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Las tendencias de la industria y el plan
Argentina Conectada
Diego Fernández Buente
Junio 2, 2011
Diego.fernandez_buente@alcatel-lucent.com
Tendencias

 El tráfico de Internet tiene un crecimiento sin
   precedentes

 1. Cambio en el comportamiento de los usuarios
 2. Más usuarios y dispositivos usan más internet
 3. Más contenido, especialemente Video
 4. Más aplicaciones
El Cambio de Comportamiento:
Diferencias entre Web 1.0 y 2.0
1.0                            2.0
One-way communication          Two-way experiences
Text-laden web environment     Video-rich web environment
Broadband for fixed networks   Broadband across any network
Providers aspire to develop    Ecosystem of developers
the next “killer app”          leveraged to create apps
Más dispositivos
Más poderosos



                                Vs.




    1x RAM          2000x RAM             8Mx RAM
A              B                      C
    2x CPU          10x CPU               650x CPU
Más rápidamente adoptados
Más rápidamente adoptados
                                                           Radio
                             Ipod Internet      TV
50
 Millons Users




Low


                 4 Months   3 years   4 years   13 years     38 years
Con mayor contenido de Video

         More video was uploaded to Youtube in the last 2
         months than if the major networks had been airing
         new content 24/7 since 1948




                             20M subscribers and growing at 6M
                            subscribers in 2H10 with 68% annual
                            growth in subscribers
Aplicaciones: El futuro está virtualmente
 acá… y allá
    Apps downloaded:
        5 Billion apps downloaded (300M in 2009)
    Location-based services:
        5 Million Foursquare users (200k in 2009)
    Mobile social/media:
        347 % Growth in Twitter mobile usage
        200 Million mobile Facebook Users
        100 M YouTube videos on mobile devices daily


 La confluencia de tendencias emergentes en un ecosistema
complejo precisa un modelo capaz de mantenerse a la altura
                de los nuevos requerimientos
Innovación:
     Un nuevo Modelo              - Desarrolladores
                                  - Nuevos Servicios
Innovación
Innovació      Aplicaciones       - Contenidos

               & Contenidos
                                  Best Effort:
                                  - Baja QoS
                                  - Baja Seguridad
                                  - Baja privacidad
                   Habilitación
                        de
                   Aplicaciones
                                    Legacy:
 Inversiones
      y                             - Transporte
Conectividad    La Red              - Venta de
                                      Acceso


                                  Confiabilidad:
                                  - Seguridad
                                  - Billing
                                  - Privacidad
El modelo: Habilitación de Aplicaciones
La Red: Convergencia + Escalabilidad +
Inteligencia
                                                                                     A Converged Service-Aware
                                              Network Management                        Network Management


                100M +                    1G to 10G IP/MPLS
                LTE, Small Cells          1G PON aggregation/backhaul                   Converged Service Control
                                          1G/10G POT
                                                                                      Policy Mgr, IMS & Mobility Mgr
                                          1G packet microwave

                 Converged RAN
                                         Ethernet, Optic and
                                         MPLS Agregation




                                           Converged                                     IP + zero touch Photonic
                   Converged               Metro and           Converged Edge:             Converged Backbone
                 Wireline Access           Aggregation         MSE+BNG+EPC
                                                                          Distributed/Centralized
                                                                                   Cache
                                         100G                                                   100G
                 1G to 10G                                        100G
                                         Ethernet and                                           Ethernet and
                 PON                                              Service Edge
                                         DWDM                                                   DWDM


           Wireless Access Wireline Access            Metro                 Edge                     Core
   2009        21M                 <1G            1G/2.5G/10G                 10G                   10G/40G
   2011+     42M/100M+        1G/2.5G/10G        10G/40G/100G              40G/100G                 40/100G
En resumen…                                   Salud
                                            Educación Aplicaciones
                                                                                                   Desarrolladores
                                         E-governement y Contenidos
                                         Difusión cultural
                                                Etc.
                                                                                                 Universidades


                                                       Exposure
       Converged RAN                                  Framework
                                                                                             Converged
                        Control                                                Context     Service Control
                                               Habilitadores de
                                                Aplicaciones
                                    Content
                                    Converged Metro                Converged
                                                                  Comms                        Converged
                                     & Aggregation                   Edge                      Backbone



            Converged RAN
                                                                           Converged
     Converged Wireline                                                  Service Control
       Cooperativas
          Access
                                                          Converged
 Distribuidoras de Energía        Converged Metro
                                   & Aggregation            Edge
                                                                               Converged
                                                                               Backbone

           Otros
                                                               ARSAT
          Converged Wireline
               Access
                                        Network and Service Management
                                                      La Red
Gracias!
Diego.fernandez_buente@alcatel-lucent.com
Slides de Backup
Open API Platform
 Tools for API    Tools for         Tools for     Tools allowing    Tools for
 provider to      developer: API Business         developers        publishing
 create,          directory, device Management    the ability to    Application




                                                                                         Developer Program
 composite,       abstraction,      : Billing,    test in           and/or make
 manage policies, Service           Settlement,   simulated,        the
 access, &        composition,      Market and    emulated and      Application
 distribution     usage &           Application   protected         Store
                  monetization      Analytics     environments.
                  dashboard.


