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Growing Beyond


Capturing the momentum
Ernst & Young's 2012 attractiveness survey
Brazil
Emerging Markets Center
The Emerging Markets Center is Ernst & Young's “Center
of Excellence” that quickly and effectively connects you
to the world's fastest-growing economies. Our continuous
investment in them allows us to share the breadth of
our knowledge through a wide range of initiatives, tools and
applications. This offers businesses, in both mature and
emerging markets, an in-depth and cross-border approach,
supported by our leading and highly globally integrated
structure.


For further information on emerging markets,
please visit: http://emergingmarkets.ey.com
Capturing the momentum
Ernst & Young's attractiveness survey 2012

Brazil
                             Contents
                             3    Foreword
                             4    Executive summary
                             7    Brazil fact sheet




                             8    World economy outlook
                             8    Hope, actually
                             10   Positioning Brazil in the world economy
                             10   Global FDI surpasses pre-crisis average, but uncertainty prevails




                             12       A record year
                             14   Performance 2011: FDI in Brazil reaches a record level
                             16   FDI by function
                             18   FDI by sector
                             28   Where to: Southeast leads FDI; Northeast shows promise for the future
                             30   Where from: Brazil’s FDI investors
                             32   Investors’ plans for 2013: a majority have Brazil in mind




                             34        Great momentum
                             36   Brazil: Latin America’s leader
                             39   Brazilian cities: the undisputed leadership of Sao Paulo




                             42       Boosting growth
                             44   Strong confidence in Brazil 2015
                             45   Brazil’s most attractive sectors in the future: industry supporting services
                             48   Long-term vision: diversification needed
                             50   Brazil’s action plan




                             56   Methodology



                                            Ernst & Young's 2012 Brazil attractiveness survey Capturing the momentum   1
Viewpoint

    Time for innovation
    Mauro Borges,
    Chairman, Brazilian Agency for Industrial Development (ABDI)


    In 2004, the Brazilian Government embarked on a drive to realize the full potential of the country’s
    industrial sector. It promoted strategies for science, technology, innovation and foreign trade.
    It was as part of this mission that the Brazilian Agency for Industrial Development (ABDI) was created.
                                                     The agency, linked to the Ministry of Development,
                                                     Industry and Foreign Trade (MDIC), liaises between
                         Owing to the                the public and private sectors, contributing to Brazil’s
                         continental                 sustainable development through initiatives that drive
                         dimension of                industrial sector competitiveness.

                Brazil, it has                    “The mission is not a simple one, as we need to
                enormous                          overcome bottlenecks created by production costs,”
                                                  says ABDI chairman Mauro Borges. “In Brazil’s
    relevance to the world.
                                                  manufacturing sector, we have bottlenecks related to
    both the cost of capital and labor, and the cost of basic inputs. Part of this stems from taxation on
    production elements and on basic inputs. It is a legacy of the Brazilian industrialization process
    which must be removed.”

    Borges cites the example of the power tariff for the industrial sector. “About 50% of the cost comes
    from taxation. It is far more than the average price of energy in countries that are direct competitors
    of Brazil,” he says. Another point is the cost of labor. “Just remember that the cost for the company
    is almost twice the amount of salary that employees receive.”

    The increase in foreign competition, in the context of international crisis and uncertainty over
    the recovery of global demand, hinders the progress of Brazil’s industrial sector — which grew by
    only 1.6% in 2011. However, according to Borges, Brazil is positioned to become a global leader
    in manufacturing — an expectation also expressed by many foreign businessmen — because it has
    a decisive element for industrial success in the 21st century: the scientific knowledge base of new
    technologies. On one hand, Borges says, Brazil has the knowledge centers of excellence to support
    the industry in strategic sectors, such as biotechnology and microelectronics. On the other hand,
    it is expanding funding for this knowledge to be transformed into concrete initiatives. “Fortunately
    we have The Brazilian Development Bank (BNDES), the second largest development bank in the
    world, which is enhancing and reshaping its credit lines to technological innovation. And we also
    have The Financing Program for Studies & Projects (Finep) — an agency linked to the Science and
    Technology Ministry — that provides funding for studies and projects, that focus on credit. It is
    restructuring its funding lines and shifting from grants to credit.“

    Development of the industrial sector is in line with a new economic reality that puts Brazil on the
    foreign investment map. “The most transcendent event of the last decade is our transformation
    into a middle-class country with a growing market of mass consumption. Owing to the continental
    dimension of Brazil, it has enormous relevance to the world.” If this was the biggest development
    in recent times, there is also a major obstacle, according to Borges: the bottleneck in infrastructure.
    “This involves two major challenges: physical capital infrastructure (particularly the area of
    transport logistics) and human capital infrastructure. Brazil falls some way short of the basic
    and technical training required for industry in the 21st century,” he says. “This is the problem
    that threatens our ability to take the big development leap.”




2     Ernst & Young's 2012 Brazil attractiveness survey Capturing the momentum
Foreword




Foreword

                   Tom McGrath                                                           Jorge Menegassi
                   Americas Senior Vice Chair — Markets                                  CEO, South America & Brazil
                   Ernst & Young                                                         Ernst & Young




Brazil has come on in leaps and bounds to become a stable          We believe that the next phase of foreign direct investment
economy. Despite the risks of an appreciating currency,            (FDI) competition will target less tapped activities such as
the domestic market, driven by a burgeoning middle class,          establishment of headquarters, research and development
has continued to be the backbone of the Brazilian economy.         (R&D) centers and innovative business services, driven by
The strong footprint of Brazil on the global map is evidenced      the entrepreneurial culture and stable political environment.
by the fact that 60% of the respondents plan to invest in the
country in the short term.                                         The outlook for Brazil as an FDI destination is robust, with 83%
                                                                   of the investors believing that attractiveness will improve over
Brazil leads the attractiveness scores in Latin America with       the next three years. Investors perceive Brazil will be a leader
almost 7 out of 10 business leaders declaring the country          in the energy sector by 2020 with substantially improved
as the most attractive place to establish operations. Rising       infrastructure, and they expect improvement in the education
domestic consumption of goods and services, and a wide base        system to bridge the skills gap and develop innovation
of industrial and natural resources are the foundation             capacity. Also, hosting the FIFA World Cup in 2014 and the
of Brazil’s economy.                                               Rio Olympic Games in 2016 is bound to attract international
                                                                   investors across a range of sectors. But Brazil also has to
Brazil’s image as a commodity-rich nation attracts foreign         make efforts to ensure a secure and smooth operational
investment, which creates challenges such as the unwelcome         environment, increase transparency, reduce corruption and
side effect of pushing the currency value upward. To keep          create a simplified tax structure.
the momentum going and de-risk Brazil from the side effects
of being commodity rich, the Government needs to continue          Our first edition of the Brazil attractiveness survey includes
to implement measures to diversify the economy toward              a section on Brazil’s next phase of growth — driven by industry
value-added and innovative activities. Insufficient qualified        and the services sectors, as well as an analysis of the key
personnel, high interest rates and a complicated tax system        growth sectors, which we believe will drive FDI momentum
are some other main challenges the Brazilian economy               in the country.
is facing.
                                                                   We would like to thank all the decision-makers and
In terms of regional priorities, Sao Paulo clearly appeals most    Ernst & Young professionals who have taken the time to
to investors. In our survey, more than 55% of the investors        share their thoughts with us.
named Sao Paulo as the most attractive region in Brazil,
followed by Rio de Janeiro (26%). The development of and
promotion to foreign investors of tier two cities are key to
Brazil’s success in spreading the benefits of its economic
development more evenly.




                                                            Ernst & Young's 2012 Brazil attractiveness survey Capturing the momentum   3
Executive summary




Executive summary
World economy outlook                                                    The reality of foreign investment in Brazil
Hope, actually                                                           A record year

• Hope, actually                                                         • Brazil in the global top five for FDI
Coming out of the financial crisis, the global economy started 2011       Brazil is the second most popular global destination in terms of
in recovery mode, admittedly weak and unbalanced, but nevertheless       FDI value and fifth in terms of FDI projects. The number of FDI
with some hope and optimism. The prospects for the world economy         projects in Brazil increased by 39% in 2011, to a record 507.
may rely on the rapid-growth markets (RGMs) continuing to be             These projects created an estimated 161,166 jobs.
the drivers of growth and recovery. The group of 25 RGMs we monitor
at Ernst & Young as a whole are expected to bounce back to achieve       • Manufacturing brings 75% of the jobs, services bring 52% of
an overall GDP growth of 5.9% in 2013 and 6.5% in 2014. Forecasts        the projects
by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) in its quarterly update         Investors entered Brazil to establish factories as well as tap the
project the global economy to expand by 3.5% and 3.9% in 2012            rapidly growing services sector in 2011. While industrial activity
and 2013 respectively.                                                   has brought the most jobs (75% of the total jobs), service activities
                                                                         have driven significant project numbers (52% of the total projects).
• Global FDI surpasses pre-crisis average; however, uncertainty          However, Brazil still needs to improve on its attractiveness for
prevails                                                                 strategic functions (headquarters, R&D centers and education and
Despite the world economic turmoil, the total global inflows of FDI       training). In 2011, Brazil received only 25 strategic projects.
rose by 16% in 2011 — from its admittedly low basis in 2010 — to
US$1.5t, according to the United Nations Conference on Trade and         • Where from?
Development (UNCTAD). FDI inflows bounced back in all major               The US, UK, Japan, Germany and Spain accounted for 59% of the
economic groups: developed, developing and transition economies.         FDI projects in 2011. China is emerging as a strong partner of
The UNCTAD estimates that FDI flows will rise moderately in 2012 to       Brazil, with investment and trade linkages increasing between the
approximately US$1.6t, based on the current prospects of underlying      two countries.
factors, including GDP growth and cash holdings by transnational
corporations.                                                            • Information, Communications and Technology (ICT) and
                                                                         business services performance: heading toward a service-led
                                                                         attractiveness?
    Reality                                                              The ICT sector generated 105 FDI projects in Brazil in 2011.
                                                                         The sector emerged as the fourth-largest in terms of job creation
                                                                         in Brazil in 2011 with 17,724 jobs. Business services attracted 53
    2nd:     Brazil is the second most attractive global
                                                                         projects in 2011, constituting 10% of the total FDI projects, up by
    destination in terms of FDI value and fifth in terms of
                                                                         8% on 2010, a record. Financial services attracted 35 FDI projects in
    number of projects.
                                                                         2011 (7% of the total), up from 20 projects in 2010.

    507     FDI projects were recorded in Brazil in 2011,                • Sao Paulo remains the undisputed leader for FDI
    an increase of 39% since 2010.                                       The top region for FDI in Brazil is the Southeast; Sao Paulo is garnering
                                                                         the most attention (26% of the FDI projects). Rio de Janeiro comes
                                                                         second with 8% of the projects. The third destination is Curitiba with
    161,166 jobs were created in Brazil as a result of FDI.              only 2% of the projects. The Northeast region is also emerging fast
                                                                         on the FDI radar; it attracted 93 investment projects and created
    52%     of the FDI projects in Brazil were generated                 more than 57,000 jobs between 2007 and 2011.
    by services activities.
                                                                         • 2013 investment plans
                                                                         Sixty percent of the business leaders surveyed indicated a positive
    26% of FDI projects are established in Sao Paolo.                    outlook about setting up operations in Brazil in the near future; 33% of
                                                                         them highlighted firm plans for establishing activities in the country.




4     Ernst & Young's 2012 Brazil attractiveness survey Capturing the momentum
Brazil, the investors’ view                                                 The future of attractiveness in Brazil
Great momentum                                                              Boosting growth

• Brazil: the continent’s most attractive market                            • Action 1: improve skills and secure the operational environment
Seventy-eight percent of the survey respondents named Brazil as             Of the survey respondents, 28.8% see the development of education
the most attractive country in Latin America. Eighty-seven percent          and skills as Brazil’s priority measure to increase its attractiveness.
of investors consider Brazil’s market size to be its most attractive
asset. Brazil’s strong entrepreneurial culture (cited by 71.9% of the       • Action 2: build innovation capacity and diversify sectors
respondents) has further bolstered its position as a top choice for         To build its innovation capacity, Brazil needs to focus on improving
foreign companies.                                                          education and training in new technologies according to 60.3% of
                                                                            investors. Our panel of investors also think Brazil should increase
• An energy leader in the making                                            tax incentives for innovative companies (29.7%) and develop joint
Brazil’s oil and gas sector will drive the country’s growth in the          research programs (26.1%). These measures will help develop
coming years according to 44.2% of the investors. A staggering              a more diversified economy, decreasing exposure to the volatility
30.1% of the investors expect Brazil to be the leader in the                of commodities markets (seen as the main sector driving growth
energy sector by 2020, a view driven by the discovery of                    for 44.2% of the investors).
pre-salt reserves.
                                                                            • Action 3: promote Brazil’s regions
• Questions on skills, costs and operating conditions                       Brazilian second cities are currently not on investors’ radar. Thirty-
Labor skills rank fifth in Brazil’s most attractive criteria. Labor          nine percent of respondents could not indicate a strong preference
costs rank much lower (10th, which 40% don’t find attractive),               for cities other than Sao Paulo and Rio de Janeiro. However,
just ahead of the political, legislative and administrative                 Curitiba and Belo Horizonte have drawn investor votes; these were
environment (11th, which 41% don’t find attractive). The low-                highlighted as preferred cities by 24.5% and 20.2% of the investors.
quality, high-cost transportation system still remains a weak               When asked about projects to increase the attractiveness of Brazil’s
factor for investors (only 43.4% mentioned it as attractive).               cities, infrastructure development was the first reply from 55.8%
                                                                            of the respondents.
• Strong confidence in the future
Nearly 83.4% of the respondents believe Brazil’s attractiveness
will improve over the next three years.                                         Perception
                                                                                78%     of survey respondents perceive Brazil as the most
                                                                                attractive country in Latin America.


                                                                                60%     of business leaders interviewed are considering
                                                                                setting up operations in Brazil (in 2013).


                                                                                30%    of investors expect Brazil to be the energy sector leader
                                                                                by 2020, a view driven by the discovery of pre-salt reserves.


                                                                                60%     of respondents consider the development of education
                                                                                in new technologies as the main driver to build Brazil's
                                                                                innovation capacity.


                                                                                56%     of business leaders think infrastructure development
                                                                                is the priority to increase the attractiveness of Brazilian
                                                                                second cities.




