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BAYESIAN STATISTICS AS A NEW
TOOL FOR SPECTRAL ANALYSIS:
Application for Massive Stars Fundamental
Parameters Determination
Jean-Michel Mugnes
CLASSICAL SPECTRAL ANALYSIS
 Aim: obtain stellar parameters: Teff, log g, vsin i ,
microturbulence (), macroturbulence,
abundances…
 Many technics used: curve of growth, FFT, model
fitting « by eye » or with χ² calculation…
 Iterative methods with Free & fixed parameters
 a few lines used depending on their sensitivities.
(e.g. : Balmer lines -> log g & Teff, Si lines -> Teff, etc…)
THE CLASSICAL APPROACH
 Iterative with Free & fixed parameters:
 Build a Model grid (here TLUSTY Lanz & Hubeny 2007)
 Teff & log g free
 vsin i = 0 km.s-1
  = 0 km.s-1
THE CLASSICAL APPROACH
 Chi square analysis on Hbeta (vsin i &  =0 km.s-1)
And it is only for
one line…
 But what happens for different values of vsin i ?
Red diamond = Best
solution for a given vsin i
 And for different values of  ?
THE CLASSICAL APPROACH
 And each line has it’s own « opinion »
 The final results depends on the selected lines
 And on the values of the fixed parameters.
 Simultaneity is the key.
THE SIMULTANEOUS APPROACH
 From free & fixed parameters to only free parameters.
Most
probable
Less
probable
 « Free & fixed » fit:
χ² calculated for a given
vsin i and  separatly
 Simultaneous fit:
χ² calculated over all
values of Teff, log g, vsin i
and .
« Likelyhood of H »
DIFFERENT LINES, DIFFERENT LIKELYHOODS
Likelyhood =
Cexp ( - χ²/2σ²)
(here σ= 10 X σ_real)
a wide variety of
shapes
FROM AN ITERATIVE TO A SIMULTANEOUS METHOD
 The Bayes Theorem:
Prior probability (line 1) Likelyhood (line 2)
Posterior probability
= prior probability for
line 3 , etc…
X
=
Likelyhood (line 1)
BAYES THEOREM IN PROCESS
Posterior
probability
GOING FURTHER
 Final probability
distribution for all the
parameters given by all
the lines in the spectrum
simultaneously
New model grid
Refined final
probability
(Remember that
σ= 10 X σ_real)
TESTING THE METHOD
 Applied the method
on a randomly noised
synthetical spectrum
 SNR going from 25 to
350 with steps of 25.
 10 runs where
performed for each
SNR value
SNR=25
SNR=350
TESTING THE METHOD
 Overall success rate is over 86 %
 Around 78% for a SNR < 150
 Around 92% for a SNR > 150
TESTING THE METHOD ON REAL SPECTRA
 52 spectra of field and cluster B stars collected
at the Mont-Mégantic Observatory.
 « Normal » stars : no binaries, chemicaly peculiar,
pulsating…
 Well studied nearby stars.
 Visible spectra between 3600 Å and 6000 Å, with
moderate resolution (fwhm=2.3 Å)
TESTING THE METHOD ON REAL SPECTRA
TESTING THE METHOD ON REAL SPECTRA
CONCLUSIONS
 We have developed a new spectral analysis
method that :
 simultaneously constraints all the parameters and all the
available lines
 is robust against noise and uncertainties
 is generally more accurate than the classical methods
 is also fast, automated and gives the results with their
associated uncertainties
 Works also with any given model atmosphere
(TLUSTY, ATLAS, PHOENIX,…)
THANK YOU FOR YOUR
ATTENTION
Bayesian Statistics as a New Tool for Spectral Analysis

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Bayesian Statistics as a New Tool for Spectral Analysis

  • 1. BAYESIAN STATISTICS AS A NEW TOOL FOR SPECTRAL ANALYSIS: Application for Massive Stars Fundamental Parameters Determination Jean-Michel Mugnes
  • 2. CLASSICAL SPECTRAL ANALYSIS  Aim: obtain stellar parameters: Teff, log g, vsin i , microturbulence (), macroturbulence, abundances…  Many technics used: curve of growth, FFT, model fitting « by eye » or with χ² calculation…  Iterative methods with Free & fixed parameters  a few lines used depending on their sensitivities. (e.g. : Balmer lines -> log g & Teff, Si lines -> Teff, etc…)
  • 3. THE CLASSICAL APPROACH  Iterative with Free & fixed parameters:  Build a Model grid (here TLUSTY Lanz & Hubeny 2007)  Teff & log g free  vsin i = 0 km.s-1   = 0 km.s-1
  • 4. THE CLASSICAL APPROACH  Chi square analysis on Hbeta (vsin i &  =0 km.s-1) And it is only for one line…  But what happens for different values of vsin i ? Red diamond = Best solution for a given vsin i  And for different values of  ?
  • 5. THE CLASSICAL APPROACH  And each line has it’s own « opinion »  The final results depends on the selected lines  And on the values of the fixed parameters.  Simultaneity is the key.
  • 6. THE SIMULTANEOUS APPROACH  From free & fixed parameters to only free parameters. Most probable Less probable  « Free & fixed » fit: χ² calculated for a given vsin i and  separatly  Simultaneous fit: χ² calculated over all values of Teff, log g, vsin i and . « Likelyhood of H »
  • 7. DIFFERENT LINES, DIFFERENT LIKELYHOODS Likelyhood = Cexp ( - χ²/2σ²) (here σ= 10 X σ_real) a wide variety of shapes
  • 8. FROM AN ITERATIVE TO A SIMULTANEOUS METHOD  The Bayes Theorem: Prior probability (line 1) Likelyhood (line 2) Posterior probability = prior probability for line 3 , etc… X = Likelyhood (line 1)
  • 9. BAYES THEOREM IN PROCESS Posterior probability
  • 10. GOING FURTHER  Final probability distribution for all the parameters given by all the lines in the spectrum simultaneously New model grid Refined final probability (Remember that σ= 10 X σ_real)
  • 11. TESTING THE METHOD  Applied the method on a randomly noised synthetical spectrum  SNR going from 25 to 350 with steps of 25.  10 runs where performed for each SNR value SNR=25 SNR=350
  • 12. TESTING THE METHOD  Overall success rate is over 86 %  Around 78% for a SNR < 150  Around 92% for a SNR > 150
  • 13. TESTING THE METHOD ON REAL SPECTRA  52 spectra of field and cluster B stars collected at the Mont-Mégantic Observatory.  « Normal » stars : no binaries, chemicaly peculiar, pulsating…  Well studied nearby stars.  Visible spectra between 3600 Å and 6000 Å, with moderate resolution (fwhm=2.3 Å)
  • 14. TESTING THE METHOD ON REAL SPECTRA
  • 15. TESTING THE METHOD ON REAL SPECTRA
  • 16. CONCLUSIONS  We have developed a new spectral analysis method that :  simultaneously constraints all the parameters and all the available lines  is robust against noise and uncertainties  is generally more accurate than the classical methods  is also fast, automated and gives the results with their associated uncertainties  Works also with any given model atmosphere (TLUSTY, ATLAS, PHOENIX,…)
  • 17. THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION