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Evolving PHR Market
                  Analysis & Trends
         Presented for HHS, AHIC Consumer Empowerment Workgroup
                                  June 17, 2008




                       By: John Moore, Managing Director
                               Chilmark Research
                          John@ChilmarkResearch.com

June 13, 2008                  Copyright: Chilmark Research
                          For internal use only, not for distribution
Three Take-Aways

      What is Market
      Structure Today
      How will Market
      Evolve
            4 Generations
      Trajectory
            Drivers
            Challenges
            What to Watch



  June 13, 2008              Copyright: Chilmark Research
                        For internal use only, not for distribution
PHR Market has Re-ignited




  June 13, 2008        Copyright: Chilmark Research
                  For internal use only, not for distribution
Who is Engaging a PHR

 Total Adoption Today:
 ~5-7%
 Consumer Profile:
     Mid to Upper Class
     Middle Aged
     Working Mothers with
     Medical Proxy
     Chronic Care & Web-
     savvy
                                                                        Source: Intuit Survey 2005
 Little Adoption Among
 Healthy
                  Financial “Skin in the Game”
                      will Play a Large Role
  June 13, 2008                Copyright: Chilmark Research
                          For internal use only, not for distribution
Market has Moved to B2B Model




                  Primary Market                                          Secondary Market



        High Barriers to Entry in Provider Market
        Employer & Health Plan Markets Similar
        Consumer Plays are Often Legacy
  June 13, 2008                  Copyright: Chilmark Research
                            For internal use only, not for distribution
PHR Sponsors
Sponsor              Motivation(s)                             (+)                        (-)
Employer         Lower HC costs                 Health & wellness                Trust
                 Increase productivity          Integrated to HR                 Incentives required
                 Support CDHP                   package                          Most are tethered
                                                Can be comprehensive

Health           Lower medical losses           Claims & meds                    Trust
Plan             Behavioral change              HRA & PBM                        Claims data not clinical
                 Differentiator - CDHP          Domain expertise                 Most are tethered
                                                Provider info

Provider         Customer retention            Clinical & lab data               Not comprehensive
                 Workflow                      Online consultations,             Not interactive
                 Lower Readmissions            scheduling, Rx refill             Most are tethered
                                               Trust

Consumer         Chronic disease                Motivated                        Disconnected - self
                 mgmt                           Personal control                 entry
                 Care mgmt                      Portable                         Low adoption
                 CDHP mgmt                                                       Privacy & security
     June 13, 2008                      Copyright: Chilmark Research
                                   For internal use only, not for distribution
PHR Market is Highly Fragmented




                                       *




*iPHRs: Internet-based PHR




     Extremely Difficult to Choose Viable Solution
     June 13, 2008                Copyright: Chilmark Research
                             For internal use only, not for distribution
1st Generation: Isolated

                                                                  Target: End Consumer
                                                                  Most 3rd Party PHRs
            e nt                                                  Stuck Here
      nt
   Co                                                                85% of those
                                                                     interviewed
                                                                  Adoption Remains Low
                                                                     Generic
                                                                          Little personalization
                                                                       Self-entry
                                                                          Only for VERY
                                                                          motivated



                  Value: Track & Manage Care
  June 13, 2008               Copyright: Chilmark Research
                         For internal use only, not for distribution
2nd Generation: Online with Some Data
                                                                 Target: Businesses
                            r                                       Insurers, Employers,
                         s o ata                                    Providers
                       m D
                    lai cal
                   C i
                                                                 Land Rush by Insurers &
                      in                                         Employers
          n t      Cl                                               Manage/Lower Risks
      nte                                                               HRAs, Behaviors, CDHP
   Co                                                            Provider Market
                                                                 Dominated by EMR Vendors
                                                                    Customer Retention
                                                                        Communication
                                                                 Adoption Highly Variable
                                                                    Trust, Perceived Value
                                                                        Incentives often req’d
                                                                    Some self-entry required
                                                                    Portability?


