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Runways UK Land – June 2014Runways UK Land – June 2014
A World Tour
Chris Chalk, Deputy Chair BAG
Runways UK Land – June 2014
• UK involved at World’s top 60 international airports
• We contribute to most of the award winning airports
• Heathrow T5 - World’s best terminal
• It’s not about the ability to deliver on the airport it’s
about everything outside the airport
Our delivery capability
Runways UK Land – June 2014
What are we looking for
• Experience from replacement airport
development
• Scale of redevelopment and distance
• Success factors
• Old airport redevelopment
Runways UK Land – June 2014
A World Tour – replacement airports
Istanbul
Munich
Hong Kong
Bangkok
Athens
Oslo
Denver
Quito
Montreal
Runways UK Land – June 2014
Relative Size
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100mppaonclose
Heathrow?
At Closure
Current
Growth to close
Runways UK Land – June 2014
Issue of distance (from old to new)
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
0 20 40 60 80 100
Drivedistance(miles)
Airport size (million pax)
Heathrow/Thames
Istanbul
Bangkok
Hong Kong
Oslo
Berlin
Denver
Munich
Athens
Quito
Montreal
Runways UK Land – June 2014
Relative scale of move
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
0 20 40 60 80 100
Heathrow /
Thames Estuary
Istanbul
Bangkok
Hong Kong
Oslo
BerlinDenver
Munich
Athens
Quito
Montreal
Runways UK Land – June 2014
• Move to new airport – old airport left to market
– Hong Kong
• Move to new airport – state redevelop old airport
– Denver
– Munich
• Move to new airport (and back again?)
– Bangkok
– Montreal
• Move to new airport – project finance
– Athens
– Quito
– Istanbul
Runways UK Land – June 2014Runways UK Land – June 2014
Move to new airport
– old airport left to market
Runways UK Land – June 2014
Hong Kong
Kai Tak to
Chek Lap Kok
30 mppa on close in 1998
22 miles
Overnight move
No cross funding
Runways UK Land – June 2014
HKG
Expanding
Expanding from 70 to
120mppa
Population build up
around airport
Night-time noise limits
Runways UK Land – June 2014
Hong Kong Kai Tak Airport - 2013
15 years after opening
Little re-development
Legal challenges
Off site development
first
Runways UK Land – June 2014Runways UK Land – June 2014
State redevelopment of old airport
Runways UK Land – June 2014
Munich
12 mppa on close in 1992
20 miles
Runways UK Land – June 2014
Munich Reim Airport
Runways UK Land – June 2014
Denver
12 mppa on close in 1995
17 miles
Runways UK Land – June 2014
Denver Stapleton Airport
Runways UK Land – June 2014Runways UK Land – June 2014
Move to the new (and back again)
Runways UK Land – June 2014
Bangkok
38 mppa on close in 2006
30 miles
Partial move back to Don
Muang
Runways UK Land – June 2014
Bangkok - Don Muang International Airport 2014
Runways UK Land – June 2014
Montreal Dorval to Mirabel Airport
8 mppa on “close” in 1975
30 miles
Dorval never closed
Passenger terminal to be
demolished 2014
Runways UK Land – June 2014Runways UK Land – June 2014
Privately financed airports
Runways UK Land – June 2014
Athens
11 mppa on close in 2001
18 miles
Concession
No cross funding of land
Runways UK Land – June 2014
Athens (old) Ellinikon Airport 2014
Runways UK Land – June 2014
Quito Airport
6 mppa on close in 2013
20 miles
Concession
No cross funding of land
Runways UK Land – June 2014
Old Quito Airport
Runways UK Land – June 2014
Istanbul Airport
~ 75 mppa on close in 2017
35 miles
Concession
No cross funding
Runways UK Land – June 2014
Istanbul 3rd Airport
• 2.8m population new city to be developed
• 2 million sqm airport commercial centre
• Opening 90mppa
• Opening 2017!
