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The Impact of Information and
Communication Technologies on
        Social Welfare




           Alexis Milo


                   Miami, Florida. December 5th, 2011
Impact of ICTs: Productivity

                ICT Capital Contribution to Labor Productivity Growth, 2000 - 2009
                                        (percentage points)
                     4.5
                     4.0            ICT capital   Non-ICT related inputs

                     3.5
                     3.0
                     2.5
                     2.0
                     1.5
                     1.0
                     0.5
                     0.0




                            Switzerland
                                France
                                 Korea




                                 Japan

                               Sweden




                                Canada
                              Portugal
                                   USA




                              Germany
                                     UK
                                Ireland




                                Austria




                           New Zealand
                                  Spain
                              Denmark
                                Finland




                           Netherlands
                               Belgium
                              Australia




                                                                                     2
Source: OECD.
Impact of ICTs: Education

          Fixed Broadband Penetration and                             Wireless Broadband Penetration and
                    PISA Scores                                                   PISA Scores
                  (OECD countries)                                              (OECD countries)
PISA score,                                                 PISA score,
2009                                                        2009
600            Reading                  Science             600          Reading           Science
               Math                     Lineal (Reading)                 Math              Lineal (Reading)
550                                                         550

500                                                         500


450                                                         450


400                                                         400


350                                                         350
      5            15            25           35       45         0          25       50        75          100
          Fixed broadband penetration (%, 2010)                   Wireless broadband penetration (%, 2010)
                                                                                                        3
Source: Own estimations based on OECD/PISA data.
Impact of ICTs: Health




                                                                                                             • India. Through a
Radiocommunications
          and email




                                                                                           Videoconference
                                             SMS and Mobile Apps
                      • Peru. Health                               • Ghana. Through
                        centers in remote                            SMS, the                                  broadband
                        areas have been                              “Childcount+”                             network
                        able to reduce the                           program facilitates                       specialists
                        number of                                    detection and                             diagnose and
                        patients                                     treatment of                              treat eye
                        channeled to                                 severe deseases                           diseases.
                        emergency                                    such as malaria.
                        rooms.
                                                                   • Spain. The app
                                                                                                             • Brazil. Personnel
                                                                     “Dermamóvil”                              in health centers
                                                                     allows                                    receive training
                                                                     dermatologists to                         and are able to
                                                                     track treatment of                        contact
                                                                     patients with skin                        specialists
                                                                     affections.                               located in other
                                                                                                               facilities.


                                                                                                                                   4
Impact of ICTs


                • Mobile services help rural producers (fishermen, farmers,
   Rural          etc.) to coordinate with the sales point, contributing to the
                  efficiency of rural markets.
   areas        • Examples: Burkina Faso, India, Niger.



   Mobile       • People without access to banks can get basic financial
                  services using their mobile phone.
  banking       • Examples: Philippines, Kenya, South Africa.




  Business      • Broadband fosters the development of new services.
                • Example: United States.
opportunities


  Property      • The availability of broadband increases the value of real
                  estate assets.
   value        • Example: United States.

                                                                                  5
Impact of ICTs: Growth

                                          Growth Effects of ICTs, 1980 - 2006
                             (percentage points increase in GDP per capita growth per
                                10 percentage points increase in ICTs penetration)

                                           High-income economies                             1.4
                             1.4

                                           Low-and middle-income                       1.2
                             1.2                                                1.1
                                           economies
                             1.0
                                                                   0.8
                             0.8                                          0.8
                                              0.7
                                                             0.6
                             0.6
                                        0.4
                             0.4

                             0.2

                             0.0
                                         Fixed               Mobile       Internet    Broadband

                                                                                                   6
Source: Qiang (2009) as reported by the World Bank (2009).
ICT Penetration in Mexico
                              Fixed Phone                                                                                          Mobile Phone
                       (lines per 100 inhabitants)                                                                       (subscriptions per 100 inhabitants)
    25                                                                                                    100
    20                                                                                                         80
    15                                                                                                         60
    10                                                                                                         40
     5                                                                                                         20
     0                                                                                                         0




                                                                                                                                                                                                      2010 p/
                                                                                                                               1992




                                                                                                                                                                          2002
                                                                                                                                                                                 2004
                                            2000




                                                                         2008




                                                                                                                       1990


                                                                                                                                          1994
                                                                                                                                                     1996
                                                                                                                                                            1998
                                                                                                                                                                   2000




                                                                                                                                                                                        2006
                                                                                                                                                                                               2008
         1990
                1992
                       1994
                              1996
                                     1998


                                                   2002
                                                          2004
                                                                  2006


                                                                                2010 p/
                                                                          Internet
                                                             (subscriptions per 100 inhabitants)
                                                   12
                                                   10
                                                    8
                                                    6
                                                    4
                                                    2
                                                    0
                                                           2000




                                                                                                 2005
                                                                  2001
                                                                         2002
                                                                                2003
                                                                                          2004