                                                                     Ernst & Young's 2012 Brazil attractiveness survey Capturing the momentum        5
Executive summary




    Picture: panoramic view of tropical beach, Fernando de Noronha.
    Cover picture: sandy coastline, Brazil.




6       Ernst & Young's 2012 Brazil attractiveness survey Capturing the momentum
Brazil fact sheet
Capital                                    Administration                                   Bordering countries
Brasília,                                  Brazil consists of 26 States                     Argentina, Bolivia, Colombia, French
located in the Midwest region              and one Federal District                         Guiana, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru,
                                                                                            Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela



 Land area                                 8,459,417 sq km
 Population (July 2012)                    205.7 million (fifth most populous country in the world)
 Proportion of urban population in total   84.6%
 (2011)
 Age structure (2011)                      0–19 years (32.8%); 20–54 years (50.9%); 55 & above (16.3%)

 Languages                                 Official language: Portuguese (also the most widely spoken language)
                                           Note: other common languages in Brazil include Spanish (border areas and schools), German,
                                           Italian, Japanese, English and a large number of minor Amerindian languages
 President                                 Dilma Rousseff (since 1 January 2011)
 Vice President                            Michel Temer (since 1 January 2011)
 GDP (2011)                                US$2.5t (sixth-largest economy in the world)
                                           RGMF expects Brazil to become the fifth-largest economy by 2017; GDP US$3.3t
 GDP — real growth rate (2011)             2.7%
 GDP per capita — PPP (2011)               US$11,600
 Distribution of family income —           51.9
 Gini index (2012)
 GDP composition by sector (2011)          Brazil: Agriculture (5.5%); Industry (27.5%); Services (67%)
                                           China: Agriculture (10.1%); Industry (46.8%); Services (43.1%)
                                           India: Agriculture (17.2%); Industry (26.4%); Services (56.4%)

 Public debt (2011)                        Brazil: 54.4% of GDP; China: 43.5% of GDP; India: 51.6% of GDP
 Labor force (2011)                        104.3 million
 Unemployment rate (2011)                  6.0%
 Inflation (2011)                           6.5%
 Stock exchange                            BM&FBOVESPA
                                           (third-largest exchange in the world by market value; leading exchange in Latin America)
 Central bank                              Banco Central do Brasil
 SELIC rate (base interest rate)           8% (July 2012)
 Federal corporate income tax rate         34%
 Federal individual income tax rate        27.5%
 State value-added tax                     0%–25%
 Major international airports              Brasilia International Airport
                                           Rio de Janeiro Galeao Antonio Carlos Jobim International Airport
                                           Sao Paulo Guarulhos International Airport

 Major seaports                            Ilha Grande (Gebig), Paranagua, Rio Grande, Santos, Sao Sebastiao and Tubarao
 Major cities                              Sao Paulo, Manaus, Natal, Porto Alegre, Recife, Rio de Janeiro, Salvador and Santos
 Time zone                                 Three hours behind Greenwich Mean Time (GMT)
 Currency unit                             Brazilian Real (BRL)
 Exchange rate (2011)                      US$1 = 1.67251 BRL; INR1 = 0.03557 BRL; CNY1 = 0.258875 BRL




                                                              Ernst & Young's 2012 Brazil attractiveness survey Capturing the momentum   7
World economy
outlook



Hope, actually

Coming out of the financial crisis,                            Although many RGMs are likely to witness      National and regional differences do exist
the global economy started 2011 in                            slower expansion in 2012 at 4.9%, these       among emerging market economies, and
recovery mode, admittedly weak and                            economies are expected to remain engines      significant growth differences are opening
unbalanced, but nevertheless with                             of global recovery, with growth expected to   up this year. Asian RGMs are projected to
some hope and optimism.1 However,                             accelerate in the medium term. The group      see higher growth rates of 6.2% in 2012
the global economic recovery started to                       of 25 RGMs we monitor at Ernst & Young        compared with RGMs in the EMEIA and
slow down in the second half of the year                      as a whole should bounce back to achieve      the Americas region that are expected
with prospects dimming, investor and                          an overall GDP growth of 5.9% in 2013 and     to expand at 4.0% and 3.2% respectively.
consumer confidence weakening again                            6.5% in 2014.                                 Strong RGM performers in 2013 are
and risks sharply escalating during the                                                                     expected to be Brazil (+5.1%) and Chile
fourth quarter. Economic growth in many                       The continued emergence of an                 (+4.8%) in the Americas; India (+7.5%),
developed economies came to a standstill                      economically active middle class,             Kazakhstan (+7.0%) and Qatar (+6%)
toward the end of 2011 as many Western                        combined with favorable demographics,         in EMEIA; China and Hong Kong (+8.3%),
economies came face-to-face with the                          fuels growth of domestic demand that is       Vietnam (+6.9%), Indonesia (+6.6%)
likelihood of a double-dip recession.                         the backbone of growth in the emerging        and Thailand (+6.5%) in Asia.
The increased uncertainties in the                            world. A sustained increase in trade among
European Monetary Union, continued high                       emerging markets will help further insulate   The IMF in its July 2012 quarterly update
sovereign debt and respective austerity                       economic development from unfavorable         projects that the global economy will
programs now showing their real impact                        developments in the western hemisphere.       expand by 3.5% and 3.9% in 2012 and
on GDP growth are the main forces holding                     Those developing markets that rely on         2013 respectively, versus the 3.5% and
back economic recovery in the West.                           energy exports may see some short-term        4.1% growth projected in April 2012 for
                                                              variation; however, the mid- to long-term     these years. Our map shows the projected
Rapid-growth economies recently showed                        outlook remains strongly positive as energy   GDP growth rates for both major Western
some softening in their unprecedented                         prices are poised to increase further.        economic zones and RGMs, with Brazil
growth trajectory, firstly with the impact                     Investments into emerging markets will        clearly continuing to outperform growth
of the financial crisis and, more recently,                    remain strong as Western companies are        expectations in the West and around half
reduced demand for commodities and                            seeking to participate in this projected      of the emerging economies.
a slowdown in exports of manufactured                         growth and the emerging markets are
goods caused by developments in Europe.                       themselves using their favorable financial
                                                              positioning to drive development.
1. Rapid-growth markets forecast, Ernst & Young, July 2012.




8       Ernst & Young's 2012 Brazil attractiveness survey Capturing the momentum
World economy outlook




Picture: Pantanal wetlands, Brazil.




Summing it all up: signs of recovery emerge, but downside risks prevail


  World                 RGMs
  3.9 3.5 3.9           6.3 4.9 5.9
                                                                                                   Russia
                                                                                                   4.3 4.0 3.1




                                                           UK
                                                           0.7 0.2 1.4
                                                          Euro area
                                                          1.5 -0.3 0.3
                                        US                                                                                                               Japan
                                        1.7 2.0 2.3                                                                                                      -0.7 2.4 1.5

                                                                                                                                                     China
   Mexico                                                                                                                                            9.2 7.5 8.4
                                                                                                       India
   3.9 3.8 3.8
                                                                                                        7.5 5.7 7.5


                     Colombia
                     5.9 4.5 4.2

                                                             Brazil
                                                             2.7 2.2 5.1




                                                                         South Africa
                                                    Argentina            3.1 2.8 3.8
                          Chile
                          5.9 4.7 4.8               8.9 3.3 3.5
                                                                                                                    Real GDP growth rates (%)
                                                                                                                     2011 2012 2013




Sources: World Economic Outlook (WEO): Growth resuming, dangers remain, April 2012, IMF 2012. Rapid-growth markets forecast, Ernst & Young, July 2012.




                                                                             Ernst & Young's 2012 Brazil attractiveness survey Capturing the momentum              9
World economy outlook




Positioning Brazil in the world economy

Owing to Brazil’s macroeconomic stability                     However, in the medium term, growth             measures in the pipeline on the upside. Other
and growing domestic demand, the country                      is projected to pick up to 5.1% in 2013 and     factors such as the country’s increasing trade
has withstood the waves of crisis with                        4.8% in 2014, driven largely by domestic        with China and any uplift in the US economy
resilience.2 After a brief pause in Q3 2011,                  consumption. Growth-supporting measures,        will also benefit Brazil.
Brazil’s economy returned to growth in the                    such as lowering of lending rates by the
year’s final months as domestic spending                       central bank and additional fiscal stimulus by   Achieving the Government of Brazil’s
rebounded in response to government                           the Government, will provide further impetus.   ambitious goals for economic growth over
stimulus measures, including tax cuts.                        The risks to the country’s growth forecast      the medium term requires a shift in focus
GDP growth in 2012 is expected to slow to                      in 2013 now appear more balanced rather        away from using fiscal policy to stimulate
2.2%, as opposed to the earlier forecast of                   than skewed to the downside. Although           demand and toward investment in
3.1%, due to a less favorable global outlook.                 Brazil remains exposed to the fallout from      infrastructure and education, which are
                                                              a more pronounced deterioration in global       the biggest constraints the economy
2. Growth resuming, dangers remain, April 2012, IMF           economic conditions, there is the potential      is facing. Without this investment,
   2012; WEO update: Global recovery stalls, downside risks
   intensify, January 2012, IMF 2012; Global Economic         for growth to accelerate more rapidly than      GDP growth is forecast to average only
   Prospects January 2012, The World Bank, 2012; Rapid-
   growth markets forecast, Ernst & Young, July 2012.         expected given the counter-cyclical policy      around 4% per annum during 2015–20.




Global FDI surpasses pre-crisis average,
but uncertainty prevails

Global FDI inflows                                            Despite the world economic turmoil,             In developed economies, much of the
(US$t)                                                        the total global inflows of FDI rose by          growth in FDI resulted from cross-border
                                                              16% in 2011 — from its admittedly low           M&As, particularly within Europe. FDI
  2.0
                                                              basis in 2010 — to US$1.5t, according to        inflows into the European Union (EU)
              1.7
                                                              the UNCTAD. FDI inflows bounced back             increased 32.2% to reach US$420.7b
                                                     1.5
                                                              in all major economic groups: developed,        in 2011. The US remained the largest
                                        1.3                   developing and transition economies.            recipient of foreign investment in 2011,
                           1.2
                                                                                                              attracting US$226.9b; 15% up
                                                              Developing and transition economies             from 2010.3
                                                              accounted for 51% of global FDI in 2011 as
                                                              their inflows reached a new record high, at      The UNCTAD estimates FDI flows will rise
                                                              an estimated US$776b, driven primarily          moderately in 2012 to approximately
 2007         2008        2009         2010         2011      by robust greenfield investments. The            US$1.6t, based on the current
Source: UNCTAD.                                               developing countries’ rise was supported        prospects of underlying factors, including
Note: this data includes greenfield and expansion
projects and M&As.
                                                              by a 10% increase in Asia and 16% increase      GDP growth and cash holdings by transnational
                                                              in Latin America and the Caribbean. Brazil      corporations. It expects only moderate
                                                              captured the highest share (31%) in Latin       growth in all three groups — developed,
                                                              American and the Caribbean inflows of FDI.       developing and transition economies.
                                                              Inflows of capital into Africa continued to
                                                              decline marginally for the third consecutive
                                                              year. Egypt, Libya and Tunisia experienced
                                                              sharp falls largely reflecting the unstable
                                                                                                              3. Global Investment Trends Monitor, January 2012, UNCTAD,
                                                              situation after the Arab Spring.                   2012; World Investment Report, July 2012, UNCTAD, 2012.




10      Ernst & Young's 2012 Brazil attractiveness survey Capturing the momentum
Viewpoint

The Rio 2016 Olympics:
a great source for investment opportunities
 Márcio Fortes, President of Olympic Public Authority

By hosting a succession of high-profile     related to the Olympics — respecting           for each individual sport, such as canoe
global events over the next four years,     deadlines and basic requirements from          slalom, which requires complex hydraulic
Brazil will enhance its standing in the     the IOC and the 41 international sports        engineering that cost £90m
international arena. They are “Rio+20,”     federations involved with the event.           at the London Olympics. “Without those
the UN world conference on sustainable                                                     facilities there is no competition.
development in 2012, the FIFA               “Since Rio’s candidature, we have aimed        We can’t afford mistakes and everything
Confederations Cup in 2013, the FIFA        to demonstrate that the city has               must be ready a year in advance for test
World Cup a year later, and, finally, the   proactive management involving the             events,” he says.
Olympic Games 2016 in Rio de Janeiro.       three levels of government — municipal,
Preparations for the Rio Olympics have      state and federal — with major projects        Another major concern is to provide
been transforming the city since 2009,      of urbanization, sanitation, housing           accommodation for the “Olympic family,”
when the nomination was ratified by the     and urban transportation. Regardless of        which includes athletes, technical
International Olympic Committee (IOC).      the Olympics, those projects taken             committees, referees and other
                                            together show that the city is moving          professionals directly involved in
                                            forward and will continue to do so,” says      the competition. It’s expected Rio 2016
                 The Olympics               the President of APO, Márcio Fortes.           will involve 11,000 athletes,
                 are a great                                                               40,000 journalists and approximately
                 source of                  Fortes, former Minister of Cities under        80,000 volunteers. “The Olympics are
                                            Lula’s Government, refers to projects such     a great source of attraction of
                 attraction of              as the cleaning up of the Gloria Marina        investments. The hospitality industry,
                 investments.               and the Lagoa Rodrigo de Freitas, which        for instance, has an unprecedented
                                            will host the nautical competitions;           opportunity for expansion in Rio and
A study conducted by the Foundation         the revitalization of Rio de Janeiro’s port,   brand new legislation has encouraged
Institute of Administration (FIA)           where the harbor will be deepened to           the construction of hotels. There are
estimates that public and private           receive up to six tourist ships; and the       also major opportunities in transport
investments in the games infrastructure     urban mobility projects such as the Bus        and restaurants, and there is an urgent
will inject US$14.4b into the country —     Rapid Transit (BRT) that will link the four    demand for qualified manpower to meet
Rio especially — impacting 55 different     different competition areas in the city.       visitors’ demands. The Olympics also
sectors of the economy. Preparations for                                                   require expert advice in the construction
the games are overseen by the Olympic       Other essential projects for the Olympic       of facilities, creating opportunities for
Public Authority (APO), a public            Games include the creation of a media          associations between Brazilian and
consortium that brings together federal,    center and broadcasting facilities,            foreign companies and the arrival of
state and municipal representatives         a modern anti-doping laboratory and            skilled foreign professionals,” says Fortes.
whose main assignment is to monitor and     the construction of the velodrome and
deliver the infrastructure and services     athletics stadium, as well as facilities




                                                           Ernst & Young's 2012 Brazil attractiveness survey Capturing the momentum       11
A record year
The reality of foreign investment in Brazil




Picture: Ibicui river and landscape, Brazil.




