010	
  
2011	
  
2012	
  
2013	
  
2014	
  
2015	
  
2016	
  
2017	
  
2018	
  
2019	
  
2020	
  
Hectares	
  
Area converted to drip irrigation
MohamedAitKadiCGDA
WATER-AGRICULTURE-TRADE NEXUS
WATER
AGRICULTURE TRADE
SS
FS
ü Commercial / Non commercial Agriculture
ü “Super market revolution”
ü Commodity prices volatility
IWRM
Mohamed AITKADI GWP/TEC
MohamedAitKadiCGDA
Sujets	
  de	
  discussion	
  
•  Présentez les principales idées que vous allez
développerWith its heavy dependence on imports of
wheat, maize, oilseeds and energy for domestic
consumption Morocco has been severely hit by rising
world food and oil prices. This has raised serious
concerns about food security, macroeconomic and
social stability
FOOD IMPORTS/TOTAL IMPORTS (%)
6
6,5
7
7,5
8
8,5
9
9,5
10
10,5
11
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
FOOD EXPORTS/FOOD IMPORTS
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
MohamedAitKadiCGDA
Ø We need a trading system that
draws on the expertise of every
nation and returns to every
nation a more diverse and
above all secure supply of
food.
INTERNATIONAL	
  TRADE	
  	
  
is	
  not	
  an	
  option	
  >	
  it	
  is	
  a	
  necessity	
  !	
  
MohamedAitKadiCGDA
26
Projet
64
54
46
56
61
75
79
69
86
68
79
104 102
107
99
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
AGRICULTURAL GDP
-Price Base 1998 -
AV (5 years)
98 BMAD
AV (5 years)
75 BMAD
TOTAL AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION: 43% 2005-2007 VS
2011
Food availability/capita: 14%
Employements: 77,000 EPJ
Citrus : + 28% (1.251.000 T >
1.599.000 T)
Olives : + 67% (774.00 T >
1.295.000 T)
Poultry: + 40% (363.000 T > 508.000 T)
Meat: + 17% de 363.000 T > 426.000
T
Milk : + 21% (1,68 BL > 2,03 BL
Grains: +42% (57M Qx > 80M QX)
Dattes : + 40 % (81.000 T > 114.000
T)
Conclusion	
  
	
  Two major breaks with the agricultural
development model of the past 50
years:
1.  Overcoming dualisms: embracing the diversity
of ecological and agricultural production
systems and recognizing the need to increase
the capacities of different types of actor in the
sector
2.  Actors centered approach: progress should
be based on an entrepreneurial spirit and
dynamic.
MohamedAitKadiCGDA
Lessons	
  learned	
  
	
  
Ø The importance of transactional approaches
Ø The importance of decentralization
Ø The need to foster institutional innovation;
Ø Financing must be available to support
innovation and policy implementation (including
from the private sector/banks); and
Ø That progress should be based on an
entrepreneurial spirit and dynamic.
MohamedAitKadiCGDA
Thanks	
  for	
  listening	
  	
  	
  
Questions, comments and suggestions are welcome

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Morocco: The Green Plan for Food Security