• Ultimate capacity >150mppa
• 5 runways
• 7,500 Ha (5x Heathrow)
Runways UK Land – June 2014
Summary
• The market will protect the land prices and
constrain re-development
• Redevelopment by the State requires further
cash and limited return
• Unrealistic plans will backfire
• Existing airport asset values are not used in
funding replacement airports in the private
sector
Runways UK Land – June 2014
The measure of the challenge
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
0 20 40 60 80 100 120
Heathrow /
Thames Estuary
Istanbul
Bangkok
Hong Kong
Oslo
Berlin
Denver
Munich
Athens
Quito
Montreal
Runways UK Land – June 2014Runways UK Land – June 2014
Questions
Chris Chalk, Deputy Chair BAG

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A comparison of airport relocation contrasted against the current UK airport debate

  • 1. Runways UK Land – June 2014Runways UK Land – June 2014 A World Tour Chris Chalk, Deputy Chair BAG
  • 2. Runways UK Land – June 2014 • UK involved at World’s top 60 international airports • We contribute to most of the award winning airports • Heathrow T5 - World’s best terminal • It’s not about the ability to deliver on the airport it’s about everything outside the airport Our delivery capability
  • 3. Runways UK Land – June 2014 What are we looking for • Experience from replacement airport development • Scale of redevelopment and distance • Success factors • Old airport redevelopment
  • 4. Runways UK Land – June 2014 A World Tour – replacement airports Istanbul Munich Hong Kong Bangkok Athens Oslo Denver Quito Montreal
  • 5. Runways UK Land – June 2014 Relative Size 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100mppaonclose Heathrow? At Closure Current Growth to close
  • 6. Runways UK Land – June 2014 Issue of distance (from old to new) 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 0 20 40 60 80 100 Drivedistance(miles) Airport size (million pax) Heathrow/Thames Istanbul Bangkok Hong Kong Oslo Berlin Denver Munich Athens Quito Montreal
  • 7. Runways UK Land – June 2014 Relative scale of move 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 0 20 40 60 80 100 Heathrow / Thames Estuary Istanbul Bangkok Hong Kong Oslo BerlinDenver Munich Athens Quito Montreal
  • 8. Runways UK Land – June 2014 • Move to new airport – old airport left to market – Hong Kong • Move to new airport – state redevelop old airport – Denver – Munich • Move to new airport (and back again?) – Bangkok – Montreal • Move to new airport – project finance – Athens – Quito – Istanbul
  • 9. Runways UK Land – June 2014Runways UK Land – June 2014 Move to new airport – old airport left to market
  • 10. Runways UK Land – June 2014 Hong Kong Kai Tak to Chek Lap Kok 30 mppa on close in 1998 22 miles Overnight move No cross funding
  • 11. Runways UK Land – June 2014 HKG Expanding Expanding from 70 to 120mppa Population build up around airport Night-time noise limits
  • 12. Runways UK Land – June 2014 Hong Kong Kai Tak Airport - 2013 15 years after opening Little re-development Legal challenges Off site development first
  • 13. Runways UK Land – June 2014Runways UK Land – June 2014 State redevelopment of old airport
  • 14. Runways UK Land – June 2014 Munich 12 mppa on close in 1992 20 miles
  • 15. Runways UK Land – June 2014 Munich Reim Airport
  • 16. Runways UK Land – June 2014 Denver 12 mppa on close in 1995 17 miles
  • 17. Runways UK Land – June 2014 Denver Stapleton Airport
  • 18. Runways UK Land – June 2014Runways UK Land – June 2014 Move to the new (and back again)
  • 19. Runways UK Land – June 2014 Bangkok 38 mppa on close in 2006 30 miles Partial move back to Don Muang
  • 20. Runways UK Land – June 2014 Bangkok - Don Muang International Airport 2014
  • 21. Runways UK Land – June 2014 Montreal Dorval to Mirabel Airport 8 mppa on “close” in 1975 30 miles Dorval never closed Passenger terminal to be demolished 2014
  • 22. Runways UK Land – June 2014Runways UK Land – June 2014 Privately financed airports
  • 23. Runways UK Land – June 2014 Athens 11 mppa on close in 2001 18 miles Concession No cross funding of land
  • 24. Runways UK Land – June 2014 Athens (old) Ellinikon Airport 2014
  • 25. Runways UK Land – June 2014 Quito Airport 6 mppa on close in 2013 20 miles Concession No cross funding of land
  • 26. Runways UK Land – June 2014 Old Quito Airport
  • 27. Runways UK Land – June 2014 Istanbul Airport ~ 75 mppa on close in 2017 35 miles Concession No cross funding
  • 28. Runways UK Land – June 2014 Istanbul 3rd Airport • 2.8m population new city to be developed • 2 million sqm airport commercial centre • Opening 90mppa • Opening 2017! • Ultimate capacity >150mppa • 5 runways • 7,500 Ha (5x Heathrow)
  • 29. Runways UK Land – June 2014 Summary • The market will protect the land prices and constrain re-development • Redevelopment by the State requires further cash and limited return • Unrealistic plans will backfire • Existing airport asset values are not used in funding replacement airports in the private sector
  • 30. Runways UK Land – June 2014 The measure of the challenge 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 Heathrow / Thames Estuary Istanbul Bangkok Hong Kong Oslo Berlin Denver Munich Athens Quito Montreal
  • 31. Runways UK Land – June 2014Runways UK Land – June 2014 Questions Chris Chalk, Deputy Chair BAG