Value: Facilitate Interaction, Promote Healthy Behavior
   June 13, 2008        Copyright: Chilmark Research
                   For internal use only, not for distribution
3rd Generation: Highly Networked Utility
                                                                 Target: Consumers
                      Data                                                 Exception - Dossia
      s




                                                                 Three Dominant Players
    ce
  vi




                                                                           Dossia, Google, HealthVault
De




                                                                 Utility Service Model




                                         ps
                                                                           Perform Heavy Lifting




                                       Ap
                                                                               Data Repository
                                                                                    Multiple sources
                                                                           Identification Mgmt
                                                                           Security/Privacy
                      Data                                       Market Contraction
                                                                           Accelerate Demise of Weak
                                                                 Adoption Unknown
   Not a PHR, but a Platform:                                       Can They Get the Data?
 Personal Health System (PHS)                                       Can They Build an Ecosystem?
                                                                    Trust, Value


          Value: Richer Data = Richer Experience
      June 13, 2008               Copyright: Chilmark Research
                             For internal use only, not for distribution
Dossia’s Utility Model

   PHA               PHA                       PHA                     Dossia Ecosystem
              PHA              PHA                                           Dossia Logo Prog.


              Dossia Open API                                          Dossia SIG

       Dossia Data Framework                                            Dossia.Org
                                                                        Built on INDIVOHEALTH
        Dossia Data Services
                                                                    Dossia Data Provider Network
                      EMR
Meds      Claims                  Labs          Images                       Dossia Certification Prog.
                    Provider


Google Health & HealthVault have Similar Models
  June 13, 2008                     Copyright: Chilmark Research
                               For internal use only, not for distribution
Successful (PHSs) Will Evolve Into
Ecosystems


                Providers
                                                                         If Successful…
                                            PHAs                                   Data Consolidation
Researchers                                (PHRs)
                                                                                     Data liquidity
                                                                                   Unmatched
                       PHS
                    (e.g., Dossia)                                                 Richness
                                               Insurers
                                                                                   Game Changing
                                                                                   Consumer
    Devices
                                                                                   Empowering


    June 13, 2008                         Copyright: Chilmark Research
                                     For internal use only, not for distribution
4th Generation: Personal, Actionable, Connected

                                                        Target: All Markets
                                                        Leverage Utility Services
                                                                 Now that we have the data…
                                                        Market Fragmentation
                                                                 Proliferation of Apps & Widgets
                                                                     Serve highly individual needs
                                                                     Enable personalized medicine
                                                        Seamless Integration
                                                                 “SPIME”
                                                                     Always on
                                                        Adoption Predicated On…
                                                           Liquid Data
                                                                     Success of ecosystems
                                                                 Consumer Value



  Value: About Me, By Me, With Me, For Me
   June 13, 2008        Copyright: Chilmark Research
                   For internal use only, not for distribution
PHR Evolution Accelerates Adoption

                                                                              Adoption
 Value
                                                                       Gen 4: Personal,
                                                                                              Users
                                                                       Actionable, &
                                                                                            (Millions)
                                                                       Connected


                                                                                           80
                                                              Gen 3: Data Aggregation
                                                              (Rise of PHS)

                         Gen 2: Online                                                     40

                                                                                           20
              Gen 1: Isolated

      1992            2000 2003                    2008            2011                   Time
                     (Online)


  June 13, 2008                      Copyright: Chilmark Research
                                For internal use only, not for distribution
Moving Ahead:
Adoption Challenges Remain
    Data Liquidity
      EMR adoption
      Standards Adoption
      Policies & Incentives
                  Portability
    Trust
       Health Plan, Employer, 3rd Party
    Consumer Apathy/Indifference
       Education
       Incentives
    Solution Capabilities
       Immature, Disparate

  June 13, 2008                      Copyright: Chilmark Research
                                For internal use only, not for distribution
Drivers to Overcome Challenges
  Accelerating, Employer-led Initiatives
        Financial Skin
  Consumerism Entering Healthcare
        Visibility, Education
  Accelerating IT Adoption
  Among Providers
        E-Consultations
  New Consumer-centric
  Technologies & Tools
        Delivering Radically New Capabilities
  Disintermediation of Care
        Retail Clinics, Med Tourism, etc.

