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The Impact of AMNOG on
Global Market Access Strategies
     IHS Webcast, 28 June 2011
   Gustav Ando, Director, Healthcare and Pharma
    Gaëlle Marinoni, Senior Healthcare Analyst
    Anne-Charlotte Honore, Healthcare Analyst
The Impact of AMNOG on
                                             Global Market Access Strategies

                                                   IHS Webcast, 28 June 2011



                    View the on-demand replay of this webcast




Copyright © 2011 IHS. All Rights Reserved.
Agenda


        AMNOG At A Glance

        Impact on National and Global Market Access
         Strategies

        Impact on Research and Development
         Programmes

        AMNOG From An International Perspective

        Concluding Remarks


Copyright © © 2011 IHS. All Rights All Rights Reserved
 Copyright 2011 IHS Global Insight. Reserved.
Methodology

        Analysis based on primary and secondary research
        Telephone interviews with 2 policy makers and regulatory affair
         specialists, 5 industry representatives with extensive experience in
         planning and executing pharmaceutical launches
        Conference and workshop attendance
                   – Market Access in Germany after Major Pricing & Reimbursement
                     Reform, 14-15 March 2011, Berlin, Germany
                   – ISPOR 16th Annual International Meeting, 21-25 May 2011,
                     Baltimore, Maryland, USA
        Desk-based research: national governmental agencies, IHS Global
         Insight Healthcare and Pharmaceutical services (World Markets
         Healthcare and World Markets Pricing and Reimbursement).

Copyright © © 2011 IHS. All Rights All Rights Reserved
 Copyright 2011 IHS Global Insight. Reserved.
German Healthcare Reform At A Glance

           Early benefit assessment for eligible new market entrants and selected
                   established medicines
           End of free pricing after 6 or 12 months of commercialisation
           Price negotiations, or
           Reference pricing
           Limited recourse to cost-benefit assessment
                            Registration                 0 - 3 Months       4 - 6 Months       7 - 12 Months    13 - 15 Months
                              Process


                                               Product
                                                                           Additional        Price
                                               Launch                                                                  Discounted Price
                                                                         Patient-related   Negotiation
                                                                           Outcome         with GKV
                            Submission of
                           Reimbursement                                                                                          Cost-benefit
                                                         Early Benefit                                         Arbitration
                              Dossier                                                                                             Assessment
                                                         Assessment                                              body
                                                                                                                                   by IQWiG
                                                            (G-BA)

                                                                         No Added          Reference           Discounted Price
                               Free Price                                 Value             Pricing


Copyright © © 2011 IHS. All Rights All Rights Reserved
 Copyright 2011 IHS Global Insight. Reserved.
Early Benefit Assessment


        Eligible Medicines:
                   – Based on formulation and revenues for new market entrants
                   – Based on new approved indication or G-BA/industry request for
                     established medicines

        Exceptions:
                   – Orphan drugs launched post 1 January 2011 with expected 12-
                     month turnover in all indications lower than 50 million euro (retail
                     prices inclusive of VAT)
                   – Hospital-only medicines
                   – Reimbursable new active ingredient with estimated budget impact
                     on Statutory Health Insurance of less than 1 million euro

Copyright © © 2011 IHS. All Rights All Rights Reserved
 Copyright 2011 IHS Global Insight. Reserved.
Early Benefit Assessment

        Scores:
                   – Major additional therapeutic benefit
                   – Significant additional therapeutic benefit
                   – Slight additional therapeutic benefit
                   – Additional but unquantifiable therapeutic benefit
                   – No demonstrated additional therapeutic benefit
                   – Less therapeutic benefit than appropriate comparator

        Outcome:
                   – Pricing negotiations
                   – Inclusion into the reference pricing system


Copyright © © 2011 IHS. All Rights All Rights Reserved
 Copyright 2011 IHS Global Insight. Reserved.
Pricing Process Under AMNOG

        Three pricing options under AMNOG
          – Pricing negotiation
          – Arbitration
          – Cost-benefit evaluation
          – Global repercussions through international reference pricing




Copyright © © 2011 IHS. All Rights All Rights Reserved
 Copyright 2011 IHS Global Insight. Reserved.
AMNOG Impact on National and
    Global Market Access Strategies

        A medicine’s innovation level will influence market access
         strategies at the local and global level
        Achievable German added therapeutic benefit score will
         influence:
                   – Launch timing in Germany
                   – Market entry price in Germany
                   – Discounted price in Germany
                   – Launch Sequence