  • 1. The  Green  Plan   For  Food  Security   International Conference on Policies for Water and Food Security in Dry Areas 24th to 26th of June, Cairo, Egypt Pr Mohamed Ait Kadi Morocco  
  • 2. Content of this talk WATER AGRICULTURE TRADE SS FS ü Commercial / Non commercial Agriculture ü “Super market revolution” ü Commodity prices volatility IWRM MohamedAitKadiCGDA
  • 4. Farming  Systems   20-35% 5-10% 70-80 BMAD 45-50% 60-70% 3-4 Mio Jobs 35-40% 10-15% EmploymentValue Fresh 50-55% 13 BMADDH Processed 45-50% Exports High value added Fruits & Vegetables Grains & Forage 25% 7,4 Mio Ha 75% Area Livestock MohamedAitKadiCGDA
  • 5. Importance  of  the     Smallholders  Sector   Annual income (MAD) 149 000Tomatoes 115 000Apples 66 000Citrus 7 000Olives 2 000Wheat The poverty trap! 1.5 mio 8.7mio Ha Farms CL < 5 ha > 5 ha 70% 24% Average: 2,1 Ha per Holding MohamedAitKadiCGDA
  • 7. The  Challenge   Ø  To reliably produce increasing supplies and more varieties of food, mainly through higher yields using less water and other resource inputs in an environmentally friendly manner – and at reasonable and affordable prices for consumers Ø  This challenge must be met as the climate changes, and as almost every input to the food production, processing and consumption chain increases in cost. Ø  This can only be done by mobilizing technology in all kinds of agriculture including smallholders, using all sources of water and achieving much better coordination, cooperation and partnerships among the major stakeholders involved MohamedAitKadiCGDA
  • 8. Generating  a  Virtuous  Cycle   Investments Productivity / Quality High Value MohamedAitKadiCGDA
  • 9. Building  on  Successes   MohamedAitKadiCGDA
  • 10. Operating  Principles  of  the  New  Vision  for  Agriculture   MohamedAitKadiCGDA
  • 11. Agriculture a positive driver of socio- economic development & environmental sustainability Cross cutting Reforms + Enabling Environment Pillar II Smallholder farming as a business Pillar I Robust commercial Agriculture Holistic/transactional Approach Land tenure Water Trade Domestic Market Doing business Value Chains Administration MohamedAitKadiCGDA
  • 12. Pillar I: Aggressively develop a high value/ high productivity agricultural sector Implementing advanced production & developing value- add facilities through holistic value chain interventions 700 – 900 investment projects across the country Attract private investors while protecting social interests Investment : 110-150 Md DH 10 years MohamedAitKadiCGDA
  • 13. « OFFRE MAROC » for Investors A WIN WIN Partnership in the context of Aggregation Strategic aggregation program based on contracts with clearly defined conditions for each value chain Innovative framework of incentives (targeted subsidies, special tax regimes) V1 Preferential land leasing V2 Preferential access to financing V3 Support of aggregation over the long- term: • Promotion • Dispute resolution/arbitration V4 Preferential access to trade associated benefits • Exports & logistics • Branding & Quality management • Agrotec – R&D V5 Commitment to generate growth and investments (upstream & downstream) Investments, sales& value added, jobs, know-how E2 Commtment to support aggregated farmers upstream Access to inputs and technology Uptake garanties… E1 Commitment to fairness Policy of fair and attractive remuneration to farmers E3 Commitments made by the State Framework of Incentives Commitments made by aggregators MohamedAitKadiCGDA
  • 14. 14 Pillar II: Smallholder farming as a business Lifting greatest number of farmers out of poverty Investment : 15-20 Md DH 10 years Proactive marketing to Domestic and International Investors Strengthening capacities of social institutions for proper project implementation on the ground Reconversion Projects Intensification Projects Diversification Projects 300-400 projects Catalyst for development of Oasis & Mountains MohamedAitKadiCGDA
  • 15. WATER-AGRICULTURE-TRADE WATER AGRICULTURE TRADE SS FS ü Commercial / Non commercial Agriculture ü “Super market revolution” ü Commodity prices volatility IWRM Mohamed AITKADI GWP/TEC MohamedAitKadiCGDA
  • 16. Sujets  de  discussion   •  Présentez les principales idées que vous allez développer Morocco is a highly water stressed country with erratic rainfall and frequent droughts. The country is reaching the end of the water development era. Water resources management is therefore shifting to the more difficult task of ensuring economically, socially and environmentally efficient water allocation within the existing water resources constraints. MohamedAitKadiCGDA