  Will Consumer Drive Needed Change?
  June 13, 2008                  Copyright: Chilmark Research
                            For internal use only, not for distribution
What to Watch
   Traction of Platform Plays
      Data Sources (agreements)
                  E.g., Cleveland-Google, KP-MS
         Consumer Adoption
                  Sub-group types
         Developer Adoption
                  Popular apps/services
   Market Consolidation
     Rationalization
     Acquisitions
   Employer Successes
     Demonstrable ROI


  June 13, 2008                      Copyright: Chilmark Research
                                For internal use only, not for distribution
The world is moving so fast these
       days that the one who says it can’t
       be done is generally interrupted by
       someone doing it.

                                - Harry Emerson Fosdick




June 13, 2008          Copyright: Chilmark Research
                  For internal use only, not for distribution

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PHR Market 2008: Analysis & Trends

  • 1. Evolving PHR Market Analysis & Trends Presented for HHS, AHIC Consumer Empowerment Workgroup June 17, 2008 By: John Moore, Managing Director Chilmark Research John@ChilmarkResearch.com June 13, 2008 Copyright: Chilmark Research For internal use only, not for distribution
  • 2. Three Take-Aways What is Market Structure Today How will Market Evolve 4 Generations Trajectory Drivers Challenges What to Watch June 13, 2008 Copyright: Chilmark Research For internal use only, not for distribution
  • 3. PHR Market has Re-ignited June 13, 2008 Copyright: Chilmark Research For internal use only, not for distribution
  • 4. Who is Engaging a PHR Total Adoption Today: ~5-7% Consumer Profile: Mid to Upper Class Middle Aged Working Mothers with Medical Proxy Chronic Care & Web- savvy Source: Intuit Survey 2005 Little Adoption Among Healthy Financial “Skin in the Game” will Play a Large Role June 13, 2008 Copyright: Chilmark Research For internal use only, not for distribution
  • 5. Market has Moved to B2B Model Primary Market Secondary Market High Barriers to Entry in Provider Market Employer & Health Plan Markets Similar Consumer Plays are Often Legacy June 13, 2008 Copyright: Chilmark Research For internal use only, not for distribution
  • 6. PHR Sponsors Sponsor Motivation(s) (+) (-) Employer Lower HC costs Health & wellness Trust Increase productivity Integrated to HR Incentives required Support CDHP package Most are tethered Can be comprehensive Health Lower medical losses Claims & meds Trust Plan Behavioral change HRA & PBM Claims data not clinical Differentiator - CDHP Domain expertise Most are tethered Provider info Provider Customer retention Clinical & lab data Not comprehensive Workflow Online consultations, Not interactive Lower Readmissions scheduling, Rx refill Most are tethered Trust Consumer Chronic disease Motivated Disconnected - self mgmt Personal control entry Care mgmt Portable Low adoption CDHP mgmt Privacy & security June 13, 2008 Copyright: Chilmark Research For internal use only, not for distribution
  • 7. PHR Market is Highly Fragmented * *iPHRs: Internet-based PHR Extremely Difficult to Choose Viable Solution June 13, 2008 Copyright: Chilmark Research For internal use only, not for distribution
  • 8. 1st Generation: Isolated Target: End Consumer Most 3rd Party PHRs e nt Stuck Here nt Co 85% of those interviewed Adoption Remains Low Generic Little personalization Self-entry Only for VERY motivated Value: Track & Manage Care June 13, 2008 Copyright: Chilmark Research For internal use only, not for distribution
