2. Facts
By 2013/14 season, FISP has been with us for 8
agricultural seasons
Subsidy budget has risen from 6.8% of total budget
in 2006/07 to 10% in 2013/14
The amount of subsidized fertilizers has ranged from
131,000 MT to 216,000 MT, stabilized at 140,000MT
The subsidy on fertilizer has increased from 64% in
2005/06 to 96.8% in 2013/14 of the unsubsidized
price
3. No major changes in the design have occurred
during this period, except
Consideration of farm households in addition to
maize areas in area targeting
Taking out smallholder tobacco, tea and coffee,
cotton seeds and chemicals
Introduction of legumes
Main Design Features and Changes
4. Design & Implementation Features &Changes
Targeting
Resource poor smallholder farmers : 2 bags of fertilizer
50 kg bag 23:21:0+4s ( NPK) – basal fertilizer
50 kg bag urea
Improved maize seeds and legumes
Main Changes over time
More emphasis on targeting vulnerable groups
Intermittent introduction of subsidy on cash crops
Cotton seeds and chemicals in 2007/8
Tea & coffee in 2008/9
No tobacco since 2009/10
More regional equity in subsidy targeting
5. Design & Implementation Features & Changes
Main challenges in targeting
Poor are more likely targeted than the non-poor
(random targeting?)
Non-poor get more on average than the poor
High proportion of repeat beneficiaries – some have
received it 8 times (can some farmers graduate?)
6. Design & Implementation Features & Changes
Coupon Allocation & Distribution
Initially through traditional authorities
Supplementary coupons – less transparent
More recently, farm registers and distribution through
MoAFS and VDCs
Main Changes over time
Use of farm registers and beneficiary verification
Distribution MoAFS
Elimination of supplementary coupons since 2009/10
Open system of coupon allocation and distribution
Public display of beneficiary lists in the communities
7. Design & Implementation Features & Changes
Main challenges in coupon distribution
Enormous undertaking for MoAFS to register farm
households
Variable district performance in accomplishing this
exercise
Provides opportunities for creation of ghost villages
Farm families numbers inconsistent with NSO
national population of rural households
Increased intra-village re-distribution
8. Design & Implementation Features & Changes
Coupon Redemption
Fertilizer coupons mainly through ADMARC and SFFRFM
Variable participation of private sector in fertilizer voucher
redemption
Private sector participation in seed voucher redemption
Use of Agricultural Development Divisions for cotton inputs
Main Changes over time
Private sector participation in fertilizer redemption in 2006/7 and
2007/8
Private sector participation in seed redemption from 2006/7
Farmer coupon redemption price falling from MK950 2006/7 to
MK500 since 2009/10 (64% to 98% subsidy)
Use of voter IDs for voucher redemption
Use of e-vouchers in seed subsidy in pilot areas in 2013/14
Improved security features of coupons
9. Design & Implementation Features & Changes
Main challenges in coupon redemption
Long distance to markets
Long queues – facilitating ‘tips’ and ‘bribes’
Intermittent supply of subsidized fertilizers in some
markets – frequent stock-outs
Political interference in coupon redemption price
setting
Diversion and fraud
10. Strengths Weaknesses
Operational innovation given
political space
Reaching out to a large
proportion of rural
households
Critical role in household
food security given growing
population
Some diversification &
growth impacts
Positive benefit costs ratios
Private input market
development in seeds
Private sector exclusion in
redemption of fertilizer coupons
Targeting inefficiencies
Unclear productivity effects
Displacements in both seeds
and fertilizer markets
Uncertainty in farm families
Poor timing & stock-outs of
inputs
One fertilizer formulation
package fit-all-soils
Delayed payments to suppliers
Delayed input delivery
SWOT Analysis
11. Opportunities Threats
Efficiency gains – earlier
timing
Coordination with other
programmes – extension,
markets, social protection,
infrastructure, soil fertility
Private sector retail of