        Market access strategies and launch sequences should
         be planned based on maximum achievable global product
         revenues
Copyright © © 2011 IHS. All Rights All Rights Reserved
 Copyright 2011 IHS Global Insight. Reserved.
Case Study: Market Access Strategy
    for Highly Innovative Market Entrants
        Objective: Maximise global product revenues
        Strategy:
             – Early German and International launch
             – German market entry with high (yet reasonable) price to impact international
               prices through reference pricing
             – Favourable early benefit assessment could positively impact global
               reimbursement decisions and influence global prices
             – Upon pricing negotiations, the German price is expected to be at worse the
               European average price. Global prices remain in high range
                Launch                                      Year 1

                                                                Discounted Price (at worst average
                             Free Price                                                              GERMANY
                                                                price in nominated countries)



                          International prices positively       Global prices remain in
                          impacted by high German price         high range                           GLOBAL


Copyright © © 2011 IHS. All Rights All Rights Reserved
 Copyright 2011 IHS Global Insight. Reserved.
AMNOG Impact on Clinical Trial Design

        Challenges:
                   – Meet information needs of regulators and payers:
                                       Endpoints need to integrate patient-relevant outcomes
                                       Clinical trial design

        Therapeutic benefit score based on relative efficacy or
         relative effectiveness data:
                   – Ideally head-to-head comparison or:
                                       Meta analysis
                                       Sensitivity analysis
                                       Subgroup analysis and other effect modifiers
                                       Indirect comparison
                   – Surrogate endpoints not accepted, except for oncology drugs
                   – Randomised clinical trials preferred
                   – German-specific data
Copyright © © 2011 IHS. All Rights All Rights Reserved
 Copyright 2011 IHS Global Insight. Reserved.
Possible Clinical Trial Protocols

        Clinical trial protocols:
                           Randomised, two-arm, active-controlled, superiority trial
                           Randomised, two-arm, active-controlled, non-inferiority clinical trial
                           Active- and placebo-controlled randomised clinical trial
                           Pragmatic clinical trial
                           Common reference indirect comparison based on RCT information
                           Observational studies
                           Adaptive design, three –arm, randomised clinical trial

        Appropriate comparator:
                           Utilisation criteria: standard therapy in Germany
                           Not limited to pharmaceutical treatments


Copyright © © 2011 IHS. All Rights All Rights Reserved
 Copyright 2011 IHS Global Insight. Reserved.
AMNOG: An Innovative Reform?

        Therapeutic benefit score déjà vu:
                   – E.g. in France, Austria, Switzerland, Italy, Japan
       Table: German Therapeutic Benefit Scores – Comparison with France and Switzerland

                               Germany                              France                        Austria
        Major added therapeutic                          Major therapeutic advance –   Substantial added therapeutic
        benefit                                          ASMR I                        benefit
        Significant improvement in                       Great improvement in          Added therapeutic benefit
        efficacy or side effects                         efficacy or side effects –
                                                         ASMR II
        Slight but not minor                             Modest improvement but        Similar to current standards
        improvement in efficacy or                       added value – ASMR III
        side effects
        Additional but unquantifiable                    Minor improvement with
        added therapeutic benefit                        slight benefit – ASMR IV
        No demonstrated added                            Similar products including
        therapeutic benefit                              generics – ASMR V
        Less therapeutic benefit than
        comparator

Copyright © © 2011 IHS. All Rights All Rights Reserved
 Copyright 2011 IHS Global Insight. Reserved.
AMNOG: An Innovative Reform?

   Perceived level of innovation as a driver of price: also déjà vu
              – E.g. in France, Austria, Switzerland, Italy, Japan
                                                                                      France
    ASMR ratings I, II and III                           • Pricing negotiations: price typically fixed at the reference country average
    ASMR rating IV                                       • Pricing negotiations: price typically set just above that of therapeutic comparator(s)
    ASMR rating V                                        • Price set below therapeutic comparator(s)

                                                                                     Austria
    Substantial added therapeutic benefit                                              • Prices based on average EU prices (EU25)
    Added benefit in the majority of the patient population                            • Price set at most 10% above that of therapeutic comparator
    Added benefit in a defined patient sub population                                  • Price set at most 5% above that of therapeutic comparator
    Similar to current standards                                                       • Price set at least 10% below that of therapeutic comparator

                                                                                    Germany
    Major, significant, slight, and                           • Pricing negotiations: algorithm in development
    additional but unquantifiable                             • Under the arbitration process, the price is expected to reflect European price
    None demonstrated                                         • Price set at the price of the appropriate therapeutic comparator
                                                              • Comparator ideally be included reference pricing system
    Below comparator                                          • Price can be set below that of the appropriate therapeutic comparator(s)
                                                              • Usage restricted via G-BA's prescription guidelines
Copyright © © 2011 IHS. All Rights All Rights Reserved
 Copyright 2011 IHS Global Insight. Reserved.
Concluding Remarks


        AMNOG brings price control to one of the last unregulated
         European pharmaceutical market

        AMNOG brings a never-seen-before level of transparency
         to the pricing and reimbursement process

        AMNOG increases market access barriers, especially for
         products with limited added therapeutic benefit

        AMNOG is expected to affect launch sequences and
         global R&D


Copyright © © 2011 IHS. All Rights All Rights Reserved
 Copyright 2011 IHS Global Insight. Reserved.
Visit the IHS Healthcare & Pharma Blog
                                           Get weekly insights on the events
                                           and trends shaping the industry:

                                       www.ihs.com/healthcareblog



Copyright © © 2011 IHS. All Rights All Rights Reserved
 Copyright 2011 IHS Global Insight. Reserved.