  • 9. 2nd Generation: Online with Some Data Target: Businesses r Insurers, Employers, s o ata Providers m D lai cal C i Land Rush by Insurers & in Employers n t Cl Manage/Lower Risks nte HRAs, Behaviors, CDHP Co Provider Market Dominated by EMR Vendors Customer Retention Communication Adoption Highly Variable Trust, Perceived Value Incentives often req’d Some self-entry required Portability? Value: Facilitate Interaction, Promote Healthy Behavior June 13, 2008 Copyright: Chilmark Research For internal use only, not for distribution
  • 10. 3rd Generation: Highly Networked Utility Target: Consumers Data Exception - Dossia s Three Dominant Players ce vi Dossia, Google, HealthVault De Utility Service Model ps Perform Heavy Lifting Ap Data Repository Multiple sources Identification Mgmt Security/Privacy Data Market Contraction Accelerate Demise of Weak Adoption Unknown Not a PHR, but a Platform: Can They Get the Data? Personal Health System (PHS) Can They Build an Ecosystem? Trust, Value Value: Richer Data = Richer Experience June 13, 2008 Copyright: Chilmark Research For internal use only, not for distribution
  • 11. Dossia’s Utility Model PHA PHA PHA Dossia Ecosystem PHA PHA Dossia Logo Prog. Dossia Open API Dossia SIG Dossia Data Framework Dossia.Org Built on INDIVOHEALTH Dossia Data Services Dossia Data Provider Network EMR Meds Claims Labs Images Dossia Certification Prog. Provider Google Health & HealthVault have Similar Models June 13, 2008 Copyright: Chilmark Research For internal use only, not for distribution
  • 12. Successful (PHSs) Will Evolve Into Ecosystems Providers If Successful… PHAs Data Consolidation Researchers (PHRs) Data liquidity Unmatched PHS (e.g., Dossia) Richness Insurers Game Changing Consumer Devices Empowering June 13, 2008 Copyright: Chilmark Research For internal use only, not for distribution
  • 13. 4th Generation: Personal, Actionable, Connected Target: All Markets Leverage Utility Services Now that we have the data… Market Fragmentation Proliferation of Apps & Widgets Serve highly individual needs Enable personalized medicine Seamless Integration “SPIME” Always on Adoption Predicated On… Liquid Data Success of ecosystems Consumer Value Value: About Me, By Me, With Me, For Me June 13, 2008 Copyright: Chilmark Research For internal use only, not for distribution
  • 14. PHR Evolution Accelerates Adoption Adoption Value Gen 4: Personal, Users Actionable, & (Millions) Connected 80 Gen 3: Data Aggregation (Rise of PHS) Gen 2: Online 40 20 Gen 1: Isolated 1992 2000 2003 2008 2011 Time (Online) June 13, 2008 Copyright: Chilmark Research For internal use only, not for distribution
  • 15. Moving Ahead: Adoption Challenges Remain Data Liquidity EMR adoption Standards Adoption Policies & Incentives Portability Trust Health Plan, Employer, 3rd Party Consumer Apathy/Indifference Education Incentives Solution Capabilities Immature, Disparate June 13, 2008 Copyright: Chilmark Research For internal use only, not for distribution
  • 16. Drivers to Overcome Challenges Accelerating, Employer-led Initiatives Financial Skin Consumerism Entering Healthcare Visibility, Education Accelerating IT Adoption Among Providers E-Consultations New Consumer-centric Technologies & Tools Delivering Radically New Capabilities Disintermediation of Care Retail Clinics, Med Tourism, etc. Will Consumer Drive Needed Change? June 13, 2008 Copyright: Chilmark Research For internal use only, not for distribution
  • 17. What to Watch Traction of Platform Plays Data Sources (agreements) E.g., Cleveland-Google, KP-MS Consumer Adoption Sub-group types Developer Adoption Popular apps/services Market Consolidation Rationalization Acquisitions Employer Successes Demonstrable ROI June 13, 2008 Copyright: Chilmark Research For internal use only, not for distribution
  • 18. The world is moving so fast these days that the one who says it can’t be done is generally interrupted by someone doing it. - Harry Emerson Fosdick June 13, 2008 Copyright: Chilmark Research For internal use only, not for distribution