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Scottish Public Opinion Monitor
March 2012

                                        1.3.12
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  Technical details                                                                                                                                    brand logo
                                                                                                                                                          here
                                                                                                                                                           2



• This presents the topline results from Scotland
• Results are based on a survey of 1,005 respondents
  conducted by telephone
• Fieldwork dates: 27th January – 29th January 2012
• Data are weight by: age, sex and working status using
  census data; tenure using SHS 2007-2008 data; and
  public-private sector employment using Scottish
  Government Quarterly Public Sector Employment series
  data
• Where results do not sum to 100%, this may be due to
  computer rounding, multiple responses, or the exclusion of
  “don‟t know” categories
• Results are based on all respondents (1,005) unless
  otherwise stated




© Ipsos MORI   Version 1 | Public (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) Version 1 | Internal Use Only Version 1 | Confidential   Version 1 | Strictly Confidential
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Two thirds of Scots have heard of devolution max                                                                                                                        here
                                                                                                                                                                         3

 Q: Have you heard of devolution max?



                                                                                                                                        Men
                                                      All                                                                        Women


                                                                                                                                     18-24
                                                                                   Yes                                               25-34
                No                                                                                                                   35-54
                                                                                                                                         55+
                          35%
                                                                                                                                                                     Yes
                                                                                                                    Most deprived                                    No
                                                                                                                    Least deprived

                                                                               65%
                                                                                                                                        SNP
                                                                                                                                  Labour
                                                                                                                    Conservatives
                                                                                                                             Lib Dems
                                                                                                                                                  0%    50%   100%
 Base: All (1,005). Data collected among 1,005 Scottish adults 18+, 27-29 January 2012


 © Ipsos MORI   Version 1 | Public (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) Version 1 | Internal Use Only Version 1 | Confidential   Version 1 | Strictly Confidential
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Majority of Scots think their should be a devolution                                                                                                                        brand logo
                                                                                                                                                                               here
max question on the ballot paper                                                                                                                                                4

  Q: Which of the following comes closest to your view?


                                                       All                                                                                   All who are certain to vote
                                                                                    Referendum
                                                                                                                                                                     Referendum
                                                                                    should only
                                                                                                                                                                     should only
                                  Undecided
                                                                                    include                                                  Undecided – 3%          include question
                                                                                    question on
                                                                                                                                                                     on independence
                                                   4%                               independence



                                                                                 37%
                                                                                                                                                                    41%


                                                                                                                                            55%
                            59%

Referendum should include                                                                          Referendum should include
question on independence &                                                                         question on independence &
separate question on „Devo.                                                                        separate question on „Devo.
Max‟                                                                                               Max‟
   Base: All (1,005); All certain to vote (780). Data collected among 1,005 Scottish adults 18+, 27-29 January 2012


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Majority of Scots support devolution max proposal                                                                                                                             here
                                                                                                                                                                               5

 Q: Do you agree or disagree with a proposal to extend the powers of the Scottish Parliament to include more
 laws and duties and control most of taxation, while Scotland remains part of the UK?


                                                      All                                                                                   All who are certain to vote

                Undecided                                                                                                        Undecided
                                                 5%                                Agree                                                                5%         Agree


                           24%                                                                                                               25%




                                                                             71%                                                                                 71%


                Disagree                                                                                                         Disagree

 Base: All (1,005); All certain to vote (780). Data collected among 1,005 Scottish adults 18+, 27-29 January 2012


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Almost nine in ten independence supporters also support                                                                                                                        brand logo
                                                                                                                                                                                  here
devolution max, compared to just over half of opponents                                                                                                                            6

 Q: Do you agree or disagree with a proposal to extend the powers of the Scottish Parliament to include more
 laws and duties and control most of taxation, while Scotland remains part of the UK?

                                            Support                                                                                                        Oppose
                                         independence                                                                                                   independence

                          Undecided – 2%                                                                                                Undecided
                                         9%                                        Agree                                                                  5%           Agree




                                                                                                                                        41%                            53%




                                                                88%
                Disagree                                                                                                         Disagree

  Base: All (1,005); All certain to vote (780). Data collected among 1,005 Scottish adults 18+, 27-29 January 2012


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The vast majority of SNP supporters agree with the proposal for                                                                                                          brand logo
                                                                                                                                                                            here
devolution max                                                                                                                                                                 7

 Q: Do you agree or disagree with a proposal to extend the powers of the Scottish Parliament to include more
 laws and duties and control most of taxation, while Scotland remains part of the UK?