12       Ernst & Young's 2012 Brazil attractiveness survey Capturing the momentum
A record year




   39%           increase in FDI projects since 2010.




   507           projects in 2011, a record number.




   161,166                     jobs created in 2011.




   75%
   activity.
                 of total jobs generated from industrial




   52%
   activities.
                 of total projects driven by services




   26%           of FDI projects gather in Sao Paolo.




   60%          of the business respondents in favor
   of setting up operations in Brazil.




                 Ernst & Young's 2012 Brazil attractiveness survey Capturing the momentum   13
A record year




Performance 2011:
FDI in Brazil reaches a record level


Number of FDI projects                            Jobs created                                                    FDI by value
                                                                                                                  (US$b)
                                                                                                   161,166                                                  63
                                          507
                                                              124,125                 127,406                                   47            45     44
                                   366
                            289                                            88,430
             268

 165                                              48,901                                                            19



 2007        2008           2009   2010   2011      2007        2008           2009      2010         2011         2007        2008           2009   2010   2011
Source: fDi Intelligence.                          Source: fDi Intelligence.                                      Source: fDi Intelligence.


Against the backdrop of a deteriorating            acted as a major stimulus for international                    However, Brazil faces some challenges
external environment — an uncertain                companies to invest in Brazil. Furthermore,                    related to shortage of skilled workforce
growth outlook for the US and a heightened         Brazil’s hosting of the 2014 FIFA World Cup                    and the quality of its infrastructure, that
European sovereign debt crisis — FDI in            and the 2016 Olympics will contribute to                       act as impediments for global companies
Brazil surged in 2011. The number of FDI           infrastructure development and attracting                      to invest in it.
projects in Brazil increased by 39% to reach       additional FDI into the country.4 Our research
507 projects and FDI investment picked up          panel confirmed these strengths in Brazil                       Lack of qualified personnel is a key weakness
pace with 43% growth in 2011.                      with respondents citing the large domestic                     of the Brazilian economy. According to
                                                   market, the long-term economic growth                          research undertaken by the National
Since 2007, the number of FDI projects             trajectory and the wealth of natural resources                 Industry Confederation (CNI), 69% of
has continuously risen, indicating investors'      as the most significant advantages for the                      the 1,616 companies interviewed face
confidence. However, the sum invested               country. A large number of our respondents                     difficulties due to the lack of skilled labor.
in a project has been dependent on the             also mentioned the openness of Brazilian                       Fifty-two percent of industrial firms indicated
macroeconomic conditions. In 2009                  society, which embraces diversity of race                      that the poor quality of basic education is
and 2010, while the number of projects             and religion — an important factor for foreign                 one of the main impediments to workers
increased, the risky global economic               investors who might seek to locate personnel                   gaining qualifications. The problem is
outlook kept the value invested relatively         in the country.                                                particularly acute in the case of companies
low. The average value of an FDI project                                                                          seeking to recruit top technical and
declined from US$175m in 2008                      Brazil recorded 507 projects in 2011, an                       management talent. Measures undertaken
to US$120m in 2010, mainly due to                  increase of 39% over 2010 and the highest                      by Brazil's former President Lula da Silva
investors’ unwillingness to commit large           growth rate achieved among the countries                       have improved access to education in the
amount of funds, then increased slightly           on the list. It ranked second in terms of                      country. Further, ruling President of Brazil
to US$124m in 2011.                                FDI value, behind China and ahead of India,                    Dilma Rousseff's focus on enhancing Brazil's
                                                   the US and the UK. The average value of a                      higher education is expected to create a
A growing middle class, strong domestic            project in Brazil in 2011, at US$124m, was                     nation with a more productive labor force.
demand and huge untapped reserves of               higher than in China (US$71m) and India                        Initiatives, such as Brasil Maior (Bigger
natural resources has placed Brazil as a           (US$63m). In comparison with its Latin                         Brazil) launched by the Government of
key investment destination among global            American peer group, Brazil clearly stands                     Brazil in 2011, that focus on increasing
companies with an emerging market-focused          out with our survey suggesting that Brazil                     the country’s competitiveness, enhancing
portfolio. Supportive government policies,         has by far the highest awareness among                         productivity, raising investments and
including tax incentives for foreign investors     foreign investors.                                             stimulating technological innovation, should
targeting local production and content,                                                                           reinforce investors' confidence in the mid to
                                                   4. “Emerging Markets: Brazil and Chile,” Frost & Sullivan
simplification of licensing procedures and             website, www.frost.com, accessed 25 April 2012; “New FDI
                                                                                                                  long term.
regulatory framework, subsidized credit               Record Set in Brazil,” IHS Global Insight Daily Analysis,
                                                      27 January 2012, via Dow Jones Factiva, © 2012,
and easy financing options have also                   IHS Global Insight Limited.




14      Ernst & Young's 2012 Brazil attractiveness survey Capturing the momentum
Viewpoint

   Brazil sets records in FDI
     Fernando Blumenschein, Projects Coordinator, Getulio Vargas Foundation (FGV)

   Latin America raised US$153b in FDI                             of the country in Latin America as a more              production and consumption of goods
   in 2011, a record for the region,                               consolidated democracy, along with                     and services over the past decade.
   representing 10% of the global amount                           respect for the continuity of its policies and         “Another factor is the diversification of
   in the same period. The leader in the                           rules and the transition of power. “In some            the economy. Of all the Latin American
   region, Brazil was the destination for                          ways, this differentiates Brazil from other            economies, and even globally, Brazil has
   43.8% of investment – totaling US$66.7b,                        countries. The democratic continuity is an             been attracting investments that would
   the largest amount in a single year in the                      important issue which is globally noticed,”            not be directed to countries with smaller
   history of the country, according to data                       defines Blumenschein.                                  markets, with less diversification or with
   released in May by the UN Economic                                                                                     a less appealing logistical position. Brazil
   Commission for Latin America and the                                                                                   has natural resources, tourism and
   Caribbean (ECLAC). “Big economies                                          Brazil has                                  agribusiness potentials and a diversified
   around the globe have been increasingly                                    natural                                     processing industry and a wide range of
   investing in Brazil for a number of                                                                                    exports. These advantages place the
   reasons. One key point is the country’s                                    resources,                                  country ahead of many global
   geographical size within Latin America.                                    tourism and                                 economies,” says Blumenschein.
   When it comes to logistics and geopolitics,
   Brazil’s geographical location allows
                                                                              agribusiness                                A further factor would be Brazil’s
   corporations to use it as a strategic entry                     potentials and a diversified                           macroeconomic stability, based on fiscal
   point to the continent,” says Fernando                          processing industry.                                   stability, public spending consistency and
   Blumenschein, Projects Coordinator                                                                                     an inflation targeting policy. “Our
   for Getulio Vargas Foundation (FGV),                            The Projects Coordinator for FGV also                  monetary policy framework has been
   one of the top higher education                                 highlights the size of the consumer                    implemented for years and is still
   institutions in Brazil.                                         market, which saw the arrival of more                  improving. Taken together, these factors
                                                                   than 30 million people who were lifted                 provide predictability and certainty for
   The reasons for the attractiveness of Brazil                    out of poverty and into the middle class               investors and the arrival of capital is
   are more than just geographical, adds the                       in recent years, and a better distribution             increased,” concludes Blumenschein.
   expert. One important factor is the position                    of income that has maximized the



High interest rates and a complicated tax                          The Brazilian economy is benefiting                     commodity-rich status is the draining
system also remain key concerns for the                            significantly from its commodity boom,                  of resources away from other industry
economy. Brazil’s growth stalled in the                            which attracts foreign investment and                  sectors. The shortage of talent coupled
second half of 2011 mainly due to the                              makes the economy thrive. However, this                with the strong Brazilian real creates an
tighter monetary and fiscal policies adopted                        also leads to an unwelcome side effect                 additional risk of deindustrialization of
by the Government amid spillover from                              of pushing the value of the currency                   the Brazilian economy. In the wake of the
Europe’s debt crisis. The country’s central                        upward. This currency appreciation                     Brazilian economy’s focus and dependence
bank is now undertaking measures to                                puts a huge burden on the export                       on commodities, the Government needs
stimulate investment and to spur economic                          competitiveness of the country, with                   to undertake initiatives to diversify the
growth through measures such as interest                           many of its manufacturers struggling to                economy and create a push toward
rate reductions, tax cuts and a relaxation of                      remain competitive on the world stage.                 developing and promoting value-added
bank lending requirements.5                                        Another risk emanating from Brazil’s                   and innovative activities and sectors.

5. “Cash boost for schools in Brazil,” BBC website, news.bbc.
   co.uk, accessed 11 July 2012; “Brazil and U.S. Accentuate       Top five recipient countries by number of projects
   the Positive,” The New York Times website, www.nytimes.com,
   accessed 11 July 2012; “The ‘Chinafication’ Of Brazil,” Forbes    Rank      Top five countries      Number of projects         Change            Value
   website, www.forbes.com, accessed 11 July 2012; “Wrapup
   1-Brazil inflation slows more than expected,” Reuters website,
                                                                                                                             2011 vs. 2010       (US$m)
                                                                                                      2010       2011                             2011
   www.reuters.com, accessed 28 April 2012; “Brazil Economic
   Update,” Deutsche Bank, 9 February 2012, via ThomsonONE.          1       United States           1,522       1,707            12%               57,275
   com; “Brazil blames all of its problems on the exchange rate,
   but keep ignoring structural reforms,” Bloomberg website,         2       China                   1,344       1,409             5%             100,688
   brazilianbubble.com, accessed 30 April 2012.
                                                                     3       United Kingdom            941       1,014             8%               36,039
                                                                     4       India                     774         932            20%               58,261
                                                                     5       Brazil                    366         507            39%               62,916

                                                                   Source: fDi Intelligence.




                                                                                        Ernst & Young's 2012 Brazil attractiveness survey Capturing the momentum         15
A record year




FDI by function

     6%                  9%                  10%
     5%                  3%                   4%
                        13%
                                             27%
     52%




                        75%                                                                Source: fDi Intelligence.
                                             59%                                           Industry includes: manufacturing, logistics, distribution & transportation,
                                                              FDI in other functions       electricity. Services includes: sales, marketing & support, business services,
     37%                                                      FDI in strategic functions   design, development & testing, customer contact center, technical support center,
                                                                                           maintenance & servicing, ICT & internet infrastructure, shared services center.
                                                              FDI in services
                                                                                           Strategic functions includes: headquarters, research & development, education &
                                                              FDI in industry              training. Other functions includes: retail, construction, recycling, extraction.
 Number of           Job creation          FDI value
FDI projects



Industrial activities bring jobs

During 2011, investors committed                       Brazil’s strong position in the minerals                    Over the past decade, Brazil has
US$62.9b in Brazil, 59% of which                       space. Automotive, which has aroused                        experienced fast growth on the back of
went into the industrial sector. A total of            interest from various European companies,                   its rich commodity base. However, the
190 projects and 120,774 jobs (75% of                  can easily target the domestic population                   country will have to look to other areas
the country’s total of new FDI jobs), with             with growing disposable income.                             for development to diversify further and
an average of 636 jobs per project, were                                                                           to shield itself from the huge volatility
created by the industrial sector. The presence         Our survey participants ranked oil and gas                  inherent in the global commodities markets.
of natural resources and vast land has                 as the top sector to attract FDI driven by                  Investment in industrial activity, including
always made Brazil attractive for industrial           the recent discovery of the pre-salt layer                  infrastructure, along with a strong culture
activities. The country ranks sixth in the             off the coast of Southern Brazil. Real estate               of entrepreneurship, will help to drive a shift
world in labor force size. However, due to             and construction came next, creating                        from commodities toward manufactured
its long reliance on commodities and imports           an expectation that large infrastructure                    goods. Between 2011 and 2014, Brazil’s
of manufactured goods, FDI in industrial               projects will be put in place over the next                 National Economic and Social Development
activity has not attained its full potential.          few years. Unsurprisingly, agriculture and                  Bank (BNDES) forecasts that the county’s
                                                       tourism rank high for investors as well as                  industrial and infrastructure sectors will
When investing in industrial projects in               consumer products, mining, transportation                   receive a total investment amounting to
Brazil, investors target the following sectors:        and automotive. The difference between                      US$906b (BRL1.6t). According to BNDES,
industrial machinery, equipment & tools                existing FDI projects and investor sentiment                Brazil’s manufacturing industry is expected
(32 projects); automotive (26 projects);               revealed by the survey is interesting to                    to receive US$422b (BRL741b), and
and metals (20 projects). During 2011,                 note, showing potential not only for oil                    infrastructure and construction projects are
the metals sector topped industrial projects           and gas but also for agriculture, consumer                  projected to receive US$484b (BRL848b)
in job creation, attracting 38,613 jobs, and           products, and tourism that is yet to                        during the same period.6
automotive came in second (15,515 jobs).               manifest in investment dollars.
Investment in the metals sector underlines                                                                         6. “BNDES Sees 1.6 Trillion Reais of Brazil Investment 2011–
                                                                                                                      2014,” The Businessweek website, www.businessweek.com,
                                                                                                                      accessed 30 April 2012.