   API Provider      App Dev          Business      Prototyping     Publishing
       Suite          Suite            Suite           Suite          Suite




                                                                                         API Exposure Suite
                               API Exposure Suite

API Normalization (network protocols to web protocols). Make it easier for developers.
Policy management (Quotas, TPS, rate limits, etc)
Caching/cache control layer
Security, Authorization, Authentication
Algunas Predicciones


                                  Smart phone density
                                      2010: 400 per km2
                                     2015: 12,800 per km2



                                     Mobile data traffic
                                             x30 times
                                            over 5 years



                                  Internet over mobile
                                     70%+ of mobile data
                                         by 2014
                       Source: Bell Labs modeling
Un modelo que pueda atender la velocidad y
la escala en la innovación de servicios
                       Few high volume services
                       (typically service provider




          # of users
                       branded)
                               Medium number of
                               medium volume services
                               (e.g., co-branded)

                                          Huge number of 3rd
                                          party services serving
                                          few customers



                                                     # of apps
Buente - Curso TV Digital Terrestre Buenos Aires - Marzo 2011

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Buente - Curso TV Digital Terrestre Buenos Aires - Marzo 2011

  • 1. Las tendencias de la industria y el plan Argentina Conectada Diego Fernández Buente Junio 2, 2011 Diego.fernandez_buente@alcatel-lucent.com
  • 2. Tendencias El tráfico de Internet tiene un crecimiento sin precedentes 1. Cambio en el comportamiento de los usuarios 2. Más usuarios y dispositivos usan más internet 3. Más contenido, especialemente Video 4. Más aplicaciones
  • 3. El Cambio de Comportamiento: Diferencias entre Web 1.0 y 2.0 1.0 2.0 One-way communication Two-way experiences Text-laden web environment Video-rich web environment Broadband for fixed networks Broadband across any network Providers aspire to develop Ecosystem of developers the next “killer app” leveraged to create apps
  • 5. Más poderosos Vs. 1x RAM 2000x RAM 8Mx RAM A B C 2x CPU 10x CPU 650x CPU
  • 7. Más rápidamente adoptados Radio Ipod Internet TV 50 Millons Users Low 4 Months 3 years 4 years 13 years 38 years
  • 8. Con mayor contenido de Video More video was uploaded to Youtube in the last 2 months than if the major networks had been airing new content 24/7 since 1948 20M subscribers and growing at 6M subscribers in 2H10 with 68% annual growth in subscribers
  • 9. Aplicaciones: El futuro está virtualmente acá… y allá Apps downloaded: 5 Billion apps downloaded (300M in 2009) Location-based services: 5 Million Foursquare users (200k in 2009) Mobile social/media: 347 % Growth in Twitter mobile usage 200 Million mobile Facebook Users 100 M YouTube videos on mobile devices daily La confluencia de tendencias emergentes en un ecosistema complejo precisa un modelo capaz de mantenerse a la altura de los nuevos requerimientos
  • 10. Innovación: Un nuevo Modelo - Desarrolladores - Nuevos Servicios Innovación Innovació Aplicaciones - Contenidos & Contenidos Best Effort: - Baja QoS - Baja Seguridad - Baja privacidad Habilitación de Aplicaciones Legacy: Inversiones y - Transporte Conectividad La Red - Venta de Acceso Confiabilidad: - Seguridad - Billing - Privacidad
  • 11. El modelo: Habilitación de Aplicaciones
  • 12. La Red: Convergencia + Escalabilidad + Inteligencia A Converged Service-Aware Network Management Network Management 100M + 1G to 10G IP/MPLS LTE, Small Cells 1G PON aggregation/backhaul Converged Service Control 1G/10G POT Policy Mgr, IMS & Mobility Mgr 1G packet microwave Converged RAN Ethernet, Optic and MPLS Agregation Converged IP + zero touch Photonic Converged Metro and Converged Edge: Converged Backbone Wireline Access Aggregation MSE+BNG+EPC Distributed/Centralized Cache 100G 100G 1G to 10G 100G Ethernet and Ethernet and PON Service Edge DWDM DWDM Wireless Access Wireline Access Metro Edge Core 2009 21M <1G 1G/2.5G/10G 10G 10G/40G 2011+ 42M/100M+ 1G/2.5G/10G 10G/40G/100G 40G/100G 40/100G
  • 13. En resumen… Salud Educación Aplicaciones Desarrolladores E-governement y Contenidos Difusión cultural Etc. Universidades Exposure Converged RAN Framework Converged Control Context Service Control Habilitadores de Aplicaciones Content Converged Metro Converged Comms Converged & Aggregation Edge Backbone Converged RAN Converged Converged Wireline Service Control Cooperativas Access Converged Distribuidoras de Energía Converged Metro & Aggregation Edge Converged Backbone Otros ARSAT Converged Wireline Access Network and Service Management La Red
  • 16. Open API Platform Tools for API Tools for Tools for Tools allowing Tools for provider to developer: API Business developers publishing create, directory, device Management the ability to Application Developer Program composite, abstraction, : Billing, test in and/or make manage policies, Service Settlement, simulated, the access, & composition, Market and emulated and Application distribution usage & Application protected Store monetization Analytics environments. dashboard. API Provider App Dev Business Prototyping Publishing Suite Suite Suite Suite Suite API Exposure Suite API Exposure Suite API Normalization (network protocols to web protocols). Make it easier for developers. Policy management (Quotas, TPS, rate limits, etc) Caching/cache control layer Security, Authorization, Authentication
  • 17. Algunas Predicciones Smart phone density 2010: 400 per km2 2015: 12,800 per km2 Mobile data traffic x30 times over 5 years Internet over mobile 70%+ of mobile data by 2014 Source: Bell Labs modeling
  • 18. Un modelo que pueda atender la velocidad y la escala en la innovación de servicios Few high volume services (typically service provider # of users branded) Medium number of medium volume services (e.g., co-branded) Huge number of 3rd party services serving few customers # of apps