                                                                                                        2006
                                                                                                                2007
                                                                                                                        2008


                                                                                                                                           2010 p/
                                                                                                                                2009 p/



p/ preliminary data.                                                                                                                                                                                  7
Source: COFETEL.
Mobile Phone Rates* in Mexico
                                   Average Mobile Phone Rates (prepaid)

                 mexican pesos per minute                        % change from february to november 2011

 $4.0                                                          0%
                         feb-11       nov-11

                                                              -10%    -7%
 $3.0
                                                              -20%               -16%


 $2.0                                                         -30%

                                                              -40%
 $1.0
                                                                                               -45%
                                                              -50%
                                                                                                      -49%

   $-                                                         -60%
               $50          $120           $150        $300           $50       $120           $150   $300

                 Value of airtime card                                 Value of airtime card



* Includes “frequent numbers” and “bonus minutes”.                                                     8
Source: Own estimations using operators’ data.
0.5
                                                                           1.0
                                                                                 1.5
                                                                                       2.0
                                                                                                         2.5
                                                                                                                   3.0




                                                               0.0
                                                                                                                         3.5
                                                   France
                                                  Poland
                                            New Zealand
                                                 Belgium
                                                     Spain




Source: OECD Broadband Statistics.
                                                 Hungary
                                             Switzerland
                                            Luxembourg
                                                    Korea
                                                 Portugal
                                         United Kingdom
                                         Czech Republic
                                                  Austria
                                                    Japan
                                                  Mexico
                                                Germany
                                                   Ireland
                                                       Italy
                                         Slovak Republic
                                            United States
                                                  Canada
                                                  Estonia
                                                 Slovenia
                                                                                                                                        (subscriptions per 100 inhabitants)




                                             Netherlands
                                                      Chile
                                                   Turkey
                                                  Norway
                                                Australia
                                                                                                                               Change in Fixed Broadband Penetration, 2009 - 2011




                                                  Iceland
                                                Denmark
                                                                                             OECD Average = 2.02




                                                     Israel
                                                 Sweden
                                                  Finland
                                     9
                                                                                                                                                                                    ICT Penetration
Household ICT Availability
                            Change in Availability by Income Decile: 2006 - 2010

                     Mobile Phone                                             Internet
               (change in percentage points)                        (change in percentage points)


30                                                         30




20                                                         20




10                                                         10




  0                                                        0
        1      2      3     4    5   6    7   8   9   10        1   2   3   4    5   6    7   8     9    10
                             Income decile                                   Income decile




                                                                                                    10
Source: Own estimation based on INEGI data.
Household ICT Availability

      Mobile Phone Availability in Households                                                                                                                                  Internet Availability in Households
        (% of households per income decile)                                                                                                                                     (% of households per income decile)




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 EU ('10)*
                                                                                                                                                                      90                                                         Mexico ('10)




                                                                                                                                                        Spain ('11)
                           Mexico ('10)                                                       Ecuador ('09)




                                                                                                                                         Chile ('06)
                                                                                                                                                                      80
                                                                                                              Brazil ('09)

                                                                                                                             EU ('08)*
                                                                Honduras ('07)




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Greece ('10)
                                             Costa Rica ('05)




100                                                                                                                                                                   70
                                                                                 Peru ('09)




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Bulgaria ('10)
                                                                                                                                                                      60
                             Bolivia ('05)




 80
          Paraguay ('00)




                                                                                                                                                                      50




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Colombia ('10)

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Chile ('08)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                El Salvador ('09)
                                                                                                                                                                           Mozambique ('08)
 60                                                                                                                                                                   40




                                                                                                                                                                                              Nicaragua ('09)

                                                                                                                                                                                                                Namibia ('08)




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Peru ('09)
 40                                                                                                                                                                   30
                                                                                                                                                                      20
 20
                                                                                                                                                                      10
  0                                                                                                                                                                   0
         1                   2               3                  4    5   6    7                                              8           9             10                  1                  2                 3               4    5   6    7                                                 8                9              10
                                                                 Income decile                                                                                                                                                   Income decile



* Average of European Union (EU) countries.                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      11
Source: Own estimation based on ECLAC, Eurostat and INEGI data.
The Impact of Information and
Communication Technologies on
        Social Welfare




           Alexis Milo


                   Miami, Florida. December 5th, 2011

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The Impact of Information and Communication Technologies on Social Welfare

