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Scottish Public Opinion Monitor – Attitudes towards EU membership
February 2013




© Ipsos MORI   Version 1 | Public (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) Version 1 | Internal Use Only Version 1 | Confidential   Version 1 | Strictly Confidential
Should there be a referendum
on Britain’s membership of the
European Union?




© Ipsos MORI   Version 1 | Public (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) Version 1 | Internal Use Only Version 1 | Confidential   Version 1 | Strictly Confidential
The majority of Scots think there should be a referendum on
Britain’s membership of the European Union
Q: Do you think there should be a referendum on Britain’s membership of the
European Union, or not?
                                                                       Don’t know
                                                                                                  6%




                                                    No           36%

                                                                                                                                                       58%   Yes




Data collected among 1,003 Scottish adults 18+, 4-9 February 2013


© Ipsos MORI   Version 1 | Public (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) Version 1 | Internal Use Only Version 1 | Confidential   Version 1 | Strictly Confidential
Support for a referendum is highest among men and older people

Q: Do you think there should be a referendum on Britain’s membership of the
European Union, or not?
               Men         Women                            18-24           25-34           35-54            55+                                 SNP   Labour   Cons.    Lib
                                                                                                                                                                        Dem




               62%                                                                                           64%                                 63%            65%
                             54%                                             54%             56%                                                        52%
                                                             47%                                                                                                        43%    Yes
                                                                                                                                                                               No


               34%                                                                                           30%                                 32%            30%
                             38%                                             37%             40%                                                        42%
                                                             43%
                                                                                                                                                                        53%




Data collected among 1,003 Scottish adults 18+, 4-9 February 2013


© Ipsos MORI   Version 1 | Public (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) Version 1 | Internal Use Only Version 1 | Confidential   Version 1 | Strictly Confidential
Should Britain stay in or leave
the European Union?




© Ipsos MORI   Version 1 | Public (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) Version 1 | Internal Use Only Version 1 | Confidential   Version 1 | Strictly Confidential
The majority of Scots would vote for Britain to remain a member
of the European Union
Q: If there were a referendum now on whether Britain should stay in or leave the
European Union, how would you vote?
                                                               Don’t know
                                                                                        13%




                                                                                                                                                       53% Stay in
                                                                   34%
                                              Leave




Base: All (1,003). Data collected among 1,003 Scottish adults 18+, 4-9 February 2013




© Ipsos MORI   Version 1 | Public (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) Version 1 | Internal Use Only Version 1 | Confidential   Version 1 | Strictly Confidential
Support for Britain remaining in the EU is highest among
younger people
Q: If there were a referendum now on whether Britain should stay in or leave the
European Union, how would you vote?
               Men         Women                             18-24           25-34           35-54             55+                                 SNP   Labour   Cons.    Lib
                                                                                                                                                                          Dem




                                                            68%                                                                                                           70%    Stay
                                                                            57%                                                                           60%
          54%              53%                                                               53%                                                   51%                           in
                                                                                                             48%                                                  46%

                                                                                                                                                                                 Leave


                                                                                                                                                                          20%
                           30%                              26%             29%                                                                           28%
          37%                                                                                33%             38%                                                  37%
                                                                                                                                                   39%




Data collected among 1,003 Scottish adults 18+, 4-9 February 2013


© Ipsos MORI   Version 1 | Public (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) Version 1 | Internal Use Only Version 1 | Confidential   Version 1 | Strictly Confidential
Should an independent
Scotland be a member of the
European Union?




© Ipsos MORI   Version 1 | Public (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) Version 1 | Internal Use Only Version 1 | Confidential   Version 1 | Strictly Confidential
Six in ten think an independent Scotland should be a member of
the European Union
Q: Regardless of how you intend to vote in the Scottish independence referendum, which of the
following comes closest to your view?
                                                                       Don’t know
                                                                                                  6%



               An independent
           Scotland should not
                                                                 33%
           be a member of the
              European Union
                                                                                                                                                         An independent
                                                                                                                                                   61%   Scotland should be a
                                                                                                                                                         member of the
                                                                                                                                                         European Union




Base: All (1,003). Data collected among 1,003 Scottish adults 18+, 4-9 February 2013




© Ipsos MORI   Version 1 | Public (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) Version 1 | Internal Use Only Version 1 | Confidential   Version 1 | Strictly Confidential
There are similar levels of support for an independent Scotland being an EU
member between those who support and oppose independence
Q: Regardless of how you intend to vote in the Scottish independence referendum,
which of the following comes closest to your view?
                                    An independent Scotland should be a member of the European Union
                                    An independent Scotland should not be a member of the European Union




                                                   65%
                                                                                                                                                       59%




                                                   34%                                                                                                 35%



                                 Support independence                                                                                     Oppose independence
Base: All certain to vote in the independence referendum (735). Data collected among 1,003 Scottish adults 18+, 4-9 February 2013


© Ipsos MORI   Version 1 | Public (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) Version 1 | Internal Use Only Version 1 | Confidential   Version 1 | Strictly Confidential
Technical details

• This presents the topline results from Scotland
• Results are based on a survey of 1,003 respondents
  (adults aged 18+) conducted by telephone
• Fieldwork dates: 4th February – 9th February 2013
• Data are weight by: age, sex and working status using
  census data; tenure using SHS data; and public-private
  sector employment using Scottish Government Quarterly
  Public Sector Employment series data
• Where results do not sum to 100%, this may be due to
  computer rounding, multiple responses, or the exclusion of
  “don’t know” categories
• Results are based on all respondents (1,003) unless
  otherwise stated




© Ipsos MORI   Version 1 | Public (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) Version 1 | Internal Use Only Version 1 | Confidential   Version 1 | Strictly Confidential
Paste co-
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Thank you
mark.diffley@ipsos.com | 0131 240 3269                                                                                                            @IpsosMORIScot
christopher.mclean@ipsos.com | 0131 240 3264

© Ipsos MORI   This work was carried out in accordance with the requirements of the international quality standard for market research, ISO 20252:2006.