16     Ernst & Young's 2012 Brazil attractiveness survey Capturing the momentum
Services bring the projects

Brazil received 262 support services                          However, these projects lack in both scale        services projects, dominating the sector
projects in 2011, recording the highest                       and size, costing investors on average            and providing evidence of Brazil’s growing
growth rate (53%) and accounting for 52%                      US$65m and creating about 79 jobs per             importance among vendors across the
of the investment projects in the country.                    project, in comparison with industrial projects   world. However, it created only 17% of the
The services sector remains integral to                       (average size of project: US$196m;                total support services jobs, with an average
the Brazilian economy since it contributes                    average job creation per project: 636).           of 25 jobs per project.
approximately 67% of the GDP. The services
sector in Brazil is driven by its large urban                 •   Sales, marketing & support recorded           •   Business services continue to
population (80%) compared with some                               the highest share within services sector          attract investors
other RGMs such as India (40%) and                            The sales, marketing and support sector           The business services function contributed
China (around 50%).                                           attracted 141 projects, 54% of the                27% of the services projects, the second
                                                                                                                highest for services. Brazil has a mix of
             Function                     FDI projects        FDI share      Change       Jobs created          ICT, financial services, life sciences and
                                                                2011      2011 vs. 2010      2011
                                         2010        2011                                                       real estate, hospitality and construction
  Sales, marketing & support               92        141          54%           53%            3,530            under the umbrella of business services.
  Business services                        44            71       27%           61%            3,218
                                                                                                                Business services recorded a growth of 61%
  Design, development & testing            12            23        9%           92%            6,091
                                                                                                                in FDI projects during 2011 on account
  Customer contact center                    5           3         1%          -40%            3,729
                                                                                                                of increased perception of Brazil as a hot
  Technical support center                   3           1        0.4%         -67%              206
                                                                                                                destination for business services. According
  Maintenance & servicing                    3           3         1%              -             131
                                                                                                                to a 2011 European Commission study,
  ICT & internet infrastructure            11            20        8%           82%            3,791
  Shared services center                     1            -          -        -100%                -
                                                                                                                leading foreign IT firms accounted for
  Services total                          171        262       100%             53%           20,696            40% of the industry’s revenues.
Source: fDi Intelligence.




Strategic functions: shaping the future of Brazil’s attractiveness

Brazil still needs to improve on its                          spends 1% of its GDP on research — half the       environment and government focus on
attractiveness for strategic functions.                       developed world’s rate, but almost double         R&D functions. Brazil’s BNDES also supports
In 2011, Brazil received only 25 projects                     the average in the rest of Latin America.         companies with financing options to promote
of this type, up from 19 in 2010. These                                                                         innovation and R&D.
created 4,997 jobs or 3% of the total                         There were 13 FDI headquarters projects
FDI jobs in 2011. The slow pace of FDI                        in Brazil in 2011, up from 7 in 2010. With        Our survey results make it clear that Brazil
growth into strategic functions is mainly                     stability in the political environment, and       is perceived as a highly attractive domestic
caused by the lack of top management                          improvement in infrastructure and living          market with several foreign investors
talent, resulting from the country having                     conditions, more companies are expected           setting up production facilities to cater to
historically neglected to invest in education                 to set up headquarters in Brazil. Also, as        the growing demand in the country. Sales
and training because of its overreliance                      global companies seek to increase flexibility      and marketing offices rank second as these
on commodities. However, Brazil is now                        by providing greater management autonomy          investments enable local production facilities
focusing on R&D and investing in training                     to regional offices, Brazil has an opportunity     to operate successfully in Brazil’s domestic
and education to become a known player in                     to attract more FDI headquarters projects         market. Foreign investors, however, do not
this field. According to The Economist,7 Brazil                to oversee and manage business operations         seem to show a significant intent to establish
is the world leader in research on tropical                   across the Latin American region.                 hub locations in Brazil that would provide
medicine, bioenergy and plant biology, and                                                                      offshore business services or R&D functions.
                                                              The competition for FDI into strategic            In order to attract such investment, Brazil
7. “Science in Brazil — Go south, young scientist — An        functions will become more intense with           needs to take steps to create a push toward
   emerging power in research,” The Economist website,
   www.economist.com, accessed 30 April 2012.                 the increasing sophistication in the business     high value-added services.




                                                                               Ernst & Young's 2012 Brazil attractiveness survey Capturing the momentum    17
A record year




FDI by sector

Leading sectors of FDI                                     In transition                                    Lagging behind

•    ICT and manufacturing                                 •   Financial services                           •   Real estate, hospitality and
ICT and manufacturing are the top two sectors              Financial services attracted 35 FDI projects         construction
for number of FDI projects in Brazil attracting            in 2011 (7% of the total), up from 20            Brazil’s real estate, hospitality and construction
105 and 94 FDI projects respectively, in                   projects in 2010. Even though foreign banks      sector attracted 12 FDI projects, and created
2011. The ICT sector emerged as the fourth                 have been establishing their presence in         a total of 4,075 jobs in the country in 2011.
largest in terms of job creation in Brazil, in             Brazil, the country still remains dominated      Although Brazil is growing as a leisure and
2011 with 17,724 jobs. Investors interested                by domestic banks such as Itaú Unibanco,         business destination (by way of events,
in manufacturing are pouring money into                    Bradesco and Banco do Brasil.                    conferences and conventions), the country
establishing their facilities to cater for both                                                             is yet to reach its full tourism potential.
domestic and export demand. The sector                     •   Mining and metals                            The investment in this sector is expected to
has shown strength in terms of employment                  Mining and metals also recorded 35 projects,     gain traction as Brazil prepares to host the
generation; it created 21,822 jobs in 2011.                and created the most jobs at 45,778 in 2011.     FIFA World Cup in 12 cities in 2014 and the
                                                           With one of the largest mineral repositories     Summer Olympic Games in Rio de Janeiro in
•    Business services                                     in the world, this sector in Brazil provides     2016. However, of all the host cities, only Rio
Business services attracted 53 projects in                 strong prospects for foreign investors.          de Janeiro, Sao Paulo and Curitiba are well
2011, constituting 10% of the total number                                                                  prepared to accommodate the tourists during
of FDI projects, up from 8% in 2010.                       •   Automotive                                   these sporting events, with other cities facing
The rising share of the business services                  Automotive attracted 33 FDI projects             a total projected deficit of hotel rooms. The
sector evidences Brazil’s slow transition                  in Brazil in 2011, generating employment         challenge to overcome this deficit will require
from a commodity-dependent country                         for 16,327 people, the fifth highest in           the industry to expand and adjust its capacity,
to a services-led nation.                                  the country. Buoyant consumer demand             thus demanding significant investments.8
                                                           and the easy availability of credit have
•    Retail and Consumer Products                          led to the growth of the sector.                 •   Cleantech
     (RCP)                                                                                                  Brazil is building its position in the cleantech
The RCP sector has been driven by the                      •   Chemicals                                    industry. It is the third-largest producer
country’s ever-increasing middle class and                 Brazil’s chemicals industry, which stands        and consumer of biodiesel in the world.
growing consumption power. In 2011, the                    seventh in the world, recorded 32 FDI projects   Almost 50% of Brazil's demand for energy
sector accounted for 9% of all FDI projects                in 2011; the sector remains modest in terms      is met through renewable energy sources.
and created the second-most jobs at 23,051.                of foreign investment.                           However, FDI activity in the sector remained
                                                                                                            low with 11 projects.

Top 15 sectors by FDI projects
                                                                                                            •   Energy
 Rank               Sector            Number of projects    Share     Change     Jobs         Value         The energy sector attracted 8 projects in
                                                           in 2011   2011 vs.   created      (US$m)
                                       2010      2011                  2010      2011         2011          2011, remaining low on the FDI radar for
     1     ICT                           69       105          21%    52%        17,724       14,780        now, but with abundant oil and gas reserves
     2     Manufacturing                 47        94          19%   100%        21,822        4,678        and recent discovery of the pre-salt layer, it
     3     Business services             29        53          10%    83%           2,043       687         presents big opportunities in the long run.
     4     Retail and consumer           41        44          9%       7%       23,051        6,872
           products (RCP)
                                                                                                            •   Life sciences
     5     Financial services            20        35          7%     75%           2,464       600
                                                                                                            Life sciences recorded 8 FDI projects in 2011,
     6     Mining and metals             18        35          7%     94%        45,778       18,965
                                                                                                            down from 15 projects in 2010. Brazil
     7     Automotive                    31        33          7%       6%       16,327        6,034
                                                                                                            would need to enhance its R&D culture
     8     Chemicals                     30        32          6%       7%          5,956      1,677
     9     Transport and logistics       17        17          3%       0%          2,689       725
                                                                                                            to promote greater foreign investment in
    10     Equipment                     11        16          3%     45%           7,519       375
                                                                                                            the life sciences sector.
    11     Real estate, hospitality      17        12          2%     -29%          4,075       969
           and construction                                                                                 •   Aerospace
    12     Cleantech                     13        11          2%     -15%          7,165      4,290        Aerospace recorded 4 FDI projects in both
    13     Energy                         4         8          2%    100%           3,517      2,047        2010 and 2011, although the number of
    14     Life sciences                 15         8          2%     -47%           752        108         jobs created decreased from 542 in 2010
    15     Aerospace                      4         4          1%       0%           284        110
                                                                                                            to 284 in 2011.
          Total                         366       507      100%       39%       161,166       62,916
Source: fDi Intelligence.                                                                                   8. Sustainable Brazil, 2011, Ernst & Young, 2011.




18       Ernst & Young's 2012 Brazil attractiveness survey Capturing the momentum
Sector focus

ICT*
    Software & IT services; communications; semiconductors


FDI value and number of projects                                                                   Number of jobs

           FDI projects (number)                                                                                                                      17,724

           FDI value (US$b)
                                                                  105



                                                   69
                                                                  14.8                                                                     8,571
                                    53                                                                                          7,827
     49             47
                                   10.6

                                                   6.4                                                              3,621
                                                                                                    2,907
                   2.4
     1.3

    2007           2008            2009           2010            2011                               2007            2008       2009        2010       2011

Source: fDi Intelligence.                                                                           Source: fDi Intelligence.



    Growth 2011 vs. 2010: +52.2% FDI projects                                                    +106.8% No. of jobs                    +130.5% FDI value

ICT in Brazil attracted 105 FDI projects                          Other government measures are also
in 2011, 21% of the total number in the                           major boosters for the sector, such as                         IBM Corporation (IBM)
country. The sector created 17,724 jobs,                          incentives including tax exemptions.
the fourth highest of all industries in Brazil                    Already several foreign industry giants are                    US-based IBM has been in Brazil since
in 2011.                                                          present in Brazil, including Toshiba, IBM,                     1917. The company provides end-to-
                                                                  HP, Accenture, Capgemini, Infosys and                          end solutions to several companies in
Brazil’s ICT sector is the world’s seventh                        Tata Consultancy Services.                                     the country. According to the Brazilian
largest and is the leader in Latin America.                                                                                      Association of Information Technology
The National Broadband Plan, opening                              The telecoms market also has large,                            and Communication (Brasscom), the
the cable TV market to telephone carriers                         established foreign players such as                            company came top (by total revenue)
and companies with foreign ownership                              Vivendi (France), Telefónica (Spain),                          of all IT-BPO exporters in Brazil in 2010.
exceeding 49%, will increase demand for                           Telmex (Mexico) and TIM (Italy).                               In April 2012, IBM formed a strategic
IT products and services. The Brazilian                           Brazil’s IT market has a distinct regional                     partnership with Brazilian business
Government’s targets for 2014, which                              structure, with most of the spending                           group EBX Group. Under the terms of
include extending broadband access to 68%                         accounted for by Sao Paulo and Rio de                          this agreement, IBM can acquire 26%
of the population; launching 4G services                          Janeiro. Challenges persist, such as                           of SIX Automacao, a subsidiary of EBX
in 80% of the metropolitan areas; and 100%                        high dependence on imported electronic                         Group, with a focus on the oil and gas
telephony coverage in rural areas, will act                       components and a shortage of skilled                           operations sectors. The companies
as key drivers for infrastructure investments                     workforce. These challenges have put                           would also work together to launch a
going forward.                                                    Brazil on the 39th position in the 2011                        Joint Industry Solutions Center at SIX
                                                                  IT Industry Competitiveness Index,                             Automacao. The center would
                                                                  behind India (34th) and China (38th).                          undertake research programs focused
                                                                                                                                 on natural resources and sustainability.
                                                                                                                                 EBX Group would also outsource its IT
                                                                                                                                 operations to IBM for approximately
                                                                                                                                 US$1b until 2022. IBM, which operated
                                                                                                                                 through 23 branch offices in 2010,
                                                                                                                                 plans to increase this number
                                                                                                                                 to 43 by 2015.




*    Source: Business Monitor International’s monthly regional report on political risk and macroeconomic prospects, Business
     Monitor International, March 2012.




                                                                                        Ernst & Young's 2012 Brazil attractiveness survey Capturing the momentum              19
A record year




  Sector focus

  Manufacturing*
      Engines & turbines; industrial machinery, equipment & tools; paper, printing & packaging; rubber; space & defense; textiles; wood products


     FDI value and number of projects                                                                   Number of jobs



             FDI projects (number)                                                                                                                       21,822
                                                                  94
             FDI value (US$b)




                                                                 4.7
                                                                                                                                             11,041
                                                   47
                                     38           3.2
                                                                                                                                    6,301
                     18            1.4                                                                                   3,539
       12            0.7                                                                                 2,169
     0.6
      2007          2008           2009          2010           2011                                     2007            2008       2009      2010         2011

     Source: fDi Intelligence.                                                                          Source: fDi Intelligence.



      Growth 2011 vs. 2010: +100% FDI projects                                                        +97.6% No. of jobs                    +46.4% FDI value

  The manufacturing sector in Brazil                                   Competitive manufacturers, with export
  attracted 94 FDI projects in 2011,                                   capability, are an important element of                       ArcelorMittal
  19% of the total number in the country.                              the dynamism and stability of the Brazilian
  The sector created 21,822 jobs, the third                            economy. BASF, Siemens, ArcelorMittal                         Luxembourg-based ArcelorMittal
  highest of all the industries in Brazil                              and Doosan are the players that have                          (Arcelor) operates in Brazil through its
  in 2011. Our survey confirms the                                      invested in the country’s manufacturing                       subsidiary ArcelorMittal Brasil S.A.
  attractiveness of Brazil as a location for                           sector during 2011.                                           and is the largest steel producer in the
  manufacturing activities with 52% of                                                                                               country. The company has a strong
  respondents seeking investment into                                  Although Brazil’s cost of labor is higher                     presence in Brazil for long and flat steel.
  setting up a factory or production unit                              than that in other emerging economies,                        Arcelor’s Brazilian unit plans to boost
  in the country.                                                      such as China and India, it is still competitive              its output of iron ore, a key ingredient
                                                                       in comparison with developed market                           for making steel, by 65% to 7.1 million
  The President of Brazil Dilma Rousseff’s                             economies such as the US, Japan and                           tons in 2013. Through its Andrade and
  Bigger Brazil Plan, launched in August                               the Eurozone. Brazil faces threats from                       Serra Azul mines in Brazil’s state of
  2011, aims to increase productivity and                              the developed world’s “manufacturing”                         Minas Gerais, Arcelor supplies iron ore
  boost the role of industrial manufacturing                           of high-tech goods as well as from                            to its own steel plants in Brazil and also
  in the country’s economy. Its key measures                           the low-cost and skilled labor of other                       sells it to local customers. The move is
  include tax breaks on exports and a                                  emerging nations. These factors, coupled                      part of the company’s global strategy
  reduction of the 20% welfare tax to 0% for                           with appreciation of Brazil’s currency,                       to boost self-sufficiency in iron ore
  sectors that are sensitive to the exchange                           have increased the import of manufactured                     production. Arcelor is also in talks
  rate and are labor intensive — such as                               goods into the country. In addition, a                        with Brazilian steelmaker Usinas
  apparel, footwear, furniture and software.                           complex tax system adds to the difficulties                    Siderurgicas de Minas Gerais SA to set
  The policy also makes BNDES responsible                              faced by the manufacturing sector.                            up a consortium and make a joint bid
  for financing innovation and investment                                                                                             for an iron ore port area — Area do Meio
  undertaken by companies.                                                                                                           port — in the Rio de Janeiro state.