  • 1. The Impact of Information and Communication Technologies on Social Welfare Alexis Milo Miami, Florida. December 5th, 2011
  • 2. Impact of ICTs: Productivity ICT Capital Contribution to Labor Productivity Growth, 2000 - 2009 (percentage points) 4.5 4.0 ICT capital Non-ICT related inputs 3.5 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 Switzerland France Korea Japan Sweden Canada Portugal USA Germany UK Ireland Austria New Zealand Spain Denmark Finland Netherlands Belgium Australia 2 Source: OECD.
  • 3. Impact of ICTs: Education Fixed Broadband Penetration and Wireless Broadband Penetration and PISA Scores PISA Scores (OECD countries) (OECD countries) PISA score, PISA score, 2009 2009 600 Reading Science 600 Reading Science Math Lineal (Reading) Math Lineal (Reading) 550 550 500 500 450 450 400 400 350 350 5 15 25 35 45 0 25 50 75 100 Fixed broadband penetration (%, 2010) Wireless broadband penetration (%, 2010) 3 Source: Own estimations based on OECD/PISA data.
  • 4. Impact of ICTs: Health • India. Through a Radiocommunications and email Videoconference SMS and Mobile Apps • Peru. Health • Ghana. Through centers in remote SMS, the broadband areas have been “Childcount+” network able to reduce the program facilitates specialists number of detection and diagnose and patients treatment of treat eye channeled to severe deseases diseases. emergency such as malaria. rooms. • Spain. The app • Brazil. Personnel “Dermamóvil” in health centers allows receive training dermatologists to and are able to track treatment of contact patients with skin specialists affections. located in other facilities. 4
  • 5. Impact of ICTs • Mobile services help rural producers (fishermen, farmers, Rural etc.) to coordinate with the sales point, contributing to the efficiency of rural markets. areas • Examples: Burkina Faso, India, Niger. Mobile • People without access to banks can get basic financial services using their mobile phone. banking • Examples: Philippines, Kenya, South Africa. Business • Broadband fosters the development of new services. • Example: United States. opportunities Property • The availability of broadband increases the value of real estate assets. value • Example: United States. 5
  • 6. Impact of ICTs: Growth Growth Effects of ICTs, 1980 - 2006 (percentage points increase in GDP per capita growth per 10 percentage points increase in ICTs penetration) High-income economies 1.4 1.4 Low-and middle-income 1.2 1.2 1.1 economies 1.0 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 Fixed Mobile Internet Broadband 6 Source: Qiang (2009) as reported by the World Bank (2009).
  • 7. ICT Penetration in Mexico Fixed Phone Mobile Phone (lines per 100 inhabitants) (subscriptions per 100 inhabitants) 25 100 20 80 15 60 10 40 5 20 0 0 2010 p/ 1992 2002 2004 2000 2008 1990 1994 1996 1998 2000 2006 2008 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2002 2004 2006 2010 p/ Internet (subscriptions per 100 inhabitants) 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 2000 2005 2001 2002 2003 2004 2006 2007 2008 2010 p/ 2009 p/ p/ preliminary data. 7 Source: COFETEL.
  • 8. Mobile Phone Rates* in Mexico Average Mobile Phone Rates (prepaid) mexican pesos per minute % change from february to november 2011 $4.0 0% feb-11 nov-11 -10% -7% $3.0 -20% -16% $2.0 -30% -40% $1.0 -45% -50% -49% $- -60% $50 $120 $150 $300 $50 $120 $150 $300 Value of airtime card Value of airtime card * Includes “frequent numbers” and “bonus minutes”. 8 Source: Own estimations using operators’ data.
  • 9. 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 0.0 3.5 France Poland New Zealand Belgium Spain Source: OECD Broadband Statistics. Hungary Switzerland Luxembourg Korea Portugal United Kingdom Czech Republic Austria Japan Mexico Germany Ireland Italy Slovak Republic United States Canada Estonia Slovenia (subscriptions per 100 inhabitants) Netherlands Chile Turkey Norway Australia Change in Fixed Broadband Penetration, 2009 - 2011 Iceland Denmark OECD Average = 2.02 Israel Sweden Finland 9 ICT Penetration
  • 10. Household ICT Availability Change in Availability by Income Decile: 2006 - 2010 Mobile Phone Internet (change in percentage points) (change in percentage points) 30 30 20 20 10 10 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Income decile Income decile 10 Source: Own estimation based on INEGI data.
  • 11. Household ICT Availability Mobile Phone Availability in Households Internet Availability in Households (% of households per income decile) (% of households per income decile) EU ('10)* 90 Mexico ('10) Spain ('11) Mexico ('10) Ecuador ('09) Chile ('06) 80 Brazil ('09) EU ('08)* Honduras ('07) Greece ('10) Costa Rica ('05) 100 70 Peru ('09) Bulgaria ('10) 60 Bolivia ('05) 80 Paraguay ('00) 50 Colombia ('10) Chile ('08) El Salvador ('09) Mozambique ('08) 60 40 Nicaragua ('09) Namibia ('08) Peru ('09) 40 30 20 20 10 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Income decile Income decile * Average of European Union (EU) countries. 11 Source: Own estimation based on ECLAC, Eurostat and INEGI data.
  • 12. The Impact of Information and Communication Technologies on Social Welfare Alexis Milo Miami, Florida. December 5th, 2011