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AMNOG - Germany's Healthcare Reform and The impact on Global Pharmaceutical Market Access Strategies

  • 1. The Impact of AMNOG on Global Market Access Strategies IHS Webcast, 28 June 2011 Gustav Ando, Director, Healthcare and Pharma Gaëlle Marinoni, Senior Healthcare Analyst Anne-Charlotte Honore, Healthcare Analyst
  • 2. The Impact of AMNOG on Global Market Access Strategies IHS Webcast, 28 June 2011 View the on-demand replay of this webcast Copyright © 2011 IHS. All Rights Reserved.
  • 3. Agenda  AMNOG At A Glance  Impact on National and Global Market Access Strategies  Impact on Research and Development Programmes  AMNOG From An International Perspective  Concluding Remarks Copyright © © 2011 IHS. All Rights All Rights Reserved Copyright 2011 IHS Global Insight. Reserved.
  • 4. Methodology  Analysis based on primary and secondary research  Telephone interviews with 2 policy makers and regulatory affair specialists, 5 industry representatives with extensive experience in planning and executing pharmaceutical launches  Conference and workshop attendance – Market Access in Germany after Major Pricing & Reimbursement Reform, 14-15 March 2011, Berlin, Germany – ISPOR 16th Annual International Meeting, 21-25 May 2011, Baltimore, Maryland, USA  Desk-based research: national governmental agencies, IHS Global Insight Healthcare and Pharmaceutical services (World Markets Healthcare and World Markets Pricing and Reimbursement). Copyright © © 2011 IHS. All Rights All Rights Reserved Copyright 2011 IHS Global Insight. Reserved.
  • 5. German Healthcare Reform At A Glance  Early benefit assessment for eligible new market entrants and selected established medicines  End of free pricing after 6 or 12 months of commercialisation  Price negotiations, or  Reference pricing  Limited recourse to cost-benefit assessment Registration 0 - 3 Months 4 - 6 Months 7 - 12 Months 13 - 15 Months Process Product Additional Price Launch Discounted Price Patient-related Negotiation Outcome with GKV Submission of Reimbursement Cost-benefit Early Benefit Arbitration Dossier Assessment Assessment body by IQWiG (G-BA) No Added Reference Discounted Price Free Price Value Pricing Copyright © © 2011 IHS. All Rights All Rights Reserved Copyright 2011 IHS Global Insight. Reserved.
  • 6. Early Benefit Assessment  Eligible Medicines: – Based on formulation and revenues for new market entrants – Based on new approved indication or G-BA/industry request for established medicines  Exceptions: – Orphan drugs launched post 1 January 2011 with expected 12- month turnover in all indications lower than 50 million euro (retail prices inclusive of VAT) – Hospital-only medicines – Reimbursable new active ingredient with estimated budget impact on Statutory Health Insurance of less than 1 million euro Copyright © © 2011 IHS. All Rights All Rights Reserved Copyright 2011 IHS Global Insight. Reserved.
  • 7. Early Benefit Assessment  Scores: – Major additional therapeutic benefit – Significant additional therapeutic benefit – Slight additional therapeutic benefit – Additional but unquantifiable therapeutic benefit – No demonstrated additional therapeutic benefit – Less therapeutic benefit than appropriate comparator  Outcome: – Pricing negotiations – Inclusion into the reference pricing system Copyright © © 2011 IHS. All Rights All Rights Reserved Copyright 2011 IHS Global Insight. Reserved.
  • 8. Pricing Process Under AMNOG  Three pricing options under AMNOG – Pricing negotiation – Arbitration – Cost-benefit evaluation – Global repercussions through international reference pricing Copyright © © 2011 IHS. All Rights All Rights Reserved Copyright 2011 IHS Global Insight. Reserved.
  • 9. AMNOG Impact on National and Global Market Access Strategies  A medicine’s innovation level will influence market access strategies at the local and global level  Achievable German added therapeutic benefit score will influence: – Launch timing in Germany – Market entry price in Germany – Discounted price in Germany – Launch Sequence  Market access strategies and launch sequences should be planned based on maximum achievable global product revenues Copyright © © 2011 IHS. All Rights All Rights Reserved Copyright 2011 IHS Global Insight. Reserved.
  • 10. Case Study: Market Access Strategy for Highly Innovative Market Entrants  Objective: Maximise global product revenues  Strategy: – Early German and International launch – German market entry with high (yet reasonable) price to impact international prices through reference pricing – Favourable early benefit assessment could positively impact global reimbursement decisions and influence global prices – Upon pricing negotiations, the German price is expected to be at worse the European average price. Global prices remain in high range Launch Year 1 Discounted Price (at worst average Free Price GERMANY price in nominated countries) International prices positively Global prices remain in impacted by high German price high range GLOBAL Copyright © © 2011 IHS. All Rights All Rights Reserved Copyright 2011 IHS Global Insight. Reserved.