subsidized fertilizers
Reduced cost / increased
farmer contribution
Graduation
Fertiliser formulations
E vouchers /id cards
High fertilizer prices
Security of vouchers and fraud
Fiscal budget pressures
Lack of sustainability
High maize prices
Low farmer redemption prices
Inefficient payment system
Population growth
SWOT Analysis
12. Strategic Areas of Further Innovation
Programme objective
Targeting and coordination
Graduation and sustainable impacts
Other innovations
13. Strategic Innovation ………
Programme objective
Primary objective should focus on achievement of
productivity
“To increase land and labour productivity of smallholder
maize production”
Secondary objectives that maybe achieved consequentially
Food security is implicit in increased maize productivity
Increases productivity also deals with improved incomes
and hence poverty reduction
Improved productivity ensure sustainable outcomes
Farm and non-farm diversification
14. Strategic Innovation ………
Targeting
Targeted households should be resource poor productive
smallholder farmers (poor but not ultra-poor)
Resource poor unproductive farmers (ultra-poor) should be
targeted for social cash transfers
If transfers under SCT are lower than under FISP – cost savings
Other considerations
Ensure minimal displacement effects
Use of objective and multidimensional criteria
Ensure providing platform for stepping-up or stepping-out
Strong coordination with social protection programmes to
avoid multiple dipping
Targeting challenges & costs
National identification system
15. Poverty Targeting: SCT & FISP (50% R HH)
0.0
3.3
8.7 10.4 11.2
14.8 15.3
41.9
37.9
31.2 29.1 28.1
23.7 23.1
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
35.0
40.0
45.0
0.00 4.82 12.74 15.23 16.43 21.69 22.43
MKbillion
% under SCT
SCT: MK2,000/month/hh; FISP: 2 bags of 50 kg -MK29,400
SCT FISP
0.0
4.0
10.5
12.5 13.5
17.8 18.4
41.9
37.9
31.2
29.1 28.1
23.7 23.1
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
35.0
40.0
45.0
0.00 4.82 12.74 15.23 16.43 21.69 22.43
MKbillion
% under SCT
SCT: MK2,400/month/hh; FISP: 2 bags of 50 kg -MK29,400
SCT FISP
0.0
4.9
13.1
15.6 16.9
22.2 23.0
41.9
37.9
31.2
29.1 28.1
23.7 23.1
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
35.0
40.0
45.0
50.0
0.00 4.82 12.74 15.23 16.43 21.69 22.43
MKbillion
% under SCT
SCT: MK3,000/month/hh; FISP: 2 bags of 50 kg -MK29,400
SCT FISP
Assumptions
Projected population of rural households 2.8 million
(NSO figures)
Totalpercentage of rural households under SCT and FISIP
is fixed at 50% (half of rural households)
Value of subsidy for 2 bags is MK29,400
SCT Targeting Options
0.0%: None (50% FISP)
4.85%: MH >5 (poor FCS)
12.74%: Labour constrained & food insecure
15.23%: MH >5 (7 days food consumption)
16.43%: MH >5 (poor & borderline FCS)
21.69%: MH >5 (12 months food consumption)
22.43%: Ultra-poor IHS3
16. Strategic Innovation ………
Sustainable Graduation
Design must embrace the concept of sustainable
graduation
Fixed subsidy and flexible farmer voucher redemption
price or increasing farmer contributions
Other considerations
Requires complementary interventions – soil
conservation & fertility, diversification, credit access,
extension services, maize markets
Political commitment to sustainable approaches to
subsidization
Strong internal monitoring and evaluation to determine
achievement of objective and graduation conditions
20. Multidimensional Poverty (MH)
Dimension Indicator Deprived of … Weight
Education Years of schooling No member with 5 years 1/6
Children school
attendance
Any school age child not in primary school 1/6
Health Child mortality Any child death in the family 1/6
Nutrition Food consumption less than adequate 1/6
Standard of
living
Electricity Household has no electricity 1/18
Sanitation Household’s sanitation facility is not
improved
1/18
Safe drinking water Household does not have access to safe
drinking water
1/18
Floor of house Household has a mud or sand floor 1/18
Cooking fuel Household cooks with wood or charcoal 1/18
Assets Household does not own more than one
asset (radio, TV, telephone, bike,
motorbike, refrigerator, car)
1/18