On the day that the UK Government publishes draft legislation to devolve additional powers to the Scottish Parliament, our new poll for STV News suggests that voters are not won over by the proposals.

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Scottish Public Opinion Monitor
January 2015

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Scottish Parliament voting

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Q. If there were elections to the Scottish Parliament tomorrow, how would you use your first vote?
Holyrood – voting intention - constituency vote
Base: All giving a voting intention = 899; all certain to vote = 662. Data collected among 1,001 Scottish adults 18+, 12th-19th January 2015
SNP
50%
Lab
26%
Cons
12%
Lib
Dem
5%
Others
2%
Greens
5%
All giving a voting intention
SNP
53%
Lab
24%
Cons
11%
Lib
Dem
5%
Others
2%
Greens
5%
Certain to vote
SNP lead
+24
SNP lead
+29

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If there were elections to the Scottish Parliament tomorrow, how would you use your first vote?
0
10
20
30
40
50
60 Labour SNP Conservative Liberal Democrats Other (including Greens)
Base: All certain to vote. Data collected among c1,000 Scottish adults.
Holyrood –constituency vote trend

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Q. If there were elections to the Scottish Parliament tomorrow, how would you use your second vote?
Holyrood – voting intention - list vote
Base: All giving a voting intention = 891; all certain to vote = 657. Data collected among 1,001 Scottish adults 18+, 12th-19th January 2015
SNP
47%
Lab
24%
Cons
12%
Lib Dem
4%
Others
4%
Green
9%
All giving a voting intention
SNP
48%
Lab
22%
Cons
11%
Lib Dem
5%
Others
4%
Green
10%
Certain to vote
SNP lead
+23
SNP lead
+26

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Devolution and the Smith
Commission Report

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Q. As you may know, Scotland has its own parliament which makes decisions about issues such as health and
education. This is not the case in England where all issues are decided by MPs from across the UK in the House
of Commons. Some people think that Scottish MPs should not be allowed to vote in the House of Commons on
issues that have no direct impact on people in Scotland. To what extent would you support or oppose such a
change? Would you…..
Devolution
Base: All. Data collected among 1,001 Scottish adults 18+, 12th-19th January 2015
27%
24%
14%
12%
18%
5%
Strongly support
Tend to support
Neither support nor
oppose
Tend to oppose
Strongly oppose
Don't know

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Q. Have you read, seen or heard anything about the ‘Smith Commission’ Report, which was published in
November 2014, outlining further devolution of powers to the Scottish Parliament?
Q. And have you personally read any of that Report itself?
The Smith Commission Report
Base: All. Data collected among 1,001 Scottish adults 18+, 12th-19th January 2015
55%
43%
2%
Yes
No
Don't know/
can't
remember
Have you read, seen or heard anything about the
Smith Commission Report?
23%
77%
Yes
No
Have you read any of that report?
Base: All who have read, seen or heard anything about the Smith Commission :551Base: All.

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Q. What effect, if any, will the Smith Commission proposals have on how you would vote in a future
independence referendum?
The Smith Commission Report
Base: All who have read, seen or heard anything about the Smith Commission 551 Data collected among 1,001 Scottish adults 18+, 12th-19th January
2015
12%
27%
55%
5%
More likely to
vote "No"
More likely to
vote "Yes"
Makes no
difference
Don't know

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hereTechnical details
• This presents the topline results from Scotland
• Results are based on a survey of 1,001 respondents
(adults aged 18+) conducted by telephone
• Fieldwork dates: 12th-19th January 2015
• Data are weighted by: age, sex and working status using
census data; tenure using SHS data; and public-private
sector employment using Scottish Government Quarterly
Public Sector Employment series data
• Where results do not sum to 100%, this may be due to
computer rounding, multiple responses, or the exclusion of
“don’t know” categories
• Results are based on all respondents (1,001) unless
otherwise stated

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Thank you
mark.diffley@ipsos.com | 0131 240 3269
@IpsosMORIScot