  • 11. AMNOG Impact on Clinical Trial Design  Challenges: – Meet information needs of regulators and payers:  Endpoints need to integrate patient-relevant outcomes  Clinical trial design  Therapeutic benefit score based on relative efficacy or relative effectiveness data: – Ideally head-to-head comparison or:  Meta analysis  Sensitivity analysis  Subgroup analysis and other effect modifiers  Indirect comparison – Surrogate endpoints not accepted, except for oncology drugs – Randomised clinical trials preferred – German-specific data Copyright © © 2011 IHS. All Rights All Rights Reserved Copyright 2011 IHS Global Insight. Reserved.
  • 12. Possible Clinical Trial Protocols  Clinical trial protocols:  Randomised, two-arm, active-controlled, superiority trial  Randomised, two-arm, active-controlled, non-inferiority clinical trial  Active- and placebo-controlled randomised clinical trial  Pragmatic clinical trial  Common reference indirect comparison based on RCT information  Observational studies  Adaptive design, three –arm, randomised clinical trial  Appropriate comparator:  Utilisation criteria: standard therapy in Germany  Not limited to pharmaceutical treatments Copyright © © 2011 IHS. All Rights All Rights Reserved Copyright 2011 IHS Global Insight. Reserved.
  • 13. AMNOG: An Innovative Reform?  Therapeutic benefit score déjà vu: – E.g. in France, Austria, Switzerland, Italy, Japan Table: German Therapeutic Benefit Scores – Comparison with France and Switzerland Germany France Austria Major added therapeutic Major therapeutic advance – Substantial added therapeutic benefit ASMR I benefit Significant improvement in Great improvement in Added therapeutic benefit efficacy or side effects efficacy or side effects – ASMR II Slight but not minor Modest improvement but Similar to current standards improvement in efficacy or added value – ASMR III side effects Additional but unquantifiable Minor improvement with added therapeutic benefit slight benefit – ASMR IV No demonstrated added Similar products including therapeutic benefit generics – ASMR V Less therapeutic benefit than comparator Copyright © © 2011 IHS. All Rights All Rights Reserved Copyright 2011 IHS Global Insight. Reserved.
  • 14. AMNOG: An Innovative Reform?  Perceived level of innovation as a driver of price: also déjà vu – E.g. in France, Austria, Switzerland, Italy, Japan France ASMR ratings I, II and III • Pricing negotiations: price typically fixed at the reference country average ASMR rating IV • Pricing negotiations: price typically set just above that of therapeutic comparator(s) ASMR rating V • Price set below therapeutic comparator(s) Austria Substantial added therapeutic benefit • Prices based on average EU prices (EU25) Added benefit in the majority of the patient population • Price set at most 10% above that of therapeutic comparator Added benefit in a defined patient sub population • Price set at most 5% above that of therapeutic comparator Similar to current standards • Price set at least 10% below that of therapeutic comparator Germany Major, significant, slight, and • Pricing negotiations: algorithm in development additional but unquantifiable • Under the arbitration process, the price is expected to reflect European price None demonstrated • Price set at the price of the appropriate therapeutic comparator • Comparator ideally be included reference pricing system Below comparator • Price can be set below that of the appropriate therapeutic comparator(s) • Usage restricted via G-BA's prescription guidelines Copyright © © 2011 IHS. All Rights All Rights Reserved Copyright 2011 IHS Global Insight. Reserved.
  • 15. Concluding Remarks  AMNOG brings price control to one of the last unregulated European pharmaceutical market  AMNOG brings a never-seen-before level of transparency to the pricing and reimbursement process  AMNOG increases market access barriers, especially for products with limited added therapeutic benefit  AMNOG is expected to affect launch sequences and global R&D Copyright © © 2011 IHS. All Rights All Rights Reserved Copyright 2011 IHS Global Insight. Reserved.
  • 16. Visit the IHS Healthcare & Pharma Blog Get weekly insights on the events and trends shaping the industry: www.ihs.com/healthcareblog Copyright © © 2011 IHS. All Rights All Rights Reserved Copyright 2011 IHS Global Insight. Reserved.