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Scotland: Attitudes towards EU membership

  • 1. Paste co- brand logo here Scottish Public Opinion Monitor – Attitudes towards EU membership February 2013 © Ipsos MORI Version 1 | Public (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) Version 1 | Internal Use Only Version 1 | Confidential Version 1 | Strictly Confidential
  • 2. Should there be a referendum on Britain’s membership of the European Union? © Ipsos MORI Version 1 | Public (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) Version 1 | Internal Use Only Version 1 | Confidential Version 1 | Strictly Confidential
  • 3. The majority of Scots think there should be a referendum on Britain’s membership of the European Union Q: Do you think there should be a referendum on Britain’s membership of the European Union, or not? Don’t know 6% No 36% 58% Yes Data collected among 1,003 Scottish adults 18+, 4-9 February 2013 © Ipsos MORI Version 1 | Public (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) Version 1 | Internal Use Only Version 1 | Confidential Version 1 | Strictly Confidential
  • 4. Support for a referendum is highest among men and older people Q: Do you think there should be a referendum on Britain’s membership of the European Union, or not? Men Women 18-24 25-34 35-54 55+ SNP Labour Cons. Lib Dem 62% 64% 63% 65% 54% 54% 56% 52% 47% 43% Yes No 34% 30% 32% 30% 38% 37% 40% 42% 43% 53% Data collected among 1,003 Scottish adults 18+, 4-9 February 2013 © Ipsos MORI Version 1 | Public (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) Version 1 | Internal Use Only Version 1 | Confidential Version 1 | Strictly Confidential
  • 5. Should Britain stay in or leave the European Union? © Ipsos MORI Version 1 | Public (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) Version 1 | Internal Use Only Version 1 | Confidential Version 1 | Strictly Confidential
  • 6. The majority of Scots would vote for Britain to remain a member of the European Union Q: If there were a referendum now on whether Britain should stay in or leave the European Union, how would you vote? Don’t know 13% 53% Stay in 34% Leave Base: All (1,003). Data collected among 1,003 Scottish adults 18+, 4-9 February 2013 © Ipsos MORI Version 1 | Public (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) Version 1 | Internal Use Only Version 1 | Confidential Version 1 | Strictly Confidential
  • 7. Support for Britain remaining in the EU is highest among younger people Q: If there were a referendum now on whether Britain should stay in or leave the European Union, how would you vote? Men Women 18-24 25-34 35-54 55+ SNP Labour Cons. Lib Dem 68% 70% Stay 57% 60% 54% 53% 53% 51% in 48% 46% Leave 20% 30% 26% 29% 28% 37% 33% 38% 37% 39% Data collected among 1,003 Scottish adults 18+, 4-9 February 2013 © Ipsos MORI Version 1 | Public (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) Version 1 | Internal Use Only Version 1 | Confidential Version 1 | Strictly Confidential
  • 8. Should an independent Scotland be a member of the European Union? © Ipsos MORI Version 1 | Public (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) Version 1 | Internal Use Only Version 1 | Confidential Version 1 | Strictly Confidential
  • 9. Six in ten think an independent Scotland should be a member of the European Union Q: Regardless of how you intend to vote in the Scottish independence referendum, which of the following comes closest to your view? Don’t know 6% An independent Scotland should not 33% be a member of the European Union An independent 61% Scotland should be a member of the European Union Base: All (1,003). Data collected among 1,003 Scottish adults 18+, 4-9 February 2013 © Ipsos MORI Version 1 | Public (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) Version 1 | Internal Use Only Version 1 | Confidential Version 1 | Strictly Confidential
  • 10. There are similar levels of support for an independent Scotland being an EU member between those who support and oppose independence Q: Regardless of how you intend to vote in the Scottish independence referendum, which of the following comes closest to your view? An independent Scotland should be a member of the European Union An independent Scotland should not be a member of the European Union 65% 59% 34% 35% Support independence Oppose independence Base: All certain to vote in the independence referendum (735). Data collected among 1,003 Scottish adults 18+, 4-9 February 2013 © Ipsos MORI Version 1 | Public (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) Version 1 | Internal Use Only Version 1 | Confidential Version 1 | Strictly Confidential
  • 11. Technical details • This presents the topline results from Scotland • Results are based on a survey of 1,003 respondents (adults aged 18+) conducted by telephone • Fieldwork dates: 4th February – 9th February 2013 • Data are weight by: age, sex and working status using census data; tenure using SHS data; and public-private sector employment using Scottish Government Quarterly Public Sector Employment series data • Where results do not sum to 100%, this may be due to computer rounding, multiple responses, or the exclusion of “don’t know” categories • Results are based on all respondents (1,003) unless otherwise stated © Ipsos MORI Version 1 | Public (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) Version 1 | Internal Use Only Version 1 | Confidential Version 1 | Strictly Confidential
  • 12. Paste co- brand logo here Thank you mark.diffley@ipsos.com | 0131 240 3269 @IpsosMORIScot christopher.mclean@ipsos.com | 0131 240 3264 © Ipsos MORI This work was carried out in accordance with the requirements of the international quality standard for market research, ISO 20252:2006.