  • 17. Rewable Water Resources/ca/RB 1190 853 1045 141 856 512 418 1144 161 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 River Basins RenewableWater Resourcesm3/ca 1 23 4 56 7 8 9 730 m3 /ca/year Deficit/surplus 96 -219 1068 -35 -1468 -163 -126 11 -4 -2000 -1500 -1000 -500 0 500 1000 1500 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 River Basins Mm3 Water resources endowment/distribution MohamedAitKadiCGDA
  • 18. Morroco’s  Water  Issues  &  Constraints   • Water demand is growing fast; • Water availability is falling to crisis levels; • Overexploitation of groundwater • Shortages are compounded by pollution • Low water use efficiency in irrigation; MohamedAitKadiCGDA
  • 19. Water  Sector  Reforms   (1995/2009)   •  The adoption of a long term strategy for an integrated water resources management; •  The development of a new legal and institutional framework to promote decentralized management and increase stakeholder participation; •  Introducing economic incentives in water allocation decisions through rational tariff and cost recovery; •  Taking capacity enhancing measures to meet institutional challenges for the management of water resources; and •  Establishing effective monitoring and control of water quality to reduce environmental degradation MohamedAitKadiCGDA
  • 20. § Objectives § Cost: 37 BMAD 1.  Convert 550 000 Ha to drip irrigation (2008-2020) >220 000 Ha collective projects >330 000 Ha individuals •  Increase irrigation efficiency and water productivity THE NATIONAL IRRIGATION WATER SAVINGS PROGRAMME § Impacts: Savings: 1.4 Km3
  • 21. Upper Catchment Basin Agencies Irrigation agencies WUA/Farmers Watershed Reservoir Conveyance & Distribution System Farm Evaporation Evapotranspiration Evaporation Seepage Operation Seepage Run off Deep percolation Leaching Phreatophytes Return flow and aquifer recharge * Reforestation and watershed management * Water resource database * Decision support systems * Coordination * Control * O. & M. * Rehabilitation * WUA * PPP * Cropping patterns * crop productivity .*Irrigation technologies and practices * pricing - - A System wide approach MohamedAitKadiCGDA
  • 22. 100,000   300,000   500,000   700,000   900,000   2002   2003   2004   2005   2006   2007   2008   2009   2010   2011   2012   2013   2014   2015   2016   2017   2018   2019   2020   Hectares   Area converted to drip irrigation MohamedAitKadiCGDA
  • 23. WATER-AGRICULTURE-TRADE NEXUS WATER AGRICULTURE TRADE SS FS ü Commercial / Non commercial Agriculture ü “Super market revolution” ü Commodity prices volatility IWRM Mohamed AITKADI GWP/TEC MohamedAitKadiCGDA
  • 24. Sujets  de  discussion   •  Présentez les principales idées que vous allez développerWith its heavy dependence on imports of wheat, maize, oilseeds and energy for domestic consumption Morocco has been severely hit by rising world food and oil prices. This has raised serious concerns about food security, macroeconomic and social stability FOOD IMPORTS/TOTAL IMPORTS (%) 6 6,5 7 7,5 8 8,5 9 9,5 10 10,5 11 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 FOOD EXPORTS/FOOD IMPORTS 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 MohamedAitKadiCGDA
  • 25. Ø We need a trading system that draws on the expertise of every nation and returns to every nation a more diverse and above all secure supply of food. INTERNATIONAL  TRADE     is  not  an  option  >  it  is  a  necessity  !   MohamedAitKadiCGDA
  • 26. 26 Projet 64 54 46 56 61 75 79 69 86 68 79 104 102 107 99 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 AGRICULTURAL GDP -Price Base 1998 - AV (5 years) 98 BMAD AV (5 years) 75 BMAD TOTAL AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION: 43% 2005-2007 VS 2011 Food availability/capita: 14% Employements: 77,000 EPJ Citrus : + 28% (1.251.000 T > 1.599.000 T) Olives : + 67% (774.00 T > 1.295.000 T) Poultry: + 40% (363.000 T > 508.000 T) Meat: + 17% de 363.000 T > 426.000 T Milk : + 21% (1,68 BL > 2,03 BL Grains: +42% (57M Qx > 80M QX) Dattes : + 40 % (81.000 T > 114.000 T)
  • 27. Conclusion    Two major breaks with the agricultural development model of the past 50 years: 1.  Overcoming dualisms: embracing the diversity of ecological and agricultural production systems and recognizing the need to increase the capacities of different types of actor in the sector 2.  Actors centered approach: progress should be based on an entrepreneurial spirit and dynamic. MohamedAitKadiCGDA
  • 28. Lessons  learned     Ø The importance of transactional approaches Ø The importance of decentralization Ø The need to foster institutional innovation; Ø Financing must be available to support innovation and policy implementation (including from the private sector/banks); and Ø That progress should be based on an entrepreneurial spirit and dynamic. MohamedAitKadiCGDA
  • 29. Thanks  for  listening       Questions, comments and suggestions are welcome