 *     Source: “Energy in Brazil — Ethanol’s mid-life crisis,” The Economist website, www.economist.com, accessed 30 April 2012;
       “U.S. sugar prices fall as supplies improve –Domino,” The Reuters website, uk.reuters.com, accessed 28 April 2012;
       Sustainable Brazil: horizons of industrial competitiveness report, April 2011, Ernst & Young, 2011.




20       Ernst & Young's 2012 Brazil attractiveness survey Capturing the momentum
Sector focus

Business services*
     Business services; leisure & entertainment


    FDI value and number of projects                                                                  Number of jobs

            FDI projects (number)
                                                                                                                                   4,316
            FDI value (US$b)
                                                         53


                                37                                                                                 2,484
                                                                                                                                              2,250
                                            29                                                                                                         2,043
                  23                                     0.7

      9
                                0.2        0.2                                                          353
     0.1          0.1
    2007         2008           2009       2010         2011                                           2007         2008           2009       2010     2011

    Source: fDi Intelligence.                                                                          Source: fDi Intelligence.



     Growth 2011 vs. 2010: +82.8% FDI projects                                                      -9.2% No. of jobs                             +309.8% FDI value

Brazil’s business services sector attracted                          funding for companies focusing on R&D,                               such as HCL, Wipro, Teleperformance,
53 projects in 2011 with an FDI value                                along with a surging number of technology                            Genpact and Sitel, have their customer
totaling US$0.7b, creating 2,043 jobs in                             and business parks across the country,                               contact centers in the country.
the country. The FDI projects in the                                 have provided further incentives for
sector were directed primarily to                                    foreign firms to set up their offices in                               However, supply shortage of high-quality
functions such as sales, marketing and                               Brazil to focus on local customers and on                            properties in Sao Paulo, Rio de Janeiro
support; education and training; ICT and                             serving the wider Latin American market.                             and other major state capitals has led to
internet infrastructure; and customer                                                                                                     sky-high lease prices in these areas,
contact centers.                                                     The country has emerged as an important                              raising a concern for international
                                                                     customer contact center market for                                   companies planning to establish their base
Business services are core to Brazil’s                               companies across the globe. Sao Paulo,                               in Brazil. Rio de Janeiro has the fourth-
economy since the country acts as a major                            Rio de Janeiro and Minas Gerais are the                              highest office lease price in the world, and
base for companies with operations in Latin                          three most prominent regions for contact                             Sao Paulo the eighth-highest.
America. Tax incentives and increased                                center establishments in Brazil. Companies




*     Source: “Dark side of Brazil’s rise,” The Wall Street Journal website, online.wsj.com, accessed 6 May 2012; “Brazil sambas
      onto offshore outsourcing stage,” Cio.com website, www.cio.com, accessed 5 May 2012; Marketbeat — Brazil, 2011,
      Cushman & Wakefield, 2011.




                                                                                           Ernst & Young's 2012 Brazil attractiveness survey Capturing the momentum                 21
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Brazil attractiveness-survey-2012-finalpdf