   100%


     80%


     60%
                                                                                                                                                                   Agree
                                                                                                                                                                   Disagree
     40%
                                                                                                                                                                   Undecided

     20%


       0%
                                 SNP                                    Labour                          Conservatives                                   Lib Dems
  Base: SNP (334), Labour (190), Conservatives (105), Lib Dems (74). Data collected among 1,005 Scottish adults 18+, 27-29 January 2012


 © Ipsos MORI   Version 1 | Public (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) Version 1 | Internal Use Only Version 1 | Confidential   Version 1 | Strictly Confidential
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                                                                                                                                                             here

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Thank you
mark.diffley@ipsos.com | 0131 240 3269                                                                                                                          1.3.12
@IpsosMORIScot

© Ipsos MORI   This work was carried out in accordance with the requirements of the international quality standard for market research, ISO 20252:2006.

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Attitudes towards 'devolution max', Scottish public Opinion Monitor

  • 1. Paste co- brand logo here l Scottish Public Opinion Monitor March 2012 1.3.12
  • 2. Paste co- Technical details brand logo here 2 • This presents the topline results from Scotland • Results are based on a survey of 1,005 respondents conducted by telephone • Fieldwork dates: 27th January – 29th January 2012 • Data are weight by: age, sex and working status using census data; tenure using SHS 2007-2008 data; and public-private sector employment using Scottish Government Quarterly Public Sector Employment series data • Where results do not sum to 100%, this may be due to computer rounding, multiple responses, or the exclusion of “don‟t know” categories • Results are based on all respondents (1,005) unless otherwise stated © Ipsos MORI Version 1 | Public (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) Version 1 | Internal Use Only Version 1 | Confidential Version 1 | Strictly Confidential
  • 3. Paste co- brand logo Two thirds of Scots have heard of devolution max here 3 Q: Have you heard of devolution max? Men All Women 18-24 Yes 25-34 No 35-54 55+ 35% Yes Most deprived No Least deprived 65% SNP Labour Conservatives Lib Dems 0% 50% 100% Base: All (1,005). Data collected among 1,005 Scottish adults 18+, 27-29 January 2012 © Ipsos MORI Version 1 | Public (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) Version 1 | Internal Use Only Version 1 | Confidential Version 1 | Strictly Confidential
  • 4. Paste co- Majority of Scots think their should be a devolution brand logo here max question on the ballot paper 4 Q: Which of the following comes closest to your view? All All who are certain to vote Referendum Referendum should only should only Undecided include Undecided – 3% include question question on on independence 4% independence 37% 41% 55% 59% Referendum should include Referendum should include question on independence & question on independence & separate question on „Devo. separate question on „Devo. Max‟ Max‟ Base: All (1,005); All certain to vote (780). Data collected among 1,005 Scottish adults 18+, 27-29 January 2012 © Ipsos MORI Version 1 | Public (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) Version 1 | Internal Use Only Version 1 | Confidential Version 1 | Strictly Confidential
  • 5. Paste co- brand logo Majority of Scots support devolution max proposal here 5 Q: Do you agree or disagree with a proposal to extend the powers of the Scottish Parliament to include more laws and duties and control most of taxation, while Scotland remains part of the UK? All All who are certain to vote Undecided Undecided 5% Agree 5% Agree 24% 25% 71% 71% Disagree Disagree Base: All (1,005); All certain to vote (780). Data collected among 1,005 Scottish adults 18+, 27-29 January 2012 © Ipsos MORI Version 1 | Public (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) Version 1 | Internal Use Only Version 1 | Confidential Version 1 | Strictly Confidential
  • 6. Paste co- Almost nine in ten independence supporters also support brand logo here devolution max, compared to just over half of opponents 6 Q: Do you agree or disagree with a proposal to extend the powers of the Scottish Parliament to include more laws and duties and control most of taxation, while Scotland remains part of the UK? Support Oppose independence independence Undecided – 2% Undecided 9% Agree 5% Agree 41% 53% 88% Disagree Disagree Base: All (1,005); All certain to vote (780). Data collected among 1,005 Scottish adults 18+, 27-29 January 2012 © Ipsos MORI Version 1 | Public (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) Version 1 | Internal Use Only Version 1 | Confidential Version 1 | Strictly Confidential
  • 7. Paste co- The vast majority of SNP supporters agree with the proposal for brand logo here devolution max 7 Q: Do you agree or disagree with a proposal to extend the powers of the Scottish Parliament to include more laws and duties and control most of taxation, while Scotland remains part of the UK? 100% 80% 60% Agree Disagree 40% Undecided 20% 0% SNP Labour Conservatives Lib Dems Base: SNP (334), Labour (190), Conservatives (105), Lib Dems (74). Data collected among 1,005 Scottish adults 18+, 27-29 January 2012 © Ipsos MORI Version 1 | Public (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) Version 1 | Internal Use Only Version 1 | Confidential Version 1 | Strictly Confidential
  • 8. Paste co- brand logo here l Thank you mark.diffley@ipsos.com | 0131 240 3269 1.3.12 @IpsosMORIScot © Ipsos MORI This work was carried out in accordance with the requirements of the international quality standard for market research, ISO 20252:2006.