  • 1. Growing Beyond Capturing the momentum Ernst & Young's 2012 attractiveness survey Brazil
  • 2. Emerging Markets Center The Emerging Markets Center is Ernst & Young's “Center of Excellence” that quickly and effectively connects you to the world's fastest-growing economies. Our continuous investment in them allows us to share the breadth of our knowledge through a wide range of initiatives, tools and applications. This offers businesses, in both mature and emerging markets, an in-depth and cross-border approach, supported by our leading and highly globally integrated structure. For further information on emerging markets, please visit: http://emergingmarkets.ey.com
  • 3. Capturing the momentum Ernst & Young's attractiveness survey 2012 Brazil Contents 3 Foreword 4 Executive summary 7 Brazil fact sheet 8 World economy outlook 8 Hope, actually 10 Positioning Brazil in the world economy 10 Global FDI surpasses pre-crisis average, but uncertainty prevails 12 A record year 14 Performance 2011: FDI in Brazil reaches a record level 16 FDI by function 18 FDI by sector 28 Where to: Southeast leads FDI; Northeast shows promise for the future 30 Where from: Brazil’s FDI investors 32 Investors’ plans for 2013: a majority have Brazil in mind 34 Great momentum 36 Brazil: Latin America’s leader 39 Brazilian cities: the undisputed leadership of Sao Paulo 42 Boosting growth 44 Strong confidence in Brazil 2015 45 Brazil’s most attractive sectors in the future: industry supporting services 48 Long-term vision: diversification needed 50 Brazil’s action plan 56 Methodology Ernst & Young's 2012 Brazil attractiveness survey Capturing the momentum 1
  • 4. Viewpoint Time for innovation Mauro Borges, Chairman, Brazilian Agency for Industrial Development (ABDI) In 2004, the Brazilian Government embarked on a drive to realize the full potential of the country’s industrial sector. It promoted strategies for science, technology, innovation and foreign trade. It was as part of this mission that the Brazilian Agency for Industrial Development (ABDI) was created. The agency, linked to the Ministry of Development, Industry and Foreign Trade (MDIC), liaises between Owing to the the public and private sectors, contributing to Brazil’s continental sustainable development through initiatives that drive dimension of industrial sector competitiveness. Brazil, it has “The mission is not a simple one, as we need to enormous overcome bottlenecks created by production costs,” says ABDI chairman Mauro Borges. “In Brazil’s relevance to the world. manufacturing sector, we have bottlenecks related to both the cost of capital and labor, and the cost of basic inputs. Part of this stems from taxation on production elements and on basic inputs. It is a legacy of the Brazilian industrialization process which must be removed.” Borges cites the example of the power tariff for the industrial sector. “About 50% of the cost comes from taxation. It is far more than the average price of energy in countries that are direct competitors of Brazil,” he says. Another point is the cost of labor. “Just remember that the cost for the company is almost twice the amount of salary that employees receive.” The increase in foreign competition, in the context of international crisis and uncertainty over the recovery of global demand, hinders the progress of Brazil’s industrial sector — which grew by only 1.6% in 2011. However, according to Borges, Brazil is positioned to become a global leader in manufacturing — an expectation also expressed by many foreign businessmen — because it has a decisive element for industrial success in the 21st century: the scientific knowledge base of new technologies. On one hand, Borges says, Brazil has the knowledge centers of excellence to support the industry in strategic sectors, such as biotechnology and microelectronics. On the other hand, it is expanding funding for this knowledge to be transformed into concrete initiatives. “Fortunately we have The Brazilian Development Bank (BNDES), the second largest development bank in the world, which is enhancing and reshaping its credit lines to technological innovation. And we also have The Financing Program for Studies & Projects (Finep) — an agency linked to the Science and Technology Ministry — that provides funding for studies and projects, that focus on credit. It is restructuring its funding lines and shifting from grants to credit.“ Development of the industrial sector is in line with a new economic reality that puts Brazil on the foreign investment map. “The most transcendent event of the last decade is our transformation into a middle-class country with a growing market of mass consumption. Owing to the continental dimension of Brazil, it has enormous relevance to the world.” If this was the biggest development in recent times, there is also a major obstacle, according to Borges: the bottleneck in infrastructure. “This involves two major challenges: physical capital infrastructure (particularly the area of transport logistics) and human capital infrastructure. Brazil falls some way short of the basic and technical training required for industry in the 21st century,” he says. “This is the problem that threatens our ability to take the big development leap.” 2 Ernst & Young's 2012 Brazil attractiveness survey Capturing the momentum
  • 5. Foreword Foreword Tom McGrath Jorge Menegassi Americas Senior Vice Chair — Markets CEO, South America & Brazil Ernst & Young Ernst & Young Brazil has come on in leaps and bounds to become a stable We believe that the next phase of foreign direct investment economy. Despite the risks of an appreciating currency, (FDI) competition will target less tapped activities such as the domestic market, driven by a burgeoning middle class, establishment of headquarters, research and development has continued to be the backbone of the Brazilian economy. (R&D) centers and innovative business services, driven by The strong footprint of Brazil on the global map is evidenced the entrepreneurial culture and stable political environment. by the fact that 60% of the respondents plan to invest in the country in the short term. The outlook for Brazil as an FDI destination is robust, with 83% of the investors believing that attractiveness will improve over Brazil leads the attractiveness scores in Latin America with the next three years. Investors perceive Brazil will be a leader almost 7 out of 10 business leaders declaring the country in the energy sector by 2020 with substantially improved as the most attractive place to establish operations. Rising infrastructure, and they expect improvement in the education domestic consumption of goods and services, and a wide base system to bridge the skills gap and develop innovation of industrial and natural resources are the foundation capacity. Also, hosting the FIFA World Cup in 2014 and the of Brazil’s economy. Rio Olympic Games in 2016 is bound to attract international investors across a range of sectors. But Brazil also has to Brazil’s image as a commodity-rich nation attracts foreign make efforts to ensure a secure and smooth operational investment, which creates challenges such as the unwelcome environment, increase transparency, reduce corruption and side effect of pushing the currency value upward. To keep create a simplified tax structure. the momentum going and de-risk Brazil from the side effects of being commodity rich, the Government needs to continue Our first edition of the Brazil attractiveness survey includes to implement measures to diversify the economy toward a section on Brazil’s next phase of growth — driven by industry value-added and innovative activities. Insufficient qualified and the services sectors, as well as an analysis of the key personnel, high interest rates and a complicated tax system growth sectors, which we believe will drive FDI momentum are some other main challenges the Brazilian economy in the country. is facing. We would like to thank all the decision-makers and In terms of regional priorities, Sao Paulo clearly appeals most Ernst & Young professionals who have taken the time to to investors. In our survey, more than 55% of the investors share their thoughts with us. named Sao Paulo as the most attractive region in Brazil, followed by Rio de Janeiro (26%). The development of and promotion to foreign investors of tier two cities are key to Brazil’s success in spreading the benefits of its economic development more evenly. Ernst & Young's 2012 Brazil attractiveness survey Capturing the momentum 3
  • 6. Executive summary Executive summary World economy outlook The reality of foreign investment in Brazil Hope, actually A record year • Hope, actually • Brazil in the global top five for FDI Coming out of the financial crisis, the global economy started 2011 Brazil is the second most popular global destination in terms of in recovery mode, admittedly weak and unbalanced, but nevertheless FDI value and fifth in terms of FDI projects. The number of FDI with some hope and optimism. The prospects for the world economy projects in Brazil increased by 39% in 2011, to a record 507. may rely on the rapid-growth markets (RGMs) continuing to be These projects created an estimated 161,166 jobs. the drivers of growth and recovery. The group of 25 RGMs we monitor at Ernst & Young as a whole are expected to bounce back to achieve • Manufacturing brings 75% of the jobs, services bring 52% of an overall GDP growth of 5.9% in 2013 and 6.5% in 2014. Forecasts the projects by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) in its quarterly update Investors entered Brazil to establish factories as well as tap the project the global economy to expand by 3.5% and 3.9% in 2012 rapidly growing services sector in 2011. While industrial activity and 2013 respectively. has brought the most jobs (75% of the total jobs), service activities have driven significant project numbers (52% of the total projects). • Global FDI surpasses pre-crisis average; however, uncertainty However, Brazil still needs to improve on its attractiveness for prevails strategic functions (headquarters, R&D centers and education and Despite the world economic turmoil, the total global inflows of FDI training). In 2011, Brazil received only 25 strategic projects. rose by 16% in 2011 — from its admittedly low basis in 2010 — to US$1.5t, according to the United Nations Conference on Trade and • Where from? Development (UNCTAD). FDI inflows bounced back in all major The US, UK, Japan, Germany and Spain accounted for 59% of the economic groups: developed, developing and transition economies. FDI projects in 2011. China is emerging as a strong partner of The UNCTAD estimates that FDI flows will rise moderately in 2012 to Brazil, with investment and trade linkages increasing between the approximately US$1.6t, based on the current prospects of underlying two countries. factors, including GDP growth and cash holdings by transnational corporations. • Information, Communications and Technology (ICT) and business services performance: heading toward a service-led attractiveness? Reality The ICT sector generated 105 FDI projects in Brazil in 2011. The sector emerged as the fourth-largest in terms of job creation in Brazil in 2011 with 17,724 jobs. Business services attracted 53 2nd: Brazil is the second most attractive global projects in 2011, constituting 10% of the total FDI projects, up by destination in terms of FDI value and fifth in terms of 8% on 2010, a record. Financial services attracted 35 FDI projects in number of projects. 2011 (7% of the total), up from 20 projects in 2010. 507 FDI projects were recorded in Brazil in 2011, • Sao Paulo remains the undisputed leader for FDI an increase of 39% since 2010. The top region for FDI in Brazil is the Southeast; Sao Paulo is garnering the most attention (26% of the FDI projects). Rio de Janeiro comes second with 8% of the projects. The third destination is Curitiba with 161,166 jobs were created in Brazil as a result of FDI. only 2% of the projects. The Northeast region is also emerging fast on the FDI radar; it attracted 93 investment projects and created 52% of the FDI projects in Brazil were generated more than 57,000 jobs between 2007 and 2011. by services activities. • 2013 investment plans Sixty percent of the business leaders surveyed indicated a positive 26% of FDI projects are established in Sao Paolo. outlook about setting up operations in Brazil in the near future; 33% of them highlighted firm plans for establishing activities in the country. 4 Ernst & Young's 2012 Brazil attractiveness survey Capturing the momentum
  • 7. Brazil, the investors’ view The future of attractiveness in Brazil Great momentum Boosting growth • Brazil: the continent’s most attractive market • Action 1: improve skills and secure the operational environment Seventy-eight percent of the survey respondents named Brazil as Of the survey respondents, 28.8% see the development of education the most attractive country in Latin America. Eighty-seven percent and skills as Brazil’s priority measure to increase its attractiveness. of investors consider Brazil’s market size to be its most attractive asset. Brazil’s strong entrepreneurial culture (cited by 71.9% of the • Action 2: build innovation capacity and diversify sectors respondents) has further bolstered its position as a top choice for To build its innovation capacity, Brazil needs to focus on improving foreign companies. education and training in new technologies according to 60.3% of investors. Our panel of investors also think Brazil should increase • An energy leader in the making tax incentives for innovative companies (29.7%) and develop joint Brazil’s oil and gas sector will drive the country’s growth in the research programs (26.1%). These measures will help develop coming years according to 44.2% of the investors. A staggering a more diversified economy, decreasing exposure to the volatility 30.1% of the investors expect Brazil to be the leader in the of commodities markets (seen as the main sector driving growth energy sector by 2020, a view driven by the discovery of for 44.2% of the investors). pre-salt reserves. • Action 3: promote Brazil’s regions • Questions on skills, costs and operating conditions Brazilian second cities are currently not on investors’ radar. Thirty- Labor skills rank fifth in Brazil’s most attractive criteria. Labor nine percent of respondents could not indicate a strong preference costs rank much lower (10th, which 40% don’t find attractive), for cities other than Sao Paulo and Rio de Janeiro. However, just ahead of the political, legislative and administrative Curitiba and Belo Horizonte have drawn investor votes; these were environment (11th, which 41% don’t find attractive). The low- highlighted as preferred cities by 24.5% and 20.2% of the investors. quality, high-cost transportation system still remains a weak When asked about projects to increase the attractiveness of Brazil’s factor for investors (only 43.4% mentioned it as attractive). cities, infrastructure development was the first reply from 55.8% of the respondents. • Strong confidence in the future Nearly 83.4% of the respondents believe Brazil’s attractiveness will improve over the next three years. Perception 78% of survey respondents perceive Brazil as the most attractive country in Latin America. 60% of business leaders interviewed are considering setting up operations in Brazil (in 2013). 30% of investors expect Brazil to be the energy sector leader by 2020, a view driven by the discovery of pre-salt reserves. 60% of respondents consider the development of education in new technologies as the main driver to build Brazil's innovation capacity. 56% of business leaders think infrastructure development is the priority to increase the attractiveness of Brazilian second cities. Ernst & Young's 2012 Brazil attractiveness survey Capturing the momentum 5
  • 8. Executive summary Picture: panoramic view of tropical beach, Fernando de Noronha. Cover picture: sandy coastline, Brazil. 6 Ernst & Young's 2012 Brazil attractiveness survey Capturing the momentum
  • 9. Brazil fact sheet Capital Administration Bordering countries Brasília, Brazil consists of 26 States Argentina, Bolivia, Colombia, French located in the Midwest region and one Federal District Guiana, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela Land area 8,459,417 sq km Population (July 2012) 205.7 million (fifth most populous country in the world) Proportion of urban population in total 84.6% (2011) Age structure (2011) 0–19 years (32.8%); 20–54 years (50.9%); 55 & above (16.3%) Languages Official language: Portuguese (also the most widely spoken language) Note: other common languages in Brazil include Spanish (border areas and schools), German, Italian, Japanese, English and a large number of minor Amerindian languages President Dilma Rousseff (since 1 January 2011) Vice President Michel Temer (since 1 January 2011) GDP (2011) US$2.5t (sixth-largest economy in the world) RGMF expects Brazil to become the fifth-largest economy by 2017; GDP US$3.3t GDP — real growth rate (2011) 2.7% GDP per capita — PPP (2011) US$11,600 Distribution of family income — 51.9 Gini index (2012) GDP composition by sector (2011) Brazil: Agriculture (5.5%); Industry (27.5%); Services (67%) China: Agriculture (10.1%); Industry (46.8%); Services (43.1%) India: Agriculture (17.2%); Industry (26.4%); Services (56.4%) Public debt (2011) Brazil: 54.4% of GDP; China: 43.5% of GDP; India: 51.6% of GDP Labor force (2011) 104.3 million Unemployment rate (2011) 6.0% Inflation (2011) 6.5% Stock exchange BM&FBOVESPA (third-largest exchange in the world by market value; leading exchange in Latin America) Central bank Banco Central do Brasil SELIC rate (base interest rate) 8% (July 2012) Federal corporate income tax rate 34% Federal individual income tax rate 27.5% State value-added tax 0%–25% Major international airports Brasilia International Airport Rio de Janeiro Galeao Antonio Carlos Jobim International Airport Sao Paulo Guarulhos International Airport Major seaports Ilha Grande (Gebig), Paranagua, Rio Grande, Santos, Sao Sebastiao and Tubarao Major cities Sao Paulo, Manaus, Natal, Porto Alegre, Recife, Rio de Janeiro, Salvador and Santos Time zone Three hours behind Greenwich Mean Time (GMT) Currency unit Brazilian Real (BRL) Exchange rate (2011) US$1 = 1.67251 BRL; INR1 = 0.03557 BRL; CNY1 = 0.258875 BRL Ernst & Young's 2012 Brazil attractiveness survey Capturing the momentum 7
  • 10. World economy outlook Hope, actually Coming out of the financial crisis, Although many RGMs are likely to witness National and regional differences do exist the global economy started 2011 in slower expansion in 2012 at 4.9%, these among emerging market economies, and recovery mode, admittedly weak and economies are expected to remain engines significant growth differences are opening unbalanced, but nevertheless with of global recovery, with growth expected to up this year. Asian RGMs are projected to some hope and optimism.1 However, accelerate in the medium term. The group see higher growth rates of 6.2% in 2012 the global economic recovery started to of 25 RGMs we monitor at Ernst & Young compared with RGMs in the EMEIA and slow down in the second half of the year as a whole should bounce back to achieve the Americas region that are expected with prospects dimming, investor and an overall GDP growth of 5.9% in 2013 and to expand at 4.0% and 3.2% respectively. consumer confidence weakening again 6.5% in 2014. Strong RGM performers in 2013 are and risks sharply escalating during the expected to be Brazil (+5.1%) and Chile fourth quarter. Economic growth in many The continued emergence of an (+4.8%) in the Americas; India (+7.5%), developed economies came to a standstill economically active middle class, Kazakhstan (+7.0%) and Qatar (+6%) toward the end of 2011 as many Western combined with favorable demographics, in EMEIA; China and Hong Kong (+8.3%), economies came face-to-face with the fuels growth of domestic demand that is Vietnam (+6.9%), Indonesia (+6.6%) likelihood of a double-dip recession. the backbone of growth in the emerging and Thailand (+6.5%) in Asia. The increased uncertainties in the world. A sustained increase in trade among European Monetary Union, continued high emerging markets will help further insulate The IMF in its July 2012 quarterly update sovereign debt and respective austerity economic development from unfavorable projects that the global economy will programs now showing their real impact developments in the western hemisphere. expand by 3.5% and 3.9% in 2012 and on GDP growth are the main forces holding Those developing markets that rely on 2013 respectively, versus the 3.5% and back economic recovery in the West. energy exports may see some short-term 4.1% growth projected in April 2012 for variation; however, the mid- to long-term these years. Our map shows the projected Rapid-growth economies recently showed outlook remains strongly positive as energy GDP growth rates for both major Western some softening in their unprecedented prices are poised to increase further. economic zones and RGMs, with Brazil growth trajectory, firstly with the impact Investments into emerging markets will clearly continuing to outperform growth of the financial crisis and, more recently, remain strong as Western companies are expectations in the West and around half reduced demand for commodities and seeking to participate in this projected of the emerging economies. a slowdown in exports of manufactured growth and the emerging markets are goods caused by developments in Europe. themselves using their favorable financial positioning to drive development. 1. Rapid-growth markets forecast, Ernst & Young, July 2012. 8 Ernst & Young's 2012 Brazil attractiveness survey Capturing the momentum
  • 11. World economy outlook Picture: Pantanal wetlands, Brazil. Summing it all up: signs of recovery emerge, but downside risks prevail World RGMs 3.9 3.5 3.9 6.3 4.9 5.9 Russia 4.3 4.0 3.1 UK 0.7 0.2 1.4 Euro area 1.5 -0.3 0.3 US Japan 1.7 2.0 2.3 -0.7 2.4 1.5 China Mexico 9.2 7.5 8.4 India 3.9 3.8 3.8 7.5 5.7 7.5 Colombia 5.9 4.5 4.2 Brazil 2.7 2.2 5.1 South Africa Argentina 3.1 2.8 3.8 Chile 5.9 4.7 4.8 8.9 3.3 3.5 Real GDP growth rates (%) 2011 2012 2013 Sources: World Economic Outlook (WEO): Growth resuming, dangers remain, April 2012, IMF 2012. Rapid-growth markets forecast, Ernst & Young, July 2012. Ernst & Young's 2012 Brazil attractiveness survey Capturing the momentum 9
  • 12. World economy outlook Positioning Brazil in the world economy Owing to Brazil’s macroeconomic stability However, in the medium term, growth measures in the pipeline on the upside. Other and growing domestic demand, the country is projected to pick up to 5.1% in 2013 and factors such as the country’s increasing trade has withstood the waves of crisis with 4.8% in 2014, driven largely by domestic with China and any uplift in the US economy resilience.2 After a brief pause in Q3 2011, consumption. Growth-supporting measures, will also benefit Brazil. Brazil’s economy returned to growth in the such as lowering of lending rates by the year’s final months as domestic spending central bank and additional fiscal stimulus by Achieving the Government of Brazil’s rebounded in response to government the Government, will provide further impetus. ambitious goals for economic growth over stimulus measures, including tax cuts. The risks to the country’s growth forecast the medium term requires a shift in focus GDP growth in 2012 is expected to slow to in 2013 now appear more balanced rather away from using fiscal policy to stimulate 2.2%, as opposed to the earlier forecast of than skewed to the downside. Although demand and toward investment in 3.1%, due to a less favorable global outlook. Brazil remains exposed to the fallout from infrastructure and education, which are a more pronounced deterioration in global the biggest constraints the economy 2. Growth resuming, dangers remain, April 2012, IMF economic conditions, there is the potential is facing. Without this investment, 2012; WEO update: Global recovery stalls, downside risks intensify, January 2012, IMF 2012; Global Economic for growth to accelerate more rapidly than GDP growth is forecast to average only Prospects January 2012, The World Bank, 2012; Rapid- growth markets forecast, Ernst & Young, July 2012. expected given the counter-cyclical policy around 4% per annum during 2015–20. Global FDI surpasses pre-crisis average, but uncertainty prevails Global FDI inflows Despite the world economic turmoil, In developed economies, much of the (US$t) the total global inflows of FDI rose by growth in FDI resulted from cross-border 16% in 2011 — from its admittedly low M&As, particularly within Europe. FDI 2.0 basis in 2010 — to US$1.5t, according to inflows into the European Union (EU) 1.7 the UNCTAD. FDI inflows bounced back increased 32.2% to reach US$420.7b 1.5 in all major economic groups: developed, in 2011. The US remained the largest 1.3 developing and transition economies. recipient of foreign investment in 2011, 1.2 attracting US$226.9b; 15% up Developing and transition economies from 2010.3 accounted for 51% of global FDI in 2011 as their inflows reached a new record high, at The UNCTAD estimates FDI flows will rise an estimated US$776b, driven primarily moderately in 2012 to approximately 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 by robust greenfield investments. The US$1.6t, based on the current Source: UNCTAD. developing countries’ rise was supported prospects of underlying factors, including Note: this data includes greenfield and expansion projects and M&As. by a 10% increase in Asia and 16% increase GDP growth and cash holdings by transnational in Latin America and the Caribbean. Brazil corporations. It expects only moderate captured the highest share (31%) in Latin growth in all three groups — developed, American and the Caribbean inflows of FDI. developing and transition economies. Inflows of capital into Africa continued to decline marginally for the third consecutive year. Egypt, Libya and Tunisia experienced sharp falls largely reflecting the unstable 3. Global Investment Trends Monitor, January 2012, UNCTAD, situation after the Arab Spring. 2012; World Investment Report, July 2012, UNCTAD, 2012. 10 Ernst & Young's 2012 Brazil attractiveness survey Capturing the momentum
  • 13. Viewpoint The Rio 2016 Olympics: a great source for investment opportunities Márcio Fortes, President of Olympic Public Authority By hosting a succession of high-profile related to the Olympics — respecting for each individual sport, such as canoe global events over the next four years, deadlines and basic requirements from slalom, which requires complex hydraulic Brazil will enhance its standing in the the IOC and the 41 international sports engineering that cost £90m international arena. They are “Rio+20,” federations involved with the event. at the London Olympics. “Without those the UN world conference on sustainable facilities there is no competition. development in 2012, the FIFA “Since Rio’s candidature, we have aimed We can’t afford mistakes and everything Confederations Cup in 2013, the FIFA to demonstrate that the city has must be ready a year in advance for test World Cup a year later, and, finally, the proactive management involving the events,” he says. Olympic Games 2016 in Rio de Janeiro. three levels of government — municipal, Preparations for the Rio Olympics have state and federal — with major projects Another major concern is to provide been transforming the city since 2009, of urbanization, sanitation, housing accommodation for the “Olympic family,” when the nomination was ratified by the and urban transportation. Regardless of which includes athletes, technical International Olympic Committee (IOC). the Olympics, those projects taken committees, referees and other together show that the city is moving professionals directly involved in forward and will continue to do so,” says the competition. It’s expected Rio 2016 The Olympics the President of APO, Márcio Fortes. will involve 11,000 athletes, are a great 40,000 journalists and approximately source of Fortes, former Minister of Cities under 80,000 volunteers. “The Olympics are Lula’s Government, refers to projects such a great source of attraction of attraction of as the cleaning up of the Gloria Marina investments. The hospitality industry, investments. and the Lagoa Rodrigo de Freitas, which for instance, has an unprecedented will host the nautical competitions; opportunity for expansion in Rio and A study conducted by the Foundation the revitalization of Rio de Janeiro’s port, brand new legislation has encouraged Institute of Administration (FIA) where the harbor will be deepened to the construction of hotels. There are estimates that public and private receive up to six tourist ships; and the also major opportunities in transport investments in the games infrastructure urban mobility projects such as the Bus and restaurants, and there is an urgent will inject US$14.4b into the country — Rapid Transit (BRT) that will link the four demand for qualified manpower to meet Rio especially — impacting 55 different different competition areas in the city. visitors’ demands. The Olympics also sectors of the economy. Preparations for require expert advice in the construction the games are overseen by the Olympic Other essential projects for the Olympic of facilities, creating opportunities for Public Authority (APO), a public Games include the creation of a media associations between Brazilian and consortium that brings together federal, center and broadcasting facilities, foreign companies and the arrival of state and municipal representatives a modern anti-doping laboratory and skilled foreign professionals,” says Fortes. whose main assignment is to monitor and the construction of the velodrome and deliver the infrastructure and services athletics stadium, as well as facilities Ernst & Young's 2012 Brazil attractiveness survey Capturing the momentum 11
  • 14. A record year The reality of foreign investment in Brazil Picture: Ibicui river and landscape, Brazil. 12 Ernst & Young's 2012 Brazil attractiveness survey Capturing the momentum
  • 15. A record year 39% increase in FDI projects since 2010. 507 projects in 2011, a record number. 161,166 jobs created in 2011. 75% activity. of total jobs generated from industrial 52% activities. of total projects driven by services 26% of FDI projects gather in Sao Paolo. 60% of the business respondents in favor of setting up operations in Brazil. Ernst & Young's 2012 Brazil attractiveness survey Capturing the momentum 13
  • 16. A record year Performance 2011: FDI in Brazil reaches a record level Number of FDI projects Jobs created FDI by value (US$b) 161,166 63 507 124,125 127,406 47 45 44 366 289 88,430 268 165 48,901 19 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Source: fDi Intelligence. Source: fDi Intelligence. Source: fDi Intelligence. Against the backdrop of a deteriorating acted as a major stimulus for international However, Brazil faces some challenges external environment — an uncertain companies to invest in Brazil. Furthermore, related to shortage of skilled workforce growth outlook for the US and a heightened Brazil’s hosting of the 2014 FIFA World Cup and the quality of its infrastructure, that European sovereign debt crisis — FDI in and the 2016 Olympics will contribute to act as impediments for global companies Brazil surged in 2011. The number of FDI infrastructure development and attracting to invest in it. projects in Brazil increased by 39% to reach additional FDI into the country.4 Our research 507 projects and FDI investment picked up panel confirmed these strengths in Brazil Lack of qualified personnel is a key weakness pace with 43% growth in 2011. with respondents citing the large domestic of the Brazilian economy. According to market, the long-term economic growth research undertaken by the National Since 2007, the number of FDI projects trajectory and the wealth of natural resources Industry Confederation (CNI), 69% of has continuously risen, indicating investors' as the most significant advantages for the the 1,616 companies interviewed face confidence. However, the sum invested country. A large number of our respondents difficulties due to the lack of skilled labor. in a project has been dependent on the also mentioned the openness of Brazilian Fifty-two percent of industrial firms indicated macroeconomic conditions. In 2009 society, which embraces diversity of race that the poor quality of basic education is and 2010, while the number of projects and religion — an important factor for foreign one of the main impediments to workers increased, the risky global economic investors who might seek to locate personnel gaining qualifications. The problem is outlook kept the value invested relatively in the country. particularly acute in the case of companies low. The average value of an FDI project seeking to recruit top technical and declined from US$175m in 2008 Brazil recorded 507 projects in 2011, an management talent. Measures undertaken to US$120m in 2010, mainly due to increase of 39% over 2010 and the highest by Brazil's former President Lula da Silva investors’ unwillingness to commit large growth rate achieved among the countries have improved access to education in the amount of funds, then increased slightly on the list. It ranked second in terms of country. Further, ruling President of Brazil to US$124m in 2011. FDI value, behind China and ahead of India, Dilma Rousseff's focus on enhancing Brazil's the US and the UK. The average value of a higher education is expected to create a A growing middle class, strong domestic project in Brazil in 2011, at US$124m, was nation with a more productive labor force. demand and huge untapped reserves of higher than in China (US$71m) and India Initiatives, such as Brasil Maior (Bigger natural resources has placed Brazil as a (US$63m). In comparison with its Latin Brazil) launched by the Government of key investment destination among global American peer group, Brazil clearly stands Brazil in 2011, that focus on increasing companies with an emerging market-focused out with our survey suggesting that Brazil the country’s competitiveness, enhancing portfolio. Supportive government policies, has by far the highest awareness among productivity, raising investments and including tax incentives for foreign investors foreign investors. stimulating technological innovation, should targeting local production and content, reinforce investors' confidence in the mid to 4. “Emerging Markets: Brazil and Chile,” Frost & Sullivan simplification of licensing procedures and website, www.frost.com, accessed 25 April 2012; “New FDI long term. regulatory framework, subsidized credit Record Set in Brazil,” IHS Global Insight Daily Analysis, 27 January 2012, via Dow Jones Factiva, © 2012, and easy financing options have also IHS Global Insight Limited. 14 Ernst & Young's 2012 Brazil attractiveness survey Capturing the momentum
  • 17. Viewpoint Brazil sets records in FDI Fernando Blumenschein, Projects Coordinator, Getulio Vargas Foundation (FGV) Latin America raised US$153b in FDI of the country in Latin America as a more production and consumption of goods in 2011, a record for the region, consolidated democracy, along with and services over the past decade. representing 10% of the global amount respect for the continuity of its policies and “Another factor is the diversification of in the same period. The leader in the rules and the transition of power. “In some the economy. Of all the Latin American region, Brazil was the destination for ways, this differentiates Brazil from other economies, and even globally, Brazil has 43.8% of investment – totaling US$66.7b, countries. The democratic continuity is an been attracting investments that would the largest amount in a single year in the important issue which is globally noticed,” not be directed to countries with smaller history of the country, according to data defines Blumenschein. markets, with less diversification or with released in May by the UN Economic a less appealing logistical position. Brazil Commission for Latin America and the has natural resources, tourism and Caribbean (ECLAC). “Big economies Brazil has agribusiness potentials and a diversified around the globe have been increasingly natural processing industry and a wide range of investing in Brazil for a number of exports. These advantages place the reasons. One key point is the country’s resources, country ahead of many global geographical size within Latin America. tourism and economies,” says Blumenschein. When it comes to logistics and geopolitics, Brazil’s geographical location allows agribusiness A further factor would be Brazil’s corporations to use it as a strategic entry potentials and a diversified macroeconomic stability, based on fiscal point to the continent,” says Fernando processing industry. stability, public spending consistency and Blumenschein, Projects Coordinator an inflation targeting policy. “Our for Getulio Vargas Foundation (FGV), The Projects Coordinator for FGV also monetary policy framework has been one of the top higher education highlights the size of the consumer implemented for years and is still institutions in Brazil. market, which saw the arrival of more improving. Taken together, these factors than 30 million people who were lifted provide predictability and certainty for The reasons for the attractiveness of Brazil out of poverty and into the middle class investors and the arrival of capital is are more than just geographical, adds the in recent years, and a better distribution increased,” concludes Blumenschein. expert. One important factor is the position of income that has maximized the High interest rates and a complicated tax The Brazilian economy is benefiting commodity-rich status is the draining system also remain key concerns for the significantly from its commodity boom, of resources away from other industry economy. Brazil’s growth stalled in the which attracts foreign investment and sectors. The shortage of talent coupled second half of 2011 mainly due to the makes the economy thrive. However, this with the strong Brazilian real creates an tighter monetary and fiscal policies adopted also leads to an unwelcome side effect additional risk of deindustrialization of by the Government amid spillover from of pushing the value of the currency the Brazilian economy. In the wake of the Europe’s debt crisis. The country’s central upward. This currency appreciation Brazilian economy’s focus and dependence bank is now undertaking measures to puts a huge burden on the export on commodities, the Government needs stimulate investment and to spur economic competitiveness of the country, with to undertake initiatives to diversify the growth through measures such as interest many of its manufacturers struggling to economy and create a push toward rate reductions, tax cuts and a relaxation of remain competitive on the world stage. developing and promoting value-added bank lending requirements.5 Another risk emanating from Brazil’s and innovative activities and sectors. 5. “Cash boost for schools in Brazil,” BBC website, news.bbc. co.uk, accessed 11 July 2012; “Brazil and U.S. Accentuate Top five recipient countries by number of projects the Positive,” The New York Times website, www.nytimes.com, accessed 11 July 2012; “The ‘Chinafication’ Of Brazil,” Forbes Rank Top five countries Number of projects Change Value website, www.forbes.com, accessed 11 July 2012; “Wrapup 1-Brazil inflation slows more than expected,” Reuters website, 2011 vs. 2010 (US$m) 2010 2011 2011 www.reuters.com, accessed 28 April 2012; “Brazil Economic Update,” Deutsche Bank, 9 February 2012, via ThomsonONE. 1 United States 1,522 1,707 12% 57,275 com; “Brazil blames all of its problems on the exchange rate, but keep ignoring structural reforms,” Bloomberg website, 2 China 1,344 1,409 5% 100,688 brazilianbubble.com, accessed 30 April 2012. 3 United Kingdom 941 1,014 8% 36,039 4 India 774 932 20% 58,261 5 Brazil 366 507 39% 62,916 Source: fDi Intelligence. Ernst & Young's 2012 Brazil attractiveness survey Capturing the momentum 15
  • 18. A record year FDI by function 6% 9% 10% 5% 3% 4% 13% 27% 52% 75% Source: fDi Intelligence. 59% Industry includes: manufacturing, logistics, distribution & transportation, FDI in other functions electricity. Services includes: sales, marketing & support, business services, 37% FDI in strategic functions design, development & testing, customer contact center, technical support center, maintenance & servicing, ICT & internet infrastructure, shared services center. FDI in services Strategic functions includes: headquarters, research & development, education & FDI in industry training. Other functions includes: retail, construction, recycling, extraction. Number of Job creation FDI value FDI projects Industrial activities bring jobs During 2011, investors committed Brazil’s strong position in the minerals Over the past decade, Brazil has US$62.9b in Brazil, 59% of which space. Automotive, which has aroused experienced fast growth on the back of went into the industrial sector. A total of interest from various European companies, its rich commodity base. However, the 190 projects and 120,774 jobs (75% of can easily target the domestic population country will have to look to other areas the country’s total of new FDI jobs), with with growing disposable income. for development to diversify further and an average of 636 jobs per project, were to shield itself from the huge volatility created by the industrial sector. The presence Our survey participants ranked oil and gas inherent in the global commodities markets. of natural resources and vast land has as the top sector to attract FDI driven by Investment in industrial activity, including always made Brazil attractive for industrial the recent discovery of the pre-salt layer infrastructure, along with a strong culture activities. The country ranks sixth in the off the coast of Southern Brazil. Real estate of entrepreneurship, will help to drive a shift world in labor force size. However, due to and construction came next, creating from commodities toward manufactured its long reliance on commodities and imports an expectation that large infrastructure goods. Between 2011 and 2014, Brazil’s of manufactured goods, FDI in industrial projects will be put in place over the next National Economic and Social Development activity has not attained its full potential. few years. Unsurprisingly, agriculture and Bank (BNDES) forecasts that the county’s tourism rank high for investors as well as industrial and infrastructure sectors will When investing in industrial projects in consumer products, mining, transportation receive a total investment amounting to Brazil, investors target the following sectors: and automotive. The difference between US$906b (BRL1.6t). According to BNDES, industrial machinery, equipment & tools existing FDI projects and investor sentiment Brazil’s manufacturing industry is expected (32 projects); automotive (26 projects); revealed by the survey is interesting to to receive US$422b (BRL741b), and and metals (20 projects). During 2011, note, showing potential not only for oil infrastructure and construction projects are the metals sector topped industrial projects and gas but also for agriculture, consumer projected to receive US$484b (BRL848b) in job creation, attracting 38,613 jobs, and products, and tourism that is yet to during the same period.6 automotive came in second (15,515 jobs). manifest in investment dollars. Investment in the metals sector underlines 6. “BNDES Sees 1.6 Trillion Reais of Brazil Investment 2011– 2014,” The Businessweek website, www.businessweek.com, accessed 30 April 2012. 16 Ernst & Young's 2012 Brazil attractiveness survey Capturing the momentum
  • 19. Services bring the projects Brazil received 262 support services However, these projects lack in both scale services projects, dominating the sector projects in 2011, recording the highest and size, costing investors on average and providing evidence of Brazil’s growing growth rate (53%) and accounting for 52% US$65m and creating about 79 jobs per importance among vendors across the of the investment projects in the country. project, in comparison with industrial projects world. However, it created only 17% of the The services sector remains integral to (average size of project: US$196m; total support services jobs, with an average the Brazilian economy since it contributes average job creation per project: 636). of 25 jobs per project. approximately 67% of the GDP. The services sector in Brazil is driven by its large urban • Sales, marketing & support recorded • Business services continue to population (80%) compared with some the highest share within services sector attract investors other RGMs such as India (40%) and The sales, marketing and support sector The business services function contributed China (around 50%). attracted 141 projects, 54% of the 27% of the services projects, the second highest for services. Brazil has a mix of Function FDI projects FDI share Change Jobs created ICT, financial services, life sciences and 2011 2011 vs. 2010 2011 2010 2011 real estate, hospitality and construction Sales, marketing & support 92 141 54% 53% 3,530 under the umbrella of business services. Business services 44 71 27% 61% 3,218 Business services recorded a growth of 61% Design, development & testing 12 23 9% 92% 6,091 in FDI projects during 2011 on account Customer contact center 5 3 1% -40% 3,729 of increased perception of Brazil as a hot Technical support center 3 1 0.4% -67% 206 destination for business services. According Maintenance & servicing 3 3 1% - 131 to a 2011 European Commission study, ICT & internet infrastructure 11 20 8% 82% 3,791 Shared services center 1 - - -100% - leading foreign IT firms accounted for Services total 171 262 100% 53% 20,696 40% of the industry’s revenues. Source: fDi Intelligence. Strategic functions: shaping the future of Brazil’s attractiveness Brazil still needs to improve on its spends 1% of its GDP on research — half the environment and government focus on attractiveness for strategic functions. developed world’s rate, but almost double R&D functions. Brazil’s BNDES also supports In 2011, Brazil received only 25 projects the average in the rest of Latin America. companies with financing options to promote of this type, up from 19 in 2010. These innovation and R&D. created 4,997 jobs or 3% of the total There were 13 FDI headquarters projects FDI jobs in 2011. The slow pace of FDI in Brazil in 2011, up from 7 in 2010. With Our survey results make it clear that Brazil growth into strategic functions is mainly stability in the political environment, and is perceived as a highly attractive domestic caused by the lack of top management improvement in infrastructure and living market with several foreign investors talent, resulting from the country having conditions, more companies are expected setting up production facilities to cater to historically neglected to invest in education to set up headquarters in Brazil. Also, as the growing demand in the country. Sales and training because of its overreliance global companies seek to increase flexibility and marketing offices rank second as these on commodities. However, Brazil is now by providing greater management autonomy investments enable local production facilities focusing on R&D and investing in training to regional offices, Brazil has an opportunity to operate successfully in Brazil’s domestic and education to become a known player in to attract more FDI headquarters projects market. Foreign investors, however, do not this field. According to The Economist,7 Brazil to oversee and manage business operations seem to show a significant intent to establish is the world leader in research on tropical across the Latin American region. hub locations in Brazil that would provide medicine, bioenergy and plant biology, and offshore business services or R&D functions. The competition for FDI into strategic In order to attract such investment, Brazil 7. “Science in Brazil — Go south, young scientist — An functions will become more intense with needs to take steps to create a push toward emerging power in research,” The Economist website, www.economist.com, accessed 30 April 2012. the increasing sophistication in the business high value-added services. Ernst & Young's 2012 Brazil attractiveness survey Capturing the momentum 17
  • 20. A record year FDI by sector Leading sectors of FDI In transition Lagging behind • ICT and manufacturing • Financial services • Real estate, hospitality and ICT and manufacturing are the top two sectors Financial services attracted 35 FDI projects construction for number of FDI projects in Brazil attracting in 2011 (7% of the total), up from 20 Brazil’s real estate, hospitality and construction 105 and 94 FDI projects respectively, in projects in 2010. Even though foreign banks sector attracted 12 FDI projects, and created 2011. The ICT sector emerged as the fourth have been establishing their presence in a total of 4,075 jobs in the country in 2011. largest in terms of job creation in Brazil, in Brazil, the country still remains dominated Although Brazil is growing as a leisure and 2011 with 17,724 jobs. Investors interested by domestic banks such as Itaú Unibanco, business destination (by way of events, in manufacturing are pouring money into Bradesco and Banco do Brasil. conferences and conventions), the country establishing their facilities to cater for both is yet to reach its full tourism potential. domestic and export demand. The sector • Mining and metals The investment in this sector is expected to has shown strength in terms of employment Mining and metals also recorded 35 projects, gain traction as Brazil prepares to host the generation; it created 21,822 jobs in 2011. and created the most jobs at 45,778 in 2011. FIFA World Cup in 12 cities in 2014 and the With one of the largest mineral repositories Summer Olympic Games in Rio de Janeiro in • Business services in the world, this sector in Brazil provides 2016. However, of all the host cities, only Rio Business services attracted 53 projects in strong prospects for foreign investors. de Janeiro, Sao Paulo and Curitiba are well 2011, constituting 10% of the total number prepared to accommodate the tourists during of FDI projects, up from 8% in 2010. • Automotive these sporting events, with other cities facing The rising share of the business services Automotive attracted 33 FDI projects a total projected deficit of hotel rooms. The sector evidences Brazil’s slow transition in Brazil in 2011, generating employment challenge to overcome this deficit will require from a commodity-dependent country for 16,327 people, the fifth highest in the industry to expand and adjust its capacity, to a services-led nation. the country. Buoyant consumer demand thus demanding significant investments.8 and the easy availability of credit have • Retail and Consumer Products led to the growth of the sector. • Cleantech (RCP) Brazil is building its position in the cleantech The RCP sector has been driven by the • Chemicals industry. It is the third-largest producer country’s ever-increasing middle class and Brazil’s chemicals industry, which stands and consumer of biodiesel in the world. growing consumption power. In 2011, the seventh in the world, recorded 32 FDI projects Almost 50% of Brazil's demand for energy sector accounted for 9% of all FDI projects in 2011; the sector remains modest in terms is met through renewable energy sources. and created the second-most jobs at 23,051. of foreign investment. However, FDI activity in the sector remained low with 11 projects. Top 15 sectors by FDI projects • Energy Rank Sector Number of projects Share Change Jobs Value The energy sector attracted 8 projects in in 2011 2011 vs. created (US$m) 2010 2011 2010 2011 2011 2011, remaining low on the FDI radar for 1 ICT 69 105 21% 52% 17,724 14,780 now, but with abundant oil and gas reserves 2 Manufacturing 47 94 19% 100% 21,822 4,678 and recent discovery of the pre-salt layer, it 3 Business services 29 53 10% 83% 2,043 687 presents big opportunities in the long run. 4 Retail and consumer 41 44 9% 7% 23,051 6,872 products (RCP) • Life sciences 5 Financial services 20 35 7% 75% 2,464 600 Life sciences recorded 8 FDI projects in 2011, 6 Mining and metals 18 35 7% 94% 45,778 18,965 down from 15 projects in 2010. Brazil 7 Automotive 31 33 7% 6% 16,327 6,034 would need to enhance its R&D culture 8 Chemicals 30 32 6% 7% 5,956 1,677 9 Transport and logistics 17 17 3% 0% 2,689 725 to promote greater foreign investment in 10 Equipment 11 16 3% 45% 7,519 375 the life sciences sector. 11 Real estate, hospitality 17 12 2% -29% 4,075 969 and construction • Aerospace 12 Cleantech 13 11 2% -15% 7,165 4,290 Aerospace recorded 4 FDI projects in both 13 Energy 4 8 2% 100% 3,517 2,047 2010 and 2011, although the number of 14 Life sciences 15 8 2% -47% 752 108 jobs created decreased from 542 in 2010 15 Aerospace 4 4 1% 0% 284 110 to 284 in 2011. Total 366 507 100% 39% 161,166 62,916 Source: fDi Intelligence. 8. Sustainable Brazil, 2011, Ernst & Young, 2011. 18 Ernst & Young's 2012 Brazil attractiveness survey Capturing the momentum
  • 21. Sector focus ICT* Software & IT services; communications; semiconductors FDI value and number of projects Number of jobs FDI projects (number) 17,724 FDI value (US$b) 105 69 14.8 8,571 53 7,827 49 47 10.6 6.4 3,621 2,907 2.4 1.3 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Source: fDi Intelligence. Source: fDi Intelligence. Growth 2011 vs. 2010: +52.2% FDI projects +106.8% No. of jobs +130.5% FDI value ICT in Brazil attracted 105 FDI projects Other government measures are also in 2011, 21% of the total number in the major boosters for the sector, such as IBM Corporation (IBM) country. The sector created 17,724 jobs, incentives including tax exemptions. the fourth highest of all industries in Brazil Already several foreign industry giants are US-based IBM has been in Brazil since in 2011. present in Brazil, including Toshiba, IBM, 1917. The company provides end-to- HP, Accenture, Capgemini, Infosys and end solutions to several companies in Brazil’s ICT sector is the world’s seventh Tata Consultancy Services. the country. According to the Brazilian largest and is the leader in Latin America. Association of Information Technology The National Broadband Plan, opening The telecoms market also has large, and Communication (Brasscom), the the cable TV market to telephone carriers established foreign players such as company came top (by total revenue) and companies with foreign ownership Vivendi (France), Telefónica (Spain), of all IT-BPO exporters in Brazil in 2010. exceeding 49%, will increase demand for Telmex (Mexico) and TIM (Italy). In April 2012, IBM formed a strategic IT products and services. The Brazilian Brazil’s IT market has a distinct regional partnership with Brazilian business Government’s targets for 2014, which structure, with most of the spending group EBX Group. Under the terms of include extending broadband access to 68% accounted for by Sao Paulo and Rio de this agreement, IBM can acquire 26% of the population; launching 4G services Janeiro. Challenges persist, such as of SIX Automacao, a subsidiary of EBX in 80% of the metropolitan areas; and 100% high dependence on imported electronic Group, with a focus on the oil and gas telephony coverage in rural areas, will act components and a shortage of skilled operations sectors. The companies as key drivers for infrastructure investments workforce. These challenges have put would also work together to launch a going forward. Brazil on the 39th position in the 2011 Joint Industry Solutions Center at SIX IT Industry Competitiveness Index, Automacao. The center would behind India (34th) and China (38th). undertake research programs focused on natural resources and sustainability. EBX Group would also outsource its IT operations to IBM for approximately US$1b until 2022. IBM, which operated through 23 branch offices in 2010, plans to increase this number to 43 by 2015. * Source: Business Monitor International’s monthly regional report on political risk and macroeconomic prospects, Business Monitor International, March 2012. Ernst & Young's 2012 Brazil attractiveness survey Capturing the momentum 19
  • 22. A record year Sector focus Manufacturing* Engines & turbines; industrial machinery, equipment & tools; paper, printing & packaging; rubber; space & defense; textiles; wood products FDI value and number of projects Number of jobs FDI projects (number) 21,822 94 FDI value (US$b) 4.7 11,041 47 38 3.2 6,301 18 1.4 3,539 12 0.7 2,169 0.6 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Source: fDi Intelligence. Source: fDi Intelligence. Growth 2011 vs. 2010: +100% FDI projects +97.6% No. of jobs +46.4% FDI value The manufacturing sector in Brazil Competitive manufacturers, with export attracted 94 FDI projects in 2011, capability, are an important element of ArcelorMittal 19% of the total number in the country. the dynamism and stability of the Brazilian The sector created 21,822 jobs, the third economy. BASF, Siemens, ArcelorMittal Luxembourg-based ArcelorMittal highest of all the industries in Brazil and Doosan are the players that have (Arcelor) operates in Brazil through its in 2011. Our survey confirms the invested in the country’s manufacturing subsidiary ArcelorMittal Brasil S.A. attractiveness of Brazil as a location for sector during 2011. and is the largest steel producer in the manufacturing activities with 52% of country. The company has a strong respondents seeking investment into Although Brazil’s cost of labor is higher presence in Brazil for long and flat steel. setting up a factory or production unit than that in other emerging economies, Arcelor’s Brazilian unit plans to boost in the country. such as China and India, it is still competitive its output of iron ore, a key ingredient in comparison with developed market for making steel, by 65% to 7.1 million The President of Brazil Dilma Rousseff’s economies such as the US, Japan and tons in 2013. Through its Andrade and Bigger Brazil Plan, launched in August the Eurozone. Brazil faces threats from Serra Azul mines in Brazil’s state of 2011, aims to increase productivity and the developed world’s “manufacturing” Minas Gerais, Arcelor supplies iron ore boost the role of industrial manufacturing of high-tech goods as well as from to its own steel plants in Brazil and also in the country’s economy. Its key measures the low-cost and skilled labor of other sells it to local customers. The move is include tax breaks on exports and a emerging nations. These factors, coupled part of the company’s global strategy reduction of the 20% welfare tax to 0% for with appreciation of Brazil’s currency, to boost self-sufficiency in iron ore sectors that are sensitive to the exchange have increased the import of manufactured production. Arcelor is also in talks rate and are labor intensive — such as goods into the country. In addition, a with Brazilian steelmaker Usinas apparel, footwear, furniture and software. complex tax system adds to the difficulties Siderurgicas de Minas Gerais SA to set The policy also makes BNDES responsible faced by the manufacturing sector. up a consortium and make a joint bid for financing innovation and investment for an iron ore port area — Area do Meio undertaken by companies. port — in the Rio de Janeiro state. * Source: “Energy in Brazil — Ethanol’s mid-life crisis,” The Economist website, www.economist.com, accessed 30 April 2012; “U.S. sugar prices fall as supplies improve –Domino,” The Reuters website, uk.reuters.com, accessed 28 April 2012; Sustainable Brazil: horizons of industrial competitiveness report, April 2011, Ernst & Young, 2011. 20 Ernst & Young's 2012 Brazil attractiveness survey Capturing the momentum
  • 23. Sector focus Business services* Business services; leisure & entertainment FDI value and number of projects Number of jobs FDI projects (number) 4,316 FDI value (US$b) 53 37 2,484 2,250 29 2,043 23 0.7 9 0.2 0.2 353 0.1 0.1 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Source: fDi Intelligence. Source: fDi Intelligence. Growth 2011 vs. 2010: +82.8% FDI projects -9.2% No. of jobs +309.8% FDI value Brazil’s business services sector attracted funding for companies focusing on R&D, such as HCL, Wipro, Teleperformance, 53 projects in 2011 with an FDI value along with a surging number of technology Genpact and Sitel, have their customer totaling US$0.7b, creating 2,043 jobs in and business parks across the country, contact centers in the country. the country. The FDI projects in the have provided further incentives for sector were directed primarily to foreign firms to set up their offices in However, supply shortage of high-quality functions such as sales, marketing and Brazil to focus on local customers and on properties in Sao Paulo, Rio de Janeiro support; education and training; ICT and serving the wider Latin American market. and other major state capitals has led to internet infrastructure; and customer sky-high lease prices in these areas, contact centers. The country has emerged as an important raising a concern for international customer contact center market for companies planning to establish their base Business services are core to Brazil’s companies across the globe. Sao Paulo, in Brazil. Rio de Janeiro has the fourth- economy since the country acts as a major Rio de Janeiro and Minas Gerais are the highest office lease price in the world, and base for companies with operations in Latin three most prominent regions for contact Sao Paulo the eighth-highest. America. Tax incentives and increased center establishments in Brazil. Companies * Source: “Dark side of Brazil’s rise,” The Wall Street Journal website, online.wsj.com, accessed 6 May 2012; “Brazil sambas onto offshore outsourcing stage,” Cio.com website, www.cio.com, accessed 5 May 2012; Marketbeat — Brazil, 2011, Cushman & Wakefield, 2011. Ernst & Young's 2012 Brazil attractiveness survey Capturing the momentum 21